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FF Week 4 "Ask the Roto Wizard" Q& A

Roto Wizard : 9/28/2016 4:19 pm
Afternoon everyone!

I hope that you all have enjoyed the last two weeks of Fantasy goodness here on the boards. As usual, post your questions below and I'll answer them ASAP as we all prepare for Week 4 to start tomorrow. Cheers!

~ Evan Tarracciano
(@Roto_Wizard)
So, looks like you need better sources in Seattle  
YAJ2112 : 9/28/2016 4:23 pm : link
and I need to have more trust in Carlos Hyde.

My question is, what's the scoop on what went down on Sirius with your former buddies being gone and the Guru moving into their spot?
Love the work you do Roto  
beatrixkiddo : 9/28/2016 4:26 pm : link
For week 4 who do you start: Stafford vs Bears or Rivers vs Saints?

Stafford has been averaging 40 attempts per game, i feel yardage wise he has to be good for at least 300 plus a pair of TD's. Rivers faces a depleted Saints D at home, although his weapons aren't all to reliable. I'm not sure who outperforms the other, but your advise is helpful. Thanks.
Hey Wiz  
tbonfig : 9/28/2016 4:28 pm : link
lost due to Freeman's late long run on Monday night. Horrible way to get my first loss of the season.

1. What do I do with Randall Cobb? I have Rodgers as QB so the pairing was nice, in theory, but he's been dog doo doo this season....
2. Thoughts on Jordan Howard filling in for Langford (specifically this week, as I picked him up earlier in the season).
3. Thoughts on Charles/Ware this week?
4. Is Tajae Sharpe going to end up being THAT DUDE or is he just going to be a 4.5 pt/game flexer???
Awesome!  
Miami_JintsFan : 9/28/2016 4:28 pm : link
Need flex help for standard scoring. I'm going to start J. Howard RB2. Flex options are:

Maclin @ Pitt
D.Jackson vs Cle
L.Murray @ Baltimore
B.Marshall vs Sea
T.Williams vs NO

Thanks for telling me to start Jets D over Chiefs last week!  
drkenneth : 9/28/2016 4:34 pm : link
Lol.
Standard scoring league  
BigBlueFantasy : 9/28/2016 4:36 pm : link
Need to start 2 RB's 2 WR's and a flex:
L. McCoy
M. Gordon
D. Hopkins
D. Thomas
C. Micheal
T. Williams
D. Parker

Thanks
Roto wizard  
EricJ : 9/28/2016 4:37 pm : link
in PPR leagues, if you had the ability to pickup Darkwa or Perkins, who would you choose?

Also, BBI has been wondering for a long time... is it boxers or briefs?
1 Flex spot - PPR  
Danny Kanell : 9/28/2016 4:49 pm : link
Terrelle Pryor
Christine Michael
Carlos Hyde

Thanks!
For QBs  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 4:52 pm : link
Wilson vs. Jets
Kirk vs. Browns
Carr @ Ravens

If not Kirk should i drop him for Steve Smith, Cruz or humphries?
^  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 4:53 pm : link
that was standard scoring btw. Dont think that would make a difference though.
RE: Hey Wiz  
David in LA : 9/28/2016 4:55 pm : link
In comment 13147159 tbonfig said:
Quote:
lost due to Freeman's late long run on Monday night. Horrible way to get my first loss of the season.

1. What do I do with Randall Cobb? I have Rodgers as QB so the pairing was nice, in theory, but he's been dog doo doo this season....
2. Thoughts on Jordan Howard filling in for Langford (specifically this week, as I picked him up earlier in the season).
3. Thoughts on Charles/Ware this week?
4. Is Tajae Sharpe going to end up being THAT DUDE or is he just going to be a 4.5 pt/game flexer???


I'd play Jordan Howard for sure this week.
RE: RE: Hey Wiz  
tbonfig : 9/28/2016 5:05 pm : link
In comment 13147204 David in LA said:
Quote:



I'd play Jordan Howard for sure this week.


Why so confident? Just because he's a lead back?

Bears suck this season, i hate having players on bad teams.
1/2 ppr. Who do you start?  
Giants Fan in Steelers Land : 9/28/2016 5:05 pm : link
Shepard vs Crabtree?
Spencer Ware vs Crowell?
Two decisions  
dep026 : 9/28/2016 5:06 pm : link
1. Beasley or Gronk.
2. ravens against Oakland or Chiefs at Pitt (defense)
Ok wiz here ares some  
superspynyg : 9/28/2016 5:06 pm : link
Brees or Rivers?
Evans or Jeffrey in non PPR
Ware (if Charles is out) or Coleman in non PPR?
What the hell?  
EricJ : 9/28/2016 5:23 pm : link
is this freaking wizard going to respond?
RE: RE: RE: Hey Wiz  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 5:26 pm : link
In comment 13147209 tbonfig said:
Quote:
In comment 13147204 David in LA said:


Quote:





I'd play Jordan Howard for sure this week.



Why so confident? Just because he's a lead back?

Bears suck this season, i hate having players on bad teams.


Who are your other players you are considering? avoiding players just because they are on bad teams is a stigma that puts you at a disadvantage. The bears backfield as a unit has put up decent RB fantasy production This week will probably be mostly if not entirely Howard. Against the Lions at home too.
Hey....  
BamaBlue : 9/28/2016 5:26 pm : link
In comment 13147220 EricJ said:
Quote:
RE: What the hell? is this freaking wizard going to respond?


Do not anger the Wizard!! He needs to emerge from his trance to guide us...
Until the Wizard returns...  
BamaBlue : 9/28/2016 5:28 pm : link
Standard Scoring  
MotownGIANTS : 9/28/2016 5:30 pm : link
QBs:Cam Newton and Eli Manning

WRs: Amari Cooper, Sterling Shepard, John Brown or Tyrell Williams

RBs: Melvin Gordon, Latavius Murray, Devonte Freeman, Matt Forte

TEs: Coby Fleener, Eric Ebron and Martellus Bennett

Defense: NYG

K: Adam Vinatieri

League Allows 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 Flex (WR/TE), 1 Def and 1 Kicker
Typo  
MotownGIANTS : 9/28/2016 5:34 pm : link
The Flex only allows for a WR or RB .... not a TE sorry
Mike Evans - do I sell now?  
ImThatGuy : 9/28/2016 6:29 pm : link
I'm in a 10 team PPR and doing ok at WR (D. Baldwin, Decker, D. Thomas and Snead) but I'm struggling at RB. Do I try and trade Evans for say Leveon Bell? Or another top RB?
RE: RE: RE: RE: Hey Wiz  
tbonfig : 9/28/2016 6:37 pm : link
In comment 13147230 giantsfan44ab said:
Quote:
In comment 13147209 tbonfig said:


Quote:


In comment 13147204 David in LA said:


Quote:





I'd play Jordan Howard for sure this week.



Why so confident? Just because he's a lead back?

Bears suck this season, i hate having players on bad teams.



Who are your other players you are considering? avoiding players just because they are on bad teams is a stigma that puts you at a disadvantage. The bears backfield as a unit has put up decent RB fantasy production This week will probably be mostly if not entirely Howard. Against the Lions at home too.


That's a good point. According to ESPN, Lions are giving up the 8th least points to RBs in fantasy.

RB: Murray, Ware, Charles, Yeldon, Howard
WR: Decker, Marvin Jones, Cobb, Hurns, Sharpe

2 RB / 2 WR / Flex

Thoughts?
tbonfig  
David in LA : 9/28/2016 6:41 pm : link
with Murray losing more snaps, I think this is as good as any time to play Howard. He's going to be the workhorse, against a mediocre opponent, and Howard was inevitably going to take Langford's job IMO. He's looked like the better back in preseason, he's a starting RB2 easily.
Guy with Dez is trying to sell him now  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 7:01 pm : link
he offered me Dez and Fuller for Sims and Ty williams but then said no. So then I said Sims and Williams for Dez straight up. Is this guy overreacting to the hairline fracture or should I be more hesitant? If he says no to tha who else should I go with on my bench for Dez?

Out of Ty williams, sims, blount, deangelo, howard, russ wilson and Carr?

If hes borderline Sims and Ty williams I might throw in one of Deangelo, Wilson or Carr to sweeten it for him. He has Brees but i think Carr/Wilson can be used as a trade chip.

For those who read by NFT from earlier today, I might cause 2 uproars in one day with this shit haha.
Yikes!!  
Roto Wizard : 9/28/2016 7:19 pm : link
I leave for two hours for a Sirius XM production meeting with Football Diehards and to cook dinner and I come back to the angry South Park mob!!



Sorry!!

Alright, I have a beer next to me. Lets do this.

First and foremost, last week was quite a weird one for many players - several studs opted to not show up at all (Julio, Cooks, Benjamin to name a few), while others that I expected to be heaping bags of garbage pulled a 180 (This list is too long to count). Hopefully my advice helped, and I'm certainly sorry if it didn't. Fingers crossed for more hits than misses in Week 4!

Lets get started. This might be a long response post, sorry.

@YAJ2112 - My bad on that Seattle call buddy. Didn't feel too good about Hyde - was surprised that the team opted to use them as much as they did in garbage time. The numbers were there at the end, but that was unforseen. Figure moving forward that Draughn would get more of the come-from-behind work.

As for the guys from RotoExperts - their show was permanently removed from Sirius XM since their contract ran up with the network. Truth be told, tensions were high for quite some time since their company created the FNTSY Sports Network, which is a direct competitor to that channel. The writing was on the wall there for a while, coupled with the fact that several of the hosts weren't very friendly with the producers. The guys from Sirius have a heavy hand on how the show is run, when they switch coverage from baseball to football, etc.

As for John taking the spot - it wasn't who I would have selected. That isn't to say that the Guru is great, but his energy doesn't really fit a morning show. He's more of a commentary guy than someone who constantly steers/drives the content. Hopefully things will improve when he gets guest hosts there with him.

@beatrixkiddo - Many thanks! I'd prefer Stafford vs. the Bears - he appears to be matchup proof at this point under Cooter's leadership. I have him in my top 5 QBs moving forward.

@tbonfig - Sorry for your loss :(

1. The problem is that with Nelson still recovering, his speed (or that of Davante Adams) isn't able to take the top off of the defense, opening up those under routes for Cobb. That, coupled with Rodger's poor mechanics of late (last game withstanding) have really cost Cobb dearly. I think that he rebounds in the second half of the season to a degree, but I still have him as a WR3.

2. I like him as a FLEX option, but not much more than that. The garbage time production will be there because the team is atrocious, and he doesn't really have much in terms of direct competition until Langford returns (Bell is meaningless). For a fill-in during the BYE weeks, he's a plus option.

3. That whole Chiefs backfield is a mess. Still feel that West/Ware will get their touches, especially in the first few weeks that Charles returns. Can't forsee any of the backs ever having a 65%+ share of the work, to protect their health. And quite frankly, if they are winning, they will keep to the script.

4. I'll fence sit here and say a little of both? Think that he has another 2-3 weeks of being a useful starter, but predicting when those will be is a total crapshoot. He will continue to frustrate owners.

@Miami_JintsFan - I think that I'd still roll with Maclin. Jackson and Williams should be good for a TD, but even in a standard format I think that Maclin comes away with more points.

@drkenneth - It happens!

@BigBlueFantasy - RBs - McCoy and Michael WRs - Hopkins and Williams FLEX - Parker

@EricJ - Darkwa. He'll get a majority of the touches this week (I'm under the assumption that Jennings will be inactive). Even with Vereen out, I think that Rainey gets first-crack at the pass-catching duties for this team. He has the experience plus he's good on special teams.

@Danny Kanell - Michael for me.

@giantsfan44ab - I'll say Cousins vs. the Browns of those you listed.

@Giants Fan in Steelers Land - 1. Shepard 2. Crowell

@dep026 - Beasley, since I'm assuming Garoppolo won't start. If Garoppolo starts, than Gronk. Prefer the Chiefs.

@superspynyg - 1. Brees 2. Eek. Evans, but biting my lip here. 3. Ware, but I think Charles starts.

@EricJ - I'm here! I promise!!

@MotownGIANTS -

QB - Newton
RB - Freeman and Forte
WR - Shepard and Cooper
FLEX - Gordon

@ImThatGuy - If the Bell owner is willing to trade him 1:1 for Evans, I do that deal in a heartbeat, but I don't think that is enough. You might need to try and get Gurley instead.
this guy offered me Dez for Howard  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 7:42 pm : link
straight up. Fuck. I watched Howard this past year at Indiana and I think he's legit. the bears are going to run with him over langford IMO. I also don't need a WR and im relying one of Blount or Howard to step up and be my RB2.
No worries! What are your thoughts on Brandon Marshall  
drkenneth : 9/28/2016 8:00 pm : link
Moving forward? Have Fitz & Crabtree, who both have been good.

Sorry for the constant updates  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 8:03 pm : link
Dez trade is sitting at Ty Williams, Sims and either Wilson or Carr for Dez. Should I engage?
You kick ass  
superspynyg : 9/28/2016 8:46 pm : link
Wiz!!!
@giantsfan44ab  
Roto Wizard : 9/28/2016 8:51 pm : link
The first deal was a slam dunk since it was for Howard. I wouldn't be gung-ho about acquiring Dez at this point - good chance that he misses at least one week while recovering from this leg injury, and this is no longer an offense that likes to utilize him heavily while they push it down the field. More about ball control, clock management to reduce their defense being on the field, and a strong running game behind their great offensive line. Dez is still a WR2 to me though.
It hurts me to ask this....  
smshmth8690 : 9/28/2016 9:27 pm : link
Eli, or Andy Dalton?
Also Darkwa or Kenyon Drake, and Delanie Walker or Martellus Bennett?
Thank you in advance!
Evan  
Cruzin : 9/28/2016 9:38 pm : link

Appreciate what you do

Change of pace, I'm in 3 finals in baseball, need an inside report on Albert Pujols. I have plenty of pitching and limited moves. Any word on if he's done for the year because of the foot? He's been hitting the ball, I hate to drop him.

'Lil help?
Is CJ Spiller worth a roster spot?  
SimpleMan : 9/28/2016 9:43 pm : link
I dropped my kicker and picked him up, giving me time to decide between Spiller and someone like Wendall Smallwood who has shown some upside.

I do play in a 12 team league (.5PPR) with big benches to there are not a lot of options on waivers.
Yeah, I don't think John is a good fit in the morning either.  
YAJ2112 : 9/28/2016 9:49 pm : link
He works much better in the afternoon when the news starts coming in.

Mans would be perfect, but doubt he would want those hours in Arizona. Same with Harris.
.  
Danny Kanell : 9/28/2016 10:04 pm : link
Thanks Roto. Also, I was offered Eddie Lacy for Hyde and Jeremy Hill. Thoughts? I have a glut of pretty good RBs
RE: .  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 10:31 pm : link
In comment 13147477 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
Thanks Roto. Also, I was offered Eddie Lacy for Hyde and Jeremy Hill. Thoughts? I have a glut of pretty good RBs


I think I'd take Hyde alone over Lacy. Even if I wouldn't those two would together easily make it up for me.

Thanks for the advice Roto, although I went ahead with Wilson/Sims/tyrelle for Dez/Dalton. Gonna ride or die with Howard!
And to your point about being cautious about  
giantsfan44ab : 9/28/2016 10:35 pm : link
Dez. I have Marshall, Cooks and Evans. I'm willing to go high risk high reward with my WR4. I think I could flip him if need be.
RE: RE: .  
Danny Kanell : 9/28/2016 10:38 pm : link
In comment 13147503 giantsfan44ab said:
Quote:
In comment 13147477 Danny Kanell said:


Quote:


Thanks Roto. Also, I was offered Eddie Lacy for Hyde and Jeremy Hill. Thoughts? I have a glut of pretty good RBs



I think I'd take Hyde alone over Lacy. Even if I wouldn't those two would together easily make it up for me.

Thanks for the advice Roto, although I went ahead with Wilson/Sims/tyrelle for Dez/Dalton. Gonna ride or die with Howard!


I still value Lacy over Hyde. I start 2 RBs in my league and I have Blount, Hyde, Hill, McKinnon, Michael.
Plus  
Danny Kanell : 9/28/2016 10:39 pm : link
Lacy is already done with his bye after this week and I can start Michael at RB2 this week.

It's a tough call imo
did i miss it?  
dancing blue bear : 9/28/2016 10:40 pm : link
PPR...

RBs - C. Micheal, Ingram, T.Coleman, Howard

need to start 2, but can flex 1, but that would involve sitting decker or diggs

thoughts?

let's try this one again....Fleener or Ebron

and for shits and giggles i need a trash heap QB for a week

Brock, Tyrod, Dak, or Marcus

thanks buddy. I pay no attention to that man behind the curtain
.5 ppr no flex  
TheMcThrill : 9/28/2016 11:31 pm : link
have Eli and picked up Siemian off waivers, I normally trust Eli to put up points but against the Minny defense not sure if Siemian wouldn't be better against TB. What do you think?

Wr3 B. Marshall against Sherman or Shepard?



Well mac  
Cruzin : 9/29/2016 12:07 am : link

I'm not the wizard but I've been studying Minny for the last 5 days as well as watching all 3 of their games several times each and considering the workload RW has, I would humbly assume I've got more time n than he has on the subject.

We're not going to run the ball, we'll have to try but barring some sort of unforeseen natural phenomena the only way we are going to move the ball is to throw short and hope for missed tackles or miscommunication which is not highly likely from a D that returns all 11 starters.

Anything s possible but I would say any form of offensive TD from either team in this one unlikely.

Denver has a well balanced offense with a confident QB that can throw short accurately and has the running game to open things up deep to quality WRs. Not to mention they get Virgil Green back this week who makes for a nice check down for Semien if he can't find anything he likes downfield. TB has no D.

I'd say 250/2 and maybe a pick on a bad throw from Semien. Eli will throw more but to who and how far? I'd give Eli the same 250 yds but no TDs. Go wth the smart pickup this week play Semien with confidence.
Curious as to your opinion on Rest of Year ranks  
BlueManFu : 9/29/2016 12:11 am : link
Of Charles Sims (on another team) and Tevin Coleman (on my team)?

The other team has Freeman and I have Martin, so I had been trying to swap these handcuffs for Martin and Freeman since before Martin pulled the hammy and the owner said no. Once Martin was hurt and the other team could swap Sims into his starting lineup I thought the deal was dead. With Marrin out I started Coleman at my flex and was pleased to see him vulture 3 rushing TDs from Freeman (Sims also had a good day in his first start).

Now the other team has proposed the same trade that he'd previously rejected. Although if I make the deal I'm guaranteed to have a back that gets a lot of weekly work (classic handcuff where the backup is talented and can produce like the starter), it almost feels like Coleman could be productive all year even in the platoon with Freeman. And if Freeman ever went down Coleman could be a monster with workhorse level snaps. Now I'm actually hesitant about this deal that I wanted to do so bad right after my draft.

So in this scenario would you trade Coleman for Sims? Which back do you like to put up more points the rest of the season, assuming both Martin and Freeman are healthy the rest of the year? Thanks in advance for your thoughts on this!
Mike Evans or Tyrelll pryor  
12aob : 10/2/2016 2:19 am : link
For flex? 0.5 ppr
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