NFT: Heyman: Mets & Rockies quiety working on Tulowitzki deal

obviously I expect Flores to do better then (90 wRC+) but for the sake of argument and being realistic Ill put him at below leave average just to appease everyone.

some advanced stat?

by most metrics they were 8 or so in the NL, so you have to figure modest improvements by Wright and Grandy and Flores over Tejada gets you there.

I can see top 5 NL lineup.

5 players career averages, taking league average from TDA and Lagares and adding up Flores at 90 wRC+. That puts us around 5th. I actually think we can do a lot better than that, but that's just a logical conclusion based on the information we have available.

110 wRC+. The Pirates finished at 108. The Giants finished at 101. The Nationals finished at 99 and the Rockies finished at 98. The Cardinals finished at 95.

Acting conservatively, we should be in the 96-97 range which would put us in the top 5 -6.

Flores, Kirk (which is why MDD might have trouble making the team) and I believe Mejia are out of options. Gee actually has an option left but no way is 5 million sitting in LV.

In comment 12054579 DanMetroMan said:

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Flores, Kirk (which is why MDD might have trouble making the team) and I believe Mejia are out of options. Gee actually has an option left but no way is 5 million sitting in LV.

Yeah I don't think MDD is making the team and I'm actually happy about it. Kirk was great in a part time role last year and I think showed he can excel in pinch hitting . MDD in my mind still has an outside shot at being a regular, so I prefer him in AAA playing every day. The second an injury occurs I would call up MDD to start(over Kirk) actually.

why I am so optimistic. No more EYJ and Chrs Young types. No more Rick Ankiels. If an injury strikes we go to MDD, Kirk, Herrera, Reynolds, and Plawecki and even Nimmo possibly later on?

What about the rotation? Would anyone here cry if Colon or Neise got hurt and we had to go with Montero/Thor earlier then expected? I know I wouldn't.

doubt Thor would get the call unless it were an emergency. Super Two etc etc. Montero is probably "next" and after him I suspect there will be some turdy Lannan type stashed in Vegas, maybe even Torres as an option too. I still expect one of Gee or Niese to be dealt even for an underwhelming return.

one to get traded as well. Im just saying(unless its in the first month and a complete catastrophe) I don't have any issues with guys like Colon and Neise getting injured in 2015. We have plenty of high end depth unlike previous years.

As for Syndergaard and Super 2 it depends on the situation. Sandy has said its an important factor but not the ONLY factor and he'd have no problem calling a player up before it if need be. If Colon stubs his toe and misses one game, of course you aren't calling up Thor before Super 2 but if god forbid Wheeler goes down with Tommy John in the second game, maybe you do. At least that's what I've gathered.

I wish I had his optimism. But I dont see how we have a top 5 offense. We'd need a lot of best case scenarios to happen.

I just broke it down man. That's with nobody having a best case scenario.

That's with everyone having an average year and I erred to the extreme caution on the younger players sides.

Expecting to gain a few points in wRC+ replacing the worst LF production in MLB with a VERY potent bat(if healthy) in Cuddyer, replacing Tejada with an even a slightly below league average option at SS in Flores, and replacing even a mediocre Wright opposed to the abomination at third last year isn't at all unrealistic.

Its like player fatigue or something. If we were acquiring somebody else's Murphy we'd all be thrilled sighting what a great hitter he's been. If we acquired Tulo (aka David Wright) we'd be looking over his recent injury past and age and sighting all his past successes. If we acquired somebody else's Duda, we would be dancing in the streets at finally adding a real power bat. If we acquired a Miller (Flores) we'd be looking at his offensive upside and ignoring his questionable defensive abilities. Grass is always greener I guess...

1.) Denard Span
2.) Chase Utley
3.) Adrian Beltre
4.) Albert Pujols
5.) Matt Kemp
6.) Ryan Braun
7.) Yadier Molina
8.) Starlin Castro

1.) Denard Span( identical WAR with Lagares at 3.8 in 14)
2.) Chase Utley (Utley .746 OPS/Murphy .736) Add one extra win for Utley's defense
3.) Adrian Beltre( 5.8 WAR/ Wright 7.8 in 2012, 6.0 in 2013)
4.) Albert Pujols(3.3 WAR, .790 OPS/Duda 3.0 WAR, .830 OPS)
5.) Matt Kemp(.852 OPS, 1.8 WAR/Cuddyer 1.5 WAR in only 50 games!)
6.) Ryan Braun(1.2 WAR, .777 OPS/ Granderson .815 lifetime OPS average)
7.) Yadier Molina(TDA Steamer 2.9 WAR, OPS .744/ Molina 3.1 WAR OPS .719
8.) Starlin Castro( Castro 2.1 WAR .729 OPS/Steamer Flores 2.5 WAR .696 OPS)

Obviously not exact and just rough estimates but I think you can get the point.

but to the extent Starlin Castro shot someone in a nightclub, Im a solid pass.


http://deadspin.com/ - ( New Window )

they would of traded Syndergaard Plawecki Montero & Familia for Castro . Maybe things are turning around

In comment 12055390 Headhunter said:

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they would of traded Syndergaard Plawecki Montero & Familia for Castro . Maybe things are turning around

That's true. They may havev thrown in a bit more

has been cleared

In comment 12055397 Headhunter said:

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has been cleared

Where do you see this being reported?

In comment 12055445 Deej said:

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In comment 12055397 Headhunter said: Quote: has been cleared Where do you see this being reported?

The LI kee at I les says he was cleared. But from an incident a few weeks. The article also makes it clear they aren't sure if he was arrested, detained or completely innocent in this incident.

go
Link - ( New Window )

I saw the agent's statements. Not sure I believe them. Obviously he has an agenda and isnt on the scene. The agent's story doesnt make sense -- who goes to the police station to just report that they were not involved in a crime? And if the police really had video and told Castro that they know he wasnt involved, why did the police spokesperson say that Castro's home was searched?

I have no idea what happened, but this story isnt 100% buttoned up yet.