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NFT: Brexit- Spoilers inside!

glowrider : 6/24/2016 12:02 am
Independence they declare! Brexit wins.
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DT is, in many ways...  
Dunedin81 : 6/25/2016 11:27 am : link
the voice of white Appalachia, which is of course ironic because of his origins. Whether you think they do a good job of it or not, politicians (particularly Democrats) court poor voters of color. Their policies, effective or not, are aimed at addressing their perceived woes. And both parties court wealthy, educated voters of all colors. But the Democrats haven't had a politician of consequence from Appalachia since Edwards, maybe since Clinton, and frankly identity politics is a slap in the face to those who don't feel themselves especially "privileged." The ordinary Republicans have little more than platitudes to offer them too. I don't like the phenomenon, but I think we underestimate it at our peril. And of course Appalachia isn't a geographic phenomenon, there are pockets of Appalachia from Maine to Idaho and Florida out to California.

Brexit had much to do with the assuming away of those people, that they would vote not at all or for the Labour or Tory pols they had long supported and the Remain vote their leadership advocated.
RE: RE: It's not just about Nationalism  
Dunedin81 : 6/25/2016 11:32 am : link
In comment 13008792 AP in Halfmoon said:
Quote:
In comment 13008569 buford said:


Quote:


The elites have failed. They want to claim that if the people vote for more independence and say in their future that it will be a disaster. Well, who has caused the conditions we have today that resulted in this vote? The very elites that are now warning us if we don't let them continue down their path, it will be a disaster.

And while immigration was one aspect, it's more than that. The refugee crisis is not immigration. The UK did not want to be flooded with refugees as the rest of Europe has been, and absorb all of the problems that it caused. I can't blame them for that. Look into what is going on in Calais and tell me that is just normal immigration.



Well if want to go to root causes, the refugee crisis was caused in part due our and the UKs disastrous foreign policies. If you don't like refugees, stop contributing to cause. Maybe stop invading and intervening in foreign countries


Of course the refugee crisis owed much to a pusillanimous foreign policy from 2009 on, but don't let facts get in the way of a good story.
Great AP  
buford : 6/25/2016 11:40 am : link
you've gone from calling people racist to saying 'well, it's all your fault anyway'. Very constructive.
RE: DT is, in many ways...  
buford : 6/25/2016 11:42 am : link
In comment 13008813 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
the voice of white Appalachia, which is of course ironic because of his origins. Whether you think they do a good job of it or not, politicians (particularly Democrats) court poor voters of color. Their policies, effective or not, are aimed at addressing their perceived woes. And both parties court wealthy, educated voters of all colors. But the Democrats haven't had a politician of consequence from Appalachia since Edwards, maybe since Clinton, and frankly identity politics is a slap in the face to those who don't feel themselves especially "privileged." The ordinary Republicans have little more than platitudes to offer them too. I don't like the phenomenon, but I think we underestimate it at our peril. And of course Appalachia isn't a geographic phenomenon, there are pockets of Appalachia from Maine to Idaho and Florida out to California.

Brexit had much to do with the assuming away of those people, that they would vote not at all or for the Labour or Tory pols they had long supported and the Remain vote their leadership advocated.


Not a DT fan, but at least he seems to 'get it'. Maybe it's the manner of speech or just not being of the political elite, but people are responding. Flyover America getting its revenge.
I find the elitism stuff annoying  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/25/2016 12:08 pm : link
You have people who support policies (and candidates) like restricting trade, limiting immigration, nationalism building walls, etc, etc. People claim they're sick of the "elites". That doesn't mean those policies are correct or even in their best interest. Those so called elites just happen to be right in many cases.
.  
Bill2 : 6/25/2016 12:22 pm : link
If you don't have a believable vision for better times ahead and the path you are selling does not take into account growing realities. ..then you are an elite not a leader.

The answer given by elites on immigration does not sound sustainable.

You know this by extrapolating the future of the century on only two dimensions:

Water and Arable land.

All the rest is talking stuff. Europe has food and water. The Me increasingly has more people and less water. Extend the trend 20, 30, 40, 50 years.

The elites are right?

I grant their not be any good answers. But the elites are leading? Or selling?

Again that's a guess at what goes through people's minds if I was sitting in a row house in Manchester.
Well,  
ctc in ftmyers : 6/25/2016 12:24 pm : link
right back to American politics.

Only took 6 pages pretty good discussion.

Lets try to keep on subject.
It's going to be a very rough century to be a leader  
Bill2 : 6/25/2016 12:34 pm : link
It's at least 100 years of tight resources. Tough to show people a better life when the future has no tailwind and for some there are significant headwinds on the basics.

Last guy to be right that the future was going to hold less growth and require lower expectations was despised for it. Who follows someone who says the future is less?

People want hope not truth. But if you sell them hope but instead they sense the truth is too far a gap to promise...then they reject you.

People are funny and times are strange
Barilko's trust  
Rob in CT/NYC : 6/25/2016 12:37 pm : link
In the ruling class given the outcomes of the last 30 years is perplexing, to say the least.
RE: I find the elitism stuff annoying  
Big Al : 6/25/2016 12:38 pm : link
In comment 13008851 AP in Halfmoon said:
Quote:
You have people who support policies (and candidates) like restricting trade, limiting immigration, nationalism building walls, etc, etc. People claim they're sick of the "elites". That doesn't mean those policies are correct or even in their best interest. Those so called elites just happen to be right in many cases.
You a fan of Robert Frost?

"I see him there
Bringing a stone grasped firmly by the top
In each hand, like an old-stone savage armed.
He moves in darkness as it seems to me~
Not of woods only and the shade of trees.
He will not go behind his father's saying,
And he likes having thought of it so well
He says again, "Good fences make good neighbors.""
Rob  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/25/2016 1:00 pm : link
I certainly don't trust the "other side".

Al, was he in the Game of Thrones?
Bill  
Bill2 : 6/25/2016 1:15 pm : link
They are both mobs.

One seems more organized
Maybe one root problem to economic globalism...  
M.S. : 6/25/2016 1:16 pm : link
...is that home country governments did not properly plan ahead of time to help support/subsidize/re-train displaced workers. Ironically, that sort of centralized planning is anathema to the self-same business people and economists who supported Globalism. It's as if they swallowed hook, line and sinker the idea that the Magic Hand of Adam Smith would miraculously solve the woes of all the unemployed. But, maybe, what was really needed was a heavy dose of government intervention.
Holy crap. Yet again, what a load of hogwash  
kicker : 6/25/2016 1:18 pm : link
portrayed as some insight.

There is nothing that is correct in that paragraph of economic vomit.
RE: Rob  
Big Al : 6/25/2016 1:18 pm : link
In comment 13008908 AP in Halfmoon said:
Quote:
I certainly don't trust the "other side".

Al, was he in the Game of Thrones?
The bastard son of Hodor.
PLEASE  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 6/25/2016 1:27 pm : link
keep politics off this thread people.

How do you know when you are crossing the line? Naming U.S. politicians.
RE: This McArdle column isn't perfect  
Reb8thVA : 6/25/2016 1:54 pm : link
In comment 13008473 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
But it gets to the point I've been trying to make fairly well.



Quote:


Somehow, over the last half-century, Western elites managed to convince themselves that nationalism was not real. Perhaps it had been real in the past, like cholera and telegraph machines, but now that we were smarter and more modern, it would be forgotten in the due course of time as better ideas supplanted it.

That now seems hopelessly naive. People do care more about people who are like them -- who speak their language, eat their food, share their customs and values. And when elites try to ignore those sentiments -- or banish them by declaring that they are simply racist -- this doesnt make the sentiments go away. It makes the non-elites suspect the elites of disloyalty. For though elites may find something vaguely horrifying about saying that you care more about people who are like you than you do about people who are culturally or geographically further away, the rest of the population is outraged by the never-stated corollary: that the elites running things feel no greater moral obligation to their fellow countrymen than they do to some random stranger in another country. And perhaps we can argue that this is the morally correct way to feel -- but if it is truly the case, you can see why ordinary folks would be suspicious about allowing the elites to continue to exercise great power over their lives.

Link - ( New Window )


The most amusing thing for me is that there is almost nothing more Marxist than the idea that economic interest trump nationalism and it's an idea that has been routinely proven wrong. On the eve of World War I all the major socialist parties of Europe pledged not to fight in a war that was clearly aimed at stalling the workers revolution and perpetuating the capitalist system, yet they did.
Reb, Greg,  
Bill2 : 6/25/2016 2:44 pm : link
Significant part of many problems. Banking elites especially forgot that nations are the largest social yet governable organizing entities yet found amongst humans.

It used to be that capital was not so boundaryless. But global free flow of capital has proven to have very very uneven disruptive impacts on labor and average person per nation.

average as in no access to promote slanted popular opinion but come vote time

Now are religions organizing entities or educational entities? In the west we answered that question under duress and over centuries.
RE: Maybe one root problem to economic globalism...  
buford : 6/25/2016 4:30 pm : link
In comment 13008944 M.S. said:
Quote:
...is that home country governments did not properly plan ahead of time to help support/subsidize/re-train displaced workers. Ironically, that sort of centralized planning is anathema to the self-same business people and economists who supported Globalism. It's as if they swallowed hook, line and sinker the idea that the Magic Hand of Adam Smith would miraculously solve the woes of all the unemployed. But, maybe, what was really needed was a heavy dose of government intervention.


How about less government in the form of crony capitalism that rewards companies that shift jobs overseas (after the government has convinced some of the population that the over taxation and regulation is in their best interest, but only serves to drive said jobs elsewhere). They take with two hands and then pretend to give back what was ours originally with one.
Another economic diarrhea post  
kicker : 6/25/2016 4:33 pm : link
...
RE: Reb, Greg,  
Percy : 6/25/2016 5:18 pm : link
In comment 13009023 Bill2 said:
Quote:
Significant part of many problems. Banking elites especially forgot that nations are the largest social yet governable organizing entities yet found amongst humans.

The banking elites also seem to have concluded that, in all important ways, they were running the governments of those nations and, in the end, could feed off their ability to tax. People generally have become tired of that.

Quote:
Now are religions organizing entities or educational entities? In the west we answered that question under duress and over centuries.

Very painfully, and only by showing up the establishment as corrupt and splintering what was in place at the outset as rulers with armies eventually won out over popes and their imitators who lacked them. In the ME they still seem to be organizing entities, perhaps because of what is built into their texts and their confused, internally murderous history and culture.
Buford  
XBRONX : 6/25/2016 5:31 pm : link
You speak the truth,
RE: RE: Reb, Greg,  
ctc in ftmyers : 6/25/2016 5:50 pm : link
In comment 13009097 Percy said:
Quote:
In comment 13009023 Bill2 said:


Quote:


Significant part of many problems. Banking elites especially forgot that nations are the largest social yet governable organizing entities yet found amongst humans.


The banking elites also seem to have concluded that, in all important ways, they were running the governments of those nations and, in the end, could feed off their ability to tax. People generally have become tired of that.



Quote:


Now are religions organizing entities or educational entities? In the west we answered that question under duress and over centuries.


Very painfully, and only by showing up the establishment as corrupt and splintering what was in place at the outset as rulers with armies eventually won out over popes and their imitators who lacked them. In the ME they still seem to be organizing entities, perhaps because of what is built into their texts and their confused, internally murderous history and culture.


What my thoughts have been for a time.

Growing a global society while trying to merge different societies is the biggest obstacle.

I'm not talking purely the middle east but cultures around the world.

Should 3rd world societies that still espouse 13th and 14th century views be expected to readily assimilate into Ist world 22nd century societal views without push back?

I don't think so.

It's way above my pay grade and expertise and I have no offer what an easy solution or a solution is.

Not had to figure out what the problem is.

What to do, that's the dilemma.
RE: RE: RE: Reb, Greg,  
Percy : 6/25/2016 6:58 pm : link
In comment 13009121 ctc in ftmyers said:
Quote:
In comment 13009097 Percy said:


Quote:


In comment 13009023 Bill2 said:


Quote:


Significant part of many problems. Banking elites especially forgot that nations are the largest social yet governable organizing entities yet found amongst humans.


The banking elites also seem to have concluded that, in all important ways, they were running the governments of those nations and, in the end, could feed off their ability to tax. People generally have become tired of that.



Quote:


Now are religions organizing entities or educational entities? In the west we answered that question under duress and over centuries.


Very painfully, and only by showing up the establishment as corrupt and splintering what was in place at the outset as rulers with armies eventually won out over popes and their imitators who lacked them. In the ME they still seem to be organizing entities, perhaps because of what is built into their texts and their confused, internally murderous history and culture.



What my thoughts have been for a time.

Growing a global society while trying to merge different societies is the biggest obstacle.

I'm not talking purely the middle east but cultures around the world.

Should 3rd world societies that still espouse 13th and 14th century views be expected to readily assimilate into Ist world 22nd century societal views without push back?

I don't think so.

It's way above my pay grade and expertise and I have no offer what an easy solution or a solution is.

Not had to figure out what the problem is.

What to do, that's the dilemma.

Not that I have any new solution to suggest, but you might want to take a look at just how Charlemagne went about it in the case of the Saxons.
3.2M Brits  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/26/2016 8:37 pm : link
Already signed the petition for Regretix
Finding a way to scam out of the referendum result  
Dunedin81 : 6/26/2016 9:06 pm : link
Would just reinforce what everyone has long said about Europeanization, which is that it is anti-democratic and that its proponents are more than willing to ignore the electorate.
I assume they want to follow the process  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/26/2016 9:08 pm : link
For another referendum.
RE: 3.2M Brits  
section125 : 6/26/2016 9:11 pm : link
In comment 13010121 AP in Halfmoon said:
Quote:
Already signed the petition for Regretix


Great, you could get 100 mill to recall Obama... but with 120 are pro-Obama.

Probably 3.2 mill that voted to stay anyway.

BTW, is it a binding referendum? Since treaties are approved and signed by Parliament (?), couldn't they ignore the vote?
17+ million voted to leave, 16 million or so to stay  
PatersonPlank : 6/26/2016 9:14 pm : link
3m is not a lot.Its likely that 3m is only part of the 16 million who voted to stay anyway.
Just reporting it  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/26/2016 9:21 pm : link
I wouldn't be surprised to see another vote.
RE: Finding a way to scam out of the referendum result  
Overseer : 6/26/2016 10:06 pm : link
In comment 13010175 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Would just reinforce what everyone has long said about Europeanization, which is that it is anti-democratic and that its proponents are more than willing to ignore the electorate.

Is it anti-democratic?

The British people over the years elected the politicians who Europeanized their country. Is there evidence these politicians did so illegally?

No, they should not find a way to invalidate the results; that would be both unwise and impractical. But that does not mean the referendum wasnt a stupid fucking stunt in the first place, contrary to the idea and traditions of their established modern system of government. Regrexit is a perfect example of why the whims of the masses should not decide public policy. If they wanted out of the EU, then elect politicians who will chart such a course. Transformational elections are all the ragelook how close Hofer came to winning in Austria. Boring old Austria

Id imagine many Americans sympathetic to the Leavers would take issue with the fact that the United States funds nearly of NATO (headquartered where? Why Brussels, of course). Perhaps this contingent could swell enough support to prompt a national referendum on whether to pull out of this globalized military and instead spend the money domestically on infrastructure or on the Pentagon.

That would be ridiculous.

If military experts and Commanders in Chief (properly versed in the politics of the Korean peninsula, the Senkaku Islands, Ukraine, etc.) are proving inept, vote in a CiC who will chart an alternative course. We may yet in November

If you have a problem with this dynamic, take it up with Madison.
petition  
J : 6/26/2016 10:10 pm : link
so what -- what says those 3.2million aren't people who voted remain in the first place?
RE: Just reporting it  
Percy : 6/26/2016 10:10 pm : link
In comment 13010196 AP in Halfmoon said:
Quote:
I wouldn't be surprised to see another vote.

Scotland has yet to be heard from in a serious way. Are the Brits going to blow up what's left on the basis of a slender majority vote?
I will be more than  
Rob in CT/NYC : 6/26/2016 10:23 pm : link
A little impressed when Overseer whips out his "whims of the masses" the next time someone suggests that 90% of Americans support "common sense" gun regulation.

I suspect he will be intellectually honest given his posting history, but he will be one of the few.
I love Scotland...  
Dunedin81 : 6/26/2016 10:45 pm : link
but if they hold their second independence referendum in a couple years I wonder if the average Englishman would sooner see them bugger off. At the ballot box the two countries have quite different political preferences and have for 40 years. England voted for Leave by 6.8%, Wales by a full 5%. Even Northern Ireland was significantly closer than Scotland. If Scotland wants independence cool, but the rump GB, if it wanted to, could exact at least as dear a cost as the EU wants to exact from the UK for the exit, including a significant share of the oil revenue.
RE: I love Scotland...  
Percy : 6/26/2016 11:12 pm : link
In comment 13010289 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but if they hold their second independence referendum in a couple years I wonder if the average Englishman would sooner see them bugger off. At the ballot box the two countries have quite different political preferences and have for 40 years. England voted for Leave by 6.8%, Wales by a full 5%. Even Northern Ireland was significantly closer than Scotland. If Scotland wants independence cool, but the rump GB, if it wanted to, could exact at least as dear a cost as the EU wants to exact from the UK for the exit, including a significant share of the oil revenue.

Well, it's a lot to just say "bugger off" to such a large chunk. But you make a good point about their differing points of views, especially with oil priced as it is at the moment.
A bizarre digressive post  
Overseer : 6/26/2016 11:21 pm : link
and sarcasm at the end, no doubt. But inaccurate if so.

I am broken-record consistent on the point that public policy should be decided by elected politicians, very small scale localized matters perhaps excepted (but even then...). Direct democracy is far more often than not a catastropheone that often unfolds insidiously. Brown, e.g., has done a serviceable job cleaning up California but it was a house of horrors when he took over largely due to a conveyor belt of whimsical and mostly discordant referendums.

The representative kind is overall inarguably the least bad system. Ideally the non-venal sort (#campaign finance reform) but beggars...

And theres nothing wrong with referencing polling in order to bolster one's case...the cited poll is correct, and noteworthy. But only to influence policy makers (who, yes, should certainly observe their constituents preferences). Not to set policy. Youve conflated the two.

Yeah, direct democracy may work out here & there short & long-term Im happy weed is legal in certain states (inhale) but with ghastly trade-offs.
RE: petition  
sphinx : 6/26/2016 11:22 pm : link
In comment 13010238 J said:
Quote:
so what -- what says those 3.2million aren't people who voted remain in the first place?

The "funny" part is that it seems it was a "leave" petition at the onset ...
Quote:
Oliver Healey - English Democrats
21 hrs
***CAN I HAVE YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE!!!***
Dear All
Re: EU Referendum Rules triggering a 2nd EU Referendum petition
This petition was created at a time (over a month ago) when it was looking unlikely that 'leave' were going to win, with the intention of making it harder for 'remain' to further shackle us to the EU. Due to the result, the petition has been hijacked by the remain campaign. Admittedly, my actions were premature however, my intentions were as stated above. THERE WAS NO GUARANTEE OF A LEAVE VICTORY AT THAT TIME!!! Having said that, if it had not been mine, it would have been orchestrated by someone on the remain campaign. However, since I am associated with the petition and before the press further associate me with it I felt the need to better clarify my position on the issue even if it looks bad. I am it's creator, nothing more! The logistical probability of getting a turnout to be a minimum of 75% and of that, 60% of the vote must be one or the other (leave or remain) is in my opinion next to impossible without a compulsory element to the voting system.

continued ... - ( New Window )
RE: RE: 3.2M Brits  
sphinx : 6/26/2016 11:36 pm : link
In comment 13010185 section125 said:
Quote:

BTW, is it a binding referendum?

No, it is not.

Highly unlikely the 3.2 entire million...  
manh george : 6/26/2016 11:50 pm : link
is only people who wanted to stay.

There is also at least a moderate-sized "oh shit" crowd who were not aware that this would be treated as binding, or who have come to see some problems with leaving that they didn't see before the vote.

How many in those categories? I have no idea. It's not zero. But, it probably doesn't matter, either. It appears to be irrevocable.

Meanwhile, much of the rest of the EU appears to be in the "what's your hurry, here's your hat" camp.
RE: RE: Finding a way to scam out of the referendum result  
njm : 6/27/2016 8:47 am : link
In comment 13010232 Overseer said:
Quote:
Id imagine many Americans sympathetic to the Leavers would take issue with the fact that the United States funds nearly of NATO (headquartered where? Why Brussels, of course). Perhaps this contingent could swell enough support to prompt a national referendum on whether to pull out of this globalized military and instead spend the money domestically on infrastructure or on the Pentagon.



Pretty weak analogy. NATO places no limits on the US with respect to the use of it's military. It also sets no requirements with respect to force levels, type of equipment used and how that equipment is manufactured and procured (although the US could certainly use some advice re: procurement). The fact that much of NATO falls below the amount of military funding they're supposed to have means that NATO is weaker than it should be, but in no way places limits on the US with respect to freedom of action.
Of course its not perfectly analogous  
Overseer : 6/27/2016 9:20 am : link
But that wasnt my point.

The point was that, if we were to pull out of NATO, it would be absurd to do so via a national referendum. The leaders of our country who weve elected should make the decision yay or nay.
.  
sphinx : 6/27/2016 10:46 am : link
The Associated Press ‏@AP 4 minutes ago

BREAKING: Cameron: UK will not trigger formal EU exit talks at this stage.



RE: .  
njm : 6/27/2016 11:33 am : link
In comment 13010704 sphinx said:
Quote:
The Associated Press @AP 4 minutes ago

BREAKING: Cameron: UK will not trigger formal EU exit talks at this stage.




That was totally expected. He'll leave the negotiating to the new PM as the negotiations will rum well past the election for a new PM.
Weird twist in the Brexit Petition  
PatersonPlank : 6/27/2016 11:53 am : link
Turns out it was started before the election by a "Leave" supporter who was convinced Remain would win. This was an attempt to stop it, but now the Remain supporters have hijacked it. Also they have eliminated around 100K signatures which were fraudulent.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: DT is, in many ways...  
HomerJones45 : 6/27/2016 2:14 pm : link
In comment 13008813 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
the voice of white Appalachia, which is of course ironic because of his origins. Whether you think they do a good job of it or not, politicians (particularly Democrats) court poor voters of color. Their policies, effective or not, are aimed at addressing their perceived woes. And both parties court wealthy, educated voters of all colors. But the Democrats haven't had a politician of consequence from Appalachia since Edwards, maybe since Clinton, and frankly identity politics is a slap in the face to those who don't feel themselves especially "privileged." The ordinary Republicans have little more than platitudes to offer them too. I don't like the phenomenon, but I think we underestimate it at our peril. And of course Appalachia isn't a geographic phenomenon, there are pockets of Appalachia from Maine to Idaho and Florida out to California.

Brexit had much to do with the assuming away of those people, that they would vote not at all or for the Labour or Tory pols they had long supported and the Remain vote their leadership advocated.
Not just Appalachia. There is plenty of devastation in places like Rome, Utica, Ansonia, Seymour, Bristol, Waterbury, Youngstown. And it is more than "pockets". Whole swathes have been affected.
John Oliver's Hillariously Profane Reaction To The BREXIT vote  
Gary from The East End : Admin : 6/27/2016 11:22 pm : link
This is the bast reaction to the vote result I've seen so far.
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver: Brexit Update - ( New Window )
RE: John Oliver's Hillariously Profane Reaction To The BREXIT vote  
Sarcastic Sam : 6/27/2016 11:31 pm : link
In comment 13011966 Gary from The East End said:
Quote:
This is the bast reaction to the vote result I've seen so far. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver: Brexit Update - ( New Window )


Ah, John Oliver. Proof positive that an idiot comedian will sound smart as long as he uses a British accent.
RE: John Oliver's Hillariously Profane Reaction To The BREXIT vote  
Percy : 6/28/2016 8:46 am : link
In comment 13011966 Gary from The East End said:
Quote:
This is the bast reaction to the vote result I've seen so far. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver: Brexit Update - ( New Window )

Enormously enjoyable. Thanks!
And then there's this  
AP in Halfmoon : 6/28/2016 9:48 am : link
I was listening to Boston Public Radio this morning. The state is blaming Brexit, in part, for next years deficit claiming they will see less revenue from capital gains.
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