Lastnight was very lackluster. Hard to go off of preseason but it looks like Garcon/Jackson will see a ton of looks this year regardless of RG3 or Cousins. Reed got open as well and I see him as their #2 target on the team. I'm targeting him for my 6/7th pick.
Cleveland is a mess. The mess at QB is causing a ton of issues. The majority of the passes were thrown behind the WR's, making it impossible to project the production of Jordan Cameron. I still think he's a top 10 TE, but probably closer to 10 than 5. Ben Tate had a few nice runs, but didn't get much blocking. If healthy he can be a nice player, but I doubt he plays more than 12 full games.
I'm still contemplating the #1 overall pick. McCoy apparently is very sore with turf toe. Not good. May avoid him now and go Charles definitively.
Last year they had something like the 4th most passing yards and 5th most TDs. It was well below Peyton/Brees, but right in the mix with the other top passing offenses. If you combine Cutler/McCown from last year, that's the #3 fantasy QB. That's not entirely fair because other guys missed games, but still it would be great value.
Are people that worried about injury? Regression? I think some of it is that the Bears haven't had a fantasy relevant QB, really, ever.
That said something has to give, either Marshall/Jeffrey/Forte are being drafted to high or Cutler is being drafted too low.
I have Cutler at QB right now, pretty stacked team all around except QB, basically waited till last round for him and someone proposed me
Stafford and Fitz for Jordy
we have to start 3 WR I have antonio brown, wayne, jordy...
Id upgrade huge at QB but I think Jordy is so damn consistent in a PPR
I have Cutler at QB right now, pretty stacked team all around except QB, basically waited till last round for him and someone proposed me
Stafford and Fitz for Jordy
we have to start 3 WR I have antonio brown, wayne, jordy...
Id upgrade huge at QB but I think Jordy is so damn consistent in a PPR
I would stick with what you got right now to be honest...If Cutler can stay healthy he has 4 good weapons in the passing game and possibly 5 with the addition of Holmes if he can stay on the straight and narrow...
I think he's worthy of rostering as a QB2 but I wouldn't want him as the guy I'm starting every week.
I still think picking a defense against Jax, St. Louis, NYJ, HOU, NYG is a fairly safe bet. I'm personally really down on that St. Louis offense, I think they are going to be ugly. I think Giants are going to be ugly too, but I'm going with my heart on this one and will give them a pass.
Philly D vs Jax
Detroit vs NYG
Minny @ St. Louis
OAK @ NYJ
WAS @ Hou
Pittsburgh vs Cleveland
I don't think Jacksonville is going to be as bad offensively this year with Bortles, but they certainly aren't starting off guns blazing either. I think I'm just going to go with Philly at home vs. a rookie QB and a white RB.
Thoughts?
I have a feeling they will be LEGIT this year even before Browner returns.
they get Wilfork and Tommy Kelly back, plys Jerod Mayo, added Revis and Will Smith to go with Chandler Jones.
they will have a NASTY D and good punt returner in Edelman and KR in Vereen/White.
the first 8 weeks the Pats play questionable offenses at best. Week 1 is Miami, and Miami can't run and revis takes away half the field.
Most people are jumping early on Seattle D, even SF, but New England might surprise some people.
Brees, yes. Rodgers I don't think I would.
I took Brees in the 2nd rd of my draft and could have taken Roddy. I took VJax instead, though.
I think Stafford will have a really good year, BUT.. the difference between Brees/Stafford is likely greater than the difference between Thomas and Roddy/VJ + whoever else may be on the board.
I like D.Thomas and Stafford, better than Brees and White. The Saints just can't run and that's good and bad I guess.
and this is possibly impacted by the fact I owned Roddy White with a 2nd round pick last year and he was injured or dog shit all year.q
My team should have been much better.
AP
McCoy
Doug Martin
Roddy White
Hakeem Nicks
Andrew Luck
etc.
but it wasn't I lost almost every week. Mostly because of White and Nicks, and of course Martin got hurt.
Half their road games are in domes or warm weather climates too.
they play at Chicago, Pitt, Tampa, Carolina, and Cleveland (in Sep) that aren't domes.
I think Peyton regresses and Brees stays are his same level making it close.
Aaron Rodgers, if he can stay healthy could challenge them.
Wild card is Brady. with Gronk, Amendola and Vereen healthy (who wants to make a bet on that?), the addition of LaFell, White, and Dobson back I can see Brady moving back into elite fantasy territory.
Half their road games are in domes or warm weather climates too.
they play at Chicago, Pitt, Tampa, Carolina, and Cleveland (in Sep) that aren't domes.
I think Peyton regresses and Brees stays are his same level making it close.
Aaron Rodgers, if he can stay healthy could challenge them.
Wild card is Brady. with Gronk, Amendola and Vereen healthy (who wants to make a bet on that?), the addition of LaFell, White, and Dobson back I can see Brady moving back into elite fantasy territory.
It would make sense re: Brady because I had him last year and probably won't have him this year.
top 5, whatever, a good value pick QB, they had games last year when his receivers were UDFA kenbrell thompkins, aaron dobson, and julian edelman.
I think Brady improves a ton making him a guy I target who you can get late (as long as you're not in New England).
Aaron Rodgers was many people's #1 last year. Everyone liked Peyton, but no one expected 55 TD's and 5500 yards - or you're a liar.
So, yeah, top tier, top 5 whatever I guarantee your top tier doesn't wind up the top 3 QB's or however many you have in your tier.
Rodgers is going to be an awesome consolation prize for a lot of people.
I will right now, today, guarantee, GA-RON-TEE you that there will be a different QB in that tier.
who knows, maybe Stafford, Newton, Ryan, Romo, Luck, Foles, Brady, etc.
I will bet you that those three are not the top 3 Fantasy football QB's at the end of the season.
That's my point. Just because someone says "they're the top tier" doesn't mean it ends up that way, and when you can identify those guys who aren't "supposed" to be in that tier, that's when you have an advantage.
I am saying it does effect your draft strategy.
Picking chalk you may as well auto-draft. apply some intelligence.
last year is a major outlier for Peyton.
The Broncos play the NFC West and AFC East this year.
That is NOT conducive to Peyton duplicating his 2013 numbers. You all saw how uncomfortable he was in the SB. The Patriots got revis and Browner because of Peyton. The Jets are the jets, so who know what do expect, but they're usually not pushoevers on D. and the NFC West is the best defensive conference in football.
My point is because Peyton is the #1 QB, I'd almost rather get a guy like Brandon Marshall and go Tom Brady or someone later.
but yeah, I'm not saying take Demarco Murray #2 overall.
it means you're going off-rankings and drafting with a strategy.
I can have Peyton rated 5th overall. but take someone else at a different position and that doesn't mean I had them rated higher than peyton. It means I can fill that position later.
I was in a league with Kmed once and he came in dead last, so despite the expert talk, not a lot of backup to it.
TBONE won, your team was awful.
The only time I go away from my rankings is if it's a positional issue - ie QB is highest ranked but I have a QB already, or I know I'm much higher on that player than everyone else and I'm willing to gamble that he slides to my next pick.