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NFT: Part II - Frontline "The Rise of ISIS" tonight on PBS

njm : 10/28/2014 3:16 pm
10:00 on Channel 13 NY, not sure about elsewhere.

Part I was broadcast last week and covered 2003-2009. Scathing towards many, Rumsfeld, Brenner and Maliki in particular. About the only person who came out looking good was Petraeus. Critical of the new administration as well. Part II will take it from 2009-14.

Should be worth the watch.
Thank you  
Sec 103 : 10/28/2014 3:31 pm : link
.
I don't know that I have ever heard anything good about  
dangerousrappingfrog : 10/28/2014 3:56 pm : link
Rumsfield. Ever.
RE: I don't know that I have ever heard anything good about  
Coughlin's Rules : 10/28/2014 4:16 pm : link
In comment 11945228 dangerousrappingfrog said:
Quote:
Rumsfield. Ever.
try google and then hide your embarassment for this comment
mistake to get into it  
bc4life : 10/28/2014 6:22 pm : link
mistakes once we were into it and mistakes made getting out of it.

1st part was pretty fair assessment - basically talked about key decisions, bad and good, that had significantly consequences.
Looking forward to the sequel,  
MOOPS : 10/28/2014 7:58 pm : link
"The Fall Of ISIS".
MOOPS  
Headhunter : 10/28/2014 8:02 pm : link
In 2024 coming to a theater near you
...  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 10/28/2014 11:01 pm : link
As usual with Frontline, extremely well done.
seems like a series  
bc4life : 10/29/2014 4:52 am : link
of decision points and both administrations failed to listen to key advisors.
RE: ...  
Sec 103 : 10/29/2014 7:09 am : link
In comment 11945887 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
As usual with Frontline, extremely well done.

Absolutely!
The common mistake of both administrations  
njm : 10/29/2014 8:33 am : link
Maliki. And after watching both parts it's stunning how inept both were in dealing with him.
This sounds interesting  
sb2003 : 10/29/2014 8:40 am : link
I'll have to see if Part I is available on demand.
sb  
bc4life : 10/29/2014 9:39 am : link
not sure about your service but we can't get pbs on demand. you can buy the dvds though.
RE: sb  
Dunedin81 : 10/29/2014 9:42 am : link
In comment 11946183 bc4life said:
Quote:
not sure about your service but we can't get pbs on demand. you can buy the dvds though.


PBS is available through Amazon Prime if you're a member.
It's on the Internet...  
manh george : 10/29/2014 10:38 am : link
at the link.
Link - ( New Window )
Spoiler alert.  
manh george : 10/29/2014 10:42 am : link
Although Frontline tends to lean slightly left, it beats the crap out of the Obama Administration for a variety of bungles:

--Accepting Maliki's governance with no pressure back, despite innumerable examples of incompetence, paranoia, and brutal behavior toward Sunnis.

--Not being willing to give any aid to more "moderate" foes of Assad.

--Being very timid and tepid when warnings of ISIS's strengthening became widely available.
much as I despise the administration  
Greg from LI : 10/29/2014 10:56 am : link
That second point is a crock. There are no good guys in Syria other than maybe the YPG. There are shifting factions of anti-Assad forces of varying levels of brutality. There aren't bright lines separating most of these guys, whether or not they are allied at any particular point in time.

The only group in this mess I'd bother arming and supplying would be the Kurds. The time has long since come to completely reassess what our strategic interests in the region are. Creating a stable, friendly Kurdistan out of northern Iraq and eastern Syria would be more beneficial to us than continuing to pretend that Turkey is a legitimate ally of ours. The Kurds are the only one of the warring factions that isn't prone to genocidal tactics. They're no angels, but they don't do ethnic cleansing, and they're generally pro-West and civilized. They deserve our help.
RE: Spoiler alert.  
njm : 10/29/2014 10:58 am : link
In comment 11946332 manh george said:
Quote:
Although Frontline tends to lean slightly left, it beats the crap out of the Obama Administration for a variety of bungles:

--Accepting Maliki's governance with no pressure back, despite innumerable examples of incompetence, paranoia, and brutal behavior toward Sunnis.

--Not being willing to give any aid to more "moderate" foes of Assad.

--Being very timid and tepid when warnings of ISIS's strengthening became widely available.


Manh - It does lean left, but it beat the crap out of both administrations in this series. Part 1 was predominately the Bush Administration's turn when they highlighted:

* After a successful "light and fast" strategy for the fighting they foolishly tried the same with respect to the occupation.

* Took the de-Baathification policy WAY too low on the totem pole with respect to government administration leaving the country without even marginally competent governance.

* Had no plan to deal with the army, even if it meant giving them severance pay, leading to a ready made, combat trained resistance ready to go.

* Bungled dealings with Maliki, which is a theme of the show from the first time we see him until the final minutes.
Frightening stuff  
weeg in the bronx : 10/29/2014 11:09 am : link
People who call teh shtos aroudn the world are petty and shortsighted. One thing I found interesting was the revlation that US agreed to air strikes once big oil intersts in Kurdish areas were threatened. So its now a war for oil? sarcasm off.
In many ways, to me, Paul Bremer is the biggest culprit in Iraq  
Greg from LI : 10/29/2014 11:11 am : link
I wonder how things might have been different had Jay Garner kept the job.
RE: much as I despise the administration  
Dunedin81 : 10/29/2014 11:33 am : link
In comment 11946358 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
That second point is a crock. There are no good guys in Syria other than maybe the YPG. There are shifting factions of anti-Assad forces of varying levels of brutality. There aren't bright lines separating most of these guys, whether or not they are allied at any particular point in time.

The only group in this mess I'd bother arming and supplying would be the Kurds. The time has long since come to completely reassess what our strategic interests in the region are. Creating a stable, friendly Kurdistan out of northern Iraq and eastern Syria would be more beneficial to us than continuing to pretend that Turkey is a legitimate ally of ours. The Kurds are the only one of the warring factions that isn't prone to genocidal tactics. They're no angels, but they don't do ethnic cleansing, and they're generally pro-West and civilized. They deserve our help.


Ironically the units that actually carried out the Armenian Genocide were largely Kurdish. But otherwise your point is taken.
David Ignatius....  
njm : 10/29/2014 1:39 pm : link
unintentionally adds a post script.


Link - ( New Window )
When an essential employee is totally incompetent...  
manh george : 10/29/2014 1:50 pm : link
as in Bremer's case, look to the appointerm not the appointee. Bremer was as good as his intellect permitted him to be. Bush appointed him--with broad support from his senior advisers. No one said "no," that I am aware.


The big negative about Obama's decision-making in Iraq, I think, is that so many smart people were warning him about Maliki, and Maliki's actions, and he did nothing. In terms of long-term global impact, possibly his worst set of decisions, and no one can say he wasn't widely warned. Frontline suggests strongly that part of the problem in that relationship was really awful signalling that Maliki took as permission to behave as he did.
'Dealing' with or 'pressuring' Maliki  
Overseer : 10/29/2014 2:18 pm : link
bears and would ever bear about as much fruit as 'dealing' with Sharon Stone in Casino. That is to say, none. She is crazy, irrational, and not open to reason. The only logical course is to not get involved with the person in the first place. Or - do as you largely did up until 2003 when ideology interrupted your MO - bribe/blackmail her into submission.

As for Obama, he's always resisted being a war president despite the fact that he patently is one, but when you're facing an out of control conflagration, you don't waste time/resources saving that building (you can't). You endeavor to prevent it from spreading. Mixed results there, of course, but we wasted enough time trying to save a building that was so obviously unsalvageable.
By the way, Frontline doesn't 'lean' left  
Overseer : 10/29/2014 2:20 pm : link
it's decidedly left. Not universally to the same degree (they are often made by independent outfits before being cleared by WGBH), but notably.

Doesn't mean they're not mostly compelling and fact-based, however. Death By Fire is a must and I mean must watch.
Overseer  
manh george : 10/29/2014 2:21 pm : link
Frontline, and many of the people quoted, suggested that Maliki would have been at least somewhat susceptible to hard, aggressive public diplomacy from the Administration. That the signalling was all wrong.

That may be incorrect, but it wasn't even attempted.
Overseer  
manh george : 10/29/2014 2:26 pm : link
They are much more consistently left on domestic issues. Some of their work on the financial crisis was good, some pretty awful--and clearly in Elizabeth Warren territory.

On international issues, they tend to be right where they were on this series of two programs--independent, insightful, and hard to pin down as left or right.
Btw, next week...  
manh george : 10/29/2014 2:30 pm : link
their piece is on massive overuse of solitary confinement in US prisons. Looks pretty compelling. The literature I have read and seen on the topic suggests that it just makes prisoners worse, especially a problem for those who will ultimately be foisted back on society, but inhumane in its application in any event.
The Frontline's in my queue  
Overseer : 10/29/2014 2:33 pm : link
not pre-judging the episode. I'm sure it's worthwhile. But heavily skeptical that Maliki was in any way open to reason via diplomacy. He was a corrupt, hardcore Shia partisan who didn't care about the "unity" we were (artificially) trying to instill. Failure was always guaranteed in Iraq, regrettably. He fast-tracked it, though. Not unlike Afghanistan and Karzai.
RE: Btw, next week...  
EmpireWF : 10/29/2014 3:08 pm : link
In comment 11946839 manh george said:
Quote:
their piece is on massive overuse of solitary confinement in US prisons. Looks pretty compelling. The literature I have read and seen on the topic suggests that it just makes prisoners worse, especially a problem for those who will ultimately be foisted back on society, but inhumane in its application in any event.


It originally aired earlier in the year and some of it was tough to watch. Great piece though and it definitely focuses on the dehumanization of solitary on people (most of whom may be able to be rehabilitated back into society).
RE: The Frontline's in my queue  
Dunedin81 : 10/29/2014 3:32 pm : link
In comment 11946847 Overseer said:
Quote:
not pre-judging the episode. I'm sure it's worthwhile. But heavily skeptical that Maliki was in any way open to reason via diplomacy. He was a corrupt, hardcore Shia partisan who didn't care about the "unity" we were (artificially) trying to instill. Failure was always guaranteed in Iraq, regrettably. He fast-tracked it, though. Not unlike Afghanistan and Karzai.


I disagree. I don't see anything about Maliki that suggests he was uniquely incorrigible or not amenable to the right mix of incentives. He probably wasn't as bright as some of the tinpot despots that went before him in the region but his priorities were the same, graft and cronyism. The issue is that the Administration wanted to be done with Iraq and Maliki's resistance gave them a pretty easy out. That's not to say withdrawal was the wrong call, only that this was one potential permutation and it has come to pass.
RE: The Frontline's in my queue  
njm : 10/29/2014 3:34 pm : link
In comment 11946847 Overseer said:
Quote:
not pre-judging the episode. I'm sure it's worthwhile. But heavily skeptical that Maliki was in any way open to reason via diplomacy. He was a corrupt, hardcore Shia partisan who didn't care about the "unity" we were (artificially) trying to instill. Failure was always guaranteed in Iraq, regrettably. He fast-tracked it, though. Not unlike Afghanistan and Karzai.


The show discussed an early meeting between Obama and Maliki where comments by Obama strongly hinted there would be no consequences if Maliki went after the Sunni who was #2 in the government. Hard to believe that didn't have an affect. Maliki and his government were always after $$ and arms. Hard to believe that a threat to turn off the spigot wouldn't have had an effect. And although it wasn't covered last night, it's hard to believe that a threat of providing large weapons to the peshmerga (sp?) couldn't have been used as leverage during the last 12 months.
semi related  
Greg from LI : 10/29/2014 4:05 pm : link
Long piece in the NYT by an American who was held prisoner by the Nusra Front for two years. Harrowing and fascinating.
Link - ( New Window )
He probably wasn't uniquely opposed to bribery  
Overseer : 10/29/2014 4:31 pm : link
ahem, I mean incentives. What was unique was the realm within which he was operating. Namely one where starkly sectarian groups were inorganically thrust together into a democracy. In other words, if he were the PM of a Shia Iraq, he indeed likely could have been coaxed by American prodding (monetarily or otherwise) like so many other ME heads of state over the years. Obviously that's not the Iraq we were going for.

Call me cynical, too, about the prospects for success in any Arab Muslim country. When someone legitimately does make a good faith effort toward real progress, they're either stonewalled or just outright killed. See: Sadat, Anwar. It's pathetic.
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