Aside from a player’s scouting ranking, the most significant predictive factors are either demographic or based on the program from which he came: his age, weight and the schedule-adjusted offensive and defensive ratings of his school. As for individual college statistics, the most important are 2-point shot attempts per minute, assist percentage and offensive rebounding percentage, followed by usage rate, shooting efficiency from the floor (as measured by effective field goal percentage) and steal percentage.
In other words, snagging young, athletic prospects who pass the eye test with flying colors is ideal. But there’s also value in looking for underrated players who can create shots for themselves (particularly inside the arc) and others, skillful rebounders (offensive rebounds are often better indicators of actual rebounding talent — and not team role — than defensive boards), efficient shooters or gifted ball hawks.
Johnson having a lower bust potential than KAT makes this virtually worthless.
I could see it. Less likely to be a star, but there's a real good chance he'll be a top 8/9 rotation guy who can defend the wing. Every team could use a guy like that. But Im a Stanimal fan -- I think someone is going to do pretty well with him in the 2nd half of the lottery. He was getting top 4-6 hype early in the season.
There are outliers in statistical analysis. Also, they're talking odds of being a role player too. Being a role player Is an awesome outcome for a draft pick. Guys aren't drafting someone 5th that won't possibly be a superstar. But in baseball, it happens all the time. Guys are picked high because of salary and chance of at least being able to start. Most superstar like talents are busts. You know that. So saying this list is worthless is a bit hyperbolic. This list isn't saying who will be the best player. Statistically speaking, I found it interesting.
Dakari Johnson has less of a chance to bust than Karl Anthony Towns, despite Towns doing every single thing on the basketball court better than Johnson, and most light years better?
Dakari Johnson has less of a chance to bust than Karl Anthony Towns, despite Towns doing every single thing on the basketball court better than Johnson, and most light years better?
I read this that Dakari ceiling is very low, therefore his bust potential is very low.
Dakari Johnson has less of a chance to bust than Karl Anthony Towns, despite Towns doing every single thing on the basketball court better than Johnson, and most light years better?
I think that's just saying, since Towns has a hire ceiling, there are more scenarios in which his career is considered a bust
Dakari Johnson has less of a chance to bust than Karl Anthony Towns, despite Towns doing every single thing on the basketball court better than Johnson, and most light years better?
I think that's just saying, since Towns has a hire ceiling, there are more scenarios in which his career is considered a bust
Maybe I'm missing something, but I don't think that's the case. There is a column for role player. So if Towns is a role player, people would consider him a bust. But they are two separate columns.
I could be missing something, who knows. But to me bust means the same for Dakari and Towns, just simply not useful players at all, otherwise there would be no role player column.
at this point, the only thing I can say is that I hope they continue this for several years so that they can continue to mine the data and we can start to see better fleshed-out patterns.
In other words, snagging young, athletic prospects who pass the eye test with flying colors is ideal. But there’s also value in looking for underrated players who can create shots for themselves (particularly inside the arc) and others, skillful rebounders (offensive rebounds are often better indicators of actual rebounding talent — and not team role — than defensive boards), efficient shooters or gifted ball hawks.
Didnt someone do something like this at one point that had Lawson in the top 5, was that this same thing?
I could see it. Less likely to be a star, but there's a real good chance he'll be a top 8/9 rotation guy who can defend the wing. Every team could use a guy like that. But Im a Stanimal fan -- I think someone is going to do pretty well with him in the 2nd half of the lottery. He was getting top 4-6 hype early in the season.
Great numbers + below average athleticism?
I wonder where Porzingis and Mudiay would fall.
I read this that Dakari ceiling is very low, therefore his bust potential is very low.
I think that's just saying, since Towns has a hire ceiling, there are more scenarios in which his career is considered a bust
Quote:
Dakari Johnson has less of a chance to bust than Karl Anthony Towns, despite Towns doing every single thing on the basketball court better than Johnson, and most light years better?
I think that's just saying, since Towns has a hire ceiling, there are more scenarios in which his career is considered a bust
Maybe I'm missing something, but I don't think that's the case. There is a column for role player. So if Towns is a role player, people would consider him a bust. But they are two separate columns.
I could be missing something, who knows. But to me bust means the same for Dakari and Towns, just simply not useful players at all, otherwise there would be no role player column.