He's not shooting himself in the foot because if he could he would of done 40 times already. He is the true Teflon Don. Let's say the field gets down to 4, who are they going to rally around to knock him out?
let me make $1 billion and you can call me anything you want, I make $2 billion, I'll make whatever name you come up with my personal license plate, I make $3 billion and I'll name it my plane
1) Learn to use your name as a real estate brand. Trump arbitraged his name to enhance his property value. Not a presidential attribute, but impressive.
2) Make sure that when casinos you are involved in go bankrupt, it's a corporate bankruptcy, and you already sold your ownership share.
There hasn't been any real discussion yet of the 4 corporate bankruptcies Trump has been involved in. There will be, I promise.
RE: There are plenty of successful people who fill the Buffoon Â
Now WILL he win probably not. But I can think of other times in history where an orator came along whipping the citizens into a frenzy and catapulting them into power. The early 1900's in Germany comes to mind. Not saying Trump is hitler, I'm simply saying there comes a time when people are sick of the status quo and demand change. This could be that time for the U.S. I personally don't thinks so, but who am I to say for certain.
Trump WAS an early hire-er of female executives. I knew a couple back in the late 1980s. They made La Cosa Nostra look friendly and flexible, but they did have female genitalia.
and golf courses in the world. One day if you get to NYC, stop into the Trump Tower. What i like about him is he never takes vacations, he will work 360 out of 365 days a year and not end up on a ranch in Texas or Martha's Vineyard for the month of August.
Unless 538 has completely lost it's analytical skills, THEY are to say he can;t win, for a long list of good and valid reasons.
As you get closer to the actual election, policy positions, policy knowledge, historical weaknesses to target, a low ceiling of voters who are willing to accept him, and lack
of ground staff all matter. He has no ground game whatsoever. In this modern era, that matters a lot.
If he hired women who weren't sharks, I would note that, too. Two of the rudest and most obnoxious women/people I have ever met in my life, quite literally, were Trump real estate managers.
As I said, I don't think he gets the nomination. But he most definitely could get the public support. And from what I've heard he definitely has teams on the ground in primary towns. Maybe I'm wrong but I could have sworn I heard about it during and after the debate.
Most likely doesn't get the nomination but I'm not counting him out yet.
Trump is not a dumb guy. I'd be willing to bet he has hired some pretty knowledgable consultants that are crafting his policies as we speak. I don't take this run as lightly as his past interests and attempts.
Guaranteed, passionate Tea Partiers on the one side and progressives on the other, who work for free, will give the last standing candidates in either party advantages Trump won't get.
And last of all, the massive blitz of media spending comes much later, where super-PACs will crap all over him. He isn't going to get super-PAC support.
He was offered $5million from one of his buddies over the weekend who wanted to get involved and Trump turned him down. He will take small contributions from individuals so they can feel engaged, but he is not taking big money donors or involved with PAC's. That is one of the reasons I like him, you cant buy him, he doesn't owe anyone"favors"
RE: I'd still love to know what the 'better deal' Â
The sanctions aren't coming back if we skip out on this.
What makes you think the sanctions (snap back to be specific) are going hold if we don't skip out. Russia has already had Soleimani in for talks and announced they will sell Iran the S-300 air defense system as well. Once they get their $60-150 billion that treaty isn't worth the paper it's written on.
2) They didn't claim to be big supporters of women, while having a laundry list of vile comments about specific women in their prior history.
It was an absolutely valid question under the circumstances, and if he had an actual political staff like real presidential candidates do, he would have been prepared for it.
Actually, IIRC, Dan Rather came flat out in a press conference and asked Nixon if he were a criminal.
Alot of people make Trump Out to be general zod or worse khan Â
2) They didn't claim to be big supporters of women, while having a laundry list of vile comments about specific women in their prior history.
It was an absolutely valid question under the circumstances, and if he had an actual political staff like real presidential candidates do, he would have been prepared for it.
You mean like the "missile gap" and who "lost" China?
Maybe the coverage at the time stuck to the big stuff and didn't get stuck on appearances or "defining" the candidate. Kennedy made Bill Clinton seem like St Paul the Apostle, slept with a Soviet spy, got his PT boat cut in half by a destroyer when he and the crew were either drunk or asleep, and may have been addicted to painkillers. Nixon thoroughly enjoyed his cocktails-often. There were people who knew this stuff but it didn't come out because it wasn't thought pertinent or important and it would diminish the office. I don't know that they were wrong in doing so.
As to the OP's point, Trump will fade as others take up some of the things he says and does that seem to attract support. It already may have started: Sanders said he is not going to apologize to Black Lives Matter.
1) You are comparing him to 17 candidates, not one or two as will be the case later on;
2) Grass roots is different from professional operatives;
3) As we get further into the political season, the super-PACS will be on him like white on rice. So will the Washington mainstream republican base. None of the major money that isn't his comes from anyone with a reason to support him; and
4) The 30% or so cap to his favorability will matter as the number of opponents dwindle.
5) The number of skeletons in his closet is massive, and the smarter operatives against him are still holding their fire on those.
Have you seen anything to the contrary on any of these five points?
They already ran with an article where his wife said he raped her (during their divorce) and she comes out, says it's not true and that he'd be a great President.
He touched the third rail of immigration and his support ballooned.
He said John McCain wasn't a war hero, again, no issue.
He attacked Megyn Kelly with a sexist rant about her bleeding, doesn't seem to have had an effect.
Everyone knows about his bankruptcies, that he donated to Hillary, that he said he wanted single payer, and that hasn't stopped him.
I've said all along that Trump and some of the other non-establishment candidates are the people's way of saying Fuck You to the establishment government, political consultants and the media. People seem to be responding more to his way of saying things than the details of what he is saying. Until they find someone who better represents what they think/feel, Trump will remain.
is a legit candidate. in a country where celebrity matters, where former actors, pro football players, bodybuilding champions and WWF wrestlers have been presidents, governors of major states, it is no surprise that a guy like trump is in the lead.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
RE: Who's the last complete buffoon to serve as POTUS? Â
up to his cap. His cap has actually increased recently, but no one is running a ad blitz against him yet. His skeletons are all in his mouth--he has said so many things on TV that will make for wonderful attack ads against him.
No one is spending money like that yet. They will. I would bet they could make 20 attack ads against him just out of stuff he has said that's on you-tube.
until they get to full-blown debates with 4 or less participants. At that point you have to at least look as if you have bona fide ideas and political acumen on a bunch of topics.
Debates matter, especially when you get past the "secret plan" phase.
Loke I said. A community organizer is pots now. How can Â
is a legit candidate. in a country where celebrity matters, where former actors, pro football players, bodybuilding champions and WWF wrestlers have been presidents, governors of major states, it is no surprise that a guy like trump is in the lead.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
Hey Les, given Toronto's recent history of selection of mayors I'd say that's not limited to the US. I do concede, however, that your elections are held in a much more reasonable timeframe.
RE: Loke I said. A community organizer is pots now. How can Â
until they get to full-blown debates with 4 or less participants. At that point you have to at least look as if you have bona fide ideas and political acumen on a bunch of topics.
Debates matter, especially when you get past the "secret plan" phase.
I'm not sure debates matters as much as they used to....and debates today are a lot of canned nonsense/hot air and not as much exchange of ideas or listening or rational discourse.
is a legit candidate. in a country where celebrity matters, where former actors, pro football players, bodybuilding champions and WWF wrestlers have been presidents, governors of major states, it is no surprise that a guy like trump is in the lead.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
Hey Les, given Toronto's recent history of selection of mayors I'd say that's not limited to the US. I do concede, however, that your elections are held in a much more reasonable timeframe.
would have been interesting to see if rob ford would have been re-elected if he did not pull out due to cancer. thankfully his idiot but non crack abusing brother was defeated, but did get 34% of the vote finishing in second.
I'm not sure debates matters as much as they used to Â
other than the manufactured ones (between Christie and Paul for example). There was just questions lobbed at the candidates. It was awful. Fox did a terrible job.
Taft is probably more infamous for being fat, but he was a Chief Justice of the Supreme Court aside from his other political positions.
I'm pretty sure that all of the past POTUS were over 36 years of age and born US citizens. Them's the qualifications.
too easy, my friend.
Here's Steve Ballmer at a microsoft presentation, not a pro wrestling event.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvsboPUjrGc
2) Make sure that when casinos you are involved in go bankrupt, it's a corporate bankruptcy, and you already sold your ownership share.
There hasn't been any real discussion yet of the 4 corporate bankruptcies Trump has been involved in. There will be, I promise.
Here's Steve Ballmer at a microsoft presentation, not a pro wrestling event.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvsboPUjrGc
Yes, I'd say buffoon and billionaire are a common combination.
And that's according to Trump, right?
The link below breaks down his current wealth. He's exaggerating publicly.
Bloomberg - ( New Window )
I found an old picture of one.
As you get closer to the actual election, policy positions, policy knowledge, historical weaknesses to target, a low ceiling of voters who are willing to accept him, and lack
of ground staff all matter. He has no ground game whatsoever. In this modern era, that matters a lot.
Link - ( New Window )
Most likely doesn't get the nomination but I'm not counting him out yet.
And last of all, the massive blitz of media spending comes much later, where super-PACs will crap all over him. He isn't going to get super-PAC support.
What makes you think the sanctions (snap back to be specific) are going hold if we don't skip out. Russia has already had Soleimani in for talks and announced they will sell Iran the S-300 air defense system as well. Once they get their $60-150 billion that treaty isn't worth the paper it's written on.
2) They didn't claim to be big supporters of women, while having a laundry list of vile comments about specific women in their prior history.
It was an absolutely valid question under the circumstances, and if he had an actual political staff like real presidential candidates do, he would have been prepared for it.
Actually, IIRC, Dan Rather came flat out in a press conference and asked Nixon if he were a criminal.
2) They didn't claim to be big supporters of women, while having a laundry list of vile comments about specific women in their prior history.
It was an absolutely valid question under the circumstances, and if he had an actual political staff like real presidential candidates do, he would have been prepared for it.
Maybe the coverage at the time stuck to the big stuff and didn't get stuck on appearances or "defining" the candidate. Kennedy made Bill Clinton seem like St Paul the Apostle, slept with a Soviet spy, got his PT boat cut in half by a destroyer when he and the crew were either drunk or asleep, and may have been addicted to painkillers. Nixon thoroughly enjoyed his cocktails-often. There were people who knew this stuff but it didn't come out because it wasn't thought pertinent or important and it would diminish the office. I don't know that they were wrong in doing so.
As to the OP's point, Trump will fade as others take up some of the things he says and does that seem to attract support. It already may have started: Sanders said he is not going to apologize to Black Lives Matter.
MG you keep on deflecting? Why?
BASH: So, you’re in the Oval Office, you’re saying, Obamacare…
TRUMP: It’s got to go.
BASH: It’s got to go.
TRUMP: Repeal and replace with something terrific
Note he does not say he will repeal it.....
2) Grass roots is different from professional operatives;
3) As we get further into the political season, the super-PACS will be on him like white on rice. So will the Washington mainstream republican base. None of the major money that isn't his comes from anyone with a reason to support him; and
4) The 30% or so cap to his favorability will matter as the number of opponents dwindle.
5) The number of skeletons in his closet is massive, and the smarter operatives against him are still holding their fire on those.
Have you seen anything to the contrary on any of these five points?
2) These are not all grassroots supporters on his ground team, most are paid pros
3) He expects to be attacked by super PAC's
4) I dont know what his peak is, probably around that number
5) Bring on the skeletons if you have them, I'm sure he is aware of them
He has multiple ex-wives and personal issues; yet no-one continues to bear an axe, some - Ivanka - even activitely support him.
Don't know how he did it.
They already ran with an article where his wife said he raped her (during their divorce) and she comes out, says it's not true and that he'd be a great President.
He touched the third rail of immigration and his support ballooned.
He said John McCain wasn't a war hero, again, no issue.
He attacked Megyn Kelly with a sexist rant about her bleeding, doesn't seem to have had an effect.
Everyone knows about his bankruptcies, that he donated to Hillary, that he said he wanted single payer, and that hasn't stopped him.
I've said all along that Trump and some of the other non-establishment candidates are the people's way of saying Fuck You to the establishment government, political consultants and the media. People seem to be responding more to his way of saying things than the details of what he is saying. Until they find someone who better represents what they think/feel, Trump will remain.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
Taft is probably more infamous for being fat, but he was a Chief Justice of the Supreme Court aside from his other political positions.
The current 1.
No one is spending money like that yet. They will. I would bet they could make 20 attack ads against him just out of stuff he has said that's on you-tube.
Debates matter, especially when you get past the "secret plan" phase.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
Hey Les, given Toronto's recent history of selection of mayors I'd say that's not limited to the US. I do concede, however, that your elections are held in a much more reasonable timeframe.
Debates matter, especially when you get past the "secret plan" phase.
Quote:
is a legit candidate. in a country where celebrity matters, where former actors, pro football players, bodybuilding champions and WWF wrestlers have been presidents, governors of major states, it is no surprise that a guy like trump is in the lead.
many americans tune in to shows with simple concepts and catchphrases - WWE, honeybooboo, the kardashians, storage wars....if you are bold, speak confidently and can speak to the lowest common denominator, not to mention back it up with celebrity, a lot of people will get attached.
Hey Les, given Toronto's recent history of selection of mayors I'd say that's not limited to the US. I do concede, however, that your elections are held in a much more reasonable timeframe.