CBS Sports' Jon Heyman reports that the Mets and Rockies "have been quietly discussing" a potential Troy Tulowitzki trade for weeks.
He adds that pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard "is said to be the centerpiece of discussions" of the package that would head to the Rockies. However, FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal says the two teams have talked all offseason but no traction has been gained. A source told him he thinks the chances of the two sides completing a deal are "5-10 percent." |
Makes sense as Sundergaard was rumored to be available earlier during the winter meetings. Pending on the additional pieces & if Rockies pick up some of the tab Mets might have their ticket selling centerpiece.
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His contract isn't unreasonable and if they're confident he's healthy now, you go for it and don't look back. Even with the injuries he's had 5+ WAR in 5 of the past 6 seasons. But you can't give up 3-4 of your top 5 prospects for any single player unless it's a guy like Stanton.
5 WAR+ in 5 of the past 6 seasons. Though if there are any signs of chronic injury you can't do it.
It stands to reason Gee would be in the trade since the Rox have been interested in him all along. Trading Murphy somewhere to recoup prospects and save $ would make sense considering they could slot in Flores or Herrera. Colon doesn't make sense to trade since you won't get much back, but if they needed the money for Tulo then so be it.
So, yeah, a trade in favor of the Mets.
Otherwise they're a SS away from contending with all their prospects still here and I'd see if Flores can be the guy at SS for half a season before dealing thor.
I'm not saying Flores can be Tulo, but he might be good enough.
In this type of deal I trust Alderson to appropriately negotiate a good deal, and if the Rox are being unreasonable and it doesn't happen so be it. If the medicals suck, fine. But the 100M shouldn't be the reason this deal doesn't happen. Tulowitzki is worth 200M on the open market if he's healthy, so the contract isn't nuts and is certainly worth the gamble.
I've wavered on this a lot but I want Tulo. Go get him. Fucking excite the fan base.
Signing Cuddyer and going home isn't going to cut it. At some point you need to go for it and say "we plan on being a factor this year"
Make it happen.
NEW YORK -- The Mets and Rockies have engaged in some talks this offseason regarding Troy Tulowitzki, but a well-placed source told ESPNNewYork.com the chances of something ever materializing are 5 percent at best.
No talks are believed to have been overly recent. And an insider said the Mets fans clamoring for a Tulo acquisition would go "bat s---" if they knew the package the Rockies wanted for Tulowitzki.
The comment came in response to a CBSSports.com report about dialogue between the Mets and Rockies. That report acknowledged the chances of a trade between the clubs involving Tulowitzki were "slim."
Especially since this is a franchise that will say "well we have Tulo. We can't really spend on anything else."
Just know that this is probably THE big move for a while, and if it remains a bad situation, they're completely screwed long term.
They can't expect the Mets to give up THAT much. Maybe the price comes down a bit. If not, too bad.
"And an insider said the Mets fans clamoring for a Tulo acquisition would go "bat s---" if they knew the package the Rockies wanted for Tulowitzki."
Fans don't go "bat shit" over asking prices. They go "bat shit" over actually giving it up.
Syndergaard, Nimmo, Niese, Gee and maybe one other piece. That I would do.
If Thor is getting moved I am not moving Matz in the same deal, though. I want to keep Conforto and Herrera as well.
While I used to speak to Heyman on AIM I haven't spoken to him in a while. I often repeat the story of how his wife bought me an Ipod but no, it was one of the beat guys.
That's why I'd do it!
It's def unrealistic, though. I just above all would not move Thor and Matz in the same deal. One, sure. Both? Nah.
Outside of Thor, Matz and Conforto are the two guys I really don't want to move.
Can't rework deals however and I don't think I've ever seen a trade where teams get more money if a guy players less. He's supposed to be ready for ST.
Sign me up for that.
Makes no sense for the Mets. You want to risk that kind of money. Risk it on that Cuban kid
On top of that the Rockies want to back up the truck to our farm system and take all our best players plus some valuable MLB arms on top of it? Who would agree to such a thing?
steve
In theory that makes sense but I'm not sure it's really "legal" since you don't ever see it happen. His health is the #1 concern for sure.
I think its just too much of a risk for an aging player with a hip injury. If it was wrist or ankle fine, but hips injuries can be tricky.
Nats are clearly the class of the NL East (any debate stating otherwise is homerism).
Marlins are roughly the same caliber of team as the Mets (2 less wins last year, added more in the off-season)
Braves on paper are worse
Phillies on paper are awful
Cardinals and Pirates are both better than the Mets both in record and talent (hard to debate either one), I think the Brewers were a fluke and may suck this year but the Cubs should certainly be better (Lester, year 2 for a lot of their young talent), Reds could go either way.
Giants, Dodgers and Padres should all be better than the Mets.
It's not impossible the Mets compete for the playoffs but they will need a lot of luck in their favor.
You want to give me Wheeler for Baez?
Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).
Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).
Eric,
Rubin checked in this morning and said the Mets sources told him the price would make the Mets fans "bat shit" so I'm sure the price is still sky high. Interestingly both BA and Sickels downplayed Reynolds despite his big year. Eddy actually praised him but said he saw him as a 2b who can occasionally play some SS, compared him to Mark Ellis offensively.
Quote:
Writers starting to take them to task re: not spending money (Carig), more deals going down they aren't part of, writer with sources to the Wilpons gets whiff now, after months of negotiations kept quiet and just after Sandy once again said unlikely to do anything until January. Oh well, at least they are considering it.
Heyman says the financial part would have to be similar to Kemp deal (but that hasn't been discussed yet) and the Rockies have backed off their initially crazy demands. I personally think the Rox want to move him and there's a chance this could happen. Gee + Thor + Reynolds/Plawecki would be as good as any package given up for any of the bigger names this offseason so I have a hard time believing the price will be much higher than that all things considered ($, injuries).
Eric,
Rubin checked in this morning and said the Mets sources told him the price would make the Mets fans "bat shit" so I'm sure the price is still sky high. Interestingly both BA and Sickels downplayed Reynolds despite his big year. Eddy actually praised him but said he saw him as a 2b who can occasionally play some SS, compared him to Mark Ellis offensively.
Rubin also admitted the 5% chance is a huge upgrade from what he'd earlier heard (not happening), so clearly there was some deception going on - which has been common for Alderson and his team. There's really only 1 person in the Mets org. not under Sandy's control and that's who I believe leaked this story.
I also believe that talks have not been that serious and Sandy has been waiting out the Rox for their price to drop - just like he attempted to do with Justin Upton/AZ 2 years ago. Maybe check back in January to see if there's any traction in the ballpark of what he's willing to deal. I do think the pieces on the board setup well for something to materialize then.