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NFT: Yankees Day 1 of the Offseason Thread

Dunedin81 : 9/29/2014 10:20 am
A million questions:

Where do we go from here?

Does Brian Cashman come back?

Does Kevin Long come back?

Who is the starting shortstop for the 2015 Yankees?

Is Alex Rodriguez a part of this team?

Will Nova be healthy enough to contribute before the ASB?

Is Tanaka really healthy or is he a cut fastball away from Dr. James Andrews?

Does David Robertson come back?

On whom will we squander our 2015 first rounder?

Does Refsnyder or Pirela win a roster spot out of ST?

And...go!
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Apparently they considered sending him to the AFL  
Greg from LI : 10/2/2014 11:43 am : link
But decided to take it easy on his shoulder instead. He will be 100% for training camp.
Tomas declared free agent today.  
sinctybldh : 10/2/2014 1:05 pm : link
if he costs 7 years/100 mill do you think Yankees should sign him?
RE: Tomas declared free agent today.  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 1:14 pm : link
In comment 11895494 sinctybldh said:
Quote:
if he costs 7 years/100 mill do you think Yankees should sign him?


It's not my money. He apparently has a $75 mil offer already. Unless his name is Spanish for Kei Igawa I'd be happy to see him signed.
I don't think they have much of a choice  
Greg from LI : 10/2/2014 1:21 pm : link
They have to find bats and there aren't many appealing FA options
It's not my money  
BeerFridge : 10/2/2014 1:30 pm : link
Not in love with Tomas' swing but he's got a lot of power.
...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 2:34 pm : link
Lohud Yankees Blog þ@LoHudYankees · 1m1 minute ago
Hit in the face by a pitch late last month, 3B Eric Jagielo will miss Arizona Fall League. Dante Bichette Jr. will take his spot. #yankees

...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 2:52 pm : link
Chris Cotillo þ@ChrisCotillo · 5m5 minutes ago
Source: Yasmany Tomas has not yet received any offers from clubs, despite some reports that he has.

I don't think Tomas has any plate disc.  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 2:57 pm : link
and he won't learn it while Girardi is manager. He's basically O'Brien with a position to play, and who wants all those outs?
Phil  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 2:59 pm : link
Did you see Gordon Blakely left for Atlanta? They asked for permission to talk to him so I don't know that this was tantamount to a firing, but it's another shakeup on the prospect side of things.
Jim Callis on Yanks Instructs notes...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 3:03 pm : link
includes a lot of praise for Mateo, Severino and Torrens and some positive mention of Cale Coshow and Jonathan Holder.
Link - ( New Window )
we're getting loads of outs anyway  
Greg from LI : 10/2/2014 3:32 pm : link
Might as well get some power with them
Tomas would immediately be our top OF prospect at 23  
BeerFridge : 10/2/2014 4:01 pm : link
plate discipline or not.
i don't dig the cavalier  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:22 pm : link
attitudes toward plate disc. Did McCann not suck enough for some you this year?

As for Blakely, I think he's been phased out over the years. So it doesn't surprise me that he's gone elsewhere.
I don't like it either, but as light as this lineup is on power...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 4:27 pm : link
you almost take the plunge and hope that you can coach some patience into him later. Especially with this lineup, if he shows a modicum of power he is going to see a lot of balls outside the zone anyway.
I'd like plate discipline too  
Greg from LI : 10/2/2014 4:28 pm : link
But they need some contact and power, as well. McCann's problems go way beyond plate discipline, and even beyond the goddamned shift (which needs to be eradicated from the face of the earth). He just doesn't make much hard contact anymore.

I'm not head over heels for Tomas, but there aren't a lot of appealing alternatives. They painted themselves into a corner by signing Ellsbury to that ridiculous deal. Beltran's close to cooked. Judge is a couple of years away.
They also say his arm isn't really good for RF  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:31 pm : link
just scares me. Moncada seems like the better bet was we have holes at SS and 2B and he could fill one.
what's this comment on katoh?  
sinctybldh : 10/2/2014 4:35 pm : link
Jesse (Oregon): I know they represented well on this list, but were there any other Yankees after Severino, Judge, and Clarkin in consideration for the top 20?
J.J. Cooper: Scouts liked Tyler Wade as a sleeper SS prospect and some were impressed with Miguel Andujar, but wondered about his defense at 3B. Andjuar’s arm would play in right field or even maybe on the mound, so he’s interesting in a number of ways. It was a very small look but Nick Rumbelow impressed before moving up and Brady Lail is a useful sinkerballer. The less said about Gosuke Katoh, the better.
Katoh didn't hit much this year and struck out a ton  
Greg from LI : 10/2/2014 4:39 pm : link
But still got on base at a pretty good clip and was young for the SAL. Not a good year, but I think it's a bit early to bury him yet.
Giving up on Katoh because he struggled this year...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 4:42 pm : link
would be dumb. He was very young for the level, his Ks are a huge problem but his defense is fine, he is fast and he has a little bit of pop (and FWIW he still OPSed .671 as a 19 year old in Low A). Part of it is him being passive rather than merely patient, the Cito Culver problem. Take too many pitches and you start getting in pitchers' counts; it works at GCL, it doesn't work with pitchers who throw strikes. He made changes to his approach, the K's didn't disappear but his BA in June and July was respectable (though it tailed off again at the end of the year).
Miguel Andujar  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:43 pm : link
is the goods.
I like Katoh  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:43 pm : link
too.
I've been thinking about advanced metrics  
wigs in nyc : 10/2/2014 4:46 pm : link
and wondering how statistics skewed during the steroids era may not mean the same things anymore.

I'm admittedly ignorant- I've never read Bill James or even Moneyball for that matter, but I can't shake the idea that the walk/power combo that advanced metrics seem to support may have equated to wins most within the steroid bubble.

I don't mean to devalue OBP at all, I'm not even necessarily speaking to anything topical- I'd just love to get a take on this from you guys- my best opportunity for thoughtful baseball discussion anywhere.
I am surprised  
sinctybldh : 10/2/2014 4:46 pm : link
Andujar didn't make the top 20. He did really well over the second half of the season.
RE: Miguel Andujar  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 4:48 pm : link
In comment 11895813 Phil in LA said:
Quote:
is the goods.


Andujar is an excellent prospect and destroyed the SAL the last two months of the season, but his OPS was only .036 higher than Katoh's, without the speed game. It's a perception issue. Don't get me wrong, I like Andujar better than Katoh and I expressed reservations about Katoh last year when everyone else was all about him, but it is interesting to see how one season can be seen as an unmitigated disaster and the other as a resounding success when in different ways they both showed promise.
RE: I am surprised  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 4:50 pm : link
In comment 11895821 sinctybldh said:
Quote:
Andujar didn't make the top 20. He did really well over the second half of the season.


I think it was an omission, but the SAL Top 20 is extremely talented. Some of these leagues the bottom half of the Top 20 consists of guys who might be even money to be big leaguers, while this one has at least twelve guys who will be Top 100 prospects in baseball next year or the year after.
wigs  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:53 pm : link
the Yanks have always won with walks, homers and extra DP's on defense. Look at the OBP's of guys like Ruth, Lou, Mickey, DiMag, Keller, Coombs, etc. Walks have always been the Yankee way.
I think Katoh tired himself out  
Phil in LA : 10/2/2014 4:55 pm : link
trying to get back to even over the second half of his season.
A couple names to remember from Instructs...  
Dunedin81 : 10/2/2014 10:04 pm : link
Andujar is impressing, and of the 7/2 guys Juan De Leon and Hyu-Jun Park have been noticed. On the mound Domingo Acevedo has impressed (he is already stateside), as has 17-year old Alexander Vargas. Anyelo Gomez is a deep sleeper (will be 22 on Opening Day) but he has drawn some pretty rave reviews.
Considering how Detroit's pen is looking  
sinctybldh : 10/3/2014 3:41 pm : link
I think it is a good bet that The Yankees will be getting their first round pick when they sign Robertson to a huge contract. That is just a prediction from me.
RE: Considering how Detroit's pen is looking  
mitch300 : 10/3/2014 4:56 pm : link
In comment 11897402 sinctybldh said:
Quote:
I think it is a good bet that The Yankees will be getting their first round pick when they sign Robertson to a huge contract. That is just a prediction from me.

Considering Detroit's pen, I woild not let him go. It proves you cannot have enough pitching in the bullpen. Starters seem to only go 7 innings if that. Without a bullpen your not going to win many games.
The devastating "walk"  
HomerJones45 : 10/3/2014 6:14 pm : link
Of all the foolish conclusions of the Jamesian philosophy, the exaltation of the walk is #1.

Let's look at the top 10 teams in terms of walks this season in MLB: Oakland, Minnesota, Boston, Tampa, Pittsburgh, Dodgers, Nationals, Mets, Cleveland, Toronto and Miami. Only 4 of those teams made the playoffs and two of them were knocked out in their first playoff game.

If you want a correlation between runs scored and anything, it's batting average. 7 of the top 10 run scoring teams were also in the top 10 in BA. Minnesota and Washington were each in the top 10 and they were just out of the top 10 in BA at 11 and 12. Oakland was the aberration finishing in the top 10 in runs but 21st in BA. They were #1 in walks in #29 in strikeouts.

So, it is possible to improve offensive performance over the season by walking if you devote your team to it and single-mindedly acquire the players to carry out the philosophy, but the traditional route of hitting the ball is a more likely route.

The Yankees didn't score any runs because they had too many holes in terms of BA in the lineup and not because their plate discipline was bad.
A simple  
Rob in NYC : 10/3/2014 7:42 pm : link
Point continues to elude Homer. How many years running now?
unbelievable  
Phil in LA : 10/3/2014 7:53 pm : link
.
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