six games or we could just as easily lose all six games.
I don't see anyone on our remaining sked that I am scared of yet I know we could just as easily lose each game. Frankly, I think 8-8 wins the division although I would like to see us win as many as we can. The team to fear is Dallas, with Romo back. They need to run the table and, at worst, can afford one loss.
But, getting back to my original point, if we played Carolina in Carolina that would concern me but playing them here at home, in December, is an advantage for us.
Washington at home, as Eric pointed out, is a different team but they are one of those teams we seem to play well against and no question we seem to have Kirk Cousins' number. Watched Minny yesterday and was not impressed and they were at home. You stop Pederson and they don't have much after that. The Jets seem to be following their pattern of starting off good and then falling back to the pack or worse. Realistically, they do not have a quarterback and eventually that kills you. And Miami is another team that is easily beatable. I can't believe they gave all that money to Tannehill although I know most of it is not guaranteed.
Lastly, Philly...a team we should beat but a team that seems to play well against us, as we do against Washington. So who knows there really...might well depend on the situation at that time.
To sum up...reasons to be positive but just as many to be pessimistic. I am anxious to see if Nicks can have an impact...something inside tells me he has something to prove but don't quote me on that.
"But, getting back to my original point, if we played Carolina in Carolina that would concern me but playing them here at home, in December, is an advantage for us. "
Giants must win on Sunday vs Washington. Just stay healthy. Things will take care of themselves.
Coughlin Giants, final 6 games regular season, by season:
2014: 3-3
2013: 3-3
2012: 3-3
2011: 3-3
2010: 4-2
2009: 2-4
2008: 3-3
2007: 3-3
2006: 2-4
2005: 4-2
2004: 1-5
Back into playoffs.
Run table.
Beat Brady again on last Superbowl drive, keyed by HUGE Manning completion.
I actually expect Dallas will win, but they will lose at least one more.
100% they do. I couldnt watch NFL network all week because of that smiling jack idiot being back at qb for them. Pretty sure I saw breaking news that he drank out of a red starbucks cup
But I do agree that the next three are the most winnable left on the schedule. Minny is not as good as people think and I would be shocked if Carolina goes unbeaten.
Honestly I think Philly's season is Thanksgiving. If they can't circle the wagons and win that one they are headed for a 5 or 6 win season. Detroit has actually played much better the past month. If Philly loses that one there is no way Kelly holds that thing together. He just doesn't have the NFL experience or respect in that room. This Sunday is so huge. If we win it there's a lot of work left to be done, but I think we would be on our way.
If that happens this team may be peaking and may very well win them all. The NFC is so wide open it is ridiculous. The Giants must get into the dance.
The NFL is so watered down the Giants could flame out or go on to win it all again against all odds. Who knows.
I actually expect Dallas will win, but they will lose at least one more.
B) Much more likely that we are 8-8 team, and
C) 8-8 might be enough to get in as long as they beat Skins and Philly as part of it.
D) Skins is an absolute must win IMO
New England was a scarier matchup than Carolina and we saw what happened.
Thanks Nostradamus
:-)
Redskins 7-9
Eagles 6-10
Cowboys 5-11
The NFC to say the LEAST. Pretty awesome year for the Giants to be the Giants, before the season I saw the Giants where I predict the Eagles or Cowboys will be. And it is an absolute joke that anyone would have the Cowboys favored over the Panthers on Thanksgiving. It is truly a reflection of hype and fandom and Vegas trying to get all idiotic Americans to believe the Cowboys can compete with the Panthers. Tony Romo is a good QB, but he is breaking down physically, and he never was, and is not now, the QB that Cam Newton is now. He is the MVP of the league and I don't see that changing. Of course Brady is very much in the discussion, and he will win it if they go undefeated, but if they both continue on the pace they are on now, and they both lose say 2 games, I think Cam deserves the MVP, an Romo is not near that level. Cant wait to see Michael Irvin's tears when the Cowboys go 2-4 for the remainder of the season, not because they are bad, but because they play some good teams and most on the road. If Romo didn't get hurt the Cowboys would at least be tied with the Giants right now, but he didn't.
Coughlin Giants, final 6 games regular season, by season:
2014: 3-3
2013: 3-3
2012: 3-3
2011: 3-3
2010: 4-2
2009: 2-4
2008: 3-3
2007: 3-3
2006: 2-4
2005: 4-2
2004: 1-5
hes definitely a 3-3 guy gotta do better this year Tom
The OP's basic premise, that each game is essentially a coin flip, is crude but not unreasonable. The fallacy lies in the likelihood of six coin-flips having any specific sequence of results.
Ignoring for the moment the relative difficulty of games against e.g. Miami and Carolina, "LLLLLL" and "WWWWWW" have the same probability: 1 in 64. So do "WLLLLL", "LWLLLL", "LLWLLL", "LLLWLL", "LLLLWL", and "LLLLLW"; the last six sequences, however, all produce the same 6-10 finish.
To make a long story short, if each game is truly an independent 50-50 proposition, the likelihood of the Giants finishing between 7-9 and 9-7 (inclusive) is very high: a little over 78%; 50 of 64 possible combinations produce a record in that range. Expand the range to include 6-10 and 10-6, and the probability is nearly 97%, or 62 of 64 possible scenarios.
In conclusion, the OP's assertion that the Giants could easily either win all their remaining games or lose them all is statistically unsound. The only way to salvage this hypothesis is to posit that the games are not independent - i.e., either that the result of each game makes subsequent similar results more likely, or that the results of all remaining games will be swayed in the same direction by certain common factors, such as injuries. That's probably true - for example, if Eli gets KO'd at FedEx, the likelihood of an 0-6 finish skyrockets. But I don't think it's what the OP meant. Parenthetically, that's also the reason 5-11 is more likely than 11-5: more events can be envisioned that increase the likelihood of losing all the games than winning them all.