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NFT: Iran Treaty good deal or bad deal?

Headhunter : 7/14/2015 6:58 am
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RE: RE: RE: There are always going to be factions that hate diplomacy  
Big Al : 7/14/2015 12:47 pm : link
In comment 12370695 BeerFridge said:
Quote:
In comment 12370661 Big Al said:


Quote:


In comment 12370637 GiantJake said:


Quote:


because war and oil and tension and fear can be monetized. There will always be those who feel the best solution to a problem is to wipe it off the map and show them that America is the biggest and the baddest and the best. Those are the people that feel Obama is a fag for talking to these people instead of somehow laying down the law. This is the real world. This isn't a giant game of Risk. If there is ever going to be peace it is going to come from people looking each other in the eye and coming to an agreeable understanding. That takes time and the right people sitting at the table. I don't know that this treaty is perfect, but it's a treaty. It's a step in the right direction and maybe it leads to more talk and more cooperation and maybe an even better treaty. People talking is always better than people dying.

Sounds like a quote from Neville Chamberlain. Spelling of name?



It was only time that we hit our first Chamberlain reference. You win!
Thank you.
I want to believe  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 12:50 pm : link
that it is crystal clear that if caught cheating the sanctions snap back with no appeals, no delays . I'll wait to hear the details
RE: I have a brother who lives in Israel with his family  
njm : 7/14/2015 12:55 pm : link
In comment 12370668 Stu11 said:
Quote:
They knew it was going to happen and rather than getting an Israeli voice at the table, Netanyahu's behavior got them bupkus. as a result he is getting a ton of criticism for that.


I think both you and they should consider the possibility that if Israel had a seat at the table Iran wouldn't have shown up. Impossible to prove but also difficult to refute.
HRC endorses the deal  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 12:59 pm : link
so she has laid out her position and that will be her's to take into the general election for better or worse.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: RE: The more I see the purported alternatives  
Deej : 7/14/2015 1:00 pm : link
In comment 12370666 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
In comment 12370648 Deej said:


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Do nothing was not a long term solution.




Why not?


Because Iran would continue to work on the bomb and would eventually develop it. So it's not like but-for this deal, there was going to be an non-nuclear Iran.

I have no idea if this was a good deal or not. A bad deal is not as good as continuing to work towards a good deal (or the conditions precedent to such a deal, e.g. making things tougher on Iran). I get all that. Frankly, I dont think a single person on this board is qualified to assess the deal. Hell, I think most of Congress is unqualified to assess the deal.

I also dont get the motive for the administration to agree to an obviously bad deal. I dont see what is in it for them (a bad deal is worse for legacy than no deal). And a lot of the criticism is coming from camps that think Obama is the worstest president who evah lived, and who have no idea what it is like to actually negotiate an international security accord and/or deal first hand with Russia, Iran, and Europe. Oh no, the Republicans in Congress and Bibi dont like something Obama did? They must be right!
RE: HRC endorses the deal  
giants#1 : 7/14/2015 1:01 pm : link
In comment 12370726 Headhunter said:
Quote:
so she has laid out her position and that will be her's to take into the general election for better or worse. Link - ( New Window )


The biggest surprise is that she actually took a stance!
Once businesses in Europe start dealing with Iran  
buford : 7/14/2015 1:01 pm : link
and raking in money, they will be very reluctant to snap back any sanctions. This deal is about doing financial business with Iran, not about stopping them from doing anything.
RE: RE: I have a brother who lives in Israel with his family  
jeff57 : 7/14/2015 1:03 pm : link
In comment 12370723 njm said:
Quote:
In comment 12370668 Stu11 said:


Quote:


They knew it was going to happen and rather than getting an Israeli voice at the table, Netanyahu's behavior got them bupkus. as a result he is getting a ton of criticism for that.



I think both you and they should consider the possibility that if Israel had a seat at the table Iran wouldn't have shown up. Impossible to prove but also difficult to refute.


When Israel signs the nuclear non-proliferation treaty and comes clean about its nuclear weapons program, then maybe it will get a seat at the table.
Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
Don in DC : 7/14/2015 1:03 pm : link
is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.
Greg  
WideRight : 7/14/2015 1:05 pm : link
"...at locations that have not been declared under the comprehensive safeguards agreement or Additional Protocol"

This doesn't apply to known locations.

14 days for unknown sites is reasonable if our current intelligence and future surveillance is good.
RE: Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
Big Al : 7/14/2015 1:16 pm : link
In comment 12370739 Don in DC said:
Quote:
is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.
Actually another doltish comment from you. Please read the context of the reference yo Chamberlain. It had nothing to do with this deal. It was a response to naive general comment which
said it is always wise to negotiate.
Wiki is a drama queen?  
Bill L : 7/14/2015 1:18 pm : link
.History Channel, some textbooks...
RE: RE: I have a brother who lives in Israel with his family  
Stu11 : 7/14/2015 1:32 pm : link
In comment 12370723 njm said:
Quote:

I think both you and they should consider the possibility that if Israel had a seat at the table Iran wouldn't have shown up. Impossible to prove but also difficult to refute.


Absolutely that is a possibility. By "seat at the table" I also mean some sort of input into the process. I'm sure Netanyahu in all of his hubris probably would say he didn't want any. well that's his own folly because the deal was happening with or without him.
Here is an interesting take on the agreement.....  
Reb8thVA : 7/14/2015 1:40 pm : link
and a lot I agree with.

One of the bottom lines that is clear is that despite some of the views expressed here, the US and its partners were not necessarily negotiating from a position of strength.
deal - ( New Window )
no, we weren't  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 1:43 pm : link
Which is why there was nothing to be gained here.
RE: Here is an interesting take on the agreement.....  
Deej : 7/14/2015 1:47 pm : link
In comment 12370822 Reb8thVA said:
Quote:
and a lot I agree with.

One of the bottom lines that is clear is that despite some of the views expressed here, the US and its partners were not necessarily negotiating from a position of strength. deal - ( New Window )


Thanks Reb. I dont care for Feldman on a personal level (he's a prick -- I know him from my law school and synagogue). But he was also the guy that the last administration sent to Iraq to write their constitution. So he's not just some ivory tower academic who doesnt have a real sense of the forces at play in western Asia.
RE: Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
schabadoo : 7/14/2015 1:47 pm : link
In comment 12370739 Don in DC said:
Quote:
is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.


It's a requirement to mention him in these threads, even in passing. 'Peace in our time' is also acceptable.

Anyone know when the decade of chaos is supposed to commence?
A "deal" with lunatics? Can never be a good deal  
Blue21 : 7/14/2015 1:55 pm : link
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MAD  
giantfan2000 : 7/14/2015 2:12 pm : link
israel has a considerable nuclear arsenal
they are one of the few countries in the world with second strike capacity
they have 5 or 6 subs equipped with nuclear missiles

so if Iraq were to lobbed a nuclear bomb at israel , Iran would be wiped off the face of the earth.

So far Mutual Assured Destruction has kept unstable countries like North Korea and Pakistan from launching nukes , Iran may want regional power and prestige from a nuclear arsenal but in the end they would not be dumb enough to actually use the weapons.

that is the Realpolitik.
Iran was going to pursue nuclear weapons regardless of Saddam  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 2:12 pm : link
I agree that there really is no way short of military force to prevent them from developing a nuke, but why let them enrich and re-arm themselves in the interim?
Good for Iran and Syria.  
Crispino : 7/14/2015 2:19 pm : link
Bad for Israel.
RE: What's the alternative  
HomerJones45 : 7/14/2015 2:19 pm : link
In comment 12370161 Metnut said:
Quote:
to this deal? If there was no deal, couldn't Iran just build a nuclear weapon since they already are subject to sanctions and have no incentive to hold back?
One alternative is to continue the policy that forced Iran to the table in the first place- sanctions and Israeli saber rattling.

But no surprise. This was pre-ordained when Kerry, a JFK wannabe and one of the architects of the "Castro really wanted to play for the Yankees and Ho Chi Minh wanted to run the Parker House but we forced them to become revolutionaries" school of international relations, became Secretary of State.

So, here's the question now. Which of the states from the other religious branch of Islam will get the bomb to counter the Iranians?
So this was all the U.S  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 2:25 pm : link
and the P5 was window dressing?
RE: RE: What's the alternative  
Reb8thVA : 7/14/2015 2:29 pm : link
In comment 12370899 HomerJones45 said:
Quote:
In comment 12370161 Metnut said:


Quote:


to this deal? If there was no deal, couldn't Iran just build a nuclear weapon since they already are subject to sanctions and have no incentive to hold back?

One alternative is to continue the policy that forced Iran to the table in the first place- sanctions and Israeli saber rattling.

But no surprise. This was pre-ordained when Kerry, a JFK wannabe and one of the architects of the "Castro really wanted to play for the Yankees and Ho Chi Minh wanted to run the Parker House but we forced them to become revolutionaries" school of international relations, became Secretary of State.

So, here's the question now. Which of the states from the other religious branch of Islam will get the bomb to counter the Iranians?


The Pakistanis an they already have it.
RE: RE: Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
Big Al : 7/14/2015 2:32 pm : link
In comment 12370841 schabadoo said:
Quote:
In comment 12370739 Don in DC said:


Quote:


is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.



It's a requirement to mention him in these threads, even in passing. 'Peace in our time' is also acceptable.

Anyone know when the decaDde of chaos is supposed to commence?
Doubling down on someone else's poorwaze Qa comment. The thread police deciding that some references cannot be made even when appropriate.
Can't wait for Donald Trump's take on the deal  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 2:34 pm : link
him being the World's best and most beloved negotiator of all time will
have a field day
Iranians Euphoric after Nuclear Deal Reached  
pjcas18 : 7/14/2015 2:35 pm : link


Or the Ayotallah  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 2:37 pm : link
kicked him in the nuts
RE: Iran was going to pursue nuclear weapons regardless of Saddam  
Deej : 7/14/2015 2:41 pm : link
In comment 12370886 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
I agree that there really is no way short of military force to prevent them from developing a nuke, but why let them enrich and re-arm themselves in the interim?


Let them? They were already doing it? I dont understand this criticism.
they were already doing what?  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 2:45 pm : link
Already making a lot of money on the international market and buying arms from Russia and China? Is that what you're telling me?
RE: RE: RE: Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
schabadoo : 7/14/2015 2:46 pm : link
In comment 12370914 Big Al said:
Quote:
In comment 12370841 schabadoo said:


Quote:


In comment 12370739 Don in DC said:


Quote:


is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.



It's a requirement to mention him in these threads, even in passing. 'Peace in our time' is also acceptable.

Anyone know when the decaDde of chaos is supposed to commence?

Doubling down on someone else's poorwaze Qa comment. The thread police deciding that some references cannot be made even when appropriate.


Nope. It's a corollary of Godwin's Law.
In the words of John McCain  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 2:47 pm : link
the alternative to the tune of Barbara Ann
is Bomb bomb bomb Iran. Diplomacy is for pussies
I'd be shocked if the Saudis don't buy nukes from Pakistan  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 2:49 pm : link
.
RE: RE: RE: RE: Anyone invoking the name of Neville Chamberlain  
Big Al : 7/14/2015 2:56 pm : link
In comment 12370934 schabadoo said:
Quote:
In comment 12370914 Big Al said:


Quote:


In comment 12370841 schabadoo said:


Quote:


In comment 12370739 Don in DC said:


Quote:


is a drama queen and a dolt.

That is all I am going to say about this.



It's a requirement to mention him in these threads, even in passing. 'Peace in our time' is also acceptable.

Anyone know when the decaDde of chaos is supposed to commence?

Doubling down on someone else's poorwaze Qa comment. The thread police deciding that some references cannot be made even when appropriate.



Nope. It's a corollary of Godwin's Law.
I could agree. A Hitler reference preceded the Chamberlain but that reference was also correct.
Take this for what its worth, I find it positive POST signing  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 2:58 pm : link
Iran's Zarif: Nuke deal will help bring down 'wall of mistrust'


Link - ( New Window )
I think there's a large segment of people who just  
SanFranNowNCGiantsFan : 7/14/2015 3:14 pm : link
Don't believe in engaging with foes, as if we can just wish them away. We can't.

And comparing this to Munich is absurd.
RE: they were already doing what?  
Deej : 7/14/2015 3:14 pm : link
In comment 12370932 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
Already making a lot of money on the international market and buying arms from Russia and China? Is that what you're telling me?


enriching uranium and buying arms. They were already doing both things, fairly successfully.
Wall of Mistrust  
Watson : 7/14/2015 3:20 pm : link
Many posters have stated can't trust the Iranians, failing to realize that the Iranians have reason not to trust us.

If this can help begin a reset of our relations with Iran, that would be a good thing indeed.
Reb  
SanFranNowNCGiantsFan : 7/14/2015 3:24 pm : link
Great article. And another reason Bush 43 was a complete disaster.
RE: RE: RE: I have a brother who lives in Israel with his family  
njm : 7/14/2015 3:41 pm : link
In comment 12370736 jeff57 said:
Quote:
In comment 12370723 njm said:


Quote:


In comment 12370668 Stu11 said:


Quote:


They knew it was going to happen and rather than getting an Israeli voice at the table, Netanyahu's behavior got them bupkus. as a result he is getting a ton of criticism for that.



I think both you and they should consider the possibility that if Israel had a seat at the table Iran wouldn't have shown up. Impossible to prove but also difficult to refute.



When Israel signs the nuclear non-proliferation treaty and comes clean about its nuclear weapons program, then maybe it will get a seat at the table.


Absolutely irrelevant to whether they would have had a seat in these negotiations, but enjoy your fixation.
RE: RE: they were already doing what?  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 3:44 pm : link
In comment 12370990 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 12370932 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


Already making a lot of money on the international market and buying arms from Russia and China? Is that what you're telling me?



enriching uranium and buying arms. They were already doing both things, fairly successfully.


Yes, they were enriching uranium. I meant enrich in the sense of generating wealth, which they currently cannot do. And I'd dispute that they are fairly successful at re-arming - that's the reason they wanted a deal in the first place.
RE: RE: RE: I have a brother who lives in Israel with his family  
njm : 7/14/2015 3:45 pm : link
In comment 12370801 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 12370723 njm said:


Quote:



I think both you and they should consider the possibility that if Israel had a seat at the table Iran wouldn't have shown up. Impossible to prove but also difficult to refute.



Absolutely that is a possibility. By "seat at the table" I also mean some sort of input into the process. I'm sure Netanyahu in all of his hubris probably would say he didn't want any. well that's his own folly because the deal was happening with or without him.


Stu - It takes two to tango. Bibi certainly has hubris, but this administration treated him poorly from Day 1. IMHO they would have snubbed him, but probably have done it with less enthusiasm which is caused by recent events.
I'm as a huge supporter of Israel as a Jew  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 4:03 pm : link
but Bibi had no business addressing Congress and embarrassing the President. He could have handled it differently, now he has pissed off Obama and the deal will go through. I think he hurt Israel
Oh no, he pissed off Dear Leader?  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 4:08 pm : link
My my, we can't have that! The horror!
Look what it got him  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 4:14 pm : link
not too smart, he is a big loser and the Israelis view him as such. They hate the deal but they know Bibi blew it.
so what you're telling me is Obama pursued a shitty deal out of spite?  
Greg from LI : 7/14/2015 4:22 pm : link
.
No I did not say that  
Headhunter : 7/14/2015 4:27 pm : link
what I did say it was a dumb play on Bibi's part that didn't influence the negotiations. He could of not granstanded and discussed his concerns and Israeli concerns that might of come into play, but he kind of shot himself in the foot as far as having a voice behind the scenes. Dumb move, Israel gains 0
the Israeli's view him as a big loser  
giants#1 : 7/14/2015 4:28 pm : link
but still re-elected him?
I think it means that by trying to puff his chest out and push around  
BeerFridge : 7/14/2015 4:28 pm : link
both Iran and the administration, Bibi found himself on the outside looking in on the deal they ended up with.
RE: No I did not say that  
giants#1 : 7/14/2015 4:29 pm : link
In comment 12371099 Headhunter said:
Quote:
what I did say it was a dumb play on Bibi's part that didn't influence the negotiations. He could of not granstanded and discussed his concerns and Israeli concerns that might of come into play, but he kind of shot himself in the foot as far as having a voice behind the scenes. Dumb move, Israel gains 0


Bibi's speech to Congress might've been the tipping point, but his relationship with this admin had gone south well before then.
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