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NFT: Brexit- Spoilers inside!

glowrider : 6/24/2016 12:02 am
Independence they declare! Brexit wins.
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Interesting how Scotland is firmly intent on remaining  
Ten Ton Hammer : 6/24/2016 12:14 am : link
while there's a lot of support for leaving in England.

I wonder why.
Pound is off 13% against the dollar  
glowrider : 6/24/2016 12:27 am : link
Markets not looking good
Little England  
Ash_3 : 6/24/2016 12:28 am : link
indeed.
Well, if you've been saving your money for that Bentley  
jcn56 : 6/24/2016 12:38 am : link
now's the time!
A blow to an unelected, stultifying superstars is always a good thing  
Greg from LI : 6/24/2016 12:50 am : link
A free people reasserting its sovereignty from such a grossly authoritarian power structure, plus the pleasurable side benefit of enraging Marxists? It's like Christmas in June.
Superstate, superstars....heard it both ways  
Greg from LI : 6/24/2016 12:54 am : link
.
Can somebody explain to me why Brexit isn't good for America ?  
Ron from Ninerland : 6/24/2016 12:54 am : link
We can argue all day about how Europe will fare and what countries will win and what countries will lose as a result of Brexit but does this not benefit America ?

We have had to deal for decades with an undemocratic superstate which it seems to me has not benefited us trade wise. If the EU weakens or collapses as a result of Brexit won't it be easier to deal with the European states individually ? Yes, I understand the stock market will tank temporarily. The pound will tank and the dollar will soar for now. Probably oil will be down. But it should all be temporary.

As for the UK, my knowledge is limited, but from the times I've been over I'm surprised their membership has lasted this long. Its well known that the Brits don't consider themselves Europeans. In fact when I mistakenly referred to the UK as being part of Europe when I was over there for business it was obvious I insulted everyone in the room. I never made that mistake again. "Brussels" is spoken with contempt in every paper and TV show I saw.
I'm somewhat indifferent, as there are good  
kicker : 6/24/2016 1:13 am : link
explanations for both sides, but think this was the right move.
Of course, the large worry for me is the migrant crisis  
kicker : 6/24/2016 1:17 am : link
that isn't stopping. I was hesitant on this deal because of the potential social ramifications on people in dire circumstances.
Greg  
kicker : 6/24/2016 2:36 am : link
You do realize that British Marxists supported Brexit, and that other similar parties across Europe felt the same way?
the currency markets are quite agitated at the moment -  
Del Shofner : 6/24/2016 2:38 am : link
some traders are making a lot, some getting their faces ripped off. Yen to the Euro is an interesting one.
RE: Interesting how Scotland is firmly intent on remaining  
Milton : 6/24/2016 2:42 am : link
In comment 13007112 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
while there's a lot of support for leaving in England.

I wonder why.
For a variety of reasons. Just because the Scots wanted to remain in the EU along with England, doesn't mean they would still prefer to be in the EU without England. England is their largest trading partner. And consider that the EU is now weakened and there is no telling what kind of domino effect may occur. Scotland should take a wait and see approach before they do anything rash.
Could mean the end of the UK  
Gary from The East End : Admin : 6/24/2016 2:57 am : link
Scotland and Northern Ireland voted to stay in the EU. Both are making noises now that they may exit the UK. Scotland with another independence referendum and NI joining Ireland with a vote as per the Good Friday Agreement.
I think this is a good thing for the UK  
English Alaister : 6/24/2016 3:15 am : link
I like Europe and I am very pro the free movement of goods and services. However I do not trust other countries to protect Britain's borders and I do not trust unelected lawmakers to make sound law.

It may take some years but I actually believe we will prosper outside of the EU.

An interesting thing to see will be this country's reaction. Will the special relationship hold and the US quickly agree a trade deal or will they inflict a punishment beating on the UK for going against their wishes. I hope we look long term and forge a closer trans-Atlantic alliance.
Cameron Resigns  
Gary from The East End : Admin : 6/24/2016 3:58 am : link
Be interesting to see what happens when the markets open.

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RE: I think this is a good thing for the UK  
Ash_3 : 6/24/2016 4:16 am : link
In comment 13007156 English Alaister said:
Quote:
I like Europe and I am very pro the free movement of goods and services. However I do not trust other countries to protect Britain's borders and I do not trust unelected lawmakers to make sound law.

It may take some years but I actually believe we will prosper outside of the EU.

An interesting thing to see will be this country's reaction. Will the special relationship hold and the US quickly agree a trade deal or will they inflict a punishment beating on the UK for going against their wishes. I hope we look long term and forge a closer trans-Atlantic alliance.


There will be no UK and the US will be more focused on maintaining its trade relationship with the EU, a much larger and more lucrative market.
The EU is not "un-democratic"  
Tony in Berlin : 6/24/2016 4:31 am : link
And this is not only a catastrophe econimically, it's also a major blow to the European post-world war order. A stable and unified Europe has always been beneficial to the US. The big winner of the Brexit and a potential collapse in Europe in the long run is: Vladimir Putin.
What a time to be alive.  
Mike from SI : 6/24/2016 5:15 am : link
I'm a novice when it comes to this, but here's a question I care about: Will this make Europe more or less reliant on our defending them (militarily) in the long term?
It makes the Union Unstable  
BigBlueDownTheShore : 6/24/2016 6:13 am : link
And now the United Kingdom is as a whole is unstable. The Ireland's wanted to stay, and now they are pissed.

Not the Last Country  
Sammo85 : 6/24/2016 6:21 am : link
There's going to be more departures from the EU. Already chatter about a handful of countries moving to leave. Greece is a strong candidate. Poland, Italy, Spain also.
RE: A blow to an unelected, stultifying superstars is always a good thing  
M.S. : 6/24/2016 6:35 am : link
In comment 13007130 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
A free people reasserting its sovereignty from such a grossly authoritarian power structure, plus the pleasurable side benefit of enraging Marxists? It's like Christmas in June.

So, why did the chief enabler of Brexit -- Prime Minister David Cameron -- just resign?

This may also lead to the end of the UK  
Tony in Berlin : 6/24/2016 6:36 am : link
as Scotland and Ireland now will hold referendums on independence and EU-membership.
Oh, stop the doomsday scenarios.  
section125 : 6/24/2016 6:36 am : link
This will change hardly a thing. UK isn't disappearing from the face of the Earth and the Continent will be right were it was yesterday. 660 mill people remaining in the EU will still be buying products (mainly from China) and 65 mill Brits will still be buying and selling around the world.

There will need to be adjustments to trade agreements, but you'd have to be out of your mind to think the world ends because the Brits said FU to being forced to take orders from Brussels.

Hope my broker will wait a day and start buying after the markets craps the bed today...

The Euro is overpriced and the Brits never gave up the pound (as did the Scandinavians who never gave up their kroners). So what changes?

The big change will be the UK's border and immigration restrictions. I guess it is a good day to apply for a job with UK Customs and Immigration.

I don't blame them at all.
I think the EU was doomed anyway  
buford : 6/24/2016 6:47 am : link
the UK would be smart to get out now. For those who think it's doom and gloom, countries like Norway aren't in the EU and trade with Europe and other countries. The EU is a big mess.
To compare it to something here  
BigBlueDownTheShore : 6/24/2016 6:52 am : link
It's like if New York left the United States, and then upstate decided they wanted to stay.

The EU is losing a huge economic power. It's going to be harder for Great Britian companies to build out side of Britian.
On a good note  
BigBlueDownTheShore : 6/24/2016 6:53 am : link
It might weaken the Euro and make it easier to travel and export goods to the rest of the Union.
I would have voted to remain  
SanFranNowNCGiantsFan : 6/24/2016 7:02 am : link
But se la vie.

The breakdown by age is pretty striking: 18-34 year olds voted heavily to remain, while the older generations broke decisively to leave.
hurts EU...... I doubt Ireland nor Scotland leave UK.  
George from PA : 6/24/2016 7:05 am : link
Curius what Germany thinks....as only real power in EU.

Help the US and Russia......as EU becomes much less attractive
Merkel  
Sammo85 : 6/24/2016 7:05 am : link
Who everyone was championing as some heroine, comes out as a huge loser in this both in current terms and in historical contexts. Her immigration stance is going to cause Germany huge problems in the short term and the EU boondoggle over economics and unchecked immigration pushed by Germany have helped precipitate its own demise.

A lot of European countries are going to swing back to the right over the coming years. Immigration, high taxes, stagnant economics and inequality is a toxic brew ripe for changes.
With the popularity of Trump and Sanders  
GiantBlue : 6/24/2016 7:19 am : link
Sounds like America too...........
RE: Merkel  
Gary from The East End : Admin : 6/24/2016 7:25 am : link
In comment 13007197 Sammo85 said:
Quote:
A lot of European countries are going to swing back to the right over the coming years. Immigration, high taxes, stagnant economics and inequality is a toxic brew ripe for changes.


We've seen that movie before and it didn't turn out so well then either.
SOO HAPPY FOR THE UK  
Joey from GlenCove : 6/24/2016 7:29 am : link
They did it!

FYI DOW futures -377
SP Futures -80

So yea gonna be a blood bath. but this is SHORT TERM IMO
RE: Merkel  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 6/24/2016 7:31 am : link
In comment 13007197 Sammo85 said:
Quote:
Who everyone was championing as some heroine, comes out as a huge loser in this both in current terms and in historical contexts. Her immigration stance is going to cause Germany huge problems in the short term and the EU boondoggle over economics and unchecked immigration pushed by Germany have helped precipitate its own demise.

A lot of European countries are going to swing back to the right over the coming years. Immigration, high taxes, stagnant economics and inequality is a toxic brew ripe for changes.


Agreed.
Well done UK  
Sec 103 : 6/24/2016 7:34 am : link
Well done indeed!!!
Can we discuss Boris Johnson's hair  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 6/24/2016 7:35 am : link
I mean come on, you're an elected official!
RE: RE: Merkel  
Joey from GlenCove : 6/24/2016 7:35 am : link
In comment 13007204 Bobby Humphrey's Earpad said:
Quote:
In comment 13007197 Sammo85 said:


Quote:


Who everyone was championing as some heroine, comes out as a huge loser in this both in current terms and in historical contexts. Her immigration stance is going to cause Germany huge problems in the short term and the EU boondoggle over economics and unchecked immigration pushed by Germany have helped precipitate its own demise.

A lot of European countries are going to swing back to the right over the coming years. Immigration, high taxes, stagnant economics and inequality is a toxic brew ripe for changes.



Agreed.


CANT AGREE MORE. PERFECTLY written
RE: SOO HAPPY FOR THE UK  
section125 : 6/24/2016 7:35 am : link
In comment 13007203 Joey from GlenCove said:
Quote:
They did it!

FYI DOW futures -377
SP Futures -80

So yea gonna be a blood bath. but this is SHORT TERM IMO


Of course it is temporary. It may drop 400 today and Monday go up 250 and then regain it all by next Friday.
RE: I would have voted to remain  
BrettNYG10 : 6/24/2016 7:39 am : link
In comment 13007195 SanFranNowNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
But se la vie.

The breakdown by age is pretty striking: 18-34 year olds voted heavily to remain, while the older generations broke decisively to leave.


Reminds me of this:

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The EU overstepped it's governance...  
BamaBlue : 6/24/2016 7:44 am : link
What started as an economic union quickly turned into a political machine. With France and Spain very unlikely to support a union dominated by Germany, it looks like their departures are inevitable.
Marxist?  
trueblueinpw : 6/24/2016 7:47 am : link
Why are some of you referring to the EU as a Marxist institution? Seems more like a neo-liberal state to me.
EU was supposed to be a free trade state  
Joey from GlenCove : 6/24/2016 7:49 am : link
NOT a new political regime.
I read the Economist late last night  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 6/24/2016 7:55 am : link
and it seemed that working class folks drove the Leave votes, and immigration was the major issue. But I don't think it's a far reach to connect the dots between a squeezed working class, stagnant wages and immigration as the scapegoat.
RE: I read the Economist late last night  
section125 : 6/24/2016 8:06 am : link
In comment 13007231 Bobby Humphrey's Earpad said:
Quote:
and it seemed that working class folks drove the Leave votes, and immigration was the major issue. But I don't think it's a far reach to connect the dots between a squeezed working class, stagnant wages and immigration as the scapegoat.


Why is immigration a scapegoat? It is not an imagined problem. It is the problem. The free borders and work rules overloaded a nation. As jobs appear, the EU people are free to move (like moving from NY to AZ). I don't think the actual European people moving freely was a problem, but it was the North African and Middle Easterners and the freeloaders as a result that drove the issue.
Complicated issue.

The demographics are interesting. the 18-34 y/o group basically knew nothing else and probably liked being able to move freely about the Continental job market. The older crowd preferring the way it was and staying home.
RE: RE: I read the Economist late last night  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 6/24/2016 8:11 am : link
In comment 13007240 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13007231 Bobby Humphrey's Earpad said:


Quote:


and it seemed that working class folks drove the Leave votes, and immigration was the major issue. But I don't think it's a far reach to connect the dots between a squeezed working class, stagnant wages and immigration as the scapegoat.



Why is immigration a scapegoat? It is not an imagined problem. It is the problem. The free borders and work rules overloaded a nation. As jobs appear, the EU people are free to move (like moving from NY to AZ). I don't think the actual European people moving freely was a problem, but it was the North African and Middle Easterners and the freeloaders as a result that drove the issue.
Complicated issue.

The demographics are interesting. the 18-34 y/o group basically knew nothing else and probably liked being able to move freely about the Continental job market. The older crowd preferring the way it was and staying home.


Scapegoat was the wrong term, but making immigration (and xenophobia) the main issue covers for a lot of other reasons, including failings in economic policy, as it has for the last 200 years.
This is a very good point...  
FatMan in Charlotte : 6/24/2016 8:17 am : link
Quote:
The EU overstepped it's governance...
BamaBlue : 7:44 am : link : reply
What started as an economic union quickly turned into a political machine. With France and Spain very unlikely to support a union dominated by Germany, it looks like their departures are inevitable.


As the EU progressed, there simply aren't many great reasons for the top heavy countries to stay in it. The UK and Germany become almost like welfare subsidizers for the rest of the group. From an economic standpoint, if the UK was ever truly in, they'd have converted to the Euro. They have always had reservations about the EU, and finally enough was enough. The perfect storm of Brussels control, an undue % of economic burden put on them, the constant worry about the weaker nations casing ripples and the immigration situation made now the right time for them to leave.

This isn't a Doomsday thing. The UK will still have trading partners and the EU will continue on for now, and if it does break up - I'm not sure even that is the horrific thing people think it is.
RE: RE: RE: I read the Economist late last night  
section125 : 6/24/2016 8:33 am : link
In comment 13007244 Bobby Humphrey's Earpad said:
Quote:
In comment 13007240 section125 said:


Quote:
Scapegoat was the wrong term, but making immigration (and xenophobia) the main issue covers for a lot of other reasons, including failings in economic policy, as it has for the last 200 years.


Since 60s and 70s disastrous era, the UK has been doing ok, holding their own. The oil and gas industries have been solid.
Nothing wrong with "xenophobia." I wouldn't want the cretins and freeloaders that invaded the UK, either. I think the French are far more xenophobic than the Brits. Their intolerance and isolation of the North Africans from their former colonies is startling. The Brits were far more welcoming or tolerant might be a better term.
section..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 6/24/2016 8:36 am : link
I think if France or Germany vote to leave the EU, Xenophobia would be a primary or close to primary reason. Moreso in France because Germany also has the same issue as UK where they shoulder a financial burden for the lesser countries. In the UK, immigration issues factored in, but was down the list on reasons for voting to leave.
I hope and pray Spain has the balls  
Sec 103 : 6/24/2016 8:40 am : link
to leave as well!
RE: section..  
section125 : 6/24/2016 8:44 am : link
In comment 13007271 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:
I think if France or Germany vote to leave the EU, Xenophobia would be a primary or close to primary reason. Moreso in France because Germany also has the same issue as UK where they shoulder a financial burden for the lesser countries. In the UK, immigration issues factored in, but was down the list on reasons for voting to leave.


I don't see the Germans being xenophobic, France yes. The Germans have embraced immigration as the immigrants fill jobs left open by a declining working age population (this explained to me by a German Immigration officer to my bewilderment). The French want to protect French culture at all costs. Two different animals.
At what point Germany says they aren't shouldering the Med EU nations, I haven't a clue.
RE: This is a very good point...  
AcidTest : 6/24/2016 8:46 am : link
In comment 13007255 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:


Quote:


The EU overstepped it's governance...
BamaBlue : 7:44 am : link : reply
What started as an economic union quickly turned into a political machine. With France and Spain very unlikely to support a union dominated by Germany, it looks like their departures are inevitable.



As the EU progressed, there simply aren't many great reasons for the top heavy countries to stay in it. The UK and Germany become almost like welfare subsidizers for the rest of the group. From an economic standpoint, if the UK was ever truly in, they'd have converted to the Euro. They have always had reservations about the EU, and finally enough was enough. The perfect storm of Brussels control, an undue % of economic burden put on them, the constant worry about the weaker nations casing ripples and the immigration situation made now the right time for them to leave.

This isn't a Doomsday thing. The UK will still have trading partners and the EU will continue on for now, and if it does break up - I'm not sure even that is the horrific thing people think it is.


^This. Everyone will survive. But I do think the Scots and the Irish may leave England.
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