I think that at this juncture, even the most wide eyed optimist can realize that you can throw dirt on the 2013 Giants team. This thought that they can still hang around because of how putrid the NFC East is, while enticing, is just not going to happen. To even play .500 ball the rest of the way will put them at 5-11.
So with 10 games to go, the Giants should take a step back and look at what they need to do to put themselves in the best position to rebound in 2014. Forget that damn Super Bowl countdown clock that was put in the locker room. That will be up there with Jim Fassel's "sign the shovel" tactic in 2003 that showed a severe disconnect between what the team was really capable of and what the front office/coaches thought they could do.
1) Play the young core who will be considered part of the team's future. I put that emphasis in there because some of the young players on this team are not going to go anywhere in the future (ie- Cordle or Herzlich). Guys I'm specifically referring to:
- Justin Pugh: the playing time he's getting now will be invaluable down the line. He is either going to figure in as a guard or as a tackle opposite Beatty in the future.
- Will Hill: Did he blow his coverage against Marshall last night on one of his TDs? Probably, but he's also a guy who hits like a truck at safety and I'd rather he learn by fire this year and get ready to take over for Rolle next year.
- Prince Amukamara: Prince looks like the next in the line of physical corners the Giants have had along the lines of Mark Haynes, Mark Collins, and Phillippi Sparks. Keep matching him up on the best receiver on the other team and let him continue to develop into one of the best corners in the NFC
- Rueben Randle: Boom or bust with this kid. Randle can be a game breaker, great physical talent. But he's been inconsistent, blew the coverage read last night on the Pick 6, got lucky on the frustration spike that could have been a fumble. However, if Nicks ends up leaving as a free agent, they need him ready to step up. If the Giants can get him to progress the rest of the 10 games, you step back and realize he's only 22 years old.
- Jonathan Hankins: Hankins looks like he's the guy who will end up taking over for Joseph if he decides to bolt in free agency. Only 21 years old, he's been pretty active in the past 2 games he's played. Give him more time on the field and see if they have at least one DT spot locked down for the next 5 years
- Damontre Moore: DaMonster looked good against the Steelers, has shown some flashes, but he keeps getting hurt. It would be a huge boon to go into 2014 and feel that the Giants will have another strong pass rushing DE to pair up with JPP (who I believe is still making his way back from that back injury and now has a knee to go along with it)
- David Wilson: His neck injury is worrisome on many levels, but from a personnel standpoint, the Giants need to know if this guy is going to be who they thought they were getting in the first round. Wilson has an explosiveness and big play ability at running back we haven't seen since Meggett. But the fumbles got him in the dog house. I can only hope that his neck will not keep him out long and we get to see him more involved in the games to find out if RB will be a huge need in 2014. I'm not writing him off yet.
- James Brewer: It's put up or shut up time with this guy. Can he be an NFL offensive lineman or not. Snee is not coming back next year. Boothe is a journeyman. This is his chance to show that he can play at this level and be a starting guard. Unless there is a feeling that he is going to be a risk to Eli's health, I sit Diehl or Boothe and put him out there and see what he can do. The Giants had a talented guy in William Roberts who failed as a tackle and turned into a Pro Bowl guard.
- Marcus Kuhn: On PUP, but if his knee is sound, there is no reason to keep him there. Let him get more experience and see if he can build on what was a promising rookie season before his ACL tear.
2) Trade some veterans: The Giants aren't going anywhere, and tied to point 1 above, some of these vets made more sense before the roof collapsed. The Giants should be sellers here and they actually have some pieces teams would want, specifically on the defensive line
- Shaun Rogers
- Mike Patterson
Will they get a first round pick back? No, they won't get a second day pick either. However, I see no reason to have Rogers and Patterson around at the expense of playing Hankins and (if healthy) Kuhn. Teams are always needing help at DT, I would think the Giants could net a 6th or 7th for these guys...regroup the 7th dealt for Beason.
While trading Tuck might make some sense, particularly if he's blocking Moore at all, I don't see the Giants doing that. I think as captain and for what he's done in the past, they will keep him around to finish out this season.
If Reese really wanted to put a shock into the team, he puts Nicks on the block. I have long said that as Nicks goes, so goes the Giants offense. However, Nicks has been a guy who is always held back from his potential due to injury. To be honest, from what I've seen this year, he seems to be a guy who is making some business decisions on the field looking at his free agency coming up. If the Giants are not going to lock him up long term and will see what happens in the off season (knowing they can tag him), I would put feelers out there to see if anyone would be interested in a trade. Nicks should fetch a pretty decent return, certainly nothing less than a 2nd rounder.
3) See what veterans have anything left in the tank and can they be counted on in 2014. This is pretty self explanatory. But for me, the following guys are putting themselves on film now to see if they should return next year:
- Beason
- Kiwi
- Thomas
- Paysinger
- Jernigan
4) Other than the obvious guys (Eli, Cruz, JPP, etc) All the rest for me can come or go. I think we will see some big name warriors see their final 10 games with the Giants, namely Tuck, Diehl, and Webster.
5) The coaching question. The final piece of the equation. I think the evaluation in the next 10 games will say a great deal if Coughlin is even in consideration to come back or not. Again, my own personal opinion is that Coughlin will retire and had more or less made up his mind before the season. However, lets look at this from the Giants standpoint, and assuming the team doesn't look like they flat out quit (ie- Handley late 1992 and Fassel in 2003). And you must now factor in Coughlin's age to this decision as well. He's 68 years old. The Giants must decide if 2013 is a bump in the road and just one of those years or the sign that this team now needs some major work done on it to get back on track. If the Giants feel that this was just one of those things, and injuries and shit luck got them, then I think Coughlin might well survive this. But again, that's on Mara/Tisch and Reese to decide that this year was a fluke and they will be right in the hunt in 2014. However, if the organization feels that this team really needs a lot of work and a lot of retooling, bringing Coughlin back is a stupid move. Nothing against TC, he has been a great Giant, has brought us 2 Super Bowl championships and has been nothing but class. However, if the transition is so deep and needed, the Giants owe it to the organization and fans to turn the team over to a younger coach who will lead them through the next 5 or so years, through the end of Eli's career. If TC only has one more year in his tank, and the team's fixes will take longer, they have to move on.
To me, they might as well take down that stupid clock. There will not be a playoffs this year, no magical run. This is about 2014 and beyond, and they shouldn't waste the opportunity over the next 10 games to feel good about a 6-10 or 7-9 season if things break right and still miss the playoffs.
i would rather lose big with our young guys getting a chance to develop than lose by a smaller margin with the diehls, pascoes and herzlichs.
Fewell will be easy. He has no contract after this year, so they will most likely let him walk..No idea what Mara's thoughts are re Gilbride..
Reese is solid, he really is..Ozzie Newsome has made plenty of mistakes, some huge(one off the top of my head is letting Boldin go. They HAD to find a way to keep him) and he is acknowledged as the best or right up there..He may have an opportunity to really make a dent if our draft position for each round is really high..He'll also finally be able to offer younger FAs longer than a 1 year deal...
I pretty much agree with everything.
Randle's biggest problem is Kevin Gilbride, and his ridiculously complex offense. There is a debate about whether Randle or Eli was responsible on the pick six. The answer is Gilbride was responsible. He's ruining Randle. I also don't care about the spike fumble. No, it shouldn't have happened, but he's trying to make a play. Randle has enormous talent IMO. Gilbride is ruining him.
I'd love to see Brewer play. How can we not know what he's got after three years in the league? But that's where we're headed.
Thomas is done IMO. A great story, but one too many ACL tears I'm afraid.
Whether we like it or not, JJ is at least coming to camp next year, especially if Nicks leaves, which I think he will.
I'd leave Kuhn on PUP, and then transfer him to IR.
I'm OK with trading Rogers and Patterson, but I doubt you'd find any takers for either.
Tuck, Snee, Diehl, Boothe, Cordle, Baas, Herzlich, Rivers, Thomas, Rolle, Myers, and Painter should be cut or not resigned. I might bring Webster back since his salary is only $1M, but I think the Giants will cut him. Ross as well.
I'd fire Coughlin. He's ultimately responsible for this mess, and refusing to play younger players over aging, injured, veterans. At a minimum, Gilbride and Fewell have to go. I'd also insist that Reese take over TOTAL control of player acquisition. He makes all the picks (not Ross after the first round), with little input from Coughlin.
Eli is coming back. I'd like to see what he can do with a less complicated offense.
Back in 1992, when I was a freshman at Boston College, TC was in his 2nd year at BC. The NFL was after him (including the Giants), and he was considering leaving. However, Notre Dame put an ass kicking on BC, beat us 54-7 or something, including Holtz running a fake punt when he was up 38-0 (Holtz was a dick and ND wanted to run it up on the upstart BC team). TC said he made up his mind that day that he was going to come back and beat them the next year, and BC ruined their national championship, beating them at South Bend. Once he did that, he felt like he was clear to go to the pros and ended up in Jacksonville (even though there was no team to coach in 1994).
So I think the competitive fire might be there that he won't want to go out like this. A strong finish by the team, maybe he'll feel better about it and retire However, if this is not a one year/shit happens thing, Mara and Reese will need to make an uncomfortable decision.
i don't like it - especially if and when the giants are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. you give the future giants some real playing time which will only make the team stronger for next season. enough with the stubborn nonsense that will result in 4/5 seasons of no playoffs.
I just don't know how you would even think that TC made up his mind before the season started to leave. His wife knows and has said he's better off NOT retiring/being home..Prior to this year, he was beaming from ear to ear. He love and lives for this..Now, is it possible if we end p with just a few wins he might walk away from the stress of it all, from the profound disappointment of it all? Sure..
I just don't see it
2012 was a blip when he continued to trot out a gimp nicks who couldn't run when randle and barden played effectively in his absence
2010 was a blip when the team crapped the bed to end the season after a hot start
2009 was a blip
2008's playoff performance was a blip
2006's sh*t show was a blip
put all those blips together and you have a complete blop.
Quote:
It didn't work in 2006 and 2009 and it won't work now..The Mara's at worst will most likely give TC another year and chalk this up to a blip, albeit a big blip
2012 was a blip when he continued to trot out a gimp nicks who couldn't run when randle and barden played effectively in his absence
2010 was a blip when the team crapped the bed to end the season after a hot start
2009 was a blip
2008's playoff performance was a blip
2006's sh*t show was a blip
put all those blips together and you have a complete blop.
And TWO SBs..Name one coach in the
last 10 years that has done that
tom coughlin is blackberry; a coach with past successes, who has not adapted to the times, not stayed ahead of the reality with his personnel and stubbornly keeps trying to do the same things that he did a couple of years ago even though clearly that is not the right strategy.
hopefully he walks out on his own so the team doesn't have to fire him.
I would think they'll have him doing something in the front office with the team, so he won't be at home, driving his wife crazy all day long. He'll have time to spend with his grand kids, but I would see him staying active with the organization. Helping with scouting, maybe helping out in advance game preparation, etc. I don't think he'd take some senior exec title and do nothing.
As for Coughlin, I sure hope he retires. I'm not worried about finding a replacement. This is among the best jobs in football. A new coach inherits an established QB and knows he is working for one of the most stable coach-supportive teams in the NFL. Giants should be able to get cream of the crop.
That said, if they decide to make a change with TC, I will support their decision. I won't like it, but I will support it because of the tremendous respect for the success this organization has brought to me as a fan..
I'm really looking forward to seeing what Reese can finally do(should our season continue like this) with high draft picks and a good cap situation..
Btw, the ONLY "good" news for me about how this season has played out to date, is that there will be NO FLEX GAMES unless who we play is in the thick of it..That would be less late games..
There have been whispers about Nicks' intentions for months. He said he skipped the voluntary workouts because he didn't want to get hurt and wanted to stay healthy. A cause we can all get behind, no doubt. Unless you take a step back and realize that Nicks his heading towards post rookie contract, which is the one that players have their chance to make their big money. They all know this, everyone does.
Here was an article from ESPN before the season
So with that in mind, and fully aware that he has yet to play all 16 games of an NFL season, Nicks has become the most careful dude in the room. If he didn't look to be going all-out in the preseason games you watched, it's likely because he was determined not to go all-out in the preseason games. He won't admit this, but the clues are all there if you've been watching and listening to him for the past month. His goal is to be healthy this regular season, and if that means taking it slow in games that don't count, or spending 10 extra minutes getting his legs stretched out before it's time to start running routes in practice, so be it.
Now, I don't think he's dogging it, but as I said, I think he's making some business decisions out there. Not going after that slant against Philly heading into traffic and the back breaking pick? Remember, this is a guy who saw Steve Smith blow a great contract for himself and watched Cruz get paid (even if it was below market value). Looking at what his trade value is, should not be out of the question, particularly if he is bent on testing the market.
http://espn.go.com/blog/nfceast/post/_/id/55700/hakeem-nicks-is-being-very-careful - ( New Window )
I would think they'll have him doing something in the front office with the team, so he won't be at home, driving his wife crazy all day long. He'll have time to spend with his grand kids, but I would see him staying active with the organization. Helping with scouting, maybe helping out in advance game preparation, etc. I don't think he'd take some senior exec title and do nothing.
If you gave TC a presser to annouce his retirement if I"m John Mara you talk about how long his Dad waited a decade + to finally hire TC, how much he's meant to the organization and you have those 2 lombardi's right on the dais as a reminder and an FU to all the press who were trying to run him out of town in 06 and late 07. You say there is lots of debate on radio and online about TC's legacy as his tenure had it's up's and downs but you simlpy point to each of the trophys and say that's his f***kin legacy; case closed.
Randle - ( New Window )
My only problem with the 'maybe it was just shit luck' scenario is if they keep TC around another season, they're likely to keep the coordinators too. If not, how do you attract quality coordinators to the spot knowing that TC has an offensive scheme he ascribes to and that he's a lame duck should the team not perform well again.
TC's done a hell of a job, and I hate that it would have to end for him like this, but it's time for him to move on to the next stage of his career.
What to do with TC is the messiest part of this whole debacle. I agree with all of the other points 100%. And I'm glad you didn't mention anything stupid like trading Eli to the Texans or starting Nassib next week.
What sucks about the Giants having so many positions of need for the draft, is that you can't really justify taking a game changer like Sammy Watkins, even if Nicks walks.
Can you...? haha
It's not like Tom C gave them the ol' win 1 for the gipper speech and willed them to win.
I think Matt's suspicion that TC told them he was in for one last year makes a lot of sense when combined with our handling of the roster. It seemed like Reese made one last push for that 07 core, to see if they could repeat some of their magic. Obviously, that was a miscalculation, but I wonder if maybe part of that wasn't TC saying he was in for one more year, with his core group to see if they could get it done.
As for Coughlin, I sure hope he retires. I'm not worried about finding a replacement. This is among the best jobs in football. A new coach inherits an established QB and knows he is working for one of the most stable coach-supportive teams in the NFL. Giants should be able to get cream of the crop.
Greats points. They would need a new OC to change the system if Nicks walks otherwise 3rd WR becomes a big hole to fill that is tough to fill because of the complexity of the offense. Its tough to quickly get young guys up to speed in this offense.
If TC is not here next year suddenly NY becomes THE destination for a head coach. You get Eli, Cruz, Randle, and some other young promising pieces like JPP plus a ton of cap space and great drafting position. A starting head coach usually doesn't get that much to work with in an offseason and still have a franchise qb.
Sidenote: First time using the reply feature!
The record is ugly but there is a pretty good nucleus on this team. Re-vamp the offensive line, cut some dead wood and watch this team come back quickly. A remake of the Oline will do wonders.
I'd like to see what they have in Brewer but I'd also like to see what Mosely can do.
Also agree that Brewer should get a long look at guard. If Clowney ends up being the pick in the first round because he has "too much value to pass up," that's one less resource used for building the OL back up. Brewer proving he doesn't suck would be a nice safety net.
But we know how he played in the postseason when he absolutely needed to. If they bring him back, his business decisions won't be a problem.
With that being said, I wouldn't be shocked to see a coach added to the offensive staff with play calling/coordinating experience....
great thread Matt.
If they do have to fire him though, they will, they'd just rather him understand which way the wind is blowing and take the easy way out. Either way, he's going to wind up on the outside. HOW that goes down (i.e., him retiring instead of being fired) is up to him.