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Eli's first pick - 1.43 seconds

Bramton1 : 9/15/2014 11:56 am
The play was in the first quarter on the Cardinals' 30. Third and eight. Eli was in the shotgun at the 35. Based on the routes I could see, Cruz was the hot read.

Kelly was well-blocked at the time. He was going nowhere. Pugh had stood him up, which usually sounds great, but hurt us on this play.

• Unfortunately, no one besides Pugh blocked especially well. Jerry attempted to block no one. He might have been there to provide support for Pugh, who clearly didn't need any.

• The next closest pass rusher was blocked by Walton, who was in between him and Eli but giving up ground fast (defender was already three yards in the backfield).

• Beatty's man was at the 35 and Beatty was blocking his side when Eli released the pass backpedaling at the 38.

• The Cardinals showed blitz from three linebackers and one corner (Powers). Two of the LBs (Acho and Keiser) backed into coverage. One LB (Foote) and Powers blitzed.

• Foote burst through the gap between Richburg and Beatty, and Richburg didn't touch him (didn't block anyone after that). Jennings had a chance to pickup Foote, who slid right past him. He was at the 36 and closing when the ball was released.

• Powers, who came untouched, was at the 37 and hit Eli as soon as he released the football.

Doing a highly scientific study of starting a stopwatch when Eli caught the snap in the shotgun and stopping it when he released the ball... 1.43 seconds. Add that to Eli backpedaling, and Pugh standing Kelly up, and the ball hit Kelly's shoulder pad, and went straight to Acho.

Think of that for a moment. If Pugh was as shitty blocking on that play as the rest of the line... the ball probably doesn't get tipped at all (although it might have gone straight to Acho regardless, just waist-high instead of shoulder-high).

Even then, had Cruz not stumbled coming out of his cut (Eli had started his throwing motion when Cruz slipped), there's a good chance he's able to get a hand on it. Don't think he would have come down with the catch, but would have at least changed the ball's trajectory (although with the amazing amounts of tipped passes that go straight at defenders, it very well could have gone straight at Keiser instead).

1.43 seconds. Less than a second and a half. That's the amount of time the offensive line gave him.
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As a matter of fact,  
kmed : 9/15/2014 1:19 pm : link
Walton is the only guy who looks to be doing a good job on that play.
Taking the sack  
old man : 9/15/2014 1:20 pm : link
would have only been a 6-8 yard loss; we can afford those.
The pass looks like the closest dumpoff receiver might have been Cruz.
Donnell should have chipped the blitzer; he just shook his hand on the way by.
no one in particular?  
PaulBlakeTSU : 9/15/2014 1:20 pm : link
he went to Cruz, his hot read for that play. Cruz tripped over Donnell and Eli tried to throw it lower to him and it skipped off the lineman's shoulder.

Taking a sack also takes him out of field goal range since the ball would have been downed at the 38 or 39 yard line. Brown hasn't hit a 55 yarder since 2009 at home with the Rams.

If Cruz catches the ball, it becomes a 45 yard field goal attempt.
RE: BillKo  
BillKo : 9/15/2014 1:21 pm : link
In comment 11864180 Matt M. said:
Quote:
I agree a flag should have been thrown when he was blatantly hit out of bounds. but, I think that is a copout excuse. There is really no reason to think we wouldn't have been in the same exact situation, just 15 yards handed to us along the way.


Matt, yeah I know.....I was kinda just throwing that out there becuase I hadn't seen it mentioned.
More importantly,  
kmed : 9/15/2014 1:22 pm : link
throwing the ball away gives us a 47 yard FG attempt. It was a terrible play by Eli and it was a breakdown in protection. Other teams have breakdwowns in protection too, it shouldn't automatically lead to an INT. Bad decision, worse throw.
RE: More importantly,  
Britt in VA : 9/15/2014 1:25 pm : link
In comment 11864205 kmed said:
Quote:
throwing the ball away gives us a 47 yard FG attempt. It was a terrible play by Eli and it was a breakdown in protection. Other teams have breakdwowns in protection too, it shouldn't automatically lead to an INT. Bad decision, worse throw.


Throwing the ball away in that situation likely would have resulted in intentional grounding.
I'm not saying then protection wasn't an issue  
Matt M. : 9/15/2014 1:25 pm : link
or that there wasn't pressure. I'm saying the QB threw the ball directly into a DL's shoulder at the LOS. He wasn't hit as he threw. He had a throwing lane, even if a small one. He threw it too low. Period. If he didn't have a clear lane, then he needs to scramble and/or throw it away.

He threw it into a DLs shoulder. Just read that again. Not a leaping DL. Not an outstretched arm. Just the shoulder of a guy at the LOS.
RE: steve, WTF are you talking about.  
steve in ky : 9/15/2014 1:25 pm : link
In comment 11864188 kmed said:
Quote:
Walton's guy is nowhere near Eli when he throws that ball into a defenders shoulder pads.


I didn't say he was near Eli, but he didn't hold his block at all and that was where the pass was going. He got pushed back five yard in the direction of Eli which took away that passing lane.
RE: RE: steve, WTF are you talking about.  
kmed : 9/15/2014 1:27 pm : link
In comment 11864214 steve in ky said:
Quote:
In comment 11864188 kmed said:


Quote:


Walton's guy is nowhere near Eli when he throws that ball into a defenders shoulder pads.



I didn't say he was near Eli, but he didn't hold his block at all and that was where the pass was going. He got pushed back five yard in the direction of Eli which took away that passing lane.


He got "pushed" 2 yards and was still 5 yards in front of Eli. I fail to see any point that you are attempting to make. Some people just try too hard to remove any or some blame from Eli.
Yeah, I guess having a pssing lane  
steve in ky : 9/15/2014 1:31 pm : link
for a quick short inside pass isn't important.
Pugh  
Csonka : 9/15/2014 1:37 pm : link
in a zone blitz like that, when Pugh's man drops back he should look outside instead of doubling inside. But in this case, even if he picks up the outside blitz, probably same result since Jennings lowers his head and totally wiffs on his middle pickup.
RE: Donnell has got to get a chip on that  
Arcanum : 9/15/2014 1:38 pm : link
In comment 11864050 JCin332 said:
Quote:
blitzing DB and yes it does look like he tripped Cruz..

If he picks him up Eli can roll away from the pressure to his right..


Yup
RE: RE: Why are people shocked when picks are thrown while defenders  
Shockeyisthebest80 : 9/15/2014 1:38 pm : link
In comment 11864182 Jan in DC said:
Quote:
In comment 11864166 Shockeyisthebest80 said:


Quote:


are running free at the QB?



Because it takes bad decision-making and poor technique to throw it to no one in particular instead of taking the sack?


The Giants won Super Bowls because of QBs doing dumb shit because they were getting hit often. Eli has been getting hit by guys like that nearly every game for a season and a half now. I'm not surprised he's making bad decisions, using poor mechanics, and throwing picks when guys are running free at him.

Articles have been written about QB pressures being more important than sacks. They lead to mistakes like the one we saw from Eli.
This play was  
phil fromphilly : 9/15/2014 1:40 pm : link
a reminder of how Eli can still make "rookie mistakes" after more than a decade in the league. Even if Cruz was the hot read Eli just dumped this ball into a lineman's back....

Tired of watching him make poor decisions under pressure. I get that the line is awful but come on, he's a vet, GET RID OF IT! Overthrow someone out of bounds, don't just dump it..
i don't think  
PaulBlakeTSU : 9/15/2014 1:45 pm : link
people realize how little time 1.43 seconds is to drop back, face an unimpeded blitz, see a hot read and have him trip as the QB winds up to rid the ball quickly. There was literally no time to locate another receiver and then overthrow someone out of bounds, and if he did just chuck it out of bounds, it likely gets ruled intentional grounding.
Eli  
blue42 : 9/15/2014 1:48 pm : link
had an entire off season being taught to eliminate stupid throws.That was a stupid throw and he took the blame for it.
He played well yesterday....that's good sign for the Giants.
This place is so predictable..  
JCin332 : 9/15/2014 1:53 pm : link
The point of the OP was he had 1.43 seconds to get rid of the ball..and then it starts a big debate about it was this guys fault no it was this other guys fault..

It was on the OL, TE, and RB who were supposed to block on the play..
.  
Britt in VA : 9/15/2014 1:56 pm : link
Quote:
Eli
blue42 : 1:48 pm : link : reply
had an entire off season being taught to eliminate stupid throws.


I don't think they spent the offseason "teaching him how to eliminate stupid throws". He spent the offseason being taught a new offense.

Guys don't think about making a stupid throw or not. They go through a process in their mind, make a decision, then act on it.

I don't know how you can teach somebody to just weed out and eliminate stupid throws.
It Is So Frustrating To See  
Trainmaster : 9/15/2014 1:58 pm : link
another team get to the QB in under 1.5 seconds with a well designed blitz that caused missed assignments and forced a turnover and virtually all Fewell's blitzes get picked up with no sacks and little pressure.
keystone cops  
djm : 9/15/2014 2:03 pm : link
this team is poorly coached right now. Too many breakdowns and mental errors and not enough star power talent to hide those weaknesses.

No room for error. And this team makes a lot of errors.

They have 14 games. 14 games to shore up the mental aspects and play some fucking NFL football. 14 games or it's curtains for Coughlin, Fewell and the OC who shall remain nameless until his offense actually plays like an NFL offense.
RE: i don't think  
BillKo : 9/15/2014 2:11 pm : link
In comment 11864273 PaulBlakeTSU said:
Quote:
people realize how little time 1.43 seconds is to drop back, face an unimpeded blitz, see a hot read and have him trip as the QB winds up to rid the ball quickly. There was literally no time to locate another receiver and then overthrow someone out of bounds, and if he did just chuck it out of bounds, it likely gets ruled intentional grounding.


Excellent analysis. Until the OL blocks it correctly, this type of stuff is going to happen whether it's the QB or the backs.
Eli should have taken the sack  
bignygfan : 9/15/2014 2:13 pm : link
on this play.

If he takes more sacks like Aaron Rodgers, we don't have this discussion.
he takes the sack  
PaulBlakeTSU : 9/15/2014 2:18 pm : link
and the Giants are punting. he airs it out of bounds, it's likely grounding and another punt. The interception was returned to the Arizona 29. Given the way our special teams have been playing, it would not surprise me if a punt resulted in a touchback, potentially leading to only a difference of 9 yards of field position.

Again, he had absolutely no time to throw and tried to readjust his throw to Cruz when he tripped and the lower throw riccocheted off a lineman's shoulder for an interception.

I would argue that an interception in that case was unlikely, and so in such a short time, I don't even mind trying that throw (for an incompletion or a short catch). It was the only chance the Giants had to put points on the board.
We micro-analyze INT's too much.  
Britt in VA : 9/15/2014 2:19 pm : link
.
RE: We micro-analyze Eli too much.  
dep026 : 9/15/2014 2:21 pm : link
In comment 11864347 Britt in VA said:
Quote:
.


Fixed.
GIANTSr01 at 12:55  
VanPelt/Manning#10 : 9/15/2014 2:32 pm : link
has it right as far as I can see (except I don't think the Beatty issue really was a factor).

Quote:
The 2 guards blocking no one were because they had to account for the LBs showing blitz that then backed off. Looking at the 2nd gif, my (amateur) opinion is that the OL got their assignments correct. The problems were:

1. Donnell missing the chip on the DB
2. Jennings whiffing on his block
3. Beatty get beat
that gif is so horrendous but it's interesting to watch.  
Del Shofner : 9/15/2014 2:49 pm : link
We had six guys blocking (not counting Donnell) and only two of them actually blocked anyone.
I'm not sure he was adjusting the throw  
Matt M. : 9/15/2014 2:56 pm : link
or just made a bad throw. If it is the former, it is less egregious. If it is the latter, if there is no lane to throw, then don't make the throw.
Eli needs to take the sack or  
giantgiantfan : 9/15/2014 3:33 pm : link
throw the ball away. When he doesn't do this he throws picks.
Eli  
Mighty : 9/15/2014 3:45 pm : link
absolutely made the right decision. He had multiple defenders bearing down on him. At that point He cant take the sack because it would have essentially put them out of field goal range. It was too late to try and locate someone else to "overthrow" and throw it away. With his running back completely whiffing on his block leaving the man directly between Eli and the RB he cant throw it away at the RBs feet. His hot receiver would have been open if he didnt stumble. This is a 5'11/6' receiver running shallow behind a much taller O and D line. It was a very small window and the throw was low. Good decision that needed a better throw.
The point of a hot read is to throw it there when the D blitzes  
PatersonPlank : 9/15/2014 4:37 pm : link
The QB takes a leap of faith that the receiver will be ready. With 1.43 whopping seconds its hard to get set and throw the perfect pass. There isn't a QB in the business who could deal with a 1.5 second pocket.
Another,  
Doomster : 9/15/2014 10:01 pm : link
bad Eli pass on a short throw....not his forte....
that pick is more on Cruz than Eli  
oipolloi : 9/15/2014 11:45 pm : link
watch the third gif and you will see him duck when he sees the ball coming at him. Now, it is a human instinct to duck when you see an object come at your head. But a WR can't do that.

Eli did not want to take the sack because it would have taken the team out of FG range.

Also, I don't like a hot read that has the WR breaking off the route inside and the TE running down field. It should be the opposite. Put Cruz one on one with a DB. That way you potentially make them pay for blitzing. Even if Cruz catches that ball, it's a three yard gain.

So I would place the blame as follows (in order):

1. OL
2. Play design
3. Cruz
4. Eli
The people who say it was 100% on Eli  
Bramton1 : 9/16/2014 9:13 am : link
are the same people who say you can't take a sack there when it takes them out of field goal range. They are also the same people who would put the blame on Eli if he threw the ball away if he intentionally grounded the ball (Donnell might have been running a post, there's no way Elli could have gotten the ball that deep the way he was forced to throw on that play. The wideouts, I don't know how deep they were, they disappeared from the picture. Jennings was screened by Foote, and any attempt to get it near Jennings probably would have resulted in a pick six.

Note that it was 1.43 seconds from getting the snap to releasing the ball. The time he had to assess the pressure and start his throwing motion was probably closer to one second.

Not saying Eli was 0% at fault here. It's a tough situation to be in, but we pay him to make those kind of throws. But it's hard to not assign most of the blame to the blocking.
What  
Percy : 9/16/2014 11:07 am : link
oipoloi said. The film is fascinating and revealing. Glad it was posted and appreciate the analysis of it by all.
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