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This Todd Gurley stuff is not going away...

nyjuggernaut2 : 4/30/2015 1:06 pm
So I've been part of BBI for years now (old handle was nyjuggeranut before the BBI hacking incident). I normally don't start too many threads, moreso just chime in here and there but enjoy everything about the site and wanted to share some info.

Shortly after the 2009 draft Jerry Reese visited the church I attend. I started a post on his visit where he made several comments, one of which had to do with the Giants being extremely high on Darius Heyward-Bey. Well, I got talking to the person at my church yesterday who has connections with the Giants and set-up not only Jerry Reese's meeting, but Coach Spags visit as well a year prior to that. He told me how certain people within the organization are "ga-ga" (his words) over Todd Gurley. I asked him if Jerry Reese is one of them, and he said he wasn't sure where Reese stands but the people he knows are high on Gurley and have some influence on the draft selection. I then asked if Gurley is there at #9 and Schreff is too would the pick be Gurley? He responded by saying that if these guys had the final say then it would be Gurley hands down.

He then went on to talk about the philosophy of the organization when drafting in the 1st round and how they look for the best player, even if at times it goes against more crucial need (like OL is this year), and how he wouldn't be shocked if we heard Gurley's name being called when the Giants pick tonight.

Anyway, just wanted to pass along this little bit of info as I know Gurley's name was mentioned on here recently.

Here's hoping whomever we draft has a lengthy, impactful career with Big Blue!
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RE: RE: RE: What does 2013 have to do with now Arc? 2014 was better,  
Victor in CT : 4/30/2015 2:53 pm : link
In comment 12258589 Essex said:
Quote:
In comment 12258581 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


In comment 12258554 Victor in CT said:


Quote:


2015 has already been improved with Williams having a full year under his belt, Vereen signing here and Jennings hopefully healthy and staying that way with a reduced workload. The biggest problem in the run game last year was that the middle of the OL sucked, especially Walton

If Gurley was healthy, then I could live with it. Coming off an ACL, I can't see why they don't address either line first.



He alluded to our struggles in each of the last 2 seasons being because of the OL. The RB situation was pitiful in 2013 and I'd argue that had just as much to do with the complete ineptness of the offense as anything else did.

The RB situation is a lot better now than it was 2 years ago but none of these 3 guys are as talented as Todd Gurley.

And if he's not healthy, they wouldn't consider him. I'm sure they'd do their diligence in that regard.



I am sure Gurley is healthy in terms of being ready for camp or he wouldn't be talked about at 9. However, look at the odds of a person tearing a second ACL after tearing the first compared to a guy who never tore one before. It is astronomically different.


Yep
RE: RE: RE: What does 2013 have to do with now Arc? 2014 was better,  
arcarsenal : 4/30/2015 2:56 pm : link
In comment 12258589 Essex said:
Quote:
In comment 12258581 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


In comment 12258554 Victor in CT said:


Quote:


2015 has already been improved with Williams having a full year under his belt, Vereen signing here and Jennings hopefully healthy and staying that way with a reduced workload. The biggest problem in the run game last year was that the middle of the OL sucked, especially Walton

If Gurley was healthy, then I could live with it. Coming off an ACL, I can't see why they don't address either line first.



He alluded to our struggles in each of the last 2 seasons being because of the OL. The RB situation was pitiful in 2013 and I'd argue that had just as much to do with the complete ineptness of the offense as anything else did.

The RB situation is a lot better now than it was 2 years ago but none of these 3 guys are as talented as Todd Gurley.

And if he's not healthy, they wouldn't consider him. I'm sure they'd do their diligence in that regard.



I am sure Gurley is healthy in terms of being ready for camp or he wouldn't be talked about at 9. However, look at the odds of a person tearing a second ACL after tearing the first compared to a guy who never tore one before. It is astronomically different.


I don't have concrete, medically accurate statistics on exactly what those odds are but I'd have to believe for Gurley to be a consideration, they aren't necessarily as "astronomical" as you might assume or think.

Also, each player is different. It's impossible to know exactly what a particular players chances are. And besides, it's football. Anyone can pop an ACL or get hurt on any given play.
so let me get this logic straight  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 4/30/2015 2:58 pm : link
- We have the worst running game in football last year
- Adding a tremendous young RB talent won't help

Our OL stunk last year in the running game, but our RBs were awful at creating something out of nothing. Andre Williams is a Brandon Jacobs-type who is dependent on the OL to give him holes that he can power his way through. But he needs holes. Jennings is a little more shifty than Williams but he's kind of a JAG. Solid veteran but nothing special. Vereen brings something else to the table, but he's not a top runner.

Adding a RB who has power and vision and can create without having big holes would absolutely have a positive impact on this running game.

And we can still draft OL in the 2nd or 3rd. Scherff/Duke vs. Gurley/Tomlinson... that's a toss up depending on your feelings on those prospects. I'd personally be more excited with Gurley/Tomlinson.
RE: i agree coach mason  
Coach Mason : 4/30/2015 2:59 pm : link
In comment 12258590 area junc said:
Quote:
i am of the camp that jennings is solid (but injury prone), vereen is a role player only and andre williams was poor last year.

when jennings was healthy he was one of the leading rushers in the NFL.

Our O-Line has already significantly improved with Schwartz in for Jerry + year 2 Richburg replacing Walton. we will add another piece in round 2 or 3, probably Marpet



RBs fully recover from ACLs now more than ever. He had pretty light wear in College too.

Chew on this for a moment:

1. Gurley (top offensive play-maker in draft)
2. Tomlinson or if one of Erving/Donovan Smith/Cedric Ogbeuhi/Fisher drop or are highly graded
3. Henry Anderson/Chris Conley(top CPM for WR in draft)/Justin Hardy
4. Adrian Amos
5. Eskridge/Drummond
Headhunter  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 2:59 pm : link
I was going to say the same thing. Yes the Giants are leaking things through churches now. The multiple beat writers who said Martin was our top player last year & all have us taking Scherff, Flowers or Peat isn't the real smokescreen.

That would make more sense to me. Teams think we want Scherff, Flowers, Peat as that is what people who are supposed to have inside info are saying. So they take the guy or other teams move in front of us to take them. Letting the player we want fall right into our laps.
Essex, if it's astronomical  
David in LA : 4/30/2015 3:00 pm : link
give me a dozen players who have reinjured the same ACL in the last 5 years. Shouldn't be hard to come up with a dozen, if the chances of reinjury is "astronomical".
Worst part of Gurley Pick  
MojoEd : 4/30/2015 3:01 pm : link
NYG would be called Gurley-men. Hurtful! :)
Victor in CT  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 3:03 pm : link
Where are you getting the astronomical difference from? I just read an article about Gurley yesterday saying there is a small chance a guy retears his ACL.
Surgeon on ACL injuries - ( New Window )
Picking a healthy RB at #32 was a bad pick two years ago  
sb from NYT Forum : 4/30/2015 3:04 pm : link
...picking an unhealthy RB at #9 now would be criminally negligent.
I would be thrilled with Scherff or Flower  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:04 pm : link
but I see Gurley as an opportunity the Giants will not have a chance at going forward. I do see next year picking late teens or 20's getting a stud OLineman, but they will never sniff a franchise back unless it all falls apart, and it does all fall apart who knows if a franchise back will be available next year at say #3. Strike while the iron is hot
I am at work but  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:04 pm : link
T2, Bradford, and Maclin, Jake Long, RgIII, Casey Hampton, Dominic Hixon, Thomas Davis come right to mind
Sorry to Victor in CT  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 3:05 pm : link
I must have misread the quote & thought you said retearing an ACL is astronomical. Essex that article is to you then. Best piece of advice is to just stop while you are behind.
RE: Picking a healthy RB at #32 was a bad pick two years ago  
Coach Mason : 4/30/2015 3:05 pm : link
In comment 12258631 sb from NYT Forum said:
Quote:
...picking an unhealthy RB at #9 now would be criminally negligent.


Not when the comps are AP.
Headhunter, we're going to have pick #32 next year  
David in LA : 4/30/2015 3:05 pm : link
RE: Victor in CT  
Victor in CT : 4/30/2015 3:06 pm : link
In comment 12258630 Big Rick in FL said:
Quote:
Where are you getting the astronomical difference from? I just read an article about Gurley yesterday saying there is a small chance a guy retears his ACL. Surgeon on ACL injuries - ( New Window )


I didn't write that, Essex did.
David in LA  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:07 pm : link
I like the way you think
RE: Sorry to Victor in CT  
Victor in CT : 4/30/2015 3:07 pm : link
In comment 12258636 Big Rick in FL said:
Quote:
I must have misread the quote & thought you said retearing an ACL is astronomical. Essex that article is to you then. Best piece of advice is to just stop while you are behind.


No sweat Big Rick. All these replies get confusing after a while.
29.5% of athletes  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:07 pm : link
Not football players retore an ACL within 24 months of the first tear. Right from the American Academt of Orthopaedic Surgeons. And, it is much more often the opposite knee because the injury never heals and you compensate. You can recover, but the ACL is like a rubber band, it will never be 100% healed.
In one study of female athletes  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:09 pm : link
The female athlete who had previously torn their ACL was four times more likely to tear her ACL than someone who had never torn one.
Thomas Davis says  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:10 pm : link
"2? I had 3 and you would take me in a NY minute if I was a free agent"
There have been major advancements in medicine as well  
David in LA : 4/30/2015 3:10 pm : link
ACL tears are not quite he death knell you make it out to be.
RE: good post nyjuggernaut22. I really do not want a RB at #9.  
Disgruntled NYGfan : 4/30/2015 3:11 pm : link
In comment 12258306 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
Especially one coming off ACL surgery.


Yes, thank you x 10.

It will be a facepalm of epic proportions if we draft this guy. If there is one position where we are set, it is RB. No superstars there, but 3 very capable backs. I have to believe at #9, there will be a high quality player at an area of greater need.
WTF are you talking about ACL will never be 100% healed???  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:11 pm : link
They replace the ligament. As long as there is no other damage, then he should be fine.
Why?  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:11 pm : link
am I behind, 30% is not astronomical?
Unless you know something that I don't  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 3:12 pm : link
I don't think Todd Gurley is a female athlete.. Just saying
Yes you are  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:13 pm : link
30% is not astronomical unless 31% is the maximum, otherwise not so astronomical
The point of the draft is to try to get most talented player.  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:14 pm : link
The superstars, the HOFers.

If they feel Gurley is that caliber player, then how could you complain?
Essex  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 3:15 pm : link
According to Orthopedic surgeon & the Miami Heat team physician it is only 2%.

Quote:
And the odds of tearing a reconstructed ACL are just 2 percent, said orthopedic surgeon Harlan Selesnick, the Miami Heat’s team physician.
then how could you complain?  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:16 pm : link
drkenneth you must be new around here
Read this study  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:16 pm : link
.


Study of reinjuring and ACL - ( New Window )
Are you kidding?  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:17 pm : link
That's a study on young, females athletes.

Really dude?
Essex, I'd wager to guess  
David in LA : 4/30/2015 3:19 pm : link
that the pool of athletes from that study do not have access to the doctors, and rehab programs that potential pro athletes do.
Sounds good to me  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:19 pm : link
A) It's a study
B) it has the word athlete
C) it has ACL
Again, the additional risk is why he might make it to 9 in the first  
BeerFridge : 4/30/2015 3:19 pm : link
place.
I said three days ago  
Emil : 4/30/2015 3:20 pm : link
that Gurley is my wild card pick. I could completely see the Giants doing it. Honestly, I would not be surprised to see him go earlier than #9.

The Giants would be a great landing spot for him. He would hardly ever face 8 in the box, and he would be with a trio of RBs, which he would need at first, given his recovery from knee surgery. Have to keep the carries manageable.

I want the Giants to fix the OL too, but if Scherrf is gone at #9 and Gurley is there, you can't blame the Giants if the take a RB.

If anyone missed it, Bill Polian had an excellent interview with Gurley, The young man came away as very football savy and cleary spends time watching tape.
We have 3 mediocre RBs  
Big Rick in FL : 4/30/2015 3:20 pm : link
I wouldn't be mad to go into the season with them, but if I can get the best RB prospect since Adrian Peterson I am taking him.


None of the RBs on our roster have ever had over 780 rushing yards, 460 receiving yards or 7 TDs in a season. That's a huge problem. If you can go out & get a guy that has potential to have 2,000 total yards & 10-15 TDs a year you take him.
Are you kidding me?  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:21 pm : link
It is the only two year study out there.

But if you want to ignore evidence both anecdotal (Hixon, T2, Bradford, Casey Hampton, etc) and statistical, be my guest.

How has Derrick Rose been since he tore his ACL? But he is a basketball player.

I am glad you are not my doctor.

RE: Are you kidding?  
Emil : 4/30/2015 3:21 pm : link
In comment 12258688 drkenneth said:
Quote:
That's a study on young, females athletes.

Really dude?


Female athletes tear their ACLs at a far greater frequency than male athletes. That's where I would start the study.
I still think someone is going to trade into the top 10  
GiantFilthy : 4/30/2015 3:22 pm : link
and select him, but this is a fun discussion.
RE: Are you kidding me?  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:22 pm : link
In comment 12258696 Essex said:
Quote:
It is the only two year study out there.

But if you want to ignore evidence both anecdotal (Hixon, T2, Bradford, Casey Hampton, etc) and statistical, be my guest.

How has Derrick Rose been since he tore his ACL? But he is a basketball player.

I am glad you are not my doctor.


How bout' the players who never re-torn their ACL? You listed 4 NFL players who have re-torn + and NBA player.

What do you expect us to do with that?
I dont believe  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:23 pm : link
"are you kidding me" ever swayed me
I am not here to argue he will tear his acl  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:24 pm : link
But I thought if we were to discuss the topic we should use the only study that is out there for the long term. Female athletes apparently tear it more often, but it is still useful. Plus, we have seen anecdotally about athletes having tons of issues after ACLS with there knee and other parts of their leg.

I wouldn't draft the ninth pick with him. And, if it was insignificant, how come he is not going third then?
I have listed many more players  
Essex : 4/30/2015 3:26 pm : link
Up in the thread such as Maclin and Jake long. I can google it and probably get tons more, but this is just from the top of my head.

I would take him  
Headhunter : 4/30/2015 3:27 pm : link
over the 2 QB's and not think twice about it
Big Rick  
Disgruntled NYGfan : 4/30/2015 3:29 pm : link
In comment 12258630 Big Rick in FL said:
Quote:
Where are you getting the astronomical difference from? I just read an article about Gurley yesterday saying there is a small chance a guy retears his ACL. Surgeon on ACL injuries - ( New Window )


I think this is what you are getting at from the article:

"And the odds of tearing a reconstructed ACL are just 2 percent, said orthopedic surgeon Harlan Selesnick, the Miami Heat’s team physician.

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/nfl/miami-dolphins/article19553817.html#storylink=cpy"

2% is far higher than the likelihood of initially tearing the ACL, so that's where the increased risk comes in. Still 2% is a pretty small risk. Advances in the angle of the graft, using autologous prp or stem cells as adjuvants also make the repair stronger. Of course the knee is never the same...

I went to UM, live/work about 20 mins. from campus which is right next to Salesnick's practice and have friends who are close to Salesnick. He is ridiculously highly respected down here and has the reputation as "the guy" to go to for knee surgeries down here. (Not that we don't have other capable orthos down here, that's just his reputation).

Where in Fla. are you, btw?
RE: and my question is  
ColHowPepper : 4/30/2015 3:30 pm : link
In comment 12258591 Headhunter said:
Quote:
the Oline could not run block, if we plugged in a 2nd round Guard only, would the Oline be good enough for you to justify taking Gurley? Yes or No?


Hh,
- first, you're baiting, because you know there is no mathematical certainty to a question youo pose as if there were,
- second, at #9, it comes down to differences among Scherff (if he's there), Flowers, or Peat, three guys who were heavily scouted by us and for whom the scouts/FO have a strong feel and reasonable certainty that they can slide in and play, either G or RT, THIS YEAR
- third, at #40, yes, the draft is said to be deep at OL, ok; but we haven't done the same work on Erving (the guy I would want if we weren't going OL at 9), Tomlinson, Fisher, Marpet, etc. The term "plug in" has been thrown around a lot on these threads by certain posters who feel strongly that there is greater value at #9 at positions other than OL, but is it true? Are their experience and skill sets and talent really the functional equivalent of Scherff et. al, minus maybe a small dropoff? What's the level of conviction on this? Have we heard plug-and-play on these guys from the scouts? You mean like Sintim and Austin were on d (both second rounders, but lower)?

And we're talking 2015, this year: so, while your question is straightforward and simple, the answers are not. Maybe Gurley's talent and its gap between him and the alternatives is so great, in the minds of the scouts and GM, that you take the risk that the answer to your question at #40 is no. I certainly don't know the answer to that.
RE: WTF are you talking about ACL will never be 100% healed???  
Disgruntled NYGfan : 4/30/2015 3:35 pm : link
In comment 12258662 drkenneth said:
Quote:
They replace the ligament. As long as there is no other damage, then he should be fine.


That actually depends. Sometimes they take a part of another tendon in your body, other times they use a ligament from a cadaver.

http://www.aaos.org/news/aaosnow/apr12/cover1.asp

It's still not as stable. It's a solder, not a weld.

Plus the scar tissue issues that can come up that are a complication of any surgery, especially knee surgeries.

It's still a risk. And if you do an autograft, you have a secondary injury/surgical site.
I understand. I have both my ACLs reconstructed.  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:41 pm : link
They take a piece of your hamstring, patella tendon, or cadaver.

and you're disgruntled. I don't expect you  
drkenneth : 4/30/2015 3:42 pm : link
to be objective here.
RE: I am not here to argue he will tear his acl  
Disgruntled NYGfan : 4/30/2015 3:43 pm : link
In comment 12258703 Essex said:
[quote] But I thought if we were to discuss the topic we should use the only study that is out there for the long term. Female athletes apparently tear it more often, but it is still useful. Plus, we have seen anecdotally about athletes having tons of issues after ACLS with there knee and other parts of their leg.

/quote]

Hamstring tears are very common after acl repairs, especially when the autograft comes from the hamstring tendon.

This article touches on it:

http://www.regenexx.com/2014/03/hamstrings-acl-surgery-complications/

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