There a slew of sharp Yankees fans here with great insight into the minors who I hope will fill in some blanks.
Right now it hurts, but we were kidding ourselves if we thought they would win last night with that anemic offense that played through September.
Beyond the obvious that Drew and Ryan must not be in pinstripes next April, where do they go? I think Headley must be replaced. His bat died and he became a liability at third - every throw was an adventure. Beltran must go. He's simple incompetent in RF and his bat is not good enough to overcome that hole. It comes down to DHing vs Arod. Beltran may be the better choice because he switch hits, but they really need McCann to do some DHing next year, so they cannot afford to carry two part time DHs.
Pitching?
Tanaka, Pineda, Eovaldi and Severino are a lock. Nova is an enigma. Warren, they need to make up their minds SP or RP.
I'd cut loose CC.
Maybe get Mitchell going, he showed some decent talent.
If Nova was more consistent, I think they would be in very good shape with what they have already on the roster at SP.
Miller, Betances, Wilson are a lock. Did Shreve burn out or did the league figure him out? I think it was burnout.
Good Arms in AAA Lindgren, Pazos, Goody, Rumbelow, Pinder and even Bailey.
I think the pen will be a strength with what is already on the roster.
Miller and Betances just need to have the load reduced by about 10%. Miller with the sore arm midseason looked sharp up til the end and Betances fought through it despite too much use.
Catching is in excellent shape. Murphy is much better than I thought and I have no clue about Sanchez.
So have at it. What FA are there young enough to be around 5 to 8 years? Do they need to package Gardner to get a power bat in the corner outfield (hope not as I'm a big Gardner fan)?
What 3rd baseman are around, starting quality, to replace Headley? I don't see any at SWB or Trenton.
IMHO, the problem is offense, not pitching or defense.
What the appreciation thread? Different topic.
Red Sox got rid of a number of big contracts. If they (Headley, Beltran even ARod) are non-performing, what difference does it make if they are paid to be gone, or sitting on the bench doing nothing?
Like what or whom? "Get us a better GM or better players" is throwing crap against the wall and hoping some will stick.
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Like with A-Rod, his contract makes it difficult.
Red Sox got rid of a number of big contracts. If they (Headley, Beltran even ARod) are non-performing, what difference does it make if they are paid to be gone, or sitting on the bench doing nothing?
I think it would matter to Hal. He may decide to add pieces in order to fix structural weaknesses and overcome bad contracts, but it means blowing up the budget which, unlike his father, Hal has not been willing to do.
Personally, I like the young core they are starting to put together. In addition to Severino and the bullpen guys you mentioned, Bird, Ref, and Didi have the makings of a solid young IF. Ref/Didi likely profile as "above average" at best at their positions, but Bird could be a (not too distant) middle of the order bat.
As far as the OF, 2 spots are pretty locked up with Gardner/Ellsbury with Heathcott ready to step in if/when one of those 2 hits the DL. Beltran is just keeping RF warm until Judge is ready, hopefully by mid-season 2016.
I still think they need to rid themselves of some of these contracts whether by release or trade and eat some of the payments if necessary.
Teix is ok. He is still a good player. Either ARod or Beltran need to go. As well as ARod did, he was dying past mid-August. Beltran can only DH. He just doesn't want to play RF. I think at this point he is the better batter now. He can still hit and hit for average.
Yanks Future - ( New Window )
If they don't want to eat the contracts, then next year will be a mirror of this year, except Boston will be in 2nd place...
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teams don't eat contracts like that because they're 100% guaranteed.
If they don't want to eat the contracts, then next year will be a mirror of this year, except Boston will be in 2nd place...
It's just not how things are done. Now the Ellsbury benching (coupled with Gardy's shitty ABs) and some of the rumors about tension between Ellsbury and Joe make me wonder if they wouldn't look to trade him. They'd have to eat a fuckload of money (probably high eight figures) but he might waive an NTC if the relationship has soured that much.
It's just not how things are done. Now the Ellsbury benching (coupled with Gardy's shitty ABs) and some of the rumors about tension between Ellsbury and Joe make me wonder if they wouldn't look to trade him. They'd have to eat a fuckload of money (probably high eight figures) but he might waive an NTC if the relationship has soured that much.
Yep, I know it is not done that way, usually. Just it is the only way out of this. Whether they sit home and collect or sit on the bench and non-produce they still get paid.
As for Ellsbury, could care less if he is here any more. He is no better than Gardy except at steals. But at 3xs the salary he's not likely to be moved.
I think of all the big contracts CCs is the worst. At this point he is at best a #4 or #5.
So basically, the 2016 team is likely to be identical to the 2015 team.
This was a poorly constructed roster, no one doubts that. It's Cashman's fault for most of it, it was probably management's fault for the rest. What we have to hope is that we get enough out of the veterans and enough out of the kids that they can be competitive over the next couple years.
I thought CC was ok, not good, after the DL and knee brace. Could he improve after getting healthy? Maybe so. The alcoholism had to rob him of some skills. But you'd be paying $25 mill for a #5.
These are the Players you can get something for.
Rotation Tanaka,Pineda,Evaldi,Severino,CC
I would add to this by picking up young lefty Chen from Baltimore and go 6 man rotation since our pitchers were all dead by Oct.
Shreve ran out of gas,you could see his velo and command fade as he threw more innings. He will be back.
Betances Miller Wilson is a great back end. Add Pazo Lingren
Not too many missing pieces in the pitching staff,
Tex Didi Mcann Murphy Arod Headley Elsbury are here Like it or not.
Bird has to play everyday to reach his potental.
That means AAA unless someone takes Tex.
2nd base is open Mateo is the future there but needs a few years. So you can get by with a Refsnyder till then but the team likes defense and Ref showed enough to be a very attractive trading piece. Short gap FA here or you can try Ackley.
Drew and Ryan should not be allowed back.
I would go after Zobreist in FA he can be the stop gap at 2nd can play RF and Even LF and Back up Didi or Hensley if he starts to suck again.
Bring up Judge for ST and see if he clicks
Cashman has to get some more offense use the players who are tradable and get some guys who can hit.
Hope Hal enjoys counting the money from last nights attendance because he wont see it again until he spends some money on the final pieces he needs.
Hello Cespedes
Pitching - provided it stays healthy - will keep the Yanks in the race next year. The bullpen should stay solid and that rotation is young and full of good arms.
Because he's terrible? Just spitballing.
I hope Pineda gets his shit together. 20 of his 27 starts were either 2 ERs or less or 5+ ERs.
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Because he's terrible? Just spitballing.
Yeah, that's what I would go with.
Pitching - provided it stays healthy - will keep the Yanks in the race next year. The bullpen should stay solid and that rotation is young and full of good arms.
It could be great or it could be a question mark. Severino should be good, though we've seen 9/1 call-ups struggle in the first full season. Tanaka hopefully can be counted on for a mid-3's ERA. Pineda has been up and down at times. CC is a question mark. The biggest question mark of all is Eovaldi, who missed time with elbow problems after ramping up to some of the highest average velocity in the league and after changing his approach at the behest of Rothschild. Maybe he comes back throwing bullets, or maybe the below is an ongoing problem.
I agree, would much rather see the awful Ellsbury go, but I'm not sure how realistic that is. There just isn't much flexibility to what Cashman can do with the offense now. Gardner is one of the few movable pieces.
Maybe they need to tell him 95/96 is good enough.....
Where does it lead? It leads to the same position players coming back next year. As Dune noted they are locked in at every spot except 2B with a big money contract that can't be moved unless they eat most of the money. The only time the Yankees have done that was with AJ Burnett.
The following guys can't be traded without their approval all have no trade contracts:
Arod 2 years 40 million
Teix 1 year 22.5 million
Ellsbury 5 years 110 million
McCann 3 years 51 million
Beltran 1 year 15 million
CC 2 years 50 million
Tanaka 5 years 111 million
The only MLB position players that could be traded if anyone wanted them are:
Ackley
Didi
JR Murphy
Gardner
Headley
Mitchell, Nova, Pineda, Eovaldi, Shreve, Martin, Wilson, Betances & Miller are tradable too.
Capauano, Drew, Young & Ryan come off the books for 20 million total.
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Because he's terrible? Just spitballing.
I was under the impression that Gardener was actually hitting much worse than Ellsbury. Was it a matchup-based decision?
Gotta hope he just wasn't healthy this season. Cause if he was mostly healthy and that's what we got...wow
Clearly, Gardner didn't do any of those things last night, but they wouldn't have gotten anything from Ellsbury either.
So, you can surmise that health played a part in his struggles. But when is the guy ever healthy for more than 6 weeks? He's like a baseball version of Beason - missed big chunks of almost every season he's been in MLB. Giving him a gigantic contract with the expectation that he'd stay healthy and productive in his 30s was a massive error.
Gardner: .276/.361/.400
Ellsbury: .253/.327/.325
Totals since September 1
Gardner: .198/.271/.321
Ellsbury: .202/.254/.246
Totals past seven games
Gardner: .238/.238/.238
Ellsbury: .118/.211/.235
LOHUD Yankees - ( New Window )
I would ask the Marlins how much of Arods salary they would be willing to pay for next year.
have to get Tex to DH With McCann Can get Bird and Murphy bats.
Beltran can be traded but not for much.
Joey Bats is a FA and could fill RF or even 3b at times.
I would ask the Marlins how much of Arods salary they would be willing to pay for next year.
have to get Tex to DH With McCann Can get Bird and Murphy bats.
Beltran can be traded but not for much.
Joey Bats is a FA and could fill RF or even 3b at times.
Some team would take Ellsbury chalking this season up as an aberration, which it was. But if other teams think you are desperate to get rid of a guy, they aren't going to fall all over themselves offering.
Joey Bats is 35. How much outfield gas do you think is in that tank?
1. Much improved with the knee brace.
2. Alcohol rehab.
No reason to sell low on CC imo.
One of the best CFs in baseball sucks...
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with the way this FO works, but I'd like to see them cut ties with CC. Oh, and fuck Gardy. Guy sucks.
One of the best CFs in baseball sucks...
in what world is Gardner one of the best CFs in baseball? He's not in the top 2 in NY. And when Ellsbury is healthy Gardner gets moved to LF. I like him, he's a gritty guy, but he's a 4th outfielder.
I agree, but apparently Girardi doesn't think so. I am not an Ellsbury fan.
as the gritty good defending speed guy with a great eye he was a good value batting like 9th... sometimes move him up. but at his pay now... hes no longer good value-- his ABs last night looked like a bad little leaguer.
In the beginning of the year, he was one of the key catalysts that kept the Yanks afloat and in 1st place.
I like the role he has right now - we need less of an albatross with some of the contracts out there for m ore $$ and for more inconsistent play.
They made the post season.
They won the wild card game on the road.
3-0. 66.6% of their runs were via home runs.
I'm also surprised nobody's really talking about Ellsbury not being at his locker for the reporters after the game. I won't be surprised one bit if this guy is gone this winter.
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In comment 12532102 Dave in Hoboken said:
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with the way this FO works, but I'd like to see them cut ties with CC. Oh, and fuck Gardy. Guy sucks.
One of the best CFs in baseball sucks...
in what world is Gardner one of the best CFs in baseball? He's not in the top 2 in NY. And when Ellsbury is healthy Gardner gets moved to LF. I like him, he's a gritty guy, but he's a 4th outfielder.
He's better than a 4th OF, he's proven that. Stop saying stupid shit, everybody.
in what world is Gardner one of the best CFs in baseball? He's not in the top 2 in NY. And when Ellsbury is healthy Gardner gets moved to LF. I like him, he's a gritty guy, but he's a 4th outfielder.
Ellsbury is in center because he doesn't play left. Joe moved Gardner to left after the trade because Gardner is more versatile than Ellsbury. Ellsbury is good and can cover ground. Gardner is better and he's one of the best defensive outfielders in baseball.
No shit, we all know the contracts are guaranteed. Sometimes you just have to eat them, since that is all you are doing with a cooked player even with the guy sitting on the bench. What is the difference if CC plays and has a 5.50 ERA or goes home and collects his check there. Actually at home he's not getting knocked out of the game in 3 innings and wasting a spot on the rotation. As for Beltran, he is useless as an outfielder, useless. I'm not sure his bat makes up for how much they lose having him in the outfield. If he was strictly a DH, that would be fine, but ARod is the DH and he costs a lot more.
But like Cashman said, they are not going away. We can only hope they go on the DL and another player takes their spot.
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In comment 12532309 section125 said:
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In comment 12532102 Dave in Hoboken said:
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with the way this FO works, but I'd like to see them cut ties with CC. Oh, and fuck Gardy. Guy sucks.
One of the best CFs in baseball sucks...
in what world is Gardner one of the best CFs in baseball? He's not in the top 2 in NY. And when Ellsbury is healthy Gardner gets moved to LF. I like him, he's a gritty guy, but he's a 4th outfielder.
He's better than a 4th OF, he's proven that. Stop saying stupid shit, everybody.
It's not stupid shit, it's fact. He isn't an everyday player mainly because he has shown that he wears down over the season and the numbers bear it out: career .283 1st half, .236 2nd half. He peaks in June (.328 career), falls off a cliff in July (.244) and descends from there (.229 in AUG, .227 in SEP) and (see link). And he will be 33 next year, so that will not improve. I like him and root for him. He's a gritty guy, but he isn't an everyday player.
Gardner stats - ( New Window )
Teixeira gets hurt every year. Bird will get plenty of time in the bigs next year and be the full time 1b in 2017
If they do trade some of the young guys who have shown they can play, I hope it is for younger, top end prospects who are a year or 2 away.
2017 is the target season. That's when this team comes full circle
I can't wait for the day this team is out from under the insane contracts. What is very scary though is they seemed to be against them starting with Cano and yet they brought in Ellsbury who everyone knew would be a disaster with that contract.
Going into 2016 the 25 man must be deeper so guys can sit and not wear down. At the deadline cashman got fucked Bc teams asked for the moon for bench guys. I don't think he was prepared for that. This is a GM who added chile Davis, strawberry, fielder etc during the season for garbage in years past
Automated ball and strike calls can't come soon enough for me.
Astros Had a Bigger Strike Zone - ( New Window )
You can't really DH him much thanks to ARod not playing the field at all and you're stuck with that contract for two more years. He's probably the full time DH again next year unless he's doing really poorly. I assume in 2017 they'll make him part time there. But either way, he's clogging up the spot in the near future. Tex and McCann won't get many reps there which they need, especially the latter. Beltran would be a perfect fit there but he'll be in RF again.
The team won't be able to move any of these contracts. The productive players have no trade clauses and the others just make way too much and would likely be hard to replace. I guess there's an outside chance that Headley can be moved if a team was desperate for a 3B and the Yanks ate most of the contract. But even if that happened, they probably get very little in return and who do you replace him with? Nobody on the roster is ready to play there and there aren't many decent options available.
The best they can do to upgrade the team in the offseason is to sign David Price. He would instantly be huge for the rotation and the bullpen but I don't think they spend that much money. If you can't sign him, you look to how you can address the lineup. The only real noteworthy guys are Cespedes (not happening), Justin Upton and Jason Heyward. Those two could have a small chance at happening. Upton because he's a right handed bat. He'd give you everything that Beltran doesn't. He has pop, he can steal some bases, he can play both RF and LF. The question is how much will he cost and are they willing to sign Beltran's (or Gardner's if you think they'll move him) replacement one year early. Heyward is nice because of his age, plays good defense, has a decent bat that still has potential. But he's yet another left handed bat. I still think he would fit nicely into the lineup but he'll probably get a big offer from someone. Judge should be the RF in 2017 but you can't count on it like it's a sure thing. Injuries happen, players fall off sometimes. But if he pans out like we all hope, even if you sign a guy this offseason, it doesn't hurt to have four good OFs. Especially if a few of them can play multiple positions like Gardner.
So in my opinion, it just comes down to whether or not they want to spend anything this offseason. If not, you're in the same position next year that you were this season. But it's probably a worse situation than this year since ARod, Beltran and Teixeira will be a year older and who knows how Tanaka's arm will be. Plus Bird probably won't be an everyday player unless Teix gets hurt but the other young guys like Murphy and Refsnyder should get plenty of time. Heathcott should take Young's backup OF spot but they really need another RH bat out there. He's always hurt anyway.
+1 Does Cashman have total say on contracts? That seems to be where he is vulnerable to criticism.
Chill brah.
Where did I say anything about releasing him? Players with bad deals get traded a heck of a lot more often than you seem to think. Prince Fielder? Vernon Wells? A-Rod?
And the "too many home runs" meme. People have been saying that for years, on this forum and others as well as all over talk radio. Both Kay and Francesca have talked about it ad nauseum going back to about 2010 or so.
Everyone needs to chill about bunting and all this other dead ball ERA stuff. The game isn't played that way any more and hasn't been in a long time. Front offices and analytics don't support giving outs away. Welcome to the 21st century. I'd recommend the book Moneyball. It came out 12 years ago but it may help you. Just an example of at least how far you can trace back the fact I'm telling you that nobody plays that kind of game any more. Do you watch any games besides the Yankees? No one does it. That isn't how the game is played in 2015. Sorry Honus Wagner and The Cobb ain't coming back.
I wonder if there's some kind of power struggle going on. This is the second time Cashman has said there's no place for Bird. Maybe he's just trying to convince Hal to let him deal Bird. Refsynder is another case. Its clear that Girardi doesn't like him. Hal does and maybe Cashman does. Maybe the order to play Ref came from the top. When Ref did play he finally produced.
There are some other things: The Sabathia announcement coming on the eve of the playoffs. Last year Cashman publicly critisized Girardi after the Pineda pine tar incident. Someone should have known Pineda was not legal. Shouldn't somebody have known Sabathia had a problem ? It doesn't make a difference now but it would have been a lot better if Sabathia has gone through rehab earlier in the year and be ready for the playoffs.
One more thing: The totally inexplicable move of bringing in Capuano into the last regular season game. Maybe I'm reading to much into it but about a decade ago George publicly criticised Joe Torre for something. The next day in another inexplicable move he batted Todd Ziele cleanup. That was the equivelent in that time of batting Stephan Drew cleanup. He was telling George "fuck you" . I remember thinking at the time that Torre might be gone in 24 hours.
The David Price deal that I brought up last night was Acevedo, Mateo and Judge for Price...word is Cashman said no
87 wins and WC-play in Loss in 2015
That's more than we expected at the start of the year, but we looked like a 92-95 win contender in the middle of the year.
We knew that we were going to deal with a down period. These past 3 seasons have been just that.
85 wins in '13
84 wins in '14
87 wins in '15
We've somehow avoided a 75 or less win year, and I think Girardi deserves more credit than he's getting for not letting this team completely tank a season (although we certainly tanked the end of this year).
I unfortunately see another 75-85 win mediocre-good but not good enough season in 2016. But I think once we get out of some of these awful contracts the team will look more legitimate by 2018 and maybe 2017 if things go right. Cashman must handle these next 2 off-seasons wisely, no $130M+ contracts to 30+ year olds and injury prone guys.
Just deal with it for another year or two, hopefully a couple of the young guys develop during this time and then in Year 3 we can build a contender.
Ellsbury... ugh. More than any other player, he's the guy that needs to step up. What a joke of a season from him.
The David Price deal that I brought up last night was Acevedo, Mateo and Judge for Price...word is Cashman said no
I think declining was the right call. What difference would Price have made if they couldn't hit worth a damn?
I'm all for throwing money at him this winter though.
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Spring Training 2016 þ@Draft2Dynasty 1h1 hour ago Fort Lauderdale, FL
The David Price deal that I brought up last night was Acevedo, Mateo and Judge for Price...word is Cashman said no
I think declining was the right call. What difference would Price have made if they couldn't hit worth a damn?
I'm all for throwing money at him this winter though.
Very good pitcher but he's going to be 30 and cost a shit-ton. Pass.
I know that's too much money to throw around but there is definitely such a thing as a quick fix in baseball.
CC gave us 4 very good season after we signed him from the ages of 28-32.
That's the Max amount of very good seasons I can see Price giving us. He's 30. Does it really make sense for this team to go all-in for 3-4 years of Price when we're probably going to be a pretender next year regardless of his presence?
I just don't want to repeat the same mistakes.
The David Price deal that I brought up last night was Acevedo, Mateo and Judge for Price...word is Cashman said no
True, Price is clearly in better shape which should help him. But they've always struck me as similar.
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Spring Training 2016 þ@Draft2Dynasty 1h1 hour ago Fort Lauderdale, FL
I think declining was the right call. What difference would Price have made if they couldn't hit worth a damn?
I'm all for throwing money at him this winter though.
Totally agree. It's doubtful Price alone would be been enough to win us the division....and let's say he pitches the WC game.....goes 7 IP, gives up 1 run and we lose 2-0.
Now we've given up Judge, Mateo and Acevdo for what?
Agreed that I'd love to sign him this winter....there's very little room for change in our lineup but there is always room to add another starting pitcher
And the Yanks can certainly fucking afford it.
What this team needs to figure out is whether or not they really want to be fiscally responsible or not. I know people get tired of me harping on Ellsbury, but nothing about that deal made any sense whatsoever. Either spend big or don't spend big. There are ways to make either approach work, but trying to rein in spending while also blowing a ton of money on an injury-prone slap hitting OF when you already have your own slap-hitting OF who makes much less money? What was the point?
I also don't really understand the whole "wait until 2017/2018 when the bad contracts are gone and then they can sign new guys and fix it" idea. What if there aren't many good players available that year? It might be like this offseason where there aren't that many star players available. And if there are, maybe other teams go apeshit with the contracts like Seattle did with Cano. It's not a guarantee they can rebuild whenever they feel like spending again. You make moves when you're able to and when it can help your team. And we know they're always able to. It's just a matter of how much they're trying to save right now. But they're the Yankees. I don't really want to hear about how tight money is from them. It's hard to feel sorry for them with all the money they rake in.
I think the Yanks will make a big trade this off-season but it won't involve many of the kids if any at all. Maybe Ref...
I don't know, maybe the Orioles if they can't sign Chris Davis or the Pirates if they want an upgrade on Pedro Alvarez - assuming the Pirates are willing to take on a salary like that, which they probably aren't.
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Spring Training 2016 þ@Draft2Dynasty 1h1 hour ago Fort Lauderdale, FL
The David Price deal that I brought up last night was Acevedo, Mateo and Judge for Price...word is Cashman said no
was that the initial ask or was that Detroit's final position after negotiating?
IDK, if I had it on better authority I would have linked it.
I don't know, maybe the Orioles if they can't sign Chris Davis or the Pirates if they want an upgrade on Pedro Alvarez - assuming the Pirates are willing to take on a salary like that, which they probably aren't.
The Nats had a hole and made sense but it looks like that'll be Zimm's permanent position.
I don't know, maybe the Orioles if they can't sign Chris Davis or the Pirates if they want an upgrade on Pedro Alvarez - assuming the Pirates are willing to take on a salary like that, which they probably aren't.
The only 'return' will be not having Tex on the books anymore.
I'm with you re: the halfway approach. Either blow it up or wait it out, don't try to go halfway. The Ellsbury contract was remarkably stupid, and they now are in the unenviable position where they have some youth they need to develop and some older guys who are just going to waste away. IMO, they have to bite the bullet, eat a lot of salary, and get rid of some of those guys, whether they like it or not.
That would make perfect sense, he is basically Chris Carter on steroids.
Headley: .259/.324/.369, 11 homers, trainwreck defense, 23 errors, 1.1 WAR. 31 years old, makes $13 mill.
Guh.....I've never liked Headley much, but I didn't think Solarte would keep playing well so I was fairly ambivalent about the deal. Looks awful in retrospect.
''Gabe came to Chicago and we discussed a lot of different combinations, a lot of different players,'' Peters said. ''Guidry was in the deal and out of the deal. Grich was mentioned, Nettles was discussed. We took a future approach; they took the immediate approach, and it paid off for them.''
Guidry was removed from the the package, Peters explained, because the Yankees already had agreed to give the Orioles three left-handed pitchers. ''It wasn't that they were that high on Guidry,'' Peters said. ''He was left-handed and they didn't want to give up any more left-handed pitching.''
When Peters and Paul were done with their shuffling and mixing and trading on the evening of June 15, the Orioles received McGregor, Martinez and Rudy May, all left-handed pitchers; Dempsey, the Yankees' backup catcher to Thurman Munson, and Dave Pagan, a right-handed pitcher. The Yankees got Holtzman and Doyle Alexander, two disgruntled starting pitchers; Elrod Hendricks, an aging catcher; Grant Jackson, a journeyman relief pitcher, and Jim Freeman, a minor league pitcher.
At $213 million, the Yankees already are well over the $189 million luxury tax threshold before completing the roster and paying the roughly $12 million that each team is charged for benefits. That leaves their tax at 50 percent, which means paying Price $30 million a year (at least what he will get) would be $45 million annually for the Yankees.
I hope is GMing his wrong but it's probably not far off from what they'll try and do.
How to fix the Yankees, with trades and free agents - ( New Window )
For example, Carlos Beltran's deal expires after next season (2016). His replacement will likely be Aaron Judge. However, as Judge demonstrated in his time at AAA, his development is not complete. He still needs to work on off-speed pitches and locating "his" pitch to hit and not the pitch the pitcher wants him to swing at. However, he will likely be ready later in 2016.
One of Refsynder or Pirela will be ready and able to take over 2B. Sure, people throw out Ackley's name, but I think they use his elsewhere- to be discussed below. Drew is going to be gone, and I hope Ryan goes too.
Didi will be the SS for the next couple years and really is part of the solution.
Headley was HORRIBLE at 3B- but is signed for the next 3 years. The Yanks have little choice but to play him in 2016 and hope that his defense recovers and that the second half of 2014 was the real player and not a major contract drive. If, and that is an almost impossible if, Headley were to be traded, a small possibility might be Ackley here- the M's talked about it a while back, but then went with Seager, which was the right choice.
Bird will go to the minors to start 2016 unless they trade Tex. Tex has a no-trade, but might be able to be convinced to go closer to "home" (he was born and raised near Annapolis, MD)- but that is really not very likely. What IS likely however, is that Tex will spend part of the year injured, which will give more time to Bird.
I think the biggest change possibility is LF. Gardner is a complementary player- meaning he's a nice starter in CF or LF on a team with established stars- but he is not a star. However, given the number of big money clubs who expect to be competitive in 2016 who have OF issues (the Cubs, Dodgers, Giants, Nats just as a few) could make him a nice trade piece this winter if the return was a couple of good prospects (not likely to be top 50 prospects, but one top 100 plus a good upside guy might be reasonable). Why talk about trading him? Because THIS could be where Ackley ends up, perhaps in a platoon with a righty bat. Add in that with the Yanks having Williams, Heathcott and maybe Gamel as ML ready OF- and all similar to Gardner and Ellsbury, someone has to go. May as well sell while he still has value.
Ellsbury's contract is just not tradeable, unless the Cubs fall a game short of the WS or the Dodgers don't make the WS and the blame falls on the lack of a leadoff CF type and the GM feels heat on their job- but since those are unlikely scenarios, I think the Yanks fans need to get used to seeing Ellsbury for 4 more years.
At C, McCann had a good first half, bad second half. However, Murphy showed signs he could be a good C in his won right. Immediately behind him is Gary Sanchez who could be an offensive force himself.in AAA. McCann isn't going anywhere in 2016- but when Beltran and Tex's deals expire- and if the Yanks can trade ARod after 2016, he could move to DH while the Yanks move Sanchez behind the plate.
Coming up fast as some good middle INF guys- Mateo is probably 2 years away- and could be a SS or 2B, depending what they need when he gets there.
In the SP category, the Yanks had some guys who really moved through the system in 2015 and could either be good trade pieces or options in later 2016- Rookie Davis is a big guy with power, Hebert is a lefty who is more finesse- but gets the job done, Chase Whitley will return from TJ sometime in mid-late 2016, Brady Lail moved from low-A in early 2014 to AAA by the end of 2015. He struggled in AAA, but could be a replacement to Nova in the back of the rotation in 2016 if he can make the adjustments.
There IS talent coming. Personally, I think the Yanks intended to have 2015 be a year where they played out the string much like 2014. The result was surprising. I doubt they repeat in 2016- I suspect a year closer to 2014 than 2015. Still, that will make the changeover to Bird and Judge, as well as some of the younger P more palatable to fans- in Yankee-land, change is good when you lose.
I am willing to wait for the contracts to come off the books before making bigger moves for the team to contend.