So I was bored and decided to play around with data little bit. Someone recently posted an article about the top recruits on each team. So I decided to look at these top recruits and where they were drafted. I chose 30 out of the 32 because Denver's top recruit Von Miller didn't have an overall rank since he was a 4 star guy and Terrelle Pryor was a supplementary draft guy. I plotted everyone else's rank coming out of HS (X-Axis) vs. draft pick (Y-Axis). These are only the top recruits only, but I figure non-top recruits are bigger wild cards. Anyway, the result I got is probably what most suspect. The R squared is 0.0004. In other words the variation in the draft picks can be explained by only 0.04% in the variation in the rank coming out of HS. In other words rank is not a significant variable affecting draft choice. Probably not surprising, but interesting nonetheless.
