between its size, its location and the fact that the separatists (understandably, given their probable responsibility for shooting down the plane) are being hostile to efforts to recover bodies and examine the wreckage. I don't think there's ever been a situation quite like this before. Everyone/everything is still just lying there.
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The press reports have been that Russians trained Russian speaking Ukrainians in the use of the SAMs. If it was all Russian soldiers, why would they need training?
We know what happened... a missile hit the plane.
Russians are being dumb. Bad PR move on their part. But so was shooting down a commercial airliner... so they have that going for them.
But they are not the ones causing the problems.
If Putin wasn't actively instigating the insurgency, there wouldn't be one.
- vlad the Putin
Also after Russia tells everyone what happened don't be surprised if the box crashes and all data is lost probably same IT company working for IRS
I get the importance of black box data, but not sure what kind of a design improvement a commercial airliner can make that will make them less susceptible or increase their survivability when an SA missile strikes it.
Only thing that will prevent future incidents like this will be to ensure that commercial airliners are not flying through a disputed airspace. But I'm not sure you really need a black box data for that.
As I don't work for the NTSB, I could be talking out of my ass here. Commercial airliners don't have countermeasures, and practically they shouldn't need them. If they get hit by a missile, they can't maintain flight integrity and they go boom. If a military jet takes a direct missile strike, it's going down. Unless a pilot identified the source of the launch or picked up ground chatter it's pretty clear what happened. The Russians being protective of the wreckage just confirms what the rest of the world suspects.
The real question is who's the idiot that routed a commercial flight through a war zone.
Bill...couldn't agree with you more! This is a classic example of losing sight of the forest for the trees if the investigators focus on the black box and whatnot. Yes, we get that the flight information is about as empirical as you can get when it comes to data about plane crashes, but in this incident, we know what happened. Now instead of confirming what we know, lets go and look at the bigger picture of who and why.
And that's valid point, especially coming from your expertise. However, as stated in my post to Bill, while this is definitely still a plane crash investigation, the bigger issue goes beyond the events of the actual crash. It is an international political and military matter, which has far bigger implication than the loss of approximately 300 lives (I am not in anyway taking away from the tragedy of so many lives lost), as this has the potential for greater armed conflict that will bring in even more players leading to greater loss of lives.
We know what happened to the aircraft. Sure, have people focus on why the aircraft was flying in the area. But the more important information that needs to be found out is who was responsible for it and under what circumstance? Was it an incident of misidentification by the Russian-backed separatists? Or was it more sinister and politically volatile? Those questions are what Bill is afraid may get lost in this push for investigation.
It's going to be very difficult to criminally punish the higher ups that are accountable here without good evidence about precisely what happened.
It's going to be very difficult to criminally punish the higher ups that are accountable here without good evidence about precisely what happened.
It goes without saying that criminal accountability is absolutely important, and we definitely need evidence if it comes down to the ICC. However, somehow I doubt that it will ever get that far through any kind of an investigation, even if the black box is found. When you're trying to stave off potential escalation of this Ukraine/Russia situation into even greater armed conflict as result of such catestrophic incident as this, the issue of trying someone in the ICC takes a back seat, in my opinion.
Aerolinee Itavia 870 (1980) - NATO?
Korean Air Lines 007 (1983)- Soviets
Iran Air 655 (1988) - US Navy
Lockerbie (1988) - Libya
Siberia Airlines 1812 (2001) - Ukraine
...And MH17 this past week.
There have been a myriad of other commercial airliner shootdowns caused by regional conflicts.
If Russia did it through a proxy, no one is going to hold them accountable in any meaningful way. Even if there's indisputable evidence, who's going to escalate a potential conflict with Russia?
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Recovering the Flight Data and Cockpit Voice Recorders allows investigators to assess actions taken prior, during, and after the missile strike by the crew. Analysis will also allow them to see how the airplane performed, ie which systems were directly hit and/or suffered afterwards, what the controllablility of the aircraft was, etc. Data can even be used to help future designs mitigate the effects (to a degree) of these types of events.
As I don't work for the NTSB, I could be talking out of my ass here. Commercial airliners don't have countermeasures, and practically they shouldn't need them. If they get hit by a missile, they can't maintain flight integrity and they go boom. If a military jet takes a direct missile strike, it's going down. Unless a pilot identified the source of the launch or picked up ground chatter it's pretty clear what happened. The Russians being protective of the wreckage just confirms what the rest of the world suspects.
The real question is who's the idiot that routed a commercial flight through a war zone.
My understanding is that El Al Airlines planes (Isreal national airline) have counter measures aboard.
In this sense I think the US and EU response is already out there for Putin to see. Nothing will be done. The major players are resorting to and will go no further than "Somebody ought to do something."
My understanding is that El Al Airlines planes (Isreal national airline) have counter measures aboard.
I see that they do; they have a basic chaff release system on their flights. Apparently a US senator is asking to petition the FAA to include this type of countermeasure on US planes. See the link.
Whether it's reasonable to equip the US fleet with it would be up for debate considering the challenges of servicing and maintaining a feature as complex as that would be for the sheer number of planes in the US. Think of how much more the cost of flight travel goes up if that cost is added to each plane. Shootdowns are very rare considering the sheer volume of flights worldwide on a daily basis.
Israel, at least, could be considered to be in a perpetual war zone and feels like they can justify the cost.
It's unconscionable that the incident occurred. But Malaysia Airlines played with fire by routing the flight near the area and it had catastrophic results.
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The Ukraine paid damages to the family after admitting fault regarding 1812.
Getting debris from the actual missile or other signs of missile damage will undermine Russia's attempts at denying their involvement. It's one thing for Putin to lie about this, it will be quite another to have physical evidence to remove all credibility to such claims, particularly if there are parts traceable to a specific weapons' system.
But re: the investigation this thing is major headache, without even getting into the issue of tampering with the scene. You have the high grass and vegetation issue to deal with.
Unfortunately, I suspect that the size and scope of the area, coupled with all the issues re: to the political/military conflict - the investigation will probably never be conducted to the degree it should be. We're probably past that point already.