NFC East Race and Tiebreakers (corrected)

Very sorry....I had an error in the 2-way tiebreaker against the Eagles in my previous post (for STEP 2). The corrected version is actually worse for the Giants than what I had before. I also made a few other tweaks based on comments I have received.

Obviously this all becomes unlikely if the Giants don't win this weekend.

Quick summary:
- To win a 2-way tiebreak against DAL Giants will need to beat DAL and have DAL lose to PHIL or WAS.

- Would be tough to win a tiebreak against PHIL if PHIL wins this week (would give PHIL 3-2 against division while Giants are 1-2)

- The SEA game is the one the Giants can "most afford to lose" from a tiebreak perspective.

Giants vs DAL (2-way tie):
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STEP 1: (Head-to-head)
Giants lose to DAL = DAL takes tiebreak
Giants beat DAL = Go to step 2

STEP 2: (Division)
DAL beats PHIL and WAS = DAL takes tiebreak
Giants beat WAS twice AND DAL loses to PHIL and WAS = NYG take tiebreak
Giants beat WAS twice AND DAL loses to PHIL or WAS = go to step 3
Giants beat WAS once AND DAL loses to PHIL and WAS = go to step 3
Giants don’t beat WAS at all = DAL takes tiebreak

STEP 3: (Common Opponents)
Giants lose to SEA = NYG take tiebreak
Giants beat SEA = go to step 4
(Note: this may look like it is “better” to lose to SEA, but that is not true overall because losing to SEA decreases the probability of getting into a tie situation in the first place).

STEP 4: (Conference)
DAL does better against GB and CHI than NYG does against GB and DET = DAL takes tiebreak
Otherwise = Strength of Victory

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Giants vs PHIL (2-way tie):
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STEP 1: (Head-to-head)
Teams split. Go to step 2.

STEP 2: (Division)
Team finishing with better division record wins tiebreak. If it is the same go to step 3.

If PHIL beats WAS this weekend:
PHIL 3-2 in division (only DAL game left). Giants 1-2 (2 WAS games and DAL game left)
If WAS beats PHIL this weekend:
PHIL 2-3 in division (only DAL game left). Giants 1-2 (2 WAS games and DAL game left)

STEP 3: (Common Opps)
Giants lose to SEA OR PHI beats ARIZ = NYG take tiebreak
Giants beat SEA AND ARIZ beats PHIL = go to step 4

STEP 4: (Conference)
Decided by best record against NFC North. PHI currently 1-0. Giants 1-1.

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Giants vs Phi and Dal (3 way tie)
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STEP 1: Head to head among teams.
NYG beats DAL and PHIL beats DAL = Go to step 2
Otherwise = DAL takes tiebreak.

STEP 2: Division Record

This would be decided by best performance against WAS.

If PHIL beats WAS this weekend, it is
PHIL 2-0
DAL 1-0
NYG 0-0
So Giants can’t win the division record tiebraker in this case. If they swept WAS, they would get to Step 3 if DAL beat WAS and would return to the 2-way tie with PHIL if WAS beat DAL.

If WAS beats PHIL this weekend, it is
DAL 1-0
PHIL 1-1
NYG 0-0
and there are various possibilities. If all 3 end up 1-1 against WAS go to step 3.

STEP 3: Common opponents
Giants lose to SEA = NYG takes tiebreak
Giants beat SEA and PHI beat ARI = reverts to 2-way tiebreak with DAL
Giants beat SEA and ARI beats PHI = go to STEP 4.

STEP 4:
Compare records against NFC North for all 3 teams, etc.
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