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NFT: Cespedes back to the Mets

KWhite2250 : 11/29/2016 2:14 pm
According to francesa
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Another factor in all of this  
bhill410 : 11/30/2016 12:12 pm : link
Is the roster possibly going to 26. Let's the Mets carry a 6th starter to help mitigate the health concerns of the starters.
RE: Notice  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 12:17 pm : link
In comment 13241183 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
you don't even hear Ynoa "in the mix" for the rotation like Gsellman, Wheeler, Lugo.


All three of those have already experienced success at the major league level. This has devolved into something else now so I'm just going to bow out. Lol.
The thing with the pundits  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 12:25 pm : link
And the "experts" is it's almost always reactionary. Very few go out on a limb before a guy emerges. Church rips off 100 innings in St. Lucie next year that match his Columbia from last year and suddenly everyone's mentioning him and it still seems "fresh" because 99 % of the fanbase isn't tracking the minors to that level. It's all good... nothing wrong with it...but sometimes it's cool to just sit back and see what happens. These are all top 20/30 guys we are talking about. It's not like we are discussing possible intrigue/improvement from filler/zeros.
I'm  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 12:25 pm : link
surprised how many people thought JDM would be "cheap" to obtain while still believing the inferior Bruce would bring back a good return. Martinez is a better player, not really sure how that works lol
RE: The thing with the pundits  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 12:26 pm : link
In comment 13241216 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
And the "experts" is it's almost always reactionary. Very few go out on a limb before a guy emerges. Church rips off 100 innings in St. Lucie next year that match his Columbia from last year and suddenly everyone's mentioning him and it still seems "fresh" because 99 % of the fanbase isn't tracking the minors to that level. It's all good... nothing wrong with it...but sometimes it's cool to just sit back and see what happens. These are all top 20/30 guys we are talking about. It's not like we are discussing possible intrigue/improvement from filler/zeros.


Pundits generally aren't changing their view much on "meh" velocity guys without much projection. 6'2 190 88-92 on the FB isn't much to dream on.
AA  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 12:27 pm : link
ranked him #20 in the system

20. Andrew Church, RHP
Height: 6'2", Weight: 200 lbs.
DOB: 8/7/94 (22)
Acquired: 2nd round, 2013 Draft (Basic High School, Nevada)
Bats/Throws: R/R
2016: Columbia (Low-A): 9 G (9 GS), 56.2 IP, 38 H, 16 R, 14 ER (2.22 ERA), 10 BB, 52 K / St. Lucie (High-A): 6 G (6 GS), 35.0 IP, 31 H, 16 R, 14 ER (3.60 ERA), 14 H, BB, 22 K / Las Vegas (Triple-A): 1 G (1 GS), 4.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER (6.75 ERA), 1 BB, 4 K

The saga of Andrew Church has been a relatively strange one, and 2016 was no different. After falling off the radar thanks to injuries, Church resurfaced in 2016 and was highly effective in both Columbia, where he spent the bulk of the season, and St. Lucie. His fastball sits 89-91 MPH and touches as high as 95 MPH. Since being drafted, he has sidelined his curveball and instead replaced it with a slider that is more effective thanks to his arm slot. He rounds out his pitching repertoire with a changeup that is still very raw and is a work in progress.

Greg says:

We had largely written off the former second-round pick after he had floundered in extended spring training and short season ball since being drafted. He burst back onto the scene this year, dominating Low-A and holding his own in High-A. He features a fastball that can touch 95, but is probably more of a low 90s offering. His slider appears to be an above average offering, so that combination should get him to at least Double-A as a starter. If his changeup catches up to the slider, and the fastball settles in the higher range hes shown, it could be an exciting profile.
Lukas says:

Church reached Triple-A and posted good peripherals in his four-inning sample, but the rest of his minor league resume remains unimpressive. He also has yet to throw more than 100 innings in a season, making him a likely reliever at the next level. Close to major league ready pitching has some value though, and maybe Dan Warthen makes things play up.
Steve says:

I didnt really know what to make of Church when the Mets drafted him in the second-round years ago, and to be honest, I still dont know what to make of him. Despite solid numbers in 2016, I feel a bit pessimistic on Church. Nothing that he throws is exactly plus, his is still raw, and its not exactly like the right-hander has a track record. Still, he will be entering his age 22 season, and has time to refine his secondary pitches.
Fangraphs on Conforto  
sshin05 : 11/30/2016 12:32 pm : link
and pull power
Link - ( New Window )
Conforto  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 12:35 pm : link
Should stay unless they are blown away (obviously in the right deal I'd move him)
Verrett to the O's for cash  
arcarsenal : 11/30/2016 1:26 pm : link
Gotta get some of that Cespedes money back ;)
Frees up a roster spot  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 2:02 pm : link
for Cespedes.
What about packaging Bruce or Grandy for another OFer?  
Vanzetti : 11/30/2016 3:39 pm : link
What would Mets have to add to Bruce to get Andrew McCutchen from the Pirates? Nimmo and Cecchini? Do you do that trade?
RE: What about packaging Bruce or Grandy for another OFer?  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 3:41 pm : link
In comment 13241582 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
What would Mets have to add to Bruce to get Andrew McCutchen from the Pirates? Nimmo and Cecchini? Do you do that trade?


Pirates would 100% balk at that. McCutchen is their "Wright", his deal is team friendly and they have young talent at SS. It would start with Conforto or Matz.
McCutchen really needs to play CO  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 3:48 pm : link
His metrics were trending down for years prior to last year where he was just ridiculously bad defensively. He's in his 30s and some guys just dont age well. I dont see him as a fit really.
RE: McCutchen really needs to play CO  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 3:51 pm : link
In comment 13241595 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
His metrics were trending down for years prior to last year where he was just ridiculously bad defensively. He's in his 30s and some guys just dont age well. I dont see him as a fit really.


On the cheap I'd do it but overall I agree. I'd certainly do Bruce/Nimmo/Cecchini (which amounts to Nimmo/Cecchini but the Pirates would not.
Yeah me too...  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 3:57 pm : link
and I actually do think he will bounce back offensively... I just think he needs to be in a corner going forward. Everybody penciling him in as this CF are a little off IMO.
RE: Yeah me too...  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 3:58 pm : link
In comment 13241613 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
and I actually do think he will bounce back offensively... I just think he needs to be in a corner going forward. Everybody penciling him in as this CF are a little off IMO.


There is some thought he was struggling so badly at the plate that he took it into the field with him (who knows how true it is) but it's more likely he simply is a step slower. On the cheap it would be a no-brainer decline and all (incredible contract) but more likely than not he'd be in a corner in your best alignment.
He's  
DanMetroMan : 11/30/2016 3:59 pm : link
owed 4 million more than Matt Joyce just got...
So with the cespedes signing its semi of a moot  
bhill410 : 11/30/2016 7:34 pm : link
Point but do the rumors of the cba getting rid of draft picks go into effect immediately or next off season

Also how are the owners giving this up if they aren't getting an international draft?
No more first round pick forfeiture  
ZGiants98 : 11/30/2016 9:15 pm : link
for new CBA. Good news or bad news for Mets fans? Guess it could be good sine we are a win now team.
Seems to me that this cba is a negative for small market teams  
bhill410 : 12/1/2016 7:53 am : link
And the dodgers and Yankees. With everyone else not really having much of an impact. It is semi crazy to me that the players union seemingly gave up nothing in this whole thing but got fairly big concessions.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 9:13 am : link
@Ken_Rosenthal 2h2 hours ago
Some additional details on new CBA coming, starting with this: A player no longer can receive a qualifying offer more than once.

@Ken_Rosenthal 2h2 hours ago
Team that loses QO free agent will get pick only if player signs contract of $50M+. Pick it gets will depend upon that teams market size.

@Ken_Rosenthal 2h2 hours ago
Club that signs QO free agent, if it exceeds luxury-tax threshold, will lose 2nd-rounder, 5th-rounder and $1M in intl bonus money.

@Ken_Rosenthal 2h2 hours ago
Club that signs QO free agent, if it does not exceed luxury-tax threshold, will lose 3rd-rounder.

‏@Ken_Rosenthal 2h2 hours ago
And on schedule: Starting in 2018, season will start mid-week, helping create extra off-days in schedule.

@Ken_Rosenthal 1h1 hour ago
Owners also had concerns about creating problems with extra spot from April-Aug. in order to fix problem in Sept. Topic could be revisited.

@Joelsherman1 1h1 hour ago Manhattan, NY
Heard 1 other interesting CBA detail: new MLB players will be banned from using smokeless tobacco, those already playing grandfathered in
Absolutely  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 9:14 am : link
love the 10 day DL, figures to lessen the Mets dumb injury decisions.
Heyman  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 9:20 am : link
reporting the Jays are interested in Granderson
Please be a contract  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 10:09 am : link
or that he's playing Santa and not an injury thanks.

Michael BaronVerified account
‏@michaelgbaron
Jacob deGrom will meet members of the media tomorrow 10:45 AM at Citi Field. There isnt any other information. So, I wonder if thats good.
I think it's contract  
CMicks3110 : 12/1/2016 10:20 am : link
He took a stand on money last year and I think he understands his fragility, he's probably going to take a below market dea that provides security
/  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 10:20 am : link
Non-story, just media availability because he's in town/ticket push.
I'm guessing 4 years 46 million  
CMicks3110 : 12/1/2016 10:21 am : link
.
RE: I think it's contract  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 10:21 am : link
In comment 13242456 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
He took a stand on money last year and I think he understands his fragility, he's probably going to take a below market dea that provides security


It's just a promo for the Mets, Baron's tweet set off alarms but it's nothing either way.
Please don't  
Metnut : 12/1/2016 10:24 am : link
scare me like that Dan!
RE: Please don't  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 10:28 am : link
In comment 13242465 Metnut said:
Quote:
scare me like that Dan!


I blame Michael Baron! lol
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 10:34 am : link
Worth noting McCutchen final 56 games- .284/.381/.471 which isn't far off from his 2015 where he finished 5th in MVP voting (.292/.401/.488)
Sounds like Nats closing in on McCutchen  
Eric on Li : 12/1/2016 11:01 am : link
Turner - Murphy - McCutchen - Harper - Rendon

That would be some lineup.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 11:02 am : link
Ken RosenthalVerified account
‏@Ken_Rosenthal
Sources: #Pirates targeting #Nationals minor-league OFer Victor Robles, 19, in McCutchen talks, as they did in July. Will want more as well.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 11:03 am : link
Jon Heyman ‏@JonHeyman 28s28 seconds ago
Orioles seem to have interest in granderson but not really Bruce #orioles #mets
Nats  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 11:13 am : link
aren't giving up Robles for McCutchen.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 11:47 am : link
Jim Duquette ‏@Jim_Duquette 3m3 minutes ago
Walker "will be 100% for ST", on David "we hope he will be" ready to go
RE: .  
sshin05 : 12/1/2016 11:50 am : link
In comment 13242486 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Worth noting McCutchen final 56 games- .284/.381/.471 which isn't far off from his 2015 where he finished 5th in MVP voting (.292/.401/.488)


+1. I saw that, felt he was a bounceback candidate because of it.
Is it me  
sshin05 : 12/1/2016 11:53 am : link
or was it so dumb to use the ASG to determine home field advantage for the WS? Better record gets the homefield advantage. Took em long enough.
I like the fact that even with Cespdes  
pjcas18 : 12/1/2016 11:55 am : link
and Walker back plus the theoretical health of at least a couple if not all of the starting pitchers the Mets still won't be favorites.

I'd like to see them sign Chapman or acquire a closer, but I know that's a long shot. With uncertainty around Familia I'd hate to see the back of the bullpen go from a strength to a weakness so quickly.

Maybe deal Bruce for a young-ish closer type.
I'm  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 11:55 am : link
not as obsessed with Granderson or Bruce for a reliever as some people. Why can't they trade either one for prospects and use surplus (or FA) for a reliever? Why must both issues be corrected within the same move?
RE: I'm  
pjcas18 : 12/1/2016 12:01 pm : link
In comment 13242674 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
not as obsessed with Granderson or Bruce for a reliever as some people. Why can't they trade either one for prospects and use surplus (or FA) for a reliever? Why must both issues be corrected within the same move?


they don't have to be. just a suggestion. the Mets seem inclined to trade Bruce and they need a bullpen guy.

if they trade a prospect for one, great, the point wasn't getting rid of Bruce, it was acquiring bullpen help.

I don't care so much how they do it.
RE: RE: I'm  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 12:04 pm : link
In comment 13242680 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 13242674 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


not as obsessed with Granderson or Bruce for a reliever as some people. Why can't they trade either one for prospects and use surplus (or FA) for a reliever? Why must both issues be corrected within the same move?



they don't have to be. just a suggestion. the Mets seem inclined to trade Bruce and they need a bullpen guy.

if they trade a prospect for one, great, the point wasn't getting rid of Bruce, it was acquiring bullpen help.

I don't care so much how they do it.


PJ,
100% wasn't aimed at you. I just see people mentioning a ton of relievers for one of them (I'm not against a reliever). Just not sure why it has to all go down in one move. You add surplus somewhere else and add a different reliever it's the same idea. Also some of the relievers being mentioned are pretty unrealistic. 1 year of Granderson isn't buying you 5 years of Givens etc.
Well you know me  
pjcas18 : 12/1/2016 12:07 pm : link
I don't know the league and all the players as well as some of you.

I just know the Mets could use bullpen help, even more if Familia is suspended.

Chapman is the name I know is available, so I'd seriously consider him, but 100M (ballpark #'s I'd heard for his next contract) seems too much for a closer, but I'd rather get a guy like Chapman for just money than trade assets for someone lesser.
Details  
sshin05 : 12/1/2016 12:11 pm : link
on the new CBA
Link - ( New Window )
There  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 12:18 pm : link
are quite a few bad teams with interesting relievers. I'd focus on them first. I wouldn't mind Ziegler but in addition to a guy who misses bats.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 12:24 pm : link
Jayson Stark of ESPN is reporting that talks between the Pirates and Nats have ramped up and that a deal could get done today.

(expectation is the Pirates do NOT get Robles in the deal).
Damn  
Metnut : 12/1/2016 12:35 pm : link
Nationals getting even better.
Seems like the Mets  
Metnut : 12/1/2016 12:37 pm : link
could still get 1st round picks if any of the pitchers or other players go, but they won't be able to qualify Walker again.

"Key changes involve the qualifying offers clubs can make to their former players after they become free agents the figure was $17.2 million this year. If a player turns down the offer and signs elsewhere, his new team forfeits an amateur draft pick, which usually had been in the first round under the old deal.

Under the new rules, a player can receive a qualifying offer only once in his career and will have 10 days to consider it instead of seven. A club signing a player who declined a qualifying offer would lose its third-highest amateur draft pick if it is a revenue-sharing receiver, its second- and fifth-highest picks (plus a loss of $1 million in its international draft pool) if it pays luxury tax for the just-ended season, and its second-highest pick (plus $500,000 in the international draft pool) if it is any other team.

A club losing a free agent who passed up a qualifying offer would receive an extra selection after the first round of the next draft if the player signed a contract for $50 million or more and after competitive balance round B if under $50 million. However, if that team pays luxury tax, the extra draft pick would drop to after the fourth round."
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 2:12 pm : link
Sleeper catcher target (along with Wolters)

Has OF experience as well
Link - ( New Window )
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/1/2016 2:56 pm : link
Wow. The A's are no longer classified as "small market" so they will lose 30-40 million per season from revenue sharing. You would assume that would make them a prime candidate to snipe some of their "expensive" talent but their most expensive players are Madson (yuck), Lowrie (yuck), Axford and Doolittle who is on a crazy good deal.
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