So that there's no revisionism after the game, which QB do you expect to see?
I realize he can be 'Playoff Eli' and we can still lose be it from STs, breakdowns, inopportune fumbles, bad bounces, killer officiating in crucial spots and so on..After all, it's only ONE game and zero chance to get better or correct things if you lose..
That disclaimer aside, who do you anticipate seeing? The "you-can't-suddenly-turn-on-the-switch 2016 Eli" or "Playoff Eli?"
My unwavering choice: 'Playoff Eli'
And go.
Yes, Eli has a tendency sometimes to throw some bad picks...heck, in 2007, we saw what he did against Minnesota, a non playoff team. And he has done that several times over the course of his career. But we have also seen that Eli knows when it is a big game and he knows what he has to do in those games. He has admitted that with the way the D is playing his job is to not screw it up. So my suspicion is that if the D is once again lights out or thereabouts, he will be smart and conservative. I firmly believe we will take more shots this week than we have but that will also be dependent on how the OL is playing and the situation of the game.
I can virtually guarantee that Eli will not throw a dumb pick or make a stupid play. He will do what he has to do to win. Those who doubt him do so at their own peril. To me, he has already earned his pay by the way he backed his Miami bound teammates yesterday and I believe those guys will go all out for him as a result because he demonstrated he has their back.
Eli is the least of our concerns Sunday...ask Oakland or Houston if they would like Eli this Sunday, or Miami. I firmly believe Eli will have an outstanding game and, if we lose, it will not be due to his play.
It's far from a myth..Playoff Eli DID NOT turn the ball over in those tourneys. In fact, iirc he had zero TOs albeit not 100% sure..THAT's Playoff Eli..No egregious mistakes and uber clutch performances
All this means is that his prior success doesn't really translate into the future. In the Green Bay playoff game in 2011, he shreaded them, and pretty much kept them out of the entire game. Doubt that happens this week. He can definitely win, but it will require a great D, and perhaps some of that Eli "luck" that drive his detractors wild.
I'm very great full of the best ny qb giants have in their storied history.
Plus, I know everyone is banking on what happened about years ago, praying those are right, but I just don't see it with him. He has his spurts now, just hope he hits big key plays or drives on his own doing, but this offense as a WHOLE need to contribute consistently not just eli anymore.
I think you're right, Eli has played very clean playoff games.
I think you're right, Eli has played very clean playoff games.
Thanks, forgot about that one
Here's a link to Eli's playoff stats. 8 interceptions in 11 games.
Note to self: research before posting. - ( New Window )
Here's a link to Eli's playoff stats. 8 interceptions in 11 games. Note to self: research before posting. - ( New Window )
No, I was referring to 2007 and 2011 when he finally established himself as clutch..We all know about his earlier playoffs..
I know. I had put the one and dones out of my mind.
Its up to the guys around him to step up there game !!!
Here's a link to Eli's playoff stats. 8 interceptions in 11 games. Note to self: research before posting. - ( New Window )
Wow..didn't realize this..he played above and beyond those runs..I guess it overshadowed those pics. However, those pics were insignificant..or else would've been remembered
Speaks to the accuracy of the metric
Eli just has to play smart - the running game is heating up, work off of that, get the short passing game working, take the occasional shot downfield, and don't turn the ball over. Let the D do the heavy lifting, and the O play a support role.
The team has played 16 games, that s a pretty good sample to support the idea that they are what they are. The deficiencies that have impacted Eli s play are still there. If the Giants need Eli to out score an opponent they are probably going to lose. If the Giants win it will be because of defense.
Expecting This offense to find itself because it is the playoffs is magical thinking spawned by fan enthusiasm.
If he doesn't, it will be 2016 Eli.
That seems to be the trend...
I think that the combination of limited pocket time and predictable plays (not to mention a couple of huge hits) has made him less effective this year. I guess it's possible for him to overcome the weaknesses in pass protection (a la SF in the 2011 post season), but I still don't see the offense being suddenly very productive.
But that doesn't mean I don't expect to see Playoff Eli.
BRING IT, ELI!!!
Speaks to the accuracy of the metric
Weird that people still use this as a ...metric like you said, in 2016. I remember the days when everyone was obsessed with passer ratings, 09-11. Yes, those were his two best games.
I also think that the negative connotation that is "2016 Eli" is a bit overblown. I'd call it "2016 Offense". I think Eli is the same as he is pretty much every year, albeit a bit older. If guys get open (other than Beckham), he'll find them.
Sullivan: Is there such a thing as 'Playoff Eli?' You bet there is - ( New Window )
We're fortunate that NBC doesn't have the Super Bowl. No PFF rankings to sift through.
There is not much Mac can do about personnel at this point, but he can loosen up the playcalling in the 2nd half. Run more PA, take some shots downfield.
Manning is the author of two of the most memorable runs in franchise history, taking them both straight through the frigid Green Bay air. In beating Brett Favre’s Packers in the 2007 NFC Championship game and Aaron Rodgers’ Packers four years later in a divisional game, Manning established the legend now known as “Playoff Eli,” in which the understated star with the famously contorted facial expressions flips his internal switch and becomes the steadiest, most unflappable quarterback the playoffs has ever known.
“It doesn’t matter where, you can pick Green Bay, you can go back to 43 seconds left in Dallas [in the 2007 divisional game], he broke their backs too, you’re talking about incredible focus, game management and awareness, opportunity and taking advantage,” former Giants coach Tom Coughlin recalled in a phone conversation with The Record on Tuesday night. “Whatever the circumstances, Eli is unflappable. He’ll play through it. This is what’s presented, it’s minus-27 degrees, whatever, there’s no use talking about it."
We shall see
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Tara Sullivan weighs in... Sullivan: Is there such a thing as 'Playoff Eli?' You bet there is - ( New Window )
We shall see
Not for nothing, but Tara Sullivan is absolutely awful.
I'm going to go with 2016 Eli.
Speaks to the accuracy of the metric
The passer ratings don't account for the bad weather.. People forget how bad the weather was in SF.. Our WR were killing their secondary until it started pouring like the monsoon out there and none of Wr were able to make the cuts needed to run their routes and their DL wasn't giving us the time to run seam routes.. Media never accounts for the extreme weather when discussing Eli's numbers in those game.. the SF game was the single best game of Eli's life.. he has never played a better game and probably never will.. That SF defense in those weather conditions was ferocious and would've killed every other QB in the league..
If Eli goes 20/35 for 210 yds, 2 TDs but is picked off midway through the 4th quarter that leads the Packers to a field goal and a 9 point lead with 2 mins left, which Eli did we get? Some will say we got careless 2016 Eli who cost us the game. Others will say he was about to drive us for the game winning TD until a) Shepard ran the wrong route; b) Donnell was in the wrong spot; c) Flowers got beat so he couldn't step into the throw. It wasn't Eli's fault.
There are not sides, and there is no "which one did we get." There is a team with a flawed offense that has to do enough to help the defense win the game.
That said, I have expected him to "flip the switch" each and every week this year. He just hasn't done it. But I expect the same this weekend. This is the playoffs, and that's usually a good motivator.
he doesnt need to be superman. He doesnt need to be 2011 Eli. We dont have those players. I just want him to hit OBJ if he is open down the field. I want him to hit Tye for those first downs on 3rd and 5. I want him to audible into a run play when its there.
If people are expecting him to complete every pass or him to throw some clunkers during the game, you are going to be massively disappointed.
Yes, Eli has a tendency sometimes to throw some bad picks...heck, in 2007, we saw what he did against Minnesota, a non playoff team. And he has done that several times over the course of his career. But we have also seen that Eli knows when it is a big game and he knows what he has to do in those games. He has admitted that with the way the D is playing his job is to not screw it up. So my suspicion is that if the D is once again lights out or thereabouts, he will be smart and conservative. I firmly believe we will take more shots this week than we have but that will also be dependent on how the OL is playing and the situation of the game.
I can virtually guarantee that Eli will not throw a dumb pick or make a stupid play. He will do what he has to do to win. Those who doubt him do so at their own peril. To me, he has already earned his pay by the way he backed his Miami bound teammates yesterday and I believe those guys will go all out for him as a result because he demonstrated he has their back.
Eli is the least of our concerns Sunday...ask Oakland or Houston if they would like Eli this Sunday, or Miami. I firmly believe Eli will have an outstanding game and, if we lose, it will not be due to his play.
Great post
To answer the OP, playoff Eli. Although to me Eli is Eli and has been since 2005. I read all the time how he is inconsisent, I think I am watching a different player. Eli to me has been a model of consistency. He is a great football player, a franchise QB who has been leading the offense for over a decade. He can make any throw, will do it under duress,never gives up and will operate home or away good weather or bad. Giants can beat anyone with him at the helm.
Make the 2-3 big throws when they are available and otherwise, keep moving the chains.
Will Tye Drop in Green Bay earlier this season - ( New Window )
In 2007-8, he was in his mid-20's and hadn't even hit his peak yet. Having flashes of brilliance wasn't the craziest thing.
"Playoff" Eli was also pretty terrible in 2005-6 and 2008-9... the 2006-7 game against the Eagles wasn't much better.
I love Eli. I really do. He's the best QB in the history of the franchise. But people who are just expecting him to transform into this magical QB because it's January now are probably going to be disappointed.
This Giants team is going to win by playing excellent defense, hitting on a couple big plays and hopefully running the football effectively. Eli isn't going to carry us like he did the last time.
If Eli goes 20/35 for 210 yds, 2 TDs but is picked off midway through the 4th quarter that leads the Packers to a field goal and a 9 point lead with 2 mins left, which Eli did we get? Some will say we got careless 2016 Eli who cost us the game. Others will say he was about to drive us for the game winning TD until a) Shepard ran the wrong route; b) Donnell was in the wrong spot; c) Flowers got beat so he couldn't step into the throw. It wasn't Eli's fault.
There are not sides, and there is no "which one did we get." There is a team with a flawed offense that has to do enough to help the defense win the game.
Playoff Eli does NOT necessarily mean he doesn't throw sn INT or fumble or both. He doesn't have to be '08 and '12 clean he just has to manage and clutch his way to a win in conjunction with an opportunistic D..I expect him to carry us through to a win when and if it comes down to the final moments..That's playoff Eli to me
How the Giants' offense was shut down in Week 5 loss to Packers | Film review - ( New Window )
However it breaks down is irrelevant TO ME as both teams are quite different, even if our O appeared to be the same..If Apple and DRC play, do we lose that game? Just adkin'
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I think we will see Eli play the way he has for most of 2016. I think he will play well, but he will not put the team on his back and carry them because the Oline and the receivers/running game aren't yet good enough for that to happen.
If Eli goes 20/35 for 210 yds, 2 TDs but is picked off midway through the 4th quarter that leads the Packers to a field goal and a 9 point lead with 2 mins left, which Eli did we get? Some will say we got careless 2016 Eli who cost us the game. Others will say he was about to drive us for the game winning TD until a) Shepard ran the wrong route; b) Donnell was in the wrong spot; c) Flowers got beat so he couldn't step into the throw. It wasn't Eli's fault.
There are not sides, and there is no "which one did we get." There is a team with a flawed offense that has to do enough to help the defense win the game.
Playoff Eli does NOT necessarily mean he doesn't throw sn INT or fumble or both. He doesn't have to be '08 and '12 clean he just has to manage and clutch his way to a win in conjunction with an opportunistic D..I expect him to carry us through to a win when and if it comes down to the final moments..That's playoff Eli to me
So do we measure whether we got 'Playoff Eli' or '2016 Eli' based only on whether or not it's a close game with a chance to win late? That scenario existed in the second Eagles game this year, and Eli was one of the main reasons we lost that game. Do we call that 'Playoff Eli?'
My point is, when the game is over, the people who picked 'Playoff Eli' will likely claim they were right, and the people that picked '2016 Eli' will likely claim they were right. It's an opinion, not a measurable fact.
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In comment 13304168 Mike from Ohio said:
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I think we will see Eli play the way he has for most of 2016. I think he will play well, but he will not put the team on his back and carry them because the Oline and the receivers/running game aren't yet good enough for that to happen.
If Eli goes 20/35 for 210 yds, 2 TDs but is picked off midway through the 4th quarter that leads the Packers to a field goal and a 9 point lead with 2 mins left, which Eli did we get? Some will say we got careless 2016 Eli who cost us the game. Others will say he was about to drive us for the game winning TD until a) Shepard ran the wrong route; b) Donnell was in the wrong spot; c) Flowers got beat so he couldn't step into the throw. It wasn't Eli's fault.
There are not sides, and there is no "which one did we get." There is a team with a flawed offense that has to do enough to help the defense win the game.
Playoff Eli does NOT necessarily mean he doesn't throw sn INT or fumble or both. He doesn't have to be '08 and '12 clean he just has to manage and clutch his way to a win in conjunction with an opportunistic D..I expect him to carry us through to a win when and if it comes down to the final moments..That's playoff Eli to me
So do we measure whether we got 'Playoff Eli' or '2016 Eli' based only on whether or not it's a close game with a chance to win late? That scenario existed in the second Eagles game this year, and Eli was one of the main reasons we lost that game. Do we call that 'Playoff Eli?'
My point is, when the game is over, the people who picked 'Playoff Eli' will likely claim they were right, and the people that picked '2016 Eli' will likely claim they were right. It's an opinion, not a measurable fact.
If Eli plays like much of 2016, I will not in any way claim to have been right. I would easily acknowledge that I was wrong..I expect him to turn on that switch. Others don't. That's the point of asking what people feel they'll see..And yes, sometimes it may not be black or white. We may see a mixture of both. I expect a mostly, if not total, mistake free performance regardless of the elements
yup, Eli is going to show up and lead the offense. He has for a decade and two titles. Guys have to make plays. Honestly, it is up to the o line what Eli" shows up".
If it is jailbreak pressure on every play the offense will struggle. If the Giants can not gain any traction in the ground game the offense will struggle. Key match up in this one is the Giants o line against their front, imv.
Our posts crossed
I believe B. Hart has improved by just a shade as well. I do, however, think RT Marshall Newhouse gets the nod this week and if he holds his ground he'll start the rest of the way. He is a UFA we should keep, if possible, cause of his versatility and knowledge of our system and OL scheme.
I believe our running game has improved and will be the biggest factor for our offenses improvement in the playoffs.
Finally, if our young wideouts can get deep a few times a game (20 + yards in the air followed by YAC) and we can score off play action finally we'll be well on our way.
If we averaged 19 during the season I'm hoping for 23 - 24 during the playoffs. It is more of a wish and is also based on the ability of our run game to open things up more. We haven't had many opportunities to use play action cause we sucked until of late (3 games).
I await the injury reports from practice today to make a judgment. Assuming there are injury reports? Not sure really when they come out.
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will equal "playoff Eli": Will Tye Drop in Green Bay earlier this season - ( New Window )
yup, Eli is going to show up and lead the offense. He has for a decade and two titles. Guys have to make plays. Honestly, it is up to the o line what Eli" shows up".
If it is jailbreak pressure on every play the offense will struggle. If the Giants can not gain any traction in the ground game the offense will struggle. Key match up in this one is the Giants o line against their front, imv.
Indeed:
Link - ( New Window )
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
+1
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
Agreed. He also needs guys not named Beckham to also get open, and catch the ball.
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
Not sure if he threw for 300 with 3 TDs those entire runs..He just did what your last paragraph just stated. Stats don't mean all that much to me. Protect the ball, make good decisions, make the clutch throw when absolutely needed. That's Playoff Eli to me. I don't recall ever endorsing the Superman talk. He never was. What he was is one of the top 5 clutch QBs I have ever seen..
It’s hard to remember another prominent athlete with a championship track record who so consistently finds himself under both microscope and interrogation lamp.
I expect Eli to play similarly to the way he played in Detroit and Washington (before Beckham left the game), so put me in the high end of the "2016 Eli" spectrum.
Eli Manning must come to same playoff realization as Peyton - ( New Window )
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All they need Eli to do is hit on the plays when they're there. He doesn't need to throw for 300+ and 3 scores for us to win these games.
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
Not sure if he threw for 300 with 3 TDs those entire runs..He just did what your last paragraph just stated. Stats don't mean all that much to me. Protect the ball, make good decisions, make the clutch throw when absolutely needed. That's Playoff Eli to me. I don't recall ever endorsing the Superman talk. He never was. What he was is one of the top 5 clutch QBs I have ever seen..
330 and 3 TD's @ Lambeau in 2012
316 and 2 TD's @ SF in 2012
He's not now, but that's okay. He doesn't need to be.
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In comment 13304241 arcarsenal said:
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All they need Eli to do is hit on the plays when they're there. He doesn't need to throw for 300+ and 3 scores for us to win these games.
Protect the football, make the throws when they're there and we will win this game. That's really all it comes down to. He doesn't need to be superman.
Not sure if he threw for 300 with 3 TDs those entire runs..He just did what your last paragraph just stated. Stats don't mean all that much to me. Protect the ball, make good decisions, make the clutch throw when absolutely needed. That's Playoff Eli to me. I don't recall ever endorsing the Superman talk. He never was. What he was is one of the top 5 clutch QBs I have ever seen..
330 and 3 TD's @ Lambeau in 2012
316 and 2 TD's @ SF in 2012
Cool, thanks
That being said, I think we will see much of the same in the playoffs. I don't think we are a very good offense for a multitude of reasons and I don't see that changing much.
What will make the difference? Paul Perkins. Give him 75% of the touches and our running game will get better which will make it easier for Eli and the passing game.
I expect Eli to play well. I guess the question is - QB rating over/under 100?
I'm not sure. I hope it's over!
2011 - QB Rating of 103.3 average for all 4 games
Maybe we should set the bar at: QB Rating of 95 or above for all X games?
And, no stupid pick 6 passes?
They're going to do exactly what they did last time. They're going to play a ton of two high so we're going to have to get them out of that by running the football. We didn't do it well in October but I think we will be able to chew up 4-5 yards on enough carries to suck one of their safeties up into the box.
If Eli can get them into single high and get Beckham isolated on the right side, we're in the money.
So to me, the run game is really THE key to this football game.
I think Paul Perkins is emerging at the perfect time and is ready to handle a large role in this offense. I really like running behind big Ereck Flowers and Pugh on the left side. Perkins' is an excellent cutback runner and he does a really nice job finding a hole and turning in positive plays.
I'm actually more concerned about how the defense plays this week. I think the offense will do its job, but I worry about how they are going to generate a pass rush.
Need a little more from Shepard and Tye/Adams just to make Green Bay defend the whole field and
we'll win...
I'm actually more concerned about how the defense plays this week. I think the offense will do its job, but I worry about how they are going to generate a pass rush.
Spagnuolo is going to have to pick his spots as far as how and when he sends pressure. Rodgers is exceptional against the blitz so I'd be careful about how often we send extra rushers. I do think we'll see a heathy dose of fire zone blitzes.
The key is to keep them coming from different spots and keep Rodgers guessing. We can also show blitz in some spots (i.e. from the slot) and make him think he'll have a hot read uncovered but drop a LB right into that zone so that he has nowhere to go.
We won't play a straight M2M but I feel exceptionally confident about the 3 CB's we have and their ability to matchup with the GB WR's. I'd have Jenkins spend most of his time on Nelson, I'd have DRC in the slot on Cobb and I'd have Apple deal with Adams when we leave them 1 on 1.
I'd love to see Vernon wreak havoc in this game. I think he'll be up for it.
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Completely agree about Perkins, and your general take on Eli.
I'm actually more concerned about how the defense plays this week. I think the offense will do its job, but I worry about how they are going to generate a pass rush.
Spagnuolo is going to have to pick his spots as far as how and when he sends pressure. Rodgers is exceptional against the blitz so I'd be careful about how often we send extra rushers. I do think we'll see a heathy dose of fire zone blitzes.
The key is to keep them coming from different spots and keep Rodgers guessing. We can also show blitz in some spots (i.e. from the slot) and make him think he'll have a hot read uncovered but drop a LB right into that zone so that he has nowhere to go.
We won't play a straight M2M but I feel exceptionally confident about the 3 CB's we have and their ability to matchup with the GB WR's. I'd have Jenkins spend most of his time on Nelson, I'd have DRC in the slot on Cobb and I'd have Apple deal with Adams when we leave them 1 on 1.
I'd love to see Vernon wreak havoc in this game. I think he'll be up for it.
Without JPP, I expect OV to be doubled up..That leaves Okwara and Wynn to get their job done. That's crucial, imv
If he wrecks this one I will never say a peep about his money again that's for damn sure.
I think what he's trying to say is....link?
He'll make at least 2 big plays one to Odell book it!
And we know how his brother's season ended.
We can do it in similar fashion.
Eli is the least of our concerns Sunday...ask Oakland or Houston if they would like Eli this Sunday, or Miami.
I guarantee that Oakland would rather have Carr....
Peyton was at the very end last year. I don't think he was even capable of being much more than a game manager. Eli is still capable of rising to the occasion. We just don't need him to carry us and shouldn't play the game like we do. Ben knows what the strength of this football team is and he's been managing games brilliantly because he understands that.
In 2007, Eli became more conservative for the playoffs, and let his defense do most of the talking.....
In 2011, Eli was at his Zenith....his greatest season.....he gave his team mates the confidence that, if they were within a score of the lead, that somehow he would do it....
2016 Eli, is neither of those guys....5 seasons of running for his life have taken their toll on him......give him time, and he can look good, and make those throws.....if he is pressured consistently, he is prone to mistakes, bad judgement, and bad throws....
He has to take what the defense gives him....he can't miss on big plays, when the opportunities are there....,this defense has to shut down Rogers, so Eli is not forced to put up 30 points in a game, when he has trouble scoring just 20....
But when we talk about the offense, the QB gets the glory when they win, and he gets the shaft when they lose, and it's quite possible, it's really not his fault in either scenario.....the OL is the key to this game.....limit the penalties, limit the pressures, convert short yardage situations on the ground.....take advantage of the Defense's turnovers......keep Rogers off the field....
Eli is a just a part of this offense.....unfortunately, this offense has made too many mistakes, and at times is it's own worst enemy....they need to play a clean game to complement the defense......and ST's has to rise to the occasion also....
In 2007, Eli became more conservative for the playoffs, and let his defense do most of the talking.....
In 2011, Eli was at his Zenith....his greatest season.....he gave his team mates the confidence that, if they were within a score of the lead, that somehow he would do it....
2016 Eli, is neither of those guys....5 seasons of running for his life have taken their toll on him......give him time, and he can look good, and make those throws.....if he is pressured consistently, he is prone to mistakes, bad judgement, and bad throws....
He has to take what the defense gives him....he can't miss on big plays, when the opportunities are there....,this defense has to shut down Rogers, so Eli is not forced to put up 30 points in a game, when he has trouble scoring just 20....
But when we talk about the offense, the QB gets the glory when they win, and he gets the shaft when they lose, and it's quite possible, it's really not his fault in either scenario.....the OL is the key to this game.....limit the penalties, limit the pressures, convert short yardage situations on the ground.....take advantage of the Defense's turnovers......keep Rogers off the field....
Eli is a just a part of this offense.....unfortunately, this offense has made too many mistakes, and at times is it's own worst enemy....they need to play a clean game to complement the defense......and ST's has to rise to the occasion also....
Certainly some points are valid, but most here would acknowledge that Eli came of age, became the ice in the veins player starting with the 2007 and 2011 runs..That's where 'Playoff Eli' evolved from, during those 8 game championship performances..No one in their right mind would be referring to his playoff appearances prior to 2007 as his clutchness had not evolved before than..
Is it because those time he didn't pay his "playoff power switch" bill?
Why keep the "switch" on off position til January? ;-)
Under 250yds passing in this one.
He just hasn't shown it this year.