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NFT: Heyman: Mets & Rockies quiety working on Tulowitzki deal

CromartiesKid21 : 12/19/2014 9:19 am
Quote:
CBS Sports' Jon Heyman reports that the Mets and Rockies "have been quietly discussing" a potential Troy Tulowitzki trade for weeks.
He adds that pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard "is said to be the centerpiece of discussions" of the package that would head to the Rockies. However, FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal says the two teams have talked all offseason but no traction has been gained. A source told him he thinks the chances of the two sides completing a deal are "5-10 percent."


Makes sense as Sundergaard was rumored to be available earlier during the winter meetings. Pending on the additional pieces & if Rockies pick up some of the tab Mets might have their ticket selling centerpiece.
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This really does make a ton of sense for both...  
Italianju : 12/19/2014 9:23 am : link
teams, but until we know how much COL is asking for and if they are willing to pick up any money its hard to guess if its possible or not. Obviously the 5-10 percent comment isnt promising but im guessing big deals like this always start off with a low percentage of completion. As far as we know COL is asking for Noah, Nimmo, Plawecki, etc.. and not willing to pick up any of the remaining money. If thats the case im sure the mets arent feeling confident that a deal is going to happen.
It all comes down to health and prospects for me  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 9:30 am : link
Thor as centerpiece is fine. Gee as another piece also fine. Add in a guy like Reynolds or Plawecki, ok (or their equivalent). But more than that and it starts becoming excessive considering the money they'd also be taking on.

His contract isn't unreasonable and if they're confident he's healthy now, you go for it and don't look back. Even with the injuries he's had 5+ WAR in 5 of the past 6 seasons. But you can't give up 3-4 of your top 5 prospects for any single player unless it's a guy like Stanton.
he's too old and injury prone  
chris r : 12/19/2014 9:40 am : link
at SS to be a piece you can count on moving forward.
Lots of red flags  
gmenatlarge : 12/19/2014 9:42 am : link
Coming off hip surgery, batted .250 away from Coors last year, makes way too much money and over 30. Who cares what he batted at Citi last year, how many games was that. Could be a potential disaster, but I guess when you're desperate ala the Mets...
There's a ton of risk  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 9:47 am : link
but Tulowitzki is one of the best players in the game when healthy and a true MVP candidate. Not too many of those become available, let alone at age 30 on a reasonable contract (basically the equivalent of the deal Hanley just got, except he plays a GG shortstop).

5 WAR+ in 5 of the past 6 seasons. Though if there are any signs of chronic injury you can't do it.
Are the Mets  
Pete in MD : 12/19/2014 9:57 am : link
really willing to add $20 million to the payroll? Maybe if Gee is in the deal, which takes about $5 mil off of the books, and/or the Rockies kick in some money it could happen.
They could trade any combo of Murphy/Colon/Gee  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 10:02 am : link
none of whom are on the books for next year, and would theoretically vacate about 25M dollars from this year's payroll.

It stands to reason Gee would be in the trade since the Rox have been interested in him all along. Trading Murphy somewhere to recoup prospects and save $ would make sense considering they could slot in Flores or Herrera. Colon doesn't make sense to trade since you won't get much back, but if they needed the money for Tulo then so be it.
I really hope  
sjnyfan : 12/19/2014 10:02 am : link
that deal doesn't happen
Reasonable contract?  
gmenatlarge : 12/19/2014 10:03 am : link
ask the Yankees about paying a guy 20 million per for six years when his production is in decline.
I'd do this if I were the Mets  
pjcas18 : 12/19/2014 10:09 am : link
and it wasn't much beyond Syndergaard and COL ate some cash.

So, yeah, a trade in favor of the Mets.

Otherwise they're a SS away from contending with all their prospects still here and I'd see if Flores can be the guy at SS for half a season before dealing thor.

I'm not saying Flores can be Tulo, but he might be good enough.
Honestly I'm happy they're even considering it, though this feels like  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 10:13 am : link
a Jeff Wilpon "see? we're not cheap" leak if there ever was one.

In this type of deal I trust Alderson to appropriately negotiate a good deal, and if the Rox are being unreasonable and it doesn't happen so be it. If the medicals suck, fine. But the 100M shouldn't be the reason this deal doesn't happen. Tulowitzki is worth 200M on the open market if he's healthy, so the contract isn't nuts and is certainly worth the gamble.
This leak  
Shecky : 12/19/2014 10:19 am : link
Did not come from the Mets. They have been as tight lipped as possible all offseason.
.  
arcarsenal : 12/19/2014 10:22 am : link
It's time to make a move.

I've wavered on this a lot but I want Tulo. Go get him. Fucking excite the fan base.

Signing Cuddyer and going home isn't going to cut it. At some point you need to go for it and say "we plan on being a factor this year"

Make it happen.
Not  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:29 am : link
happening per Rubin


NEW YORK -- The Mets and Rockies have engaged in some talks this offseason regarding Troy Tulowitzki, but a well-placed source told ESPNNewYork.com the chances of something ever materializing are 5 percent at best.

No talks are believed to have been overly recent. And an insider said the Mets fans clamoring for a Tulo acquisition would go "bat s---" if they knew the package the Rockies wanted for Tulowitzki.

The comment came in response to a CBSSports.com report about dialogue between the Mets and Rockies. That report acknowledged the chances of a trade between the clubs involving Tulowitzki were "slim."
One  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:31 am : link
of the writers just told me the Rockies want Syndergaard and at least 3 of Matz, Herrera, Nimmo and Conforto + Gee or Niese. Jesus lol
You don't want to be locked into a injury prone 30 year old's contract  
Ten Ton Hammer : 12/19/2014 10:33 am : link
if he (likely) remains injury prone.

Especially since this is a franchise that will say "well we have Tulo. We can't really spend on anything else."

Just know that this is probably THE big move for a while, and if it remains a bad situation, they're completely screwed long term.
.  
arcarsenal : 12/19/2014 10:34 am : link
Well, if they're going to be completely unrealistic.. fuck it.

They can't expect the Mets to give up THAT much. Maybe the price comes down a bit. If not, too bad.
This  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:38 am : link
is a silly quote

"And an insider said the Mets fans clamoring for a Tulo acquisition would go "bat s---" if they knew the package the Rockies wanted for Tulowitzki."

Fans don't go "bat shit" over asking prices. They go "bat shit" over actually giving it up.
.  
arcarsenal : 12/19/2014 10:40 am : link
If Niese and Gee are two of the "three of", I'd probably do it though.

Syndergaard, Nimmo, Niese, Gee and maybe one other piece. That I would do.

If Thor is getting moved I am not moving Matz in the same deal, though. I want to keep Conforto and Herrera as well.
Arc  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:42 am : link
I know what you are saying but the writer specifically said as of now the Niese or Gee part is like a throw-in. They want Thor and 3 "big" other pieces + one of them.
dan  
deboGIANTS : 12/19/2014 10:42 am : link
Is that Jon Heyman you are quoting by any chance??
Syndergaard, Nimmo, Niese, Gee  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:43 am : link
would be a no-brainer but also unrealistic. The Mets would LOVE such a deal. Tulo would only be adding 8 million in 2015 salary in such a deal.
RE: dan  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:43 am : link
In comment 12042634 deboGIANTS said:
Quote:
Is that Jon Heyman you are quoting by any chance??


While I used to speak to Heyman on AIM I haven't spoken to him in a while. I often repeat the story of how his wife bought me an Ipod but no, it was one of the beat guys.
RE: Syndergaard, Nimmo, Niese, Gee  
arcarsenal : 12/19/2014 10:46 am : link
In comment 12042637 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
would be a no-brainer but also unrealistic. The Mets would LOVE such a deal. Tulo would only be adding 8 million in 2015 salary in such a deal.


That's why I'd do it!

It's def unrealistic, though. I just above all would not move Thor and Matz in the same deal. One, sure. Both? Nah.

Outside of Thor, Matz and Conforto are the two guys I really don't want to move.
Yea I remember you telling that iPod story  
deboGIANTS : 12/19/2014 10:48 am : link
that was crazy
Has he fully recovered from his injury?  
steve in ky : 12/19/2014 10:48 am : link
I haven't read up on him much but I thought he was seriously hurt last season? Sure would be nice if the Mets got some type of insurance built into the trade based on number of games played next season.

.  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:48 am : link
I'd give Thor in a millisecond in a Tulo deal. I just want to go on record as being pro deal DEPENDING on the deal. I'd give up Thor + 1 of the other big name prospects other than Matz plus 2 of the "tier 2" guys if need be.
RE: Has he fully recovered from his injury?  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:49 am : link
In comment 12042646 steve in ky said:
Quote:
I haven't read up on him much but I thought he was seriously hurt last season? Sure would be nice if the Mets got some type of insurance built into the trade based on number of games played next season.


Can't rework deals however and I don't think I've ever seen a trade where teams get more money if a guy players less. He's supposed to be ready for ST.
Thor  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:51 am : link
Flores, Nimmo, Cecchini + Gee or Niese for Tulo, Rex Brothers, Ramiel Tapia and cash. Do it up.
RE: Thor  
arcarsenal : 12/19/2014 10:52 am : link
In comment 12042652 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Flores, Nimmo, Cecchini + Gee or Niese for Tulo, Rex Brothers, Ramiel Tapia and cash. Do it up.


Sign me up for that.
RE: This really does make a ton of sense for both...  
Rflairr : 12/19/2014 10:52 am : link
In comment 12042492 Italianju said:
Quote:
teams, but until we know how much COL is asking for and if they are willing to pick up any money its hard to guess if its possible or not. Obviously the 5-10 percent comment isnt promising but im guessing big deals like this always start off with a low percentage of completion. As far as we know COL is asking for Noah, Nimmo, Plawecki, etc.. and not willing to pick up any of the remaining money. If thats the case im sure the mets arent feeling confident that a deal is going to happen.


Makes no sense for the Mets. You want to risk that kind of money. Risk it on that Cuban kid
Dan  
steve in ky : 12/19/2014 10:52 am : link
I was thinking less about the money and more about which or how many players are included. Make some of the players to be named later once a certain percentage of the season is done based on how many games he was healthy enough to play in.
That's just such a crazy ask  
Gary from The East End : Admin : 12/19/2014 10:53 am : link
Tulo is a great player, no doubt, but taking on his contract just by itself is a huge risk.

On top of that the Rockies want to back up the truck to our farm system and take all our best players plus some valuable MLB arms on top of it? Who would agree to such a thing?


RE: Dan  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 10:54 am : link
In comment 12042656 steve in ky said:
Quote:
I was thinking less about the money and more about which or how many players are included. Make some of the players to be named later once a certain percentage of the season is done based on how many games he was healthy enough to play in.


steve
In theory that makes sense but I'm not sure it's really "legal" since you don't ever see it happen. His health is the #1 concern for sure.
Don't be the Knicks  
Giants2012 : 12/19/2014 10:58 am : link
and go get a guy whose body is older than his actual age b/c he's going to breakdown.


Preller  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:00 am : link
is going wild. As I said ont he other thread Middlebrooks has been a bust but that's a nice gamble. Very nice.
give me  
spike : 12/19/2014 11:09 am : link
one of the stud Cubs shortshops over Tulo, any day.
with the Mets luck..  
Kevin999 : 12/19/2014 11:10 am : link
If we trade for him, he will get hurt and end up making Jason Bay look like a good player for us.
I think its just too much of a risk for an aging player with a hip injury. If it was wrist or ankle fine, but hips injuries can be tricky.
Playoff  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:16 am : link
contention is going to be very tough for the Mets even if they do improve by a few wins.

Nats are clearly the class of the NL East (any debate stating otherwise is homerism).

Marlins are roughly the same caliber of team as the Mets (2 less wins last year, added more in the off-season)

Braves on paper are worse

Phillies on paper are awful


Cardinals and Pirates are both better than the Mets both in record and talent (hard to debate either one), I think the Brewers were a fluke and may suck this year but the Cubs should certainly be better (Lester, year 2 for a lot of their young talent), Reds could go either way.

Giants, Dodgers and Padres should all be better than the Mets.

It's not impossible the Mets compete for the playoffs but they will need a lot of luck in their favor.
RE: give me  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 12/19/2014 11:17 am : link
In comment 12042697 spike said:
Quote:
one of the stud Cubs shortshops over Tulo, any day.


You want to give me Wheeler for Baez?
Wheeler  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:19 am : link
for Russell and you have a deal.
Agreed  
deboGIANTS : 12/19/2014 11:24 am : link
I hate to say it but the Marlins are going to be a problem.
This has rogue Jeff Wilpon leak all over it  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 11:28 am : link
Writers starting to take them to task re: not spending money (Carig), more deals going down they aren't part of, writer with sources to the Wilpons gets whiff now, after months of negotiations kept quiet and just after Sandy once again said unlikely to do anything until January. Oh well, at least they are considering it.

Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).
RE: This has rogue Jeff Wilpon leak all over it  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:30 am : link
In comment 12042725 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
Writers starting to take them to task re: not spending money (Carig), more deals going down they aren't part of, writer with sources to the Wilpons gets whiff now, after months of negotiations kept quiet and just after Sandy once again said unlikely to do anything until January. Oh well, at least they are considering it.

Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).


Eric,
Rubin checked in this morning and said the Mets sources told him the price would make the Mets fans "bat shit" so I'm sure the price is still sky high. Interestingly both BA and Sickels downplayed Reynolds despite his big year. Eddy actually praised him but said he saw him as a 2b who can occasionally play some SS, compared him to Mark Ellis offensively.
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:32 am : link
wonder if the Mets point to a potential Gee/Brothers deal as "proof" they were trying for Tulo. "See we traded with the Rockies!". I like Brothers but part of me wishes they would stop worrying about an MLB return and get the best possible talent. McMahon, Tapia, Anderson etc.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:34 am : link
Thor, Wilmer, Niese, Nimmo, Plawecki, Whalen for Tulo, Brothers and Dahl OMG! (jk).
Rubin on his Piazza HOF polling  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:36 am : link
Correction: 3 pickups from voters who omitted Piazza a year ago, 1 drop.
RE: RE: This has rogue Jeff Wilpon leak all over it  
Eric on Li : 12/19/2014 11:51 am : link
In comment 12042732 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 12042725 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


Writers starting to take them to task re: not spending money (Carig), more deals going down they aren't part of, writer with sources to the Wilpons gets whiff now, after months of negotiations kept quiet and just after Sandy once again said unlikely to do anything until January. Oh well, at least they are considering it.

Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).



Eric,
Rubin checked in this morning and said the Mets sources told him the price would make the Mets fans "bat shit" so I'm sure the price is still sky high. Interestingly both BA and Sickels downplayed Reynolds despite his big year. Eddy actually praised him but said he saw him as a 2b who can occasionally play some SS, compared him to Mark Ellis offensively.


Rubin also admitted the 5% chance is a huge upgrade from what he'd earlier heard (not happening), so clearly there was some deception going on - which has been common for Alderson and his team. There's really only 1 person in the Mets org. not under Sandy's control and that's who I believe leaked this story.

I also believe that talks have not been that serious and Sandy has been waiting out the Rox for their price to drop - just like he attempted to do with Justin Upton/AZ 2 years ago. Maybe check back in January to see if there's any traction in the ballpark of what he's willing to deal. I do think the pieces on the board setup well for something to materialize then.
Have  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:53 am : link
the Mets really made a bunch of "secret" moves? We 100% knew they liked Cuddyer and then signed Cuddyer. We knew last year they wanted one of the bigger OF's (Choo was the guy people kept saying) and landed cheaper Granderson. Seems to me the Mets are pretty "clear" what they intend on doing. I think Rubin tweeted the Mets have traded for 4 MLB players (aka non-prospects) in Sandy's tenure here? Is that accurate? wow.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/19/2014 11:55 am : link
Hanigan for Middlebrooks and then sign Ross to replace Hanigan. Really nice move
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