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NFT: Yankees Draft Recap (Long form)

Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 2:22 pm
My take: College-heavy draft that is largely light on potential and heavy on experience. Some of these kids are really going to move and thats great, but even if they sign all of their preps (which seems really unlikely) its a draft that seems to have a lot less potential than last years even outside of Round 1. I like DeCarr a lot and think he could turn out to be the best prospect out of the lot. I could see near at hand contributions from Lindgren, Montgomery, Payton and Spencer and there is a lot of potential in Foley, Gittons, Thompson and Kelzer. They seem to have really tried to find college guys with stories over the last few years, guys like Palladino and Smith who have room to grow like preps but dont have prep signing demands. Cave and Toffey are uncertain signs but would add ceiling to this group if they do join the org. Guys like Carley, Borens, Chin, Barrow and Jose might have some more untapped potential but a lot of question marks. And a few of these guys like Conde, Slaybaugh and Gordon are likely to slide into org roles over the next year or two. Interesting draft, likely to be understood in conjunction with the looming IFA binge and also the guys coming stateside from the last couple IFA classes.

I cribbed a lot of this from RAB, Pinstripe Alley (a good read if you're bored) and The Baseball Cube.

2 Jacob Lindgren LHRP Miss St.
Polished lefty reliever with nasty stuff, sits 91-95 with a fastball and gets his Ks with a wipeout slider. One of the best groundball rates in the business, which will serve him well at YS. Undersized at 511 and 205. Crazy K rate, 93 (21 BBs) in 51 IP, 0.88 ERA and a WHIP well below 1.000.

3 Austen DeCarr RHSP Salisbury School Prep (sorta)
Big-body starter at 63 and 218, sits low to mid-90s on his FB and has the makings of a plus curve and a developing change. As a cold weather kid hes a little more projectable than most. Clemson commit, Id guess he gets around slot but he might take more.

4 Jordan Montgomery LHSP U of South Carolina
Another big body at 64 and 225, hes a plus makeup guy with a low-90s FB that wont hit much higher than 91, but it has run and sink and he can locate it. Best pitch is a changeup, also throws a cutter and a curve. Had a lights out 2013 with a 1.48 ERA, it climbed to 3.42 this year. K rate increased but so did his HR and walk rates, maybe throwing a little harder but locating poorly. Pretty modest ceiling but he should move.

5 Jordan Foley RHSP Central Michigan
63 and 215 pound righty with a mid-90s FB, he can maintain his velocity into games. Inconsistent slider, developing change and sinker. Despite the knocks for inconsistency, it looks like he made a conscious effort to address the walks and finished with a BB/9 of roughly 2. His K rate took a dip too.

6 Jonathan Holder RHRP Miss. St.
Actually the closer at MSU, with Lindgren usually pitching multiple innings. Low 90s FB and a great curve, excellent control. First of a number of fat bodies at 62 and 242, likely to sign for underslot.

7 Mark Payton OF U of Texas
Lefty hitting center fielder for UT, little at 58 and 190, very limited pop but a great contact tool. Almost a Taylor Dugas clone, walked 49 times this year to 22 strikeouts, hit a crazy .393 last year, this year down to .319 but with a .355 OBP. OPS over .900 the last three years. 16/16 on SB attempts this year but smarter than he is fast, very little pop (1 HR the last two seasons) but maybe some latent as he is said to hit with loft. Probably doesnt have the legs for CF but said to have a great arm and solid instincts.

8 Conner Spencer 1B UC Irvine
Lefty hitting 1B who had a crazy .373 BA this year (.443 OBP/.496 SLG), 21:21 K:BB, problem is 0 HRs in more than 400 Pas. Unless youre John Olerud a 1B is supposed to hit HRs, and even he had a few. Rep as a very good defender. Probably underslot/org type, but maybe he surprises.

9 Vincent Conde SS Vanderbilt
Righty hitting SS who hit exactly .307 the last two years, as many BBs as Ks this year (33) and a little bit of pop (10 HR over the last two years). 10/12 on SB attempts. Rep for being somewhat mediocre defensively by professional standards and his arm may require a transition to 2B. Underslot candidate.

10 Ty McFarland 2B James Madison
Lefty-hitting senior sign, 63 and 190 lbs, just 19 Ks each of the last two seasons. .317 this year, .339 and .330 the two prior years. Power spiked a little this year from 4 HRs up to 9. Definitely an underslot but could surprise.

11 Matt Borens RHSP Eastern Illinois
Lanky-bodied righty at 67 and 185 (if thats right), 100:36 K:BB over 109 IP this year, gave up 15 HRs which suggests he doesnt locate well in the zone (at least not yet), solid 3.39 ERA though. Last year in summer ball (Coastal Plain League) threw to a solid 3.75 ERA and .213 opposing BA. Solid walk rate of roughly 3.3/9 for his height.

12 Chris Gittons 1B Grayson CC
Thick righty 1B at 64 250 gifted with what Phil might call now power, one of the best JUCO bats in the country hit .424 with 12 HRs, 35 BBs against 28 Ks in 227 Pas.

13 Bo Thompson 1B The Citadel
Another guy with now power with a lithe, graceful athletes body (510 and a reported 250+), Bo (real name is Leonard) has hit 23 HRs over the last two years and walked a combined 95 times (w/ 36 HBPs). Power and patience are his hallmarks. He wont move enough to be more than a lead-footed 1B but the power potential is great.

14 Sean Carley RHP WVU
Another candidate for Team Anorexia at 64 and 250, he seems to have eaten his way out of the Air Force Academy. His figure screams Bartolo Colon (or Kenny Powers) but he throws mid-90s and already has TJS out of the way. Developing slider and changeup. This year managed a 2.95 ERA and 47:26 K:BB in 73.1 IP. Also hit 10 batters (probably for jumping him in the cafeteria line). Already 23 years old.

15 Andrew Chin LHP Boston College
61, 190 lb with a rep as a crafty lefty, former 5th round pick of the Blue Jays, paced Boston College starters with 3.10 ERA, K:BB of 52:32 in 78.1 IP is unimpressive but his .214 opposing BA and 3 HRs allowed were. Also hit 11 guys who probably also deserved it. Threw to a 6.45 ERA on the Cape last year. FB described as upper 80s with a good change, can work both sides of the plate and up and down. I doubt high 80s gets you drafted in the 5th though, so maybe thats just BS.

16 Derek Callahan LHP Gonzaga
64 205 lb lefty threw 50.2 IP of 4.26 ERA ball, with 27:20 K:BB, none of which is remotely impressive, but dominated a wood bat league a few years back to a 2.25 ERA, throws 90-92 on a good day with a developing slider, curve and change. Basically your average lefty who throws hard enough to break a window with a baseball so will get a look.

17 Garrett Cave RHP South Sumpter HS
64 180 lb righty, very young (turns 18 next month), sits low 90s with his FB, improving curveball, change is usually the last to come on a prep guy. Raw, mechanics need cleaning up but athletic and a lot of potential there. An FIU commit so likely not unassailable, depends on whether we have the money and whether hes the overslot we choose to spend it on.

18 Justin Kamplain LHP Alabama
60 175 lb lefty, looks to have been a weekend starter at Bama with a 2.90 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, 69:31 K:BB this year in 90 IP (just 65 hits surrendered). Strong summer on the Cape in 2013 with a 1.65 ERA and 41:18 K:BB in 38 IP. High-80s to low-90s lefty with a live FB and a curveball, if he can command them he could be a nice pick.

19 Joe Harvey RHP Pitt
62 and 220 lb righty, 3.27 ERA but 29:20 in 33 IP, four-pitch pitcher (including a low-90s FB) but if the control sucks hes probably not going to amount to much. Worth a look.

20 Corey Holmes RHP Concordia (TX)
66 200 lb righty relieved for WVU last year to a 5.71 ERA in 17.1 IP, went to Concordia where he allowed just 1 ER in 18.2 IP, 29:6 K:BB. Maybe he turned a corner or maybe the level of competition just dropped.

21 Porter Clayton LHP Oregon
64 215 lb lefty who throws low-90s with a change and what RAB describes as a slurve. Swingman was not all that effective (4.46 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, more walks than Ks - 26 to 25 in 36.1 IP) as a collegian but presumably the Yanks like something about his repertoire. And hes a lefty, and has a pulse.

22 Jake Kelzer RHP Indiana
Huge kid (68 and 230) who is a superb athlete as he also swam D1, Kelzer is one of the handful of really intriguing draftees. Closed for IU, hurling a 2.03 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 31 IP, with a 44:9 K:BB. 90-91 FB (presumably with a good downward plane) and slider he used as a strikeout pitch.

23 Will Toffey 3B Salisbury (HS)
62, 195 lb left handed hitter who played short in HS but is likely to move off the position going forward, Toffey is a strong prospect with a Vandy commit who seems likely to be a tough sign. Strong arm. Ive heard him described as having below average speed and speed as a strength so who knows? Good bat speed, expected to have develop power as he moves.

24 Dominic Jose CF Stanford
63 195 lb switch-hitter, a part-time player who didnt find much success at college (.200 BA as a senior). Presumably the Yankees like a tool or two and think he can work with him, son of former Yankee Felix Jose. This switch-hitting shortstop at least represented a better value than the last one.

25 Dylan Barrow RHP U of Tampa
63 190 lb righty who is pretty new to pitching, as a former shortstop he is athletic and runs it up to 96 on the gun, mid-80s on a breaking ball. He is just 20 so he has some potential.

26 Collin Slaybaugh C Washington State
Lefty catcher and senior sign at 62 and 185, .309/.381/.373 career slash line, 27/33 career stolen bases, will probably either start for SI or caddy for a prospect, maybe Torrens if they choose to send him there.

27 Griffin Gordon OF Jacksonville State
Lefty-hitting senior draftee, .380/.447/.521 line with 29 BBs to 19 Ks, 7 HRs and 18 XBHs, 10/11 on SB attempts.

28 Lee Casas RHP USC
Big (67 and 255 lb) senior draftee, didnt appear for USC as best I can tell after transitioning from JUCO, I know nothing about the guy.

29 Mariano Rivera RHP Iona
Lanky like his dad, stands 511 and 155 lbs, just 20 years old, said to sit around 90 with a decent slider as his out pitch, 5.40 ERA in 70 IP with 50:26 K:BB. Dad apparently wants him to finish school but he wants to get started.

30 Jorge Perez RHP Grand Canyon State
62 205 righty who ranked as BAs #2 prospect in the West Coast League (unconfirmed reports say the #1 prospect returned to his little league team mid-season). FB topped out around 91 this spring but hit 93-94 last year, some concerns about tendonitis apparently. Fringey slider and an above average change complete the repertoire. 3.43 ERA and 38:12 K:BB in 63 IP this year but that was apparently while nursing injury. RAB lists him as a depth pick but if hes healthy he could be more.

31 Devyn Bolansky CF UC Riverside
511 185 lb lefty hitter, .336/.370/.398, 14/21 on SBs, quintessential scrappy guy with a K rate of under 9%.

32 Jordan Ramsey RHP UNC-W
64 200 lb righty who dropped for some reason, supposedly a blister and a triceps injury, sits low-90s but has touched as high as 96, secondary stuff (slider and change) said to be average on a good day, RAB says a bullpen prospect. His 5.40 ERA this year and 42 Ks in and 6 HRs in just 49.2 IP wont wow anyone (though his 14 BBs are impressive). Last year though he had a 2.34 ERA in 104 IP, with a 1.16 WHIP. There is more talent there than he showed this year.

33 David Graybill RHP Arizona State
64 225 lb righty two-way player, expected to pitch as a pro (good considering he hit just .227). No info about his repertoire.

34 Matt Wotherspoon RHP Pitt
61 175 lb righty, curious tumble for the Pitt right-hander who can touch mid-90s with his FB, has a plus breaking ball and a good changeup, 3.70 ERA this year with a 1.27 WHIP, 85:33 K:BB in 107 IP, quality starter for an ACC program. A senior with a chance to be a big-leaguer, surprised he fell this far.

35 Chris Hudgens C Valhalla HS
61 190 lb prep catcher, the only one we drafted this year. Cal State Fullerton commit hit 12 HRs as a senior in HS and threw out 48% of base-stealers, not sure how high his ceiling is but hes not a non-entity.

36 William Gaddis RHP Brentwood HS
Prep righty has been on the map for a couple years, was in the high 80s last year (not sure about now) with movement, along with a promising slider and change. Committed to Furman. Listed at 60 and 175 but that could be dated.

37 Ryan Lindemuth 2B William and Mary
Right-handed contact hitter with more BBs than Ks (20 to 16), 6 HRs as a senior. To illustrate the shitty nature of reports for middling or worse prospects, he has been described as having little or no patience but had a .445 OBP this year. Senior though, almost certainly filler.

38 Andre del Bosque RHP University of Houston-Victoria
80 Name tool, 60 225 lb 5th year senior who had TJS, no idea what he throws.

39 Cameron Warren 1B Carl Albert HS (OK)
63 and 210, the righty U of Oklahoma commit has power potential, had 8 HRs as a HS senior with a .463 BA. Maybe there is something there, but prep 1B are rarely a hot commodity because you cant move anywhere after 1B.

40 Madison Stokes SS AC Flora HS (SC)
Righty hitting shortstop who probably moves off the position going forward, he was projected in the 10-12 round range but fell. University of South Carolina commit. Line drive hitter with the ability to get bigger than 63 and 190. Has dealt with some injury issues, seems likely he attends college.

I will update with signings when I see them and bump it to keep it from going stale.
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Dominic Jose apparently kissed his bicep after hitting a HR...  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 2:49 pm : link
last week in the regionals. Haha. Just intrigued that they liked him enough to pinch hit with him.
..  
Named Later : 6/8/2014 2:58 pm : link
Wow !! That is a lot of pitching. If only 25% of those arms pan out......that's a valuable commodity.

Dune -- I've been listening to the Charleston River Dogs on the internet over the past few weeks. They've got some hitters down there. Mike Ford at 1B and Aaron Judge in RF. I realize it's Low A Ball, but that's where it starts.
Yeah some guys down there who are hitting...  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 3:01 pm : link
Avelino was but he's temporarily on the shelf. Katoh and Andujar are also very good prospects, as is Torrens (who is injured right now). They're not hitting now but they're very talented and it might take them more than a year at the level for it to click.
Toffey like Payton  
Phil in LA : 6/8/2014 3:02 pm : link
was a big hockey player first, and their skate speed has not transferred to run speed yet.
Thanks Dune.  
section125 : 6/8/2014 3:07 pm : link
Appreciate the info. Great job.
Matt Wotherspoon seems like he's signing or has signed...  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 3:12 pm : link
he retweeted something wishing him well as he began his career with the Yanks.
Thanks Dunedin81  
Ed A. : 6/8/2014 3:48 pm : link
Very interesting read. Really appreciated. Thank you again for a major effort on your part.
RE: Toffey like Payton  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 3:57 pm : link
In comment 11717741 Phil in LA said:
Quote:
was a big hockey player first, and their skate speed has not transferred to run speed yet.


Sorry, I recorded Payton's OBP as .355. It was .455.
Why only 2 ss?  
superspynyg : 6/8/2014 4:08 pm : link
Especially with the one may having to switch to 2b. Do we aveva prospect that they think will be our ext Ss on th MLB level?

I like the arms. A few of them ave to an out, right?....
I'm guessing that between Thairo Estrada...  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 4:17 pm : link
and DSL imports Angel Aguilar and especially Jorge Mateo they may be comfortable with what they have. Jorge Mateo is a potential top prospect. The 40th rounder probably won't sign, so it should be just Conde.
I also think they're getting a bunch of shortstops  
Phil in LA : 6/8/2014 6:09 pm : link
next month, including that kid from Korea.
Thanks for putting that together  
RobotGhost : 6/8/2014 6:15 pm : link
Bringing value added here as always.

RE: I also think they're getting a bunch of shortstops  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 6:25 pm : link
In comment 11717871 Phil in LA said:
Quote:
next month, including that kid from Korea.


Definitely, plus Baez and Yonauris Rodriguez (2013 bonus baby) are still in the DSL.
Not a surprise...  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 8:34 pm : link
madison stokes @madisonstokes1 22h

Although it's an honor to be drafted by the Yankees, I'm going to proudly be a gamecock🐔⚾️ thank you all for your polite compliments!
Based on Twitter:  
Dunedin81 : 6/8/2014 8:40 pm : link
Sean Carley has signed and is headed to SI.

Corey Holmes has signed and is headed to SI.

Bo Thompson tweeted a picture of his locker, so it seems he has signed.

Ryan Lindemuth seems to have signed as well.

Lindemuth is 23  
Phil in LA : 6/8/2014 9:42 pm : link
and out of eligibility.
The two DSL teams  
Phil in LA : 6/8/2014 9:43 pm : link
are about a combined 11-2.
So DeCarr's  
Phil in LA : 6/8/2014 11:53 pm : link
number was so high over slot, they had to rebudget. They knew this before they picked him, so they felt they had to have him. The only other prep who could sign is Cave.

They didn't pick positional preps earlier because they are getting a monster IFA class, with SS/3B's, C's and OF's,
DeCarr and Cave must be signed  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 12:14 am : link
or to me this draft is a failure.
btw very good write up  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 12:16 am : link
Dunedin. I appreciate the hard work you put into this review.
I'm still writing my r  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:18 am : link
reviews.

And sin, DeCarr is a done deal. But don't throw out the other guys they got just because they went to college.
I just hate that the Yankees seem to ignore so many  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 12:21 am : link
high upside high school kids. I get that they believe they have had success with college kids but if you have a very good high school kid with a bright future why pass on that particular player? Is this a money issue?
They liked this year's college class better than this year's prep  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:29 am : link
class. Also they have a big class of IFA's coming in, as well as a bunch coming over for the FSL.
FSL?  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 12:31 am : link
florida state league? they are going to start 16 year old kids at high a or am I reading that wrong?
I mean the  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:38 am : link
GCL.
ah ok  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 12:40 am : link
is there a web site that shows which dominican league players will be promoted to the GCL Yankee teams?
Probably not a free one  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 1:06 am : link
but I can ask. They have some big signings from last year who should be on the way and maybe the year before.
i do subscribe to patrick's site.  
sinctybldh : 6/9/2014 1:09 am : link
he does a great job over there.
Sin  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 7:10 am : link
Off the top of my head, Mateo, Molina and Palma are probably the big position players, Angel Aguilar probably a little less so. DOmingo Acevedo, Simon de la Rosa and Manolo Reyes on the mound are probably the guys you should look out for. They'll have a few others but they seem to be the guys with potential to break out.
Phil  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 7:16 am : link
Sucks to hear De Carr's number is so high, but glad it seems like they'll get him in the fold. There is certainly potential among the collegians, guys like Dylan Barrow (still just 20) are barely "college-aged" in the sense that they're coming from JUCO-land. And guys like Caleb Smith, Corey Black and Philip Walby have definitely pitched above their college performance as pros and guys like Palladino will hopefully show some of that this year. They're not going to have much of a shot at the guys who both perform in college and still have upside so they have to focus on the guys who for whatever reason didn't perform - injury, mechanical flaws, what have you - and try to turn them around. Jose is in that class, considered to have plus power potential a couple years ago but got a season's worth of ABs spread out over three years to prove it.
Dunedin  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 8:58 am : link
what they said they went for on the arm side was "swing and miss" and on the bat side "plate disc" and "plate disc with power."
Carley actually tries to look like Kenny Powers.  
BeerFridge : 6/9/2014 9:09 am : link
Quote:
Sean Carley found it ironic that he was sitting in the barber's chair when the New York Yankees called.

No, the former Melbourne Central Catholic and West Virginia hard-throwing right-handed pitcher wasn't quite losing the mullet yet.

"I was just getting shaped up for Saturday night's graduation/draft party," he said. "It's funny that I was getting my hair cut because the Yankees are known for having strict rules about being clean-cut and all that."

...

Often compared to fictional television baseball character, wildman Kenny Powers, on the show "Eastbound and Down," Carley said he'd have to retire the Powers routine in the minors, at least for now.

"I may not look like Kenny Powers when I begin in the minors," he laughed, "but I guaranteed at some point he will make a return."





Easily my favorite new draftee. Also notes that they changed him from starting to relieving. Maybe that's one reason the Yankees liked him - probably they see him as a future closer type.
Link - ( New Window )
Carley  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 9:11 am : link
started out at air force academy. And we drafted 2 other pitchers who get the Kenny Powers comp.
I love it. Hopefully they issue Carley number 55  
BeerFridge : 6/9/2014 9:22 am : link
And let's just pencil in Mo Rivera Jr for 650 career saves.
Musing and Informative  
Percy : 6/9/2014 9:36 am : link
Thanks for this. Sure do hope a couple of the pitching prospects work out. Hard to watch the Yankees rotation these days.
RE: Dunedin  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 9:42 am : link
In comment 11718330 Phil in LA said:
Quote:
what they said they went for on the arm side was "swing and miss" and on the bat side "plate disc" and "plate disc with power."


Probably a safe bet on both counts. The downside of it is we're not likely to end up with another Bryan Mitchell or Mason Williams out of the collegian crop, but the upside is we're not likely to end up with another Bryan Mitchell or Mason Williams out of the collegian crop. We'll see where the results are in twelve months or in two or three years.
Refsnyder up to .338 in Trenton  
BeerFridge : 6/9/2014 10:03 am : link
.
Andre del Bosque headed to Tampa...  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 11:16 am : link
if they want him he'll sign. Not a guarantee though.
Got the hitters review  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:28 pm : link
up on my blog. Did the pitchers last night.
Let's see if Andre  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:28 pm : link
can make it without breaking anything.
Link it up Phil, your stuff has been great so far...  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 12:31 pm : link
Matt Borens tweeted he was on the way to Tampa to begin his career, whether that means he has signed or is just headed in for a physical I'm not sure. He's a guy I would have assumed was fodder but the 11th round is almost pride of place as the first round after senior signs so I wonder if they see more there than I do reading a stat sheet.
Okay  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:33 pm : link
here it is.
My Blog - ( New Window )
Dunedin  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:34 pm : link
they like him. That was the first guy they popped on Day 3 and he was atop their list.
Apparently Chris Hudgins posted a pic of him...  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 12:35 pm : link
in a Yankee uniform. Why are you sure he isn't signing?
Also,  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:35 pm : link
Dunedin, the didn't really draft fodder and don't anymore. They get the guys to do extra work, so just about everyone they're drafted has something they want. It's not Lin Garrett style.
Dunedin  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:36 pm : link
I wasn't sure he wasn't signing. I just knew he had some leverage. Great get if he signed.
I was confused for a second.  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 12:38 pm : link
okay, it's Chris Hudgens the prep catcher? He posted on Max Preps he wasn't, but something might have happened. I was told the most likely prep after DeCarr was Cave.
Bringing it full circle...  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 1:02 pm : link
Justin Pugh ‏@JustinPugh 5m

@SeanCarley23 has to be everyones new favorite baseball player. I hope you live your life like Kenny Powers. First beer on me #yankees
Okay so Hudgens played on a Yankee Scout team  
Phil in LA : 6/9/2014 2:44 pm : link
and that's why he's in the uni, no progress there at all.
Foley will sign...  
Dunedin81 : 6/9/2014 4:27 pm : link
not sure when or for how much.
Link - ( New Window )
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