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Greg Gabriel -- Giants can forget Lewan, Ebron

Headhunter : 3/27/2014 11:56 am
This is my last thread for a while. I just thought it was too good not to post
Link - ( New Window )
His credentials  
Headhunter : 3/27/2014 11:58 am : link
Greg Gabriel, who spent 29 years as a college scout for NFL teams, including the Giants from 1985-2001 and nine seasons as Director of College Scouting for the Chicago Bears after that.
Interesting...  
rptl530 : 3/27/2014 12:02 pm : link
thanks for posting that.
fugedaboutit  
gidiefor : Mod : 3/27/2014 12:03 pm : link
!
I just have this gnawing feeling  
George : 3/27/2014 12:03 pm : link
that Sammy Watkins is going to slide down to #12.
Saw  
AcidTest : 3/27/2014 12:04 pm : link
that article. Good analysis by Gabriel.

Lewan's problems were already known, so the arraignment is nothing new. I thought the actual arraignment would make teams pause, but apparently not. And it's easy to see how Ebron could be a game changer, even with his drops.

He also doesn't seem to think the Giants will select Donald, that they will instead choose Evans.
that  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 3/27/2014 12:04 pm : link
was a good interview.
Good read, Thanks.  
Modus Operandi : 3/27/2014 12:05 pm : link
Should put to rest the notion that Reese drafts purely on need. Or purely BPA. It wont, of course. But it should.
George,  
GiantFilthy : 3/27/2014 12:05 pm : link
Watkins is one of maybe three players that there is absolutely zero chance of being there at 12.

:(
RE: I just have this gnawing feeling  
arcarsenal : 3/27/2014 12:05 pm : link
In comment 11590219 George said:
Quote:
that Sammy Watkins is going to slide down to #12.


I don't think there's any chance.
That's a good article  
BillT : 3/27/2014 12:06 pm : link
And he likes Evans and Donald for the Giants like I do so it's clear he's super smart! Actually, I don't think Ebron will be off the board at 12. Lewan I could see being gone.
Really think Zack Martin is going to end up being the pick  
jlukes : 3/27/2014 12:06 pm : link
.
george  
NewYorkGiants : 3/27/2014 12:06 pm : link
Id love for that to happen but not a snowballs chance in hell watkins falls to 12
All opinion  
geemanfan : 3/27/2014 12:07 pm : link
If there is a run at QB anything can happen .
Ebron will be there  
bc4life : 3/27/2014 12:09 pm : link
and I hope they don't take him.

Not so sure Lewan won't be there. Have some teams really QB hungry, and I don't think they let Bortles and the others go by. If Lewan isn't there - may not be the end of the world - some think Martin is the better pick
Lewan might not even be on their board  
jeff57 : 3/27/2014 12:10 pm : link
I hope Ebron's gone. Don't want him.
Watkins  
bc4life : 3/27/2014 12:10 pm : link
will have moved to the city he was drafted by before Giants get to pick. He doesn't fall below 8.
Hey  
DanMetroMan : 3/27/2014 12:10 pm : link
he knows more than I do but I guarantee there are more players the experts say have no chance falling than is possible
Not so sure Martin will end up the better pick.  
GiantFilthy : 3/27/2014 12:12 pm : link
Definitely the safer pick.
To clarify for those not reading the article  
SwirlingEddie : 3/27/2014 12:12 pm : link
Gabriel thinks those two players will be selected prior to the Giants' Rd 1 pick. It's not that he doesn't like them or thinks the Giants don't like them.
.  
arcarsenal : 3/27/2014 12:12 pm : link
Someone's got to take Bortles early.. it might cause a couple other teams to panic before our pick and take Manziel or Bridgewater. That's our one chance at someone really good slipping to us.
He touches on BBI discussion points  
ZogZerg : 3/27/2014 12:17 pm : link
specifically - the size of Donald - saying Perry likes bigger guys in the middle.
arc  
ZogZerg : 3/27/2014 12:18 pm : link
good point. If a QB goes early, it may get folks nervous.
Even people with the best knowledge and etc  
micky : 3/27/2014 12:22 pm : link
don't know what's going to happen. Never know until it plays out on draft day, it's all fluid and can change on the dime. Speculation is the norm though
RE: I just have this gnawing feeling  
OC : 3/27/2014 12:33 pm : link
In comment 11590219 George said:
Quote:
that Sammy Watkins is going to slide down to #12.


That gnawing feeling is something chewing on your leg.
Don't see him getting by Cle.or Oak.
Good read  
A Aron Balakey : 3/27/2014 12:37 pm : link
If Evans falls to us it would be a godsend
This is my guy  
Lionhart28 : 3/27/2014 12:37 pm : link
Patricia Traina retweeted
3m

Gil Brandt @Gil_Brandt
Mike Evans has the best hands I've seen since Calvin Johnson.
RE: This is my guy  
Ten Ton Hammer : 3/27/2014 12:44 pm : link
In comment 11590299 Lionhart28 said:
Quote:
Patricia Traina retweeted
3m

Gil Brandt @Gil_Brandt
Mike Evans has the best hands I've seen since Calvin Johnson.


That's surprising that Gil Brandt would say such a thing considering that Calvin is usually among the big guys in drops, IIRC.
gil brandt with some ridicuosly high praise  
NewYorkGiants : 3/27/2014 12:46 pm : link
For mike evans
I think it's a must we go OL at 12  
The_Taxman : 3/27/2014 12:50 pm : link
Ebron not being avaliable at 12 would be a blessing in disguise. Lewan not being there would be disappointing but if it forces us to take Martin, I'm all for it. With his versatility, he should be our pick. What good is drafting a WR that high when we can't keep our franchise QB upright?

I like Schwartz and if Walton is able to shake the rust off before the season starts, he's a solid C. But what about Beatty? Even before the leg injury he looked pretty bad. I have faith he'll improve on last year if the leg is healthy, but he still isn't a franchise LT. Pugh is a very good lineman and Snee is toast. At best, he's a backup G/mentor. While the line has improved, it's still a question mark. Drafting Martin could help answer a lot of those questions since he can play either T or G spot and do it at a high level.

I'd really like to see the 1st 4 rounds go OL/TE/C/WR.
Martin
Niklas
Swanson
Brandon Coleman
Hands  
AnishPatel : 3/27/2014 12:52 pm : link
were never an issue I don't think with Evans. Getting off the line, playing only 2 years, and just worry about a big WR in the NFL. A lot of big WRs busted, so just making sure Evans has the talent that avoids that.
RE: Evans  
nyynyg : 3/27/2014 12:54 pm : link
the problem about judging a WR by their hands is that you first have to grade their ability to get open. you can't catch it if you can't get thrown it.

that is my concern on Evans. it is not clear on whether he is going to be able to get open at the next level. I'm warming to the idea of him as a selection but there are other directions I would much rather go...
My thoughts  
Giants2012 : 3/27/2014 12:54 pm : link
If Ebron goes earlier than 10 I'm ok.

Would be disappointed if Lewan went right before the Giants pick. What a tease.

With all these QB's and those two names going within the top 10, the Giants are certainly in position for a top player yet the player might not be a top need.

Brandt has a heck of resume but his track record and statements over the past few years is more reflective of a guy in need of retirement. :)

Lot of choices but the offense is dysfunctional without more blockers. Tough choice IMO.
RE: I think it's a must we go OL at 12  
Giants2012 : 3/27/2014 12:57 pm : link
In comment 11590332 I'd really like to see the 1st 4 rounds go OL/TE/C/WR.
Martin
Niklas
Swanson
[/quote]

Those 3 picks would certainly solidify the OL. Not sure where Martin goes but he appears to be one the safer choices. An OLineman which can play multiple positions, a 270lbs TE and a center who could play guard is a nice.

(lol, real nice so long as Donald doesn't become Warren Sapp)
Evans  
Lionhart28 : 3/27/2014 12:57 pm : link
The thing with a guy like Evans, he can be "covered" and still be open like Plaxico was... He has the size/strength, body control and leaping ability that he is virtually impossible for most corners to cover one-on-one. Since our QB has a propensity to throw it high, I think getting a big physical receiver like him would be huge (so to speak).

SNYGiants retweeted
10m

P. Schrager @PSchrags
Already got one text from a scout on site... "Umm, Mike Evans. Wow." ... Did the TAMU wideout upstage Johnny today?
Giants have three areas of glaring need OL DL and TE  
mamamia : 3/27/2014 12:59 pm : link
Can they get excellent value in the 2nd and 3rd rounds at these positions so that they can skip that pick in the 1st? If a TE is there in the 3rd which almost equates to Ebron in the 1st then that position becoames a 1st round pass. If they feel a quality DL position will not be available in the 2nd or 3rd round compared to the 1st then I suppose that is the direction they would go. One exception would be if there was a talent so superior that was available at 12 that they could not overlook like a Robinson
While he may be right that Lewan will not be there for the Giants...  
Hades07 : 3/27/2014 1:03 pm : link
...his logic is flawed in determining that. Because he is better than the top tackle last year? Last year's draft and where players were selected have no baring on this years draft. He may be better than the top guy last year, but he is still the 3rd tackle this year. Also the talent at other positions in the draft is stronger this year as well. Lewan looks like a very talented player and he may very well be drafted before the Giants are on the board, but it won't be because he is a better prospect than Fisher.
RE: This is my guy  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:03 pm : link
In comment 11590299 Lionhart28 said:
Quote:
Patricia Traina retweeted
3m

Gil Brandt @Gil_Brandt
Mike Evans has the best hands I've seen since Calvin Johnson.


Not really that high of praise. While Megatron may be the GOAT WR, he's not especially known for great hands. That guy would be Fitzgerald.

2013 Stats (drop percentage)
C. Johnson: 5.1%
Garcon: 3.9%
Brown: 4.2%
A Johnson: 4.4%
Green: 3.9%
Wright: 5.0%
Bryant: 3.8%
Jeffrey: 3.4%
Gordon: 5.0%
Graham: 2.1%
Douglas: 4.6%
Boldin: 3.9%
Nelson: 2.4%
Gonzalez: 2.5%
Hilton: 2.9%
Jackson: 2.4%
Fitz: 1.5%
Cameron: 1.7%
Gates: 3.5%
Thomas: 2.4%

The above are players in the top 25 in catches with better drop rates than Megatron. So out of the top 25, there are only 5 guys with higher drop rates than Calvin. Granted some of his probably come against double/triple teams, but he still doesn't exactly have "elite" hands.
Drop Rates - ( New Window )
drop rates  
Giants2012 : 3/27/2014 1:05 pm : link
Meanwhile Ebron was a little over 11% in college.

That's a lot an Eli doesn't exactly throw the tightest spiral.
RE: Ebron will be there  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:06 pm : link
In comment 11590241 bc4life said:
Quote:
and I hope they don't take him.

Not so sure Lewan won't be there. Have some teams really QB hungry, and I don't think they let Bortles and the others go by. If Lewan isn't there - may not be the end of the world - some think Martin is the better pick


Off field issues aside, do any scouts actually think Martin is a better NFL prospect than Lewan? Or do they think he has a higher floor? Or is he just a better fit for the Giants because he can play LG at a high level if Beatty bounces back?
My quasi-realistic wish list...  
Wonderphil11 : 3/27/2014 1:06 pm : link
would be Donald, Evans, Martin or Lewan. I wouldn't be opposed to Ebron but there seems to be decent TE's available later which would be more than adequate. Donald and Evans are my top two.
Lewan  
Some Fan : 3/27/2014 1:08 pm : link
I don't want the Giants to go near this guy. Seems a total effing a-hole.
Lewan = no character - ( New Window )
RE: RE: Ebron will be there  
jeff57 : 3/27/2014 1:09 pm : link
In comment 11590368 GIANTSr01 said:
Quote:
Or is he just a better fit for the Giants because he can play LG at a high level if Beatty bounces back?


Bingo.
RE: drop rates  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:10 pm : link
In comment 11590366 Giants2012 said:
Quote:
Meanwhile Ebron was a little over 11% in college.

That's a lot an Eli doesn't exactly throw the tightest spiral.


11% is ridiculous. Some notable names that were above 9.0% last year:

Welker: 9%
Davone Bess: 10.5%
Reggie Bush: 11.3%
Shane Vereen: 10.1%
Aaron Dobson: 9.7%
Tavon Austin: 10.1%
Kenbrell Thompkins: 10.0% (amazing what Brady had to work with)
Le'Veon Bell: 9.1%
Doug Martin: 20.8% (only 17 attempts)
Arian Foster: 11.4% (only 22 attempts)

Welker + a lot of rookies and RBs. Brady must've been greasing the ball or something with 3 guys over 9.7% drop rates.
For the most part these draft guys  
ronzo : 3/27/2014 1:25 pm : link
Know shit. After the draft see how accurate they are. Besides the first couple of picks they are usually off.
With the depth at WR in this draft  
ryanmkeane : 3/27/2014 1:43 pm : link
I think the smartest thing the Giants could do would be to draft Zack Martin at 12, slide back into the end of the first and take a guy like Sua'Filo, and then select one of the many talented WR in the 3rd or 4th.
At this point  
ryanmkeane : 3/27/2014 1:44 pm : link
with the way the roster looks, OL is still my biggest concern, and that trumps TE by a wide margin.
Giantsr01  
bc4life : 3/27/2014 1:49 pm : link
I think the term safer or surer pick has been used re: Martin. I don't know. There seems to be a consensus that Robinson and Matthews will go before we pick and most seem to think Lewan is the next logical choice.

Some think Martin is the better pick, but that is probably a minority opinion.
RE: For the most part these draft guys  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:49 pm : link
In comment 11590409 ronzo said:
Quote:
Know shit. After the draft see how accurate they are. Besides the first couple of picks they are usually off.


Not really. They are going to be awful at predicting the exact location a player is taken (aside from maybe the top 5 picks), but they often get the range correct.
RE: Giantsr01  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:50 pm : link
In comment 11590464 bc4life said:
Quote:
I think the term safer or surer pick has been used re: Martin. I don't know. There seems to be a consensus that Robinson and Matthews will go before we pick and most seem to think Lewan is the next logical choice.

Some think Martin is the better pick, but that is probably a minority opinion.


As a LT prospect, (almost) everything I've seen has Lewan as the consensus #3 guy. But Martin definitely seems to have a higher floor and many reports think that at worst he'll be an above average OG (whereas it's OT or bust for Lewan).
Martin  
ryanmkeane : 3/27/2014 1:53 pm : link
is in the same mold as Pugh was coming out. Smart, extremely durable, can play multiple positions, light on his feet, and appears to be a technician/hard worker. It's essential the Giants rebuild their line with guys like this. I love Lewan, considering we already have a left tackle and are paying him well, where else does he fall? I'm also fairly certain Lewan is not going to be available when we pick - which makes this a moot point.
RE: At this point  
GIANTSr01 : 3/27/2014 1:54 pm : link
In comment 11590457 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
with the way the roster looks, OL is still my biggest concern, and that trumps TE by a wide margin.


Agree and disagree. I think OL, TE, and DL depth are all huge needs. But I think the biggest need for the OL is an interior guy which can be gotten in the 2nd/3rd round range. Similarly I think they can get a day 1 starter at TE in the 2nd-4th round range.

But the DL right now is JPP, Jenkins, Hankins, and a lot of questions with Kiwi, Moore, Kuhn. They barely have a starting group, let alone a solid 6-7 man rotation that TC likes.

Thus, I think DL (Donald, Ealy, Jernigan, etc) will be the pick at #12. Unless they love Evans or another WR.
RE: With the depth at WR in this draft  
yatqb : 3/27/2014 1:54 pm : link
In comment 11590453 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
I think the smartest thing the Giants could do would be to draft Zack Martin at 12, slide back into the end of the first and take a guy like Sua'Filo, and then select one of the many talented WR in the 3rd or 4th.


I like that plan, but we'd also need to get some defensive linemen at some point.

I really think that the two OL you mention are plug and play guys, Su'a-Filo more so at OG and Martin more so at OT. Martin might have to be trained up a bit to be ready to play the OG spot.
RE: RE: At this point  
arcarsenal : 3/27/2014 1:57 pm : link
In comment 11590473 GIANTSr01 said:
Quote:
In comment 11590457 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


with the way the roster looks, OL is still my biggest concern, and that trumps TE by a wide margin.



Agree and disagree. I think OL, TE, and DL depth are all huge needs. But I think the biggest need for the OL is an interior guy which can be gotten in the 2nd/3rd round range. Similarly I think they can get a day 1 starter at TE in the 2nd-4th round range.

But the DL right now is JPP, Jenkins, Hankins, and a lot of questions with Kiwi, Moore, Kuhn. They barely have a starting group, let alone a solid 6-7 man rotation that TC likes.

Thus, I think DL (Donald, Ealy, Jernigan, etc) will be the pick at #12. Unless they love Evans or another WR.


Ealy really looks like an RDE type.. I don't know how much of a fit he'd be here.
Another good tidbit from the article  
GmenDynasty : 3/27/2014 2:00 pm : link
"Yeah there's picks they haven't hit on. The Marvin Austin pick they didn't hit on, a couple others, but you go to every team in the league and you're going to find that.

"It's what have you done for me lately? They didn't win last year or the year before, so now everybody's a bum. But everybody who's a bum now was a superstar two years ago.

"Guess what? They don't change. They're the same people."

There is talent still on this team. Combine it with this draft and FA we may be in very good shape to make a run next year.

The thing about the draft is every year, a guy projected  
MikeN in Ottawa : 3/27/2014 2:13 pm : link
to go high drops and some team picks a guy. whom the "experts" say should go lower, high so who knows really. I think it all depends on how many quarterbacks are chosen in the top 10.

If 4 go, which has been predicted by some, then it is a good possibility one or the other will be there at 12. I would be flexible in this draft. If the guy you want is not there and your next choice is someone you think you can get later I would suggest trading down and picking up more picks.

As always, it will be interesting...
I think it all depends on how many  
Bobby Epps : 3/27/2014 2:38 pm : link
QBs are selected from 1. through 11.

If 4 or 5 QBs are selected in the first 11. picks, a really terrific player should be available at 12.
I think  
ryanmkeane : 3/27/2014 3:21 pm : link
Another dream scenario of mine is getting Evans at 12, then sliding back into the 1st for OL, and then going DL and TE in 3rd and 4th.
When  
ryanmkeane : 3/27/2014 3:22 pm : link
is the last time the Giants traded up to get BACK into the 1st or 2nd? I can't recall a single time in the last 10-12 years. Not saying that's a bad thing. But it might be a smart move considering we need talent across the board and can't afford to sit and wait to see who falls in our lap in the 3rd and 4th rounds.
RE: I think  
Lionhart28 : 3/27/2014 4:12 pm : link
In comment 11590728 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Another dream scenario of mine is getting Evans at 12, then sliding back into the 1st for OL, and then going DL and TE in 3rd and 4th.


How do you want to get back into the first without giving up a 3 or 4? Do you think 2 and 5 get it done? I don't think it would.
very interesting read  
mfsd : 3/27/2014 4:23 pm : link
especially what he says about how Fewell uses LBs. And despite the fact Barr looks like a beast, he questions whether he'd fit our scheme, which makes sense
I thought the most interesting  
irish27266 : 3/27/2014 7:04 pm : link
part of the article was actually comparing how things "used to be" when he was part of the draft process to today. I wonder what he means when he said there were ways to "stash" a player. Part of me misses the way you used to be able to draft a core group of players and keep them for long periods of time
RE: I thought the most interesting  
Optimus-NY : 3/28/2014 11:48 am : link
In comment 11591144 irish27266 said:
Quote:
part of the article was actually comparing how things "used to be" when he was part of the draft process to today. I wonder what he means when he said there were ways to "stash" a player. Part of me misses the way you used to be able to draft a core group of players and keep them for long periods of time



The Redskins under Bobby Beathard and Joe Gibbs used to stash players all the time back in the 80s, particularly QBs (i.e., Mark Rypien and Stan Humphries).
people aim low  
area junc : 3/28/2014 12:02 pm : link
look at the last few years alone: nobody thought marvin austin, big john hankins, rueben randle etc would be available to giants in 2nd round

i think somebody we all think is late 1/early 2 (perhaps lewan, kouandjio, shazier, c.j. mosley, etc.) is there at 43
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