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NFT: HRC rough summer

fireitup77 : 7/22/2015 10:44 am
We have had some nice discussions after each of the Republican nominees have entered the race. The prevailing thought has been the HRC is a shoe in and can't be beat. But recent polling has her trailing the leading GOP candidates in swing states. Will this lead to me Dems throwing their hats in the ring?
HRC trails GOP in swing states - ( New Window )
None of these polls mean a helluvalot at this point...  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 10:50 am : link
Hillary has strong negatives, to be sure, but there aren't obvious candidates who appeal to more than the hard left just waiting in the wings. Plus some of these scandals are breaking at the right times, as the public's attention will likely be elsewhere by the time they're actually asked to vote for her. She will be a strong candidate and if the Republicans make a shitty choice next spring she could have a very easy path to the Oval Office.
I hope so.  
Big Al : 7/22/2015 10:51 am : link
There are some Democrats who I could vote for but she is not one of them. Would love to see an election between moderates from both sides.
The second phase is about the money  
WideRight : 7/22/2015 10:55 am : link
HRC will wipe the slate clean there, and GOP will wittle itself down to 2-3 candidates.

HRC problem is how to spend the money, not unlike Romney four years ago. Spending more money on your primary takes away from what you can do in the general election. That could be alot of trouble for her. Ideally she cruises through the primaries and prepares to blast the GOP leading up to and after the convention. These polls will distract her. Obama's rise was partly due to HRC's inability to marshall her resources in 2008. I could easily see it happening again, in the general.
There might be 1 or 2 guys hanging around out there  
eclipz928 : 7/22/2015 10:56 am : link
That might jump in the race just for the heck of it - she does have to pick a VP for the ticket after all. But clearly most Dems are not as enthusiastic as the volume of republican candidates in the race about their chances of progressing very far in the primaries against Hillary.
RE: There might be 1 or 2 guys hanging around out there  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 11:05 am : link
In comment 12380308 eclipz928 said:
Quote:
That might jump in the race just for the heck of it - she does have to pick a VP for the ticket after all. But clearly most Dems are not as enthusiastic as the volume of republican candidates in the race about their chances of progressing very far in the primaries against Hillary.


Hillary seems spiteful enough that a primary challenger would likely be blacklisted from the Veep slot.
Those #s were awful earlier.  
SanFranNowNCGiantsFan : 7/22/2015 11:07 am : link
& if this was next summer, I'd be in the fetal position crying. Probably not, but the point is made.

She's going to be, barring a miracle, the nominee. I wish someone else got in, ala Warren, Biden, or even Gore. But I doubt it.
There's also  
Metnut : 7/22/2015 11:13 am : link
a larger number of polls that have her doing very well in swing states when matched up against a series of potential Republican nominees, so, IMO, it would be mistaken to only rely on one series of polls.

It's also worth keeping in mind that the Republican nominee could win all of the Romney states, plus Florida, Ohio and Virginia and would still fall short on election day.
Even as a conservative  
Rob in CT/NYC : 7/22/2015 11:15 am : link
HRC wouldn't be the worst thing in the world, and there are some advantages - she likely mimics Bill and governs as a centrist and despite her anti-business and WS posturing, she is a corporatist as much as anyone on the right.

Further, a HRC presidency does advance women substantially, and since there wouldn't be a Democratic challenge to her incumbency next Presidential election, it completely eliminates the prospect of a Warren presidency who will be too old or dead eight years from now.
I don't see how a HRC  
buford : 7/22/2015 11:20 am : link
presidency advances women. She is probably the worst example of what a first female leader should be. The fact that she was married to a President and all of her positions since then have fed off of that makes her the epitome of marrying for power, everything feminists should be against. She also has a bad record of not being female friendly in her attacks on Bill's 'bimbos'and paying women less than men in her staff.

And Conservative does not equal Corporatist.

Not to mention  
beatrixkiddo : 7/22/2015 11:22 am : link
campaigning and accepting how many millions of $ from Saudi's; given how that country treats women.
Not sure where I wrote  
Rob in CT/NYC : 7/22/2015 11:23 am : link
conservative equals corporatist, but sure...

I think any women that advances to the Presidency would be to the benefit of women, and while I am not fan of hers, you simplify her career, accomplishments and abilities far too much (shocker).
The 3 "swing states" referenced  
MarshallOnMontana : 7/22/2015 11:24 am : link
Don't even account for 30 electoral votes. Obama carried all 3 states in 2012, but even had he not he still would have sailed to victory. Hillary doesn't figure to win by the margins Obama posted in 08 or even 12, but she is still in a commanding position. In the national polls I saw yesterday she is still up 6-7 pts on all comers from the right

Bottom line is if turnout is up to snuff, Hillary is going to be damn near impossible to beat because the demographic edge is just that strong for the democrats. But I continue to worry about her ability to energize voters and unite the Obama coalition that is virtually unbeatable in the modern political landscape. Again, forget about trustworthiness, she's just not an inspiring personality. The first woman thing will help, but she's otherwise an uninspiring, bland figure.
Well since you believe that women  
buford : 7/22/2015 11:25 am : link
shouldn't post on threads about men's issues, then it makes sense that you shouldn't be able to judge what advances women. And BTW, there is another woman in the race who would probably be a better representative of a woman making it to the top on her own.
As Duned says, polls mean nothing at this point.  
Section331 : 7/22/2015 11:27 am : link
HRC had an early advantage due almost entirely to name recognition; the field was bound to come back to her. That said, she really hasn't started campaigning yet. I think the key to the dem primary season is how much pressure Sanders can put on her. Right now, she can stay above the fray, and avoid sounding overly partisan, but if Bernie gets closer, she will have to tack to the left.
Correction,  
Rob in CT/NYC : 7/22/2015 11:28 am : link
I don't think you, specifically, should post on any thread because you are a fucking moron.

With that cleared up, enjoy the day.
RE: RE: There might be 1 or 2 guys hanging around out there  
eclipz928 : 7/22/2015 11:33 am : link
In comment 12380325 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 12380308 eclipz928 said:


Quote:


That might jump in the race just for the heck of it - she does have to pick a VP for the ticket after all. But clearly most Dems are not as enthusiastic as the volume of republican candidates in the race about their chances of progressing very far in the primaries against Hillary.



Hillary seems spiteful enough that a primary challenger would likely be blacklisted from the Veep slot.

Definitely could be a reason why some potential candidates are hedging their bets and staying out.

If i had to guess now, I think they're serving up Julian Castro to eventually join her on the ticket.
RE: As Duned says, polls mean nothing at this point.  
Big Al : 7/22/2015 11:33 am : link
In comment 12380379 Section331 said:
Quote:
HRC had an early advantage due almost entirely to name recognition; the field was bound to come back to her. That said, she really hasn't started campaigning yet. I think the key to the dem primary season is how much pressure Sanders can put on her. Right now, she can stay above the fray, and avoid sounding overly partisan, but if Bernie gets closer, she will have to tack to the left.
Not sure her campaigning will actually help her.
RE: Those #s were awful earlier.  
Big Al : 7/22/2015 11:36 am : link
In comment 12380333 SanFranNowNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
& if this was next summer, I'd be in the fetal position crying. Probably not, but the point is made.

She's going to be, barring a miracle, the nominee. I wish someone else got in, ala Warren, Biden, or even Gore. But I doubt it.
The Gore ship has sailed. Hoping for Biden who I don't think is the joke that others think.
I haven't followed politics much the last few years  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 11:37 am : link
but my impression is that Liz Warren is the only one who could knock her off in the primaries. She has the woman label and appeals more to lefty primary voters. I don't know if she could do as well in the general, tho. Which is fine with me, lol. I don't see any indications yet that she's comfortable jumping in. Hillary is the ultimate political whore (in a generic sense, I use the same term for male pols). Her whole life has been based on attaining power for Bill and herself.
RE: I haven't followed politics much the last few years  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 11:48 am : link
In comment 12380401 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
but my impression is that Liz Warren is the only one who could knock her off in the primaries. She has the woman label and appeals more to lefty primary voters. I don't know if she could do as well in the general, tho. Which is fine with me, lol. I don't see any indications yet that she's comfortable jumping in. Hillary is the ultimate political whore (in a generic sense, I use the same term for male pols). Her whole life has been based on attaining power for Bill and herself.


Elizabeth Warren is the darling of the academic set. Whether she has any sort of mass appeal even among the wider Democratic base is debatable.
polls mean nothing now  
giantfan2000 : 7/22/2015 11:50 am : link
The entire media conversation has been Republican primary Hillary has kept under the radar so not shocking her poll numbers are softening

I think western states (except Cali) are the weakness for Hillary
that is why I think John Hickenlooper will be her VP pick

It is funny Hillary's primary run 2016 reminds me of GWB primary run in 2000 - GWB was inevitable candidate from the beginning

Many complained about Republican Primary as coronation rather than contest so some were attracted to McCain

McCain was seen as the independent maverick and briefly had his moment early in Iowa and NH only to see the wheels come off in SC.



I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
fkap : 7/22/2015 12:03 pm : link
aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?
You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
moespree : 7/22/2015 12:05 pm : link
And Hillary starts the election with 162 of the 270 electoral votes needed. And of Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana...she'll have trouble getting only 108 more? Doubtful.

It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college. The realization has set in it's become stacked against the Republicans. And if indeed as some predict that 55 vote Texas turns blue in the next 10-15 years, then forget it. No chance ever again in any of our lives.
jeb bush vs hrc  
sundayatone : 7/22/2015 12:08 pm : link
cannot reward another bush,the damage and destruction his older brother did to the ME and america will take decades to fix.not saying HRC is any better.but bill has a good record.
RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 12:09 pm : link
In comment 12380455 fkap said:
Quote:
aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?


Nobody seems to have a good answer, even the people who like her (or at least like her candidacy. Will her foreign policy be a continuation of Obama's or will she distance herself from it? Will her economic policies hew more toward her husband's or toward Obama's, or will they be, umm, lefter? Will she run a general election campaign based on a positive program or will she just make some vague assurances and base her sales pitch on what she ascribes to the Republicans?
RE: polls mean nothing now  
sundayatone : 7/22/2015 12:10 pm : link
In comment 12380423 giantfan2000 said:
[quote] The entire media conversation has been Republican primary Hillary has kept under the radar so not shocking her poll numbers are softening

I think western states (except Cali) are the weakness for Hillary
that is why I think John Hickenlooper will be her VP pick

It is funny Hillary's primary run 2016 reminds me of GWB primary run in 2000 - GWB was inevitable candidate from the beginning

Many complained about Republican Primary as coronation rather than contest so some were attracted to McCain

McCain was seen as the independent maverick and briefly had his moment early in Iowa and NH only to see the wheels come off in SC.


[/quote

i think one of the castro bros from texas will be the vp pick.
RE: You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 12:11 pm : link
In comment 12380459 moespree said:
Quote:
And Hillary starts the election with 162 of the 270 electoral votes needed. And of Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana...she'll have trouble getting only 108 more? Doubtful.

It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college. The realization has set in it's become stacked against the Republicans. And if indeed as some predict that 55 vote Texas turns blue in the next 10-15 years, then forget it. No chance ever again in any of our lives.


Really? No chance? There is nothing in the history of the Republic to suggest that would ever be the case. Either the Republicans would reinvent themselves or another party would come to the fore, that has been the American experience.
I really am not thrilled with her...  
Don in DC : 7/22/2015 12:11 pm : link
or Bernie, or O'Malley.
I'm very disappointed...  
BamaBlue : 7/22/2015 12:11 pm : link
in a country of 300 million citizens, these are the best people we can find to become the leader of the free world!? I think it's time that conservatives and liberals stop bitch slapping each other and wake-up. We fight each other about wedge issues (abortion, gay marriage, immigration, gun control, etc.) while politicians change positions and sell influence to the highest bidder. Is is possible for political rivals in the electorate to get on the same page and look at how we can preserve our political system before we lose complete control?
RE: I really am not thrilled with her...  
sundayatone : 7/22/2015 12:17 pm : link
In comment 12380474 Don in DC said:
Quote:
or Bernie, or O'Malley.




i wish pres obama could run for a 3rd term. sorry rightwingers.
Dune  
fkap : 7/22/2015 12:18 pm : link
I don't give a shit what she runs on (or anyone, for that matter). It's all a bunch of bullshit to pander for votes. It's what a candidate has actually done, and even a lot of that is pandering to the party. So far, has HRC ever shown any core beliefs other than do what it takes to get to the next level? I haven't seen it, but am willing to be educated.
RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
buford : 7/22/2015 12:21 pm : link
In comment 12380455 fkap said:
Quote:
aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?


It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business.
RE: You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
njm : 7/22/2015 12:21 pm : link
In comment 12380459 moespree said:
Quote:
It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college.


Interesting. On BBI, which may or may not be representative, I'd estimate 90% of those who want the electoral college eliminated come from the left side of the political aisle.
we do need to get rid of the electoral college  
fkap : 7/22/2015 12:22 pm : link
unless you're a swing state, a minority party vote is mere disenfranchisement. In NY, unless I vote democrat so I can claim to vote for a winner, my vote is normally useless.
RE: Dune  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 12:23 pm : link
In comment 12380492 fkap said:
Quote:
I don't give a shit what she runs on (or anyone, for that matter). It's all a bunch of bullshit to pander for votes. It's what a candidate has actually done, and even a lot of that is pandering to the party. So far, has HRC ever shown any core beliefs other than do what it takes to get to the next level? I haven't seen it, but am willing to be educated.


There really isn't anything to draw on for cues, since other than her time in the Senate we don't have much to draw on. She was rated something like 11th most liberal, but she represented NY so is that a function of her personal beliefs or her sense of her constituency? She wasn't exactly hawkish in the Senate but she was centrist in her foreign policy speeches (and this in advance of 2008), and then she served as Secretary of State in an Administration whose foreign policy is not understood to be particularly centrist, so who knows?
RE: I'm very disappointed...  
buford : 7/22/2015 12:24 pm : link
In comment 12380476 BamaBlue said:
Quote:
in a country of 300 million citizens, these are the best people we can find to become the leader of the free world!? I think it's time that conservatives and liberals stop bitch slapping each other and wake-up. We fight each other about wedge issues (abortion, gay marriage, immigration, gun control, etc.) while politicians change positions and sell influence to the highest bidder. Is is possible for political rivals in the electorate to get on the same page and look at how we can preserve our political system before we lose complete control?


No, DC has too much power. It was not meant to be this way. Maybe the states can have their convention and propose amendments that will limit some of that power with term limits and other restrictions.
RE: RE: I'm very disappointed...  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 12:28 pm : link
In comment 12380510 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12380476 BamaBlue said:


Quote:


in a country of 300 million citizens, these are the best people we can find to become the leader of the free world!? I think it's time that conservatives and liberals stop bitch slapping each other and wake-up. We fight each other about wedge issues (abortion, gay marriage, immigration, gun control, etc.) while politicians change positions and sell influence to the highest bidder. Is is possible for political rivals in the electorate to get on the same page and look at how we can preserve our political system before we lose complete control?



No, DC has too much power. It was not meant to be this way. Maybe the states can have their convention and propose amendments that will limit some of that power with term limits and other restrictions.


That ship sailed with direct election of senators. I don't much care about the electoral college, for or against, but it would be nice if I could watch a f-cking television show in the year that preceded a presidential election without having to endure two or three political ads each break.
Rather Than A Choice Among Zealots At  
Trainmaster : 7/22/2015 12:29 pm : link
the extremes of the respective parties (I include HRC, Sanders, Warren, Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee in that group), wouldn't a choice among more moderates or at least folks who have served with / worked well with the other party (Webb, Kasich, maybe Christie) be refresing?

Webb probably has less than a snow ball's chance of getting the Democratic nomination. If Republican nominee were Santorum or Huckabee I'd probably just not vote for anyone rather than vote for them (I'd still vote on the rest of the ticket). If Webb were the nominee versus Santorum or Huckabee, I might actuatlly considered voting for Webb. Again, he'll never be the nominee, so it's a moot point.
RE: polls mean nothing now  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 12:36 pm : link
In comment 12380423 giantfan2000 said:
Quote:
The entire media conversation has been Republican primary Hillary has kept under the radar so not shocking her poll numbers are softening

I think western states (except Cali) are the weakness for Hillary
that is why I think John Hickenlooper will be her VP pick

It is funny Hillary's primary run 2016 reminds me of GWB primary run in 2000 - GWB was inevitable candidate from the beginning

Many complained about Republican Primary as coronation rather than contest so some were attracted to McCain

McCain was seen as the independent maverick and briefly had his moment early in Iowa and NH only to see the wheels come off in SC.




Hillary was also the inevitable candidate in 2008. You think her numbers are softening because of lack of exposure? I think the more people see/hear her the lower her numbers will go. But the Republicans still need to find someone with mass appeal to beat her.
RE: RE: RE: I'm very disappointed...  
njm : 7/22/2015 12:41 pm : link
In comment 12380518 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but it would be nice if I could watch a f-cking television show in the year that preceded a presidential election without having to endure two or three political ads each break.


There's good news and bad news when you live in a swing state. Of course I bet you're spared the 1-877 Kars 4 Kids commercials so it might be a break even
RE: RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 12:42 pm : link
In comment 12380469 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 12380455 fkap said:


Quote:


aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?



Nobody seems to have a good answer, even the people who like her (or at least like her candidacy. Will her foreign policy be a continuation of Obama's or will she distance herself from it? Will her economic policies hew more toward her husband's or toward Obama's, or will they be, umm, lefter? Will she run a general election campaign based on a positive program or will she just make some vague assurances and base her sales pitch on what she ascribes to the Republicans?


It's always been said that her politics are to the left of Bill's. She'll run as a populist, accusing the R's of being anti-women, anti-Hispanic, anti-Black, anti-gay anti-poor and in favor of the rich vs "the rest of us", lol.
RE: RE: RE: RE: I'm very disappointed...  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 12:44 pm : link
In comment 12380532 njm said:
Quote:
In comment 12380518 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


but it would be nice if I could watch a f-cking television show in the year that preceded a presidential election without having to endure two or three political ads each break.



There's good news and bad news when you live in a swing state. Of course I bet you're spared the 1-877 Kars 4 Kids commercials so it might be a break even


If I had money I'd be the equivalent of a snowbird for election season. Every four years, maybe a contested senatorial election, retreat to Vermont or Alabama or somewhere the opposing party has no chance in hell of winning.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: I'm very disappointed...  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 12:46 pm : link
In comment 12380541 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 12380532 njm said:


Quote:


In comment 12380518 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


but it would be nice if I could watch a f-cking television show in the year that preceded a presidential election without having to endure two or three political ads each break.



There's good news and bad news when you live in a swing state. Of course I bet you're spared the 1-877 Kars 4 Kids commercials so it might be a break even



If I had money I'd be the equivalent of a snowbird for election season. Every four years, maybe a contested senatorial election, retreat to Vermont or Alabama or somewhere the opposing party has no chance in hell of winning.


You'd be safer in Utah than Alabama, lol
RE: RE: You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
moespree : 7/22/2015 12:52 pm : link
In comment 12380502 njm said:
Quote:
In comment 12380459 moespree said:


Quote:


It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college.



Interesting. On BBI, which may or may not be representative, I'd estimate 90% of those who want the electoral college eliminated come from the left side of the political aisle.


Well that would be foolish. In a scenario where a Democrat carries Texas, the Democratic candidate would start the election with 200 of the 270 votes needed. Is it possible that at some point in this scenario in some election the Republican candidate wins a majority of the following states, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado and wins that way? Or flips, what I'm counting as a Democratic stronghold? Sure, it's possible.

Given though that over the last 20 years most of those "swing states" have not had a consistent voting pattern and have gone one way one election and another the next, and sent people from both parties to Congress, and elected people from both parties to Governor, the likelihood of this occurring I'd say is quite low. It's much more likely most Presidential elections will see these states split between the two candidates, with maybe one election seeing the Democrat winning 4 of them, the next election the Republican winning 4 of them. A clean sweep or one side carrying 70-80% of them is not something you're likely to see on a consistent basis in my opinion.
RE: You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
schabadoo : 7/22/2015 12:58 pm : link
In comment 12380459 moespree said:
Quote:
And Hillary starts the election with 162 of the 270 electoral votes needed. And of Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana...she'll have trouble getting only 108 more? Doubtful.

It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college. The realization has set in it's become stacked against the Republicans. And if indeed as some predict that 55 vote Texas turns blue in the next 10-15 years, then forget it. No chance ever again in any of our lives.


The GOP has won one popular vote since '88. The Electoral College seems their best bet.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: I'm very disappointed...  
buford : 7/22/2015 12:59 pm : link
In comment 12380541 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 12380532 njm said:


Quote:


In comment 12380518 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


but it would be nice if I could watch a f-cking television show in the year that preceded a presidential election without having to endure two or three political ads each break.



There's good news and bad news when you live in a swing state. Of course I bet you're spared the 1-877 Kars 4 Kids commercials so it might be a break even



If I had money I'd be the equivalent of a snowbird for election season. Every four years, maybe a contested senatorial election, retreat to Vermont or Alabama or somewhere the opposing party has no chance in hell of winning.


Or you could just get a DVR :)
I'm starting to become reasonably certain that I will never vote again  
Greg from LI : 7/22/2015 1:01 pm : link
in a presidential election.
RE: RE: You take the entire Northeast and the Pacific West  
moespree : 7/22/2015 1:08 pm : link
In comment 12380568 schabadoo said:
Quote:
In comment 12380459 moespree said:


Quote:


And Hillary starts the election with 162 of the 270 electoral votes needed. And of Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana...she'll have trouble getting only 108 more? Doubtful.

It's why some on the right in recent years want to get rid of the electoral college. The realization has set in it's become stacked against the Republicans. And if indeed as some predict that 55 vote Texas turns blue in the next 10-15 years, then forget it. No chance ever again in any of our lives.



The GOP has won one popular vote since '88. The Electoral College seems their best bet.


This is true. I guess my contention is I think the Electoral College is going to get difficult for them as well. Not impossible, but very difficult.
Let's face it  
buford : 7/22/2015 1:12 pm : link
Hillary is a stiff. When she speaks, she is robotic and shrill. And most Dems know it. But she is their creation and yes, many people are afraid of her and the whole Clinton clan. So she will likely be the nominee. Despite all her baggage.
Let's face it.  
Randy in CT : 7/22/2015 1:16 pm : link
buford is a parrot without an original thought and adds very little to these discussions beyond partisan broad-brushing.
Jeb, Hillary < Bernie  
charlito : 7/22/2015 1:19 pm : link
Sanders and John Kasich. Sadly we all know we have only 2 choices Jeb and Hillary. George Carlin ( American Dream )
RE: Let's face it.  
buford : 7/22/2015 1:45 pm : link
In comment 12380599 Randy in CT said:
Quote:
buford is a parrot without an original thought and adds very little to these discussions beyond partisan broad-brushing.


It's so nice that HRC has so many Knights in Shining Armor on BBI.
the problem  
giantfan2000 : 7/22/2015 2:12 pm : link
the problem for republicans is
if you look at electoral map and pull all the swing states out
Penn
Florida
Ohio
Colorado
Virginia (I actually think Virginia might be moving from Purple to Blue)

the Democrats start with 243 and Republicans 206

it just looks tough for a Republican.

Matter of fact if Republicans lose Florida in just about any scenario they will lose the election.

The is why there are two Floridians running for Republican Nomination
and why it is almost a guarantee that if Jeb does not win nomination Rubio ends up VP nominee

Walker/Rubio might have a chance because you put Wisconsin and Florida in play.







Doesn't square with all the national polls showing HRC  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 3:19 pm : link
well ahead of the GOP contenders, so either all those national polls are wrong or Quinnipiac got a bad sample. Betting on the latter
penciling in Hil vs Jeb  
fkap : 7/22/2015 3:25 pm : link
is like penciling in (insert the two usual preseason paper champs) for the superbowl. there are certainly teams/candidates that likely won't be there at the end, but there's a lot of games/primaries to go through between then and now.
RE: Doesn't square with all the national polls showing HRC  
buford : 7/22/2015 3:37 pm : link
In comment 12380789 dpinzow said:
Quote:
well ahead of the GOP contenders, so either all those national polls are wrong or Quinnipiac got a bad sample. Betting on the latter


National polls really don't matter. It's the state polls that are important, especially the swing states.
Who the hell are people asking in these polls?  
Mike in Long Beach : 7/22/2015 3:39 pm : link
.
RE: RE: Doesn't square with all the national polls showing HRC  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 3:44 pm : link
In comment 12380850 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12380789 dpinzow said:


Quote:


well ahead of the GOP contenders, so either all those national polls are wrong or Quinnipiac got a bad sample. Betting on the latter



National polls really don't matter. It's the state polls that are important, especially the swing states.


Quinnipiac needs to put out a national poll to match because their results are wildly divergent from all the national polls and almost all the state polls. These #s are outliers until we see confirmation. Since these are swing states, national polling #s would be pretty close
I can't imagine any R having  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 3:46 pm : link
enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.
RE: I can't imagine any R having  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 3:48 pm : link
In comment 12380871 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.


Those are fun...we haven't had one of those in a while. Chaos on national TV is the result
Real Clear Politics head-to-heads  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 3:58 pm : link
show Clinton up 6 nationally on Bush, 10 nationally on Walker, and 7 nationally on Rubio. It is statistically almost impossible for her to be lagging her national numbers by 12-15 points in Iowa and Colorado and 5-8 points in Virginia. Those states are very close to the middle politically so their numbers would be pretty similar to national polling, usually not off by more than 5 points
Polls at this stage are unreliable, but even then,  
Section331 : 7/22/2015 4:12 pm : link
this poll looks like a real outlier. Other polls have HRC polling much better in those states, and Quinnipiac has a bit of a reputation for for producing outliers now and then. It's possible the tide has turned on HRC, but I'd wait for another poll or 2 to confirm it before lending it credibility.
RE: I can't imagine any R having  
fireitup77 : 7/22/2015 4:13 pm : link
In comment 12380871 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.


Not likely. The Republicans changed the rules. All primaries on or after March 15 are winner take all. Ohio Florida, Illinois and Missouri all hold primaries on the 15. You will have a nominee shortly thereafter.
This really hit a nerve  
njm : 7/22/2015 4:17 pm : link
It could be an outlier, but Quinnipiac is know as a non-partisan source, as opposed to PPP which Real Clear Politics classifies a Democratic group. And with all the craziness that has gone on, along with the recent declarations on the part of the candidates, I wouldn't dismiss it out of hand.

One final thing. Scott Walker has polled far better in Iowa than he has nationally ever since he became a potential candidate. He's from a neighboring state. So I think his numbers are much less an outlier than Bush's or Rubio's.
I wasn't dismissing it out of hand,  
Section331 : 7/22/2015 4:22 pm : link
just that I would wait for another poll or 2 to confirm Q's findings. It is a solid, non-partisan group, but they do have a tendency to produce more than their share of outliers.

It is far from hitting a nerve with me; polls at this stage of the process are a notch above worthless.
RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
Mr. Nickels : 7/22/2015 4:25 pm : link
In comment 12380455 fkap said:
Quote:
aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?


These are good questions that I hope the voters will ask themselves before pulling the lever.
Re:What Would An HRC Presidency Look Like?  
Trainmaster : 7/22/2015 5:01 pm : link
RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
Deej : 7/22/2015 5:07 pm : link
In comment 12380455 fkap said:
Quote:
aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?


So Yale Law, director of legal aid clinic, litigation career, law professor, Senator, Secretary of State, author. Leading roles in development/securing of SCHIP, the foster care bill, NIH funding for asthma and other conditions, early investigation into Gulf War Syndrome, WTC redevelopment funding, health service for 1st responders, bi-partisan compromise on the Patriot Act reform/renewal, secured Gaza cease-fire, most traveled SOS in history, several new free trade agreements. Not to mention a lot of work on stuff that didnt quite make it to law, but was hard work nonetheless. And the fantastic work of her family charity.

But yeah, she just fucked her way to the top. And she didnt do anything to rock the boat, which is why she was so universally beloved for stuff like "Hilarycare". Though I guess she wants to be president just to gain more power, while everyone else running is doing it "for the kids".

Now, what the fuck has Marco Rubio ever done?

[Sorry to single you out. Im responding more to popular sentiment than you specifically]
RE: I don't see how a HRC  
Watson : 7/22/2015 5:11 pm : link
In comment 12380362 buford said:
Quote:
presidency advances women. She is probably the worst example of what a first female leader should be. The fact that she was married to a President and all of her positions since then have fed off of that makes her the epitome of marrying for power, everything feminists should be against. She also has a bad record of not being female friendly in her attacks on Bill's 'bimbos'and paying women less than men in her staff.

And Conservative does not equal Corporatist.


Seems to me not only is this insulating to HRC but any women who has put their aspirations on hold to bring up a family and be supportive of their husband. Are you saying none of our 1st Ladies could have been successful leaders in their own right? What ever success they may have after leaving the WH is only because they married for power?

Michelle Obama was graduated cum laude from Princeton and received her law degree from Harvard. She met her husband at their law firm. She was assigned to mentor him when he was a summer associate. I don't know what she will choose to do but whatever it is I'm sure she is more than capable of a leadership role.

Laura Bush received her master's degree from the University of Texas. The Bush Family has credited her with her her husband get over his drinking problem. Since leaving WH, Foundation for American Libraries which funds neediest school libraries. To date, 715000 books & materials provided. She serves as the chair of the Bushes Institute's Global Women's Initiatives. Besides these charities, she serves on many boards including Advisory Board for Salvation Army, National Trust for Historic Preservation. Would you insinuate she was only asked to take a seat because she married into a powerful family?

Hillary Clinton was graduated from Wellesley and received her law degree from Yale. It was her senior speech at Wellesley that first gained her national attention. She was featured in an article published by Life Magazine. I'm sure Life chose her because they just knew she would marry well and therefore amount to something.
And that  
Semipro Lineman : 7/22/2015 5:15 pm : link
was elementary my dear...
RE: RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
dep026 : 7/22/2015 6:07 pm : link
In comment 12381046 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 12380455 fkap said:


Quote:


aside from her early attempts to be co-president with Bill, her entire career has been about building a power base (political whore as Bill in UT said) while doing nothing - go through the motions/don't rock the boat. Got to hand it to her, she built a magnificent power base, but her resume is all padding without any real oomph to it.

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?



So Yale Law, director of legal aid clinic, litigation career, law professor, Senator, Secretary of State, author. Leading roles in development/securing of SCHIP, the foster care bill, NIH funding for asthma and other conditions, early investigation into Gulf War Syndrome, WTC redevelopment funding, health service for 1st responders, bi-partisan compromise on the Patriot Act reform/renewal, secured Gaza cease-fire, most traveled SOS in history, several new free trade agreements. Not to mention a lot of work on stuff that didnt quite make it to law, but was hard work nonetheless. And the fantastic work of her family charity.

But yeah, she just fucked her way to the top. And she didnt do anything to rock the boat, which is why she was so universally beloved for stuff like "Hilarycare". Though I guess she wants to be president just to gain more power, while everyone else running is doing it "for the kids".

Now, what the fuck has Marco Rubio ever done?

[Sorry to single you out. Im responding more to popular sentiment than you specifically]


One problem with HRC has she only been elected to office 1 time (IIRC) and that election was senator for a state she never lived in. Her position of SOS she was basically hand picked by democrats so she could be in the position she is now as presidential favorite.
dep  
Deej : 7/22/2015 6:25 pm : link
pardon my bluntness, but that all just strikes me as attempts to manufacture a problem with Hilary Clinton. The armchair psychoanalysis, the "she didnt earn it". It's all the same bullshit. 40% of the electorate just thinks she's a vile bitch. Whether she's responsible for it or it's a product of a vast right wing conspiracy or both, that's her problem.

Also, she was elected twice. Like Reagan. And GWB. And twice more than Eisenhower!
RE: dep  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 6:31 pm : link
In comment 12381091 Deej said:
Quote:
pardon my bluntness, but that all just strikes me as attempts to manufacture a problem with Hilary Clinton. The armchair psychoanalysis, the "she didnt earn it". It's all the same bullshit. 40% of the electorate just thinks she's a vile bitch. Whether she's responsible for it or it's a product of a vast right wing conspiracy or both, that's her problem.

Also, she was elected twice. Like Reagan. And GWB. And twice more than Eisenhower!
how do s the Eisenhower math work?
Also  
Deej : 7/22/2015 6:32 pm : link
her SOS position was handpicked by the democrats? Who? What manner of BS is that? She was appointed by Obama, who at best had a frenemy relationship with her at the time. There wasnt some cabal where the heads of the 5 biggest unions, Rachel Maddow, George Soros, and all the dead people who really elected Kennedy got together in late 2008 and put her in the SOS job to set her up for 2016. And while newly elected presidents dominate the party even in normal circumstances, no one among the Dems was in any position to dictate jack shit to Obama in the wake of his landslide, historic 2008 win.

RE: RE: dep  
Deej : 7/22/2015 6:34 pm : link
In comment 12381093 Bill L said:
Quote:
how do s the Eisenhower math work?


I was counting non-presidential elections. Reagan and GWB were each elected to office twice before winning the presidency, like Hilary (different jobs). Eisenhower's first election was the presidency.
Ahh ok.  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 6:37 pm : link
I never did get new math
So about this Q Poll  
Deej : 7/22/2015 7:17 pm : link
It wont surprise me if this is a close election. I never bought into any HRC coronation story. But Im just digging in these polls. The GOP-Dem-Indep splits are:

CO: 29-26-36
IA: 29-27-38
VA: 27-28-35

Then I look at the 2012 exit polls (consortium of all the networks including Fox). Actual turnout was:

CO: 29-34-37
IO: 33-33-34
VA: 32-39-29

I have serious concerns about Q's ability to call this far out such a massive shift in the presidential electorate in VA and CO (and early polling of Iowa may be inherently unreliable given what's going on there with the GOPers campaigning full bore). Off year elections like 2014 are irrelevant to predicting presidential year turnout since so many fewer people vote and the off-year electorate is much more conservative than presidential year electorates.

So this pollster says in 4 years VA has gone net 8 points red, by going +5R and -11D? I dont want to say ridiculous, but I'd be real curios to see how you model a swing for VA like that, especially given the reports about VA generally trending Dem demographically (growth of NoVA). I mean, that state just elected Terrible Terry McAuliffe as governor in 2014 (albeit by plurality).
2012 Exit Polls - ( New Window )
RE: RE: I can't imagine any R having  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 7:17 pm : link
In comment 12380932 fireitup77 said:
Quote:
In comment 12380871 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.



Not likely. The Republicans changed the rules. All primaries on or after March 15 are winner take all. Ohio Florida, Illinois and Missouri all hold primaries on the 15. You will have a nominee shortly thereafter.


That assumes all or most are won by the same person. I don't know who that would be at this point. There are a lot of people splitting the moderate vote. Maybe Rick Santorum sneaks in by winning most of the social/religious conservative vote. Bush would have to hope a bunch of people run out of money early.
RE: RE: Doesn't square with all the national polls showing HRC  
Randy in CT : 7/22/2015 7:20 pm : link
In comment 12380850 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12380789 dpinzow said:


Quote:


well ahead of the GOP contenders, so either all those national polls are wrong or Quinnipiac got a bad sample. Betting on the latter



National polls really don't matter. It's the state polls that are important, especially the swing states.
Anything good for the person I hate doesn't count! C'mon, you're laughable now.
RE: RE: RE: I can't imagine any R having  
Dunedin81 : 7/22/2015 7:30 pm : link
In comment 12381151 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
In comment 12380932 fireitup77 said:


Quote:


In comment 12380871 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.



Not likely. The Republicans changed the rules. All primaries on or after March 15 are winner take all. Ohio Florida, Illinois and Missouri all hold primaries on the 15. You will have a nominee shortly thereafter.



That assumes all or most are won by the same person. I don't know who that would be at this point. There are a lot of people splitting the moderate vote. Maybe Rick Santorum sneaks in by winning most of the social/religious conservative vote. Bush would have to hope a bunch of people run out of money early.


Candidates gather momentum, voters front-run, certain candidates will do better in certain states but you're not likely to see, say, six candidates winning a state in a given week.
RE: RE: I don't see how a HRC  
buford : 7/22/2015 7:37 pm : link
In comment 12381051 Watson said:
Quote:
In comment 12380362 buford said:


Quote:


presidency advances women. She is probably the worst example of what a first female leader should be. The fact that she was married to a President and all of her positions since then have fed off of that makes her the epitome of marrying for power, everything feminists should be against. She also has a bad record of not being female friendly in her attacks on Bill's 'bimbos'and paying women less than men in her staff.

And Conservative does not equal Corporatist.




Seems to me not only is this insulating to HRC but any women who has put their aspirations on hold to bring up a family and be supportive of their husband. Are you saying none of our 1st Ladies could have been successful leaders in their own right? What ever success they may have after leaving the WH is only because they married for power?

Michelle Obama was graduated cum laude from Princeton and received her law degree from Harvard. She met her husband at their law firm. She was assigned to mentor him when he was a summer associate. I don't know what she will choose to do but whatever it is I'm sure she is more than capable of a leadership role.

Laura Bush received her master's degree from the University of Texas. The Bush Family has credited her with her her husband get over his drinking problem. Since leaving WH, Foundation for American Libraries which funds neediest school libraries. To date, 715000 books & materials provided. She serves as the chair of the Bushes Institute's Global Women's Initiatives. Besides these charities, she serves on many boards including Advisory Board for Salvation Army, National Trust for Historic Preservation. Would you insinuate she was only asked to take a seat because she married into a powerful family?

Hillary Clinton was graduated from Wellesley and received her law degree from Yale. It was her senior speech at Wellesley that first gained her national attention. She was featured in an article published by Life Magazine. I'm sure Life chose her because they just knew she would marry well and therefore amount to something.


Nice try, but no cigar. She didn't have to put her career on hold and if she really did the work to be a Senator and Presidential Candidate and SOS then fine. But she didn't. She was granted the Senate slot because of her name, nothing more. From that she ran for President and then got the SOS slot because Obama wanted to either watch her or placate the Clintons.

And a speech from college? Really? And I'll say it again, Bush also went to Yale.

What this is is an insult to women who did put in the work their entire lives and started from nothing but were elected at a state level then maybe Congress and then took it from there. Geraldine Ferraro is a great example:

Quote:
Ferraro grew up in New York City and worked as a public school teacher before training as a lawyer. She joined the Queens County District Attorney's Office in 1974, heading the new Special Victims Bureau that dealt with sex crimes, child abuse, and domestic violence. In 1978 she was elected to the House, where she rose rapidly in the party hierarchy while focusing on legislation to bring equity for women in the areas of wages, pensions, and retirement plans. In 1984, former vice president and presidential candidate Walter Mondale, seen as an underdog, selected Ferraro to be his running mate in the upcoming election. Ferraro became the only Italian American to be a major-party national nominee in addition to being the first woman.


And yes, if Laura Bush hadn't married George Bush, I doubt she would have been offered that position.
RE: RE: RE: Doesn't square with all the national polls showing HRC  
buford : 7/22/2015 7:38 pm : link
In comment 12381155 Randy in CT said:
Quote:
In comment 12380850 buford said:


Quote:


In comment 12380789 dpinzow said:


Quote:


well ahead of the GOP contenders, so either all those national polls are wrong or Quinnipiac got a bad sample. Betting on the latter



National polls really don't matter. It's the state polls that are important, especially the swing states.

Anything good for the person I hate doesn't count! C'mon, you're laughable now.



Don't worry Randy! You have reinforcements now!!!
pardon my ignorance  
dep026 : 7/22/2015 7:43 pm : link
But what other election did she win other than senator of new york?
RE: pardon my ignorance  
dep026 : 7/22/2015 7:48 pm : link
In comment 12381181 dep026 said:
Quote:
But what other election did she win other than senator of new york?


Nevermind. She was re-elected.

Nonetheless her elections were for a state she never lived in.
He's counting the re-election  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 7:48 pm : link
.
I think it's fair to count them because they were legit elections  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 7:52 pm : link
Did they choose NY in,part because of the upcoming open seat and because it's not tough to beat a Rep in NY? Likely. But she did run a decent campaign (honestly, though,mr here really was no Repub who credibly could run against her once someone got rudi's mistress in the papers (I think I have that have left ion right, don't I?... Foggy memory).

I've said this before but our family had an interaction with her office when she was Senstor. We found that her office, as compared to our Representative and Schumer, was incredibly efficient and professional. I have nothing negative to say about that experience.
Ugh...iPad woes  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 7:53 pm : link
I think I have the rudi incident correct , don't I? Is what I meant to type
RE: RE: RE: RE: I can't imagine any R having  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 8:02 pm : link
In comment 12381165 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 12381151 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


In comment 12380932 fireitup77 said:


Quote:


In comment 12380871 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


enough votes for the nomination after the primaries. It's almost certainly going to be a brokered convention, so the Party pros will be deciding the nominee. Anyone with an independent streak can forget about it.



Not likely. The Republicans changed the rules. All primaries on or after March 15 are winner take all. Ohio Florida, Illinois and Missouri all hold primaries on the 15. You will have a nominee shortly thereafter.



That assumes all or most are won by the same person. I don't know who that would be at this point. There are a lot of people splitting the moderate vote. Maybe Rick Santorum sneaks in by winning most of the social/religious conservative vote. Bush would have to hope a bunch of people run out of money early.



Candidates gather momentum, voters front-run, certain candidates will do better in certain states but you're not likely to see, say, six candidates winning a state in a given week.


On March 15, it's entirely possible that Kasich wins Ohio, Rubio or Bush wins Florida. Santorum wins Missouri and Santorum or one of the moderates wins Illinois. (The Santorum wins are based on 2012 primary voting)
Hillary was able to win as a Democrat in NY  
Bill in UT : 7/22/2015 8:12 pm : link
after trashing Mark McMahon (who?) in the primary? Count me in as impressed
RE: I think it's fair to count them because they were legit elections  
buford : 7/22/2015 8:31 pm : link
In comment 12381195 Bill L said:
Quote:
Did they choose NY in,part because of the upcoming open seat and because it's not tough to beat a Rep in NY? Likely. But she did run a decent campaign (honestly, though,mr here really was no Repub who credibly could run against her once someone got rudi's mistress in the papers (I think I have that have left ion right, don't I?... Foggy memory).

I've said this before but our family had an interaction with her office when she was Senstor. We found that her office, as compared to our Representative and Schumer, was incredibly efficient and professional. I have nothing negative to say about that experience.



Rudy had to drop out because he got prostate cancer. I think he could have beat her. She ran against Rick Lazio, who was my congressman at the time (or was since I moved right before the election).
RE: RE: I think it's fair to count them because they were legit elections  
Bill L : 7/22/2015 9:12 pm : link
In comment 12381244 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12381195 Bill L said:


Quote:


Did they choose NY in,part because of the upcoming open seat and because it's not tough to beat a Rep in NY? Likely. But she did run a decent campaign (honestly, though,mr here really was no Repub who credibly could run against her once someone got rudi's mistress in the papers (I think I have that have left ion right, don't I?... Foggy memory).

I've said this before but our family had an interaction with her office when she was Senstor. We found that her office, as compared to our Representative and Schumer, was incredibly efficient and professional. I have nothing negative to say about that experience.




Rudy had to drop out because he got prostate cancer. I think he could have beat her. She ran against Rick Lazio, who was my congressman at the time (or was since I moved right before the election).

Thanks. I don't know where I got mistress from...I guess I spent too much time on the Ashley Madison thread. I do sort of remember the Lazio race. He got a raw deal from the press who made him out to be some sort of misogynist monster for his debate style. Really messed up but that's the press for you.
Wikipedia  
Semipro Lineman : 7/22/2015 9:34 pm : link
version of events paints a slightly different story. Rudy polling high point was in March (the last of the six consectutive months he polled higher than Hillary), afterwards Hillary was ahead as she was for most of the campaign except for that above mentioned brief period.

And the mistress and cancer stuff all came out around the same time. Probably deliberately on his part but still...
Link - ( New Window )
Rudy would have gotten creamed  
Deej : 7/22/2015 9:35 pm : link
he was up in early polls, but by April 2000 he was down 8-10 points. He announced his cancer that month, and said it was full steam ahead on the campaign. Then May happened. In May he acknowledged his "very good friend" aka mistress, Judith Nathan. Also in early May the Conservative Party (which hated Rudy's pro-choice position) effectively said that they'd put up a 3rd candidate who would obviously hurt Rudy more than HRC. Then Rudy held a press conference to announce he was dumping his wife -- which is how his jilted wife found out about it!

Rudy ran a terrible campaign too -- essentially refused to go upstate, and people in NYC were growing very tired of him before 9/11/01. Especially after the tone-deaf character assassination of Dorismond.

I dont doubt that the prostate cancer may have weighed on his decision to drop out (though after the announcement but pre-Nathan he said it was full steam ahead on the campaign), but there has been some revisionist history in some circles that Rudy was felled by a faulty prostate.
RE: RE: RE: I don't see how a HRC  
Watson : 7/22/2015 9:54 pm : link
In comment 12381172 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12381051 Watson said:


Quote:


In comment 12380362 buford said:


Quote:


presidency advances women. She is probably the worst example of what a first female leader should be. The fact that she was married to a President and all of her positions since then have fed off of that makes her the epitome of marrying for power, everything feminists should be against. She also has a bad record of not being female friendly in her attacks on Bill's 'bimbos'and paying women less than men in her staff.

And Conservative does not equal Corporatist.




Seems to me not only is this insulating to HRC but any women who has put their aspirations on hold to bring up a family and be supportive of their husband. Are you saying none of our 1st Ladies could have been successful leaders in their own right? What ever success they may have after leaving the WH is only because they married for power?

Michelle Obama was graduated cum laude from Princeton and received her law degree from Harvard. She met her husband at their law firm. She was assigned to mentor him when he was a summer associate. I don't know what she will choose to do but whatever it is I'm sure she is more than capable of a leadership role.

Laura Bush received her master's degree from the University of Texas. The Bush Family has credited her with her her husband get over his drinking problem. Since leaving WH, Foundation for American Libraries which funds neediest school libraries. To date, 715000 books & materials provided. She serves as the chair of the Bushes Institute's Global Women's Initiatives. Besides these charities, she serves on many boards including Advisory Board for Salvation Army, National Trust for Historic Preservation. Would you insinuate she was only asked to take a seat because she married into a powerful family?

Hillary Clinton was graduated from Wellesley and received her law degree from Yale. It was her senior speech at Wellesley that first gained her national attention. She was featured in an article published by Life Magazine. I'm sure Life chose her because they just knew she would marry well and therefore amount to something.



Nice try, but no cigar. She didn't have to put her career on hold and if she really did the work to be a Senator and Presidential Candidate and SOS then fine. But she didn't. She was granted the Senate slot because of her name, nothing more. From that she ran for President and then got the SOS slot because Obama wanted to either watch her or placate the Clintons.

And a speech from college? Really? And I'll say it again, Bush also went to Yale.

What this is is an insult to women who did put in the work their entire lives and started from nothing but were elected at a state level then maybe Congress and then took it from there. Geraldine Ferraro is a great example:



Quote:


Ferraro grew up in New York City and worked as a public school teacher before training as a lawyer. She joined the Queens County District Attorney's Office in 1974, heading the new Special Victims Bureau that dealt with sex crimes, child abuse, and domestic violence. In 1978 she was elected to the House, where she rose rapidly in the party hierarchy while focusing on legislation to bring equity for women in the areas of wages, pensions, and retirement plans. In 1984, former vice president and presidential candidate Walter Mondale, seen as an underdog, selected Ferraro to be his running mate in the upcoming election. Ferraro became the only Italian American to be a major-party national nominee in addition to being the first woman.



And yes, if Laura Bush hadn't married George Bush, I doubt she would have been offered that position.


I get that you don't like HRC. As a youngster, she already showed an interest in politics. At 13 she canvassed with her Dad for Nixon's 1960 campaign. In high school she was a Goldwater volunteer. Yes originally she was a Republican.

I mentioned her commencement speech because these don't get attention. How many 21 year old seniors get featured in a national magazine? I brought these up because clearly knowledgeable adults saw something special. Yes, way before Bill.

Frankly, your contention that HRC could never have had a high level political career with out Bill is absurd. She had a clear interest and demonstrated talent at a very young age.

I understand that your political views are conservative. But why the continual personal attacks? Have you no confidence that the conservative message can be articulate so the majority of the electorate will see its the proper course? Have you no confidence in your candidates abilities and therefore feel the need to ripe the opposition on a personal basis? Or are you just pissed that she did not remain a Republican?



Robert Pinsky on the moment Hillary became a Public Figure - ( New Window )
Whoa  
buford : 7/22/2015 10:08 pm : link
it's not about liking HRC or not. I believe she would be a terrible president. And I'm certainly not the only one. And my attacks are not personal. I was not the one who brought up that her being elected would be good for women. I strongly disagree with that for the reasons I stated. And while I do have conservative views for some policies, I am fairly liberal on social issues. I can see people supporting her because of issues, but I can't see anyone ignoring all of her very major faults and trusting her to do anything but what is good for her personally.

And making a speech, even if it was covered by a magazine doesn't make her fit to be President. And also, I never said she wouldn't have had a career if she didn't marry Bill Clinton. But she did and she did not have a career. So yes, what came after he left office was mostly due to her being known from being First Lady, not her speech 40 years earlier.
RE: So about this Q Poll  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 11:00 pm : link
In comment 12381150 Deej said:
Quote:
It wont surprise me if this is a close election. I never bought into any HRC coronation story. But Im just digging in these polls. The GOP-Dem-Indep splits are:

CO: 29-26-36
IA: 29-27-38
VA: 27-28-35

Then I look at the 2012 exit polls (consortium of all the networks including Fox). Actual turnout was:

CO: 29-34-37
IO: 33-33-34
VA: 32-39-29

I have serious concerns about Q's ability to call this far out such a massive shift in the presidential electorate in VA and CO (and early polling of Iowa may be inherently unreliable given what's going on there with the GOPers campaigning full bore). Off year elections like 2014 are irrelevant to predicting presidential year turnout since so many fewer people vote and the off-year electorate is much more conservative than presidential year electorates.

So this pollster says in 4 years VA has gone net 8 points red, by going +5R and -11D? I dont want to say ridiculous, but I'd be real curios to see how you model a swing for VA like that, especially given the reports about VA generally trending Dem demographically (growth of NoVA). I mean, that state just elected Terrible Terry McAuliffe as governor in 2014 (albeit by plurality). 2012 Exit Polls - ( New Window )


Those Party ID crosstabs are whacked. They used a 2014 midterm sample when a presidential election is much more Democratic in general

Basically add 8 points to Hillary in Colorado, 5 points to her in Iowa and 7 to her in Virginia based on the 2012 part ID stats and Quinnipiac's poll becomes more accurate. That puts her in a dead heat with all three leading GOP candidates which makes a lot more sense
Second post on the crosstabs  
dpinzow : 7/22/2015 11:06 pm : link
Quinnipiac's party ID in each state for this poll was

Colorado: R+4
Iowa: R+2
Virginia: D+1

When the actual 2012 election crosstabs were:

Colorado: D+4
Iowa: Even
Virginia: D+7

And two of the three states (Colorado and Virginia) have rapidly trended D due to minority population growth
Buford you are right you weren't the one that brought up HRC election  
Watson : 7/22/2015 11:49 pm : link
would be good for women. Rather, you indicated it was the opposite she's "the epitome of marrying for power". This initiated my original response. Imo it's insulting to women who have put their aspirations on hold and have all their later success attributed to their spouse. I mentioned the national attention she received at such a young age, because she was clearly identified as a talented young women.

As to your attacks not being personal, as an example, earlier in response to the question what will a HRC presidency look like. You said at 12:21. - "It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business."

What can I say. I guess we have a difference in opinion on what constitutes a personal attack.
Clintons  
Hilary : 7/23/2015 5:45 am : link
The idea that a secretary of state,republican or democrat,can take money from other countries and multi national corporations the way the Clintons did is absurd.The fact that a public servant from either party can destroy the computer on which they conducted public business is a joke.How a party that complains about the influence of big corporations can run the Clintons is amazing.
RE: Clintons  
Bill L : 7/23/2015 6:13 am : link
In comment 12381500 Hilary said:
Quote:
The idea that a secretary of state,republican or democrat,can take money from other countries and multi national corporations the way the Clintons did is absurd.The fact that a public servant from either party can destroy the computer on which they conducted public business is a joke.How a party that complains about the influence of big corporations can run the Clintons is amazing.
if the New York legislature (and executive) are any indication, inflluence-peddling knows no party lines.
RE: Buford you are right you weren't the one that brought up HRC election  
buford : 7/23/2015 6:44 am : link
In comment 12381468 Watson said:
Quote:
would be good for women. Rather, you indicated it was the opposite she's "the epitome of marrying for power". This initiated my original response. Imo it's insulting to women who have put their aspirations on hold and have all their later success attributed to their spouse. I mentioned the national attention she received at such a young age, because she was clearly identified as a talented young women.

As to your attacks not being personal, as an example, earlier in response to the question what will a HRC presidency look like. You said at 12:21. - "It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business."

What can I say. I guess we have a difference in opinion on what constitutes a personal attack.


Watson, I like you. But my opinions about HRC are valid. You are obviously a fan and I get that. But most of what I have said is pretty much being said by a lot of people. If she is going to be your candidate, she's going to have to put up with a lot worse than what I've said. The Presidency is not a prize to be awarded, it has to be earned. And frankly, I don't think she has earned it.
When Hillary was the cheated on spouse  
Headhunter : 7/23/2015 6:54 am : link
or SoS her popularity numbers were in the mid 60's. The day she became a candidate without doing 1 thing differently she became a monster. SMH
RE: When Hillary was the cheated on spouse  
Bill L : 7/23/2015 8:11 am : link
In comment 12381512 Headhunter said:
Quote:
or SoS her popularity numbers were in the mid 60's. The day she became a candidate without doing 1 thing differently she became a monster. SMH

Maybe you confused sympathy with evaluation?
RE: RE: When Hillary was the cheated on spouse  
Dunedin81 : 7/23/2015 8:12 am : link
In comment 12381540 Bill L said:
Quote:
In comment 12381512 Headhunter said:


Quote:


or SoS her popularity numbers were in the mid 60's. The day she became a candidate without doing 1 thing differently she became a monster. SMH


Maybe you confused sympathy with evaluation?


The sympathy numbers had a lot more to do with her seeming "humanized" in the impeachment bit. When she was front and center again we were reminded that she isn't human. Rather, she is an android. A frumpy android.
Sympathy as SoS?  
Headhunter : 7/23/2015 8:44 am : link
her popularity rating was at 65 percent when she left office
RE: Sympathy as SoS?  
Dunedin81 : 7/23/2015 8:58 am : link
In comment 12381582 Headhunter said:
Quote:
her popularity rating was at 65 percent when she left office


If I believed that people were nuanced I might suppose that the world seemingly going to shit within a year or so of her leaving the top diplomatic post might be the cause of those numbers. Probably a safer assumption is just that she was the most prominent Democrat not named Obama, that most of his supporters liked her and that plenty of people who didn't like him liked her because she isn't a Republican and isn't him.
wow  
giantfan2000 : 7/23/2015 8:59 am : link
if Hillary basically got everything handed to her on a plate because she is Bill's wife and did not accomplish anything

then I guess that disqualifies Jeb Bush who got everything handed to him on a plate because his father was President


RE: wow  
giants#1 : 7/23/2015 9:05 am : link
In comment 12381608 giantfan2000 said:
Quote:
if Hillary basically got everything handed to her on a plate because she is Bill's wife and did not accomplish anything

then I guess that disqualifies Jeb Bush who got everything handed to him on a plate because his father was President



I agree. Can we kick them both out of the race?
Yes, it disqualifies Jeb Bush  
buford : 7/23/2015 9:05 am : link
next question?
RE: RE: RE: RE: I don't see how a HRC  
njm : 7/23/2015 9:12 am : link
In comment 12381358 Watson said:
Quote:

I mentioned her commencement speech because these don't get attention. How many 21 year old seniors get featured in a national magazine? I brought these up because clearly knowledgeable adults saw something special. Yes, way before Bill.


Robert Pinsky on the moment Hillary became a Public Figure - ( New Window )


After linking that puff piece by Pinsky I hope you never criticize someone for linking a Fox article.

And let's put the Wellesley speech into context. It was 1969, and any anyone from an Ivy League/Seven Sister school making an Alinsky inspired radical speech at commencement would make the news. Mark Rudd made Life Magazine a year or two earlier for occupying the President's office at Columbia. The media ate that stuff up.
SS Disability out of money by the end of 2016  
buford : 7/23/2015 9:43 am : link
right around election time. Should be good for a debate....

Quote:
Social Security disability fund to run out of money in late 2016, report says

WASHINGTON — The 11 million people who receive Social Security disability face steep benefit cuts next year — unless Congress acts, the government said Wednesday.

The trustees who oversee Social Security said the disability trust fund will run out of money in late 2016, right in the middle of a presidential campaign. That would trigger an automatic 19 percent cut in benefits.

The report said the fund faces “an urgent threat” that requires prompt action by Congress.

There is an easy fix available: Congress could shift tax revenue from Social Security’s much larger retirement fund, as it has done in the past.

President Barack Obama supports the move. But Republicans say they want changes in the program to reduce fraud and to encourage disabled workers to re-enter the work force.

Link - ( New Window )
So family connections are disqualifying?  
Deej : 7/23/2015 11:07 am : link
It's funny how little I heard about that from GOPers when they ran GWB, McCain, and Romney in 4 consecutive elections. Those guys were all born on 3rd base, unlike HRC. Al Gore too, just so people dont think Im being unfair.
Yes, and do you agree we would have been  
buford : 7/23/2015 11:12 am : link
better off without any of them?


And I don't think it disqualifies people. But when that is really all a candidate has to recommend them (leaving out their valedictorian speeches) then I think it's an issue.

RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: I don't see how a HRC  
Watson : 7/23/2015 11:28 am : link
In comment 12381627 njm said:
Quote:
In comment 12381358 Watson said:


Quote:



I mentioned her commencement speech because these don't get attention. How many 21 year old seniors get featured in a national magazine? I brought these up because clearly knowledgeable adults saw something special. Yes, way before Bill.


Robert Pinsky on the moment Hillary became a Public Figure - ( New Window )



After linking that puff piece by Pinsky I hope you never criticize someone for linking a Fox article.

And let's put the Wellesley speech into context. It was 1969, and any anyone from an Ivy League/Seven Sister school making an Alinsky inspired radical speech at commencement would make the news. Mark Rudd made Life Magazine a year or two earlier for occupying the President's office at Columbia. The media ate that stuff up.


I've no problem with Fox News links provided they are relevant & appear to be factually correct. I believe I've used them. However, when linking a more conservative viewpoint, more often I've used either Forbes or WSJ. These generally are perceived to be not so politically charged.

I only made reference to HRC's speech & Life article because we have some who believe HRC never had any public recognition prior to Bill.

As to the article, I specifically listed Robert Pinsky in link title so people could determine quickly if they wished to read or not. He is a known poet. I would think the expectation would be that this would be a lyrical article. I used it because it was based on the only first hand account I could find. All others were either second or third hand.

Hope this clears things up.
RE: So family connections are disqualifying?  
njm : 7/23/2015 11:45 am : link
In comment 12381787 Deej said:
Quote:
It's funny how little I heard about that from GOPers when they ran GWB, McCain, and Romney in 4 consecutive elections. Those guys were all born on 3rd base, unlike HRC. Al Gore too, just so people dont think Im being unfair.


Yeah, but a while before that there was a stretch where they ran Nixon, Ford and Reagan who were no better off than Hillary. And the Dems had a stretch, interrupted only by Truman, where they ran FDR, Stevenson and Kennedy, 3rd basers all.

Frankly I don't think family connections are disqualifying. Talk to me about the individual.
RE: RE: So family connections are disqualifying?  
Deej : 7/23/2015 11:56 am : link
In comment 12381885 njm said:
Quote:
In comment 12381787 Deej said:


Quote:


It's funny how little I heard about that from GOPers when they ran GWB, McCain, and Romney in 4 consecutive elections. Those guys were all born on 3rd base, unlike HRC. Al Gore too, just so people dont think Im being unfair.



Yeah, but a while before that there was a stretch where they ran Nixon, Ford and Reagan who were no better off than Hillary. And the Dems had a stretch, interrupted only by Truman, where they ran FDR, Stevenson and Kennedy, 3rd basers all.

Frankly I don't think family connections are disqualifying. Talk to me about the individual.


I agree. But I just think tagging HRC as some sort of 3rd baser is particularly off base. It's borderline ignorant.
The discussion began  
buford : 7/23/2015 12:49 pm : link
because it was claimed that HRC being elected would be great for women. In that context, her connection to a prior president by marriage being the main reason she was elected to the Senate and became SoS, is relevant.
Hillary's election would be good for women?  
BamaBlue : 7/23/2015 12:58 pm : link
If Donald Trump is elected, will that be good for narcissists? If Bernie Sanders is elected, will it be good for semi-lucid seniors with bad hair?

It's okay to like your candidate, but let's elect people to be the President of the United States because they're the best person for the job. A good litums test is achievement. If a person's only achievement is that they held a position, they sat on airplanes a lot, or they tried hard, where's the beef? If you support them, you're it has to be because of likability, or the HOPE that they'll do something you like. In fact, if someone has held a high office and we can't cite their achievements, that should be a big red flag. A duty with a lot of responsibility should provide ample opportunity to have big ticket achievements.

We elect our high school president based on popularity, we should elect our Commander in Chief based on their fitness for the duties.
RE: RE: RE: So family connections are disqualifying?  
njm : 7/23/2015 1:05 pm : link
In comment 12381914 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 12381885 njm said:


Quote:


In comment 12381787 Deej said:


Quote:


It's funny how little I heard about that from GOPers when they ran GWB, McCain, and Romney in 4 consecutive elections. Those guys were all born on 3rd base, unlike HRC. Al Gore too, just so people dont think Im being unfair.



Yeah, but a while before that there was a stretch where they ran Nixon, Ford and Reagan who were no better off than Hillary. And the Dems had a stretch, interrupted only by Truman, where they ran FDR, Stevenson and Kennedy, 3rd basers all.

Frankly I don't think family connections are disqualifying. Talk to me about the individual.



I agree. But I just think tagging HRC as some sort of 3rd baser is particularly off base. It's borderline ignorant.


But now you get into the question of how you define "3rd baser". She was raised in Park Ridge, a fairly affluent town, and I haven't heard about her needing significant scholarship assistance at Wellesley (of course tuition was a different world back then). Certainly she wasn't in Roosevelt, Kennedy, Bush territory, but was ahead of Reagan, Ford and Nixon and way ahead Truman, Carter & LBJ.

As I said above, it's of relatively limited relevance to me as I want to focus on the individual.

I think your grnadfather being a senator/banker  
Deej : 7/23/2015 2:15 pm : link
and your dad eventually being a president is 3rd base for a politician. Incomparable to Hillary, who grew up upper middle class. Not needing a scholarship =/= Skull & Bones.
yep  
giantfan2000 : 7/23/2015 2:18 pm : link
legacy admissions the ultimate affirmative action program

RE: I wonder what a HRC presidency would look like?  
santacruzom : 7/23/2015 2:20 pm : link
In comment 12380455 fkap said:
Quote:

So, as president, will she have an agenda, and what would it be? she's always struck me as someone who merely wants power. if she gets it, will she know what to do with it? Will her power base carry over to being able to enact an agenda? Or would she simply spend the first four years not fucking up (most of her career MO) so she'll be re-elected, and then the next four years protecting her legacy?


My guess is that on many such things as health care, abortion, and gun control her proposals will be left of center, but her foreign policy and clamor for war might be enough to make Donald Rumsfeld blush.
RE: RE: Buford you are right you weren't the one that brought up HRC election  
Watson : 7/23/2015 2:43 pm : link
In comment 12381509 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12381468 Watson said:


Quote:


would be good for women. Rather, you indicated it was the opposite she's "the epitome of marrying for power". This initiated my original response. Imo it's insulting to women who have put their aspirations on hold and have all their later success attributed to their spouse. I mentioned the national attention she received at such a young age, because she was clearly identified as a talented young women.

As to your attacks not being personal, as an example, earlier in response to the question what will a HRC presidency look like. You said at 12:21. - "It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business."

What can I say. I guess we have a difference in opinion on what constitutes a personal attack.



Watson, I like you. But my opinions about HRC are valid. You are obviously a fan and I get that. But most of what I have said is pretty much being said by a lot of people. If she is going to be your candidate, she's going to have to put up with a lot worse than what I've said. The Presidency is not a prize to be awarded, it has to be earned. And frankly, I don't think she has earned it.


There is along way to go before election day. Who will I vote for? We don't know who the nominees will be. Like everyone I do have my biases. However, candidates spend alot of time and effort to ask people for their vote. Yes, often putting up with alot of abuse. Perhaps I'm old fashion, but imo the least voters can do is extend the courtesy of hearing them out. What I take exception to are personal attacks, repeating politically motivated comments by others and excepting them as facts.

You seem to be hung up on everything she's been able to do is the result of Bill and just dismiss. She can't be considered as having leadership capabilities in her own right. You seem to be interested in politics and therefore thought you would be familiar with her background before WH. You mentioned women who have put the work in their entire lives and cited Geraldine Ferraro. So maybe you don't know. Yes her political career was on hold but it's not like she didn't do anything.

Short list of experiences and recognition prior to WH:

At Yale
Assisted local hospital on cases of child abuse
Volunteer at Legal Service for the poor
Mondale's Subcommittee on Migratory Labor worked as researcher
Children Defense Fund served as staff attorney (post grad)
Carnegie Council on Children consultant (post grad)

After Yale
1974 House Judiciary Com. staff member impeachment inquiry
U of Arkansas School of Law 1 of 2 female faculty members
1977 Rose Law Firm later partner. Child Advocacy pro bono
Co-founded Advocates for Children and Families
1978-1981 Legal Services Corp. served on Board of Directors
1979 Rural Health Advisory Committee chair
1983 Arkansas Educational Standards Committee chair
1985-1992 TCBY served on corp. Board of Directors
1986-1992 Wal-Mart Stores served on corp. Board of Directors
1988-1992 Children Defense Fund served on board
1988 & 1991 National Law Journal 100 list influential Lawyers




RE: Hillary's election would be good for women?  
buford : 7/23/2015 3:30 pm : link
In comment 12382069 BamaBlue said:
Quote:
If Donald Trump is elected, will that be good for narcissists? If Bernie Sanders is elected, will it be good for semi-lucid seniors with bad hair?

It's okay to like your candidate, but let's elect people to be the President of the United States because they're the best person for the job. A good litums test is achievement. If a person's only achievement is that they held a position, they sat on airplanes a lot, or they tried hard, where's the beef? If you support them, you're it has to be because of likability, or the HOPE that they'll do something you like. In fact, if someone has held a high office and we can't cite their achievements, that should be a big red flag. A duty with a lot of responsibility should provide ample opportunity to have big ticket achievements.

We elect our high school president based on popularity, we should elect our Commander in Chief based on their fitness for the duties.


Thank you.
....  
rut17 : 7/23/2015 3:34 pm : link
More lulz from buford. The same person who thinks Carly Fiorina is more qualified to be president than HRC.
RE: RE: RE: Buford you are right you weren't the one that brought up HRC election  
WideRight : 7/23/2015 3:38 pm : link
In comment 12382374 Watson said:
Quote:
In comment 12381509 buford said:


Quote:


In comment 12381468 Watson said:


Quote:


would be good for women. Rather, you indicated it was the opposite she's "the epitome of marrying for power". This initiated my original response. Imo it's insulting to women who have put their aspirations on hold and have all their later success attributed to their spouse. I mentioned the national attention she received at such a young age, because she was clearly identified as a talented young women.

As to your attacks not being personal, as an example, earlier in response to the question what will a HRC presidency look like. You said at 12:21. - "It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business."

What can I say. I guess we have a difference in opinion on what constitutes a personal attack.



Watson, I like you. But my opinions about HRC are valid. You are obviously a fan and I get that. But most of what I have said is pretty much being said by a lot of people. If she is going to be your candidate, she's going to have to put up with a lot worse than what I've said. The Presidency is not a prize to be awarded, it has to be earned. And frankly, I don't think she has earned it.




Short list of experiences and recognition prior to WH:

At Yale
Assisted local hospital on cases of child abuse
Volunteer at Legal Service for the poor
Mondale's Subcommittee on Migratory Labor worked as researcher
Children Defense Fund served as staff attorney (post grad)
Carnegie Council on Children consultant (post grad)

After Yale
1974 House Judiciary Com. staff member impeachment inquiry
U of Arkansas School of Law 1 of 2 female faculty members
1977 Rose Law Firm later partner. Child Advocacy pro bono
Co-founded Advocates for Children and Families
1978-1981 Legal Services Corp. served on Board of Directors
1979 Rural Health Advisory Committee chair
1983 Arkansas Educational Standards Committee chair
1985-1992 TCBY served on corp. Board of Directors
1986-1992 Wal-Mart Stores served on corp. Board of Directors
1988-1992 Children Defense Fund served on board
1988 & 1991 National Law Journal 100 list influential Lawyers






Of course while she was in Arkansas, Bill was governor, so I'm not sure if that list of achievements supports your premise. Board of Directors of Walmart?.....
RE: RE: RE: Buford you are right you weren't the one that brought up HRC election  
buford : 7/23/2015 3:38 pm : link
In comment 12382374 Watson said:
Quote:
In comment 12381509 buford said:


Quote:


In comment 12381468 Watson said:


Quote:


would be good for women. Rather, you indicated it was the opposite she's "the epitome of marrying for power". This initiated my original response. Imo it's insulting to women who have put their aspirations on hold and have all their later success attributed to their spouse. I mentioned the national attention she received at such a young age, because she was clearly identified as a talented young women.

As to your attacks not being personal, as an example, earlier in response to the question what will a HRC presidency look like. You said at 12:21. - "It will be the time to payback all those donors for their contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Oh, and set up Chelsea to run for something. It's the family business."

What can I say. I guess we have a difference in opinion on what constitutes a personal attack.



Watson, I like you. But my opinions about HRC are valid. You are obviously a fan and I get that. But most of what I have said is pretty much being said by a lot of people. If she is going to be your candidate, she's going to have to put up with a lot worse than what I've said. The Presidency is not a prize to be awarded, it has to be earned. And frankly, I don't think she has earned it.



There is along way to go before election day. Who will I vote for? We don't know who the nominees will be. Like everyone I do have my biases. However, candidates spend alot of time and effort to ask people for their vote. Yes, often putting up with alot of abuse. Perhaps I'm old fashion, but imo the least voters can do is extend the courtesy of hearing them out. What I take exception to are personal attacks, repeating politically motivated comments by others and excepting them as facts.

You seem to be hung up on everything she's been able to do is the result of Bill and just dismiss. She can't be considered as having leadership capabilities in her own right. You seem to be interested in politics and therefore thought you would be familiar with her background before WH. You mentioned women who have put the work in their entire lives and cited Geraldine Ferraro. So maybe you don't know. Yes her political career was on hold but it's not like she didn't do anything.

Short list of experiences and recognition prior to WH:

At Yale
Assisted local hospital on cases of child abuse
Volunteer at Legal Service for the poor
Mondale's Subcommittee on Migratory Labor worked as researcher
Children Defense Fund served as staff attorney (post grad)
Carnegie Council on Children consultant (post grad)

After Yale
1974 House Judiciary Com. staff member impeachment inquiry
U of Arkansas School of Law 1 of 2 female faculty members
1977 Rose Law Firm later partner. Child Advocacy pro bono
Co-founded Advocates for Children and Families
1978-1981 Legal Services Corp. served on Board of Directors
1979 Rural Health Advisory Committee chair
1983 Arkansas Educational Standards Committee chair
1985-1992 TCBY served on corp. Board of Directors
1986-1992 Wal-Mart Stores served on corp. Board of Directors
1988-1992 Children Defense Fund served on board
1988 & 1991 National Law Journal 100 list influential Lawyers





I would love to hear Hillary out. When is she going to submit to interviews that other candidates do? When is she going to answer the hard questions? When is she going to give her server to the Special Investigation (which subpoenaed her). The Republican candidates are subject to much worse treatment, especially here on BBI, when are you going to comment on those? Should HRC get special treatment because she's a woman? And again, bringing up her past and her connections are not personal attacks, they are facts. And I don't see you commenting to others who have made much more personal comments about HRC. I see this pattern again. We couldn't criticize or question Obama because he's black and that made us racist. We now can't say anything about HRC because it's a personal attack and probably sexist. If you really want to know about Hillary, you know she and her staff are the ones who put out personal attacks on their political enemies (did you know that it was the HRC Campaign that started the Obama birther campaign?). So no, she will not get a pass. She wants to be president, she has to earn it.

And please stop posting her resume on here, it's embarrassing. Those are almost all things she was appointed to while Bill was Governor. It doesn't really prove your point. Serving on a board is not something that qualifies you to be President.
RE: ....  
Bill L : 7/23/2015 3:39 pm : link
In comment 12382448 rut17 said:
Quote:
More lulz from buford. The same person who thinks Carly Fiorina is more qualified to be president than HRC.


I really like what I hear from Fiorina. What makes her less qualified than Trump (rhetoric aside)?

I guess, wrt HRC you're saying only gov't experience people can be President. I am not sure why that actually is so, even though it's mostly been done that way.
For the record,I have no issue with HRC's experience  
Bill L : 7/23/2015 3:41 pm : link
or resume. We are opposite ideologically, but so what.

My issue with her is I believe that she is the most dishonest person ever to run for president, where we knew about their character beforehand and had to choose while knowing it.
RE: RE: ....  
giants#1 : 7/23/2015 4:40 pm : link
In comment 12382459 Bill L said:
Quote:
In comment 12382448 rut17 said:


Quote:


More lulz from buford. The same person who thinks Carly Fiorina is more qualified to be president than HRC.



I really like what I hear from Fiorina. What makes her less qualified than Trump (rhetoric aside)?

I guess, wrt HRC you're saying only gov't experience people can be President. I am not sure why that actually is so, even though it's mostly been done that way.


She's arguably as qualified as Trump. But that's not exactly setting the bar high seeing as you'd get close to a bipartisan consensus that Trump as an incompetent attention whore.

This idea that HRC is only where she is because of Bill  
SanFranNowNCGiantsFan : 7/23/2015 5:04 pm : link
Is incredibly insulting and demeaning.
How about backing this up...  
BamaBlue : 7/23/2015 5:14 pm : link
In comment 12382655 SanFranNowNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
RE: This idea that HRC is only where she is because of Bill Is incredibly insulting and demeaning.


I have no beef with HRC but, I don't know how she became the presumtive Democrat nominee for President. I'd really like someone like you, who says you'll vote for her regardless of who the GOP might nominate -- what do we need to know that you know. Without calling me names or making judgement of what you think I believe, please explain what she has accomplished that makes her qualified to be in this position. Don't tell me what titles she's owned, or how many air miles she logged... what did she accomplish as a citizen and public servant?
RE: RE: RE: ....  
Bill L : 7/23/2015 5:28 pm : link
In comment 12382594 giants#1 said:
Quote:
In comment 12382459 Bill L said:


Quote:


In comment 12382448 rut17 said:


Quote:


More lulz from buford. The same person who thinks Carly Fiorina is more qualified to be president than HRC.



I really like what I hear from Fiorina. What makes her less qualified than Trump (rhetoric aside)?

I guess, wrt HRC you're saying only gov't experience people can be President. I am not sure why that actually is so, even though it's mostly been done that way.



She's arguably as qualified as Trump. But that's not exactly setting the bar high seeing as you'd get close to a bipartisan consensus that Trump as an incompetent attention whore.
then again it comes back to you saying that only someone in gift is qualified to be president. I don't actually believe that. Not many have not come out of govt but you could make an argument that Washington had none, Lincoln had minimal, DDE had none, and...I'm forgetting the one or two others. But those guys I mentioned did okay. Grant sucked, so he'd be a point against. Jackson?
Bama  
Deej : 7/23/2015 5:30 pm : link
see my 5:07 post from yesterday. No one ever responded to the substance of it.

This isnt with respect to you, but effectively I think people are totally ignorant of Hillary except the purported "scandals" and then, without any knowledge, have just concluded that because they only know about that stuff that there must not be achievement.

On the flipside I have no idea what Marco Rubio's accomplishments are. Which puts him ahead of Scott Walker's failed governorship -- lots of red meat for the GOP (understandable) but he ran as the jobs candidate, appointed himself the head of the jobs agency (Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation) and Wisconsin has spectacularly underperformed in jobs vis a vis both his promises and other states.
Deej...  
BamaBlue : 7/23/2015 5:39 pm : link
thanks. I'm not just an average wise-ass... I really want to know what accomplishments HRC has. I don't vote party lines and I don't vote for someone I don't know. I have found it impossible to find an objective list of HRC's accomplishments. There's plenty of laundry lists of the positions she's held and the intent she had to do great things, but nothing you can hang on her as an accomplishement. It surprises me that so many of the emotional defenders of her 'record' never provide objective evidence. We just happen to be talking about HRC... the same question could be posed to the majority of people running for president since the Eisenhower adminstration.

In our lives, we get praised for working hard at our jobs. That's standard fare and employers have a right to expect hard work. However, rewards come for results and achievement. In my professional life, people don't advance just because they work hard; people get rewarded for what they have done. Why is this standard not applied to people seeking the highest office in the country?
RE: How about backing this up...  
Semipro Lineman : 7/23/2015 5:40 pm : link
In comment 12382668 BamaBlue said:
Quote:
please explain what she has accomplished that makes her qualified to be in this position. Don't tell me what titles she's owned, or how many air miles she logged... what did she accomplish as a citizen and public servant?


IMO, non-supporters of Hillary Clinton should give her credit for being an accomplished politician on her own and for that fact that having her by his side benefited Bill throughout his career. So she does deserve some credit for the titles she earned as a result of her established name recognition.

But on the other hand, the odds that Hillary would be in this position without having been part of the duo is low in my opinion simply due to the long odds amassed against everyone who vies for political power without massive family connections. So there is some truth to the opinion that she used "name value" to advance further than she would have on her own or at the very least, to take a more direct path to her current position
WideRight - Yes other than short stay in DC she was in Arkansas.  
Watson : 7/23/2015 5:41 pm : link
What was the women to do; live a different state than her husband. I only got sucked into this tread because a statement was made that she only married into power and therefore was not deserving to be the first female president. I tried to list some of the things she did or was exposed to outside of her husband's world.

As to Wal-Mart this came up in debates with Obama. IIRC she was appointed directly by Sam Walton. Wal-Mart obviously didn't need "Mrs Clinton" as Window dressing. One of HRC legal specialties was patent and intellectual property rights and at this time was a partner of Rose Law Firm. It was through this that I believe the relationship was born.
Actually I'm surprised no one picked up what she did in DC.  
Watson : 7/23/2015 6:08 pm : link
Always thought that was ironic.
wow seriously?  
giantfan2000 : 7/23/2015 6:18 pm : link
Quote:
I have no beef with HRC but, I don't know how she became the presumtive Democrat nominee for President. I'd really like someone like you, who says you'll vote for her regardless of who the GOP might nominate -- what do we need to know that you know. Without calling me names or making judgement of what you think I believe, please explain what she has accomplished that makes her qualified to be in this position. Don't tell me what titles she's owned, or how many air miles she logged... what did she accomplish as a citizen and public servant?


Did you wake up last week?
Do you not remember 2008 ? She ran in one of the closest primary races
in the past 50 years .

Why did Romney get to nod in 2012? because he was second place to McCain in 2008 .

The Same Reason that Reagan was the front runner in 1980 After LOSING to Ford in 1976

The second place finisher is usually the next on deck -- this is modern American Politics

Even eliminating her 8 years as First Lady
She was a Senator for 8 years and Secretary of State for 4

I think only John Kaisch on the Republican side as a longer resume than Hillary .


You may not like Hillary but to question her qualifications is incredibly insulting


RE: This idea that HRC is only where she is because of Bill  
buford : 7/23/2015 7:22 pm : link
In comment 12382655 SanFranNowNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
Is incredibly insulting and demeaning.


The idea that her being elected is good for women is incredibly insulting and demeaning.
RE: WideRight - Yes other than short stay in DC she was in Arkansas.  
buford : 7/23/2015 7:30 pm : link
In comment 12382715 Watson said:
Quote:
What was the women to do; live a different state than her husband. I only got sucked into this tread because a statement was made that she only married into power and therefore was not deserving to be the first female president. I tried to list some of the things she did or was exposed to outside of her husband's world.

As to Wal-Mart this came up in debates with Obama. IIRC she was appointed directly by Sam Walton. Wal-Mart obviously didn't need "Mrs Clinton" as Window dressing. One of HRC legal specialties was patent and intellectual property rights and at this time was a partner of Rose Law Firm. It was through this that I believe the relationship was born.


So you think she actually did legal work for Walmart and not there as 'window dressing'? Most of these board appointments are just that. I've attached an article that highlights her tenure at Walmart.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: RE: How about backing this up...  
buford : 7/23/2015 7:32 pm : link
In comment 12382710 Semipro Lineman said:
Quote:
In comment 12382668 BamaBlue said:


Quote:


please explain what she has accomplished that makes her qualified to be in this position. Don't tell me what titles she's owned, or how many air miles she logged... what did she accomplish as a citizen and public servant?



IMO, non-supporters of Hillary Clinton should give her credit for being an accomplished politician on her own and for that fact that having her by his side benefited Bill throughout his career. So she does deserve some credit for the titles she earned as a result of her established name recognition.

But on the other hand, the odds that Hillary would be in this position without having been part of the duo is low in my opinion simply due to the long odds amassed against everyone who vies for political power without massive family connections. So there is some truth to the opinion that she used "name value" to advance further than she would have on her own or at the very least, to take a more direct path to her current position


There are a few in the race that do not have massive family connections. Rubio's parents were Cuban refugees and his father was a bartender. Fiorina started out as a secretary, Cruz parents were not rich or connected. Walker comes from a fairly modest background.
Rubio can go fuck himself  
Headhunter : 7/23/2015 7:52 pm : link
Yesterday he was talking about Trump would not bring dignity to the Presidency and that we have a current occupant that is classless Barack Obama because he takes selfies and goes on comedy shows and is a disgrace to the office. This is from the guy that loves rap. He is a wannabe, go take another sip of water you moron
Some have asked what Rubio has done  
buford : 7/23/2015 8:17 pm : link
Quote:
He earned his Bachelor of Arts degree in political science from the University of Florida in 1993, and his J.D. degree cum laude from the University of Miami School of Law in 1996.[14][15] Rubio said that his education resulted in $100,000 of student loans, which he paid off in 2012.[16]

While studying law, Rubio interned for U.S. Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen.[17] He also worked on Republican Senator Bob Dole's 1996 presidential campaign.[18][19] He served as a City Commissioner for West Miami before being elected to the Florida House of Representatives in early 2000.[15]

n December 2002, Rubio was appointed House Majority Leader by Speaker Johnnie Byrd.[28][29] In November 2003, Rubio clinched the Speakership after State Representatives Dennis Baxley, Jeff Kottkamp, and Dennis A. Ross dropped out. He became the first Cuban American to become Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives.[30]


He was elected to the Senate in 2010, you can see the rest of his resume on the link


Link - ( New Window )
Buford you are so funny.  
Watson : 7/23/2015 10:25 pm : link
So you think she actually did legal work for Walmart and not there as 'window dressing'?

Let's see.
Rose Law Firm - one of the oldest law firms in the US.
Heavy hitter client list including Wal-Mart.
HRC partner of said law firm.
HRC appointed to the Board of Directors by Sam Walton
HRC graduate of Yale Law School

Do I think she actually did some legal work for Wal-Mart Hmmm.
Well I'm going to say let's not let those embarrassing facts get in the way.

As you stated before your opinions are valid. Clearly,HRC has gone through life with the "Mrs. Clinton" name tag pinned on.

Buford, when you figure out how Bill arranged for Hillary to get that Yale law degree can you let me know?

Thanks
...  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 7/24/2015 12:56 am : link
Hilliary's strategy is the strangest I've ever seen but it may work. She (or her campaign advisers) seem to recognize that he can only hurt herself by opening her mouth. She has almost completely insulated herself from the press. Perhaps someone will correct me, but has there ever been a campaign like this in modern times?
RE: Buford you are so funny.  
buford : 7/24/2015 6:47 am : link
In comment 12383034 Watson said:
Quote:
So you think she actually did legal work for Walmart and not there as 'window dressing'?

Let's see.
Rose Law Firm - one of the oldest law firms in the US.
Heavy hitter client list including Wal-Mart.
HRC partner of said law firm.
HRC appointed to the Board of Directors by Sam Walton
HRC graduate of Yale Law School

Do I think she actually did some legal work for Wal-Mart Hmmm.
Well I'm going to say let's not let those embarrassing facts get in the way.

As you stated before your opinions are valid. Clearly,HRC has gone through life with the "Mrs. Clinton" name tag pinned on.

Buford, when you figure out how Bill arranged for Hillary to get that Yale law degree can you let me know?

Thanks


So she has a law degree from Yale. Big fucking whoop. So do a lot of people. Does something she did 45 years ago qualify her for president?
Take Hillary Clinton  
buford : 7/24/2015 6:58 am : link
change the name, and list the resume. Given her record as SoS, the questions regarding her tenure there, her record of not being honest and trustful and then ask if you would vote for that person to be President. The Dems have her because she and Bill are the leaders in the party and have the power and the structure to run a campaign and keep the dem party going. That's it. She is not an exciting candidate, she doesn't have a stirring agenda, she doesn't inspire people. She's just another placeholder. If you are happy with that, fine. Many are not.

Giantfan2000...  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 8:17 am : link
your post is exactly why I'm frustrated. The only thing you do is criticise my questions about HRC's qualifications and make insuations about my intent. You're unable or incapable of presenting any objective evidence of your position. This is why it's so frustrating to have a dialog with people who don't know why they support her -- they just do. You feel so strongly about your position that you don't invest the intellectual capital to examine it objectively and you don't want anyone to intrude on your position. You just 'wanna believe.' This is an excellent opportunity to provide the facts of HRC's qualifications and you choose to sling mud.
RE: RE: Buford you are so funny.  
Watson : 7/24/2015 1:00 pm : link
In comment 12383145 buford said:
Quote:
In comment 12383034 Watson said:


Quote:


So you think she actually did legal work for Walmart and not there as 'window dressing'?

Let's see.
Rose Law Firm - one of the oldest law firms in the US.
Heavy hitter client list including Wal-Mart.
HRC partner of said law firm.
HRC appointed to the Board of Directors by Sam Walton
HRC graduate of Yale Law School

Do I think she actually did some legal work for Wal-Mart Hmmm.
Well I'm going to say let's not let those embarrassing facts get in the way.

As you stated before your opinions are valid. Clearly,HRC has gone through life with the "Mrs. Clinton" name tag pinned on.

Buford, when you figure out how Bill arranged for Hillary to get that Yale law degree can you let me know?

Thanks



So she has a law degree from Yale. Big fucking whoop. So do a lot of people. Does something she did 45 years ago qualify her for president?


Once again you missed the point. But never mind. You have a good day.
In point of fact  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 1:10 pm : link
the Constitution explicitly says what it takes to qualify someone as President. And unless she is lying about her age...and just due to observation, I will believe her on this one... she is qualified.
I should say  
buford : 7/24/2015 1:13 pm : link
does she show the experience, leadership skills and other qualities that you want in your President. Legally, she is qualified. But so am I.
I'm actually a little surprised that Fiorina doesn't have a bit more  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 1:20 pm : link
traction. She has the outsider, business-experienced resume of Trump and should be able to tap into the populist crowd. She's a woman so that could set her apart. Hillary gave a speech yesterday where she said vote for me because I'm a woman. You would think the Fiorina could tap into that. She certainly has less governmental experience than Hillary and some here believe that not having government experience disqualifies you, but if you're not one of those... I think she speaks well and says compelling things. I don't tknow if there is anything ideologically that sets her apart from other Republicans, but I'm not sure why she is discounted either.
I've heard speak a few times  
buford : 7/24/2015 1:34 pm : link
and I have been impressed. She is a no-nonsense business person who would be great, IMO. It's hard with all the big names in there (with all the money) to get traction. I really hope she gets to the debates and that will get her more attention.

I don't think she needs to or should play the female card. That would be against what she stands for.
Bill  
Deej : 7/24/2015 1:53 pm : link
well before entering politics she was regarded by many observers as one of the worst CEOs in history. And running HP appears to be the central point of her candidacy (well, really it's just attacking Clinton). Here is CNBC on her inclusion in their worst CEO list (sorry in advance for the poor quality source -- didnt want to look hard):

Quote:
A consummate self-promoter, Fiorina was busy pontificating on the lecture circuit and posing for magazine covers while her company floundered. She paid herself handsome bonuses and perks while laying off thousands of employees to cut costs. The merger Fiorina orchestrated with Compaq in 2002 was widely seen as a failure. She was ousted in 2005.

THE STAT: HP stock lost half its value during Fiorina’s tenure.


Since getting fired she's done almost nothing (and it's more than a decade) except work for and get fired by the McCain campaign.

She's not a good candidate.
Link - ( New Window )
I heard her asked about being fired  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 1:58 pm : link
her response seemed cogent enough. But of course, it would be a self-serving answer. But other than that, there's not really much debate or discussion about her. Even what you just wrote is more comprehensive than anything anyone has publicly written since she declared.
Deej hit the nail on the head...  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 2:02 pm : link
she's all hat and no cowboy. Like most other political figures, she gives a great speech, but doesn't walk the walk. There are some economic reasons for her poor performance at HP, but it is widely (and correctly) seen as a failure. Her abrasive management style, disasterous reogranization, poor relationship with HP shareholders and the unceremonious firing of thousands of employees when the going got tough, were the nails in her coffin as the CEO.

Fiorina's best contribution to the GOP is as their official 'attack dog' against HRC. In a party where they cower at the thought of being critical of a major political candidate, she has the ability to be hyper critical and not get auto-labeled by the press as anothre GOP sexist, racist, homophope, tea bag loving, environment plundering, big business tody, gun freak.
Did ever occur to some of you  
RB^2 : 7/24/2015 2:19 pm : link
that maybe Hillary helped Bill as much as he's helped her? The idea that Hillary fucked her way to the top is patently absurd as she's proven to be highly competent on her own.

You can disagree with someone's politics or parts of their track record without outright dismissing their life's work and accomplishments. That's just fucking bush league.
RE: I'm actually a little surprised that Fiorina doesn't have a bit more  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 2:26 pm : link
In comment 12383999 Bill L said:
Quote:
traction. She has the outsider, business-experienced resume of Trump and should be able to tap into the populist crowd. She's a woman so that could set her apart. Hillary gave a speech yesterday where she said vote for me because I'm a woman. You would think the Fiorina could tap into that. She certainly has less governmental experience than Hillary and some here believe that not having government experience disqualifies you, but if you're not one of those... I think she speaks well and says compelling things. I don't tknow if there is anything ideologically that sets her apart from other Republicans, but I'm not sure why she is discounted either.


The Republican powers that be want a vanilla establishment "electable" person as nominee. In order to counter that you're going to have to make a really big splash with the public on your own. So far no one not named Trump can get that kind of exposure. Carly would have to be a cause celeb with the mainstream and social media or just spend megabucks to get her message out. Even then it would be a huge uphill fight.
RE: I heard her asked about being fired  
WideRight : 7/24/2015 2:31 pm : link
In comment 12384061 Bill L said:
Quote:
her response seemed cogent enough. But of course, it would be a self-serving answer. But other than that, there's not really much debate or discussion about her. Even what you just wrote is more comprehensive than anything anyone has publicly written since she declared.


She's a known and discarded entity. Failed profoundly in tech, and then for some reason thought that and 20M could get in the California Senate. One could argue that was an equally poor outcome. So she's very well known out west, and its solidly negative.
RE: Did ever occur to some of you  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 2:37 pm : link
In comment 12384101 RB^2 said:
Quote:
The idea that Hillary fucked her way to the top is patently absurd


I've seen Hillary. The idea that she fucked her way to the top IS patently absurd
RE: RE: Did ever occur to some of you  
ctc in ftmyers : 7/24/2015 2:41 pm : link
In comment 12384143 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
In comment 12384101 RB^2 said:


Quote:


The idea that Hillary fucked her way to the top is patently absurd



I've seen Hillary. The idea that she fucked her way to the top IS patently absurd


I'll agree to that.
Hillary was young once  
RB^2 : 7/24/2015 2:46 pm : link
RE: Hillary was young once  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 2:49 pm : link
In comment 12384160 RB^2 said:
Quote:


yeah, but she was apparently never good looking. And I haven't even seen her thumbs
sorry, that was just too easy  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 2:51 pm : link
Her looks should have nothing to do with the conversation.
RE: Did ever occur to some of you  
buford : 7/24/2015 3:00 pm : link
In comment 12384101 RB^2 said:
Quote:
that maybe Hillary helped Bill as much as he's helped her? The idea that Hillary fucked her way to the top is patently absurd as she's proven to be highly competent on her own.

You can disagree with someone's politics or parts of their track record without outright dismissing their life's work and accomplishments. That's just fucking bush league.


Without a doubt she helped him. But again, what does that mean? She assisted him in a lot of bad behavior and only cared when it threated his Presidency. And it's not that she 'fucked her way to the top'. Not at all. But you say we are dismissing her accomplishments. What exactly did she excel in at being Senator or SoS that recommends her for the top position? She had a terrible tenure as SoS and an unremarkable one at the Senate.
Her Senate career was pretty productive  
WideRight : 7/24/2015 3:05 pm : link
She's a hard-working wonk. Doesn't craft the visionary stuff, but really did far more than 90% of her peers while in the Senate.

SoS seems the same. Worked hard. Travelled endlessly, but never came close to doing something visionary like Kerry just did.
RE: sorry, that was just too easy  
RB^2 : 7/24/2015 3:55 pm : link
In comment 12384171 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
Her looks should have nothing to do with the conversation.

Admit it, you'd hit it.
Hell  
ctc in ftmyers : 7/24/2015 4:07 pm : link
when you're young you hit anything.

Everyone looks good at closing time.

That goes both ways.
RE: Her Senate career was pretty productive  
buford : 7/24/2015 4:09 pm : link
In comment 12384196 WideRight said:
Quote:
She's a hard-working wonk. Doesn't craft the visionary stuff, but really did far more than 90% of her peers while in the Senate.

SoS seems the same. Worked hard. Travelled endlessly, but never came close to doing something visionary like Kerry just did.


Lots of Senator's work hard and of course SoS travel, that isn't an accomplishment. And Kerry visionary? LOL.

I think you just want to think she's this very accomplished person.
wow  
giantfan2000 : 7/24/2015 4:10 pm : link
JEB!



WALKER!





hey buford  
Headhunter : 7/24/2015 4:11 pm : link
lots of people graduate college, and when they do IT IS an accomplishment.
Wideright, Please list her accomplishments..  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 4:12 pm : link
In comment 12384196 WideRight said:
Quote:
RE: Her Senate career was pretty productiveShe's a hard-working wonk. Doesn't craft the visionary stuff, but really did far more than 90% of her peers while in the Senate.

SoS seems the same. Worked hard. Travelled endlessly, but never came close to doing something visionary like Kerry just did.


What's the correlation between 'pretty productive' and did 'far more' than 90% of her peers... how is that possible? Same question I posed to Eclipz, who had similar general statements. No response... I'm not interested in a comparison between HRC and another candidate, or how hard she worked. We should EXPECT hard work from public servants. We elect people to do things and in a huge state like New York, that should be easy to recall.

I really want to hear from someone like you who talks about her achievements in significant positions of responsiblity in and out of the Government and believes she was among the top-10 Senators.
Fair question Bama  
WideRight : 7/24/2015 4:29 pm : link
I should get some numbers to back up what I say. Please note I'm not a HRC supporter so I can't recite them. I'll find some, because I'd like to see them too.

But since its the weekend, I'll get them early next week and put them on a thread. Of course you know there will be one.
Wideright...  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 4:36 pm : link
thank-you! I'm not trying to put you on the spot. I think this is a question that many of us have. There is so much crap out there. Lots of people (many here) too personally invested in their political position to look at why they support a candidate, or why they don't like a candidate.
As I said yesterday  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 4:38 pm : link
our experience with her (office) was very positive.

Honestly, I can't complain about anyone's accomplishments, democrat or republican. I still think public servants should only be farmers and shopkeepers who leave their life because they are compelled solely by a need to serve the country, do that service for s very finite time and go home. Obviously, that's not happened in forever. But it's what I want and what I think it should be.

My differences with everyone who I would not vote for are only ideological. And that's with respect to what they say about their beliefs and what they propose to enact. The only exception is with Hillary where I have an ideological difference and a an antipathy based on honor/integrity (as is discussed in other threads). But her resume and even her competency as my Senator? No issues for me.
Headhunter (a.k.a. Sonny)  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 4:45 pm : link
In comment 12384345 Headhunter said:
Quote:
RE: hey bufordlots of people graduate college, and when they do IT IS an accomplishment.


HRC has a B.A. degree in political science from Wellesley College, and a J.D. degree from Yale University Law School. She is not an academic weakling... I don't think anyone questions that point. Does this count as an achievement... sure, keep going.
RE: Wideright, Please list her accomplishments..  
Deej : 7/24/2015 4:51 pm : link
In comment 12384349 BamaBlue said:
Quote:
In comment 12384196 WideRight said:


Quote:


RE: Her Senate career was pretty productiveShe's a hard-working wonk. Doesn't craft the visionary stuff, but really did far more than 90% of her peers while in the Senate.

SoS seems the same. Worked hard. Travelled endlessly, but never came close to doing something visionary like Kerry just did.



What's the correlation between 'pretty productive' and did 'far more' than 90% of her peers... how is that possible? Same question I posed to Eclipz, who had similar general statements. No response... I'm not interested in a comparison between HRC and another candidate, or how hard she worked. We should EXPECT hard work from public servants. We elect people to do things and in a huge state like New York, that should be easy to recall.

I really want to hear from someone like you who talks about her achievements in significant positions of responsiblity in and out of the Government and believes she was among the top-10 Senators.


So I posted her accomplishments 2 days ago on this thread. Then yesterday you asked what her accomplishments were, and I directed you to my post, and you thanked me. On this thread. And then today you ask again for someone to point you to her accomplishments.

What gives?
Deej...  
BamaBlue : 7/24/2015 5:19 pm : link
I acknowledged you in a previous -- earlier today post in this thread. I know there's a lot of posts today, but I do appreciate and did acknowlede you. I also mentioned that I've asked several people this question and anxiously await what they find. I found A LOT of sites where there are lists of accomplishments, but most of them talk about her advocacy, effort or support. Not much meat on the bone (yet).
RE: hey buford  
buford : 7/24/2015 7:07 pm : link
In comment 12384345 Headhunter said:
Quote:
lots of people graduate college, and when they do IT IS an accomplishment.


So they should all be presidential candidates?
No but for some reason  
Headhunter : 7/24/2015 7:11 pm : link
in Julie world everything that HRC has done is not an accomplishment because other people did the same. Senators SOS's they haven't accomplished anything according to your warped lob because others have done it too so it's not an accomplishment according to you
in your world  
Headhunter : 7/24/2015 7:11 pm : link
.
RE: Even as a conservative  
buford : 7/24/2015 7:12 pm : link
In comment 12380348 Rob in CT/NYC said:
Quote:


Further, a HRC presidency does advance women substantially,


Just for the record, this is what started the discussion about her accomplishments. Not that it's not a valid discussion just in general.

But I don't see how HRC advances women substantially, far from it. That was my whole point. We had a black man for a President, how well are black people doing? Economically Obama has been a disaster for them. Women are people. They want jobs a secure country and not to be taxed to death. Is Hillary going to give them that?
I just did a little research and was actually surprised  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 7:14 pm : link
I assumed that as a Senator she accomplished more than it turns out she did. During her time in the Senate, she introduced 417 bills. Only 2 of any consequence, IMO, passed the Senate. One was about getting money for WTC victims and the other about helping caregivers get access to more affordable assistance. Neither became law. So in 8 years, she got nothing passed into law, unless you want to count a couple of post office namings and support for purple hearts. Feel free to peruse the list on your own.
Link - ( New Window )
I do think for both Obama and HRC it's an important advancement  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 7:18 pm : link
Symbolically. It lets blacks and women (and other non-whites) know that the American Dream wrt presidency is not a myth. It lets people know that they *can* be President.

My issue w Obama ( and to some extent HRC) goes back to a branch Rickey. At least I think it was Branch Rickey...he was very sel drive in who he chose to be the first. It was a person who was without question a superstar b cause if you suck with the first, it might be that much longer to get a second. I simply don't believe that we heeded that advice.
So if you don't sponsor legislation  
Headhunter : 7/24/2015 7:19 pm : link
but you vote on legislation, you haven't accomplished anything as a Senator? Is that what you are saying? We send our Senators to Washington to put their name on laws that they come up with? Interesting
And yet we have the strongest economy in the world  
Headhunter : 7/24/2015 7:22 pm : link
Europe is flailing, China is being propped up by the government and the dollar is as strong as it's ever been. We aren't fighting any wars, yeah Obama failed us
Ok  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 7:23 pm : link
.
RE: And yet we have the strongest economy in the world  
dep026 : 7/24/2015 7:38 pm : link
In comment 12384578 Headhunter said:
Quote:
Europe is flailing, China is being propped up by the government and the dollar is as strong as it's ever been. We aren't fighting any wars, yeah Obama failed us


If there was ever a President to judge in 10 years, its Obama. A lot of his programs may have long lasting affects. So far they favor him, but if in 5-10 years they come across as a failure, then he will take the heat for it. Too soon to tell on Obama's presidency.
High profile senators routinely keep their names off bills  
Deej : 7/24/2015 8:28 pm : link
Ted Kennedy, who for whom I had the pleasure of interning, routinely did this. Because he could reach consensus with some Senators on something but they'd say "Teddy, I'll get killed if my name is attached to the Kennedy-Me bill".

There's a reason that she gets a lot of praise from Republican senators who served contemporaneously to her.
RE: High profile senators routinely keep their names off bills  
buford : 7/24/2015 8:30 pm : link
In comment 12384739 Deej said:
Quote:
Ted Kennedy, who for whom I had the pleasure of interning, routinely did this. Because he could reach consensus with some Senators on something but they'd say "Teddy, I'll get killed if my name is attached to the Kennedy-Me bill".

There's a reason that she gets a lot of praise from Republican senators who served contemporaneously to her.


Yeah, they don't want to get on her bad side. And DC is a club. They fight in the press and then laugh at us behind our backs. Ted Cruz stood up in the Senate Chamber today and called out Mitch McConnell for lying. I respect that.
RE: High profile senators routinely keep their names off bills  
Bill L : 7/24/2015 8:35 pm : link
In comment 12384739 Deej said:
Quote:
Ted Kennedy, who for whom I had the pleasure of interning, routinely did this. Because he could reach consensus with some Senators on something but they'd say "Teddy, I'll get killed if my name is attached to the Kennedy-Me bill".

There's a reason that she gets a lot of praise from Republican senators who served contemporaneously to her.


Lol I had a couple fraternity brothers intern for him for a good while. I remember a long time ago my fraternity brothers helped set up a fundraiser for Sargent shriver and part of it was an open house at teddy's home. Some of us acted as guards to make sure people didn't steal stuff. I met Ted when he came out in his bathrobe to pick up the newspaper from his driveway
RE: High profile senators routinely keep their names off bills  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 8:40 pm : link
In comment 12384739 Deej said:
[quote] Ted Kennedy, who for whom I had the pleasure of interning, routinely did this. Because he could reach consensus with some Senators on something but they'd say "Teddy, I'll get killed if my name is attached to the Kennedy-Me bill".

Are you sure you were showing up in the right office?

"Some historians have called Ted Kennedy one of the most effective legislators in the history of the U.S. Senate. During nearly 47 years on Capitol Hill, his office wrote some 2,500 bills, over 300 of which became law. Additionally, over 550 bills that he co-sponsored became law. A skilled orator and gifted storyteller, Kennedy was known for his ability to collaborate with Democrats and Republicans alike."

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Yes Bill  
Deej : 7/24/2015 9:04 pm : link
Im dead sure. Those stats underrate his impact. There was a lot of stuff he kept his name off of.

The man wasnt a saint, but he was really a master of the Senate. Not sure there is anyone like him around today -- I think in the era of 24 hour news, twitter, and over saturation of media, it may not be possible anymore. There are no more backbenchers in the US Senate.
RE: Yes Bill  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 9:09 pm : link
In comment 12384807 Deej said:
Quote:
Im dead sure. Those stats underrate his impact. There was a lot of stuff he kept his name off of.

The man wasnt a saint, but he was really a master of the Senate. Not sure there is anyone like him around today -- I think in the era of 24 hour news, twitter, and over saturation of media, it may not be possible anymore. There are no more backbenchers in the US Senate.


Yeah, but he sponsored at least 300 bills that became law. Hillary sponsored zero. I have the utmost respect for Kennedy, even tho I disagree with him politically by 180 degrees. But I have none for Hillary.
Let me refine that to say  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 9:12 pm : link
I have the highest regard for Kennedy as a legislator. My respect for him ends there
RE: RE: Yes Bill  
Deej : 7/24/2015 9:28 pm : link
In comment 12384819 Bill in UT said:
Quote:
In comment 12384807 Deej said:


Quote:


Im dead sure. Those stats underrate his impact. There was a lot of stuff he kept his name off of.

The man wasnt a saint, but he was really a master of the Senate. Not sure there is anyone like him around today -- I think in the era of 24 hour news, twitter, and over saturation of media, it may not be possible anymore. There are no more backbenchers in the US Senate.



Yeah, but he sponsored at least 300 bills that became law. Hillary sponsored zero. I have the utmost respect for Kennedy, even tho I disagree with him politically by 180 degrees. But I have none for Hillary.


I know. The Clintons are history's greatest monsters.
RE: RE: RE: Yes Bill  
Bill in UT : 7/24/2015 9:35 pm : link
In comment 12384851 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 12384819 Bill in UT said:


Quote:


In comment 12384807 Deej said:


Quote:


Im dead sure. Those stats underrate his impact. There was a lot of stuff he kept his name off of.

The man wasnt a saint, but he was really a master of the Senate. Not sure there is anyone like him around today -- I think in the era of 24 hour news, twitter, and over saturation of media, it may not be possible anymore. There are no more backbenchers in the US Senate.



Yeah, but he sponsored at least 300 bills that became law. Hillary sponsored zero. I have the utmost respect for Kennedy, even tho I disagree with him politically by 180 degrees. But I have none for Hillary.



I know. The Clintons are history's greatest monsters.


Typical liberal response. Create a straw man. I haven't said a word about Bill and all I've said about Hillary is that she has no track record in the Senate to run on.
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