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My Eli theory - he's hurt.

jcn56 : 10/10/2016 12:18 pm
Probably not unique, and might smell to some as homerism/defending Eli, but some on BBI would know I've been critical of the big guy when he messes up.

Reasoning - his mechanics look all off. Throws don't come out right. He used to have a few of these balls a game, as just a normal by-product of the way Eli plays. But now we're looking at a lot more of them, it seems like just about every throw Eli makes is over or under thrown, or behind receivers on short passes. Does a 13 year vet suddenly have mechanical issues? When that 13 year vet also has Archie and Peyton Manning in his family, I'd say no - if this was just tinkering by the staff I think Eli would've figured it out by now.

His pocket presence is definitely impacted; while I couldn't blame him, given the lack of protection, over the years he's done pretty well hanging in there and moving around when the pocket around him collapses (he's certainly had enough practice). Now we're seeing him throw the ball away a lot more frequently than he used to. Is he scared? I'd doubt it, given how long he's hung in with as bad or worse protection.

My guess - Eli, trying to protect his iron man streak and us from Nassib, is playing with a bruised shoulder or ribs, and his throws are all off. In an attempt to keep the injury from worsening, he's dumping the ball more quickly than normal. And after he took a couple of hits last night, the throws looked noticeably worse.

To me, Eli's always been a mercurial passer, making some throws where you'd say 'oh, c'mon man!' and wish he could take them back, while also hitting these extremely small windows that had you thinking 'how the hell did he fit it in there?'. Now, with his accuracy impacted, it seems like he can't make the tight throws, and the cover 2 coverage makes it impossible for him to get anywhere.

Does it sound unreasonable? Not trying to make excuses for Eli, it could just be bad protection and reverting to poor form, but it really doesn't look like the usual Eli out there, and if there's one thing he's been, it's consistent with his inconsistency.
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Something isn't right  
regulator : 10/10/2016 12:20 pm : link
the shot he took against WAS certainly could have something to do with it. Still, his footwork lately sucks and his internal clock seems to be way off.

This is as poor a stretch of football I've seen from Eli in a long, long time and it's very discouraging.
Possible  
HoustonGiant : 10/10/2016 12:20 pm : link
his accuracy is bad, his timing is bad. Either it's an injury or zero faith in the O-line - which is far more likely.
RE: Possible  
jcn56 : 10/10/2016 12:21 pm : link
In comment 13167699 HoustonGiant said:
Quote:
his accuracy is bad, his timing is bad. Either it's an injury or zero faith in the O-line - which is far more likely.


That's the thing, though - this bad OL isn't something that just popped up. He's been good the past couple of years, with worse protection and fewer targets.
The way he  
jvm52106 : 10/10/2016 12:21 pm : link
throws the deep ball to the outside, especially to the right gives a lot of credence to your post. He looks like he is shot putting the ball out there and it just doesn't look right. i know, not scientific or quantitative but something looks way off in the way he throws the ball right now.
he's hurt  
chris r : 10/10/2016 12:22 pm : link
he was throwing some ducks out there. His arm looked great earlier in the season.

If he can't get healthy, our season is shot to pieces.
still doesn't excuse his sloppiness with the ball  
chris r : 10/10/2016 12:23 pm : link
if he can't throw, he's got to be extra careful not to turn it over.

So glad we have Ryan Nassib...
Eli's first 2 years in McAdoo's offense  
mfsd : 10/10/2016 12:23 pm : link
Were the 2 most accurate of his career - and that was with the likes of Rueben Randle dropping several balls.

Through 5 games this year, he's regressed badly. Certainly reasonable to ask this question.

People are getting on Tye for missing the seam pass last night, but Eli's throw was high. And missing a wide open OBJ on the deep corner was bad too - Eli's made that throw 80% of the time or so the last 2 years
Seems like a legit possibility.  
bceagle05 : 10/10/2016 12:24 pm : link
He's been great the past two seasons and was looking good through 2+ games this year. He didn't just get old overnight. I remember in 2012 he his play fell off a cliff after the San Fran game (as did the team's), and we later found out his shoulder got a little banged up during that game.
I think its very simple  
SamdaGiantsFan : 10/10/2016 12:25 pm : link
and apparent watching Aaron Rodgers squeaky clean pocket and Eli's pocket. He has little faith in his OTs and OL in general, and its causing his rhythm and overall game to be rushed and off
I should note - I think he was the most accurate QB in the league  
mfsd : 10/10/2016 12:26 pm : link
Through 2 weeks this year, plus most of the first half against the Skins - and has fallen off a cliff since. He may well have gotten hurt in that damn Washington game
i'd like to see a QB+ rating  
chris r : 10/10/2016 12:26 pm : link
before and after he got pile driven into the ground by that DT.
I agree with the OP  
banks58 : 10/10/2016 12:27 pm : link
He's doing everything in his power to not get hit. These are basic throws he's missing too.
The alternative side if he isn't hurt isn't good!!!
It would not surprise me if he is hurt  
AnnapolisMike : 10/10/2016 12:29 pm : link
That combined with a OL that is struggling in Pass Protection would be a recipe for disaster.
We should all remember...  
Knee of Theismann : 10/10/2016 12:31 pm : link
dude is about to be 36 years old. There once was a time that that would have meant we'd say he was "over the hill", but we seem to have forgotten that sometimes a QB's skills can begin to diminish past 35.

Not saying we can't still win with Eli, just saying age might be a factor.
He's  
AcidTest : 10/10/2016 12:31 pm : link
hurt or its a combination of other injuries and hits. But the end result is the same: he's lost a lot of arm strength, especially on the sideline outs. His passes also regularly flutter.
RE: We should all remember...  
jcn56 : 10/10/2016 12:35 pm : link
In comment 13167729 Knee of Theismann said:
Quote:
dude is about to be 36 years old. There once was a time that that would have meant we'd say he was "over the hill", but we seem to have forgotten that sometimes a QB's skills can begin to diminish past 35.

Not saying we can't still win with Eli, just saying age might be a factor.


This is entirely possible too, but he looked much sharper in the preseason. It could be a combo of both injury and age.
the only thing hurt is his confidence  
pjcas18 : 10/10/2016 12:35 pm : link
he looks like a less mobile David Carr back there when he was on the Texans.
We've seen this before  
Go Terps : 10/10/2016 12:40 pm : link
I don't think he's hurt. I think the line stinks and he's too aware of it. He's taken a few big shots so far this season, and he's reacting to pressure whether or not it's there.

That means bad footwork (always the first thing to look at with him) and throws that are off schedule, which are always going to look worse.

He will just will never be  
Jimmy Googs : 10/10/2016 12:42 pm : link
Dak Prescott
RE: RE: We should all remember...  
chris r : 10/10/2016 12:43 pm : link
In comment 13167737 jcn56 said:
Quote:
In comment 13167729 Knee of Theismann said:


Quote:


dude is about to be 36 years old. There once was a time that that would have meant we'd say he was "over the hill", but we seem to have forgotten that sometimes a QB's skills can begin to diminish past 35.

Not saying we can't still win with Eli, just saying age might be a factor.



This is entirely possible too, but he looked much sharper in the preseason. It could be a combo of both injury and age.


And the first two games of the regular season.
I am 100% convinced he is hiding some sort of shoulder  
jlukes : 10/10/2016 12:45 pm : link
elbow, rib or side injury.

He is flinching, he has happy feet, he throwing some awful passes.

There are far too many signs that point towards injury rather than just "he's getting old"
Last night I said he looks done  
Vin R : 10/10/2016 12:48 pm : link
But I'm starting think he's really just hurt, he doesn't just look off.. He looks way off
The line was shakiest last night.  
section125 : 10/10/2016 12:48 pm : link
But, he still had time to throw most of the time. He also did not step up into the pocket like he used to do. I was a bit surprised that he didn't - he did some, but not like he used to.

I'm not going to dismiss a possible injury, but not disclosing injuries violates NFL rules. Frankly, aside from the one bad pop against Washington, he has not been hit "hard." Hit yes, some, but no real blasts.
When did we look  
area junc : 10/10/2016 12:51 pm : link
sharp in preseason? We've been consistently struggling
His entire career ... he has always had games  
short lease : 10/10/2016 12:51 pm : link
or patches of like ... WTF Eli?
Gotta maintain that iron man streak, bruh  
Brown Recluse : 10/10/2016 12:53 pm : link
.
Agree. Said it last night  
Fish : 10/10/2016 12:53 pm : link
That shot he took vs skins could have been the one.
Saints game, his accuracy was 10/10  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 10/10/2016 12:59 pm : link
so whatever it is, it happened recently.
.  
Danny Kanell : 10/10/2016 1:00 pm : link
There's definitely potentially some merit to this. He's been playing as if he's almost scared to hurt something worse and miss time.
He's been bad since the preseason.  
Dave in Hoboken : 10/10/2016 1:02 pm : link
Not buying it.
I think he may be hurt too. Look closely after the hit by the Skins  
Ivan15 : 10/10/2016 1:03 pm : link
You will see Eli grab his forearm or wrist and then quickly stop.

Seems like he is hiding an injury.
.  
Danny Kanell : 10/10/2016 1:06 pm : link
Anyone have a link to the clip of the hit he took against the Skins?
68% completions and 3 TDs against the Cowboys wasn't "bad."  
Mr. Bungle : 10/10/2016 1:07 pm : link
78% completions and 368 yards against the Saints wasn't "bad."

Holy shit.
Does not trust O-line  
Motley Two : 10/10/2016 1:09 pm : link
and the system and they way it's been run is not letting any type of rhythm to be established. No efficiency in getting the plays off in a timely manner and this team is inconsistently inconsistent. In the past he was at least able to have an idea of where to expect inconsistency. It's all over the place now.

Maybe, but tough to hide an injury  
oldutican : 10/10/2016 1:09 pm : link
to a player of Eli's status. Plus, aren't their penalties for doing that?
Eli hurt = Nassib uninjured  
I Love Clams Casino : 10/10/2016 1:09 pm : link
.
He's not hurt  
UberAlias : 10/10/2016 1:15 pm : link
He's not trusting this Oline.

Blindside pressure is brutal. He hears footsteps whether its there or not and he gets panicky after a couple seconds.
RE: Something isn't right  
Justlurking : 10/10/2016 1:15 pm : link
In comment 13167698 regulator said:
Quote:
the shot he took against WAS certainly could have something to do with it. Still, his footwork lately sucks and his internal clock seems to be way off.

This is as poor a stretch of football I've seen from Eli in a long, long time and it's very discouraging.


My brother said the same thing about the hit in the Redskins game. Does anyone have a clip of it? I havent seen it on replay (was in stadium but dont recall it). He definitely looks concussed lately.
Yip...I don't get the he's been bad all year comments...  
okiegiant : 10/10/2016 1:17 pm : link
He's been bad the last 9 quarters...somethings up.
I actually hope he is  
Mike in Long Beach : 10/10/2016 1:18 pm : link
.
No penalties..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/10/2016 1:19 pm : link
for guys who play.

Quote:
Maybe, but tough to hide an injury
oldutican : 1:09 pm : link : reply
to a player of Eli's status. Plus, aren't their penalties for doing that?


Injury lists are designations intended to say which players are not likely to play or are dealing with injuries that may keep a player out.

If Eli is confident he'll play and he's not being actively treated for an injury, the team is not under obligation to disclose it. Now if he's receiving treatment for something considered an injury or if he's gone for x-rays or an MRI, the team is supposed to declare that.

Quote:
The Practice Report provides clubs and fans with an accurate description of a player’s injury status and how much he participated in practice during the week. If any player has a significant or noteworthy injury, it must be listed on the practice report, even if he fully participates in practice and the team expects that he will play in the team’s next game. This is especially important for key players whose injuries may be covered extensively by the media.

The Game Status Report provides clubs and fans with an accurate description of a player’s availability for the club’s next game. Teams must notify the league, their opponent, local and national media, and the league’s broadcast partners of the status of their injured players by 4 p.m. ET the day before their next scheduled game.
I can tell you this  
I Love Clams Casino : 10/10/2016 1:23 pm : link
with the one or 2 big hits Eli took last night, if he was hurt, I'd say the chances are that he aggravated it. If so, he may not be able to hold off on the "no treatment" thing
Agreed on the injury theory.  
map7711 : 10/10/2016 1:24 pm : link
Could that explain somewhat the fumbling????
His brother's neck injury came gainst the Redskins too if  
Brown Recluse : 10/10/2016 1:26 pm : link
I recall.
Eli..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/10/2016 1:26 pm : link
has always been fumble prone and probably will always remain fumble-prone.
RE: Agree. Said it last night  
AcidTest : 10/10/2016 1:27 pm : link
In comment 13167772 Fish said:
Quote:
That shot he took vs skins could have been the one.


Could easily be correct. He doesn't trust his OL not to let that happen again.
And I'll bet anything that  
Bill in UT : 10/10/2016 1:33 pm : link
Flowers' high ankle sprain has returned and the team is hiding it.
I don't think he's hurt either...  
BillKo : 10/10/2016 1:36 pm : link
I will say that I have sat in the new stadium since it opened, and my seats are endzone so I see all the throws Eli makes.

I've noticed, since about 2012, that his his throws are either slightly behind or behind in some cases. Now that's obviously not all throws, but many more than you'd expect. Even last night on the slants to OBJ, he was reaching back a bit.

Now, that combined with the shaky OL play, and I think you have the answer. Mechanics not right, and balls are now off the target more.

I do believe Eli will get back to playing good football....he's just in a slump right now. It happens.
RE: Yip...I don't get the he's been bad all year comments...  
BillKo : 10/10/2016 1:39 pm : link
In comment 13167834 okiegiant said:
Quote:
He's been bad the last 9 quarters...somethings up.


Maybe if we played Chicago or Cleveland, we would think differently.

I think we need to realize, teams with good DL's are going to still give us fits.

It doesn't matter what your receivers look like. You need to be able to control the LOS, and we simply are proving on Sunday's we can't do it right now.
Put me in the group that doesn't think he's hurt.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 10/10/2016 1:41 pm : link
Hits, lack of trust in o-line, and the resulting mayhem that plays with his mechanics/willingness to stand in the pocket are the issues.
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