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NFT: Knicks Thread 5/21: Draft prospects

giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 9:24 am
After looking at scouting videos, I may have changed my personal take slightly in favor of Mudiay over Russell, but for those who I have been down on Russell, I encourage you to take a look at the the video I posted. There is also a weaknesses video for Russell and for Mudiay as well.

Russell may not be the athlete Mudiay is, but to say he cannot create his own shot is borderline disrespectful. This kid's feel for the game is unreal.

So give me whoever is left on the board, Russell or Mudiay. I think both of them are going to be better players than Okafor and maybe even KAT. The importance of the big man down low is why those two guys are going first, not because of pure talent. They are turning into the QBs of the NBA draft.
D Russell Strengths - ( New Window )
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How does Russell compare to, say, a Mike Conley Jr?  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 9:26 am : link
.
my issue with Russell...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 9:29 am : link
was how reliant he become on his jumper. That really worried me. Now to be fair i had the same issue with Harden coming out and didnt like him because of it. Obviously i was dead wrong on that one, ha.
Sorry didnt see your thread  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:30 am : link
there are full games of Mudiay in the thread i posted above...
I agree that Mudiay  
Big Rick in FL : 5/21/2015 9:35 am : link
Could be better then Okafor & KAT. Could be the best player in this entire draft. He has great athleticism & seems to have a very good understanding of basketball. Which most of the time the guys with athleticism can't play basketball. Mudiay can from what I've seen. If we don't get KAT then Mudiay is the player I want most.
Take  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 9:42 am : link
Mudiay. I like everything I have seen and read.
I would expect the Mudiay hype train to take off as we near the draft  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 9:45 am : link
I have not heard a LOT about him, but what's out there is positive. With our luck he goes at 3.
I can easily be talked into any of the top 4...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 9:46 am : link
which i guess is a good thing. I am perfectly happy getting Mudiay at 4 and if Monroe is as close to a lock as is rumored (big if i know) then getting a guard in the draft does fit pretty well. There are also more bigs in this FA class then guards so that will help as well. Obviously you dont draft based on who are Free agents that year, but its just another benefit of going guard.
RE: I would expect the Mudiay hype train to take off as we near the draft  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 9:46 am : link
In comment 12296105 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
I have not heard a LOT about him, but what's out there is positive. With our luck he goes at 3.


What I like most is he clearly has the physical tools to be very good and then you read about his bball intelligence and work ethic and I think he's be a great pickup for the Knicks. Maybe he ends up a bust but I'm not seeing any major red flags.
Does  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 9:47 am : link
Mudiay really have to hit the ground running for him to be a good pick? I expect Calderon to play a bit better with better talent around him.
RE: I would expect the Mudiay hype train to take off as we near the draft  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:49 am : link
In comment 12296105 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
I have not heard a LOT about him, but what's out there is positive. With our luck he goes at 3.


TTH in the other thread i started there are full games of him if you want to watch him rather than just highlights...
I really hope they keep the pick.  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 9:50 am : link
Hearing that they may make it available for trade concerns me.

I wanted KAT, but that's out the window. Now I kinda want Mudiay because he seems to have the highest upside, but I have a small feeling that Russell might fit the profile of a kid that goes undervalued in the draft, but ends up having the best career of the guys in front of him.
TTH  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 9:50 am : link
I wouldn't compare Russell to Conley. NBA draft net has his comparison set at a combination of Ginobili and Brandon Roy, which measures up if you look at the tape.

@Italianju I honestly see alot of Harden in him. He doesn't have the same penchant of getting to the line as Harden, but thats something Harden got over time. Russell has better pure PG skills than harden IMO.

@ny16 haha my apologies on the threads coinciding. I want to see those games when I get a chance today though.
RE: Does  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:50 am : link
In comment 12296110 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Mudiay really have to hit the ground running for him to be a good pick? I expect Calderon to play a bit better with better talent around him.


Out of all the prospects i think Mudiay can hit the ground running, i also think him and Calderon or him and Galloway can play together in the backcourt...
RE: TTH  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:50 am : link
In comment 12296121 giantsfan44ab said:
Quote:


@ny16 haha my apologies on the threads coinciding. I want to see those games when I get a chance today though.


No worries i think we posted at the exact same time...
i would hope that with whoever we take...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 9:51 am : link
people dont expect him to be a star from day 1. These guys all are going to take time. I wouldnt even be shocked if Calderon starts (wouldnt be my choice, but it wouldnt shock me).
RE: i would hope that with whoever we take...  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:52 am : link
In comment 12296126 Italianju said:
Quote:
people dont expect him to be a star from day 1. These guys all are going to take time. I wouldnt even be shocked if Calderon starts (wouldnt be my choice, but it wouldnt shock me).


From watching Mudiay in a couple of these games i think he can play with Calderon if that is what it comes to...he can guard 2's and Calderon can play off the ball and spread the court..
RE: i would hope that with whoever we take...  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 9:56 am : link
In comment 12296126 Italianju said:
Quote:
people dont expect him to be a star from day 1. These guys all are going to take time. I wouldnt even be shocked if Calderon starts (wouldnt be my choice, but it wouldnt shock me).


I was just thinking of that this morning. It's kind of excruciating to see the talent that came through the Knicks in the past decade that needed time and play to develop now winning playoff games for other teams.

Trevor Ariza, basically. He's had a real nice NBA career.
RE: RE: i would hope that with whoever we take...  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 9:57 am : link
In comment 12296147 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 12296126 Italianju said:


Quote:


people dont expect him to be a star from day 1. These guys all are going to take time. I wouldnt even be shocked if Calderon starts (wouldnt be my choice, but it wouldnt shock me).



I was just thinking of that this morning. It's kind of excruciating to see the talent that came through the Knicks in the past decade that needed time and play to develop now winning playoff games for other teams.

Trevor Ariza, basically. He's had a real nice NBA career.


Can thank Larry Brown for that one
To  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 9:59 am : link
be clear I didn't mean Mudiay would stink as a rookie, I just don't think he needs to come in and be a beast as a rookie for him to be a good pick. I think the goal this year should be playoffs.
RE: To  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 10:00 am : link
In comment 12296157 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
be clear I didn't mean Mudiay would stink as a rookie, I just don't think he needs to come in and be a beast as a rookie for him to be a good pick. I think the goal this year should be playoffs.


Has to be, no pick next year have to make the playoffs...
There isn't a lot of analysis to do. We're picking fourth -  
Ira : 5/21/2015 10:02 am : link
either Mudiay or Russell will be there - not both. Take which ever one is there.
to be fair...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 10:04 am : link
isnt Ariza really the only significant one? And since we traded him he has been on ORL, LA, HOU, NO, WAS, and back to HOU. I like Ariza and trading him for Francis was stupid, but im also not going to kill the knicks for it.
RE: to be fair...  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 10:09 am : link
In comment 12296172 Italianju said:
Quote:
isnt Ariza really the only significant one? And since we traded him he has been on ORL, LA, HOU, NO, WAS, and back to HOU. I like Ariza and trading him for Francis was stupid, but im also not going to kill the knicks for it.


I'm NOT killing the team at all. But it's a little bittersweet when you think about how the Knicks lack talent.
one of Russel  
TommyWiseau : 5/21/2015 10:17 am : link
Mudiay or Okafor will be there, I am happy taking any one of them
killing was a stretch i guess..  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 10:19 am : link
i just think if you look at a decade of players for any team there will be an Ariza for almost each team. But i get your point, it would be nice if we had Ariza, ha.
Anyone else find it annoying  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 10:23 am : link
every time an ex Knick has a good game every single person in the media kills the Knicks for not keeping them?

Last night all anyone talked about was how the Knicks took another Loss because JR had a good game...really where were you during his suspension or the past couple of games where he has not shot well..give me a break...
You can attack Knicks management  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 10:44 am : link
all you want about trading away picks, but if theres one positive, we have done pretty well in scouting and developing players in recent years.

Shumpert and THJR have certainly surpassed pre-draft expectations. Prigioni, Lin and Galloway were solid undrafted signings. Landry Fields was more than serviceable in his tenure here given where he was taken. Fans gave the Knicks a lot of crap for the Gallinari pick but he was able to play up to his hype well enough to be appealing to Denver for Melo. Same goes for Wilson Chandler.

Not many people remember but Kostas Papanikalou was a late 2nd round pick of ours in 2012 and he has shown some flashes in Houston.

Since 2011 the knicks have had a good track record. I am confident that they will seek the right player.
Gallinari  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 10:46 am : link
quietly had a big second half this year. I actually think he'd be a great fit in the triangle.
If Gallinari doesnt get hurt as often as he does  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 10:47 am : link
he's probably a West all star someday.
Gallo  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 10:51 am : link
24 games second half

18.6 4.8 boards on 44% from the field, 40% from 3. Dropped 47 and 9 on the Mavs
Mudiay  
Jon in NYC : 5/21/2015 10:52 am : link
has a high ceiling but a pretty high floor as well due to his athleticism. At the very least he should be able to get to the basket and D up. I'm fully on board with him as the pick.
Mike  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 10:53 am : link
Bresnahan of the LA Times says Kupchak plans on going with Towns or Okafor at 2, not a guard. I think Russell is going to be a Knick.

Towns, Okafor, Mudiay (Sixers love upside), and then Russell is what I expect
even though i do think he is a crappy fit with..  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 10:55 am : link
randle i def expect LA to take Okafor. I think its up in the air for PHI, i can easily see them taking either guard. Most of the "expert" mocks seem to have them taking Russell.
For those still high on Okafor, let me ask you a question  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 10:55 am : link
Lets say even if he is a 16 and 9 guy his first year off the bat, what do you think he brings to a team that wishes to contend? Whats so drastically different about him that we have not seen with Al jefferson, Brook Lopez, and Enes Kanter?

Okafor is 8th seed material. The fact is every contending team has a dominant big man DEFENSIVE presence. If we get Okafor, who is going to be that presence? Okafor got DESTROYED by Frank Kaminsky in the championship game. He can't defend his own position, let alone anchor a defense.

What if I told you we could get a 17 and 10 guy entering his prime with an elite post up game, fantastic big man passing skills, can defend his position, AND he can hit free throws in free agency?

His name is Greg Monroe.
RE: Mike  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 10:56 am : link
In comment 12296277 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Bresnahan of the LA Times says Kupchak plans on going with Towns or Okafor at 2, not a guard. I think Russell is going to be a Knick.

Towns, Okafor, Mudiay (Sixers love upside), and then Russell is what I expect


It will be interesting who Mudiay works out for first, i wnder if he is in with the Knicks and they love him if they tell him to shut it down and not work out for any other team...

Of Course it may not matter because Hinkie scouted him in China personally...

But something interesting the Sixers were apparently in love with Mudiay early in the season when he was playing and as the season went on according to reports it turned and they fell in love with Russell, so who knows...

I actually think Russell is the better fit for the Sixers and it is not because i want Mudiay
I'm not putting to much of emotional investment in a Gallo return  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 10:58 am : link
He is going to be the guy in Denver this year and I think he will play himself into huge money. The thing is you can put Gallo at the 4 and not fall off too much defensively.

I see him as being Washington's consolation prize when they realize they cannot get KD.
The okafor hate is...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 11:00 am : link
way too extreme. Does he have to play both PF and C? Cant you put a defensive guy next to him (gasol next to Randolph). Al Jefferson is not a bad NBA player, not sure why the idea that he is Al Jefferson means he is a bum. Jefferson hasnt exactly been on the best of teams which hurts the perception of him. A guy who steps on the court and goes 16 and 9 like you say is a pretty good player. Im fine not getting him, but id be pretty happy to get him.
RE: I'm not putting to much of emotional investment in a Gallo return  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 11:00 am : link
In comment 12296294 giantsfan44ab said:
Quote:
He is going to be the guy in Denver this year and I think he will play himself into huge money. The thing is you can put Gallo at the 4 and not fall off too much defensively.

I see him as being Washington's consolation prize when they realize they cannot get KD.


Oh I don't expect his return. I just meant hypothetically he'd probably do quite well in the triangle.
not sure why anyone would pay Gallo...  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 11:02 am : link
descent money. He just cant stay on the court. Too hard to pay 10+ mill to a guy you are hoping plays around 60 games.
RE: For those still high on Okafor, let me ask you a question  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 11:02 am : link
In comment 12296284 giantsfan44ab said:
Quote:
Lets say even if he is a 16 and 9 guy his first year off the bat, what do you think he brings to a team that wishes to contend? Whats so drastically different about him that we have not seen with Al jefferson, Brook Lopez, and Enes Kanter?

Okafor is 8th seed material. The fact is every contending team has a dominant big man DEFENSIVE presence. If we get Okafor, who is going to be that presence? Okafor got DESTROYED by Frank Kaminsky in the championship game. He can't defend his own position, let alone anchor a defense.

What if I told you we could get a 17 and 10 guy entering his prime with an elite post up game, fantastic big man passing skills, can defend his position, AND he can hit free throws in free agency?

His name is Greg Monroe.


I think the plan is check in with Aldridge and Gasol and see if they have a chance, if they do obviously they will have them in for visit or go to them and give them their pitch....

If not i think they go after Monroe, which personally i think is wrapped because of the relationship with the agent and i think Mills and Jackson got word through backchannels that Gasol and Aldridge are unattainable...both said they will not waste their time on players they know they can not get and move on....

after Monroe i think they want to add a defensive SG, i think they want Matthews, the question is how much does he want, does he take a smaller 2 year deal and wait for the big money...entirely possible coming off an injury...

So say you max Monroe-15 million

Say Matthews take a 2 year deal with opt out first year: 6 million

leaves you with 6-8 million left give or take depending on if Calderon is still here and Hrdaway...

Mudiay/Russell
Matthews
Melo
Monroe

I think a guy like Amir Johnson would be a good fit next to Monroe and Melo....

Johnson can block shots and he can also step out and hit a jump shot almost to 3 point range...

Mudiay or russell/Calderon
Matthews/hardaway/Galloway
Melo/Ledo
Monroe/Thomas
Johnson/Amundson/aldrich

You would also have the 2.5 million exception to add a vet for the bench...
The bench would need work  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 11:04 am : link
hopefully you could get a couple of vets to stabilize it a little bit..
RE: The okafor hate is...  
Jon in NYC : 5/21/2015 11:05 am : link
In comment 12296297 Italianju said:
Quote:
way too extreme. Does he have to play both PF and C? Cant you put a defensive guy next to him (gasol next to Randolph). Al Jefferson is not a bad NBA player, not sure why the idea that he is Al Jefferson means he is a bum. Jefferson hasnt exactly been on the best of teams which hurts the perception of him. A guy who steps on the court and goes 16 and 9 like you say is a pretty good player. Im fine not getting him, but id be pretty happy to get him.


If you're a center in the NBA and you want to win at any sort of level, you have to play good D. Who is the last championship team that had a poor defensive center?
RE: RE: The okafor hate is...  
DanMetroMan : 5/21/2015 11:07 am : link
In comment 12296307 Jon in NYC said:
Quote:
In comment 12296297 Italianju said:


Quote:


way too extreme. Does he have to play both PF and C? Cant you put a defensive guy next to him (gasol next to Randolph). Al Jefferson is not a bad NBA player, not sure why the idea that he is Al Jefferson means he is a bum. Jefferson hasnt exactly been on the best of teams which hurts the perception of him. A guy who steps on the court and goes 16 and 9 like you say is a pretty good player. Im fine not getting him, but id be pretty happy to get him.



If you're a center in the NBA and you want to win at any sort of level, you have to play good D. Who is the last championship team that had a poor defensive center?


I'd argue historical center defense isn't that relevant because there are so few good centers. I think you need 1 rim protector/good defender. 4 or 5 doesn't matter.
The league is changing so much  
nygiants16 : 5/21/2015 11:10 am : link
look at the best team in the league, they are jump shooting team that plays their best when they are small and they have 6 foot 8 Forward playing Center...

Look at the east: Cavs are playing their best playing small with Thompson at Center...

the league is getting smaller and smaller...
okafor can play the 4....  
Italianju : 5/21/2015 11:10 am : link
or you get a 4 who plays great D. Plus i just feel like people have already decided that Okafor will be a 20 and 10 guy that is all empty stats and he will never get out of the first round. Considering what a lot of top 5 picks end up doing in the league if you pick al jefferson youve done a pretty good job.
It'll be interesting to see how the Rockets/Warriors series plays  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/21/2015 11:13 am : link
Dwight Howard is what you want as a defensive center, but with so much of the game shifting to 3 point shooting, how critical will paint defense be going forward as conventional thinking makes room for new ideas. Up until 3 years ago they said that the game slows down in the playoffs and you needed to play a half court offense to win.
Not saying Jefferson is a bum  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 11:13 am : link
But the reliance of a big man post presence is dying in the NBA. The top 4 remaining teams in the NBA led the league were the top 4 in 3 point attempts during the regular season.

What did they have in common? They all start stretch 4s. Draymond Green, Terrence Jones, Milsap, Love (look how inefficient Lebron has been since Love went down), Josh Smith and D-Mo. Horford is even a stretch center.

I'm not crying for a stretch 4, but if we got Monroe that would solidify rebounding, passing, and a post game.

Al Jefferson and Randolph can at least hold their man down, Okafor can't give you anything defensively.

Al Jefferson, Greg Monroe, Brook Lopez, and Enes Kanter will all be free agents and can already do what Okafor is expected to 3-4 years from now. The supply is so high for an Okafor-type big in free agency and while the supply for an elite guard is virtually nonexistent in the next few years, why waste a 1st round pick, which we do not have many of in the coming years, on something that can be gotten for $10-$15 million a year in free agency, which isn't much given the upcoming cap increases.
I wouldnt be shocked at all  
yankeeslover : 5/21/2015 11:18 am : link
if the Knicks end up with Okafor... wouldnt surprise me.. i see no way that Philly takes him if LA goes with the PG...
TTH  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 11:19 am : link
Its not simply making 3 point shots thats winning games.

If you have good 3 point shooting, that means wing defenders need to play up front more.

When wing players play up more, that means shooters then have to get into drive mode.

When wings are driving against defenders that are playing up close, they have a much higher chance of getting beat.

When the defender gets beat, who needs to rotate over to stop an easy 2?

The big.

Who are the top rim protectors in the league?

Gasol, Jordan, Mozgov, Howard, Gortat, Bogut, Duncan, Splitter, Robin Lopez, Chandler.

Look at where their teams finished this year.
If both guards are taken 2 and 3  
giantsfan44ab : 5/21/2015 11:20 am : link
We go with Winslow if our management is not live 15 years in the past.
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