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Overpaid? Why Dwayne Harris may be worth every penny...

Eric from BBI : Admin : 3/27/2015 12:35 pm
Quote:
"That tells you the level of value the league saw him as," Harris' co-agent Chad Speck said during a telephone interview with NJ Advance Media. "The Giants, they played against him twice a year the last four years. They know exactly what he is and they're getting a great football player.

"And the Giants weren't the only team involved in the numbers that Dwayne ultimately signed for."

Overpaid? Why Dwayne Harris may be worth every penny for the Giants - ( New Window )
If he continues to post similar return numbers  
Jay on the Island : 3/27/2015 12:39 pm : link
and gives the Giants 400-500 receiving yards then we will look back and call him a bargain.
And again,  
Big Blue '56 : 3/27/2015 12:41 pm : link
frees OBJ from return duties
agent claims client not overpaid  
chris r : 3/27/2015 12:42 pm : link
news at 11.
I believe I've seen every game  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 12:45 pm : link
the Giants played the Cowboys in Dwayne Harris's career.

I am slightly less qualified than the Giants FO at evaluating talent (ok, that's a joke), but he never stuck out to me as "oh crap, they have Harris back there" or "oh crap Harris is lined up as a wide out".

I never thought he was anything more than average.

And that's why the Giants have professionals doing this, not fans like me. I would not have signed him, nor would I have paid him that kind of money.

They're probably right, and I'm probably wrong.
and it weakens Dallas  
JonC : 3/27/2015 12:46 pm : link
He was often a spark for them on specials, that's where his core value resides.
RE: agent claims client not overpaid  
Section331 : 3/27/2015 12:48 pm : link
In comment 12206472 chris r said:
Quote:
news at 11.


Exactly. I have no problem signing him, but I think they could have gotten him, or someone like him, for far less of a guarantee. With all of our needs, spending that much on a PR is mind-boggling.
RE: And again,  
Mason : 3/27/2015 12:49 pm : link
In comment 12206470 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
frees OBJ from return duties


Not according to Coughlin.
Harris  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 12:50 pm : link
averaged half a yard more than Preston Parker on kick returns, and 1 yard more per return than Beckham.

like I said I don't see the allure or even if he's solid in the return game, I don't see the money.
eh, not worth micro-analyzing the $  
JonC : 3/27/2015 12:52 pm : link
It takes OB off punt returns, that's a positive.

Stats aren't everything and they don't always tell a complete story. I saw him ignite Dallas' sideline more than once last year.
We have no way of knowing what the other offers were.  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/27/2015 12:59 pm : link
There's not much point worrying about it either.

As for the agent's remarks, would you rather he said, "Either I'm the world's smartest agent or Jerry Reese is the world's dumbest GM. Maybe both. $7MM guaranteed for Dwayne Harris? Are you kidding me?"
I think his skills as a gunner  
larryflower37 : 3/27/2015 1:02 pm : link
Are also very important to mention.
We have not had a strong gunner in a long time.
RE: RE: agent claims client not overpaid  
giants#1 : 3/27/2015 1:03 pm : link
In comment 12206489 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 12206472 chris r said:


Quote:


news at 11.



Exactly. I have no problem signing him, but I think they could have gotten him, or someone like him, for far less of a guarantee. With all of our needs, spending that much on a PR is mind-boggling.


That's kind of the point. There aren't many (any?) other guys that are above average returners and punt/kick coverage guys. So it's likely they would've had to sign 2 guys to replace him (and use 2 game day roster spots).

It's also interesting that despite only getting ~11 offensive snaps/game last year, he still played 450 snaps, which is almost as many as DT Dan Williams played. Again, it's not your typical KR/PR that is out there for 5-6 snaps a game.
I think people are missing the point  
blueblood : 3/27/2015 1:03 pm : link
every year we cry about how bad the specials are.. and the Giants go out and get guys who EXCEL at Specials. In fact a guy who returns punts, kicks, and is a top gunner. AND he can play as a slot receiver if necessary.. AND He is a PHYSICAL player.. AND he is a good blocker in the running game..

I mean come on.. these are the guys you win with.. maybe not sexy.. but you need these guys...
Not to worry  
spike : 3/27/2015 1:05 pm : link
We still have Coach Quinn on ST.
TC said it himself  
old man : 3/27/2015 1:05 pm : link
that he is a guy that they want to use in O, as he could/would help take pressure off OBJ, be a slot taking pressure off the Cruz situation, the kick returns factor of course, and part of the 4wide set.
They did not pay that $$ for a returner but for their options/needs in using him.
It appears  
River Mike : 3/27/2015 1:08 pm : link
that some did not read the article because the criticism seems to be whether or not the PR potential is worth the money. The article stresses that's not the issue.
Said already Harris is a player....  
jsuds : 3/27/2015 1:12 pm : link
And NO OTHER player in the NFL contributes to all the roles Harris does.

Can't wait 'til he has his first big play of the year that no one expects. Then people will realize he is worth it.
Harris  
stretch234 : 3/27/2015 1:22 pm : link
Harris is 6th among active players in avg yds per kick return

Harris is 3rd among active players in avg yds per punt return

He is among a handful of the best returners - you absolutely can not find guys just as good

He also covers kicks and punts,

As others said - he gets OBJ off punt return duty.

Curious who they think who was cheaper and younger, and that was actually available.
RE: And again,  
81_Great_Dane : 3/27/2015 1:25 pm : link
In comment 12206470 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
frees OBJ from return duties
I don't understand this line of thinking. The Giants' return game has been subpar for years. OBJ isn't a proven punt return star, but if he is the best punt returner on the team, why would the Giants want to "free him" from that? The Giants of all teams know what an impact a star receiver can have returning punts.

I know there's a generation of Giants fans still walking around with PTSD over the Jason Sehorn injury, but I think they need to get better on returns by getting better guys on returns.
RE: I think his skills as a gunner  
Section331 : 3/27/2015 1:28 pm : link
In comment 12206525 larryflower37 said:
Quote:
Are also very important to mention.
We have not had a strong gunner in a long time.


That is a great point. His kick coverage should really help our ST's. See, I feel better about it already!
It's exhausting when people on BBI state claims  
LI NHB : 3/27/2015 1:33 pm : link
with certainty like they have any sort of specific facts on the inter workings of the organization. Of course everyone is entitled to their own opinions on this stuff, but it's important that you remember that they are opinions from a fans-length distance.

You can't, however, just come on BBI and clamor that the Giants could have gotten someone equivalent at a cheaper price. It's just such back-seat driving.

State your opinions, but don't scoff at a FA move in March when you have no idea about a player's market, the coaches intentions or the front offices plan for the rest of the offseason.

Let's give the professionals a chance to do their job before ripping them for not knowing how to do their job.
WTF do people obsess on how much we paid?  
drkenneth : 3/27/2015 1:34 pm : link
It's a 5 year deal. You aren't paying for it.

People here were screaming for us to sign Suh for Christ sake's.
.  
arcarsenal : 3/27/2015 1:36 pm : link
Hidden yardage.

That's where a guy like Dwayne Harris helps you and what makes him valuable.

Good player to have. He'll make a positive difference even if it doesn't jump out at you.
WTF don't people understand the money  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 1:37 pm : link
is the only issue some people have with the signing.

And if you don't understand why signing a player for more money is worse than signing the same player for less money then my question is answered for me and it has become rhetorical.
A good article in that  
Randy in CT : 3/27/2015 1:39 pm : link
it promotes my optimistic view of the signing.
RE: WTF do people obsess on how much we paid?  
Big Blue '56 : 3/27/2015 1:40 pm : link
In comment 12206594 drkenneth said:
Quote:
It's a 5 year deal. You aren't paying for it.

People here were screaming for us to sign Suh for Christ sake's.


As if what they sign for is going to hamstring us moving forward or thwart us from signing other FAs if we care to
RE: WTF don't people understand the money  
LI NHB : 3/27/2015 1:42 pm : link
In comment 12206602 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
is the only issue some people have with the signing.

And if you don't understand why signing a player for more money is worse than signing the same player for less money then my question is answered for me and it has become rhetorical.


Who is the same player for less money? Please, tell me.
i'm more worried about our blocking  
nyynyg : 3/27/2015 1:43 pm : link
on returns and that we never seem to have space like other teams. it seems like on punts in particular there are always guys right there.
RE: RE: WTF don't people understand the money  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 1:44 pm : link
In comment 12206613 LI NHB said:
Quote:
In comment 12206602 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


is the only issue some people have with the signing.

And if you don't understand why signing a player for more money is worse than signing the same player for less money then my question is answered for me and it has become rhetorical.



Who is the same player for less money? Please, tell me.

I don't think you understand what I wrote.
That article didn't present anything new...  
raever : 3/27/2015 1:45 pm : link
His multiple special teams skills have been thoroughly discussed here on BBI. If $7.1mg was what it was going to take to get him signed I would have let someone else pay it.
talk to me in September and beyond  
djm : 3/27/2015 1:51 pm : link
I couldn't care less how much this guy is paid, for the most part people were/are freaking out about 1-2 million guaranteed. This contract won't bother this franchise at all. But if he gives us nothing we won't be happy he's getting paid anything at all.

Lets be honest we have missed on a shit load of these "under the radar" type signings lately. And even with the 7 mil and everyone talking about the contract this is still an under the radar signing. We need to hit on a few of these and fast. This off-season may pale in comparison to last but we need these 2015 signings to contribute every bit as much as last year's big three of DRC, Schwartz and Jennings.

arc  
JonC : 3/27/2015 1:53 pm : link
Yup, and he should be a roster upgrade from Parker.
RE: RE: WTF do people obsess on how much we paid?  
drkenneth : 3/27/2015 1:54 pm : link
In comment 12206609 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
In comment 12206594 drkenneth said:


Quote:


It's a 5 year deal. You aren't paying for it.

People here were screaming for us to sign Suh for Christ sake's.



As if what they sign for is going to hamstring us moving forward or thwart us from signing other FAs if we care to


I hear you...But do you really think that is the case? Or is it typically BBI "I would have offered X" horseshit?
'Hidden yardage' and upgrading Parker is worth that guarantee?  
raever : 3/27/2015 1:55 pm : link
Give McCourty the extra million and get him inked...now that would have been a smarter way to spend it.
pjcas18 you said money is the only issue and  
LI NHB : 3/27/2015 1:56 pm : link
that if we don't understand why signing a player for more money is worse than signing the same player for less money then your question is answered.

You also used average return yard to suggest he's not an upgrade from Preston Parker to validate why we spent too much on Harris.

I am saying, you're evaluation of Harris' abilities is the issue here. Having a 14-team market on the opening day of FA indicates that a whole host of people far more connected than you think he is a very valuable commodity. The article above says that no one in the NFL is as versatile in his craft as Harris is.

The Giants are paying him more because he does more things and he does them better than most who he's compared against. Why does that not validate a higher contract?
RE: 'Hidden yardage' and upgrading Parker is worth that guarantee?  
YAJ2112 : 3/27/2015 1:58 pm : link
In comment 12206639 raever said:
Quote:
Give McCourty the extra million and get him inked...now that would have been a smarter way to spend it.


11MM a year for a safety, who still might have turned down the offer?
waitaminute  
JonC : 3/27/2015 1:59 pm : link
Harris didn't sign for $7M per ...
It's so funny to read threads like  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 2:00 pm : link
this. The people freaking out are those who have issues with anyone not 100% supportive of the signing.

I'm not a fan of the deal, but I'm 100% under control, no ire, no venom about it, no freaking out, not obsessing, just think it's too much money for this particular player.

And i don't think Harris is that great. I think he's a decent returner at best, not a difference maker at all. I think he's a slightly better Devin Thomas (maybe) who returns punts.

I hope it works out, and people can ridicule me for not thinking it was a great allocation of resources.

And none of us have the slightest idea if paying 7.1M guaranteed to Harris had an impact on other signings.

Maybe it meant they had to shave a million or two off the offer to McCourty. Maybe it meant they had to shave a million or two of an extension to JPP or maybe it means nothing and any player on the planet the Giants want they have room for.

Most of the time the Giants can do what they want to with the cap, but I don't think that's a 100% iron clad fact. Sometimes they can't.
In case you missed it we don't have a decent safety on the roster  
raever : 3/27/2015 2:01 pm : link
Not one guy you can look to and say we know what we will get from this player on gameday.
RE: In case you missed it we don't have a decent safety on the roster  
Randy in CT : 3/27/2015 2:03 pm : link
In comment 12206655 raever said:
Quote:
Not one guy you can look to and say we know what we will get from this player on gameday.
WTF does this mean? Are you referring to Harris? If so, you may be the only one who doesn't think he will be a very good addition.
pjcas18 that's totally fair.  
LI NHB : 3/27/2015 2:12 pm : link
I am not freaking out or vehemently supporting the signing either. In fact, I have even posted over the past couple weeks that, of all the FA signings, the Harris money was the most curious to me.

My issue was with people casually acting like there is another, comparable guy that we could have for less money and make the same impact. Harris is a complete STer and a capable 4th receiver.

If you want to give a suggestion as to who you thought would be an equivalent player for less than fine, but just making a blanket statement that we could get the same guy for less elsewhere is nonsense.
I wasn't suggesting a different player  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 2:15 pm : link
I was saying if the Giants signed Harris for less I'd think it was a better signing. If that's impossible then I wouldn't have signed him.

I know this exercise is impossible, but if we pretend the Giants never signed Harris, but the Redskins did for 5 years 17.5M with 7.1M guaranteed, what do you think the reaction would be here?

LOLRedskins...is my guess.
Randy  
raever : 3/27/2015 2:15 pm : link
read the posts and you won't come across as totally clueless. Too late....
McCourty got over $20M guar  
JonC : 3/27/2015 2:22 pm : link
.
He covers kicks  
jvm52106 : 3/27/2015 2:22 pm : link
very well. We need guys who can do that as our special teams have sucked over the last 10 years. he can be a difference maker there for us.
McCourty got $28.5M guar  
JonC : 3/27/2015 2:23 pm : link
and there was word that NYG made the highest offer in terms of guar dollars.
For me, I'll need one game  
Marine One : 3/27/2015 2:36 pm : link
to determine his worth. When was the last time any of you remember seeing any Giant special teams player enter your screen left or right, before a return man caught the ball?
RE: Randy  
Randy in CT : 3/27/2015 2:38 pm : link
In comment 12206676 raever said:
Quote:
read the posts and you won't come across as totally clueless. Too late....
One of us appears to be clueless. Agreed.
pjcas18: I think there's a consistent philosophy at work here.  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/27/2015 2:53 pm : link
It's also evident in Reese's approach to the Draft, where he would rather pick his guy a little early than wait until the next round - or trade down - and maybe miss out on a player he really likes. In the same vein, he's willing to overpay to keep a free agent he wants from leaving the Meadowlands unsigned.

There's at least one significant disadvantage to this approach: it makes your mistakes more costly. More subtly, it reduces the benefits of being right. In Reese's view, the trade-off is worth it. At any rate, he's consistent.
Worth every penny  
arniefez : 3/27/2015 3:02 pm : link
if he keeps OBJ off ST's
RE: In case you missed it we don't have a decent safety on the roster  
YAJ2112 : 3/27/2015 3:12 pm : link
In comment 12206655 raever said:
Quote:
Not one guy you can look to and say we know what we will get from this player on gameday.


And that has nothing to do with the money we spent on Harris. We could have added more $ to the McCourty deal if they felt he was worth it regardless of signing Harris.
RE: RE: In case you missed it we don't have a decent safety on the roster  
LI NHB : 3/27/2015 3:22 pm : link
In comment 12206839 YAJ2112 said:
Quote:
And that has nothing to do with the money we spent on Harris. We could have added more $ to the McCourty deal if they felt he was worth it regardless of signing Harris.


It is clear that McCourty wasn't purely in it for the $$. He wanted to stay with the Pats and they came up to meet his asking price. Pretty simple. I doubt we would have pried him away with an extra mil.
I only mentioned McCourty  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 3:23 pm : link
as an example.

not THE example.

could be anyone really: McCourty, JPP, Prince, Eli, who knows.

cap space is finite.

Can't blame anyone that sees his contract as an overpay  
Torrag : 3/27/2015 5:21 pm : link
That's a lot of guaranteed coin for a player whose claim to fame lies in 'hidden yardage'. It would be money better spent re-signing core starters JPP/Prince/Eli imo. The salary cap can be a stern taskmaster.
yeah, wait until we see Tom Quinn gets his hands on him  
SHO'NUFF : 3/27/2015 6:31 pm : link
and renders him ineffective...then we'll talk.
Guys  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/27/2015 6:44 pm : link
The total guaranteed money paid to a player doesn't affect other FA moves. It's all in how the contract is structured.

Harris counts for $1.8M against the cap this year, hardly a cap buster. Next year he gets the balance of his guaranteed money, $2.125M of his $2.975M base salary.

After the first two years, the Giants can cut him if they choose to, at which point they start to recognize a cap savings. That savings obviously increases the deeper into the contract.

So please don't get swept up in thinking all that guaranteed money hamstrung the Giants from signing other FAs. It didn't. And don't fall I to the "Oh my God, $17 million is too much for a return specialist!" trap either.

If anything, Kevin Abrams has done a wonderful job, IMO, with how he's been structuring some of these contracts this offseason.
I like his  
mattlawson : 3/27/2015 7:56 pm : link
Versatility
Speed
Physicality

I thought this was a good signing.
I stand corrected  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 8:09 pm : link
no better source for telling me to shut up my opinion is wrong than Pat (very politely of course).
RE: Guys  
JCin332 : 3/27/2015 8:26 pm : link
In comment 12207160 Pat from Inside Football said:
Quote:
The total guaranteed money paid to a player doesn't affect other FA moves. It's all in how the contract is structured.

Harris counts for $1.8M against the cap this year, hardly a cap buster. Next year he gets the balance of his guaranteed money, $2.125M of his $2.975M base salary.

After the first two years, the Giants can cut him if they choose to, at which point they start to recognize a cap savings. That savings obviously increases the deeper into the contract.

So please don't get swept up in thinking all that guaranteed money hamstrung the Giants from signing other FAs. It didn't. And don't fall I to the "Oh my God, $17 million is too much for a return specialist!" trap either.

If anything, Kevin Abrams has done a wonderful job, IMO, with how he's been structuring some of these contracts this offseason.


Thanks Pat very informative..
pjcas18: I don't think Pat refuted your position.  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/27/2015 8:59 pm : link
She's answering a different question: Will Dwayne Harris's contract constrain the Giants from making other moves they want to makeover the next few years? The answer is no, for several reasons, most of which Pat already cited.

I think your basic point was simply that the Giants are paying a hell of a lot for a player who does the things Harris does, and that overpaying players is a bad habit that eventually bears nasty consequences. Your point and Pat's don't really contradict each other.

You're right about bad contracts catching up with the teams that write them. The question remains whether Harris's contract is a bad one - and even if it's bad, is it bad in a big enough way to have a material effect? Hell, Barrett Green, Will Demps and Rocky Bernard (the first time) were sh!tty signings, but the Giants shrugged them off, ate the dead money and won Super Bowls within a year or two.

Personally, I see signings like Harris, Thomas and Casillas as the Giants' bitter medicine for ill-fated drafting. If the Giants had found a Dwayne Harris in the sixth round last year - as the Cowboys did in 2011 - they would be paying $510K to fill the same roles this year. Instead, they drafted Bennett Jackson, who was waived after multiple minor injuries and wound up needing microfracture surgery after tearing a hole in his knee on the practice squad. Sh!t happens. The roles still needed to be filled, and Harris was the best available option. He's way more expensive than a sixth-round pick, but he's also a much surer thing.
I just meant Patti's view  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 9:07 pm : link
that Abrams is doing a solid job with these contracts and Harris can be released after two seasons painlessly. I feel like I'm pretty well versed in contracts and I'm not someone who says 17M, wtf? I get guaranteed money and how it works, and how contracts get paid, but Patti has a MUCH better grasp of what's well structured than I am.

Patti didn't change my mind that I don't think much of Harris the player, but I've been wrong on player evaluation before (and will be again) LOL.
Pat: I think you're letting the Giants off a bit easy.  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/27/2015 9:17 pm : link
If Harris is only on the team for two years, it will probably mean he was a bad signing. While you're right that there's a net cap savings from cutting him in 2017, it's still a lousy outcome: He will have been paid $8MM for two years of performing at a level that got him cut. That's not good at any position, let alone special teamer/fourth receiver.

I've been a resolute defender of these signings, especially of their modest risk profile (see link below). But for Harris to actually be a successful signing, he has to be seriously good. Not Cross-between-Devin-Hester-Steve-Tasker-and-Wes-Welker good, but still...
Oops...  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/27/2015 9:18 pm : link
Forgot the link to the earlier discussion.
NYG UFA Class of '15: A fair price for past errors - ( New Window )
I'm sorry but how in the world  
Semipro Lineman : 3/27/2015 9:32 pm : link
are you guys regulars on this site where there have been numerous salary cap threads and still believing that a $7M guarantee spread out over five years is eating up significant cap space?
pjcas18  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/27/2015 9:33 pm : link
You're putting words into my mouth and quite honestly I'm not sure what I said to ruffle your feathers, so let's clear this up right now.

If I'm going to tell you you're wrong, I'll say it flat out--and you're DEAD WRONG about the intention behind my initial post on this thread (how's THAT for clarity?)

I offered an opinion, which last I checked I'm entitled to. You are entitled to yours, I'm entitled to mine. I never said you were wrong or that my opinion was gospel.

I'm simply saying that paying a guy $7.1M in guaranteed money did not prevent them from signing other big-ticket free agents this year because you look at how the contract is structured and what the cap hits are.

With Harris, I think he's not only going to be the return specialist, but he's insurance in case Cruz isn't ready to go. Then next year, if Randle isn't on this roster, or heaven forbid Cruz is finished, now suddenly Harris has a chance to be your third or even second receiver based on what we know to be on the roster at this point.

And before you say, "Well, what has he done to warrant that kind of consideration," this goes on all the time. Martellus Bennett didn't have a lot of production playing behind Jason Witten and he worked out just fine for the short time he was here.

In Harris' case, he's played behind Dez Bryant and others who ended up getting the lion's share of the pass targets. There are only so many passes to go around each game so usually someone is going to have to take a back seat.

My opinion is that Abrams has done a solid job with how these contracts have been structured, not just this year but over the long haul.

FWIW, I thought the David Baas contract was one of the worst they handed out, from money to how it was structured.

I hope this clears things up.
Semipro Lineman  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 3/27/2015 9:35 pm : link
It's not if he is here the full five years. But if he is cut in a year or two, it's a different story.
Blogger  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/27/2015 9:40 pm : link
I disagree. If Harris is on the team for just two years, the dead money hit is what, $2.4M with a $1.4M cap savings.

Very few free agents signed from other teams to multiyear deals make it through the entire contract. Rolle was a recent exception that came to mind.

All I’m saying is that realistically speaking, NFL contracts are usually one-year deals unless there is guaranteed money involved on a base salary.

When I look at Harris’ contract, I see a two-year deal given the guaranteed money on the base salaries, and a three one-year deals where they can terminate the contract at any time after that second year and recognize a savings.
Eric  
Semipro Lineman : 3/27/2015 9:44 pm : link
I would have added the qualifier about affecting the first year but like others have said everything after year two becomes only a minor consideration.

If he makes pass the first three years of the contract then the dead money appears to be limited to $825,000 in each of the next two years.
Link - ( New Window )
Actually  
Semipro Lineman : 3/27/2015 9:49 pm : link
I'm wrong. It's only $800,000 each season as he doesn't get the $25,000 per year workout bonus.
Patti  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 9:52 pm : link
if anything I was complimenting you for explaining the contract and clarifying Abrams approach with all these recent signings.

Not sure what I typed to upset you. No feathers were ruffled by me whatsoever.

sorry if you felt that way. I was just saying your explanation helped me change my opinion, since i felt like if Harris were signed for like a vet min deal I'd be happy with it and even looking forward to seeing him contribute - the money was the only thing I had a problem with.

I value your contributions here and love your twitter stuff, so whatever I poorly typed to give you the impression I was arguing with I apologize.
If you meant this:  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 9:59 pm : link
Quote:
I stand corrected
pjcas18 : 8:09 pm : link : reply
no better source for telling me to shut up my opinion is wrong than Pat (very politely of course).


I was being 100% facetious...your explanation corrected my opinion
pjcas18  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/27/2015 10:06 pm : link
Obviously a drawback of communicating this way is you miss the person's tone, which can help you distinguish the intent behind the words.

So my apologies if I came across as too hard in response to your original post. There are no hard feelings on my end and I hope there are none on your end as well.

RE: pjcas18  
pjcas18 : 3/27/2015 10:12 pm : link
In comment 12207381 Pat from Inside Football said:
Quote:
Obviously a drawback of communicating this way is you miss the person's tone, which can help you distinguish the intent behind the words.

So my apologies if I came across as too hard in response to your original post. There are no hard feelings on my end and I hope there are none on your end as well.


LOL, no none at all and I did appreciate your explanation so thank you for that.
pjcas18  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/27/2015 10:14 pm : link
Anytime.
Pat: There are at least two separate parts to the question.  
Big Blue Blogger : 3/28/2015 7:10 am : link
1. What does it mean for the Harris signing to be "successful"?

2. If it's unsuccessful, can the Giants get out of it in 2017 with minimal cap damage?

Clearly, the answer to #2 is "yes", for all the reasons you cite:
Quote:
Pat from Inside Football said:

I disagree. If Harris is on the team for just two years, the dead money hit is what, $2.4M with a $1.4M cap savings.

Very few free agents signed from other teams to multiyear deals make it through the entire contract. Rolle was a recent exception that came to mind.

All I’m saying is that realistically speaking, NFL contracts are usually one-year deals unless there is guaranteed money involved on a base salary.

When I look at Harris’ contract, I see a two-year deal given the guaranteed money on the base salaries, and a three one-year deals where they can terminate the contract at any time after that second year and recognize a savings.

That brings us back to question #1. If the Giants cut Dwayne Harris in March 2017, it will likely mean he didn't play up to their expectations, and that they have chosen not to throw good money after bad. They will have paid $8MM over two years for a player who is closer to what pjcas18 thinks he is than what Jerry Reese thinks he is (setting aside the possibility of injury for the moment). That would make him a bad signing. The structure of the contract will mitigate the damage in 2017 and beyond; but it won't change 2015 and 2016, when the Giants will have counted on Dwayne Harris for a major contribution, paid him accordingly, and come up short.

Harris signed for five years, with $7.1MM guaranteed. The contract isn't heavily back-loaded, so if he plays well he could conceivably finish his career as a Giant in January 2020 without ever restructuring. In my view, the "tipping point" for the Harris signing is the 2017 season: if he's still here in January 2018, the signing was at least OK. If sticks though 2018, the signing looks good. You accurately describe the last three years of the deal as, essentially, team options. The more of those options the Giants exercise, the better the deal will probably look.

History supports this view. I used Eric's Free Agency Scorecards to look back at the Giants' signings under Accorsi and Reese. I couldn't find a single decent signing with any significant guarantees where the player didn't stick around for at least two-thirds of the original contract term.

Now, if Harris helps the Giants reach the Super Bowl this season, then blows out a knee and gets released in 2017, he will have earned every penny of his $8MM. In most realistic scenarios, though, only serving out 40% of his contract will reflect a bad signing.
re: his offensive production  
bc4life : 3/28/2015 9:05 am : link
we're plugging him into Green Bay's offense not Dallas or the Giants' old offense.

RE: special teams - not just providing performance, will add leadership to our ST. When was the last time any player was considered a ST leader on the field?
Blogger  
Pat from Inside Football : 3/28/2015 10:59 am : link
Realistically speaking, how many free agents who sign on for more than three years make it to the end of their contracts? Rolle was one, and I'm sure there might be others, but overall I'd guess there aren't many. So just because a FA doesn't finish a contract doesn't mean it was a bad signing. Team needs change over the course of contract...a young player might step up and make a veteran expendable.
I think it was a great signing that makes sense at that money  
gersh : 3/28/2015 3:08 pm : link
Harris is very good and very reliable as a punt and kick returner and in punt and kick return coverage.

He upgrades those 4 units with one signing. The yardage he makes and prevents every game will be substantial.

In filing all those roles, plus (let's say) 4th WR, he provides more flexibility on the 53 players on the roster and those active on game day.

I do admit that the numbers are higher than ideal, but it is fair to assume that offer was necessary to sign him. He is 27, has been durable, and adds to every aspect of ST. IMO, it was a very wise use of cap money.

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