I put together a crude video that exclusively concentrates on each of Eli's interceptions from last season. Figured it would be helpful in ending a couple debates concerning Eli's turnovers from last season, and also for starting some new ones. Hopefully at least some of you find something like this useful in aiding in your own personal of evaluation of Eli's 2010 season. Go ahead and check it out.
Disclaimer: I'm not a professional by any means and I don't know much about video editing, so I apologize in advance that this isn't the "neatest" production put together. Also the video won't be up very long so if you're gonna look at it do it soon.
Eli Interceptions - (
New Window )
I thought the Houston and Minnesota games were particularly brutal to watch, but at least the Houston game was well in control before the turnovers started flowing.
3 of them could be both WR & QB (thinking of what are clear miscommunications)
and I've got some that are just really fucking good individual defensive efforts that fall under all 3 categories.
I also recall games like GB, Indy where a couple came in garbage time trying to force things.
All in all, about what I expected. A 25 INT season, Eli responsible for his usual 12-17 INTs, but this time an excessive amount of tips and outstanding defensive plays.
When the guy is on though and not throwing those picks? He can carve a D with the best of em.
1. Nicks(Good throw, drop)
2. AB(good throw, drop)
3. Barden(good throw, drop)
4. Eli
5. Nicks(good throw, drop)
6. Eli
7. Eli
8. Eli
9. Smith/Eli(bad throw, drop)
10. Nicks(same as above)
11. Eli
12. Nicks/Eli(50/50 fault, Nicks stopped his route, Eli still threw it)
13. Eli
14. Eli
15. Eli
16. Eli(hail mary at the end of the game)
17. Eli
18. Eli
19. Eli
20. Eli(tipped at the line)
21. Eli/Nicks(miscommunication again)
22. Eli
23. Eli
24. Eli(bad throw, drop)
25. Eli
So in conclusion:
14 INT's totally on Eli Manning.
1 INT tipped at the line, but still on Eli.
2 INT's based off Nicks not running his routes
4 INT's that were good throws and dropped.
3 INT's that were dropped, but not good throws.
1 Hail Mary
4 combination of varying degrees QB/WR/Defense doing their homework and having recognition(hard to say)
The rest bad decision/bad throw/tip at LOS by defender with more of them being the bad decision variety, which game circumstances can certainly have an impact on.
At the harshest, you could put 18 of them on Eli
At the kindest, you could put 12 of them on Eli
Split the difference and blame Eli for 15
ill defend eli all day, but i fell i'm being realistic about the INT from last year.
was 100% on Nicks and the ball has to come out. Let's see if I'm right. lol.
6 on the receivers and 1 hail mary.
it's a timing route but you can see something is wrong there.
then again, the other option is getting smushed and he probably fumbles anyway. lol.
it seemed like he got shorter jumping. that he could have just put his hands up and done the same thing
1. Make better game situation decisions. For example on 3rd and 14, under pressure and rolling to your left, do not try to complete a pass to a receiver standing 3 yards downfield. If you are ahead by 18 points with 4 minutes left in the game and you are under pressure, throw the ball away or take the sack.
2. It seems that his high throws come early in the game. Seems like too much adrenaline. Calm yourself down.
In the end Eli is not Peyton or Brady, he is, ironically Brett Favre. He is a good to very good quarterback who is the toughest guy on the field (although Easy E sure don't look it). He takes a ton of chances in part because he always thinks he can make the throw. Not afraid to innovate.
The biggest difference between Brett and Eli is that Brett was good and made up the difference on emotion. Eli is good and makes up the difference on brains.
Eli may get better and become truly great. But probably not. More likely he will get an attendance pass in to the hall of fame. That is between brains and toughness there is a good chance he will play well for another 10 or even 12 years and thus make the Hall the way Brett will, on accumulated stats.
...no one should take Eli's "reduced" count as evidence that he wasn't so bad in the INT department.
Why?
Because you would have to do this for every QB in the NFL... and then parse out every INT for at least 32 QBs...
...and you know what you would come up with?
When you finish this project in 2015 you'll come to the following conclusion:
Eli sucked in the INT department in 2010.
I'm betting on Eli.
But thanks for the effort eclipz, nice video.
I think he throws 16 ints this yr and 30 td's
For as much as we praise Nicks, he does have plenty go through his hands
Obviously several of those (probably 6 or so) are balls that need to be caught and the last 2 or 3 at GB were prayers in a blowout loss that otherwise wouldn't have been thrown had the game been competitive.
I think when seen live my friends refer to it as the "Eli backfoot pu••y throw".
Eli just can't make every throw a jump ball (especially straight up the middle) and not expect that BAD things are not going to happen, very often.
You body is straining to stay in the air; you need a perfectly thrown ball to catch (just the right speed and position); enough time to control the ball, make account for tacklers coming at you and figure out where you're going to land and not break something - all in a split second. All this, in a helpless position, surrounded by people with bad intentions.
or do you think Eli just throws it to the guy who is the MOST covered?
pffft that
I counted
1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 9 / 10 / 13 / 15 / 25 that seemed to be direct tips to the other team that coulda/shoulda/woulda been caught by the receivers
one thing I know is that if they don't get their act together the season will end much the same as last year
No excuse to force passes into double and triple coverage.. Especially high inaccurate passes... Tipped balls in the middle of the field spells trouble
You make throws like that your just asking for it to be picked off
The one thing he does on most that absolutely kill me, is that he's going backwards and not anywhere near the proper mechanics that a 7 year NFL QB should have. Even the tipped passes were sailing because he has a tendency STILL to throw off of his back foot and back away from getting hit. Trying to keep a play alive is one thing, but playing scared is another and that compilation, for the first time has shown me what a lot of people see and complain about with Eli...that he looks scared out there.
Whether that's true or not is irrelevant. If I was an opposing player I would get the impression that Eli was easily rattled and that even a bit of pressure will cause him to lose focus and his mechanics go out the window. The formula is pretty easy, put a hand in his face and you have a shot to completely derail the offense.
As we all remember, more often they were Eli's fault later on in the season, but the first 5 or 6 weeks his WR really f--ed him over.
If he throws 30+ TDs and 15 INT this year I will take it. Eli will never be an elite HOF caliber QB- but he certainly has the ability to be on the fringe of that top 10 range. We could do a lot worse than Eli- he just needs to take care of the ball better.
additionally, you are right, Eli doesn't have to throw into triple coverage, but what would you rather he do, take a coverage sack?
I hate this shit because it just rev's me up and i get into it every year. I dislike this system as it seems too hit or miss, too risk reward and well thats just how it played out last year. I'm not talking about the system anymore.
And RE: Eli, I seriously doubt you are saying he is a bad QB because its his fault that he throws into triple coverage like he does.
i don't care how bad i get blasted cuz im used to it by now so whatever i think what i think and nothing will change it
For instance, the first Dallas game- hostile crowd, road game, division rival, and they throw a high risk pas right off the bat. That is on Eli, but they need to get him into a rhythm early.
They made the exact points I have been making (and arguing) since last year.
I most definately HOPE for improved play from Eli this year, but (IMO) these videos give very little reason to EXPECT improved play.
Also - while I do not consider Eli in the Brady / Peyton elite level, I liked reading that he considered himself in that level.
Don't tell me he doesn't have a guy who can catch the short dump off because Ab caught 47 balls out of the backfield last season.. You throw inaccurately into triple coverage and you get a 25 Int season
The "system" isn't making Eli Manning force throws.. This is the same "system" Eli played in when he threw a career low 10 picks in 2008 (With average WR talent)
Eli has to make better decisions same with AB and the entire Offense. We have talent, the big plays will be there just protect the ball and stop beating yourself
I counted 16 INTS that were Eli's "fault"
It could have been lower due to bad routes but I wasn't sure so I put the blame on #10.
Last year was just rididulous.
NFL QB's cannot be careless with the ball.....period.
This endless debate (although an amusing way to pass the work day) makes no sense to me.
The video does not lie.
While I care about his other numbers, they are a distant 2nd because of the turnovers and Eli's carleseness last season.
Sometimes, taking a sack is okay if it can prevent a turnover. Throwing the ball away and living to fight another play is never a bad thing. However, "trying to make a play" and then throwing a pick that the other team run back into your territory puts incredible strain on the defense to bail you out. Sometimes it can. Other times, it can't.
The lefty pass against the Titans. WTF was that?
The 25 INTs still stand--3 more than Drew Brees, as you know. Though Eli had two more TDs. I just point that out as the Eli-detractors here would just as soon fellate Brees and his abilities as they would bash their favorite team's QB.
No shit that we need him to throw less this year in order for us to win.
Hearing you cocksuckers beat that ridiculous drum over and over is just fucking monotonous though. I mean really? That's your fucking point?
Thanks for the insight, Einsteins. But the point remains that we are lucking to have him as our QB. The second point is fuck you.
I also get irritated that we don't "check down" enough... seems like other teams do it to us alot more.
But i notice alot that when we have 1 or 2 RB's in the backfield alot of time they don't come out for a dump off. they hang around the pocket even if not necessarily blocking people.
I can't imagine that they are taught to do that, but i agree that these guys should be in the flats every time...
its an issue i've had for years that they just don't seem to do, unless its a designed play for the RB...
Eli 540 pass attempts
Brees threw the ball 120 more times then Eli in 2010 .. How many Int's would Eli have if he had another 120 pass attempts
Brees had no run game at all in N.O
Then again, the guy never gets hurt and a major reason why is because he gets rid of the ball quickly and WILL throw off his back foot.
Also, although its hard to do so, we should take into account the situation. 2 int's were thrown in desparation when the game was pretty much already over (one against Philly and one against GB).
Nice language (but I have been called much worse). I guess its not a family channel anymore.
Here's the thing - How do we know its an anamoly? I certainly hope it is, but there is no way for any of us to know.
Bigblueinchicago def. got it right - we all would trade the '10 Manning for the '08 Manning.
4,888 yards/38 TD's/31 INT's
Brees:
4,620 yards/33 TD's/22 INT's
I have been called every name in the book by you and the rest of the Eli butt boy club, and with this thread I finally have some company re: Eli's play last year.
I have never rooted against him, but am critical of his play last year.
As I said, I hope he improves, but see no reason to expect that he will. I don't get how anybody can objectively say that they EXPECT HIM TO IMPROVE.
Either way - grow the fuck up and/or re-attach your set of balls, and stop getting so worked up on a football website.
Sorry Randy I'm not going to play that game with you
We are not really bashing Eli either.
We ARE pointing out things that the Eli butt boy club refuses to acknowledge....that poor accuracy, mechanics and decision making had lots to with his Int. numbers.
those numbers would suck too
"poor accuracy" (Yeah, who SHOULD he have thrown the ball to? YOU know how his checkdown list is broken down? You know who he was able to see, who was running the right route and who was and wasn't covered?
"mechanics" (Sorry, I forgot you guys are QB coaches and have the ability to evaluate our SB MVP winning QB's mechanics--my bad!)
"decision making" (See above comments on his accuracy then also add at this stage of his career if you are worried about Eli's accuracy, then I guess it is what it is and we are fucked if you think he's inaccurate)
Bottom line though, those 25 need to become 15 or so or the Giants will have trouble winning games or will at least have a hell of a lot harder time doing so.
I'd assume that's one thing we can all agree on.
Mechanics - Joey hit the nail on the head. Watch the throws he made off back foot / without stepping into the throw.
Decision making - Lefty throw a pretty good place to start? How about forced throws into double teams.
Question - did you watch any of the games last year....particularly those in the 2nd half of last year. If so - can you really argue that Eli's trended in the wrong direction for all three above?
That is why I think people tend to give you a hard time. You tend to focus on one thing, and one thing only, while seemingly dismissing many positives.
Is that fair?
That said, I think you have been fair lately, it's just when these black/white discussions take place that people dig their heels in.
I don't think ANYBODY disagrees that 25 picks is too high, or that Eli doesn't shoulder the blame, primarily. That's what I'm reading.
But as has been said numerous times, it doesn't have to be either or, it's in the middle somewhere.
And that's what I've figured out. Sometimes, it's best to sit some out.
But there is no denying that there are people on this board who are only here to needle other posters. One or two specifically on this very thread. I don't put you in that category, Larry.
I dismiss the good (from last year) because I think the 2nd half of last year was that bad.
The trend I mentioned was specific to last year only.....as in his accuracy, decision making and mechanics got worse as last year went on.
There is not black and white....I can both root for Eli and try to be objective in his play.
See Joey's write up (above) - his is right on the $$$.
No sane person would say Eli doesn't need to improve. But, I also don't think it's fair to say that he is getting worse. You also have to realize the improvement in QB play, like in most things, is not always a linear function.
If I were, I might have told Randy to go and start a UFO thread in response to his comments re: Eli's accuracy, mechanics and decision making.
I just think there are multiple factors (5 different configurations of the o-line, revolving door at WR) that also factor in. In years past, when totals were much better, those were not issues at all.
I think putting it all on Eli is somewhat small minded. When we've had health on offense in years past, he's been trending upward every single year.
IMO, it's not coincidence that there could be a correlation between the health of the offense and Eli's performance.
I think as bad as his INT's where, he did a pretty damned good job in a couple of games where he was dealing with less than optimal health. Big games too, like the second Eagles game. Doesn't get much bigger than that, late in the season.
Where I REALLY have to disagree with you is INT's 12 and 21. Nicks stopped running his route. You are aware that a QB throws the ball on a WR's break? How was Eli supposed to know that Nicks was going to stop running?
That tells me that 17 of the INT's were on Eli, 8 on his WR's. Some of them were horrible throws and/or bad decisions. #6 has to be one of the worst throws I've ever seen an NFL QB make. What was he thinking?
And sometimes, you just have to tip your hat to the DB. A couple were jsut good defensive plays; it's hard to "blame" anyone for it. A couple other insights - the INT to Smith in the Colts game is just something that happens. Smith had a step deep, Eli threw a decent enough ball, and the 2nd DB made a good play on it.
Some of the INT's in the GB game were downright ugly, but those also occurred when the Giants were losing badly, and throwing on every down.
So, he makes some incredibly poor judgment decisions because of his "go for it" attitude.What's the result--well last year he had 25 INTs and 9 fumbles(I think)which contributed to the stat I can't dismiss and always repeat: 21% of all possessions resulted in turnovers.That's hard to accept and the QB has to bear the brunt of the criticism. I think it's an anomaly but it better not happen again.
When you are losing and have to throw all the time, the % go up for more int's - you are 1 dimensional.
Once in a while, the D does make a good play, as guys dive for int.
Some are clearly the WR in the wrong spot or stopping the route (2nd Dallas game)
Obviously some are terrible throws, but every tipped ball went for an Int last year.
Thanks in advance.
To me, more problematic than the INT's are Eli's fumbles. It's one thing if he gets hit as he's throwing the ball, but a number of his fumbles occurred when he had 2 hands on the ball. Got to wrap it up.
For example....kmed the throw to Barden was a "good throw"? Were talking about a 7 yard hook right in front of Eli. Barden could have caught it but it sure wasn't a good throw. Many of the tipped passes were not good throws.
And did somebody say only half of them are on ELi?
The guy is tough. He takes shots. I think he feels he can fade back, avoid the contact, and make the throw.
Sometimes he does but it also gets him in trouble. You can't throw floaters in the NFL. Guys like Cutler can make those throws. When Collins was here he could make these throws. But Eli's arm strength is not in that league.
He should try to cut down on the fadeaway throws and be more careful with the ball when rolling out especially to his left. If his feet are under him his ball floats too much and the accuracy drops.
kmed : 12:02 am
I would change that one on my list from good throw, dropped to bad throw, dropped. Def too high.
That left handed throw at the goal line last year resulting in an interception is a perfect example of Eli's propensity for making horrible decisions.
It could have been worse last year. Imagine all the passes he threw that were sure interceptions but the Will Allens of the world dropped them. So whats the under over with Eli this year on interceptions? 20?
Eli won the SB by throwing a hail Mary to Tyree into triple coverage. It worked and the rest is history. But that is not going to happen often against NFL top teams
No Eli hasn't mastered the short throws keeping them low, he does have a propensity for them to sail, but that isn't because he throws everything off of his back foot. for all we know our OL didn't do a good enough job of opening up throwing lanes, maybe he just releases to high etc etc etc...
people want to rake Eli over the coals for that left handed scramble throw into the endzone. FFS!!!! the guy was running and trying to make something happen. that is 1000% more acceptable than some garbage throw in a pocket which resulted in 10+ of his other INT's. that play was all heart and effort. no it didn't result in a TD but if it had everyone on this board would have raging hard boners about their QB Eli and how fucking great he is.
the guy is an above average QB in the league right now, but he looked so much better in college. and in college it was all him, the guy didn't play for Florida or Texas or Oklahoma... fucking Ole Miss.
his throws were more crisp and on target back then. I think this has to do with the offense as a whole.
law of averages says he should have less INT's this year but our OL and WR have to help come together in order for this to become a reality.
hopefully it will
The idea that "it could have been worse" is, frankly, kind of laughable. He was pretty much, when you also account for all tipped/touched passes that went for INTs (whether they were his fault, the WRs' fault, etc is irrelevant) instead of just falling to the ground, he was pretty much the most unlucky QB in the NFL in 2010, regardless of what you think of his quality of play or what fair criticism one can make of it.
was posted December 2010
please read
WSJ - Giants Receivers & Route Running - ( New Window )
Some people have no clue what they're watching.
That's why when Chris Palmer left, he was basically left on his own. I don't really know if there's a QB coach of Palmer's equal (or credentials), but Eli could sure use one.
I counted about 5 balls that were deflections for int's....and there was another int that shouldn't have counted because the defender was out of bounds......The long pass to Smith was woefully underthrown.....the underhanded pass in the endzone, stupid.....the first down interception in the end zone against Washington, stupid....
It's the int's on 1st down that really kill me....as for stupid throws, every QB throws them.....but like Animal Farm, some stupid throws are more stupid than others....
Eli is our qb, sink or swim....we have no backup....he goes down it's over....he has to eliminate the kind of throws previously mentioned and he has to get those passes down....
If I have to make one critique of Eli it's this....he doesn't tend to hit his receivers in stride....and with the speed these 3 guys have, it would be a plus if he did....
By the way, good job on recording those int's....