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Latest GBN 1st Round Projection

Emil : 1/28/2015 4:23 pm
The latest GBN 1st Round Mock has the Giants selecting Devante Paker, WR Louisville at #9. I have posted in the past on how I think Parker is a close #2 WR to Cooper in this draft class and how selecting a WR at #9 makes sense if you think Parker fits the Giants scheme and if you think he is a game breaker. Not going to rehash all of that again.

If you look at Parker's performances this year you will see a dominant WR who was at his best in big games. He is also very good after the catch, which I think increases his value, especially to a team like Giants. At 6'2" 214lbs, with sub 4.5 speed, he seems to be everything the Giants hoped Reuben Randle would be and then some. With Cruz and Randle both legit question marks going into 2015 a player like Parker is certainly in the mix, particularly given Reese's comments about preferring playmakers over linemen.

Under this scenario, with Scherff going at 10 and Peat going at 11, you'd have to think the Giants either addressed the OL in FA or will draft one in round 2. I have always thought the Giants will address the starting RT/LG position in FA, leaving options open for the draft.

Colin, if you see this post, would be very interested in your reasoning on the latest projection. Thanks


1st Round Projection - ( New Window )
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Give us Peat  
JonC : 1/28/2015 4:26 pm : link
.
JonC  
Emil : 1/28/2015 4:29 pm : link
Just to add it to this thread, as I've said previously, if the Giants do select an OL in round 1, I would want it to be Peat. To me he has the biggest upside and can play either tackle position.
Ditto  
Reb8thVA : 1/28/2015 4:30 pm : link
on Peat
I have no issue  
pjcas18 : 1/28/2015 4:31 pm : link
with this pick, and he's a better fit than the 5'8" or 5'9" receivers I see being mocked to the Giants elsewhere.
Emil  
JonC : 1/28/2015 4:33 pm : link
I agree. Peat isn't the second coming of Ogden, but I think he's got the most upside of the bunch.
Peat or Scherrf, but I prefer Peat too, as he's a legit LT.  
yatqb : 1/28/2015 4:33 pm : link
.
i get BPA  
GiantNatty : 1/28/2015 4:35 pm : link
and if it's parker, so be it.

but at some point, this organization has to learn (if it hasn't been painfully obvious already) that without a solid o-line, this team isn't going anywhere. a good o-line is the key to the offense and the defense (in the sense that if the offense can control the ball, a lot less stress is placed on the defense).
I wouldn't know Peat  
Headhunter : 1/28/2015 4:35 pm : link
if I tripped over him, that goes for Schreff , Parker and all the rest of them. Make the pick Jerry and I become a fan of that guy. The next 12 week are going to take forever
RE: I have no issue  
drkenneth : 1/28/2015 4:36 pm : link
In comment 12113479 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
with this pick, and he's a better fit than the 5'8" or 5'9" receivers I see being mocked to the Giants elsewhere.


What 5'8ft WRs have you seen mocked to Giants at #9? There's no WR under 6'0 in Colin's top 10 WRs.
I love Parker  
SoZKillA : 1/28/2015 4:37 pm : link
But we have to go OLine at 9
Hmmm  
River Mike : 1/28/2015 4:37 pm : link
Quote:
With Cruz and Randle both legit question marks


Sorry, I don't think you use the #9 overall pick for a "just in case" scenario. That pick has to be one that you believe will be the best choice to improve your team.
RE: I wouldn't know Peat  
Emil : 1/28/2015 4:41 pm : link
In comment 12113492 Headhunter said:
Quote:
if I tripped over him, that goes for Schreff , Parker and all the rest of them. Make the pick Jerry and I become a fan of that guy. The next 12 week are going to take forever


You're a good fan. I think at the end of the day we should all feel that way.
A great OLine will make everyone better  
JohnB : 1/28/2015 4:41 pm : link
It will make Cruz and Randle better
It will make the RBs better.
It will make Eli better.
It will even make OBJ better.

No WR can do all that.

Go OLine in the 1st.


RE: Hmmm  
Emil : 1/28/2015 4:45 pm : link
In comment 12113497 River Mike said:
Quote:


Quote:


With Cruz and Randle both legit question marks



Sorry, I don't think you use the #9 overall pick for a "just in case" scenario. That pick has to be one that you believe will be the best choice to improve your team.


I hear you, but I think another thing to consider is the anticipated increased use of 4 WR sets in the MacAdoo offense and the fact Randle is a FA after the season. This is actually a difficult scenario. If Randle regresses, why would the Giants want him back? If Randle's last two games are a forecast of the future and he busts out, do the Giants pay him the money he would command on the open market? In addition to playing making ability at a reasonable price (rookie wage scale) Parker gives you leverage and options.
Bad analogy warning  
Headhunter : 1/28/2015 4:47 pm : link
You know what makes Costco successful? They limit your choices to 1 size of 1 brand. There at lest 10 guys that you can make a legitimate argument for the puck. People have written compelling arguments for thei guy, but at the end of the day, it's going to be 1 guy and I'm not going to make myself crazier than I am wanting each of those 10 guys. Come draft time the pick will be a reality and then I'll get excited. Till then have at it
RE: A great OLine will make everyone better  
Emil : 1/28/2015 4:51 pm : link
In comment 12113510 JohnB said:
Quote:
It will make Cruz and Randle better
It will make the RBs better.
It will make Eli better.
It will even make OBJ better.

No WR can do all that.

Go OLine in the 1st.



John, no doubt that OL in the 1st is a more than legit philosophy, it very well could be an OL if the brain trust believes that one of the available OL is the highest rated player on the board. History tells us that is a big hurdle to jump on the Giants draft board.


In response to your list, a WR can certainly do all those things, just in a different way.

1. Makes Cruz and Randle (and OBJ) better by making teams pay for double coverage. Parker is also a big YAC guy so if defenses are going to guard against the vertical routes (Randle and OBJ) Parker and Cruz make them pay.

2. Makes the RBs better by forcing the D to play coverage and leave 7 in the box

3. More top line targets for your QB always makes them better. Trust in playmaking ability is huge. Look at Peyton Manning and Denver.

4. As mentioned in point 1, it makes OBJ better

Does an OL do all those things "better". Sure, but perhaps in a different way is a better way to say it.
BPA all the way  
A1022 : 1/28/2015 4:51 pm : link
I have no problem with any pick outside of QB, K, P. We finally get a crack at a top ten pick(though not necessarily a good thing), why not pick the best guy available? Some people forget their are other rounds in the draft. FA will show us what our biggest needs are going into the draft. But that being said, If you can get a superstar at any position to help a 6-10 team than you have done the right thing. And if he can contribute and be be a game changer in 2015, then that's a bonus.
I don't think we should go wideout with that pick,  
Ira : 1/28/2015 4:52 pm : link
but if we were going wideout in the first round, my favorite receiver not named Cooper is Kevin White.
I like Kevin White more than Parker  
robbieballs2003 : 1/28/2015 5:06 pm : link
.
RE: A great OLine will make everyone better  
pjcas18 : 1/28/2015 5:09 pm : link
In comment 12113510 JohnB said:
Quote:
It will make Cruz and Randle better
It will make the RBs better.
It will make Eli better.
It will even make OBJ better.

No WR can do all that.

Go OLine in the 1st.



If you have been paying attention to Reese, he has a history of filling holes in free agency so that in the draft he doesn't HAVE to overweight a need.

Plus, the Giants history of recent SB wins, doesn't support drafting OL high. It supports using free agency to build the line.

I expect the same. Reese has already said given the choice of adding a play maker or lineman he'll go for the play maker every time.
We addressed 40% of the OL last year.....  
Phlegm : 1/28/2015 5:12 pm : link
in FA and the Draft.
We don't have to go OL in the 1st round this year if the pick is a reach at #9.
RE: We addressed 40% of the OL last year.....  
LauderdaleMatty : 1/28/2015 5:23 pm : link
In comment 12113562 Phlegm said:
Quote:
in FA and the Draft.
We don't have to go OL in the 1st round this year if the pick is a reach at #9.


And they're addressed 33% of the WR group. They don't have to go WR in the first if that pick is a reach.

Also Reese is full of shit about BPA All GMs are. They try to marry need with ranking. Reese picks WRs every year and this team is full of holes Becuase of it.
No.  
AcidTest : 1/28/2015 5:24 pm : link
Parker missed the first six games of the season with a broken foot. Really want to stay away from these guys in the first round. We need as clean a pick as possible, from an injury and character standpoint.
So Beckham and Randle hurt the Giants?  
Headhunter : 1/28/2015 5:24 pm : link
brilliant!
The owner said we need to fix the OLine.  
Emlen'sGremlins : 1/28/2015 5:27 pm : link
We Aren't Going WR in The 1St Round.
RE: We addressed 40% of the OL last year.....  
River Mike : 1/28/2015 5:27 pm : link
In comment 12113562 Phlegm said:
Quote:
in FA and the Draft.
We don't have to go OL in the 1st round this year if the pick is a reach at #9.


And you think we did a good job of it?

Of course we should never reach, need or not.
RE: The owner said we need to fix the OLine.  
pjcas18 : 1/28/2015 5:29 pm : link
In comment 12113580 Emlen'sGremlins said:
Quote:
We Aren't Going WR in The 1St Round.


this is the kiss of death.

I must have read 100's of posts on here about how "the Giants aren't drafting a RB in the first round" in the weeks before the David Wilson pick.

Of course the owner wasn't commenting strictly on the draft was he?

No, he wasn't.
So the draft is the only way to fix the Oline?  
Headhunter : 1/28/2015 5:30 pm : link
I didn't know that. So if we reach for an Olineman it's because of the owner. Got it
At #9, you go BPA.  
81_Great_Dane : 1/28/2015 5:33 pm : link
Would love that to be a stud tackle, but I don't think there's gonna be a tackle sitting there at #9 who's worth the pick.

Ditto pass-rushing DE, linebacker.

If you have the choice of an elite player or a solid starter at a position of need, you take the elite player. If it's a choice of solid starter or solid starter, then you go for need. Which sounds like what will happen in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.
RE: RE: We addressed 40% of the OL last year.....  
Phlegm : 1/28/2015 5:36 pm : link
In comment 12113581 River Mike said:
Quote:
In comment 12113562 Phlegm said:


Quote:


in FA and the Draft.
We don't have to go OL in the 1st round this year if the pick is a reach at #9.



And you think we did a good job of it?

Of course we should never reach, need or not.



Schwartz was IRd virtually the whole year and the rookie Richburg was playing out of position.
You think we didn't attempt to make improvements in the offseason?
The 0ne good thing about sucking this year  
ZogZerg : 1/28/2015 5:37 pm : link
is a nice high draft pick where we should get a couple of really good players.
Our defense  
TMS : 1/28/2015 5:38 pm : link
was the trouble spot last year and kept us out of the playoffs. New DC on board and new emphasis on that unit make me believe we go defense in the first round.
I do not like the idea of another first rounder on WR  
Mark from Jersey : 1/28/2015 5:50 pm : link
Matt Millen is not our GM. De or ol pls
if they fix the OL in free agency  
WeatherMan : 1/28/2015 5:52 pm : link
I'd be fine with this pick.
I don't see the Jets picking Mariotta at #6 -  
Del Shofner : 1/28/2015 5:57 pm : link
I think they'll bring in a vet QB that the new GM and coach are familiar with, at a reasonable price, and use their #1 pick on a defensive difference-maker.
NO WAY IN HELL !  
Red Dog : 1/28/2015 6:31 pm : link
Fix the OL or fire Reese and Ross.

The LAST thing this team needs is another damn WR. They've already got a dozen of them. What they don't have is a dominant OLT or a starting Guard to go with Schwartz.

In this scenario, an OL is an absolute no brainer.
RE: No.  
Giantology : 1/28/2015 6:38 pm : link
In comment 12113577 AcidTest said:
Quote:
Parker missed the first six games of the season with a broken foot. Really want to stay away from these guys in the first round. We need as clean a pick as possible, from an injury and character standpoint.


How many other injuries has Parker had? That is the most serious one he suffered, it's not like he's injury plagued.
RE: NO WAY IN HELL !  
LauderdaleMatty : 1/28/2015 6:45 pm : link
In comment 12113638 Red Dog said:
Quote:
Fix the OL or fire Reese and Ross.

The LAST thing this team needs is another damn WR. They've already got a dozen of them. What they don't have is a dominant OLT or a starting Guard to go with Schwartz.

In this scenario, an OL is an absolute no brainer.


YES. We don't have a single dominant OL. Haven't somce Snee before the injuries. The OL w 2 high picks in the last two years is still one of the worst. This team needs to better on both lines. How many play off wins does Atlanta have. Their OL and DL are a disaster. . It got their coach fired.
I like a tradedown  
Phil in LA : 1/28/2015 6:46 pm : link
that will include Phillip Dorsett.
What relevance does Atlanta  
pjcas18 : 1/28/2015 6:49 pm : link
have? Especially when the Giants won two super bowls in the past 7 years with an OL than had a whopping ZERO first round picks.

No clue why fans constantly don't understand that a) OL has a high bust rate and b) you don't have to use your high first round pick on the OL to improve it.

The Patriots have one 1st round OL on their team. Solder. Stork is a 4th round rookie.

Why not use the Pats as your example instead of Atlanta? It's not exactly like Brady's any more mobile than Eli.
I understand the argument that the line needs improvement  
AnnapolisMike : 1/28/2015 6:50 pm : link
I don't understand why you pick an Oline at #9 come hell or high water. Realistically, the Giants need 1 new starter if you pencil in Pugh, Beatty, Schwartz, and Richburg in as starters. That starter can come from the draft or free agency.

The player the Giants draft needs to be worthy of the spot he is drafted in. It is a bad spot for a reach pick based on need.
and stop with the Matt Millen nonsense  
Headhunter : 1/28/2015 6:55 pm : link
what does him drafting Rodgers have to do with the price of tea in China? You grab onto anything to make a point not worth making.
all the talk about Reese's preferences  
ColHowPepper : 1/28/2015 6:59 pm : link
and his fixes in FA--how has that worked out recently?

I'd love to have "more toys for Eli", but you also have to realize where the playing with the toys, and having the D makes stops so the O sees the field, starts, and that's with the less sexy, less glamourous picks are made. Reese has lost sight of that and I'm not sure TC is so happy about that.

As someone above said, if the line(s) is/are addressed in FA, ok.

btw, JonC, I saw a reply long after you made it as I returned to the thread, and I think it dovetails with the gist here, when you said Reese did what he could with the $$ and FA available--but that's what happens when you shortchange your roster into a corner and leave few if any appealing options. Reese struck out in his re-making of the lines in 2014 (save and except, we hope, Richburg). At some point....
McGinn draft analysis on Peat  
Coach Mason : 1/28/2015 7:00 pm : link
Based on recent draft history, the majority of juniors with a legitimate chance for the first round declare. Stanford's Andrus Peat (6-6½, 310) might be the exception even though four scouts said he'd be the first tackle taken.

Peat's father, Todd, played six NFL seasons as a squatty guard for the Cardinals and Raiders.

"He's got everything," one scout said. "Size, the bend, the feet, the tenacity."

David Shaw:
"I don't know if there's been anybody else in our conference, in the last eight years, that is as good as Andrus Peat has been and can be. In my entire career, nine years in the NFL, the only offensive lineman that was a step above of where Andrus can be is Jonathan Ogden -- one of the best tackles to ever play," Shaw said Thursday at Pac-12 Media Days. "Besides that special, special player, he's the most talented I've ever been around.

"And he's still scratching the surface. He can be phenomenal. Hopefully we have him for two more years."

Boylhart:
Andrus has the overall athletic talent, size, lateral agility and techniques to be one of the top left tackles who can actually play Left Tackle at the next level for the team that selects him in this draft. His pass blocking techniques are excellent and his ability to mirror his opponent in this draft is one of the best. Andrus seems to take pride in his play and seems to have the mental toughness needed to be a Left Tackle for the next level. What I see when evaluating Andrus on film is the consistency he has in the use of technique with his hands and feet. That is very impressive and very unusual for any offensive tackle at any level. The value of offensive linemen will be very high in this draft no matter what position they play and Andrus will be one of those very highly valued players.

Will this be the year the stars align and the Giants finally draft the best LT they have had since Jumbo?
To me he has the talent of Tyron Smith on Dallas.  
yatqb : 1/28/2015 7:08 pm : link
A major player. I fear he won't be there for us, but if he is he'd be a coup.
RE: NO WAY IN HELL !  
David in LA : 1/28/2015 7:08 pm : link
In comment 12113638 Red Dog said:
Quote:
Fix the OL or fire Reese and Ross.

The LAST thing this team needs is another damn WR. They've already got a dozen of them. What they don't have is a dominant OLT or a starting Guard to go with Schwartz.

In this scenario, an OL is an absolute no brainer.


If you're going to make a fucking point, you'd be better off without the hyperbole. Where's the half dozen WR's on our roster? After Odell all we have are question marks at the position. A good way for GM's to get fired is to bank on players bouncing back from severe injury or hoping an inconsistent performer puts everything together. I wouldn't be opposed to taking a lineman, but to pigeonhole your options to say "OLT or bust" is a good way to set your team back by reaching for a player that doesn't warrant where they are picked.
RE: To me he has the talent of Tyron Smith on Dallas.  
Coach Mason : 1/28/2015 7:17 pm : link
In comment 12113673 yatqb said:
Quote:
A major player. I fear he won't be there for us, but if he is he'd be a coup.


There's a chance Yat

Had a bit of an underwhelming year relative to previous so that may drop him. He is also viewed as slightly developmental (as Tyron was) so that may drop him down as well.
That would be great, Coach. My concern, though,  
yatqb : 1/28/2015 7:20 pm : link
is that both he and Scherff will be gone when we're up. I guess Shelton could be a consolation prize, though.
I am all about BPA  
SGMen : 1/28/2015 7:24 pm : link
If BPA is WR Parker than so be it. You have to remember that we won't know about Cruz until training camp and pre-season games are going on. Also, Randle is in the final year of his contract.

This past year was unusual with so many receivers blossoming into standouts as rookies. Normally, a first round wideout doesn't begin making an impact until the 2nd half of their rookie seasons. Also, injuries happen in the NFL.

I really want Cooper to fall though I know he won't fall as far as #9 but if the Giants draft board has Parker at the top when their pick comes so be it.

I'd prefer veteran relief for the OL because Eli deserves as much. If the OL is shuffled as Beatty-Schwartz-Richburg-UFA-,Pugh we may have the ability to RUN and PASS.

I can see us taking Peat #1 as well. Or Scherff even. Or Collins. Or Flowers. I mean, at this point it is too early to truly tell.
RE: if they fix the OL in free agency  
Coach Mason : 1/28/2015 7:27 pm : link
In comment 12113607 WeatherMan said:
Quote:
I'd be fine with this pick.


Orlando Franklin and then Peat@9 and your line becomes:

2015:
Beatty-Pugh-Richburg-Schwartz-Franklin

-With Peat being coached up & ready to jump in in case of injury (Franklin can shift to Gaurd to allow Peat to play RT in case of injury to Pugh or Schwartz).

2016:
Peat-Pugh-Richburg-Schwartz-Franklin

or

Peat-Franklin-Richburg-Schwartz-Pugh

-Save roughly 7 mill in cap space by letting Beatty go.

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