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New GBN Draft Projection

Emil : 12/18/2014 9:37 pm
Didn't see it posted anywhere, but GBN updated it's draft projection. Giants currently pick #8 and select:

Devante Parker, WR Louisville

I like this pick more than I have liked previous GBN projects as I wasn't sold on Oakman or most of the OTs in the first round.

Parker is 6-3 210, runs in the mid to high 4.4s. An education major who missed seven games this year to a foot injury, Parker has played in only 5 games, but has 35 receptions for 735 yards and 5 TDs. He also dominated FSU with an 8 catch 214 yd performance.

Parker pretty much sounds like everything the Giants hoped Reuben Randle would be, but has not lived up to. CBS sports describes Parker as:

STRENGTHS: At 6'3 with long arms, soft hands and superb leaping ability, Parker is as tough of a receiver to defend as there is anywhere in the country as he utilizes great body control and timing to win any ball thrown in his vicinity regardless of how well-covered he is. After the catch, Parker demonstrates impressive shiftiness despite being a long-strider and has a nice second gear to create distance once he's in the open field.

WEAKNESSES: Parker's initial burst and quickness off the line is only marginal, so he'll need to continue improving with his hands to routinely beat press coverage, and he lacks elite straight-line speed to separate vertically. He's also still developing as a route-runner as he lacks sharpness on cuts, and doesn't always work his way back to the ball, but he has shown steady improvement in this area.

Parker has first-round talent, and will certainly be a consideration there with another season like the last two.

--Derek Stephens (8/18/14)

While you can make a compelling argument that the 1st round pick should be a OL, DL, or Safety. Eli has one legit weapon right now, and Cruz returning to form is not a sure thing at all. Drafting Parker would allow the Giants to take it slow with Cruz, work him back in, relegate Reuben Randle to the #4 slot (or worse), and continue to capitalize on remaining years of Eli's prime.

I would say that if the Giants go WR early, they better use FA to find a Guard or RT.





Link - ( New Window )
How does this keep Eli off his ass?  
Emlen'sGremlins : 12/18/2014 9:50 pm : link
And help get Jerry and Walton out of the starting lineup?
Emlen  
Emil : 12/18/2014 9:53 pm : link
I actually agree with you, the Giants have to keep Eli off his back, but here is what I would do.

You already have significant money invested in the LT, future OC, RG, and RT position. (I assume Schwartz will eventually play RG). Those guys aren't going anywhere for at least two more seasons. I think the Giants are going to find a OG/RT (maybe both) in FA and plug him into the line. You really don't spend a premium pick on a Guard or a guy you expect to play RT, and a Top 10 pick in the draft is a chance to get an impact player.

80% of the line is arguably set for 2015. I really don't see the Giants investing a #1 draft pick in the line. I think Colin from GBN has a similar view.
You have no idea how we address OL  
UConn4523 : 12/18/2014 9:56 pm : link
we will almost certainly sign someone, likely 2 guys to compete for starting jobs in addition to drafting guys. If there's no tackle worth taking at 8, what's the point of taking one? The bust potential is pretty high as well.

I'd love another WR
Fix the OL.  
Red Dog : 12/18/2014 9:59 pm : link
.
You either sign a YOUNG FA OL and let him, Pugh and Richburg  
yatqb : 12/18/2014 10:06 pm : link
develop together, or draft one quite high. Peat is awesome, but trading down and landing a guy who best fits at RT or OG is another way to go. Scherff certainly doesn't merit a top 10 selection.

Lots of holes, but OL, DL, LB and S have to be top priorities either in FA or the draft.
You aren't drafting a C or G from the top ten, especially not this  
Riggies : 12/18/2014 10:06 pm : link
year. If they think Pugh could play inside they could draft a T, but the value/talent might not be there and a team as lacking in talent as this one is can't force picks right now, at any position.

If a WR is the BPA, it is zero problem. The Giants have one offensive weapon right now -- one. They can't bank on Cruz, who wasn't even playing well, dating back to mid last year, before he got injured.
Having 2 cost controlled WRs  
UConn4523 : 12/18/2014 10:10 pm : link
for Eli to try for another titles over the next 3 or 4 years is such an underrated way to go. I'm by no means dismissing how important OL play is but the law of averages has to work one day when bringing in a FA or drafting guys in the 2nd or 3rd rounds (which is plenty high for C and G).

The draft isn't about year 1 it's about the next 3 or 4 years. Not investing a huge chunk of cap in 2 really good WRs would be a massive advantage.
I think I would hate that pick  
lugnut : 12/18/2014 10:12 pm : link
Is Parker better than OBJ? Doubt it. We took OBJ at #12 and we'll probably be around #8 this year, so...

If Peat comes out, I'd love to take him. Not sure of contract/$ implications, but as I've said before, Beatty is or soon will be 31 regardless of whether you like him or not. Peat, especially as an early college departure, could get acclimated over a year or two and take over for the "old" Beatty. Or could play on other side if, as has been suggested, Pugh moves to G.

Other than that, the best DEs and LBs -- our other greatest need, IMHO -- projected near there (e.g., Gregory, Ray, Thompson, Beasley) seem too skinny to me.
I'm thinking Oakman  
Rjanyg : 12/18/2014 10:16 pm : link
Makes sense. I would hope Reese try's to sign Franklin or Iupati in FA. Re-sign JPP and being in another young DE to develope along with Moore. Can't have too many pass rushers. Value for a fist round pick.
Pass  
SGMen : 12/18/2014 10:22 pm : link
Marginal burst off the line for a WCO? Nah.

Do NOT be surprised if the Giants don't go after a top FA wideout.

Yes, we need OL but have to hope Pugh, Richburg come on stronger and Schwartz is healthy next year. Round 2 OG maybe? Round 1, may go defense.
I like Parker  
MookGiants : 12/18/2014 10:23 pm : link
but foot injuries scare me for WR's
Not  
AcidTest : 12/18/2014 10:49 pm : link
even close. Parker is not a top ten pick. No way.

Fowler or Oakman are most likely IMO. I'd prefer Fowler. If he's gone, then maybe Dupree after a trade down.
Enough with the wide receiver talk  
Marty866b : 12/18/2014 11:31 pm : link
We need lineman on both sides of the ball. Games are on and lost upfront. Taking another receiver in the first round is ridiculous.
I don't like guys with  
Bill in UT : 12/19/2014 12:28 am : link
an injury history
Marty, ever hear of UFA?  
David in LA : 12/19/2014 12:48 am : link
You can find OL help that takes less time to develop.
Devante Parker will be a good NFL receiver but  
dpinzow : 12/19/2014 12:53 am : link
don't think he's worth a top 10 pick. I think his upside is about Plaxico's level though so it wouldn't be a throw the remote pick. The only receiver I'd draft in the top 10 if available is Amari because he's a total beast. Otherwise I trade the pick down into the middle of the 1st and grab an OT there, then use the 2nd pick to grab a LB. Depending on where Cleveland's 2 #1s are, we could trade our 1st and 2nd for their #1s (according to the draft value chart) and pick La'el Collins and Benardrick McKinney to kill two birds with one stone
Power wins football games  
Optimus-NY : 12/19/2014 2:57 am : link
OL and DL please at the top of the draft (rounds 1 through 3). TE is also increasingly becoming vital. We see how important the position is in this offense.
you still have to win the physical battles  
jeffusedtobeonwebtv : 12/19/2014 6:09 am : link
Football is still won at the line of scrimmage. That projected draft has on O-linemen going before the Giants at #8, and you and you want to take a wide receiver whose weakness is getting off the line of scrimmage and has a history of foot injuries?

No thanks.
Exactly. You have to be able to run and stop the run  
jeff57 : 12/19/2014 6:26 am : link
2 things the Giants had trouble doing this year. Which is why I like Ronnie Stanley, La'el Collins and Danny Shelton as possible first round picks.
The Giants have OBJ and Cruz  
JohnB : 12/19/2014 6:42 am : link
Why would they draft yet another WR while the OL and the DL need a lot of help, esp the OLine? It make NO sense at all unless Cruz's injury is career ending or career limiting. Other than that, you don't need to spend a high draft pick on a WR. We've all heard "well if Cooper falls". Okay, maybe then.....

The Cowboys OL is making Murray look a HOFer, which he is not. A very good OL will make everyone look much better, including Eli, OBJ, Cruz and the third WR like Parker.

That said, I fully expect Reese to get a FA or 2 for the Oline.
You can't count on Cruz to be near 100%.  
drkenneth : 12/19/2014 7:23 am : link
You don't draft a lesser player to reach for need. Not sure why BBI doesn't get that. If the BPA is a OL, great, if not WR is a need as well.

I expect a big FA OL signing. + a high draft pick.

RE: The Giants have OBJ and Cruz  
drkenneth : 12/19/2014 7:25 am : link
In comment 12042341 JohnB said:
Quote:
Why would they draft yet another WR while the OL and the DL need a lot of help, esp the OLine? It make NO sense at all unless Cruz's injury is career ending or career limiting. Other than that, you don't need to spend a high draft pick on a WR. We've all heard "well if Cooper falls". Okay, maybe then.....

The Cowboys OL is making Murray look a HOFer, which he is not. A very good OL will make everyone look much better, including Eli, OBJ, Cruz and the third WR like Parker.

That said, I fully expect Reese to get a FA or 2 for the Oline.


OBJ- Legit
Cruz- Coming off major knee injury
Parker- He's your #3??? Come on, man. The guy is a 4th at best.
TE is still a ?

I like Parker  
Andy in Halifax : 12/19/2014 7:45 am : link
but I feel Peat and La'el Collins are better prospects and would have taken one of them. Peat would be extremely difficult to pass up imo.
OL  
stretch234 : 12/19/2014 7:50 am : link
Anyone watch NE play this year - Bellichik changed his OL when they sucked and put in R 4th rd pick C Stork and changed the G up - 2 of whom are UDFA and the other a 5th rd pick

GB has been making do with 3 4th rd picks and a 7th rd R at C. Their highest pick - a 1st - is their worst player on the OL

Murray has run like this before, in 2 of his 3 previous years he avg over 5 ypc - w/o Martin. Difference is they are giving him 10 more carries per game to protect Romo's back

This continued notion that you have to have high draft picks on the OL to suceed is total BS, as is that they need to pick an OL just to pick one

Cleveland has 4 OL who have been picked in the top 37 picks and still struggle with pass protection and running the ball

I also do not believe we would draft the above mentioned guy that high coming off a major injury
If going WR,  
bob in tx : 12/19/2014 8:11 am : link
I'd rather have Jaelen Strong. If he played at Alabama he'd be the the first WR picked.
RE: How does this keep Eli off his ass?  
barens : 12/19/2014 8:45 am : link
In comment 12042165 Emlen'sGremlins said:
Quote:
And help get Jerry and Walton out of the starting lineup?


So drafting a rookie offensive lineman will keep Eli off his ass? I'm hoping for the Iowa OT, but really, expecting us to draft someone like a Zack Martin is really wishful thinking.
Remember, UFA will fill urgent holes before the draft  
JonC : 12/19/2014 8:56 am : link
Given that, it makes no sense to look at team needs NOW and try to project the most urgent (perceived) needs will be the same next May. e.g, if you're screaming OL or bust right now your approach is short-sighted.

RE: Cruz

Plan for the worst, hope for the best.

Don't be shocked if NYG drafts a WR in the first few rounds, given Cruz's knee and Randle's lack of development. Even if Cruz returns 100%, we still would have only two solid WRs.

A lot of early assessments pointing to strength and depth at DE, OT, and WR through three rounds.

If that holds true, how would a draft haul of those three look added to the NYG roster in May? It would be an excellent use of limited draft resources, addressing both needs and premium positions. They could add an OG, TE, RB in later rounds, for example.
How so?  
jeff57 : 12/19/2014 8:57 am : link
.
We all know  
gmen9892 : 12/19/2014 8:57 am : link
That Reese likes to sign guys before the draft so his picks become much less of a NEED. What happens if we go out and sign a Torrey Smith or other solid WR. The attention immediately shifts. In a perfect scenario, we sign both a OL and WR and go BPA with the first pick.
RE: RE: How does this keep Eli off his ass?  
jeff57 : 12/19/2014 8:57 am : link
In comment 12042418 barens said:
Quote:
In comment 12042165 Emlen'sGremlins said:


Quote:


And help get Jerry and Walton out of the starting lineup?



So drafting a rookie offensive lineman will keep Eli off his ass? I'm hoping for the Iowa OT, but really, expecting us to draft someone like a Zack Martin is really wishful thinking.


How so?
barens is saying  
JonC : 12/19/2014 9:01 am : link
it's not a safe bet to assume drafting any player means they'll step seamlessly into an NFL starting lineup.
RE: RE: RE: How does this keep Eli off his ass?  
Mike in NY : 12/19/2014 9:04 am : link
In comment 12042443 jeff57 said:
Quote:
In comment 12042418 barens said:


Quote:


In comment 12042165 Emlen'sGremlins said:


Quote:


And help get Jerry and Walton out of the starting lineup?



So drafting a rookie offensive lineman will keep Eli off his ass? I'm hoping for the Iowa OT, but really, expecting us to draft someone like a Zack Martin is really wishful thinking.



How so?


Despite the criticism of Pugh here he has probably had the best career of the 2013 1st Round OL. OL is not an easy position for a guy to come right in and be stellar
No thanks. Priority order should be OL, DL, LB, S  
Victor in CT : 12/19/2014 9:14 am : link
WR would be a dumb move there. I'd try to trade down if the best player left at 8 was a WR
RE: Marty, ever hear of UFA?  
Victor in CT : 12/19/2014 9:16 am : link
In comment 12042302 David in LA said:
Quote:
You can find OL help that takes less time to develop.


Really? Walton, Jerry, Schwartz, Brown, Baas?
I really hope our biggest needs are filled through FA  
sjnyfan : 12/19/2014 9:19 am : link
This draft really doesn't impress me. It's nowhere close to what we're seeing from what looks like an historic 2014 class.
Beyond stupid to draft another WR  
LauderdaleMatty : 12/19/2014 9:26 am : link
In RD 1.
Cap implications down the road and  
LauderdaleMatty : 12/19/2014 9:28 am : link
The never ending investment in one positon group over the rest of the team has hurt this team.

For the life of me the fantasy football mentality just doesn't stop.

How many championships has ATL won? Det. And why is Det even Winn I go now? Because their D is finally stepping up
Just cannot see another WR in round 1.....  
Simms11 : 12/19/2014 9:51 am : link
after drafting an all world receiver last year, there's no need. We do need a good complementary receiver to help OBJ and hopefully Cruz. I don't see Randle as that guy. He is just a lazy, undisciplined receiver IMO. Bring in a taller, move the chains type of vet. Possibly a guy that can take the top off of the defense.
IS HE  
old man : 12/19/2014 10:19 am : link
a mauler, or a good pass blocker?
Some really good things would have to happen in FA to get a Franklin, Bulaga, Iupati to actually be allowed to leave by their current team.
If we could get that to happen, fine; otherwise OL.
RE: Having 2 cost controlled WRs  
Blue Blood : 12/19/2014 10:19 am : link
In comment 12042194 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
for Eli to try for another titles over the next 3 or 4 years is such an underrated way to go. I'm by no means dismissing how important OL play is but the law of averages has to work one day when bringing in a FA or drafting guys in the 2nd or 3rd rounds (which is plenty high for C and G).

The draft isn't about year 1 it's about the next 3 or 4 years. Not investing a huge chunk of cap in 2 really good WRs would be a massive advantage.


This is a smart intelligent rational, thoughtful and insightful post..

It has no place on BBI...

Agree it has to be  
Carl in CT : 12/19/2014 10:24 am : link
OL or DL in the first. If some chance we have a brain fart I would rather have the safety from Alabama then another receiver. With the potential loss of Rolle and no one else in the other spot I could understand that pick. But I want OL or DL
Haha  
UConn4523 : 12/19/2014 10:25 am : link
I'm not saying I'm right, but there's certainly more than just using a 1st round pick on a G to fix your line.

I actually don't know much about Parker. But I'm all for WR, mainly if we have a shot at Cooper. Really don't care if it's me and 4 of my friends blocking if we go into 2015 with Beckham/Cooper/Cruz.

We will have cap to help with the OL. We won't have cap for another top target for Eli, however, which is why I'm not opposed to WR early.
Not antother receiver  
TMS : 12/19/2014 10:45 am : link
in the first round. We will end up with too many WRs like we did in the past. Then2/3 of them never see the field because of the glut. Next thing their initial contracts are running out and we do not know what we have. Reese has done this enough in the past. Hope he has learned. Beckum, Barden,Jernigan, were victims of this policy. Meanwhile our OL and DL depend on UDFA and late picks.
RE: Not antother receiver  
Blue Blood : 12/19/2014 11:02 am : link
In comment 12042641 TMS said:
Quote:
in the first round. We will end up with too many WRs like we did in the past. Then2/3 of them never see the field because of the glut. Next thing their initial contracts are running out and we do not know what we have. Reese has done this enough in the past. Hope he has learned. Beckum, Barden,Jernigan, were victims of this policy. Meanwhile our OL and DL depend on UDFA and late picks.


This is only an issue for Giants fans. Beckum Barden and Jernigan didnt see the field because of the glut at WR.. they didnt see the field because they SUCKED..

Why is it that teams like the Packers. Saints Denver etc etc can go three to four deep at receiver and spend quality picks in doing so.. but when it comes to the Giants its like....

OH NO.. dont get more than two quality receivers.. We have OBJ and a Cruz coming off a MAJOR injury and a sub par Randle and Parker.. thats enough.. we dont need any more receivers..
If we draft top 10  
beatrixkiddo : 12/19/2014 11:05 am : link
You go BPA despite position (with exception to QB). We have needs almost everywhere.

I think they can pick up some solid FA pieces this year in some key areas. One is a FA veteran WR. I want Randall Cobb, if too much grab someone like Torrey Smith. But I would make a run for Cobb, he is excellent insurance if Cruz doesn't return to form, and would be a perfect pairing with Beckham.

I'm not sure the Giants go after a top FA OL again, I just don't see them wanting to invest that much in the OL. While I would love someone like Franklin, I think they look for some other second tier guys to compete with a 2nd-3rd rd OL pick. Schwartz, Beatty, Pugh, and Richburg are good building blocks. get better depth behind them, and a mean OG/RT in this draft and FA.

On defense I would take most people's suggestions of replacing Rolle with McCourty. Unless you can resign Rolle cheap, then get both. They have Berhe, and Taylor as depth. Bring back Thurmond, extend Prince to a long term deal and this secondary remains a strong point.

The market for JPP will be interesting, I think he will do better with a competent DC, but if he prices himself in the same category as Suh, who do you target? I think I try and keep the guy who has been a Giant here. They need to get another LB to play along with Kennard, and bring in a young DT to add to the mix. DE needs depth as well.

OL  
Mike in NY : 12/19/2014 11:08 am : link
As I go back and look at players there is only one OL that I see as being worthy of a Top 10-15 draft pick - A. Peat of Stanford. While Collins I probably have next on my list he is more of a player that I would look at it in a trade down because I think he may be better off being a RT in the NFL and Peat is the only one that screams blue goose LT to me
RE: Haha  
Victor in CT : 12/19/2014 11:12 am : link
In comment 12042604 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
I'm not saying I'm right, but there's certainly more than just using a 1st round pick on a G to fix your line.

I actually don't know much about Parker. But I'm all for WR, mainly if we have a shot at Cooper. Really don't care if it's me and 4 of my friends blocking if we go into 2015 with Beckham/Cooper/Cruz.

We will have cap to help with the OL. We won't have cap for another top target for Eli, however, which is why I'm not opposed to WR early.


Great idea. 4 WRs and no QB would be the worst case result. And you will have mediocrity at best. If they don't have a good OL, they will be on the 7-9 to 9-7 treadmill. No consistency. They'll have some amazing games and numbers against other mediocre teams and lose the tough ones.
I'd be shocked if NYG spent big $ on a S again  
JonC : 12/19/2014 11:13 am : link
Rolle was a pretty unique player and situation, out of character signing for NYG.

Victor  
JonC : 12/19/2014 11:18 am : link
You need to realize there's a good chance they address the OL via UFA, freeing themselves up for the draft.
this regime  
BigBlueCane : 12/19/2014 11:30 am : link
has a very mixed track record of using FA to plug holes.
RE: Victor  
jeff57 : 12/19/2014 11:34 am : link
In comment 12042709 JonC said:
Quote:
You need to realize there's a good chance they address the OL via UFA, freeing themselves up for the draft.


You mean there are other Waltons and Jerrys waiting to be signed by the Giants?
RE: this regime  
Victor in CT : 12/19/2014 11:36 am : link
In comment 12042734 BigBlueCane said:
Quote:
has a very mixed track record of using FA to plug holes.


Thank you BBC. Kareem McKenzie and O'Hara worked out. Baas, Brown, Walton, Jerry, all not so hot. Jury is still out on Schwartz since he didn't really play this year.
Have they done any better drafting OL?  
JonC : 12/19/2014 11:40 am : link
The point is utilizing resources properly. Track record of choices is a different debate.

Draft players, not positions  
Go Terps : 12/19/2014 11:43 am : link
It's amazing that every year there are people that fail to learn that.
RE: RE: Haha  
UConn4523 : 12/19/2014 11:46 am : link
In comment 12042701 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
In comment 12042604 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


I'm not saying I'm right, but there's certainly more than just using a 1st round pick on a G to fix your line.

I actually don't know much about Parker. But I'm all for WR, mainly if we have a shot at Cooper. Really don't care if it's me and 4 of my friends blocking if we go into 2015 with Beckham/Cooper/Cruz.

We will have cap to help with the OL. We won't have cap for another top target for Eli, however, which is why I'm not opposed to WR early.



Great idea. 4 WRs and no QB would be the worst case result. And you will have mediocrity at best. If they don't have a good OL, they will be on the 7-9 to 9-7 treadmill. No consistency. They'll have some amazing games and numbers against other mediocre teams and lose the tough ones.


Re read this post and my other above, both talk about how there's more ways than 1 to fix the O-Line, and that it isn't so cut and dry like you and many other posters make it seem.

Spending the 8th overall pick on the best OL available doesn't equal fixed O-Line. I cannot stress that enough and if you pay attention around the league, you'd realize that.

What I said was that using your $$$ in FA for lineman makes more sense than spending on another weapon for Eli. We don't have this horrific line that BBI likes to talk about so frequently. It certainly isn't good, but Eli isn't getting hit 30 times a game like this board makes it out to be.

Getting a FA Guard is 1 way to address, which in turn allow us to be more BPA focused in the draft. If that happens and Cooper is there, you just can't pass that up.
I think we can all agree  
JonC : 12/19/2014 11:47 am : link
the evaluation process NYG utilizes for OL needs work, and that extends into both UFA and draft choices.

If you don't trust their UFA OL choices, there's no reason to trust their draft OL choices either, thus barking for OL no matter what in the first round is faulty logic.

RE: Enough with the wide receiver talk  
OC : 12/19/2014 11:48 am : link
In comment 12042269 Marty866b said:
Quote:
We need lineman on both sides of the ball. Games are on and lost upfront. Taking another receiver in the first round is ridiculous.


Not so ridiculous. We have OBJ, VC with a blown knee then what?
Also  
OC : 12/19/2014 11:49 am : link
Randle is a goner imo.
The "WR is not a need" talk is silly.  
drkenneth : 12/19/2014 11:52 am : link
The OL needs upgrades, yes. But so do WR, RB, and TE.

If we don't spend a top 10 pick on an OL, it's not the end of the world.

Like Terps said: Draft players, not positions. You don't reach for a lesser player.

And like JonC has said OVER AND OVER- It's very likely at least one OL in free agency.
I want Shaq Thompson  
rasbutant : 12/19/2014 11:54 am : link
but I agree with Reese and not spending 1st rounders on LB's
RE: RE: Enough with the wide receiver talk  
jeff57 : 12/19/2014 11:56 am : link
In comment 12042797 OC said:
Quote:
In comment 12042269 Marty866b said:


Quote:


We need lineman on both sides of the ball. Games are on and lost upfront. Taking another receiver in the first round is ridiculous.



Not so ridiculous. We have OBJ, VC with a blown knee then what?


Yes, the need is there. But will there be a receiver worth taking at 7-10. The only one I see is Cooper. I don't think Parker is a value pick that high.
still early  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 12/19/2014 11:56 am : link
but as of now I like Parker more than White. Parker might even have a higher ceiling than Cooper, but no one is as polished as Coop.
Premature  
Phil from WNY : 12/19/2014 12:02 pm : link
A year ago, this place was abuzz with predictions that Cyrus Kouandjio would go top 10 with many suggesting you could just plug him in at right tackle his first year. He went in the second round to the Bills and sat behind seventh round pick, Seantrel Henderson.

I also recall how David Yankey from Stanford was a sure first rounder - he went in the fifth round, behind teammate Cameron Fleming who went in the fourth.

My point is that it's far too early to fall in love with anyone.
RE: Have they done any better drafting OL?  
Victor in CT : 12/19/2014 12:02 pm : link
In comment 12042770 JonC said:
Quote:
The point is utilizing resources properly. Track record of choices is a different debate.


When they have drafted in higher rounds yes, players have been at least average OLs (Snee, Beatty, Pugh, Richburg). Mid to lower rounds no (Petrus, Brewer, Mosely, McCants). Diehl would be the exception as a 5th rounder.
RE: RE: Have they done any better drafting OL?  
JonC : 12/19/2014 12:04 pm : link
In comment 12042846 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
In comment 12042770 JonC said:


Quote:


The point is utilizing resources properly. Track record of choices is a different debate.




When they have drafted in higher rounds yes, players have been at least average OLs (Snee, Beatty, Pugh, Richburg). Mid to lower rounds no (Petrus, Brewer, Mosely, McCants). Diehl would be the exception as a 5th rounder.


They must come away from a top 10 pick with a much better than average player, regardless of position.

Simply from a CAP viewpoint  
USAF NYG Fan : 12/19/2014 1:33 pm : link
These numbers are rough estimates of course ....

-A top 10 draft pick (any position) will net between $2.5 and $5 Million in 2015.
-A top 10 WR will net between $9 and $16.2 Million in 2015.
-A top 10 G will net between $6 and $8.5 Million in 2015.
-A top 10 C will net between $4 and $8.8 Million in 2015.
-A top 10 RT will net between $4.2 and $7 Million in 2015.
-A top 10 LT will net between $8.5 and $12.2 Million in 2015.

The very best #1 G, C, and RT make less than the 10th best WR. Cruz is the 11th BTW at $8.6 Million.
No Terps what people fail to learn  
BigBlueCane : 12/19/2014 1:50 pm : link
is that valued positions have changed dramatically in the NFL.

RB's and I would argue WR's are becoming easier and easier to replace provided you have a stable and competent coaching staff.

Likewise on defense, the emphasis is becoming more on finding guys who can reliably tackle (which ours cannot do) and/or pass rushers.

As for Jon's question, A lot of people have said that these last 2 drafts have restored their faith in Reese and his ability to scout and evaluate talent. Probably more people have faith in Reese there then they do in Free Agency talent, so let's go where his supposed strength is, the draft.

2015 draft ... just 131 days away  
Colin@gbn : 12/19/2014 2:10 pm : link
Hey guys: Interesting comments as usual. Truth be told making the Giants pick at #8 was one of the tougher choices in this mock (and when we do a mock we try to the best of our ability project who the team would take rather than which player we would take ourselves.) There will be several quality prospects at that point including Scherff, Landon Collins and Oakman among others that would clearly be useful picks that one could make the case for, but none of those guys really screams out 'take me! take me!' as they all have major caveats.

What you can take to the bank though is that the Giants will stick with their board (a much preferable phrase than the oft misinterpreted 'best player available') and in that vein we'd nominate Terps as the MVP (Most Valuable Poster) as in the end quality organizations 'draft players not positions.' Positions do factor in obviously but position almost never trumps talent.

A couple of general points about talent. 1) we are hearing from our sources around the league that there are major issues about both Peat and Fowler that have gotten some mentions here. No question Peat has potential elite physical skill but he was wildly inconsistent this fall, plus he's never had that nasty streak. Meanwhile, Fowler really flashed at times, but 'flashed' is the operative word as I heard one scout say 'he lead the country in taking plays off!). At the same time, I've been told by more than one source that if Parker had played more than the 4 games this fall he would clearly be the #1 receiver in this draft. He isn't quite as explosive coming out of his cuts as Cooper, but he's a much bigger, stronger, more physical receiver with better hands and long speed. Te same sources figure that by the time we get thru the combine and rest of the process that Parker could very well overtake Cooper and come in as the top receiver. Remember at this time last year Beckham was barely a blip on the opening round radar.

The other cautionary note we would make at this time is that there is often something of a disconnect between fans and NFL people as to what they want the draft to accomplish. The average fan in the street, who clearly cares passionately about his team, desperately wants it to get better and the logical, quickest way to get better is to identify the weakest unit and plug in a top draft pick. Most good organizations though tend to approach the draft asking not necessarily what needs fixing but what gets you closer to a championship. Needless to say sometimes those things can be the same, but often they aren't.

And in that regard one can make the case the Giants don't 'need' another possible WR. Indeed, they likely could go into the season with Beckham and hopefully a healthy Victor, along with Randle and Parker as the 3-4 guys and maybe add another vet in free agency and/or the middle rounds of the 2015 draft, and the WR group would be good enough to win with; however, add another possible elite guy out there and the unit could be really scary good and force other teams to really scramble to match-up if they could.

Great stuff, Colin  
JonC : 12/19/2014 2:17 pm : link
I say it every year, you may want to save that post for future pasting here ...
Colin  
Overseer : 12/19/2014 2:33 pm : link
Quote:
The average fan in the street, who clearly cares passionately about his team, desperately wants it to get better and the logical, quickest way to get better is to identify the weakest unit and plug in a top draft pick. Most good organizations though tend to approach the draft asking not necessarily what needs fixing but what gets you closer to a championship. Needless to say sometimes those things can be the same, but often they aren't.

Fair assessment, however I'd note the following:

Eli, by far the most crucial part of this team, is likely to get injured with a continuation of the interior line play that we've seen. This has been ongoing for fully 2 seasons now - remember the Carolina game last season? The Eagles this year? Even the lowly Jaguars were getting major hits on him. He's not Romo or Rodgers who can consistently avoid that big hit.

So while I am all about building toward a championship (a multi-year endeavor, to be sure), I think finding even serviceable protection is urgent. FA, draft whatever. But they can't continue starting the Waltons and Jerrys of the league.
Draft thots redux  
Colin@gbn : 12/19/2014 3:08 pm : link
absolutely overseer; there is no way in the world that the Giants are going to plan to go into the 2015 season with Jerry as the starting RG; it is also hard to imagine that they would plan to go into the next season with Walton as the starting C although they you would have to figure they are likely to bring him back at least for depth. The guess here is that they sign another vet FA OG like Schwartz and at least another veteran swingman like Sean Locklear from a couple of years back. One can also make the case that it wouldn't be the worst thing to happn if they ended up taking Scherff or even a La'el Collins with their #1 pick if there weren't other options. Plug that guy in at RG and give yourself some depth at OT all in one move. However, every position has a marginal utility, ie, what it contributes to winnng games and the marginal utility for interior offensive linemen isn't all that high. In particular, there is almost no difference in a team's 'winability factor' if they have a good, very good or elite OG (although it helps to have at least a good one to start with). Contrast that with a QB; if you have a good QB you are probabaly no better than a .500 team; very good QB maybe the playoffs; elite QB= Super Bowl. Obviously I am generalizing but hopefully one gets the idea. Nice to have an elite OG but you can win just as well with a good one and they can be found pretty readily in free agency at a fair price.

At the same time, my own best guess is that if the Giants had their druthers their #1 priority this off-season would be to juice the pass rush and would go there in a heartbeat with their #1 pick if there was a worthy guy. And while guys like Oakman, Fowler and even Dupree are somewhat intriguing options they come with major caveats.

Also just a final note re Parker. My earlier comments were not meant to be dogmatic in that I don't think for a moment the Giants will or should automatically take a WR like Parker assuming he's even there when they pick. However, its the case to be made to take a big-play threat like him if a) his foot checks out; b) he runs well in pre-draft testing and c) he is in fact in their top-rated box when they do make their pick.
Colin  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 12/19/2014 3:23 pm : link
makes the same point that I made on another thread. Even as late as March last year, Beckham wasn't being considered for the Giants pick.

So for anyone to say this guy or that guy shouldn't be considered for the Giants pick in December 2014 is just downright silly. Guys who we think are first rounders now will not be drafted in the first round (may not get drafted in the second round). And visa versa.

Colin, what do you think of the Miami tackle?
never mind...  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 12/19/2014 3:24 pm : link
just saw that you posted above.
Happy holidays  
Colin@gbn : 12/19/2014 3:30 pm : link
Hey Eric: Best of the season to you and your family. Not sure if I said anything about Flowers buy he's an interesting second round possibility; kind of a poor man's Sherff (with longer arms); plays LT but probably doesn't have quite the feet to excel there at the next level but is a solid run blocker and decent pass blocker who might be just as good a fit at OG. I actually think the OL options might be better for the Giants in that second round should they choose to go that way.
Thanks  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 12/19/2014 3:34 pm : link
Colin!
Eric et al  
Colin@gbn : 12/19/2014 3:40 pm : link
If folks get a chance they should try and watch some of the whatever bowl on ABC tomorrow afternoon at 3:30 as there are a couple of what I think would be realistic Giants 2nd round options going head-to-head in Colorado State LT Ty Sambrailo (#51) and Utah DE Nate Orchard (#8), who led the NCAA with 17.5 sacks this fall.
Colin, are Jalen  
bob in tx : 12/19/2014 3:42 pm : link
Mills and Derron Smith 2nd round safeties and do they fit the Reese mold?
The miami kids  
BigBlueCane : 12/19/2014 7:31 pm : link
do not like AL Golden and Mark Donofrio. Especially the defensive players, they are very likely to shine in a more aggressive scheme Colin.

Flowers is another of Kehoe's guys, you know his track record.
RE: Victor  
LauderdaleMatty : 12/20/2014 12:15 am : link
In comment 12042709 JonC said:
Quote:
You need to realize there's a good chance they address the OL via UFA, freeing themselves up for the draft.


Which scares me because Reese and his staff seem to not be able to hit on FA OL either. not that I trust him or Ross either. They'd pass up Anthony Munoz for a skill position player IMO
Stanley the ND OT  
JPinstripes : 12/20/2014 6:53 am : link
Has Giants written all over him. Very talented kid, he will continue to rise if he declares.
RE: RE: Victor  
section125 : 12/20/2014 7:22 am : link
In comment 12043974 LauderdaleMatty said:
Quote:
In comment 12042709 JonC said:


Quote:


You need to realize there's a good chance they address the OL via UFA, freeing themselves up for the draft.



Which scares me because Reese and his staff seem to not be able to hit on FA OL either. not that I trust him or Ross either. They'd pass up Anthony Munoz for a skill position player IMO


Matt, Reese cannot predict injuries. Baas was a good center that could not shrug the neck injury. Schwartz got the unfortunate toe injury. But the game he played at RT before getting hurt again he looked pretty good for not playing there regularly. I think he will be really good at RG once his toe/ankle heals.
Walton was a roll of the dice, he was s decent C before his rash of injuries. Jerry and Brown were starters the previous year, but still pretty cheap and had they been backups they would be fine.

I think Colin hit the nail on the head about quality interior lineman. Get a good guard, hope for very good. The existing line is nowhere near the disaster last years was and that is with Jerry and Walton playing and Pugh hurt. It is below avg, but can be avg with a decent and healthy LG added to the mix.

Devante Parker had a pretty damn fine game against Florida State.
everyone  
BigBlueCane : 12/20/2014 8:50 am : link
has had a good game against FSU's defense this year.

That's the warning flag.

And Pugh moving inside where he belongs means we still need a RT.
RE: everyone  
section125 : 12/20/2014 9:05 am : link
In comment 12044054 BigBlueCane said:
Quote:
has had a good game against FSU's defense this year.

That's the warning flag.

And Pugh moving inside where he belongs means we still need a RT.


Somewhat true, mostly because of Winston's 3+ INTs per game. Funny how most of the damage was done in the 1st half after his INTs. Most teams didn't do crap in the 2nd half.

No, I'll give the devil his due. Parker looked strong in that game. I'm not choosing any WRs yet.

I don't see Pugh needing to move inside as a requirement to help the line and at his weight, I'm not sure he'll be better there. He is still the best tackle from 2013 class and his feet make him a natural tackle. Of course that would help him as a pulling guard too.
But he can play inside so if a better RT is available fine. If a better LG is available (and cheaper) he stays at RT.
Those pesky facts ...  
Colin@gbn : 12/20/2014 9:30 am : link
... are at it again. The great thing about the internet guys is you can actually look things up. In fact, Parker had 8 catches for 214 yards against FSU. Only one other WR had more than 100 yards this year against FSU and that was 103 yards. In fact, Parker's 71 yard TD reception against FSU was more yards by itself than the leading opposition receiver had total in 8 of the Seminoles 13 games this year. In fact, his AVERAGE yards per catch in that game (26.8) was as much or more than the leading opposition receiver in three of FSU's games.
Oline won't be pick #1  
mrvax : 12/20/2014 10:05 am : link
The Oline guy they draft the highest this year will warm the bench in 2015. If the Giants pick up a very good run blocking guard in free agency, the starters are set.

I'd imagine they grab another playmaker #1 and pick the best best DL and OL available in rounds 2 and 3.

Sounds good to me.
I would love to see Collins (LSU) or Scherff  
hitdog42 : 12/20/2014 10:06 am : link
if we win the last few games and fall out of the top 10.
Both can play a physical RT and we can kick Pugh inside. Our 2 biggest issues are the absence of a Physical RT and our pathetic C play.
those pesky facts  
BigBlueCane : 12/20/2014 10:07 am : link
don't tell the whole story. Go watch those games.

FSU barely survived most of their games due to the competition they faced. They legit lost to ND and got bailed out by the refs.
RE: Eric et al  
Bill in UT : 12/20/2014 12:41 pm : link
In comment 12043391 Colin@gbn said:
Quote:
If folks get a chance they should try and watch some of the whatever bowl on ABC tomorrow afternoon at 3:30 as there are a couple of what I think would be realistic Giants 2nd round options going head-to-head in Colorado State LT Ty Sambrailo (#51) and Utah DE Nate Orchard (#8), who led the NCAA with 17.5 sacks this fall.


I've really liked what I've seen of Kaelin Clay, #8 on Utah. Sr WR/KR/PR. Averaging 17 yards on PR. He'd have better receiving stats if his QB didn't suck.
...  
christian : 12/20/2014 1:30 pm : link
You absolutely have to get a plus player when drafting this high. Absolutely regardless of position.

Bad teams stay bad when they force position and need and forego special players.

The NFL is all about a play making QB and more disruptive players than your opponent.


It's pretty unreal we're this bad with such a good QB. We need several more good players at literally every position.
To be clear, I'm not thinking about Kaelin Clay as  
Bill in UT : 12/20/2014 1:33 pm : link
a high pick, just someone to watch later on
Colorado State LOT Ty Sambrailo is a guy I'm high on  
Optimus-NY : 12/21/2014 2:12 am : link
Him and/ir Fowlers in the 2nd round would make a lot of sense.

Colin: Where is the highest you can see Sambrailo possibly going in this draft? Does he have 2nd half of the 1st round potential (17-32) in your opinion?
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