Archived Thread

Next Week's Schedule

Chris684 : 12/6/2016 10:17 am

Redskins @ Eagles

Vikings @ Jaguars

Saints @ Bucs

Seahawks @ Packers

So these are the games we will be looking at next week as the WC chase continues. We have head to head losses so far against 3 of the 4 teams involved.

The Packers will officially scare me if they get by Seattle this week. After Seattle the schedule breaks for them and I don't want McCarthy and Rodgers with momentum.

The Vikings don't scare me as much longer term but it's hard to imagine they don't live to see another week by beating the helpless Jags.

I don't care who you are, you have to be taken seriously after you beat the Chiefs @ Arrowhead and Seattle in back to back weeks. What's interesting is TB might be headed straight for a division title, at which point we would need the Falcons to fold up which may be likely after their heartbreaker last week.

In Philadelphia I'm hoping this is the last time we hear from the Eagles until next year followed by a sound beating in Baltimore and from us.

My gut says Vikes, Bucs, Hawks and Eagles win but it would be nice to take the field Sunday night knowing that even a 5th loss leaves us at least a game ahead of all of them.

Danny Kanell : 12/6/2016 10:21 am : link

I'm worried about Green Bay. I'd really like to see them lose this week.

Jags might bery well upset

Big Blue '56 : 12/6/2016 10:24 am : link

the Vikes. If there are any upsets this week, that would be my uninformed guess

Danny Kanell : 12/6/2016 10:24 am : link

And the Falcons are winning the South. They have a pretty easy schedule.

@ Rams
home 49ers
@ Panthers
home Saints

Hopefully the Saints can beat the Bucs once and Dallas helps us out against them.

Danny

Chris684 : 12/6/2016 10:26 am : link

You can make a strong argument for the Packers going 10-6 IF they win this week.

I want no part of the Packers with 10 wins and a tiebreaker over us.

Danny K

Drewcon40 : 12/6/2016 10:30 am : link

I was using the ESPN Playoff Machine. In your scenario, if those 4 teams were to win and we lost, we would hold the 6th seed at the weeks end.

ESPN NFL Playoff Machine. - ( New Window )

Danny Kanell : 12/6/2016 10:30 am : link

To me it comes down to 2 spots for the Giants, Bucs, Skins and Packers. I think the Vikings are done. I think the Bucs get to 9-7. Packers to 9-7, maybe 10-6. Skins to 9-6-1. If we get to 10, we'll get in.

What

NikkiMac : 12/6/2016 11:30 am : link

About the Lions ?

RE: What

AnnapolisMike : 12/6/2016 12:25 pm : link

In comment 13251667 NikkiMac said:

Quote:

About the Lions ?

win the division

We all know 10 pretty much guarantees a spot

Tuckrule : 12/6/2016 12:25 pm : link

9 wins for us and we are out no matter what. We must beat skins and one other team

I just have a bad feeling

mikeinbloomfield : 12/6/2016 12:39 pm : link

it's going to come down to week 17 in Washington, especially if they lose this week. Then they've got a decent team in Detroit. Win that one though, and things get a lot easier, especially since you've then got an out-of-it Eagles team that is playing for pride. Win that one, and the Washington game is kind of academic, unless Tampa or GB keep winning.

Keep in mind you don't have to worry about Green Bay if Giants

Meats and Cheeses : 12/6/2016 12:43 pm : link

beat Detroit and get to 10 wins. Green Bay and Detroit play each other in Week 17. If Detroit is 10-5 and Green Bay is 9-6 going into that game, realize the following: If Detroit wins, they win the division and Green Bay finishes at 9-7 behind the Giants. If Green Bay wins, they win the division via tiebreaker and the Giants win the wildcard via the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The game against Detroit is bigger for playoff positioning than the game against Dallas. If the Giants win next week against Detroit, they'll be in good shape if they split the final two.

To clarify.

Meats and Cheeses : 12/6/2016 12:45 pm : link

Green Bay has already beaten Detroit once so it would have a head-to-head tiebreaker over Detroit if it beats them in Week 17 and they end up tied.

I say Bucs, Vikes, and Skins win.

Boy Cord : 12/6/2016 1:02 pm : link

Would love for Philly to take the Skins down, but they were awful last week. Skins have an easy path to 9 wins if they take advantage of it. I actually think the most difficult of the three will be at Chicago, if their damn receivers can hold onto the ball. Chicago's defense is solid and they have a running game.

Playoff probabilities

ray in arlington : 12/6/2016 1:27 pm : link

At 11-5 the Giants clinch a playoff spot.

At 10-6 the giants have a 96-99% chance of making the playoffs according to the NY Times simulator. (so the Giants can lose their next two games and almost certainly still get in if they win their last 2).

At 9-7 the Giants have a 30-35% chance if the win is against the Cowboys or Eagles, about 40% if it against the Lions and about 45% if it is against the Redskins. (That means a 45% chance even if they lose their next three).

Hopefully the GB win out scenario gets snuffed out against SEA this weekend.

At 8-8 the Giants chances are less than 1%.

I should say

ray in arlington : 12/6/2016 1:29 pm : link

at 10-6 it doesn't much matter which 2 teams they beat, although it is better (99%) if one of the wins is against the Skins. Otherwise it drops down to a little less (96%).

RE: Keep in mind you don't have to worry about Green Bay if Giants

ray in arlington : 12/6/2016 1:31 pm : link

In comment 13251762 Meats and Cheeses said:

Quote:

Not true if ATL or TB finishes 2nd at 10-6. That would negate the NYG tiebreak win over DET.

RE: RE: Keep in mind you don't have to worry about Green Bay if Giants

Meats and Cheeses : 12/6/2016 1:40 pm : link

In comment 13251888 ray in arlington said:

Quote:

In comment 13251762 Meats and Cheeses said:

Quote:

beat Detroit and get to 10 wins. Green Bay and Detroit play each other in Week 17. If Detroit is 10-5 and Green Bay is 9-6 going into that game, realize the following: If Detroit wins, they win the division and Green Bay finishes at 9-7 behind the Giants. If Green Bay wins, they win the division via tiebreaker and the Giants win the wildcard via the head-to-head tiebreaker.

Not true if ATL or TB finishes 2nd at 10-6. That would negate the NYG tiebreak win over DET.

Good call. I did not consider this.

Giants are going to cut it real close at 9-7

micky : 12/6/2016 3:39 pm : link

GB, Minny, Det, TB, Was will be right there. Tiebreakers isn't in favor vs poss 3 of the 5