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NFT: Cespedes back to the Mets

KWhite2250 : 11/29/2016 2:14 pm
According to francesa
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RE: Rene Rivera  
debo_GIANTS : 12/2/2016 1:14 pm : link
In comment 13244431 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
returns after all

Jon Heyman ‏@JonHeyman 9m9 minutes ago Jersey City, NJ
rene rivera settles with mets, $1.75M


Like I had mentioned the other day, given the other FA options, this is not a terrible decision. He did a really good job handling our pitchers last year.
I get what you guys are saying...  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:15 pm : link
Wasn't a knock... just if my options are trade Nimmo for Vogt or sign Suzuki and keep Nimmo I'm certainly going with the latter.
Suzuki  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:20 pm : link
is one of the worst pitch framers in baseball (on par with Wieters) and has been worth .5 fWAR the past 2 seasons COMBINED. Not trying to argue with you but I'm not understanding your interest in Suzuki. He's a bad baseball player.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: Suzuki  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:24 pm : link
In comment 13244485 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
is one of the worst pitch framers in baseball (on par with Wieters) and has been worth .5 fWAR the past 2 seasons COMBINED. Not trying to argue with you but I'm not understanding your interest in Suzuki. He's a bad baseball player. Link - ( New Window )


In 2015 he had an awful year with the bat and that is why you are getting that. He's a decent hitter for a catcher and he's graded positively defensively as a catcher every year of his career. He also hits righties better than lefties for his career. Im not saying he's great but I dont think he would be difficult to obtain.
My rankings would probably be  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:25 pm : link
1. Cervelli (unlikely)
2. Norris
3. Wolters
4. Vogt (depends on the price)
5. Castillo
6. Wieters (his ranking would depend on cost, I'd move him up if he's take 2 years but he's looking for 4)
7. Herrmann (probably sucks but was really impressive in limited time last season)
8. No idea, some guy I haven't thought of/didn't know was available like a Tom Murphy
I mean Im using a little context here  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:27 pm : link
Im not comparing him to somebody like Wieters but if I was? Wieters hasn't been a 2 WAR player in any of the last 3 years either. 87 wRC+ to 97 wRC+. Wieters is better but not by a whole lot.
RE: RE: Suzuki  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:29 pm : link
In comment 13244493 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
In comment 13244485 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


is one of the worst pitch framers in baseball (on par with Wieters) and has been worth .5 fWAR the past 2 seasons COMBINED. Not trying to argue with you but I'm not understanding your interest in Suzuki. He's a bad baseball player. Link - ( New Window )



In 2015 he had an awful year with the bat and that is why you are getting that. He's a decent hitter for a catcher and he's graded positively defensively as a catcher every year of his career. He also hits righties better than lefties for his career. Im not saying he's great but I dont think he would be difficult to obtain.


But he was worth 0.6 fWAR during the 2016 season as well (with poor framing numbers) at that point you might as well just hope TDA/Rivera/Plawecki somehow have good seasons. Suzuki has been a league average regular (barely) twice since 2009 (2014 and 2011). If we are going to bring on a guy who "gives away" strikes I'd have to have offense to off-set it and I don't think he brings that.
I'm praying that someone is in the process of  
Rob in Rockaway : 12/2/2016 1:29 pm : link
breaking TDA of that shitty habit of wrapping the bat around his head. Just an awful setup at the plate. Yastremski got away with it but TDA ain't Yaz.
RE: I mean Im using a little context here  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:31 pm : link
In comment 13244501 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
Im not comparing him to somebody like Wieters but if I was? Wieters hasn't been a 2 WAR player in any of the last 3 years either. 87 wRC+ to 97 wRC+. Wieters is better but not by a whole lot.


2015 Matt Wieters played 26 games so to include that as "last 3" is beyond ridiculous no offense. I'm already on record not wanting Wieters but 2016

Wieters 1.7 fWAR
Suzuki 0.6 fWAR

So Wieters was 3 times more valuable over 18 more games played. Suzuki last 3 seasons combined...2.5 fWAR.
I just think most of the guys you are listing  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:33 pm : link
are "starters" and some of which are even all-stars. I look at Wieters and Norris, ect. and I dont see Suzuki all that far off and I wouldn't be counting Suzuki as a starter on our team. TDA is still the guy. What I do want is somebody that isn't going to completely fall in his ass if TDA goes down or needs a blow against a tough righty. Mainly, somebody that is at least half way competent with the bat.

Just an idea. Im open to almost everyone.
RE: I'm praying that someone is in the process of  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:33 pm : link
In comment 13244506 Rob in Rockaway said:
Quote:
breaking TDA of that shitty habit of wrapping the bat around his head. Just an awful setup at the plate. Yastremski got away with it but TDA ain't Yaz.


I don't like it either. He has a pretty slow bat/long swing to begin with. Very odd Long didn't move him away from that. I was hoping he would look into working with Bobby Tewksbary aka "The swing king". Guy is credited with "fixing" both Josh Donaldson and JD Martinez. Matt Joyce has been working with him which apparently is part of the reason the A's gambled on him.
RE: RE: I mean Im using a little context here  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:35 pm : link
In comment 13244510 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 13244501 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


Im not comparing him to somebody like Wieters but if I was? Wieters hasn't been a 2 WAR player in any of the last 3 years either. 87 wRC+ to 97 wRC+. Wieters is better but not by a whole lot.



2015 Matt Wieters played 26 games so to include that as "last 3" is beyond ridiculous no offense. I'm already on record not wanting Wieters but 2016

Wieters 1.7 fWAR
Suzuki 0.6 fWAR

So Wieters was 3 times more valuable over 18 more games played. Suzuki last 3 seasons combined...2.5 fWAR.


Only looked at it in quick glance. Wasn't really looking at his games. Hasn't been a 2 fWAR player in three years is still worth noting IMO. I already mentioned Suzuki was horrid in 2015 so I dont really get comparing that year or driving it home further.
RE: I'm praying that someone is in the process of  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:37 pm : link
In comment 13244506 Rob in Rockaway said:
Quote:
breaking TDA of that shitty habit of wrapping the bat around his head. Just an awful setup at the plate. Yastremski got away with it but TDA ain't Yaz.


Said the same thing every single game last year. According to people familiar with the situation he went AGAINST Long's wished (what worked in 2015) the moment he struggled and thought he would be more comfortable going back to worked in college. Moronic if you ask me.
Supposedly the Mets are eager to start working with TDA  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:39 pm : link
Early next year. Im betting Long get's him back on track. Can he stay healthy? Much bigger question.
So what did you find wrong with Avila?  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:47 pm : link
Seems like a nice cheap add?
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:47 pm : link
I really think the Mets/A's line up nicely for a potential RP/OF swap
RE: So what did you find wrong with Avila?  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:48 pm : link
In comment 13244533 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
Seems like a nice cheap add?


Considering defense he's roughly a Rivera caliber addition. With Rivera back I'd aim higher, younger or not even bother.
Mets can still release Rivera in Spring training  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:50 pm : link
and only be on the hook for roughly 16% of his contract. In that light, it was a complete no-brainer.
RE: RE: So what did you find wrong with Avila?  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:50 pm : link
In comment 13244535 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 13244533 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


Seems like a nice cheap add?



Considering defense he's roughly a Rivera caliber addition. With Rivera back I'd aim higher, younger or not even bother.


Much better hitter though against righties?
Yes  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 1:53 pm : link
He's better vs RHP
like....  
ZGiants98 : 12/2/2016 1:54 pm : link
much...much...much...

lol.

All good. Im done talking about catchers. We'll see what happens. he
Any less than speculative word  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 2:15 pm : link
on what to expect from Wright this year?

I've read things all the way from retire to DL (so they get the insurance), to the starting 3B.

Obviously you can't count on him, and I think this year's backup plan is better than 2016, but where does the truth lie if there is one on Wright?
RE: Any less than speculative word  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 2:36 pm : link
In comment 13244581 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
on what to expect from Wright this year?

I've read things all the way from retire to DL (so they get the insurance), to the starting 3B.

Obviously you can't count on him, and I think this year's backup plan is better than 2016, but where does the truth lie if there is one on Wright?


Sandy said they are "hopeful" Wright will be ready for ST and admitted they don't know what to expect.
Damn  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 5:15 pm : link
Bob Nightengale ‏@BNightengale 43s43 seconds ago
The #Nats get their catcher, acquiring Derek Norris of the #Padres
.  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 5:27 pm : link
Quote:
Michael Mayer
‏@themainemets

Derek Norris was somehow worse offensively than Travis d'Arnaud in 2016.


Quote:

Michael Mayer ‏@themainemets 9m9 minutes ago

Michael Mayer Retweeted Michael Mayer

TDA was a better pitch framer too.
Norris  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 5:30 pm : link
had an awful year but 2013-2015 he was 9th in fWAR, 2014 he was an all-star, 2013-2015 he was worth 2+ fWAR every season. TDA has done that... once.
Look forward  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 5:32 pm : link
not back.

LOL, I'm not defending Michal Mayer's tweets, only sharing them.
RE: Look forward  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 5:33 pm : link
In comment 13244822 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
not back.

LOL, I'm not defending Michal Mayer's tweets, only sharing them.


Hey I hope TDA is great, just saying we could have conceivably had both or 2 "lottery tickets"
Would have been nice  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 5:38 pm : link
I think catcher is one of those upgradeable positions.

I haven't given up on TDA yet though, I'm stubborn.

He has to be healthy one of these seasons, right?
Braves  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 5:54 pm : link
sign Recker 800k
Is this Cespedes signing another case of immediate gratification  
xman : 12/2/2016 6:13 pm : link
and back end disaster? If he is fantastic for 2 years and a dog for the back two then The cost seems very high. If he does produce for 4 years then is still a high price deal but you get some value
Disagrwe  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 6:30 pm : link
Cespedes has been a 4+ fWAR player over his 1.5 seasons with the Mets. If he's worth say 4.5, 4.5 x 8 million (1 fWar) then he will be worth roughly 80 million his first 2 years alone. As team friendly as a star deal gets
The  
DanMetroMan : 12/2/2016 6:39 pm : link
Mets will merely "break even" value wise at roughly 13 fWAR over the entirety of the deal. Career altering injury is the only way this is a "bad" deal
Premium on short term + new CBA  
Shecky : 12/2/2016 7:03 pm : link
When you look at the contracts that currently extend PAST the Ces contract. Wayyyyy past.

New CBA made it a no brainer - timing wasn't a coincidence.

Speaking of CBA. Huge win for Owners, again. Mets hurt by draft pick rule change.
Rubby de la Rosa  
pjcas18 : 12/2/2016 7:18 pm : link
non-tendered by AZ.

I'd take a flier, hasn't had much MLB success, but throws gas. Not throwing 100 anymore, but still tops 95.

See if Warthen can fix him, he's the kind of reclamation project might be cheap and worth it.
The Cespedes deal is as good as any star deal can ever be  
Eric on Li : 12/2/2016 9:15 pm : link
we got 4 likely prime years where he's going to be an above average (possibly GG) LF'er and a prolific RH power hitter, which is currently one of the rarest commodities in the sport. Huge steal, thought we'd definitely need to go 5 years.
Also i'm glad i'm not alone on Vogt  
Eric on Li : 12/2/2016 9:20 pm : link
He's a really good fit if Beane is in the mood to sell high. He's 32 and has so little long term upside I don't see why Beane wouldn't be interested in selling high. His K% and pitches per plate appearance would be a welcomed help in lengthening the lineup and reducing some of the hot/cold slumps. I know Dan's mentioned his pitch framing deficiencies but in the 2 years before '16 he was much more neutral, so hopefully that was just an aberration. He's probably the best realistically available catcher out there, and he just so happens to be a good lefty compliment to TdA. Nimmo + Robles for Vogt + Doolittle.
Welington  
DanMetroMan : 12/3/2016 10:54 am : link
Castillo should be a no-brainer at this point, I'd love Tyson Ross as well replacing Dickey/lottery ticket but I'd be shocked
RE: Welington  
Eric on Li : 12/3/2016 11:01 am : link
In comment 13245162 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Castillo should be a no-brainer at this point, I'd love Tyson Ross as well replacing Dickey/lottery ticket but I'd be shocked


It's funny, when browsing C's Castillo looked to be a great fit but it seemed like there'd be no reason for AZ to move him for a reasonable return, and then they non-tender him. He k's a ton but other than that he's a no-brainer upgrade over Rivera in almost every category. I'd understand them not immediately pouncing if there are better options out there but he'd be a good add.
RE: Welington  
spike : 12/3/2016 11:02 am : link
In comment 13245162 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Castillo should be a no-brainer at this point, I'd love Tyson Ross as well replacing Dickey/lottery ticket but I'd be shocked


This. . is it time to give up on TDA? Platoon situation?

Plawecki is not a major league hitter, unfortunately.
RE: Is this Cespedes signing another case of immediate gratification  
spike : 12/3/2016 11:03 am : link
In comment 13244855 xman said:
Quote:
and back end disaster? If he is fantastic for 2 years and a dog for the back two then The cost seems very high. If he does produce for 4 years then is still a high price deal but you get some value


I can't see Cespedes sucking that much at age 34-35. As long as he is happy with the organization and the team, he won't let his teammates down.
RE: RE: Welington  
Eric on Li : 12/3/2016 11:11 am : link
In comment 13245172 spike said:
Quote:
In comment 13245162 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Castillo should be a no-brainer at this point, I'd love Tyson Ross as well replacing Dickey/lottery ticket but I'd be shocked



This. . is it time to give up on TDA? Platoon situation?

Plawecki is not a major league hitter, unfortunately.


It's not time to give up on TDA, but it is time to have a legitimate plan B. Going into ST without a better one than Rivera/Plawecki would be negligent.
RE: RE: Is this Cespedes signing another case of immediate gratification  
Jim in Fairfax : 12/3/2016 11:19 am : link
In comment 13245173 spike said:
Quote:

I can't see Cespedes sucking that much at age 34-35. As long as he is happy with the organization and the team, he won't let his teammates down.

Unfortunately, desire to not let teammates down has little effect on ability to get around on a fastball.
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/3/2016 11:19 am : link
think it's simply time to have someone in place should 2017 be a repeat of 2016 at the C position. TDA simply doesn't have the MLB track record of success (or staying healthy) that he should be relied upon. Gimme Castillo/TDA with the guy playing better getting more PT. In my view it would be negligent to not bring in SOMEONE "just in case"
Do I have to start swinging the ban hammer around here  
Shecky : 12/3/2016 1:17 pm : link
And start knocking some mother fuckers out!?!?!?
RE: Do I have to start swinging the ban hammer around here  
pjcas18 : 12/3/2016 1:42 pm : link
In comment 13245285 Shecky said:
Quote:
And start knocking some mother fuckers out!?!?!?


LOL, you should get the power for any negative Plawecki comments.
Promotion for Lopez  
spike : 12/3/2016 1:49 pm : link
Pedro Lopez will succeed Wally Backman as the Triple-A Las Vegas manager, reports ESPN's Adam Rubin. Lopez had been the Double-A manager of Binghamton.

Backman left the organization back in September, citing that he felt 'disrespected' by the team.

Rubin also reports that Frank Viola and Jack Voigt will remain in their their positions as pitching and hitting coaches.



Go Pedro! - ( New Window )
Beltran  
pjcas18 : 12/3/2016 1:54 pm : link
to Astros 1 year 16M. If the Mets had a DH I would have loved to add him.
We should be investigating every C and BP option available  
Eric on Li : 12/3/2016 5:42 pm : link
Marc Carig ‏@MarcCarig 2h2 hours ago
Whatever Mets do re: Bruce/Grandy, it sounds like they're positioned to move fairly quickly. Could be a very interesting winter meetings.
Former Nat Marc Rzepczynski would have been a good lefty pickup  
spike : 12/3/2016 5:57 pm : link
but the Mariners scooped him up
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