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NFT: Hot Stove Thread 12/7 (Yankee-flavored)

Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 2:15 pm
Yanks waiting on a decision from Jansen and Chapman. Three teams (NYY, LAD and Miami) are bidding.

Alex Colome is subject of trade talks between the Rays and the Nats.

Offers may or may not have been made for Gardner, depending on whether you ask Cashman or anyone else.
Not sure  
kash94 : 12/7/2016 2:19 pm : link
if this has been discussed on previous threads but Cashman made it pretty clear that Hicks will be on the team next year and split time with Judge in right.

I don't really mind that. He had a very good 2015 year and a decent rebound the end of last year. Still a very good defender and can play all OF positions.

I'm willing to give him another year or half a year. Yankees would get little to nothing if they traded him now
No way the Yankees give up a first  
illmatic : 12/7/2016 2:28 pm : link
for Jansen. It's just talk to get Chapman to sign. But if the 92 million number is true, the numbers are already getting kind of silly for Chapman.
Soler for Wade Davis is an interesting trade...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 2:28 pm : link
at face the Royals probably could have gotten more in terms of prospects for Davis, but light-tower power with improving walk and K rates doesn't grow on trees, and he has a team-friendly deal through 2020. Soler could turn into a special player, and if he doesn't he's a known commodity. That K rate though, certainly at odds with the guys who have dominated recent Ned Yost lineups.
John Sickels Top 20 prospects for 2017  
davek3698 : 12/7/2016 2:37 pm : link
Not sure what happened to the earlier Yanks thread, but MinorLeagueBall published his list earlier for them.
Sickels - ( New Window )
Quite literally clicked on this thread to post that  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 2:40 pm : link
...
Also Dan Duquette said...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 3:47 pm : link
he told Joey Bats's agent they weren't making an offer because Baltimore fans don't like Joey Bats. That made me smile.
...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 3:57 pm : link
Jesse Sanchez @JesseSanchezMLB 3m3 minutes ago
Source: Rodney close with D-backs on one-year, $2.75M deal that can max out at $5M.
Weird to see no A prospects in Sickel's list...even Torres an A-.  
yatqb : 12/7/2016 3:58 pm : link
I've also gotta laugh at guys who make a rating scale of A,B,C, etc then give A-, B+ and so on. Perhaps it's better to use a numerical system, then?
RE: Weird to see no A prospects in Sickel's list...even Torres an A-.  
giants#1 : 12/7/2016 4:04 pm : link
In comment 13253926 yatqb said:
Quote:
I've also gotta laugh at guys who make a rating scale of A,B,C, etc then give A-, B+ and so on. Perhaps it's better to use a numerical system, then?


I'd guess that an A- for someone who's never taken an AB in AA is pretty good (and rare). If he has similar success in Trenton+ in 2017, I imagine he'll be an "A" this time next year.
RE: Weird to see no A prospects in Sickel's list...even Torres an A-.  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:06 pm : link
In comment 13253926 yatqb said:
Quote:
I've also gotta laugh at guys who make a rating scale of A,B,C, etc then give A-, B+ and so on. Perhaps it's better to use a numerical system, then?


A prospect on his list are considered prospects with a "good chance" of becoming stars. Torres is an excellent prospect but is A) Not MLB ready B) A notch below what most would say "good chance to become a star". Matt Eddy yesterday compared and contrasted Torres/Rosario and the Phillies JP Crawford and basically saw all 3 as very good but didn't sound like any were "good chance to be stars".
He  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:08 pm : link
has Eloy Jimenez (the guy the Yankees reportedly took Torres over) also as an A-. The only A he's given out so far is Dansby Swanson
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:09 pm : link
love the Soler trade for the Royals. Close to zero risk beyond "well maybe if they got multiple prospects they could have added multiple pieces".
Mets  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:10 pm : link
and Rangers have had trade discussions.
White Sox  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:16 pm : link
are in great position to pull a Yankees and build up a monster farm with the quickness
Given where the RP market is today...  
JoeMoney19 : 12/7/2016 4:23 pm : link
I think the Cubs won that trade for sure. Four players (including Torres) for half a season of Chapman vs. just one player for a full season of Davis? I get injury risk for Davis being a factor and maybe the Royals just really like Soler but to me that looks pretty sweet from Chicago's perspective.

Also would have been interesting to see if they could have gotten more by waiting for Chapman and Jansen to sign first.
Sox can certainly load up...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 4:24 pm : link
what people don't realize about the Yanks is that their farm was Top 10 before they started dealing. Very very deep system. Unless the White Sox sell everyone, it'd be tough to get that sort of depth.
RE: Sox can certainly load up...  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:25 pm : link
In comment 13253958 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
what people don't realize about the Yanks is that their farm was Top 10 before they started dealing. Very very deep system. Unless the White Sox sell everyone, it'd be tough to get that sort of depth.



Robertson, Nate Jones, Abreu, Frazier, Quintana, Eaton... for such a bad team they have TONS of guys who could/should bring back multiple nice pieces.
Heck  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:27 pm : link
Melky likely brings back 1 decent piece (.800 OPS this season, final year of a deal). Much smaller scale but Dan Jennings has been solid and likely nets something.
Marlins  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:29 pm : link
sign AJ Ellis, Dustin McGowan and Jeff Locke... yawn.
Dan what are the Mets-Rangers  
Chris684 : 12/7/2016 4:30 pm : link
discussions you mentioned?

Is it Bruce for Jeffress?
RE: Dan what are the Mets-Rangers  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:31 pm : link
In comment 13253967 Chris684 said:
Quote:
discussions you mentioned?

Is it Bruce for Jeffress?


TJ SUllivan suspects reliever for Bruce
Really  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:32 pm : link
underrated player, would be a big pickup

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Scott MerkinVerified account
‏@scottmerkin
Source: White Sox working on a deal to send Adam Eaton to the Nationals.
Soler hasn't been a superstar in the majors...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 4:35 pm : link
but that sort of power in a guy who isn't a lead-footed DH is tough to come by, and most of his peripherals are improving. His downside is still a useful player, while Torres is still in A-Ball.
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:36 pm : link
have to assume the White Sox are picking up 1 of Robles, Giolito or Joe Ross in this trade.
RE: Soler hasn't been a superstar in the majors...  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:38 pm : link
In comment 13253971 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but that sort of power in a guy who isn't a lead-footed DH is tough to come by, and most of his peripherals are improving. His downside is still a useful player, while Torres is still in A-Ball.


Reminds me of Dye before Dye became a defensive liability at the end.
Soler  
JoeMoney19 : 12/7/2016 4:39 pm : link
also has four years of team control. He could be a star if he cuts down on the strikeouts and a change of scenery might help him reach his potential.

I just think when compared to the Chapman deal, the Royals could have gotten more. I admittedly tend to overrate the value of prospects though.
Soler isn't great in the field either  
JoeMoney19 : 12/7/2016 4:41 pm : link
.
RE: I  
pjcas18 : 12/7/2016 4:42 pm : link
In comment 13253974 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
have to assume the White Sox are picking up 1 of Robles, Giolito or Joe Ross in this trade.

Robles not in the deal
Eaton  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 4:43 pm : link
is very, very underrated. He and Turner are going to be an annoying duo. Sum of parts player, great contract.
RE: Also Dan Duquette said...  
MetsAreBack : 12/7/2016 4:45 pm : link
In comment 13253905 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
he told Joey Bats's agent they weren't making an offer because Baltimore fans don't like Joey Bats. That made me smile.


I just read that. WTF? More of these GMs just speak their mind even when there is zero upside to doing so - bizarre way to go about one's business.
RE: RE: Also Dan Duquette said...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 4:50 pm : link
In comment 13253993 MetsAreBack said:
Quote:
In comment 13253905 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


he told Joey Bats's agent they weren't making an offer because Baltimore fans don't like Joey Bats. That made me smile.



I just read that. WTF? More of these GMs just speak their mind even when there is zero upside to doing so - bizarre way to go about one's business.


It's a calculated dig at a guy who likely goes back to a division rival, a little red meat.
until he signs with said division rival  
MetsAreBack : 12/7/2016 4:52 pm : link
i would have kept my mouth shut. Not that it really matters - Bautista, like 99% of the world.. will sign with the team that gives him the most money.

But there's just zero upside in saying something like that. And he's not on your team - so ... like Phil Jackson with Lebron a month ago... why bother?
RE: RE: Weird to see no A prospects in Sickel's list...even Torres an A-.  
yatqb : 12/7/2016 4:53 pm : link
In comment 13253936 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 13253926 yatqb said:


Quote:


I've also gotta laugh at guys who make a rating scale of A,B,C, etc then give A-, B+ and so on. Perhaps it's better to use a numerical system, then?



A prospect on his list are considered prospects with a "good chance" of becoming stars. Torres is an excellent prospect but is A) Not MLB ready B) A notch below what most would say "good chance to become a star". Matt Eddy yesterday compared and contrasted Torres/Rosario and the Phillies JP Crawford and basically saw all 3 as very good but didn't sound like any were "good chance to be stars".


Thanks, Dan!
RE: until he signs with said division rival  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 4:54 pm : link
In comment 13254006 MetsAreBack said:
Quote:
i would have kept my mouth shut. Not that it really matters - Bautista, like 99% of the world.. will sign with the team that gives him the most money.

But there's just zero upside in saying something like that. And he's not on your team - so ... like Phil Jackson with Lebron a month ago... why bother?


I just disagree. They're a team that rarely spends money, the headline reading "O's won't sign Joey Bats because he's a prick" plays a lot better than "O's won't sign Joey Bats because Peter Angelos is a cheap bastard"
Giolito plus...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 5:01 pm : link
wow. Dan is right, Eaton is very underrated. Great all-around player, cheap contract.
White  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:04 pm : link
Sox are really loading up


Dan HayesVerified account
‏@CSNHayes
#WhiteSox return includes Lucas Giolito, Dane Dunning and Reynaldo Lopez for Adam Eaton.

Dunning was a 1st round pick this year. Really strong trade for both teams.
Wow, almost like this more than the Sale return...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 5:04 pm : link
Dan HayesVerified account
@CSNHayes
#WhiteSox return includes Lucas Giolito, Dane Dunning and Reynaldo Lopez for Adam Eaton.
The White Sox have done a great job  
Jay on the Island : 12/7/2016 5:06 pm : link
with these two trades.
Really  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:09 pm : link
exciting time to be a White Sox fan.

Quintana should bring back a similar haul, Robertson has value, Melky had a solid season, Frazier likely has solid value.
...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 5:09 pm : link
Ben Badler @BenBadler 17s17 seconds ago
The White Sox have gone from one of the game's worst farm systems to one of the best in 48 hours.


Eaton is undoubtedly better than Gardner, but Gardner is a nice player who plays good defense, walks and steals bases and might chip in 10-15 bombs. I may be presumptuous in thinking than Dane Dunning would be enough to get Gardner from the Yanks, but I think that's probably about right. Is the difference between Gardner and Eaton in the outfield really Giolito and Lopez?
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:14 pm : link
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Scott MerkinVerified account
‏@scottmerkin
White Sox are about to add the No. 1 (Moncada), No. 3 (Giolito), No. 30 (Kopech) and No. 38 (Lopez) prospects per http://MLBPipeline.com
They traded Giolito AND Reynaldo Lopez for Adam Eaton?????????  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 12/7/2016 5:14 pm : link
????????????????????????????????????????????????????????


One I could see. Both... that's insane.
Best prospect pitcher  
pjcas18 : 12/7/2016 5:14 pm : link
and best prospect hitter in 24 hours plus plus.

Saw this retweeted about Kopech:

Quote:
Daryl Van Schouwen Verified account ‏@CST_soxvan 1h1 hour ago

Michael Kopech on comps to Syndergaard: 'I dont want that to be my ceiling, no disrespect to him. I want to kind of set my own limits.'



and this

Quote:
Chris Lyle ‏@chrislyle3 Dec 6

@JeffPassan just compared Yoan Moncada's skills to Mike Trout and Mike Kopech to Noah Syndergaard on @WaddleandSilvy I sure hope he's right
RE: ...  
Metnut : 12/7/2016 5:16 pm : link
In comment 13254030 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Ben Badler @BenBadler 17s17 seconds ago
The White Sox have gone from one of the game's worst farm systems to one of the best in 48 hours.


Eaton is undoubtedly better than Gardner, but Gardner is a nice player who plays good defense, walks and steals bases and might chip in 10-15 bombs. I may be presumptuous in thinking than Dane Dunning would be enough to get Gardner from the Yanks, but I think that's probably about right. Is the difference between Gardner and Eaton in the outfield really Giolito and Lopez?


Fangraphs had Eaton worth 6.0 WAR last year. They had Gardner worth 2.4.

Eaton is signed $23.5M for 5 years with the deal ending in 2019. Gardner is signed $52M for 4 years with the deal ending in 2018.

Looks like Eaton is a better player on a better contract but I think he's going to regress a bit from last year's season.
Giolito is somewhat overrated...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 5:16 pm : link
pure stuff is filthy but whether he puts it together or struggles for a few years (3 ERA, averaging <6 IP a start) remains to be seen.
RE: Giolito is somewhat overrated...  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 12/7/2016 5:19 pm : link
In comment 13254041 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
pure stuff is filthy but whether he puts it together or struggles for a few years (3 ERA, averaging <6 IP a start) remains to be seen.


I don't love Giolito either based on what I saw in, admittedly, a very small sample last season. Lopez doesn't have the best command of his fastball, but I love the 3 pitches I saw from him last year.
Didnt realize  
sshin05 : 12/7/2016 5:23 pm : link
Giolito's shine has fallen that fast. Eaton's defense must be special + contract.
Eaton's a nice player  
Greg from LI : 12/7/2016 5:23 pm : link
But that seems like an overpay
Rough  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:24 pm : link
math, if Eaton is a 4 fWAR player the next 3 seasons (he was worth 6.o this year) then he's basically giving the Nationals about 90 million of "value" for 18 million in salary. If he's a 3 fWAR player per season for the next 3 it's more like 67.5 vs. 18.
Teams  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:26 pm : link
can both overpay and still "win" for what they are trying to do. The Nationals improved their team for the near future. They got better. They may regret the trade down the line but they got a very good player on a great contract.
Props  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 5:29 pm : link
to Hahn with so many sweet contracts. Nate Jones should bring back a huge return.
Really hope the Mets can get in on Jones  
Eric on Li : 12/7/2016 5:31 pm : link
but it sounds like we are only cutting salary from here. If the budget is that tight it's really curious why they gave Walker $17M with so many cheaper options.
Just looking very briefly  
sshin05 : 12/7/2016 5:33 pm : link
Eaton had the same year as 2015 Jason Heyward but with a much cheaper contract. I can see the value in that.
If this is the market  
sshin05 : 12/7/2016 5:45 pm : link
Sox could get a massive haul for Quintana, near Sale level results, much cheaper contract
What a haul for Adam Eaton, wow. I'd think that package could've  
Jim in Hoboken : 12/7/2016 5:59 pm : link
gotten Sale as well. I guess White Sox loves Moncada more.

But Eaton? Really? What the hell is going on? The Yanks should eat half of Gardner's contract and see what they can get in return.
Giolito must have lost his right arm this offseason  
RasputinPrime : 12/7/2016 6:10 pm : link
because that is an insane haul for Adam Eaton.
I mean, if Cashman had traded Kaprielian, Adams and Severino  
Jim in Hoboken : 12/7/2016 6:16 pm : link
for Eaton, I'd be incredulous and inconsolable. And that package doesn't compare to what the Nats actually gave up!!
That trade is fantastic  
SethFromAstoria : 12/7/2016 6:18 pm : link
thanks Nats. Confused bastads.....

Sandy swoop in and sweep the leg.

I want McCutcheon on the Mets so bad...after that Nats move if I'm Sandy I go hard as a mofo after the dude. Make shit happen.

Bruce has to get a better haul than a reliever. I have to assume that bargain contract for a productive power hitter on its final year gets some pretty damn solid return if Eaton just got the Nats entire system. Or else keep him. Screw that shit.
I guess  
spike : 12/7/2016 6:19 pm : link
Nats aren't getting McCutchen after all.
Great trade  
ryanmkeane : 12/7/2016 6:21 pm : link
for the White Sox...but Eaton is a very good player. Nats must be just going all in before they lose Harper.
RE: That trade is fantastic  
spike : 12/7/2016 6:21 pm : link
In comment 13254097 SethFromAstoria said:
Quote:
thanks Nats. Confused bastads.....

Sandy swoop in and sweep the leg.

I want McCutcheon on the Mets so bad...after that Nats move if I'm Sandy I go hard as a mofo after the dude. Make shit happen.

Bruce has to get a better haul than a reliever. I have to assume that bargain contract for a productive power hitter on its final year gets some pretty damn solid return if Eaton just got the Nats entire system. Or else keep him. Screw that shit.


I sure hope Bruce gets us some decent prospects. Because he is going to rake back home in Texas. A reliever is not going to cut it. We can easily keep Lugo as a reliever instead of our no 7 starter.
Sandy  
SethFromAstoria : 12/7/2016 6:26 pm : link
check it....

Bryce HarperVerified account


‏@Bharper3407
Wow...
Didn't realize  
ryanmkeane : 12/7/2016 6:26 pm : link
Kopech was #30 prospect...unreal. Red Sox basically need to win the WS in the next 2 years for that trade to be a success.
Down here in DC  
davek3698 : 12/7/2016 6:34 pm : link
yet to hear one positive take on the trade. Radio pundits, as well as my friends who follow the Nats to the degree some here the Yanks (including myself) alike. I would be doing backflips if the Yanks somehow got that haul for Gardner. Even Giolito and just one of the others. Rizzo's record on trades is a strong one, but this is certainly a headscratcher.
Kopech has a ten cent head...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 6:40 pm : link
To go with his million dollar arm. Could he be an ace? Sure. More likely scenarios see him end up a good 8th inning guy, him blow out his arm throwing 102, or him break his hand in a fight with a teammate. To me he wasn't a top 30 prospect.
RE: Didn't realize  
SethFromAstoria : 12/7/2016 6:45 pm : link
In comment 13254109 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Kopech was #30 prospect...unreal. Red Sox basically need to win the WS in the next 2 years for that trade to be a success.


yeah nah that's not true at all.Jus bein real with you. They got a nice return. Very very nice. Sale is extremely superb. They got Sale, the Nats got the throw in on a deal for a good player.

This conversation on MLB Network. Any major leaguer is worth more than minor leaguer. Wowzers.
No offense Dan but that's why I hate WAR as a stat...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 6:47 pm : link
Does a lineup with Turner and Espinoza win 5 fewer games because WAR says it should? Espinoza has more pop And it remains to be seen whether a defensive alignment with Eaton in CF and Turner at SS is THAT much better defensively than one with Espinoza at SS and Turner in CF. The problem is more the lack of protection for Harper than what is on top of that lineup. To me they aren't five wins better, they may not be any wins better. Throw in opportunity cost and it looks even worse.
RE: Kopech has a ten cent head...  
Greg from LI : 12/7/2016 6:48 pm : link
In comment 13254127 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
To go with his million dollar arm. Could he be an ace? Sure. More likely scenarios see him end up a good 8th inning guy, him blow out his arm throwing 102, or him break his hand in a fight with a teammate. To me he wasn't a top 30 prospect.


Yup, Sawx hype machine in full effect
The Nationals are about to hand Chapman  
illmatic : 12/7/2016 6:54 pm : link
a blank check to distract their fans from the trade they just made.
RE: The Nationals are about to hand Chapman  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 6:56 pm : link
In comment 13254137 illmatic said:
Quote:
a blank check to distract their fans from the trade they just made.


I think Rizzo would say causation runs in the other direction. Cheap CF so you can open up for Chapman.
lol  
illmatic : 12/7/2016 6:56 pm : link
Casey SternVerified account
‏@CaseyStern
Consensus on the floor here from GM's: As bad a panic move as they've seen at the meetings.


Casey Stern ‏@CaseyStern 27m27 minutes ago Washington, DC
In my 13 Winter Meetings, even when Pujols signed with Angels, I've never seen commotion like there is right now after this Nats deal.
Casey Stern is kinda a dick...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 7:07 pm : link
But in this case I agree. Total desperation move.
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 7:17 pm : link
Already noted it was a massive price and that the White Sox already look loaded with more valuable chips to deal. My only "defense" of the nationals is their roster as of today is better than it was pretrade and they were WS contenders last season. If Eaton doesn't represent an upgrade in te OF for 2017 then that's just being ridiculous. He's a plus fielder, high boo, double digit homer, double digit steal guy who "does it all". He's not as "good" as his 6.0 fWar would indicate because he gets a ton of credit for his defense but he's a very good player. Nats got better. If they win a WS the next 1-3 seasons they won't care what they gave up. 8;
I wouldn't have made the move but they also are likely resigned to lose Harper and figure "let's do this now". MCutchen had greater upside/risk. I'm just hoping they don't suddenly make another deal with Chicago for the insanely underrated ex met/Yankee fanhand Quintana. Arguably the most underrated sp in baseball. I'm shocked the Nats couldn't pry away Robertson. I'm guessing people are blown away at the sox prospects once it's all said and done (jones should bring back more than thornburg, Quintana not far less than sale etc
I understand the excitement  
Jay on the Island : 12/7/2016 7:18 pm : link
that White Sox fans are feeling right now. After Atlanta made all those trades and went from arguably the worst farm system in baseball to a top 3 farm system in a year there was quite a bit of excitement. However Atlanta did not receive the close to MLB ready top prospects that the White Sox have accumulated over the past two days. Their GM is already a shoe in for executive of the year.
DMM  
Jay on the Island : 12/7/2016 7:22 pm : link
Do you think the White Sox are more likely to keep Quintana unless they are blow away with an offer? I was thinking that since they received Moncada and Giolito who are both going to be on the MLB roster at some point next season would they keep Quintana in hopes that they can compete again in 2018? I think Robertson is going to be traded for a decent package but I wouldn't be surprised if they hung onto Quintana and built around him and Giolito.
Jay  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 7:29 pm : link
I was literally just talking to a Mets guy who suggested just that. That Quintana is the one guy they may keep unless absolutely blown away because SP is so hard to find and his contract so good. He said the asking price is "immense"
Dan  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 7:31 pm : link
It certainly stands to reason that Turner could become a plus defensive CF with more reps because of the wheels. Espinoza is an above average SS. So it is at least possible that the duo as SS/CF gives you better defensive metrics than Turner/Eaton? The offensive upgrade from Espinoza to Eaton is clear but you still sacrifice power to get more speed and (much) better OBP.
Just catching up  
bigbluehoya : 12/7/2016 7:36 pm : link
Holy shit.

I hate to over-commoditize the concept of prospects, because clearly each player has unique strengths/weaknesses/makeup/probability of success, but it seems there's been a pretty violent swing of the scales from over-valuing prospects to under-valuing.

At the surface, that Eaton trade is one of the more atrocious moves I can remember seeing.
I have some concern that the Yanks won't land either of the big  
yatqb : 12/7/2016 7:42 pm : link
closers. I know the Marlins are in the hunt. What about the Nats? Dodgers? Who else is in need?
RE: Kopech has a ten cent head...  
Justlurking : 12/7/2016 7:43 pm : link
In comment 13254127 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
To go with his million dollar arm. Could he be an ace? Sure. More likely scenarios see him end up a good 8th inning guy, him blow out his arm throwing 102, or him break his hand in a fight with a teammate. To me he wasn't a top 30 prospect.


To me seems like Kyle Farnsworth 2.0. The comp i heard was Nuke LaLoosh...
Farny just had a straight FB...  
Dunedin81 : 12/7/2016 7:47 pm : link
Wasn't a dick or anything like that.
I  
DanMetroMan : 12/7/2016 7:50 pm : link
Thought I read Farnsworth is playing professional... football somewhere lol
RE: Farny just had a straight FB...  
Justlurking : 12/7/2016 7:51 pm : link
In comment 13254179 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Wasn't a dick or anything like that.


had a reputation for being a bad ass though and slightly unhinged.
farnsworth smash - ( New Window )
well is there another team who needs a GG OFer with a reasonable  
RasputinPrime : 12/7/2016 7:58 pm : link
contract?

Or were the Nationals the only sucker around. Isn't Eaton a little fragile too?
RE: RE: Kopech has a ten cent head...  
pjcas18 : 12/7/2016 8:34 pm : link
In comment 13254176 Justlurking said:
Quote:
In comment 13254127 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


To go with his million dollar arm. Could he be an ace? Sure. More likely scenarios see him end up a good 8th inning guy, him blow out his arm throwing 102, or him break his hand in a fight with a teammate. To me he wasn't a top 30 prospect.



To me seems like Kyle Farnsworth 2.0. The comp i heard was Nuke LaLoosh...


Kopech is a top 30 prospect. His numbers at A+ at 20 in an admitted small sample were video game like and his stuff is legit.

I made the Nuke Laloosh reference yesterday because he throws 100+ and is wild. not unplayable wild, but intimitadingly wild. and he had 8 wild pitches in 52 innings along with his 29 walks and 82 strikeouts.

in 135 minors league innings he's averaged 11.5 k's per 9.

He already did break his hand in a fight with a teammate and he has a PED suspension (for amphetamines) but apparently that is behind him.

The off-field stuff is IMO holding back his prospect ranking, not his stuff.

He could wind up in the pen, but for now is a starter and one with scary potential.

Yankees fans should be glad he's traded out of the division.

he was even good in the arizona fall league and I think each team can only have one player below AA or something like that.


RE: Just catching up  
MetsAreBack : 12/7/2016 11:36 pm : link
In comment 13254172 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
Holy shit.

I hate to over-commoditize the concept of prospects, because clearly each player has unique strengths/weaknesses/makeup/probability of success, but it seems there's been a pretty violent swing of the scales from over-valuing prospects to under-valuing.

At the surface, that Eaton trade is one of the more atrocious moves I can remember seeing.



You're right seeing moncada and giolata dealt this week was surprising. But ... Both big market clubs ... And you've got to think last weeks new labor deal (have to give up 2nd 3rd and:or 5th picks now versus firsts previously) has a lot to do with it.
Yankees are finally heard from  
The 12th Man : 12/7/2016 11:48 pm : link
In these meetings. :) like this move a lot.
RE: RE: Just catching up  
bigbluehoya : 12/7/2016 11:55 pm : link
In comment 13254316 MetsAreBack said:
Quote:
In comment 13254172 bigbluehoya said:


Quote:


Holy shit.

I hate to over-commoditize the concept of prospects, because clearly each player has unique strengths/weaknesses/makeup/probability of success, but it seems there's been a pretty violent swing of the scales from over-valuing prospects to under-valuing.

At the surface, that Eaton trade is one of the more atrocious moves I can remember seeing.




You're right seeing moncada and giolata dealt this week was surprising. But ... Both big market clubs ... And you've got to think last weeks new labor deal (have to give up 2nd 3rd and:or 5th picks now versus firsts previously) has a lot to do with it.


On your point about the new labor deal...

If it has any impact on trade prices, don't trade prices go down (since Free agency becomes slightly "cheaper" than it used to be from the reduced loss of draft pick). Maybe you could argue that free agent $ prices go up as a result of the draft pick aspect becoming less steep, offsetting any benefit. But I don't see why prospect hauls in trades go up as a result of the deal.

What am I missing?
New CBA  
Shecky : 12/8/2016 6:44 am : link
Big market clubs keep tens of millions of extra dollars a year. That's the impact
After seeing the Eaton return  
Jay on the Island : 12/8/2016 9:28 am : link
I am wondering what Atlanta would receive for Ender Inciarte. He is young and on a great contract for 4 more years.
Rule 5 draft results  
Jay on the Island : 12/8/2016 10:42 am : link
Round 1
1. Twins: Miguel Diaz, RHP, Brewers
2. Reds: Luis Torrens, C, Yankees
3. Padres: Allen Cordoba, SS, Cardinals
4. Rays: Kevin Gadea, Mariners
5. Braves: Armando Rivero, RHP, Cubs
6. D-backs: Tyler Jones, RHP, Yankees
7. Brewers: Caleb Smith, LHP, Yankees
8. Angels Justin Haley,RHP, Red Sox
9. White Sox: Dylan Covey, RHP, As
10. Pirates: Tyler Webb, LHP, Yankees
11. Tigers: Daniel Stumpf, LHP, Royals
12. Orioles: Aneury Tavarez, 2B, Red Sox
13. Blue Jays: Glenn Sparkman, RHP, Royals
14. Red Sox: Josh Rutledge, INF, Rockies
15. Indians: Holby Miller, LHP, Phillies
16. Rangers: Michael Hauschild, RHP, Astros

Round 2
17. Reds: Stuart Turner, C, Twins
18. Orioles: Anthony Santander, OF, Indians
Ty Hensley  
davek3698 : 12/8/2016 11:09 am : link
taken Round 1 of the AAA phase.
4 gone in the first round ...  
Del Shofner : 12/8/2016 11:58 am : link
... well, you see what Cash was worried about.
not really a worry, though  
Greg from LI : 12/8/2016 12:05 pm : link
Rule V picks more often than not get returned, and in any case the Yankees' system is so deep at the moment that none of those guys except Torrens were close to the top 30.
Fowler likely to sign with the Cards  
Dunedin81 : 12/8/2016 8:32 pm : link
Who apparently made him an over the top offer. The market for Gardner has dwindled to mostly AL East teams.
Jansen still unsigned...  
Dunedin81 : 12/9/2016 9:20 am : link
you have to think the longer he goes without a contract the less likely it is he goes back to the Dodgers. The Marlins may have the biggest deal, the Nats might offer some complicated deferred bullshit to make it look like the largest deal, but you have to wonder if the Dodgers are a little lukewarm. Jansen is a dominant closer but they were hot for Chapman last offseason prior to the DV incident. IDK if it's the debt issue or it's the too many cooks front office approach but if they lose him they're going to struggle to replace that sort of certainty at the end of games.
Cardinals  
DanMetroMan : 12/9/2016 9:42 am : link
could be pretty damn good this year, I mean the Cubs are the most talented team in the Central but the Cardinals could be a sleeper.
RE: Cardinals  
section125 : 12/9/2016 9:50 am : link
In comment 13256404 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
could be pretty damn good this year, I mean the Cubs are the most talented team in the Central but the Cardinals could be a sleeper.


Dan, when are the Cards ever not good? I don't know how they do it, but every year (virtually) they are extremely competitive. Great organization.
RE: Jansen still unsigned...  
TheMick7 : 12/9/2016 10:03 am : link
In comment 13256376 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
you have to think the longer he goes without a contract the less likely it is he goes back to the Dodgers. The Marlins may have the biggest deal, the Nats might offer some complicated deferred bullshit to make it look like the largest deal, but you have to wonder if the Dodgers are a little lukewarm. Jansen is a dominant closer but they were hot for Chapman last offseason prior to the DV incident. IDK if it's the debt issue or it's the too many cooks front office approach but if they lose him they're going to struggle to replace that sort of certainty at the end of games.


Rooting for the Marlins-would move the Yankees up to #15 in the Amateur Draft
RE: RE: Cardinals  
DanMetroMan : 12/9/2016 10:21 am : link
In comment 13256417 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13256404 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


could be pretty damn good this year, I mean the Cubs are the most talented team in the Central but the Cardinals could be a sleeper.



Dan, when are the Cards ever not good? I don't know how they do it, but every year (virtually) they are extremely competitive. Great organization.


Oh absolutely. In my view they are the best run franchise in baseball (pretty unfair they get competitive balance picks given their market) but that's not why/how they are so good/well run. Alex Reyes is a flat stud, people going nuts over Giolito... Giolito couldn't shine Reyes shoes stuff wise. Luke Weaver is underrated, Bader will be another in a long line of underrated cardinals hitters who somehow come up and hit. There was a Wacha/Blackmon rumor the other day (pre Fowler) and I just knew Blackmon would be a complete stud for them if it happened.
RE: RE: Cardinals  
Dunedin81 : 12/9/2016 11:07 am : link
In comment 13256417 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13256404 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


could be pretty damn good this year, I mean the Cubs are the most talented team in the Central but the Cardinals could be a sleeper.



Dan, when are the Cards ever not good? I don't know how they do it, but every year (virtually) they are extremely competitive. Great organization.


It's not a complete answer, they are well-run, but it helps that the CBAs treat them as "small-market" even though they have great attendance and are a high-revenue team. The idea that they need competitive balance picks is absurd.
RE: RE: RE: Cardinals  
section125 : 12/9/2016 11:15 am : link
In comment 13256568 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 13256417 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 13256404 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


could be pretty damn good this year, I mean the Cubs are the most talented team in the Central but the Cardinals could be a sleeper.



Dan, when are the Cards ever not good? I don't know how they do it, but every year (virtually) they are extremely competitive. Great organization.



It's not a complete answer, they are well-run, but it helps that the CBAs treat them as "small-market" even though they have great attendance and are a high-revenue team. The idea that they need competitive balance picks is absurd.


It might well be absurd, but they continue to produce year after year. What other "small market" team comes close to matching them. Besides Miami and Oakland which occasionally put a competitive team on the field, what other teams are as successful with consistency - are the SF Giants small market?
My point is that their metric for saying "small market" is ridiculous  
Dunedin81 : 12/9/2016 12:17 pm : link
they're a regional market, not a local one, and their regional market is very large. Cleveland, by contrast, is not a regional market. Yes there are fans outside of Cleveland, but it doesn't dominate the middle of the country the way the Cardinals do. So if you only address the size of the metropolitan area, you're not capturing what a team has at its disposal. Tampa, for instance, is a larger metro area than St. Louis, but a much smaller concentration of people who give a shit about baseball.
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