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Mike & Mike Under/Overs on the Giants

UCONNGiantFan : 8/22/2014 8:03 am
This morning, Greenburg and Chris Carter flipped through the Vegas under/over odds for every NFL team. They shared their predictions for the four teams' odds with which they were most comfortable. Of all 32 teams, they decided to make predictions for the following teams:

49ers Under 10.5

Eagles Over 9

Pittsburg Under 8.5

Giants Under 8

They both agreed that the Giants' offense has looked terrible this preseason (I think we all can agree here). They acknowledged that it make take a few weeks for the team to fully implement the new offense, though at the same time, if the offense doesn't get going until week 6, we may be in the same position we were last year-- on the outside looking in.

My immediate emotional reaction was to explode, disagree, call them idiots and move on thinking the Giants might snag ten wins somehow. While I still think that's possible (with much improvement), I'm now thinking I can't argue with their prediction. We've looked dreadful and the regular season is just two weeks away. Thus far, the Giants have looked like a 6 or 7 win team. Hoping they show us more tonight against the Jets.
Thoughts? Reactions? Rants?




You lost me...  
rptl530 : 8/22/2014 8:06 am : link
at Greenburg and Chris Carter.
They could be right.  
Tittle 9 20 64 : 8/22/2014 8:10 am : link
But then again, when has Chris Carter ever said anything positive about the Giants.
mac will  
SBlue46 : 8/22/2014 8:15 am : link
Adjust..not like kg.....our D And running game
will prevail.. we may have close games at
1st...but we have players
bossman, in all seriousness,  
Wuphat : 8/22/2014 8:21 am : link
would it kill you to just once submit a post that uses complete sentences? I'm not asking you to do it from here on out. I just want to see if you can do it at all.
8 is the right market...  
hitdog42 : 8/22/2014 8:21 am : link
to be honest if the schedule were more like recent seasons i would set it at like 7.5
and then pay the over as a hopeful fan while realizing it might not be the smartest trade.
More Offensive  
Bernie : 8/22/2014 8:29 am : link
was CC comparing the Giants to a dirty diaper. Until the O-Line gets some cohesion and they develop another receiving option to Cruz, the offense is going to struggle. My own opinion is that this was/is a 2 year rebuilding project. We shall see.
I said 8-8 a few weeks ago  
rebel yell : 8/22/2014 8:38 am : link
and that was being optimistic. The way the offense has looked to this point, I'd be very happy and a bit surprised with 8 wins.
to be fair, Carter has been a Giants supporter the last few years  
Ben in Tampa : 8/22/2014 8:40 am : link
Specially, how much he likes Coughlin and the culture he brings to the organization.
How can anyone get mad  
UConn4523 : 8/22/2014 8:41 am : link
at an 8 win or under prediction? I'd say it's completely fair.
carter also said  
RicFlair : 8/22/2014 8:44 am : link
while talking about the west coast offense how we need receivers who can get yards after the catch. specifically said that is not Cruz's game, Cruz isn't a YAC guy and hes just a run a route guy.


That seems very far off to me.
It's Mike Greenberg and Cris Carter  
PSIMMS 22-25-268 : 8/22/2014 8:44 am : link
and neither is a fan of the Giants. Carter still thinks his Minny team was better than the Giants team which gave them a 41-0 beatdown in the 2000 NFC Title Game. That being said, I wouldn't argue with anyone who thinks we will go under 8 though I am hopeful we have a better season.
I can absolutely see betting the under on the Giants  
Deej : 8/22/2014 8:57 am : link
I havent studied the schedule, but this team doesnt look good. But it strikes me as a suckers bet to go under on the Giants as one of your 4 most confident o/u's. The TC era Giants are wildly inconsistent. They still have a coach and QB who have HOF arguments to make. I wouldnt bet the house for or against any Giants season in August.
RE: carter also said  
UConn4523 : 8/22/2014 9:10 am : link
In comment 11818840 RicFlair said:
Quote:
while talking about the west coast offense how we need receivers who can get yards after the catch. specifically said that is not Cruz's game, Cruz isn't a YAC guy and hes just a run a route guy.


That seems very far off to me.


That makes no sense. How many 65+ yard TD's does he have?
I'd bet the under  
Mendenhall : 8/22/2014 9:12 am : link
and hope that I'm proven wrong. If they do stink at least I have a winning bet to offset the depression of another bad season.
I'm a pessimist by nature,  
Gman11 : 8/22/2014 9:22 am : link
but I think this defense can be a lot better than what it has been the last couple of years and can possibly steal a couple of games.

(Going by memory) I think 4 of the first 6 games are against teams that had losing records last year. If they can come out of that with some wins until the offense gets in gear then they might do some damage in the second half of the season.
The both took the under on the Niners and 10 and 1/2  
jeff57 : 8/22/2014 9:26 am : link
I just don't see that, despite their poor preseason play. They have too much talent on both sides of the ball.

I agree with taking the under on the Giants though.
We can have a winning season with only one formula:  
SGMen : 8/22/2014 9:35 am : link
1. Eli can't turn the ball over. Jennings is NOT a fumbler at RB. Win the turnover battle.
2. Defense. Even with the injury to Cooper Taylor and the loss of Will Hill (both HUGE blows) I still like this secondary and LB corps. I also think Moore & Hankins will contribute and Kuhn will be better than most think. Kiwi looks revitalized, Ayers is a solid veteran and JPP is finally healthy. This defense could be solid, top 10.
3. Special Teams. I think we'll surprise on specials and be a top 10 unit.
4. Run the ball well and throw short well to Jennings, Cruz and hopefully TE Donnell. We have to run the ball well to tae the pressure off Eli.

If we win turnover battles, run the ball well, throw short well and play solid defense and specials we'll win close games.

Lets face it folks, we had some bad luck with Chris Snee and David Wilson (speed) retiring and losing DB's Will Hill and Cooper Taylor. It is football and we have to hope others step up.
If we play pretty well,  
CT Charlie : 8/22/2014 9:38 am : link
I predict 4 wins in the division. Finding 4 wins outside of it isn't easy, especially with that brutal stretch of Indianapolis, @Seattle, and San Francsico to start November.
I am surprised  
PaulBlakeTSU : 8/22/2014 9:41 am : link
Vegas set the line at 8. I guess it's because there are a lot of Giants fans. I would have set it at 7.
We will know more in about 3-4 weeks  
djm : 8/22/2014 10:05 am : link
Talk to me in September...

August team performance means next to nothing
LOL at the teams they picked  
ZogZerg : 8/22/2014 10:07 am : link
They picked Pittsburgh and Philly because they just saw them last night and watched Philly wipe out Pitt.

That's the "easy way out" by basing 2 of their picks off of the last game they just watched. If they were asked this same question yesterday I can almost guarantee neither of those teams would have been picked by them.
RE: If we play pretty well,  
njm : 8/22/2014 10:07 am : link
In comment 11818928 CT Charlie said:
Quote:
I predict 4 wins in the division. Finding 4 wins outside of it isn't easy, especially with that brutal stretch of Indianapolis, @Seattle, and San Francsico to start November.


If we play "pretty well" I could find 5 wins outside the division. But an 8 for over/under is not unrealistic.
Hard To Disagree  
Jeffrey : 8/22/2014 10:07 am : link
How long does the Super Bowl hangover last? The Giants have been an average team since the last Super Bowl. There is a rebuild going on and until it is completed this team will be up and down.

Eli is a year older and coming off his worst season and a serious injury, while also trying to learn a new system. The RBs are new. The OC is new. There is no starting caliber TE yet.

Cruz is a receiver who needs to have that YAC guy on the field to help him. Beckham is supposed to be that guy, as is Randle. Jernigan is small and really nothing more than Cruz lite. Let's see what they have in the two young guys on the bubble.

The line is the definition of "In transition." Pugh may be a Pro Bowl guard playing out of position. Schwartz is a right guard playing on the left. Beatty is ____--well that is the question? Mosley is another guy drafted by JR on measurables. Still has not translated onto play on the field. Ditto for Brewer. The center is attempting to come back from serious injuries. The rest are journeymen.

Obviously the defense is better, but let's see when the season starts. The excitement on the defense is around the young guys who are starting to develop and the vets who may be regaining their form.

I love the Giants and look forward to their progress but just cannot see how these projections for an 8-8 season are unfair. They may actually be optimistic.
Conversely  
djm : 8/22/2014 10:10 am : link
If the giants were tearing shit up the last 2-3 scrimmages I'd still say talk to me in September.

I'm a bit gun shy based on last year's performance. We all should be but a lot went wrong last year. We will see if they can right the ship. I believe they can. It may not be pretty but you don't have to be pretty to win 10 games. You just have to survive and make some plays in the 4th quarter. Don't lose games. You'd be surprised how many shaky teams find ways to sneak through a season. The giants talent base is far from terrible. Most teams have a shot right now. Giants included.
If the offense gets off  
Doomster : 8/22/2014 10:15 am : link
to a bad start because of this OL, and because Odell can't get out there(Randle is starting to tick me off), they can did a hole they won't be able to climb out of like last year.....they won't be having the luxury of running into another set of games where the opposing qb is missing in action....
Pre-season doesn't mean much,  
Mad Mike : 8/22/2014 10:18 am : link
but I don't really know why it should be different from that prediction. Things can change quickly, but that seems like the most reasonable guess of what will happen.
Last year is last year  
djm : 8/22/2014 10:22 am : link
A lot went wrong. I don't wanna hear how lucky this team got.

I've seen worse teams win ten games. You can't convince me otherwise.

Just about every team has a shot right now. That includes the giants. Get outta the gates and hit a few big plays in Detroit-- maybe a sack forced fumble early on stafford-- and away we go.

You're never as good or bad as one might think. I see a whole lot of blanket statements and absolutes thrown around. I don't buy all of it. I buy some of it-- this team is challenged in some spots no doubt... But it can most definitely compete.
In all honesty  
JoefromPa : 8/22/2014 11:12 am : link
If I were forced to make a bet that would win or lose make a financial difference in my life on over under 8 wins for the Giants; I d bet the under. Where would your bet be?
RE: carter also said  
Bleedin Blue : 8/22/2014 11:14 am : link
In comment 11818840 RicFlair said:
Quote:
while talking about the west coast offense how we need receivers who can get yards after the catch. specifically said that is not Cruz's game, Cruz isn't a YAC guy and hes just a run a route guy.


That seems very far off to me.


Mmmm okay Mr Carter, Cruz isn't a YAC guy, sure sure!!! Thank arcarsenal for the GIF!!

it is COMPLETELY off -- thats how Cruz did it in 2011.  
mattlawson : 8/22/2014 12:02 pm : link
Now to the larger problem that this illustrates, everyone in the Giants organization apparently decided in 2012 and 13 that Cruz should be a decoy and only try to hit him for big plays over the top.... something he did do in 2012 (think redskins game winning TD) but the YAC is precisely whats been missing the last two seasons -- Cruz caught short passes in 2011 and took them for huge gains, often a 70+ yard TD catch and run. We need to get back to that and I hope this new offense can deliver on that promise.
people forget his YAC threat - they get so focused on the deep ball  
mattlawson : 8/22/2014 12:15 pm : link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_5zpBaJ9V8#t=142

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_5zpBaJ9V8#t=235

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_5zpBaJ9V8#t=399

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_5zpBaJ9V8#t=449
Next  
mitch300 : 8/22/2014 12:30 pm : link
week going to Reno. I was looking online and the payout for over 8 was+150. If they win 8 I get my money back. I will check out the true payout when I get up there. I usually put a c note down.
i'd bet on the giants 8 wins  
djm : 8/22/2014 12:53 pm : link
definitely..

i'd also bet on the steelers to win more games...i trust those teams. if they were to let me down so be it. history shows both teams are relatively reliable.
What's the over/under  
Upstate_Giants_fan : 8/22/2014 4:57 pm : link
on how many times they'll actually talk about sports between the 6-minute commercial breaks?
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