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I think I've seen the future and it ain't us

Montreal Man : 9/10/2013 1:52 pm
Full disclosure -- I'm not an x's and O's guy. All I got going for me is I'm old enough to have seen a lot of Giant games.

Sunday night, I saw something very different. Very, very different. Chip Kelly's offense seems, to these untutored eyes, to be a nightmare.

Yes, we can find flaws, glitches, offensive stamina problems, but Kelly is throwing something that's consistently different -- from the no huddle, to putting two tackles wide left. What the eff is that?

Okay, I love Coughlin, I adore Eli and the wideouts, and the still (unfufilled promise of Wilson, Hynoski, etc.) I'm on the fence about Fewell and don't know what to make of Gilbride.

However,our offensive plays look boring, pedestrian and predictable, even if executed properly, i.e., what the hell is the problem in the Red Zone? What? It's been that way for years. The players are good, and in some cases exceptional, so Gilbride means to tell us that they're not executing? They're not executing the same ol' shit, that the defense can sniff out.

We have good backs, but I don't see the holes I see almost regularly from other teams. I watched wide open spaces at the LOS and wondered how they did it? Are their players THAT superior. I see Witten and other TIght Ends patrolling the middle as if they're on an island. Can that be a result of superior players or play design? I think play design -- Anish and other football smart guys might answer this, if they care to.

And San Franciso does it as well. How soon will other teams adopt this kind of offense? We can't stay still, but with this generally conservative bunch at the top, I'm afraid we will.

Personally, to my eyes, this "new" approach is going to kill us. Do we think Fewell is up to defending it? Do we think he can put in the proper players to handle the no-huddle? Do we think Gilbride will shed some of his play design and create some new ones? I dunno. Doesn't look like it.

End of rant, thanks for listening.

Signed,
Very, very frustrated in Durham AND Montreal.
San Francisco's Offense - ( New Window )
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agreed  
Nick from Goa : 9/10/2013 1:54 pm : link
.
If not for the turnovers  
Go Terps : 9/10/2013 1:55 pm : link
we may have had 600 yards of offense and 40+ points on the road. And we didn't have to expose our QB to big hits to do it.

The Giants end up top 10 in points scored pretty much every season under Coughlin. They likely will again.
offense is not a concern of mine.  
shabu : 9/10/2013 1:58 pm : link
offense is not a concern of mine... we do have the tendency to look like we are being too cute.. but its not clear if it is Gilbride / eli over thinking or what..

that said, defense is my only concern with the giants of 2013 as i fully suspect we are top 8 in points this year.. if not higher.
No super bowl yet  
jeff57 : 9/10/2013 1:58 pm : link
Pocket passers have won them all.
Run and Shoot, Wildcat, Read Option...  
FJ : 9/10/2013 1:59 pm : link
all look revolutionary at first. But year after year, the teams that win the Super Bowl all seem to have offenses that feature a drop back passer and a conventional running game.
Jason Witten is going to the hall of fame.  
Ten Ton Hammer : 9/10/2013 2:00 pm : link
He's made a career out of knowing how to shake coverages. Great players get open.
I think everything you wrote is true, however . . . .  
TC : 9/10/2013 2:03 pm : link
the Giants played really lousy football, turned the ball over SIX times, and still racked up over 500 yards of offense, 31 points and wound up losing by only 5.

But the frustration is there. You see the potential but it's frustrated more often than not. And it makes you wonder that if this style requires perfect players to function perfectly, where they're going to be found?
.  
arcarsenal : 9/10/2013 2:04 pm : link
Traditional, dropback QB's keep winning Super Bowls.. but people keep believing that gimmick offenses are the "future".

Was I imagining things or did our offense produce a number of big plays, have 3 WR's with 100+ yards and put up 30+ on the scoreboard? If not for the turnovers, we could have put up 40.

People love shiny new things. Giants offense.. boring. To hell with results.
ehhh  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 9/10/2013 2:05 pm : link
I came out of last night's game pretty sure that Griffin and Vick aren't going to survive the season.

I'm also pretty sure that the fast-pace hurt the Eagles almost as much as it hurt the Redskins.
Jeff ...  
Montreal Man : 9/10/2013 2:05 pm : link
Yeah, you're right about having seen those schemes before. But this seems to be a time where we have many gifted athletes to execute it, and it seems more refined and complex than it was then.
I find our  
winoguy : 9/10/2013 2:07 pm : link
red zone offense the most offensive. Once again on Sunday night we have first and goal from the one and end up going backwards and settling for 3. Cant believe they cant come up with something better than what they do.
I do like how in both  
mattnyg05 : 9/10/2013 2:07 pm : link
Super Bowls XXV and XLII the Giants sort of stymied those 'revolutionary' attacks. The Bills rode their no huddle into 4 straight Super Bowls but I have to believe the fact that they didn't win a single one is why perhaps it didn't fully catch on. Not to mention the Giants were the polar opposites as far as time of possession and amount of snaps-the Giants were trying to drain the clock from the very first second with those 80s and 90s teams.

Also, the Patriots seemed like a passing juggernaut by the time they rolled into XLII and the Giants proved that hard nosed, pressure-the-qb defense can stop any kind of super offense. I'm glad the Giants were a part of those two games.
I wouldn't comment  
Jerry in DC : 9/10/2013 2:07 pm : link
on this relative to the Giants, because we've got an offense that's usually pretty good and we're not currently in a position where it would be beneficial to make any changes.

But these new offenses are legitimate and these teams are good. And if the argument against them is that they haven't won a Super Bowl, it's a ridiculously flimsy argument. It's the same as "Peyton Manning can't win a Super Bowl." That was an argument that was made. And then he did. And the argument evaporated instantaneously. One of these teams is going to win a Super Bowl last year. It was very close to happening last year. San Fran has made 2 NFC CGs in a row. Seattle was one of the best teams in the league last year.

And really, should winning the SB be the primary metric for evaluating this concept and these players? There were good teams last year with good offenses that featured read option and mobile QBs. They were successful. Maybe it will all vanish tomorrow, but it sure doesn't look that way.

Plus, if the Giants next QB is mobile, almost everyone here will do an immediate 180 anyway.
I loved watching the Eagles last night....  
Capt. Don : 9/10/2013 2:08 pm : link
blasphemous, maybe but it was fun.

However, I have serious doubts about how well this will be working in weeks 14-17 + playoffs.

Running 80 plays in an 11 game college schedule wherein 7 of the 11 are blowouts is one thing. But increasing the number of snaps by 30% over the course of 16 games means increasing the number of hits your skill guys take.

Bryce Brown is going to have to get WAY more carries or McCoy will go off an Eddie George size cliff at about week 13.
you get...  
BillKo : 9/10/2013 2:08 pm : link
three 100 yard receivers (all wideouts) but you feel that's not going to translate??

C'MON MAN!!!!
I could not disagree more.  
BrettNYG10 : 9/10/2013 2:09 pm : link
We were 13th in 2012, 9th in 2011, 11th, in 2010, 21st in 2008, and 12th in 2007 in red zone efficiency. While I think we should do better, our woes have been overstated.

And while I thought the Eagles offense looked interesting, I am not concerned about it long-term.
Link - ( New Window )
It's so early in the  
rebel yell : 9/10/2013 2:09 pm : link
season to crown the Iggles experiment a success. Let defenses game-plan for it now that they'see seen it. As mentioned, nobody has won shit with any of this experimental stuff. It's all whipped into a frenzy by ESPN and others. If/when a SB is won using this...then I'll get concerned that we might be missing the boat. Until then it's just early season creative looking crap. Interesting, but not much else.
Jeff's got it.  
Giants Fan in Steelers Land : 9/10/2013 2:09 pm : link
I will take the predictable offense that is virtually unstoppable when firing on all cylinders over a new offense whose success may be by design or just defenses are unfamiliar.

Oh and both styles require your qb can't get hurt. Oh and the newer offense requires your qb to get hit in a game about as many times as the qb running the tried and true method gets hit all year.

Pass
.  
arcarsenal : 9/10/2013 2:11 pm : link
It's not the same as saying Peyton Manning can't win a Super Bowl (before he did).. there's a durability factor that I don't think there's reason to believe is here with these QB's. Guys like Vick and Griffin are never going to be able to put together 16 game year after 16 game year the way the more traditional passers can.
Well, I'm glad some of you brought me down to earth  
Montreal Man : 9/10/2013 2:11 pm : link
But I'm still leery. Eric, yes, the pace can impact the offense's stamina. But if they do it week after week, don't you think their stamina will strengthen while teams that face him for the first time may not be up to the same level of endurance.

Granted, it's the first game, but the Redskins looked shocked out there, linebackers drifting around before the snap.

And as for scoring points, yes we do. Then what is the problem with the red zone that everyone here has been complaining about?
Montreal Man  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 9/10/2013 2:13 pm : link
More snaps = more chances to get hurt.

This isn't running track. It's football. People get hurt.
Niners can win with Kapernick  
jeff57 : 9/10/2013 2:13 pm : link
because they have a great D and a great OL.

D still wins championships.
I would  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 9/10/2013 2:14 pm : link
submit that our red zone problems are a product of us not being able to run the football in tight quarters (short-yardage and goal line).
We DID  
SethFromAstoria : 9/10/2013 2:15 pm : link
have 500 yards of total offense...its not like the Giants are inept at moving the ball.
Jerry  
Go Terps : 9/10/2013 2:15 pm : link
You're absolutely right on people doing a 180 if the Giants go that route.

Personally I really enjoy watching these new offenses operate. The 49ers in particular are really good to watch. I think there needs to be a next step in the evolution for it to really take hold in the long term: the read option teams must be willing to abandon the idea of the franchise QB (and the accompanying cost) and instead be willing to go two or even three deep at QB just as they often do at running back.

If I'm the 49ers, Redskins, Eagles, etc. I'm keeping three mobile QBs on the team and drafting them far more often than I traditionally would. I also wouldn't dream of giving Kaepernick, RG3, Vick, etc. another contract. It's a position I would consistently occupy with rookie contracts.
The Giants RB situation isn't good.  
TC : 9/10/2013 2:16 pm : link
They need one or two journeyman, bruiser 3rd down back who can block or move the pile. They're not feature back RB's, but they could do SO much for this offense.
the 2012 oregon strength of schedule didnt even  
asbasb : 9/10/2013 2:16 pm : link
make the top 25 in the BCS.

In the NFL everyone is an athlete, fast, strong, and smart (many of them). Hence this nonsense doesn't survive.

Look at their 2012 schedule

7 home 5 away games
They were finished before the end of November (except the fiesta bowl)

really not the best competition out there. Is it exciting - Yes. sustainable against quality opponents with built in parity - probably not.

Oregon football 2012:

(Times TBA)

Saturday, September 1: Arkansas State at Oregon

Saturday, September 8: Fresno State at Oregon

Saturday, September 15: Tennessee Tech at Oregon

Saturday, September 22: Arizona at Oregon

Saturday, September 29: Oregon at Washington State

Saturday, October 6: Washington at Oregon

Thursday, October 18: Oregon at Arizona State

Saturday, October 27: Colorado at Oregon

Saturday, November 3: Oregon at USC

Saturday, November 10: Oregon at California

Saturday, November 17: Stanford at Oregon

Saturday, November 24: Oregon at Oregon State
I don't think our offensive scheme is the future  
jcn56 : 9/10/2013 2:18 pm : link
and I won't dismiss what the read option or Kelly's offense might be long term. But as far as Kelly, it's too soon to pass judgement. For the Niners, Seahawks, last year's Skins - strong defenses were also part of the equation (not so much for the Skins).

Which isn't to say the Niners and Seahawks offenses aren't very good to great, or that they're not here to stay. But any good offense when combined with a strong defense is going to make a good team. I'd like to see how one of those offenses holds up with a mediocre or worse defense, like the Eagles might end up running (also too soon to tell).
Re - Kapernick,  
TC : 9/10/2013 2:19 pm : link
Hairball had him mainly working in the pocket this past weekend. Maybe he knows something about the need to limit QB hits?
Jerry/Go Terps  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 9/10/2013 2:22 pm : link
You'd have to be two deep if you want to play it safe. Vick was limping noticeably after one game and Griffin got hammered last night (problem with Griffin is he's not really a big guy either - Kapernick is sturdier - Griffin got rag-dolled last night).

I think the 49ers can win it all...they are exceptionally well rounded. But their QB has to survive. Will he take more hits? They may be adjusting so he doesn't.
jcn  
Go Terps : 9/10/2013 2:22 pm : link
A big reason they have strong defenses is that they aren't allocating huge cap space to a QB.

This may be the first time in a while that a Super Bowl loser is viewed as having a much stronger team the following season than the winner...and the big difference is that Flacco's contract gutted the Ravens (especially on defense). Kaepernick is still making peanuts, allowing them to bring in someone like Boldin.
MM  
LG in NYC : 9/10/2013 2:25 pm : link
I have concerns/complaints about the TC/Gilbride offense, but at the same time I am in no rush to move to this type of offense either. It is interesting and can be difficult to defend for long stretches, but ultimately I do not think it is the future of the NFL as some media outlets want to contend.

Go Terps - interesting points about how you would occupy the QB position, but I ultimately disagree. Part of what makes CK and RGIII successful thus far is that they also have the ability to sit there, read defenses and accurately pass the ball. Quite frankly, I think both could just as easily be classic drop back QB's. Now, Vick (and to a much greater degree, Tebow) on the other hand has been much less successful when he is forced to sit in the pocket and not move around.

Going with your theory would much more likely lead to Tebow's and Vick's as opposed to CK and RG and ultimately take away the real threat to that type of offense.
We had a terrible first half on offense  
Torrag : 9/10/2013 2:25 pm : link
...followed by a tremendous 2nd half. Eli with 450+ yards and 4 TD's in the game. The turnovers were unforced mental errors. The Cowboys D was beaten when Scott caused TO #6 and cost us the game. We were going to punch it in.

Griffin looks beat up and its week 1. Vick was limping around the field by the end of week 1. This division is ours for the taking.
Eric  
Go Terps : 9/10/2013 2:26 pm : link
See my 2:15...I think that's the next step for this type of offense to flourish. I also think it's an excellent way to manage the cap and prevent from having all eggs in one basket (i.e. Eli gets hurt and the Giants are toast...but if the Redskins had drafted both RG3 and Wilson last year instead of Cousins, they have that depth).

The trick is to abandon the traditional idea of a franchise QB, face of the franchise, etc. That's going to take some courage from a GM.
We should be runnng the offense Peyton ran on Thursday  
UberAlias : 9/10/2013 2:27 pm : link
Not what we saw last night.
People over-reacting to one game...it goes both ways.  
BLUATHRT : 9/10/2013 2:28 pm : link
Chip Kelly's offense has been done in the past in various ways, and you know what always seems to win? The traditional balanced attack and team that out-physicals everyone else.
GT  
Mike from Ohio : 9/10/2013 2:28 pm : link
That's a great point about the QBs. I would not be surprised at all to see the Eagles go that route next year in the draft.
The Spread  
EricNY33 : 9/10/2013 2:31 pm : link
is successful because it's new and defensive coordinators haven't adjusted to it yet. They will eventually. The speed of defensive players is too great nowadays for them not to be able to come up with a defense to combat it.
Terps  
Jerry in DC : 9/10/2013 2:33 pm : link
Agreed with your concepts although I wouldn't go quite as far as not giving them a 2nd contract in all case. But I probably wouldn't be willing to go to the "franchise QB" $20 million/year deal. Plus some of these guys haven't shown any signs of injury just yet.

I think we're going to see some QB contract deflation soon anyway, regardless of pocket or mobile QB. The Bradys and Rodgers of the world will still get their $20 million, but teams have been giving out too many big deals to good, but not great QBs. Right now Kapernick and Wilson are as good as anybody in the 2nd tier of QBs and SF and Seattle have an extra $15 million or so to build their team.

I definitely agree on emphasizing the backup QB position and the QB pipeline for these teams. And it's possible to do because the NCAA is producing a lot of guys who can run and throw and have experience in the read option system. It's not that different to how teams treat every other position.
Montreal Man..you wrote what many on here would be afraid to say.  
Blue21 : 9/10/2013 2:34 pm : link
But you are very accurate. Any honest person has to see these same things.
Is it even possible  
Dan in BTV : 9/10/2013 2:37 pm : link
to find all these college athletes that can run the read option and make accurate passes in the faster NFL? How do the "backups" get enough reps to be in synch with their receivers and learn how to read defenses? How do you build a wining team over a few years if you need to replace your QB every other year? There are a limited number of quality drop back passers and the ones that can handle the NFL are pretty hard to come by. I assume it will be a similar problem finding high quality read option QBs. I'm not sure how "disposable" you can afford to make them.
As other have said...  
giantsfaninphilly : 9/10/2013 2:38 pm : link
You deal with the spread by kicking the crap out of the other guys QB. If he runs you make him pay.
And my comment above has more to do with the lack  
Blue21 : 9/10/2013 2:39 pm : link
of a running game and what seems to be wide open receivers we can't seem to defend.I was wondering however if the Eagles can keep up that pace a whole game let alone a whole season.Vick never lasts a season and will this offense change if he goes down? I do wish at times the giants weren't so predictable.And let's face it Eli is embarrasing to watch run.But he is what he is and has two rings.
I don't buy the idea that the spread is successful because it's new  
Go Terps : 9/10/2013 2:40 pm : link
I think there are three factors at play:

1) As the athletes get faster at every position (including QB) it makes sense to try to isolate them with the ball in space
2) The rules changes favoring offense make such a change make sense...particularly the enforcement of the 5 yard contact rule
3) There's a big trickle up effect from college football. If the players in college excel at it, it stands to reason you'd do in the pros what the players do best.

I think the offense is here to stay. I like it, as I see it as the way to bring power running back into the game.
I'm sort of on the side that thinks  
mfsd : 9/10/2013 2:41 pm : link
our red zone problems are directly related to our offensive line breaking down starting last year (specifically Snee, Diehl, and Baas)

And last year's problems were also related to Nicks getting hurt and Randle not yet developed into our 3rd weapon to replace Manningham.

Look what our passing game can do with a healthy Nicks, Cruz, and Randle now.

But our running game has been mostly DOA since early last year, which has killed us in the red zone. I don't care who the OC is - if we can't consistently run the ball and score from the 1 or convert 3rd and 2, we're fooked
Eagles looked good early  
Phil from WNY : 9/10/2013 2:41 pm : link
but it looked like the Skins figured it out by the second half. I think I'll stick with Eli and Company.
Dan in BTV  
LG in NYC : 9/10/2013 2:42 pm : link
Yes.

You said even better what I was trying to say. I don't agree that the QB position can be become 'disposable' in the way that you change them every few years. IIf you are going to run that type of offense, IMO, it is only truly viable with a quality QB running it (Kaepernick,. RGIII, Wilson).

That said, the idea running this Offense and not having a mobile QB as a back up is dumb (see Philly).
MIDDLE WAS OPEN INTENTIONALLY.  
x meadowlander : 9/10/2013 2:43 pm : link
There is a very good reason not a single deep ball was completed, nor was there a single big play busted against the Giants.

That was a conservative defense.

If you want Kelly's crappy 15 point offense, that's your business.

I agree I'd like to see the Giants use more 3wr - spread the field more, caters to the Giants current skill players.

Also agree with Eric - red zone issues are because they KNOW we don't run well.
and I'm of the opinion that the hurry up type offense  
mfsd : 9/10/2013 2:43 pm : link
will wear out your defense. Of course, I like many of us grew up on the Parcell's Giants, and still believe in running game and ball control to keep opposing offenses off the field

Exhibit A will always be Super Bowl XXV. Jim Kelly and the Bills' were one of the precursors to these new offenses, and we beat them bc we held the ball for 39 minutes that night
In reading the replys  
Montreal Man : 9/10/2013 2:45 pm : link
I'm getting a good feel of what a lot of people think. It's encouraging and helpful. Thanks.

A lot of you have pointed out our offensive totals. I guess my post made it seem like I'm criticizing the offense in general. I'd like to clarify. Except for the red zone and the running game, I'm thrilled with Eli and our offense. We WILL put up points.

Reading all this over, I think I'm worried more about our defense facing such schemes, primarily in the ability of Fewell to defend against them.

I also realize that we'll have game film to work with, whereas it seems the Skins got blindsided. They'll make adjustments, of course. I just don't want us to look helpless out there.

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