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My slightly too early 53-man roster prediction

Emil : 8/25/2015 10:02 am
As a follow up to last week, here is my latest attempt at a roster projection. Some notable changes include Whitlock and Farrand to the practice squad, and Unga over Herzlich at LB.


QB (no change)
1. Eli Manning
2. Ryan Nassib

RB (no change)
3. Rashaad Jennings
4. Andre Williams
5. Shane Vereen
6. Orleans Darkwa

I kept four RBs because I think you cannot rely on Jennings to play a full season, and it is reasonable to assume that Darkwa has drawn attention from other teams in the league and might not make it to the practice squad. Akeem Hunt to the practice squad.

FB (no change)
7. Henry Hynoski

WR (no change)
8. Odell Beckham Jr
9. Victor Cruz
10. Reuben Randle
11. Dwayne Harris
12. Geremy Davis
13. James Jones

Of course this is the way too early prediction, but I just don’t think Corey Washington is a complete WR. I think he is good vertical guy, but doesn’t offer much else. With Larry Donnell already providing a very strong red zone target, and WRs like Randle and Davis already offering decent size, I just don’t see a big enough role for Washington to warrant keeping him over Jones or Davis. Preston Parker is one tough player, but not the same talent as the 6 listed.

TE (no change)
14. Larry Donnell
15. Daniel Fells
16. Jerome Cunningham

I’m declaring an end to the Robinson project. I only hope Reese and the coaches feel the same way. Fells is the better player, and Cunningham has potential.

OL (Hart added)
17. Ereck Flowers (T)
18. Justin Pugh (T/G)
19. Weston Richburg (C/G)
20. Geoff Schwartz (G/T)
21. Marshall Newhouse (T)
22. John Jerry (G)
23. Bradon Mosley (T/G)
24. Dallas Reynolds (C/G)
25. Bobby Hart (T)
26. Adam Gettis (G)

This group continues to be the hardest to predict. I don’t see the Giants parting ways with Newhouse, Jerry or Mosley as they are one injury away from being a starter, and Newhouse already is (at least for the time being). I don’t see Jones beating out Reynolds at this point, but I’d like to see Jones on the practice squad for a season. He is young and still has upside. Bennett Jackson to IR allows the team to keep 10 OL if they want, but I’m not sure keeping 10 is any better than keeping 9, unless the Giants think Mosely still has upside and Gettis can develop into a quality back up. Reese and Coughlin have both praised Hart in recent days, and his combination of youth and size brings great potential.

DE (no change)
27. Robert Ayers
28. Kerry Wynn
29. Damontre Moore
30. George Selvie
31. Owamagbe Odighizuwa

I don’t think there will be much disagreement here. The funny thing is I see Spags finding ways to use all 5 every Sunday. Wynn has been a steady performer all preseason and I would not be surprised to see him win a starting job or at the very least split snaps between starting LDE and RDE. Moore simply has mountains of potential, but remains inconsistent against the run. Ayers has been up and down, but when he is playing well he is disruptive. Selvie seems like the most consistent run stopper, and Owa is demonstrating a non-stop motor, but very raw pass rush skills.

DT. (no change)
32. Cullen Jenkins
33. Jonathan Hankins
34. Kenrick Ellis
35. Jay Bromley

With 5 DEs, you keep 4DTs, especially when Ayers and Wynn can kick inside on passing downs. I can’t believe that Coughlin was entirely sincere in his comments about Kuhn over the weekend. The 29 year old DT project has shown nothing to suggest he can play at a high level in the NFL.

LB. (Unga over Herzlich)
36. Jon Beason
37. J.T. Thomas
38. Devon Kennard
39. Uani Unga
40. Jon Casillas
41. Jameel McClain

I am not as down on Herzlich as some, as I think he has a role on this team, however, with Beason being a walking mash unit, and his primary backup McClain dealing with a chronic neck injury, the Giants have to keep 3 LBs that can effectively play MLB. I don’t think the Giants want to go into the season with Kennard as the 3rd MLB as it would detract from the pass rush and the units’ overall strength. Unga has shown enough in two preseason games to suggest he can fill in at MLB if needed and is a solid special teams player. Essentially Herzlich may be overtaken by circumstances. Now it would not surprise me if the Giants keep nine OL and make room for Herzlich.

CB. (no change)
42. Dominique Rodgers Cromartie
43. Prince Amukamara
44. Trevin Wade
45. Jayron Hosley
46. Trumaine McBride

I’m only really confident in the top three making the roster at this point, but the coaches seem to have hope for Hosley, and McBride is a valuable veteran. The loss of Jackson really hurts the CB depth (in addition to S) but I don’t see 6 CBs worth keeping. I’m sure Reese will be scanning the waiver wire for a vet that can play the 4th CB, but good CBs rarely get cut unless it’s a salary cap related move.

FS/SS (Jackson to IR)
47. Landon Collins
48. Brandon Meriweather
49. Cooper Taylor
50. Nat Berhe

I still think Meriweather has the edge over Miles, and if the three young safeties are healthy they will all make the team. Only Taylor is on the bubble. Could Miles make it over Taylor, perhaps, but Taylor would have to be injured or just plain awful on the field. If a quality vet shakes loose I think Meriweather would be the first to go.

Specialists
51. Josh Brown – Kicker
52. Steve Weatherford - P
53. Zak DeOssie - LS

IR
1. Marcus Harris (WR)
2. Mykkele Thompason (S)
3. Bennett Jackson (S)

PUP
1. William Beatty (T)

Suspended
1. Victor Butler (LB)

Practice Squad (Whitlock and Farrand added)
1. Michael Bamiro (G/T)
2. Julian Tally (WR)
3. Akeem Hunt (RB)
4. Cole Farrand (LB)
5. Will Tye (TE)
6. Sean Donnelly (T)
7. Brett Jones (C/G)
8. Nikita Whitock (FB/Special Teams)
i like it!  
CMicks3110 : 8/25/2015 10:06 am : link
i think they figure out a way to keep herzlich though, i think herzlich would make it over gettis.
also, i think there is a chance  
CMicks3110 : 8/25/2015 10:07 am : link
they keep robinson over fells. I doubt fells gets picked up, so they can always keep him on the sideline and call him if there are injuries.
This looks pretty damn good.  
Big Blue '56 : 8/25/2015 10:09 am : link
Unfortunately, I don't see Herzlich being cut..Some players are coaches pets..Herz is everything TC stands for..I'd be fine with him being cut and won't be majorly surprised if he is, but every coach has "their guy" and Herz is TC's imo..

The rest, on paper, is hard to disagree with at this still very early juncture
Also think  
Big Blue '56 : 8/25/2015 10:10 am : link
Brett Jones stays..Over Reynolds?
Well  
AcidTest : 8/25/2015 10:12 am : link
done, but I don't see us keeping 10 OL under any circumstances. I'd keep Hunt over Gettis. I'm also not sure the Giants will keep all three of Mosley, Newhouse, and Jerry. One of them might be gone. If they do keep all three, then I think Cleary is gone, and they try and put him and Donnelly on the PS.

Washington is a tough cut, and will probably be picked up by someone else, but that happens every year.

I don't think the fourth safety spot is secure. I could see someone like Meriweather being replaced after final cuts, but I agree that as of now, he's likely on the team.

Unga should make the team, at least as of now.

Good job.
Pretty good guess  
robbieballs2003 : 8/25/2015 10:13 am : link
My only disagreement would be James Jones. Yes, he has played well when on the field but that is against a lower level of competition. Yes, Washington hasnt looked great out there. So, very few people can argue with you. My mentality is this. One, Washington plays specials and Jones doesnt. If Davis or Harris get injured that means one guy in that group of WRs plays specials. I really dont think you can have it like that. If one of our top three WRs gets injured we can have on of the WRs step up, use Vereen more as a WR, use more TE sets, etc. There are ways around it. Plus, Davis and Harris have looked good at WR. This is a very WR friendly offense which is why I think Jones looks as good as he should. The other positive fo Washington is that he s younger and has more potential. Who cares if he isnt a complete WR. Most WRs arent. But, he can definitely help our team out with what he does do. You cannot just take these players at face value. You have to look at the whole picture and the big picture. Imo, for Jones to make it he has to be lights out and you need to say we are in trouble of we dont keep him. That is not the case imo.
Hard to argue with any of that  
BillT : 8/25/2015 10:14 am : link
The OL reserves are somewhat a mystery. I see maybe only 9 OLs. Jerry and Reynolds seem most likely. After that I'm lost. Maybe Donnelly and Hart? They need another tackle reserve. I don't see them releasing Herzlich. UU is PS eligible.
RE: Well  
robbieballs2003 : 8/25/2015 10:15 am : link
In comment 12434526 AcidTest said:
Quote:
done, but I don't see us keeping 10 OL under any circumstances. I'd keep Hunt over Gettis. I'm also not sure the Giants will keep all three of Mosley, Newhouse, and Jerry. One of them might be gone. If they do keep all three, then I think Cleary is gone, and they try and put him and Donnelly on the PS.

Washington is a tough cut, and will probably be picked up by someone else, but that happens every year.

I don't think the fourth safety spot is secure. I could see someone like Meriweather being replaced after final cuts, but I agree that as of now, he's likely on the team.

Unga should make the team, at least as of now.

Good job.


I would love to keep Hunt but I wouldn't put Gettis near the bottom of that list. From what I have seen he has played well. I like him better than Mosley.
Roster  
stretch234 : 8/25/2015 11:15 am : link
I still think they keep 6 CB's due to injury concerns at the position and the amount of times you may have to use 4 - 5 CB' are not enough

James Jones have proven he can catch passes against starting NFL secondaries and be a no 2 & 3 WR. Washington has proven he can make a catch over guys who are not even PS players. Veterans are 1 thing - veterans who can still play are entirely different.

OL - you are keeping a b/u for C, G and 2 guys who can play T if need be

Come Sunday, who is inactive from the list
RE: Roster  
robbieballs2003 : 8/25/2015 11:47 am : link
In comment 12434700 stretch234 said:
Quote:
I still think they keep 6 CB's due to injury concerns at the position and the amount of times you may have to use 4 - 5 CB' are not enough

James Jones have proven he can catch passes against starting NFL secondaries and be a no 2 & 3 WR. Washington has proven he can make a catch over guys who are not even PS players. Veterans are 1 thing - veterans who can still play are entirely different.

OL - you are keeping a b/u for C, G and 2 guys who can play T if need be

Come Sunday, who is inactive from the list


Jones was not signed until late for a reason.
....  
Micko : 8/25/2015 11:49 am : link
That's a nice looking roster actually. I hope JPP is part of that come mid-season.
you have 26 on O and 24 on D -  
Del Shofner : 8/25/2015 11:50 am : link
I think it will end up 25-25, with only 9 rather than 10 on OL, and one additional DB.
Thanks for the feedback guys  
Emil : 8/25/2015 12:23 pm : link
I could totally see them going with 9 OL and keeping Herzlich, which I would be fine with. Just don't see them not keeping Unga on the 53, the MLB situation is one play away from being a HUGE hole.

6 CBs would be nice, but I don't think the 6th CB is that good at this point. Losing Jackson really hurt. I could see Berhe playing 3rd in the "big nickel" provided it is in the playbook, but I don't see any safety with CB cover skills on the roster right now.
Not a knock on this projection in particular, which I think is good,  
81_Great_Dane : 8/25/2015 12:38 pm : link
but I think the flaw in most fan roster projections is that we tend to categorize every player by offense and defense except PK, P and LS. The coaches can't think that way; they have to consider offense, defense and the special teams: KO, KO coverage, P, P coverage, FG and FG defense.

A 53-man projection needs to designate primary KO returner, primary P returner, your first and second gunners, etc. You might get a somewhat different projection that way. I also think that's why guys like Herzlich make the team and fans end up thinking it's a BC/coaches' pet. His real value is on specials, not as a linebacker. Dwayne Harris is going to be 4th WR, not 5th or 6th, because he's a primary returner. And so on.
Any time you list a 53 man roster prediction  
Mike in Long Beach : 8/25/2015 12:46 pm : link
Obviously people will disagree with some picks... I agreed with much of your list. With that caveat. My disagreements:

1) Preston Parker will be on the team. 76 grabs over the last 2 seasons and a similar style of play to Victor Cruz. I love and believe in Cruz, but we need to have a backup slot receiver who's had proven success in the NFL in case something happens. Parker is as good as you're going to get for that role.

2) Herzlich... I do think it's possible that his time here might be coming to an end, but it ain't gonna be for a 27-year-old who's never made an NFL team before. It's going to take a proven or younger player to unseat his roster spot.

3) I think ultimately with JPP (probably... maybe?) going to return to the team at some point, that the Giants are going to keep 5 DTs and 4 DEs in the early going. Then, based on how the season plays out, either drop one of the DE's when JPP comes back or drop the 5th DT and keep 5 at DE.

Again though... great job.
Do add a detail to my third point  
Mike in Long Beach : 8/25/2015 12:50 pm : link
The reason I feel that way is that by keeping 5 DEs, you're essentially guaranteeing one of them will be let go once JPP is ready to go. I don't think the Giants want to limit themselves like that.

By keeping 5 DTs instead, all "fringe" players across the entire defensive line will have an opportunity to compete for a job once JPP is ready to go.
i dont think Hunt will last one  
Tuckrule : 8/25/2015 1:00 pm : link
the practice squad. Could help any team in the return game immediately. If we didnt sign Harris he would be a lock to be the returner
While we would all like to see him gone....  
Bluenatic : 8/25/2015 1:03 pm : link
..... Kuhn has been seeing a lot of snaps with the first and second units. The coaches obviously see something in him that the rest of us don't. I don't think he's getting cut, and his roster spot might be at Ellis' expense.
Not a bad projection/prediction. A couple of comments:  
NYGmen58 : 8/25/2015 1:03 pm : link
I don't see the Giants keeping 10 OL. Look for them to keep 9 (+ Beatty coming back at somepoint).

I like Unga making the team but so will Herzlich. With Beason out indefinitely, the Giants will carry 7 LBs I believe.

As for CBs, I would be surprised to see Hosely make the team. Mike Harris will find his way on to the final 53.
They need to give Josh Gordy  
KWALL2 : 8/25/2015 1:05 pm : link
some reps at S. He may be able to step in for Jackson's role in some ways. Good chance Gordy may stick this year.
my disagreement  
jtgiants : 8/25/2015 1:14 pm : link
starts w miles at safety. I'm pretty confident he makes it.
gordy's  
area junc : 8/25/2015 2:20 pm : link
in. he can play everywhere in the old R.w. mcquarters role
Interesting thoughts on Gordy  
Emil : 8/25/2015 2:29 pm : link
I'll have to pay more attention to him. Would be nice to have someone fill the RW McQuarters/Bennett Jackson role.
good job, Emil  
ColHowPepper : 8/25/2015 2:43 pm : link
- think an argument can be made for Hart in lieu of Mosley rather than in addition to--if they want roster flexibility elsewhere. We may have seen more from Hart already (the good and the bad) than we've seen from Mosley in three years

- Miles looked pathetic on his deep coverage responsibilities Saturday night; hard to believe he's an NFL vet, with Ravens no less

-
Quote:
I’m declaring an end to the Robinson project. I only hope Reese and the coaches feel the same way. Fells is the better player, and Cunningham has potential.


Agree! The JPP of TEs spent himself @ UCinn doing backflips and has never been the same. Just ask Jerry.
Emil, did you see Cunningham break straight down the middle, leap high and have Nassib's ball glance off his fingertips. PI on the play, but Cunningham, while by no means a speed merchant, broke hard and went for the ball aggressively. He's a big, strong due who plays with some passion, unlike the ghostly AR. We need to see more of him blocking at point of attack and on some shorter routes to see what he's got.

Just cut bait Reese and admit your mistake.


its value emil  
area junc : 8/25/2015 2:44 pm : link
u look to be on the $$$ but gordy is a good special teams player as well. he plays on all the teams in addition to knowing all the DB spots. he will get plenty of burn

i also agree w/jtgiants i think miles over meriweather. if they liked meriweather better he'd have been here first. something 2 consider
miles has  
area junc : 8/25/2015 2:44 pm : link
a reputation as a good special teams player. we are beefing up on teams
area junc  
ColHowPepper : 8/25/2015 3:09 pm : link
we didn't look so special defending KO returns or on our PRs Saturday night; no blocking on the latter, poor lane discipline and tackling on the former, as far as I could see (except for one nice play late by Criner).
I believe...  
Ed A. : 8/25/2015 5:50 pm : link
Harris will make it over Hosley. On the practice squad, I think Cleary will make it over Donnelly. Might even make the 53 over Mosley, He looks good at LT.
No Kuhn  
santacruzom : 8/25/2015 10:47 pm : link
Or Herzlich? Wishful thinking my friend.
The Giants can initially go thin at OT, DE and maybe OLB...  
Big Blue Blogger : 8/26/2015 5:39 am : link
...if they view Beatty (PUP), Pierre-Paul (unsigned/NFI) and even Butler (suspended) as eventual reinforcements. With Beatty the most likely of the three to play a major role this season, a tenth offensive lineman on the opening-night roster is almost out of the question. I think a healthy Brandon Mosley makes the team as #9, but he needs to get back on the field to stay ahead of Gettis.

Ironically, the better Pierre-Paul looks when he shows up, the worse it is for his college teammate George Selvie, who is in the odd position of being both a potential starter and a potential cut. With Cullen Jenkins getting significant reps at DE, I think there's a real chance the Giants will cut Selvie and keep five DTs rather than five DEs. If Selvie continues to miss time, he could be a candidate for "IR/Designated"; and if Pierre-Paul is a realistic medium-term possibility, Selvie could be gone altogether. The argument for conceding him a roster spot is largely that he sets a floor under the position, and he can hold the fort until Moore proves himself and Odighizuwa is ready to contribute. Unfortunately for Selvie, it's hard to hold the fort in street clothes.

I doubt Butler has made enough of an impression to affect roster decisions. His availability might relieve the need to carry a seventh linebacker as "Beason Insurance". In any case, he will be there in October as a potential injury replacement. Speaking of Beason, the worst-case scenario is that he lands on IR with the return designation. That's one of the few ways to create a roster spot for Devin Unga. So, to those rooting for Unga to make the 53, be careful what you wish for.
RE: Pretty good guess  
gidiefor : Mod : 8/26/2015 10:45 am : link
In comment 12434533 robbieballs2003 said:
Quote:
My only disagreement would be James Jones. Yes, he has played well when on the field but that is against a lower level of competition. Yes, Washington hasnt looked great out there. So, very few people can argue with you. My mentality is this. One, Washington plays specials and Jones doesnt. If Davis or Harris get injured that means one guy in that group of WRs plays specials. I really dont think you can have it like that. If one of our top three WRs gets injured we can have on of the WRs step up, use Vereen more as a WR, use more TE sets, etc. There are ways around it. Plus, Davis and Harris have looked good at WR. This is a very WR friendly offense which is why I think Jones looks as good as he should. The other positive fo Washington is that he s younger and has more potential. Who cares if he isnt a complete WR. Most WRs arent. But, he can definitely help our team out with what he does do. You cannot just take these players at face value. You have to look at the whole picture and the big picture. Imo, for Jones to make it he has to be lights out and you need to say we are in trouble of we dont keep him. That is not the case imo.


Robbie -- not sure I agree with you - JJ is looking like a very dependable receiver out there -- and his route running has been superb -- he could end up being a solid go to guy -- a 4 receiver set with OBJ, Randle, Cruz and Jones would be deadly - and if Cruz is gimpy this year Jones becomes a real 3 Receiver weapon option

Washington and Parker have never shown they can be dependable
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