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New York Giants WR corp (Long post)

Big Rick in FL : 8/11/2016 10:54 pm
I was just talking to my friend about Sterling Shepard. He was really high on Shepard coming out of college. He thought he was the top WR in the draft & thought he should've been a top 15 pick. My friend is a Bucs fan & was pissed off when they didn't get him. That just got me thinking about our wide receivers this year & the potential they have. I'm only 27 so I never got to see our LBs when we had LT, Banks & Carson. I think this is the most excited I've ever been for a single position.

Our WRs are so young & are very versatile. Obviously it starts with Odell who IMO is the best WR in the league. He's broken basically every record possible for a player through his first 2 years & he's missed 5 games in that time. He's also done it as the only threat on the team. Nobody was worried about Rueben Randle or rookie UDFA Will Tye.

Hopefully we will have Cruz back. I don't think he will be his old self, but I still think he can be a very productive WR. He was at his best when he was the 2nd option. Just based on his past he's going to draw attention. That should open things up for Odell.

Sterling Shepard hasn't played yet, but his game translates very well to the NFL. He's very smart so I doubt we see him make the same mistakes that Randle made. When I watched him in college the only comparison that came to mind was a poor man's Odell. Numerous beat writers have said he has been our best player during training camp. Guys like Eli & Odell are included in that. I really feel like he will be in contention for rookie of the year. It wouldn't shock me to see him have 1,000+ yards & 7+ TDs.

Dwayne Harris did pretty well as our 3rd WR this year. He's a tough SOB that will take the tough hits. He should be even better then last year as he goes from seeing 2nd/3rd CBs to 5th/6th CBs.

Then we have young guys that are bigger then the first 4. They are strictly outside WRs, but they have potential to be very good red zone targets. Every camp report I read says Geremy Davis has been a complete stud so far. Lance Zierlein from nfl.com said he is a poor man's Kevin White. He's getting reps against our top CBs & is winning consistently. He will rarely see CBs as talented as DRC/Janoris/Hall.

I assume we are going to keep 6 WRs this year. Not sure who the 6th WR will be, but I'm leaning towards Roger Lewis. He's extremely talented & we got lucky he fell in our lap as an UDFA. He got into trouble in HS & hasn't had any problems since then. I've read quite a few scouting reports that said if you remove the off field concerns he would have been picked somewhere between the late 2nd to early 4th round. He's another one that's basically only an outside WR. He's got good size with good arm length. He's a very good hands catcher & has a good catch radius. He's got good game speed & is very good at getting deep & making plays on the long ball. He played in 14 games last year. He had 1544 yards & 16 TDs for Bowling Green. He's got a ton of potential & I think he is a great fit for McAdoo's offense. I think he can make an impact if he's given the playing time.

It really wouldn't shock me to see Eli throw for over 5,000+ yards & 45+ TDs. Sorry for the long post. Was watching the Bucs & Eagles game. I was thanking my lucky stars that our WR corp isn't like the Eagles. Their WR corp seems pretty brutal. Most likely Rueben Randle & Nelson Agholor are their starting outside WRs. They combined last year for 1,080 yards & 9 TDs. Most of it was Randle, but he had a HOF QB throwing to him & seeing single coverage across from a guy who has the potential to be a HOF WR. The QB & WR across from him are huge downgrades this year. Jordan Matthews is a good slot WR, but he doesn't scare opposing defenses. I'm just hoping our guys stay healthy & we get to see how good they can be. Am I crazy in thinking our WRs are going to be that good?
Fun post  
DavidinBMNY : 8/11/2016 11:14 pm : link
Everyone looks good in practice. Let's see some games.

Optimism is what everyone should feel right now. It's feasible but not likely Eli goes for 5k.
I disagree  
Big Rick in FL : 8/11/2016 11:51 pm : link
There are a ton of players for all teams who don't look good in practice.

Why don't you think it's feasible? He was about 500 short of 4500 last year. Odell missed a game. His #2 WR could barely run the correct routes. No Victor Cruz & Larry Donnell. An Undrafted rookie free agent starting at TE. An Oline with 3 guys who were playing their position for the 1st time. Dwayne Harris was our 3rd WR & now he is our 5th WR. So much better from top to bottom.

I also think with McAdoo in charge we pass the ball more. Coughlin wanted to keep a balance just for the sake of keeping a balance. Even if the run game was doing terrible. I don't see that happening with McAdoo nor should it.
I'm thinking WR S. Shepard is a solid player as a rookie  
SGMen : 8/11/2016 11:59 pm : link
The reports are good but again lets see him in real games FIRST before we ordain him. I'm all for the optimism as I'm a "think positive" guy.

I predict Eli will have 5,000 yards; 45 TD's, 9 interceptions. It isn't that he hits those numbers exactly but rather is in that ballpark. Why do I predict his best season ever? Here are the main reasons:

1. Year #3 of the offense and he has now mastered it.
2. Odell Beckham Jr. will be a SUPER beast this year.
3. Our TE's will be improved, both in blocking & receiving.
4. The OL has continuity, year #2 together. LT E. Flowers should be improved; LG Pugh is year #2 and bigger at OG; OC Richburg is year #3 and ready to be the NFC's best OC; J. Jerry looks improved and is ready to have his best season; RT R. Newhouse we'll have to live with for another year.
5. I think RB Williams, Dwarka and Perkins will all be better. Not sure who sticks between Dwarka and Williams but both are close.
6. ST's should be solid again, even better on punt coverage and returns and this means longer fields / shorter fields and more opportunities for Eli.

I honestly believe that if this team can finally stay healthy this year, we'll be rocking and rolling come the last 3 - 4 games of the season.
The WR group  
allstarjim : 8/12/2016 12:17 am : link
Seems to be the topic du jour around here this camp. And for good reason, the Giants have arguably the most explosive wide receivers in NFL history who has yet to play a full 16 game schedule, and despite that, has the most yards in his first two seasons of anyone in NFL history. He is, without a doubt, unstoppable. He cannot be schemed against, he beats man, he beats zone, he beats press, he beats off, he beats doubles. He wins short, intermediate, and deep, and he has among the best hands in NFL, is among the very best route runners, and one of the best athletes too boot. And... he is still working to get better.

And then the Giants draft a player who has a very similar skill set... Sterling Shepard, very precise route runner, great explosiveness, very good hands, with upper tier athleticism. The only thing these two receivers don't have is size... which is mitigated by their separation ability and leaping ability.

But where they lack size, Geremy Davis does not. Davis will have a role on this team, I believe. Davis has the ability to be a red zone threat with his size and strength. He has a full season under his belt, and from camp reports looks to have been putting in the work to get better.

And then there is Victor Cruz. We have seen what he's capable of, and everyone wants to see him salsa-ing in the endzone again. With two offseasons to get that knee stronger, there is some level of confidence that this season, he can make significant contributions. But at this point, it would be a bonus.

Add in Dwayne Harris, who, if he has the ball in space, has great speed and agility to break big plays. And when he's not asked to do that, will be a dangerous factor on special teams as a returner and gunner.

I believe Tavarres King will win the job as the 6th receiver, IF THERE IS ONE (a big if because I expect the Giants to carry 4 tight ends), as he has had an exceptional camp.

There is so much that this group can do. Obviously, with Odell's superlative ability, it makes things much easier on the other receivers. And if Shepard is what everyone believes him to be, this could be a very special group that does indeed propel Eli to a career year as well as an offense that can lead the team to a winning season.



I actually think D. Harris may be the 6th 'emergency" receiver  
SGMen : 8/12/2016 12:22 am : link
He may be solely a special teams guy this year unless needed due to injury.

WR #6 is definitely T. King right now. The thing about him is he is 26, knows the offense as he was on the PS last year and through OTA's and camp this year, and seems to have finally "put it together" and such. But I temper that statement with lets see how he does tomorrow night and where he practices on Sunday. I think Sunday's lineups will be telling as the coaches begin to align players as Team #1, Team #2, and Team #3 more.
Rick I brought this subject up twice the past 2 days,  
BlueLou : 8/12/2016 5:05 am : link
and I might be overly optimistic to expect OBJ to get better and Shepard to be a stud out of the starting blocks, predicting 80/1200/8 for young Sterling.

But predicting anything more than "adequate" FOR any other receiving option on the team is foolhardy - with the exception of Vereen who is a fine, proven RB pass catcher.

That only changes when/if we discover that Cruz is healthy and resembles his former self.

Until then, all the rest of the WRs and TEs on the team are jags. Get real.
Great Post Big Rick  
GMen23 : 8/12/2016 6:41 am : link
I personally don't believe your optimism is over the top. Odell is Odell. Sheppard continues to get raves. Eli never had a WR corp of this quality. Padding Eli's stats, I was very disappointed in Vereen's 1st year production out of the backfield, coming off his 12 catch Super Bowl. I would be very surprised if he is not much better utilized in our offense this year.
Just 3 more weeks to go, of our continued healthy off-season, and I'm right there with you.
My concern is the offensive line and especially both Tackles.  
idinkido : 8/12/2016 7:01 am : link
I don't whether it is a question about keeping offensive play call balance or keeping Eli alive. Utilizing the pass too much will allow teams to tee off on Eli. Three step drops and how Eli moves around the pocket works but if he's going to get the ball down field, he must be protected! Remember the basic premise of football is that the game is won on both lines.
Jags?  
grizz299 : 8/12/2016 7:04 am : link
Man there's a lot to disagree with there.

If they are Jags (debatable) so what? You have brillance on this team if Jags is really another word for "capable" well you win with some "brilliant" and some "capable"
But I think we have more than that. Tye came on last year and was finding seams deep and making beautiful in full stride catches. With Stoney Brook for his training ground, his improvement in year two should be exponential. Same for Davis, this long striding big and aggressive receiver should be perfect and compliment OBJ and Shepard.
Harris was really knew to WR last year. I think that just by strength of numbers between King, Lewis and Powe (sp?) one strong receiver HAS to emerge.
I see Vereen as being remarkable this year....and that's if he never catches a ball. How can you play deep to stop OBJ and leave a linebacker to try to contain Vereen?
This corp of WR's, plus a "capable" tight end who can also get deep AND Vereen is a defensive co-ordinators nightmare.
I have never been as optimistic in sixty years of watching the Giants.
I just wish we had some depth on the oline and maybe one more player there.
I see a top five defense and a top five offense with superb specials this year. And I see .....well, I have to control the gushing..
Lets see some of these WRs make some plays tonight  
ZogZerg : 8/12/2016 7:11 am : link
High expectations on the Giants O this year.
Great  
AcidTest : 8/12/2016 7:14 am : link
post. The key is Cruz. We need to see something from him during the preseason to indicate that he can regain his form, especially since he hasn't played in the last two years. It's OK he's not playing tonight. He wouldn't have gotten many reps anyway. But we need to see some flashes during games two and three.
Big Rick  
PaulN : 8/12/2016 7:33 am : link
Back in the days of our great linebackers we literally had back ups that would have been starters on other teams and very good starters, players like Dan Lloyd, Byron Hunt, Johnny cooks, and Andy Headen. The year LT held out Headen had a 4 sack pre season game, LT signed the next day. Keep up your enthusiasm.
The fact that Harris is not getting many reps  
Peter from NH (formerly CT) : 8/12/2016 7:54 am : link
with the ones is encouraging. A lot of talented WRs on the roster.

What it comes down to is which guys consistently catch the ball. Drops and penalties are drive killers. We know that OBJ and Sheppard are special (not sure if Sheppard has dropped a pass in camp yet). Cruz a little less so. Harris and White are guys that will have their share of unnecessary drops.

Where do the remaining guys fit in to that? Powe, Lewis, Davis, King and KJ Maye all can run. Which ones can be relied on to consistently catch the ball?
Historically, throwing for 5000 yards  
David B. : 8/12/2016 8:13 am : link
Would likely mean the Giants are still in a LOT of close, shoot-out games like last year. QBs don't throw for 5000 yards if they can run the ball and run out the clock effectively. So I actually hope he DOESN'T have to throw for 5000 yards. Also, if the throws more balls and more TDs, he will ALSO throw more picks -- even if the TD/INT ratio remains the same -- put the ball in the air more, you get more picks. So don't expect his positive numbers to go up and his negative ones to go down.

And so while it would be great to see Eli have another great statistical year, if the D is better and the offense is more balanced, they might have more modest numbers -- but say, a 10-6 season if the injuries don't kill them again.
RE: Rick I brought this subject up twice the past 2 days,  
BillT : 8/12/2016 8:14 am : link
In comment 13067182 BlueLou said:
Quote:

But predicting anything more than "adequate" FOR any other receiving option on the team is foolhardy - with the exception of Vereen who is a fine, proven RB pass catcher.

That only changes when/if we discover that Cruz is healthy and resembles his former self.

Until then, all the rest of the WRs and TEs on the team are jags. Get real.

You criticize others for predicting good performances for the "other" receiving options but then you project them as jags with no better info than they have.
We have one proven good nfl wr on the roster  
chris r : 8/12/2016 8:37 am : link
Can we slow down a little?
Special team performance will determine the depth of all positions.  
idinkido : 8/12/2016 8:41 am : link
Can't carry any position player as depth, including receivers, if he isn't proficient in special teams and the more special teams he can play on will also be a factor.
RE: Historically, throwing for 5000 yards  
giantsfan44ab : 8/12/2016 8:44 am : link
In comment 13067227 David B. said:
Quote:
Would likely mean the Giants are still in a LOT of close, shoot-out games like last year. QBs don't throw for 5000 yards if they can run the ball and run out the clock effectively. So I actually hope he DOESN'T have to throw for 5000 yards. Also, if the throws more balls and more TDs, he will ALSO throw more picks -- even if the TD/INT ratio remains the same -- put the ball in the air more, you get more picks. So don't expect his positive numbers to go up and his negative ones to go down.

And so while it would be great to see Eli have another great statistical year, if the D is better and the offense is more balanced, they might have more modest numbers -- but say, a 10-6 season if the injuries don't kill them again.


My thoughts exactly. If our defense is better we don't need to chuck the ball as much and if our offense is capable we won't average less than 4 yards a carry and can control the time of possession.

I'm not at all a fan of Ruben Randle but he was more than productive as a WR2 the last 2 years and would still be lofty to expect a rookie to come in and immediately replace 100% of his production.

If our team is better Eli will be better than last year by advanced numbers not outright numbers. The real key is our run game and defensive line.
I'm pretty sure I read yesterday that Lewis was not doing well  
Ten Ton Hammer : 8/12/2016 8:48 am : link
trying to field punts. I'm trying to recover the article or camp report where I found that.

Special teams is going to be how any of these guys make the roster. I feel like we're crowning these guys as "talented" wayyyy too early.
RE: RE: Rick I brought this subject up twice the past 2 days,  
BlueLou : 8/12/2016 9:01 am : link
In comment 13067230 BillT said:
Quote:
In comment 13067182 BlueLou said
Quote:

But predicting anything more than "adequate" FOR any other receiving option on the team is foolhardy - with the exception of Vereen who is a fine, proven RB pass catcher.

That only changes when/if we discover that Cruz is healthy and resembles his former self.

Until then, all the rest of the WRs and TEs on the team are jags. Get real.


You criticize others for predicting good performances for the "other" receiving options but then you project them as jags with no better info than they have.


Well yes I do, that's exactly my point.

Shepard is having a great camp; and that is on top of him being a top 5 WR prospect and terrific - not good, not very good, but truly terrific college highlights tape.

Davis is having a very good camp, a significantly better one than last year. While that is cause for optimism, it doesn't put him anywhere near the class of Mario Manningham, our #3 WR in 2011 who was projected as a first round draft pick until he failed a weed test and scored like a 7 on the wonderlic test.

Does anyone remember raves about Victor Cruz his first year DURING CAMP before the preseason games began? I don't. I recall he caught everyone's notice after he lit the hell up the Jets' 2nd or 3rd team DBs. And the legendary Rex audio " who the F is this guy? Let's get a man over him!" Then he burned (IIRC) double coverage too...

I hope Davis is as good as he has looked in camp, but it seems to me a lot of his good plays weren't against our starting CBs, but against guys that won't make the 53.

So yes I apply different standards of evaluation to guys doing GREAT in camp who were high draft picks and have an estimable collegiate pedigree than to guys who the draft pundits graded as "reaches" in the 6th round like Davis. His college tape isn't remotely comparable to Shepard's and therefore I view his "very good" training camp in a different light.

Perhaps "jag" is too strong a term but I don't mean BAD, I mean easily replaceable or nothing special.
RE: I'm pretty sure I read yesterday that Lewis was not doing well  
BlueLou : 8/12/2016 9:04 am : link
In comment 13067250 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
trying to field punts. I'm trying to recover the article or camp report where I found that.

Special teams is going to be how any of these guys make the roster. I feel like we're crowning these guys as "talented" wayyyy too early.


In YANKEES report, but then FMIC pointed out that NOT FIELDING the punts may well have been the whole point of the drill.
Corey Washington scored 4 TDs in 4 Preseason games  
Ten Ton Hammer : 8/12/2016 9:05 am : link
and wasn't good enough to get anything done in the regular, and that was in a year the Giants were actively looking for WR help to complement Odell.
RE: RE: I'm pretty sure I read yesterday that Lewis was not doing well  
Ten Ton Hammer : 8/12/2016 9:05 am : link
In comment 13067264 BlueLou said:
Quote:
In comment 13067250 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:


trying to field punts. I'm trying to recover the article or camp report where I found that.

Special teams is going to be how any of these guys make the roster. I feel like we're crowning these guys as "talented" wayyyy too early.



In YANKEES report, but then FMIC pointed out that NOT FIELDING the punts may well have been the whole point of the drill.


Gotcha, thanks.
Nice Post Big Rick ...  
Bluesbreaker : 8/12/2016 9:28 am : link
Randle on paper looked fine bu we who watch him no better
That said I believe Shepard is going to pose more of a
problem for defenses more so than RR .
The Underneath stuff short patterns moving both he and
Odell around could actually open things up for Davis
Throw in Donnell and whoever comes in as a 4th WR .
It will be pick your poison and the trickle down effect
for the run game when the safeties won't be able to
cheat up in the run game .
Lets stay healthy and see the cram rise to the top .
King Lewis Powe hopefully all have a chance to show something tonight . Prayers to stay healthy tonight .
RE: RE: RE: Rick I brought this subject up twice the past 2 days,  
BillT : 8/12/2016 9:33 am : link
In comment 13067260 BlueLou said:
Quote:
In comment 13067230 BillT said:


Quote:


In comment 13067182 BlueLou said

Perhaps "jag" is too strong a term but I don't mean BAD, I mean easily replaceable or nothing special.

But again, you don't know if that's true any more than those who tout them as being good, estimable collegiate pedigree or not. Did Cruz turn out to be easily replaceable or nothing special. You would have said so in his first camp.
RE: Great  
SGMen : 8/12/2016 9:48 am : link
In comment 13067194 AcidTest said:
Quote:
post. The key is Cruz. We need to see something from him during the preseason to indicate that he can regain his form, especially since he hasn't played in the last two years. It's OK he's not playing tonight. He wouldn't have gotten many reps anyway. But we need to see some flashes during games two and three.
I agree. I project Eli will have his BEST NFL season ever, with 5,00 yards, 45 TD's, 9 interceptions (low). But that only happens if Cruz is solid as a #2/3 wideout, mixing it up with rookie WR S. Shepard and getting open due to heavy OBJ coverages.

If Cruz is a 50-600-4 type of guy just barely getting open in the slot and scaring no one, well, we won't so super dynamic. Dynamic maybe, but that means rookie WR S. Shepard, has to be a 75-1000-7 type guy. That is asking a lot.

WR Geremy Davis may be a force by mid-season as he learns, along with WR T. King (he sticks). I hope the Giants are not forced to use veteran WR D. Harris in the role of WR because that would mean the youth has not developed.
I agree with your post  
ZGiants98 : 8/12/2016 9:53 am : link
I'm excited about the WR core as well. My biggest issue is with the paper thin offensive line. All the talent at WR goes down the drain if we even suffer one major injury on the offensive line IMO which would be a shame.
I dont need our o-line to be world beaters  
ZGiants98 : 8/12/2016 9:59 am : link
If you can guarantee me health with the starting 5, a guarantee that they will pass block (at a reasonable level), and run block( at a reasonable level), this is a top 5, maybe top 3 offense in the NFL.

Big IF however.
RE: Corey Washington scored 4 TDs in 4 Preseason games  
AcidTest : 8/12/2016 10:05 am : link
In comment 13067265 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
and wasn't good enough to get anything done in the regular, and that was in a year the Giants were actively looking for WR help to complement Odell.


Washington was like Barden. A big guy who couldn't get separation at the NFL level. The good news is that at least one of King, Lewis, or Powe appears worthy of being on the team, albeit as the last WR.
Best camp battle of the preseason  
gmen9892 : 8/12/2016 10:18 am : link
For sure. It will be interesting to see who makes the team (and practice squad) and who gets picked up by another team after the cut. That is the most telling sign of the talent level for a position, when a player of worth is cut and immediately picked up by another team.

OBJ seems to be refining another small part of his game and was challenged by Eli this offseason to be even better, which means we havent even see the best of what hes got to offer yet. Don't be surprised, health provided, if OBJ is pushing for 130 catches and 2,000 yards.

Shepard, by all accounts is a quick study and natural at WR. I expect him to come in and have a Steve Smith (NYG) type rookie impact year one. Eli loves a security blanket that can get open for first downs, and I believe Shep will be a chain mover.

If this groin injury is truly nothing and not related to anything else, I expect Cruz to come back and be the "Amani Toomer of 2007" veteran presence on the WR corps and make the big catches when needed, but not necessarily be a star.

Then the crop of Davis(making the team), Lewis(might have the best overall talent of the non-starters_, King, Powe, and White all provide certain strengths to fill out the bottom 4-6.

Harris an emergency guy for the slot if someone goes down.

This is as good of a WR crops as we have had since 2007, with a much more experienced Eli and better system. Watch out (health provided as always).
Big difference between Corey Washington and Lewis  
Vanzetti : 8/12/2016 10:27 am : link
Lewis was a four star recruit coming out of high school. His college career was derailed by false rape allegations. Luckily for him a friend of the accuser came forward with a taped conversation in which the accuser admitted they had not had sex and they she was angry because she found out he had a GF.

If not for that friend, he would probably have spent 20 years in jail. That's a fairly traumatic even for an 18 year old to deal with. Nevertheless, by his senior year in college he got his act together and finished as he second leading receiver in the nation.

So, we are not talking about some obscure walk-on. We are talking about an NFL caliber talent whose career was derailed by off the field issues.

So, if he is so good, why wasn't he drafted? My guess would be that teams were reluctant to take a guy with sexual assault in his background because it is such a hot button issue today. Even though Lewis was vindicated and obviously did not rape anyone, he pleaded guilty to a lesser charge as part of plea bargain. IMO that's why he fell to free agency.

I'm not saying he is going to be a star. But Rick's claim about his potential is 100% accurate.
Lewis is the one I can see sticking as long as he doesn't have  
Ten Ton Hammer : 8/12/2016 10:37 am : link
an off-field problem.

King is 26 and on his 4th team with 2 career receptions.

RE: Big difference between Corey Washington and Lewis  
SGMen : 8/12/2016 10:45 am : link
In comment 13067394 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
Lewis was a four star recruit coming out of high school. His college career was derailed by false rape allegations. Luckily for him a friend of the accuser came forward with a taped conversation in which the accuser admitted they had not had sex and they she was angry because she found out he had a GF.

If not for that friend, he would probably have spent 20 years in jail. That's a fairly traumatic even for an 18 year old to deal with. Nevertheless, by his senior year in college he got his act together and finished as he second leading receiver in the nation.

So, we are not talking about some obscure walk-on. We are talking about an NFL caliber talent whose career was derailed by off the field issues.

So, if he is so good, why wasn't he drafted? My guess would be that teams were reluctant to take a guy with sexual assault in his background because it is such a hot button issue today. Even though Lewis was vindicated and obviously did not rape anyone, he pleaded guilty to a lesser charge as part of plea bargain. IMO that's why he fell to free agency.

I'm not saying he is going to be a star. But Rick's claim about his potential is 100% accurate.
Rape. A friend of mine spent 7 months in jail awaiting trial for a false rape allegation by his "girlfriend" who later recanted before a judge, admitted she made it up due to her anger with him, and well got no time or punishment. He lost his job and what little money he had!!!! No hardcore evidence, he likely would have won in trial but who knows?

Terrible this kind of stuff happens, both ways of course.
RE: Historically, throwing for 5000 yards  
Klaatu : 8/12/2016 11:00 am : link
In comment 13067227 David B. said:
Quote:
Would likely mean the Giants are still in a LOT of close, shoot-out games like last year. QBs don't throw for 5000 yards if they can run the ball and run out the clock effectively. So I actually hope he DOESN'T have to throw for 5000 yards. Also, if the throws more balls and more TDs, he will ALSO throw more picks -- even if the TD/INT ratio remains the same -- put the ball in the air more, you get more picks. So don't expect his positive numbers to go up and his negative ones to go down.

And so while it would be great to see Eli have another great statistical year, if the D is better and the offense is more balanced, they might have more modest numbers -- but say, a 10-6 season if the injuries don't kill them again.


Well said, David. Couldn't agree more.
Lol Eli 45 TDs and 9 picks  
giantsfan44ab : 8/12/2016 11:03 am : link
Where can I put money against that?
I think that for the most part, who you were and  
Bill L : 8/12/2016 11:19 am : link
who you were reputed to be, is who you end up being. There are exceptions of course and some are very glaring. But as a general rule, I think that if you are an UDFA, a waiver pickup, a late-round draft pick, that's pretty much what you will be when the actual lights come on.
RE: Historically, throwing for 5000 yards  
giants#1 : 8/12/2016 11:34 am : link
In comment 13067227 David B. said:
Quote:
Would likely mean the Giants are still in a LOT of close, shoot-out games like last year. QBs don't throw for 5000 yards if they can run the ball and run out the clock effectively. So I actually hope he DOESN'T have to throw for 5000 yards. Also, if the throws more balls and more TDs, he will ALSO throw more picks -- even if the TD/INT ratio remains the same -- put the ball in the air more, you get more picks. So don't expect his positive numbers to go up and his negative ones to go down.

And so while it would be great to see Eli have another great statistical year, if the D is better and the offense is more balanced, they might have more modest numbers -- but say, a 10-6 season if the injuries don't kill them again.


That's not really true. Here are the seasons of 5000+ yards:

Peyton (2013 - DEN): 5,477 yds; +207 pt differential
Brees (2011 - NO): 5,476 yds; +208 pts
Brady (2011 - NE): 5,235 yds; +171 pts
Brees (2012 - NO): 5,177 yds; +7 pts
Brees (2013 - NO): 5,162 yds; +110 pts

Marino (1984 - MIA): 5,084 yds; +215 pts
Brees (2008 - NO): 5,069 yds; +70 pts
Stafford (2011 - DET): 5,038 yds; +87 pts


The bold years are where the average margin of victory was <7 pts/game and one of those (Brees, 2013) is right at 7 pts/game. The other 4 seasons saw teams with double digit margins of victory.
RE: RE: Big difference between Corey Washington and Lewis  
Vanzetti : 8/12/2016 11:36 am : link
In comment 13067429 SGMen said:
Quote:

Rape. A friend of mine spent 7 months in jail awaiting trial for a false rape allegation by his "girlfriend" who later recanted before a judge, admitted she made it up due to her anger with him, and well got no time or punishment. He lost his job and what little money he had!!!! No hardcore evidence, he likely would have won in trial but who knows?

Terrible this kind of stuff happens, both ways of course.


That's the problem right now: no one wants to prosecute for false allegations and testimony because of the negative press that will arise about "silencing victims."

I don't have kids, but often hear people on BBI and elsewhere going o about their daughters. And I understand that. But what about the people with sons? No one here worried about their son going to college and having a little bit too much to drink and winding up accused of sexual assault, even though the woman was just as drunk and seemed to consent? Or worried about someone making a false accusation because there is no penalty for doing so in most cases? A young man's life being ruined for something that in the past would have been handled by the kids themselves and their mutual friends with apologies. I don't get why we don't hear from parents with sons. I know I sure as hell would be worried about my son if he was going away to college.
RE: RE: RE: Big difference between Corey Washington and Lewis  
SGMen : 8/12/2016 1:32 pm : link
In comment 13067518 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
In comment 13067429 SGMen said:


Quote:



Rape. A friend of mine spent 7 months in jail awaiting trial for a false rape allegation by his "girlfriend" who later recanted before a judge, admitted she made it up due to her anger with him, and well got no time or punishment. He lost his job and what little money he had!!!! No hardcore evidence, he likely would have won in trial but who knows?

Terrible this kind of stuff happens, both ways of course.



That's the problem right now: no one wants to prosecute for false allegations and testimony because of the negative press that will arise about "silencing victims."

I don't have kids, but often hear people on BBI and elsewhere going o about their daughters. And I understand that. But what about the people with sons? No one here worried about their son going to college and having a little bit too much to drink and winding up accused of sexual assault, even though the woman was just as drunk and seemed to consent? Or worried about someone making a false accusation because there is no penalty for doing so in most cases? A young man's life being ruined for something that in the past would have been handled by the kids themselves and their mutual friends with apologies. I don't get why we don't hear from parents with sons. I know I sure as hell would be worried about my son if he was going away to college.
good point.
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