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Off today? How about we talk some draft?

Sy'56 : 1/27/2015 11:02 am
I've been trying to avoid getting in to arguments over this....but I can't stand the statements revolving around the idea that you absolutely cannot take a G or RT at #9 overall.

I get that WRs/LTs/DEs/DTs are more important...but man...the Gs and RTs and LBs and even RBs...they need to be good for NYG to get back to the top, no? Brandon Scherff and La'el Collins might be best suited inside, but by no means does that mean you can't take them at #9 overall.

I think some people try too hard to map an entire draft class out from the beginning. You can't do that. There are THIRTY ONE other teams trying to build a champion, and you can't predict or control any one of them. Passing on quality players at "non-premium" positions (as if that even existed) is a big part of what put NYG in the personnel nightmare they currently reside in.

So yes...if a guard is my highest graded prospect at #9, bring him in. It would make this team better, end of discussion and on to the next pick.
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I 100% agree  
robbieballs2003 : 1/27/2015 11:07 am : link
However, as of now, I don't see the value in Scherff or Collins at 9. Not because of position but rather because I like other players. I personally would rather address the OL in FA and take a player like Shelton or White at 9. I have to do more research on the DEs.
In my book  
JonC : 1/27/2015 11:07 am : link
if your BPA at #9 is a RT or OG, pick him and focus on the second round.

But, I suspect NYG will lean towards a DE or WR unless the grades are distant from a RT/OG, of course.
I agree but I also suspect position goes into grade.....  
George from PA : 1/27/2015 11:14 am : link
Which is why key positions goes higher, no? A guard mustbe much better then a LT avaiable.
Collins and Scherf look like likely studs at guard  
Dave in Buffalo : 1/27/2015 11:15 am : link
With a good possibility of becoming quality tackles too. If the downside is a strong mauler at guard, that sounds pretty damn good to me at #9.
The idea of taking a projected  
Big Blue '56 : 1/27/2015 11:15 am : link
difference-making OG or ORT at 9 was never an issue for me, if that's your BPA
I agree,  
AnishPatel : 1/27/2015 11:16 am : link
the model has changed. You can take an RT or guard early. It's a passing league, and these guys are on the OL and help in pass protection and run blocking. So if a team feels they are worth it, then by all means draft that player.

Sy, I'd like your opinion on two LBs...  
Klaatu : 1/27/2015 11:18 am : link
Who should be available in the mid-to-late rounds (where the Giants usually go looking for them): Michigan State's Taiwan Jones, and Michigan's Jake Ryan.
Absolutely, Sy.  
yatqb : 1/27/2015 11:21 am : link
Ridiculous to decide against taking an impact player at a position of need for your team. Someone actually asked yesterday if you'd take Alan Faneca at 9. Is he kidding? You'd be landing an all pro for a decade.
So If someone told you that you'd get a guy like Faneca, Shields or  
BLUATHRT : 1/27/2015 11:21 am : link
Hutchinson in their prime and you have to use the 9th pick to get them, you'd pass because they are guards? Not me...
I'm not sure I'd credit that for our roster...  
Dunedin81 : 1/27/2015 11:23 am : link
I think the issue is that for a few drafts we simply missed on some early picks. Whether that is bad luck or poor personnel appraisal (or a willingness to gamble) is debatable, but if they had hit on a few of Barden, Beckum, Sintim, Austin or Jernigan and/or Wilson had been healthy the complexion of things might be different. I have quibbles with Reese's drafting, specifically his willingness to piss away late picks at times (drafting multiple DBs, for instance, when we seemed to have at most one roster spot), but I don't think the issue is their prioritizing certain positions and not others, generally speaking. I think they could have devoted an early pick or two to a conventionally skilled LB and prioritized OL depth more, but it's not like they haven't devoted draft picks to either.
I agree  
BigBlueCane : 1/27/2015 11:23 am : link
with Sy. But I don't see Reese changing his mindset anytime soon.
The question is do you see a OL that might at this early stage  
Defenderdawg : 1/27/2015 11:24 am : link
That would be worthy of a top ten selection...

On a another note I have read one analyst downgrade the quality of the safeties available, suggesting Collins of Alabama could go higher simply because of the dearth of talent there, although he did not feel he was a top ten pick...how do you feel about the quality and depth at that position in the draft?
Given our  
I Love Clams Casino : 1/27/2015 11:33 am : link
deficiencies at the interior positions, I'd think Reese would put a higher value on the position than he normally would.

I don't think he's blind to that....Jerry with Snyder as a backup? That's alarming as hell....Snyder's 2 steps from a nursing home. There' no doubt that something will be done.
RE: Sy, I'd like your opinion on two LBs...  
Sy'56 : 1/27/2015 11:35 am : link
In comment 12111102 Klaatu said:
Quote:
Who should be available in the mid-to-late rounds (where the Giants usually go looking for them): Michigan State's Taiwan Jones, and Michigan's Jake Ryan.


I like Ryan more. He bounced back OK from his knee injury, but still there will be a lack of athletic ability there. I also don't see the instincts and reaction time that I want out of a LB. He is slow to the spot, and he gets caught in traffic. Thats a red flag for me. But I think he can be a solid special teamer and 4th/5th LB on a defense.

Jones is good between the tackles, but for the most part he is just another guy. He hits hard, has some power to him, good size. But he is really limited in coverage, won't always reach the sidelines. Another backup type.
Dearth of Talent is Key  
Samiam : 1/27/2015 11:36 am : link
I think that's a point that is often ignored is the number of quality players at the position. If you can get quality guards in lower rounds but can't get quality players at other positions of need, you're going to factor that in. Also, are we talking a Larry Allen type guard or just a good guard?
Fair enough, Sy. Thanks.  
Klaatu : 1/27/2015 11:38 am : link
The reason I asked is because they both had a good week at the East-West game, and the Giants met with Ryan there.
I really liked what I saw of David Johnson  
BLUATHRT : 1/27/2015 11:39 am : link
in the Senior Bowl. Sy, what round do you think he projects to? Talk about a three-headed monster coming at the o-line if the Giants added him to pair with Jennings and Williams!
d-line  
BLUATHRT : 1/27/2015 11:40 am : link
not o-line.
I mentioned this before  
Phil in LA : 1/27/2015 11:40 am : link
but the rookie cap in the new CBA makes it a lot easier to choose any position you want in the first round -- because there is no longer any danger of him being the highest paid guy on your team.
Sy  
Matt M. : 1/27/2015 11:42 am : link
Drafting backup type LBs makes absolutely no sense to me.
I just cannot see a WR taken at 9  
Simms11 : 1/27/2015 11:50 am : link
unless he was the next Jerry Rice. We have enough WRs and depth now. There's only so many balls to go around and you have One of the best WRs in the league already getting most of them thrown his way. Another WR would be a wasted pick at 9, especially with so many other needs. Good OTs are hard to come by and a guy that can play Guard for a year or two, first, would be an added bonus. To me, it's either Oline or Dline with that first pick and the BPA at either.
RE: I really liked what I saw of David Johnson  
Sy'56 : 1/27/2015 11:54 am : link
In comment 12111146 BLUATHRT said:
Quote:
in the Senior Bowl. Sy, what round do you think he projects to? Talk about a three-headed monster coming at the o-line if the Giants added him to pair with Jennings and Williams!


I think he is a better athlete than he is a football player...and I simply don't like prospects like that. He runs with poor bad level, minimal forward lean. Yeah he he has some tools, but he just isn't the kind of back that I look for.

A back I am really starting to like is Minnesota's David Cobb. Complete opposite of Johnson...not an upper tier athlete but he is a very good football player. Great vision and lean, low pad level, misses tacklers but alos runs through them.
RE: Dearth of Talent is Key  
giants#1 : 1/27/2015 11:55 am : link
In comment 12111142 Samiam said:
Quote:
I think that's a point that is often ignored is the number of quality players at the position. If you can get quality guards in lower rounds but can't get quality players at other positions of need, you're going to factor that in. Also, are we talking a Larry Allen type guard or just a good guard?


As is the cost of filling the position via FA. It's considerably cheaper to sign a FA OG than a FA OT. That's a big reason the Giants tend to emphasize DE/WR/CB in the premium rounds. And Beckham will provide even more value in this department as they don't need to consider bringing in a top FA WR.

Obviously, Russell Wilson is the ultimate example of how filling a premium position via a cost controlled draft pick allows you to use your limited FA $$ to fill other holes.

Sy, I really like Cobb too.  
yatqb : 1/27/2015 11:57 am : link
I wonder whether he'd be there for us in the 4th.
Benardrick Mckinney  
Kurtt : 1/27/2015 11:58 am : link
does he make it to 40? I think he can play MLB in a 4-3.
there are no  
area junc : 1/27/2015 12:00 pm : link
G's in this draft worth a top 10 pick
Stud OL at 9  
Sec 103 : 1/27/2015 12:05 pm : link
sure, is there one?
RE: RE: I really liked what I saw of David Johnson  
Mike in NY : 1/27/2015 12:06 pm : link
In comment 12111172 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
In comment 12111146 BLUATHRT said:


Quote:


in the Senior Bowl. Sy, what round do you think he projects to? Talk about a three-headed monster coming at the o-line if the Giants added him to pair with Jennings and Williams!



I think he is a better athlete than he is a football player...and I simply don't like prospects like that. He runs with poor bad level, minimal forward lean. Yeah he he has some tools, but he just isn't the kind of back that I look for.

A back I am really starting to like is Minnesota's David Cobb. Complete opposite of Johnson...not an upper tier athlete but he is a very good football player. Great vision and lean, low pad level, misses tacklers but alos runs through them.


Cobb also showed potential in pass blocking which I like
RE: I just cannot see a WR taken at 9  
blueblood : 1/27/2015 12:09 pm : link
In comment 12111167 Simms11 said:
Quote:
unless he was the next Jerry Rice. We have enough WRs and depth now. There's only so many balls to go around and you have One of the best WRs in the league already getting most of them thrown his way. Another WR would be a wasted pick at 9, especially with so many other needs. Good OTs are hard to come by and a guy that can play Guard for a year or two, first, would be an added bonus. To me, it's either Oline or Dline with that first pick and the BPA at either.


I disagree.. You have no idea what you have coming with Victor Cruz.. Randle is a FA in 2015 I believe..

So what you have ONE receiver.. big deal.. and if they shut that one down.. or he gets hurt.. then you have jack squat..

Amazes me that Green Bay can have 3-4 quality receivers.. Saints same thing.. Denver.. Same thing...

Giants.. we have ONE guy.. yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay...

If a WR is the highest rated player at #9.. you take the WR.. period..
RE: WR  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:10 pm : link
You do not assume Cruz's knee will allow him to return at 100%, nor would I assume Randle has turned the corner just yet, not to mention it's quite possible NYG decides his second contract is too expensive.

In short, WR very well could be in play at #9. Think roster building, not just plugging in a player for 2015.
RE: RE: WR  
blueblood : 1/27/2015 12:12 pm : link
In comment 12111206 JonC said:
Quote:
You do not assume Cruz's knee will allow him to return at 100%, nor would I assume Randle has turned the corner just yet, not to mention it's quite possible NYG decides his second contract is too expensive.

In short, WR very well could be in play at #9. Think roster building, not just plugging in a player for 2015.


give that man a Cigar.. two quality receivers on rookie contracts with Eli still in his prime is a GOOD thing..
Who would plug in a player at 9  
Big Blue '56 : 1/27/2015 12:13 pm : link
for 2015?
The notion that you can get a RB or an OL late...  
Dunedin81 : 1/27/2015 12:14 pm : link
is oversold. Their success rates are not very high, while interior OL and RBs drafted high actually do have a high success rate. So if you have a glaring need for either and there is a good value pick in the first, even the high first, it would be folly to pass it over because there is a chance one would be available later.

But teams understandably expect a high draft pick at RB, or OL, or LB (non-pass rusher) to be an above-average starter or better at the position. Conversely, if you get a decent defensive end in the middle of the first, or a starting-caliber OT, you're not disappointed if he's not a perennial Pro Bowler. Is Brandon Graham a disappointment even though he's not a star? I'd say no. But if you draft a guard in the middle of the first round you expect him to be one of the better OGs in the league. It's because quality play at certain positions is harder to come by, more expensive on the free agent market and rarer in the middle rounds.
BPA Versus Need Usually Makes For Interesting Discussions  
Trainmaster : 1/27/2015 12:16 pm : link
I don't think most are saying a G or RT can't be BPA at #9, the argument seems to be that it is less likely that those positions will have the impact that other positions might have at #9 (say QB, WR, DE, LT etc.)

To take the above to the extreme, the best punter (Ray Guy 2.0) or kicker very, very rarely would be overall BPA at #9, while a QB, WR, DE, LT often can be.

The Giants have waited until the 2nd, 3rd and 4th round to take OL recently, with very mixed results. We'd love to get Chris Snee 2.0 in round 2.

The Zach Martin versus Beckham comparisons highlight this issue. Had Beckham been gone in 2014 at #12, Martin seems like he would have been a very solid pick. But Beckham is truly a "game changer (even season changer)". Larry Allen is probably the best guard I have ever seen play. If you could pick Beckham or Larry Allen 2.0 at #12 (or #9) who do you pick? Some might say Larry Allen 2.0 because he can play at a high level longer, but I'm taking Beckham because an all world WR can change the game more than an all world G can.

Based on very limited knowledge of the 2015 draft crop (mostly gather from BBI withh limited college football watching), I don't see anyone close to Larry Allen 2.0 being available at #9.

I think Reese's first round approach, which I'd characterize as "BPA in an impact position", I don't see the Giants taking G or RT at #9.
Agree with Sy too. I'd take a G and definitely a RT  
SomeFan : 1/27/2015 12:17 pm : link
though I wonder if the old "trade down" pipe dream is Reese's real first choice.
BB56  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:18 pm : link
a big chunk of the general fanbase.
we won't trade down  
area junc : 1/27/2015 12:20 pm : link
Andrus Peat is the only OL i can see us looking at. his position coach thinks he can be as good as Ogden
Brandon scherff has something the OL lacks  
eli10 : 1/27/2015 12:20 pm : link
Toughness.
Trainmaster  
Dunedin81 : 1/27/2015 12:21 pm : link
Beckham illustrates what I'm trying to say. Certainly solid receivers have been found much later in the draft, but the sort of athleticism and body control and ball skills that elite receivers possess are so rare that the truly special ones belong higher on a value board than even very good interior OL prospects.
Give us Peat  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:21 pm : link
The football Gods owe him to us after not delivering Ogden.
You had to bring that up?  
Big Blue '56 : 1/27/2015 12:24 pm : link
Most fans who followed the draft had Phillips going to the Ravens..
Trainmaster  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:26 pm : link
Precisely, well done. And I don't mean that in regards to conflicting with or arguing against Sy's OP or other comments here, but as a general bullet of knowledge it's 100% accurate.

Philips to Rams  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:27 pm : link
was 99% in the bag, we all projected. When Simeon Rice went a little earlier, I got really worried about losing out on Ogden.
It would be hard to define a projected RT.....  
Phlegm : 1/27/2015 12:28 pm : link
as an impact player, let alone a Guard. Based on comments from those in authority, I wouldn't see the Giants looking to fill those positions at #9.
The angle that hasn't been discussed in detail  
Coach Mason : 1/27/2015 12:30 pm : link
Is the role that the cap plays in this. Notice what arguably the top OG got in FA last year. 4 yrs /16 million. Reese knows what positions command the most money and tries to draft those players and keep them cost controlled as much as possible.

WR, DE, LT, QB, CB, true high level pass rush DT (very rare) these are generally the premium positions that get 10+ mill annually on the open market. Also notice in this passing era all these positions revolve around their impact in the passing game both on offense and defense. If they don't try to allocate most of their top picks here, they will drain your cap very quickly trying to fill these top impact spots in FA.

Are their occasional exceptions? Of course as there are many variables that go into eventually who they will pick. But as some like Jon has alluded to this is the main formula they ascribe to.
We're  
AcidTest : 1/27/2015 12:30 pm : link
going to get a good player. Reese has messed up a lot of drafts, but has a good record with first round picks.

But people need to realize this is mostly a "red chip," not a "blue chip" draft. That is why it's going to be hard to trade down, unless one of the QBs happens to fall to us.

Peat, Collins, and Scherff seem the most likely picks. Mara said they were going to focus on the OL. Remember that they not only need at least one starter, they also need backups, since everyone but Gaines, Herman, and maybe Mosley should be cut or not resigned. Reese says he prefers playmakers, but he saw what everyone else did: a putrid running game. What's the point of signing Jennings and drafting Williams, if nobody can block for them. He's also still got a franchise QB. Mara said they need to build a "wall" around Eli.

I'd prefer Collins or Peat before Scherff, but any would be fine. No player is perfect, and we are entering the silly season, where every player is nitpicked to death. Collins at a minimum can play G and RT. That's good enough for me. Plug him in at LG and go. Doing so also instantly makes Beatty and Richburg better. Go with Schwartz and Pugh on the other side.

If they don't go OL, I think it will be Shelton. Hankins needs help, and two run stuffing DTs would free up the DEs and keep the LBs clean. Jenkins and Patterson are nearing the end. One or both may not even come back. Kuhn is mostly for ST. Shelton also has some pass rush ability, and was an Academic All-American IIRC.

I don't think the Giants will take Ray or Beasley. They look more like OLBs in a 3-4. They will probably franchise JPP, and get a development DE like Trail on Day three.
if we go into the draft  
TommyWiseau : 1/27/2015 12:30 pm : link
Still needing a starting guard or tackle then FA was a failure. Not saying taking an OL in round one isn't a good idea, because it is, just that I will not feel comfortable going into the season having to rely on a rookie who may or may not be ready. Fix the OL in FA and take the BPA in first round. If that olayer is to be an OL then by all means go for it
RE: UFA  
JonC : 1/27/2015 12:35 pm : link
I'd be looking at RT options on the market. Sign one, kick Pugh inside and your projected OGs are set with Richburg at C. Then, you could draft your new LT at #9 if he's the target, and WB is moved to the bench etc when the prospect is ready. Hedge, depth intact and you could still draft an OG later to put in the pipeline and battle daily with Herman, et al.

Draft  
stretch234 : 1/27/2015 12:39 pm : link
I am not an expert at this, but

NO, GB, NE are pretty successful and they do not pick G early in the draft and really do not value G.

A T is completely different. You can move him inside. You can find G all over, you cant find potential LT all over. Historically, You overdraft a T, not a G.

Since 2007 there have been 8 OG selected in the 1st rd. Grubbs, Lupati, Watkins, DeCastro, Zeitler, Cooper, Warmack, Martin. There have been 12 OG selected in the 2nd rd. Every other OL was drafted to play T or C.

You can argue the 2nd rd players are just as good: Osemele, Silatolu, Allen. If Bitonio & martin were switched, Bitonio would get all the hype - he was every bit as good as Martin

If you are sitting there at 9 and Scherff, Collins and Peat are all available, Scherff is not getting picked despite being ranked higher



Sy  
Reale01 : 1/27/2015 12:44 pm : link
Do you have any examples of cases where the Giants passed on an obviously better player to get a "premium" position? I can't remember any in the first round recently. Agree with you and others that a dominant guard is worth #9.

Top needs: Dominant safety (Don't see any), OL (are there any?), DE (Don't think one will get to us), DT (Shelton?).

Don't see any TE,won't take a QB, or RB,

Are there any WR or LBs that have so much ability we would have to take them?
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