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NFT: Blizzard 2017

Tom [Giants fan] : 3/12/2017 6:44 pm
It really looks like this thing is going to explode and dump upwards of 2 feet of snow on Long Island. I've seen some forecasts for up to 28 inches but that is going to be isolated where the heavy snow bands set up. In those bands, you may get 3-4 inches in a an hour. There may be some sleet mixed in at times because of the intensity of the storm. Along with Thunder snow.

The big concern is, there could be 70mph winds. This is going to be dangerous.

I am expecting Blizzard Warnings either late tonight or tomorrow morning.

This is not something to be taken lightly. Long Island is going to be shut down on Tuesday.

There is a small room for error here with a slight shift in the track but most models seem to agree with the scenario I just pointed out. I will use this thread if any updates are needed by lowering or even raising possible snow totals.

One thing is for sure, this is going to be a dangerous storm!
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YEAH!  
Steve in South Jersey : 3/12/2017 6:47 pm : link
I wanted one good snow storm this winter.
I can't wait  
Joey in VA : 3/12/2017 6:49 pm : link
We're looking at 8-14 where I am!
Still think South Jersey, Eastern LI and possibly NYC  
dpinzow : 3/12/2017 7:00 pm : link
could face mixing and rain issues but they will get some seriously damaging wind and coastal flooding (with a full moon too which makes things worse).

Everyone else is going to get a LOT of snow
Bring it!  
trueblueinpw : 3/12/2017 7:01 pm : link
Seems like it didn't snow much at all this winter.
I have a mid-term on Tuesday  
Sly Guy : 3/12/2017 7:07 pm : link
I am PRAYING that CUNY closes that day.
RE: I have a mid-term on Tuesday  
jnoble : 3/12/2017 7:19 pm : link
In comment 13390633 Sly Guy said:
Quote:
I am PRAYING that CUNY closes that day.


I'm pretty sure you're not going to have anything to worry about
thatta boy...  
JCin332 : 3/12/2017 7:20 pm : link
..
.  
Danny Kanell : 3/12/2017 7:26 pm : link
Sucks. I'm supposed to be dusting off my golf clubs this week. Hopefully rain keeps the totals down.
RE: I have a mid-term on Tuesday  
Joey in VA : 3/12/2017 7:26 pm : link
In comment 13390633 Sly Guy said:
Quote:
I am PRAYING that CUNY closes that day.
Wow I saw a T instead of Y and was very confused.
You will have more in 3 days also  
montanagiant : 3/12/2017 7:26 pm : link
We are getting hit with 11" as we speak which will trail east to you guys in a couple days
Tom I live in Silver Spring  
jjgmrg901 : 3/12/2017 7:38 pm : link
The radio stations have been all over the board. Some say 6-10,some say mixed with rain. one has us getting over 12 inches.

Any thoughts from you would be greatly appreciated!!

Your the Sy'56 of weather!!!
I'm scheduled for neck surgery in bridgwater on tuesday  
micky : 3/12/2017 7:48 pm : link
thinking that is going to be put off now. Some have some snows lasting into wed afternoon.

Plus another big (potentially) at end of week.
RE: You will have more in 3 days also  
micky : 3/12/2017 7:49 pm : link
In comment 13390656 montanagiant said:
Quote:
We are getting hit with 11" as we speak which will trail east to you guys in a couple days


that's the energy they've been talking about at end of week here..another coastal
RE: Tom I live in Silver Spring  
Jim in Fairfax : 3/12/2017 7:50 pm : link
In comment 13390662 jjgmrg901 said:
Quote:
The radio stations have been all over the board. Some say 6-10,some say mixed with rain. one has us getting over 12 inches.

Any thoughts from you would be greatly appreciated!!

Your the Sy'56 of weather!!!

DC area is on the edge. Some models are saying an inch or two, some are saying well over a foot. In your area it's likely you get at least 4-6, but it could be a lot more depending on the storm track.
It sucks.  
Giant John : 3/12/2017 7:50 pm : link
Ruined a 5,000 trip to Bahamas. Not something I could buy insurance for. Fly fishing for bonefish. Wasnt my money though but still won't get another opportunity.
F' storm..
Figures  
Tom in Kzoo : 3/12/2017 7:58 pm : link
We might get 3 lousy inches here in MI
A bad year to.buy new snowShoes
RE: RE: I have a mid-term on Tuesday  
Sly Guy : 3/12/2017 8:03 pm : link
In comment 13390644 jnoble said:
Quote:
In comment 13390633 Sly Guy said:


Quote:


I am PRAYING that CUNY closes that day.



I'm pretty sure you're not going to have anything to worry about


That's the spirit and reassurance I'm looking for.
Philly is going to get smoked  
chopperhatch : 3/12/2017 8:09 pm : link
from everything I read. An inch or two shuts down that city (which I don't get). 8-12 with winds like they're talking is going to turn it into a ground-like scene. We'll see, heading back tomorrow mid day.
We will save the potential for another one at the end of the week.....  
Tom [Giants fan] : 3/12/2017 8:14 pm : link
for Wednesday.

As far as mixing goes, there may be a little but I don't think enough to really hold down totals.

But again, a slight shift in the projected path could change a lot. Will update tomorrow.
I will be disappointed  
Steve in South Jersey : 3/12/2017 8:17 pm : link
if this storm turns into rain.
According to the latest NWS briefing package, looks like 19" for NYC  
jcn56 : 3/12/2017 8:21 pm : link
I wonder if they're going to preemptively shut down the city like they did for the last one.
http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Briefings/Blizzard_Briefing_0312_5pm_external.pdf - ( New Window )
I really have a hard understanding how someone can  
PhiPsi125 : 3/12/2017 8:23 pm : link
get excited waiting for 2 feet of snow to be dumped on you. March absolutely sucks for the second year in a row. Such a nuisance.
RE: I really have a hard understanding how someone can  
Mr. Bungle : 3/12/2017 8:26 pm : link
In comment 13390713 PhiPsi125 said:
Quote:
get excited waiting for 2 feet of snow to be dumped on you. March absolutely sucks for the second year in a row. Such a nuisance.

Same here. What are they excited about? Shoveling? Possibly losing power at home? Hazardous driving? Canceling important appointments?

I don't get it.
I like this WPC web site for totals...  
Run with 81 : 3/12/2017 8:28 pm : link
Pick on each total amount on Right side... 1,2,4,6,8,12,18 Then put mouse pointer at the diff 6hr increments up top under "Valid for the 24-hour period ending" color changes relates to % probability...

And for those of us in the Hudson Valley if U don't already use Hudsonvalleyweather.com U should. Also very good!(click on "Today's Weather" for daily that has good & usually pretty damn accurate info!

I'm up in Stormville (near Carmel) and we're seeing ranges 18 up to 26!!
noaa probabilistic totals - ( New Window )
RE: I like this WPC web site for totals...  
dpinzow : 3/12/2017 8:33 pm : link
In comment 13390722 Run with 81 said:
Quote:
Pick on each total amount on Right side... 1,2,4,6,8,12,18 Then put mouse pointer at the diff 6hr increments up top under "Valid for the 24-hour period ending" color changes relates to % probability...

And for those of us in the Hudson Valley if U don't already use Hudsonvalleyweather.com U should. Also very good!(click on "Today's Weather" for daily that has good & usually pretty damn accurate info!

I'm up in Stormville (near Carmel) and we're seeing ranges 18 up to 26!! noaa probabilistic totals - ( New Window )


Hudson Valley Weather is as good as it gets for a locally run site with local experts who know the climatology and dynamics for winter storms
It's going to be a disaster here.  
Diver_Down : 3/12/2017 8:51 pm : link
Spring Break starts this week and the weather will be too cool for beach bathing. With highs in the 60's, the eye candy will likely head further south to parade around in their bikini. FML.
RE: I will be disappointed  
UConn4523 : 3/12/2017 8:58 pm : link
In comment 13390706 Steve in South Jersey said:
Quote:
if this storm turns into rain.


I'm praying for you to be disappointed.
I moved to Rochester with my young family in 1967  
KeoweeFan : 3/12/2017 9:10 pm : link
and all we heard about from our new neighbors was the storm of the previous year (the infamous Blizzard of '66). They literally had to exit our apartment complex from 2nd floor windows.
"Bonus Day" for the city's big employer was this time in March; and in many subsequent years I remember disruptive snowfalls that very week (when car dealers were trying to make a killing).
Hard for me to sympathize with my new South Carolina friends when 2" of snow closes schools for days and public and private offices for at least 24 hours.

(I really do understand; my adopted county just doesn't have the equipment that upstate NY used to clear snow, and I certainly don't want to disturb my ridiculously low property taxes to pay for such. I'm happy to stay snug by my fireplace for a day or two.)
RE: RE: I have a mid-term on Tuesday  
KeoweeFan : 3/12/2017 9:21 pm : link
In comment 13390655 Joey in VA said:
Quote:
In comment 13390633 Sly Guy said:


Quote:


I am PRAYING that CUNY closes that day.

Wow I saw a T instead of Y and was very confused.


Joey, you remind me of the guy who viewed slide after slide in a Rorchach test and and gave each an erotic interpretation. When the psychiatrist warned the patient he might have a a problem of a sexual nature, the guy exclaimed "ME?!? Those are YOUR pornagraphic pictures!"
(just kidding)
RE: I moved to Rochester with my young family in 1967  
montanagiant : 3/12/2017 9:25 pm : link
In comment 13390757 KeoweeFan said:
Quote:
and all we heard about from our new neighbors was the storm of the previous year (the infamous Blizzard of '66). They literally had to exit our apartment complex from 2nd floor windows.
"Bonus Day" for the city's big employer was this time in March; and in many subsequent years I remember disruptive snowfalls that very week (when car dealers were trying to make a killing).
Hard for me to sympathize with my new South Carolina friends when 2" of snow closes schools for days and public and private offices for at least 24 hours.

(I really do understand; my adopted county just doesn't have the equipment that upstate NY used to clear snow, and I certainly don't want to disturb my ridiculously low property taxes to pay for such. I'm happy to stay snug by my fireplace for a day or two.)

Lived on Browncroft Blvd back then. I was 7 years old and remember the snow piles were so high we could sled down them and get all the way across Browncroft without help
This storm is just confirmation that I am moving to Florida..  
EricJ : 3/12/2017 9:25 pm : link
....soon
We don't need it in Rochester  
Steve L : 3/12/2017 9:30 pm : link
But we're expecting 10-12. We still have people without power from Wednesday's brutal wind storm. Still cleaning up trees, downed wires and blocked roads. Kids haven't been to school since Wednesday and may not go tomorrow then the snow hits us overnight Monday into Tuesday. We have crews from as far away as Indiana and the national guard working here. This cold and snow couldn't come at a worse time.
81 Watertown/Pulaski  
Steve in South Jersey : 3/12/2017 9:32 pm : link
I remember winters where the snow on the side of the Rte 81 road between Watertown and Pulaski towered above the speed limit signs. It felt like we were driving through a tunnel.
RE: I really have a hard understanding how someone can  
13ODB : 3/12/2017 9:39 pm : link
In comment 13390713 PhiPsi125 said:
Quote:
get excited waiting for 2 feet of snow to be dumped on you. March absolutely sucks for the second year in a row. Such a nuisance.



Exactly, not to mention the mess it leaves especially on your cars
Well.. hopefully it's a light fluffy dry snow  
DennyInDenville : 3/12/2017 9:54 pm : link
And not that wet bullshit

Love the dry snow, can just drive my car and it all blows off!! The wet stuff I have to actually physically remove or else it iced up..
I remember the blizzard of 78. the forecast was for flurries  
32_Razor : 3/12/2017 10:26 pm : link
as a result, we never got out to the store and all we had to eat in the house was tator tots.

12-18 inches expected here in eastern MA  
NYerInMA : 3/12/2017 10:29 pm : link
I think I'll work from home on Tuesday and save myself the hassle.
This really sucks for me  
mofti : 3/12/2017 10:55 pm : link
I have street parking, plus i work at a hospital. Double wammy
RE: This really sucks for me  
Sly Guy : 3/12/2017 10:59 pm : link
In comment 13390813 mofti said:
Quote:
I have street parking, plus i work at a hospital. Double wammy


At least street parking will be canceled this week. I'm going to let the snow sit on my car until next weekend.
Thunderstorms with snow  
micky : 3/12/2017 11:45 pm : link
This storm
Come on down  
floridagiantsfan : 3/13/2017 12:05 am : link
Going to be in the high 60's low 70's in the Florida Panhandle where I live.

Seriously guys take care on this one.
I'm  
Giantfootball025 : 3/13/2017 12:43 am : link
looking forward to this storm. I can finally dust off the snowboard and hit the Mountain for a decent run this year. Thought I was going to end up having to take the whole year off.
As I've said.....  
Tom [Giants fan] : 3/13/2017 6:20 am : link
there is still some questions as to the track of the storm for Eastern Long Island. Some rain could mix in or even go to plain rain if the storm tracks closer to the close. Even with that, Blizzard Warnings are up for a large part of the area with 1-2 feet of snow expected. And very strong winds.
We are in the 18-24 inch zone.  
johnnyb : 3/13/2017 7:09 am : link
Timing is everything. I picked up my new Jeep Grand Cherokee Saturday. I will find out quickly how it does in the snow.
i feel a little helpless with one hand mostly  
gidiefor : Mod : 3/13/2017 7:45 am : link
out of commission
Meh, I'm a long time New Englander. We do this all the time.  
Heisenberg : 3/13/2017 7:54 am : link
.
RE: I remember the blizzard of 78. the forecast was for flurries  
BMac : 3/13/2017 8:21 am : link
In comment 13390803 32_Razor said:
Quote:
as a result, we never got out to the store and all we had to eat in the house was tator tots.


Do you know BB56?
RE: i feel a little helpless with one hand mostly  
Gatorade Dunk : 3/13/2017 8:22 am : link
In comment 13390864 gidiefor said:
Quote:
out of commission

So you like snow as much as Tom, huh gidie?
RE: i feel a little helpless with one hand mostly  
BMac : 3/13/2017 8:23 am : link
In comment 13390864 gidiefor said:
Quote:
out of commission


All you need is one.
I revved up....  
Tom [Giants fan] : 3/13/2017 9:26 am : link
the snow blower for this one! Not shoveling 2 feet of snow. Maybe!
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