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Jason at Over the Cap analyzes the Giants and the salary cap

Defenderdawg : 5/20/2015 2:18 pm
Why $55 million in cap space in 2016 can disappear in a hurry depending on Eli, JPP, and Prince...

"The New York Giants have a large investment in just a handful of players, ranking No. 4 overall in salary cap space devoted to the top-five players on the team..."

"In general, the team has been committed to filling out the roster with veteran players on affordable deals rather than taking chances on younger players. In the offseason, they reworked the contracts of Jon Beason and Geoff Schwartz, who were both injured in 2014, rather than releasing them. The team overpaid for players such as Dwayne Harris and Shane Vereen to ensure they will have more veteran bodies on the field in 2015. This strategy usually keeps the Giants close to the cap limit most seasons, and with just $7 million in offseason cap space, they will likely be near the limit this year as well..."

"Unlike some other teams in the NFL, the Giants have not invested in creating “super units” of players, where the salary at one position dominates their salary cap. Outside of the quarterback position, there is not one group of players that ranks overall in the top-seven across the NFL..."

"The Giants currently project to have more than $55 million in cap space in 2016, but with those players seeking new contracts [Eli, JPP, Prince], that money can vanish in a hurry if the team is not careful. If the team does decide to go in a different, long-term direction with either Manning or Pierre-Paul, then this is likely the last time they will approach a season with numerous veteran players and instead begin rebuilding with youth."
Link - ( New Window )
JPP  
Big Blue '56 : 5/20/2015 2:23 pm : link
sign a mutually agreeable and cap-friendly long term deal or let him walk after this season..No more franchising..
Our WRs aren't a top 7 group?  
knicks3031 : 5/20/2015 2:26 pm : link
I understand they're probably concerned about Cruz's health, but Beckham was the best receiver in football last year. Him, Randle and a 80% Cruz will set the league on fire
That's why when all is said and done  
micky : 5/20/2015 2:29 pm : link
when it comes time, they may be up against the cap at that time. Nothing appears to be as they may seem until the time comes to spend
He was talking about top 7 salary wise  
Defenderdawg : 5/20/2015 2:36 pm : link
In terms of position groupings...outside of the QB position
So  
AcidTest : 5/20/2015 2:36 pm : link
many players on one year contracts:

Eli.
JPP.
Prince.
Randle.
Ellis.
So  
AcidTest : 5/20/2015 2:36 pm : link
many players on one year contracts:

Eli.
JPP.
Prince.
Randle.
Ellis.

Don't see how we can sign them all.
RE: Our WRs aren't a top 7 group?  
ron mexico : 5/20/2015 2:37 pm : link
In comment 12294496 knicks3031 said:
Quote:
I understand they're probably concerned about Cruz's health, but Beckham was the best receiver in football last year. Him, Randle and a 80% Cruz will set the league on fire


He meant in terms of cap space

OBJ and RR on rookie contracts and all
Not long ago, the estimate was $80M  
JonC : 5/20/2015 2:48 pm : link
now it's $55M and they haven't touched a player considered core with a new big extension. Note that fact, those who keep saying they're flush with cap space next Winter.
Cap discussions are honestly increasingly pointless.  
Devon : 5/20/2015 3:04 pm : link
Maybe decent time killing fodder, sure, but most teams are capable of bookkeeping their way to the numbers not stopping them from signing or re-signing guys they want to, to going all in or rebuilding according to how they see fit. It's why every year we hear about how Dallas is finally going to be destroyed by their cap situation and will soon be incapable of doing what they want to (whether what they want to is smart or successful is another matter...) only for it to never actually happen.

It takes a special brand of incompetance for a team to get into true cap hell or even just be significantly impaired these days. The Giants may have other problems, but they don't have that, thankfully.
Does our strategy work?  
WideRight : 5/20/2015 3:08 pm : link
We won superbowls with super-units. The DL in 46 & 42 and LBs before that. I suspect the Patriots have an average across the board approach, but they've got Brady so no point in trying to compare. Do other teams win with average across the board, or with super units?
RE: Cap discussions are honestly increasingly pointless.  
Big Blue '56 : 5/20/2015 4:52 pm : link
In comment 12294589 Devon said:
Quote:
Maybe decent time killing fodder, sure, but most teams are capable of bookkeeping their way to the numbers not stopping them from signing or re-signing guys they want to, to going all in or rebuilding according to how they see fit. It's why every year we hear about how Dallas is finally going to be destroyed by their cap situation and will soon be incapable of doing what they want to (whether what they want to is smart or successful is another matter...) only for it to never actually happen.

It takes a special brand of incompetance for a team to get into true cap hell or even just be significantly impaired these days. The Giants may have other problems, but they don't have that, thankfully.


I would agree and have maintained that for years.."Yeah, but what about their depth, they can't sign anyone." Yeah, Dallas, the "pay the piper down the road cap hellers" were one call away from the NFC championship game..

As you said, unless there's uner incompetence going on, cap hell, imo, is a virtual myth..
uner=uber  
Big Blue '56 : 5/20/2015 4:52 pm : link
.
Reese et al must take a hit here  
Archer : 5/20/2015 5:29 pm : link
The Giants do not have quality back up players, players who are typically drafted in the later rounds.
As a result the Giants are forced to fill these holes in free agency. This is very expensive as the Giants are overpaying for marginal players.
This plan cannot sustain itself and eventually the Giants will be forced into letting star players go.

I was a Reese supporter but I fear that the Giants have become a perennial 6-10 team. The Giants have squandered some Eli's best years and will now be in CAP purgatory.
RE: Not long ago, the estimate was $80M  
Giants2012 : 5/20/2015 5:55 pm : link
In comment 12294536 JonC said:
Quote:
now it's $55M and they haven't touched a player considered core with a new big extension. Note that fact, those who keep saying they're flush with cap space next Winter.


Note those who think it dropped without touching a player or still don't look at the cap as a budget past 1.5 years.
I've been saying this for a while  
fkap : 5/20/2015 7:21 pm : link
we're not in bad shape next year,
but we're not rolling in the dough, either.
Dallas has drafted  
RB^2 : 5/20/2015 7:26 pm : link
extremely well since 2010. That has helped them to mitigate their cap issues.
Giants2012  
JonC : 5/21/2015 9:44 am : link
When they start locking up the expensive core players, get back to me.
JonC  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 9:51 am : link
First you need to understand the cap for more than 1.5 years and the CBA. Otherwise, you're just guessing like the cap is a mock draft.
I understand it just fine  
JonC : 5/21/2015 10:20 am : link
We've gone over this before, and you still haven't posted something to demonstrate your claims.
fkap  
JonC : 5/21/2015 10:22 am : link
Yep, we've often seen this the same. If they have $25-30M in cap space after the core is secured, it will be a terrific accomplishment, imv.
RE: I understand it just fine  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 10:42 am : link
In comment 12296207 JonC said:
Quote:
We've gone over this before, and you still haven't posted something to demonstrate your claims.


ABC JonC - if you having trouble with basic math just ask away. Prove you understand a budget b/c you haven't demonstrated you can think past a year. Are you perplexed at how Dallas does it? How the Giants can do it? Prove you're more than a knee jerk to any article written by a fella who doesn't understand the cap either.

You either missed my previous posts, or your recall is poor  
JonC : 5/21/2015 10:52 am : link
not unlike your demonstrated approach to how the draft is utilized (see hole, must draft to fill hole early while ignoring positional value).

I've posted my breakdown on the cap previously, you must have missed it. fkap agreed with my framework, that's good enough for me on matters related to mapping out the cap with reasonable amateur accuracy.

Great JonC  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 10:55 am : link
I look forward to your 300 mock drafts by June and complaining about a cap you don't understand.

RE: Does our strategy work?  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 10:56 am : link
In comment 12294602 WideRight said:
Quote:
We won superbowls with super-units. The DL in 46 & 42 and LBs before that. I suspect the Patriots have an average across the board approach, but they've got Brady so no point in trying to compare. Do other teams win with average across the board, or with super units?


Again, talking about salary, not talent.

Tuck was on his rookie deal. Alford was a rookie. Osi hadn't been paid till after 07.
oh  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 10:56 am : link
and mocking others with claims the OL was set and had depth. lol

Good Lord.
Therein lies your problems on this forum  
JonC : 5/21/2015 11:02 am : link
You place words in the mouths of others that were never used. Disingenuous, at best.

I don't do mock drafts, either. Carry on.
lol - yeah ok  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 11:17 am : link
Type in you name with mock draft/BBI on Google and a library appears. Must be somebody else right? Don't worry, we'll all give you credit for making the pick despite 100 different predictions.

You're definitely slow  
JonC : 5/21/2015 11:20 am : link
Back on the ignore list you go.
RE: Great JonC  
micky : 5/21/2015 11:23 am : link
In comment 12296285 Giants2012 said:
Quote:
I look forward to your 300 mock drafts by June and complaining about a cap you don't understand.



I've never ..at least to what I've seen..JonC ever do a mock draft on here.lol
At least Raanan called it first  
Giants2012 : 5/21/2015 11:25 am : link
that went well.
Eli & JPP  
Dragon : 5/22/2015 9:02 am : link
Ok, the team looks like it's a showdown season for both are you really top shelf NFL dollar worthy or take it or leave it type contracts. Of the three top pendiind FA players Prince IMO is the guy with the best chance to prove value for money. Now he has been hurt but when on the field his play has well above solid.

Eli is the big money investment, who is he really and age questions. If the team fails to improve this year do you invest in a 35 year old QB who will cost over 20 mil on a rebuilding team? He is the guy you dealt for and has taken you to the top of the mountain twice however can he really do it again. It's a game of poker this is Eli season and chance to take it all or allow the team to move in a different direction or make him an offer he can refuse.

JPP is all about him he is the guy with all the cards in his hands will he go all in or continue to tease us? Today he is worth somewhere between 9-14 mil depending on who you ask and what he has done, which is very far from what he can or should have done. JPP will be the guy who writes his own ticket in or out of NY by his production or lack of production. The real strange thing is that he does not seem to taking this chance or lack of commitment by the team seriously. Is he just doing the I will let my play on the field do the talking or is he really just happy with 13+ mil and knows he will get a big payday somewhere next year.
JonC  
fkap : 5/22/2015 9:41 am : link
we're mostly in agreement.
25-30 AFTER core is retained? a darn good situation. It's reasonably attainable, but honestly, I think once the core is set, you're talking a little lower.

What scares me is that it now appears we'll have Prince, Eli, JPP all hitting the second/third year in 2017, 2018, plus probably some more FA from next year. first year is almost always doable. second year is when the cap hit kicks in. (I know you know this, saying it for the sake of those that look at yearly averages). I was hoping, and still am, that if we're looking retain all three, we could have gotten at least one done this year, preferably Prince or JPP (don't think it makes any sense to redo Eli this year).

We should be looking to spend our money on resigning our good picks, but we're spending too much of our cap hit signing Vereen's to do part time RB duties because our drafting approach hasn't gotten it done.
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