A top 10 pick OL must be a tackle, a potential pro bowl tackle and ideally, a future pro bowl left tackle.
I do not need the most pro ready player.....but potentially the best pro.
This might be controversial but as long as we have Eli, any of our starters must pass protect first and foremost. I know run blocking has been a hot topic....."mauler" has been the description everyone wants.....
Why not Scherff.....he just looks like a future guard to me. Iowa produces OL and he is a workout god......all good but I believe he is more maxed out.
This might be idiotic thinking but I feel the same toward LSU, The U, etc. ....as football factories.......and might be naive.....but I still view Stanford as a college first......
I like Collins......he neutralizes his guys everytime......and he would be my next choice but the tie breaker was age and also feel Collins is more max out.
I feel Peat's best football is ahead of him. I feel he is NFL ready now but needs an off season of pro-conditioning . Tackle feet but I see a man child with a world potential.
But I am not a draftnik.....I rely on '56 and others......and came across this article with my same belief.
http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/the-top-5-offensive-tackles-in-the-2015-nfl-draft/
Strange draft IMO. Lot of shuffling opinions regarding these OT.
SF.
If that's true then he won't be the pick. They aren't taking a Beatty level player at 9. There are other options.
Second, I came away Thinking we can get a "high potential" even into the low 30 slots.
Next, of those 5...Given this one year....If go Rt at Flowers...because he can play now and has the highest floor and ceiling at a starting position.
Collins is next for he is the least disruption to the line in year one...As a LG Pugh does not have to move as well. Then in 2016 Collins goes to Rt and Pugh goes inside or to LT to replace Beatty.
Peat is third to me for although his ceiling is a dream...it involves not playing in 2015 and requires a LG for 2015.
Imho
With Peat, I am a little apprehensive about drafting a player that needs coaching to develop (Peat only started playing football in HS). That has not been a strong suit for the Giants coaching staff, particularly the OL coaches.
Regardless, I would not be upset with Peat, he's a great player, and we need help on the OL. I just like the other two OL guys better.
Sy also believes that Scherff has the feet to eventually move to OLT..
It appears to me that Scherff or Collins would fit nicely and could play ORT from the get-go with Pugh sliding to LG..
If it's OL at 9 I'd prefer Scherff at this point..
Why is Peat in such lousy condition? Why didn't he dominate the competition consistently?
Collins is limited athletically. How does that impact his upside?
Flowers pass protection needs a lot of work. Footwork, kickslide, balance...it's all ugly.
Clemmings is raw at everything but is the second best athlete of the group.
Rest assured the Giants hierarchy knows that answer but will not reveal it until after the draft.
If Pugh is moved to left guard, then you need to draft the player that will be the best right tackle. Many think that is Flowers.
Another point I have not seen mentioned is that Flowers, who is only 20 and younger that Peat, is not using an agent (he and his Dad will do the negotiations).
This month is all about deception from General Managers. Lets face it, agents talk. With Flowers not using an agent, any team (like the Giants) that floats out information about an interest in Flowers is not subject to "agent talk" verification and continues the deception of where a teams Round 1 draft interest really lies.
That gives the Giants the flexibility of targeting an OT #9(Scherff/Collins/Peat) if the value is there in their eyes. Or waiting until #40 and landing a plug and play OG(Tomlinson/Erving/Cann).
Explain that logic to me? Isn't upside connected to athleticism? It is in the minds of NFL scouts and GM's.
As far as the Iowa connection that meme has been debunked. The Iowa program has sent a lot more success stories to the NFL than failures. Every prospect is his own and should be judged as such.
As a rookie, Beatty played in all 16 games, with four starts. So, for Peat...figure special teams, at least...maybe more if he's pressed into service if something happens to Beatty.
RT. Pugh goes to guard.
If the Giants draft in the # 9 slot, it will be for an immediate starter
Drafting Peat, also puts out a tremendous distraction of Beatty questions.
There is significant pressure on the Giants ownership and management to get back into the playoffs this year. I can't imagine any player at any position that is taken at #9 not being handed a starting slot.
The more I think about it the more Peat has become my odds on favorite pick by Reese. I consider the following:
The Giants need a quality backup for Beatty. OT Marshall Newhouse looks closer to Charlie Brown than he does an answer to an important question.
Peat is only 21 years old and Reese seems to prefer his high picks on the young side. Plus that youth means he has plenty of upside
Peat is the one top O-line prospect that has the most certainty of being a starting NFL OLT at some point in his career
Peat is a physical specimen with the sort of length Jerry seems to prefer. Even Reese admitted that Pugh's short arms gave him pause and sent him back to look at tape.
If you consider Scherff and Collins those two are physically too much like Pugh.
Reese doesn't tend to draft interior linemen high. Peat is an offensive tackle no ifs, ands or buts. There is some question and uncertainty toward Scherff and Collins ever being an OLT
Beatty will need to be replaced in 2 years and in those years the team needs another starting caliber OLT because of Beatty's long injury history. They need to replace Eli. Imagine if Beatty didn't have a rare season where he started all 16 games last season. Eli isn't as young and isn't able to absorb the punishment a sub par blind side protector would subject him to.
Peat is projected lower than the Giants pick in most mocks. One thing with Reese, many of his picks over the past few years were projected by the majority of mock drafts to go lower than the Giants drafted them. Pugh wasn't expected to go as high as he was. Same with OBJ. Same with Wilson. I suspect this has more to do with the Giants scouting staff being pretty good at keeping their mouths shut. So the mocksters that count on insider information to build their mock drafts don't know how much the Giants like a particular prospect.
Peat did have a bad game againts Utah, but then every offensive linemen has a bad game. You don't judge a player by one bad game. Consider Hall of Fame offensive tackle Walter Jones. Remember when Osi beat him up and took his lunch money?
Some have suggested that Peat is soft (from all I can see that's unfounded) but that didn't scare Reese away from drafting Beatty who had a similar label.
He played in a pro style offense, big plus and is well coached so he should be day one ready and less of a risk than the OTs from the spread offenses (who have struggled quite a bit learning the Pro Game)
He should start at RT opening day and be the staring LT two years down the road or sooner if Beatty's health demands
Finally consider what the scouts have said:
Quote
Andrus Peat*, T, Stanford: 6-7, 313. Third-year junior rotated at LT in 2012 before starting the past two years. "He's the most talented (O-lineman)," one scout said. "His dad was really talented but fat. The dad was probably 6-2." Todd Peat was a squatty guard for the Cardinals and Raiders from 1987-'93. "Ready-made NFL player," another scout said. "Left tackle or right tackle. Little bit like Jake Matthews. He won't be an overly dominating type athlete but just sound. Bigger than Jake. A very good, solid player, no question about it." Arms were 34 3/8, hands were 10 5/8.
I believe there is a lot of sound reasoning here. Peat is not a perfect match to the leaner , better 3 cone testing prospects we have been rumored to like before (Lewan, Solder, Tyron Smith) but he pretty much has everything else including bloodlines. I really like a couple other guys but wouldn't be surprised in the least if he was the pick. I also think he is going to be a heck of a LT in this league and a very good RT to start. He is less of a project than people think.
If Reese's trends continue, he'll take the most pro ready player. He use to draft high ceiling players but those days are over with. Now he is drafting more pro ready types. If they go OLine in the 1st, it will be Collins.
Peat is still an excellent prospect, and as somebody said is only 21. I'd take Collins and Scherff over Peat, but Peat over Flowers.
If Reese's trends continue, he'll take the most pro ready player. He use to draft high ceiling players but those days are over with. Now he is drafting more pro ready types. If they go OLine in the 1st, it will be Collins.
There is a point where players who are talented enough can buck the learning curve a bit. I think Peat has enough raw talent and just enough polish that he will do pretty well at RT year 1.Then eventually shift over to LT in a year or 2
Seems like a solid success rate to me.
Those loose lips costs us, as we had to trade up to get Shockey.
Accorsi also told Sinorice Moss' parents that he missed out on the older brother, but that on draft day the Giants were taking Sinorice.
If nothing else, Reese was there under Accorsi and witnessed those mistakes.
Someone on the inside recently told a Giants beat reporter that the Giants were really high on Flowers. We have also been told by Reese that Pugh could be moved to guard. Take all of these comments with a grain of salt. Anything floated out there is floated for a reason.
Ugh, a chance to trade down for an extra 2nd round pick.
Basically I'd rather have a second and Clemmings (for example) than just Peat.
But really, who knows?
Seems like a solid success rate to me.
Good post. And all of them, IIRC, were solid contributors just about from Day 1. Scherff has superb athleticism and so should still have projection but can also plug and play, probably at either guard spot. I don't know if he has the highest upside of the OL prospects, but with the athleticism I wouldn't necessarily bet against him. But from what I've read and seen I'd be very happy with him at 9.
It is VERY unlikely that Reese will trade out of # 9. History tells us that.
If he does make a trade down, it will be 4-5 slots at most. That would garner us another #3.
Reese would need to move down at least 10 slots to get an extra # 2. The chances of that are very close to zero.
If we go OL #9 who exemplifies that profile the best. To me it's Brandon Scherff.
If the Giants see Andrus Peat who is the best pure LT prospect in that Blue Goose mold they will pick him. I doubt it.
It is VERY unlikely that Reese will trade out of # 9. History tells us that.
If he does make a trade down, it will be 4-5 slots at most. That would garner us another #3.
Reese would need to move down at least 10 slots to get an extra # 2. The chances of that are very close to zero.
History has told us a lot of things about Reese that have been since been proven wrong. The sample size is way to small to conclusively deduce what he will or won't do. People swore he undervalued OL and wouldn't go OL in the first based on history. Same with RB and we got Wilson.
Reese will do what he thinks is best for the team, including trading down. Or at least I would hope so.
It's going to be hard to convince me that say Clemmings or Flowers + a 2nd isn't better for the NYGs than Peat or Scherff.
I'm all in with this choice.
Only possibility IMO is if Mariota is there but that's an extreme long shot at best.
Sorry, don't see it
Sorry, don't see it
The chart says that moving from about 19 to 9 should cost you a second. So that's ten slots not 4-6.
Second, there's a cluster of 3-4 rushers that a team may covet and want to move up for. Pittsburgh with their edge rushing mess comes to mind. Also, a team may have Parker ranked a good deal higher than the rest of the WRs as most prognosticators do now.
Sorry, chart or no chart, can't see any player, outside of the top 5 or 6, that a team would move up ten places and surrender a 2 for..They could save the 2 and pick the highly regarded Malcom Brown instead of Shelton, for example
Quote:
There's plenty of scenarios for a trade down IMO.
Sorry, chart or no chart, can't see any player, outside of the top 5 or 6, that a team would move up ten places and surrender a 2 for..They could save the 2 and pick the highly regarded Malcom Brown instead of Shelton, for example
It happens every year so I'm not sure why you think this year is any different. A team like Pittsburgh who drafted a bust OLB and lost another 3-4 backer to retirement could very well be tempted if Ray, Beasley or Dupree are there at 9.
Now at his Pro Day at Stanford (almost a month after the Combine), he again told scouts that he would not lift.
Perhaps nothing, but certainly a point worth mentioning.
Scherff gives options AND a mauler.
2) relative to the others Scherf played with an nfl OL development proven coaching staff...The others ( especially Stanford) may or may not have ( I don't know) so the same logic relative to upside and it's concomitant risk factors may apply
3) Peat did not play as many years of football. ...so upside and risk are logically harder to see.
Ultimately I don't care much...what ever player they pick they pick. Until then it's entertainment...for neither of us knows enough about either player ( hopefully the scouts talk to quite a few more people than we do).
I get it...you like Scherf compared to others from what you know. I did not challenge you.
Or try to hurt your feelings.
Seems logical enough for a lite discussion.
I stand corrected of repeating what I heard about Iowa lineman so thank you for that.
Take care
If Scherff winds up at tackle, all the better. But having him anchor one side of the center for the next 10 years doesn't sound so bad to me!
My hunch is that Peat has had to split duties between student and athlete at Stanford and has gotten away with his natural born ability.
I think a summer with out strength guys will propel to the next level.
If he is lazy....not motivated etc....pass.
People who say we have a shot at Cooper or White at #9 are living in la la land. They won't be available. Neither will Fowler or Beasley, and probably not Scherff.
So pick between Collins, Peat, or Flowers. I'd take them in that order. No interest in Dupree at #9.
If Scherff winds up at tackle, all the better. But having him anchor one side of the center for the next 10 years doesn't sound so bad to me!
I agree. For everyone complaining about taking a guard in he first round, look what Doug Martin did for dallas.
It seems that the draft has several nfl ready guards that can be drafted in the 2nd.
So the 1st pick best value seems to be an OT, DE, top WR or top corner.
Jonathan Cooper and chance Warmack were the 2 OG picked in the top 10 the last 15 years - that is it. Scherff is not as good a prospect as those players. He is not as good as Martin. He is not as good as DeCastro. How much better is he than a guy you can get later
Joel bitonio went 19 picks after Martin and was just as good. If they switched teams Bitonio gets all the accolades and less for Martin.
If you go OL at 9 you get a guy with the potential to play LT - you overdraft that. I think you then look at a RT. I would go for Peat then Collins if OL
Peat or Scherff at #9 is good, otherwise we're unlikely to go OL at #9.
No DT, OG, or S at #9 is likely at that high pick.
I like Scherff but the opinions on where he best projects to the NFL vary so much that it's strange.
We have an adequate one in Beatty (recall we won two Super Bowls with a lesser player in Diehl).
I think Scherff is a future ALL PRO at left guard and a "probably"
Pro Bowler at right tackle.
If they go for Peat, I'd immediately stick him at right tackle - big, tall, strong and wide; Pugh instantly to left guard. I don't think Peat is as NFL ready as Scherff, but eventually could be another Sebastian Vollmer (not bad).
That's because he projects well to multiple positions.
In Scherff you have a prospect with elite traits that apply to both the OT & OG positions. His footwork, agility and length lend themselves to excelling at OT. His powerful base and strength will serve him well inside at OG.
I think he can play all 4 spots at a very high level. The Giants covet versatility and no offensive lineman in this class supplies it like this young man. His combined floor to ceiling correlation is also the best available. If we are going OL #9 and if Scherff is available he will be the pick imo.
Knowing the Giants if they go OL round 1 it will be Peat . Round 2 it will be Fisher or Erving.
You are right they may not. Which is another reason they may not mess around and just go Peat round 1 unless someone unexpected drops.
2014 - Jake Matthews
2013 - Luke Joeckel
2012 - Matt Kalil
2011 - Tyrone Smith
2010 - Trent Williams
Only Smith (ALL PRO) has been clearly deserving, so far of being top 10; Williams has been Pro bowl once.
For the NFL, Peat is a well-rounded blocker who isn't overly dominant as a run-blocker or pass-protector. He could be better off starting his career at right tackle and seeing if he develops to handle the left side. Teams expect Peat to be a top-25 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.
. . . .
The Giants could make sense as a team to potentially draft the Cardinal standout. New York has to improve its offensive line in front of Eli Manning, and Peat could start immediately for the Giants at right tackle.
The NFL comparison they make is Beatty. Which I don't see at all. Peat has an entirely different build. He's more comparable to Lewan, Costanzo and Whitworth.
Link - ( New Window )
Tucker compared Peat to Andre Whitworth.
He is absolutely in the conversation at 9 and I'd wager he is the #1 OL on our board.