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NFT: Blizzard 2017

Tom [Giants fan] : 3/12/2017 6:44 pm
It really looks like this thing is going to explode and dump upwards of 2 feet of snow on Long Island. I've seen some forecasts for up to 28 inches but that is going to be isolated where the heavy snow bands set up. In those bands, you may get 3-4 inches in a an hour. There may be some sleet mixed in at times because of the intensity of the storm. Along with Thunder snow.

The big concern is, there could be 70mph winds. This is going to be dangerous.

I am expecting Blizzard Warnings either late tonight or tomorrow morning.

This is not something to be taken lightly. Long Island is going to be shut down on Tuesday.

There is a small room for error here with a slight shift in the track but most models seem to agree with the scenario I just pointed out. I will use this thread if any updates are needed by lowering or even raising possible snow totals.

One thing is for sure, this is going to be a dangerous storm!
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Pj  
djm : 3/13/2017 5:41 pm : link
That pic is ridiculous
Heavy Wet Snow & High Winds  
Steve in South Jersey : 3/13/2017 6:10 pm : link
according my local news weather report. That is bad news. High risk of power outages.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: it doesn't help him at all  
UConn4523 : 3/13/2017 6:16 pm : link
In comment 13391988 Mike in Long Beach said:
Quote:
In comment 13391979 Jim in Fairfax said:


Quote:


In comment 13391908 UConn4523 said:


Quote:



Thanks for the lesson chief. You are right, you don't know me, stick with that and move on since you have no clue on this one. My comment was supposed to be about being stuck inside yet again this winter and wanting winter to end so we can do things outside. If you want to look into it as more than just that, then yes you are being an asshole.



OK then, sorry for being an asshole. Hope you don't get snowbound too long and can get back to work soon.



Is it just me, or is the normally soft spoken and gentle Uconn getting in quite a bit of skirmishes lately ;)


It's my own fault, I used to do a better job of ignoring.
I think a sticky is appropriate  
dpinzow : 3/13/2017 7:54 pm : link
just because this looks like a crippling storm for a large part of the region and the posters here. IIRC in the past the worst weather events were stickied
Blizzard Warning extended  
ColHowPepper : 3/13/2017 8:32 pm : link
to all of Westchester, Putnam, Orange, and Rockland Counties, Bergen and W. Passaic, and much of CT and MA, according to NWS maps in Storm Package PP.

CT Gov banning all travel from 5 AM 3/14: WCBS Radio is dispensing with inches here or there and projecting 20" to 30" of snowfall.

I'm more worried about the trees around us than the daunting accumulation numbers.

UConn, I love ya man, but Stamford is gonna get more than 10" - 12".

jcn56, you still planning on the BBQ?

Gosh, isn't BBI great?
RE: Blizzard Warning extended  
UConn4523 : 3/13/2017 8:35 pm : link
In comment 13392117 ColHowPepper said:
Quote:
to all of Westchester, Putnam, Orange, and Rockland Counties, Bergen and W. Passaic, and much of CT and MA, according to NWS maps in Storm Package PP.

CT Gov banning all travel from 5 AM 3/14: WCBS Radio is dispensing with inches here or there and projecting 20" to 30" of snowfall.

I'm more worried about the trees around us than the daunting accumulation numbers.

UConn, I love ya man, but Stamford is gonna get more than 10" - 12".

jcn56, you still planning on the BBQ?

Gosh, isn't BBI great?


Yeah I don't buy the low totals, I'm expecting atleast a foot. My wife has a huge project due and just headed back to her office in Milford to try and finish before the snow starts. I have a mountain of work as well, not looking forward to catching up on Wednesday.

Stay warm everyone.
Is our boy pjcas fuckin with us?  
Overseer : 3/13/2017 8:49 pm : link
That's Japan, I remember seeing those photos. Not far from Nagano.

Boston did get creamed last year though.
RE: RE: RE: RE: Old Forge? LOL  
BMac : 3/13/2017 9:03 pm : link
In comment 13391989 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 13391982 BMac said:


Quote:


In comment 13391921 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 13391795 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


this was a street in my town after the big blizzard in metro boston two winters ago. I shoveled some of this by hand.





Jeez, what is that 10 feet?



That isn't in the US. Note the lanes the cars are driving in.



I took that picture from my rear-view. images are reversed.


Yeah, right. I guess it was the rear-view on your helicopter. Japan for sure.
Best guesses  
dpinzow : 3/13/2017 9:05 pm : link
NYC: 12-15. The Bronx could get 18", some parts of coastal Queens, Brooklyn and SINY might struggle with mixing so their totals might be lower. The cutoff from moderate amounts of snow to really heavy, crippling snow might be within the city itself

LI: Nassau gets more than Suffolk. North Shore gets more than South Shore. It's possible the Hamptons get a mostly wind-driven rainstorm with back-end snow. I'm thinking 8-15" in Nassau, more as you go north, and 4-10" in Suffolk, more as you go north and west. If the storm track shifts 15-20 miles east of the models then LI sees mostly snow all the way to Montauk

Northern Jersey: 16-20" near NYC, higher amounts in higher elevations. Possible 28-30" in the Sussex higher elevations. Mixing is a worry from Elizabeth on south towards Central Jersey.

Central Jersey: More snow away from the coast. Central Jersey near the PA border gets hammered, 18-24". Coastal areas will face mixing issues and some rain so I'm thinking 6-12 if you're a little away from the coast and less than 6" on the immediate coast.

South Jersey: Very hard to get snow from AC on south with that track along the coast. Thinking 3" at most. Areas near Philly will get into some mixing issues like Philly itself and you could see 6-12."

Baltimore around 6" with some ice, more snow north and west of there. DC 3-6", lots of ice. Western suburbs could get 6-9." Potential for crippling ice storm in the Beltway.

Hudson Valley, especially the Mid-Hudson, the Catskills, and Eastern PA except for extreme SEPA (Philly) is the jackpot. Lots of 20-24" amounts and some areas routinely over 2 feet. Lower Hudson (Westchester and Rockland) could also be a jackpot region along with Fairfield County and New Haven (CT). Anywhere in inland Connecticut gets hammered too
RE: RE: RE: Old Forge? LOL  
YAJ2112 : 3/13/2017 9:32 pm : link
In comment 13391982 BMac said:
Quote:
In comment 13391921 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 13391795 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


this was a street in my town after the big blizzard in metro boston two winters ago. I shoveled some of this by hand.





Jeez, what is that 10 feet?



That isn't in the US. Note the lanes the cars are driving in.


Cars don't drive in the left lane in the US?
RE: RE: RE: RE: Old Forge? LOL  
BMac : 3/13/2017 9:34 pm : link
In comment 13392191 YAJ2112 said:
Quote:
In comment 13391982 BMac said:


Quote:


In comment 13391921 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 13391795 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


this was a street in my town after the big blizzard in metro boston two winters ago. I shoveled some of this by hand.





Jeez, what is that 10 feet?



That isn't in the US. Note the lanes the cars are driving in.



Cars don't drive in the left lane in the US?


On a two-lane road? Are you high?
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Old Forge? LOL  
YAJ2112 : 3/13/2017 9:35 pm : link
In comment 13392194 BMac said:
Quote:
In comment 13392191 YAJ2112 said:


Quote:


In comment 13391982 BMac said:


Quote:


In comment 13391921 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


In comment 13391795 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


this was a street in my town after the big blizzard in metro boston two winters ago. I shoveled some of this by hand.





Jeez, what is that 10 feet?



That isn't in the US. Note the lanes the cars are driving in.



Cars don't drive in the left lane in the US?



On a two-lane road? Are you high?


Last time I checked, dotted white lines indicate a lane separating traffic in the same direction.
Overseer  
ColHowPepper : 3/13/2017 9:38 pm : link
definitely alternate facts and visuals. Maybe even Photoshopped?

How do you make that clean a cut of snow in a 15' wall over minimum 500 yards and not have any snow piles?
Dodging a bullet on this one  
mfsd : 3/13/2017 9:49 pm : link
Out in Pittsburgh for work through Wednesday, they're only expecting 4-6 inches total out here. At the risk of sounding like my Mom, stay warm and don't overdo it shoveling, take breaks and rest up, and stay safe everyone!
.  
Danny Kanell : 3/13/2017 9:53 pm : link
This thing is gonna bust on Long Island, especially Suffolk. It went from 12-18 to now 3-8 in 24 hours and it's gonna end up on the low end of that. The meteorologists are trying to save face but this is already an epic bust and it's not even here yet.

It's mostly rain.

Sorry, Tom.
RE: Is our boy pjcas fuckin with us?  
pjcas18 : 3/13/2017 9:56 pm : link
In comment 13392132 Overseer said:
Quote:
That's Japan, I remember seeing those photos. Not far from Nagano.

Boston did get creamed last year though.


Yes, I am. Is it Japan? I thought it was just some photo-shop or something like a model, but I think I post it every storm thread and every time someone comments, wow that's crazy.
RE: .  
nygiants16 : 3/13/2017 10:09 pm : link
In comment 13392217 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
This thing is gonna bust on Long Island, especially Suffolk. It went from 12-18 to now 3-8 in 24 hours and it's gonna end up on the low end of that. The meteorologists are trying to save face but this is already an epic bust and it's not even here yet.

It's mostly rain.

Sorry, Tom.


system moved a little west, i am in morris county new jersey and going to get slammed
RE: RE: .  
DennyInDenville : 3/13/2017 10:19 pm : link
In comment 13392229 nygiants16 said:
Quote:
In comment 13392217 Danny Kanell said:


Quote:


This thing is gonna bust on Long Island, especially Suffolk. It went from 12-18 to now 3-8 in 24 hours and it's gonna end up on the low end of that. The meteorologists are trying to save face but this is already an epic bust and it's not even here yet.

It's mostly rain.

Sorry, Tom.



system moved a little west, i am in morris county new jersey and going to get slammed

Same here.

We are gonna get fucked real good. 20-28 inches maybe

Gross but whatever. Gonna wake up at 9 to shovel then do another round at 1 then will do my last round when it ends.

Tons of calcium chloride for the aftermath on deck. Shits amazing.
Looks like Monmouth County  
EricJ : 3/13/2017 10:28 pm : link
will have it change over to rain in the morning according to the weather.com app
Im in Hunterdon County  
Mark from Jersey : 3/14/2017 7:10 am : link
already changing over to a frozen mix. Not good...I hope it gets colder so it changes back to snow. Frozen crap a terror to powerlines and worse for roads.
A whole 4 inches in Long Island  
hitdog42 : 3/14/2017 7:12 am : link
Now sleet-
My train station empty and lirr car has 2 people in it? Soft - very soft- barely a storm
Overrated Storm in my Area  
Steve in South Jersey : 3/14/2017 7:42 am : link
More snow if anticipated in the coming hours but this has been mostly sleet and freezing rain. I don't have the winds that I had heard about either. Nobody is going out to work so stay safe.
Coastal areas already switching to sleet and rain  
dpinzow : 3/14/2017 8:09 am : link
will knock down accumulation totals anywhere within 10 miles of the coast. Inland is getting hammered. Major warm layer causing the sleet
RE: Overrated Storm in my Area  
jeff57 : 3/14/2017 8:16 am : link
In comment 13392363 Steve in South Jersey said:
Quote:
More snow if anticipated in the coming hours but this has been mostly sleet and freezing rain. I don't have the winds that I had heard about either. Nobody is going out to work so stay safe.

Link - ( New Window )
Absolute bust.....  
Tom [Giants fan] : 3/14/2017 8:17 am : link
the computer models handled the dynamics of the storm correctly but not the track. West of NYC is now getting the blizzard Long Island was supposed to get. The storm is right now inland a bit when it was thought it would be over the ocean. What a bust of a winter!!
This just in from the NYC OEM  
jcn56 : 3/14/2017 8:20 am : link
FROM: Notify NYC

Winter Weather Advisory for NYC until 8PM on 3/14. Blizzard Warning canceled. 4-8" of snow expected. www.weather.gov/nyc.
Here upstate is pretty bad.  
RicFlair : 3/14/2017 8:20 am : link
.
pretty bad for me in new jersey  
nygiants16 : 3/14/2017 8:25 am : link
storm moved west
Blizzard conditions all the way up to Canada  
JohnF : 3/14/2017 8:27 am : link
(mostly along a narrow band following the Hudson River once you pass Albany). Blizzard alert up till midnight tonight.

Albany totals anywhere from 18-24 expected. Albany Airport closed. The wind isn't bad yet in Schenectady, (I started shoveling around 6:00am...up to 4 inches, but very fine powder, great for skiing if you could get to a mountain!); heavy snow expected between 9:00am and 6:00pm. I'll probably break out the snow blower this afternoon.

I'm hoping this doesn't come close to the Blizzard of March 13th, 1999. That was no fun at all...
Opps, meant 1993, not 1999  
JohnF : 3/14/2017 8:32 am : link
This one!
Not a bust here  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 3/14/2017 8:33 am : link
Snow and winds just really picked up in Northern Bergen, although I hear Westchester, Putnam, Orange getting the worst of it.
Looks like 5" or so  
UConn4523 : 3/14/2017 8:35 am : link
with pretty strong gusts. With snow expected for the next 12 hours I'm guessing it will get to a foot.
Snowing again  
Mark from Jersey : 3/14/2017 8:38 am : link
in Hunterdon County NJ. HUGE flakes. Snow Ice line just a few miles to the south.
Pictures on Weather Channel  
section125 : 3/14/2017 8:45 am : link
look miserable.

Stay safe up there.
Snowing heavily here now (Chatham. NJ)  
ChathamMark : 3/14/2017 8:51 am : link
Snowflakes are very big. Easily 2-3 inches in the last hour.
I'm in Lehigh  
feelflows : 3/14/2017 8:59 am : link
And we are still getting dumped on. I can't tell what is drift and what is actual snowfall.
RE: Snowing heavily here now (Chatham. NJ)  
nygiants16 : 3/14/2017 9:09 am : link
In comment 13392415 ChathamMark said:
Quote:
Snowflakes are very big. Easily 2-3 inches in the last hour.


you are basically right down the street from me, i am in succasunna, we got big snowflakes and i can barely see my neighbors accross the street
6 inches already here in North Albany/Troy  
guitarguybs12 : 3/14/2017 9:15 am : link
Most of it in the last 3 hours or so.
RE: Opps, meant 1993, not 1999  
YAJ2112 : 3/14/2017 9:16 am : link
In comment 13392397 JohnF said:
Quote:
This one!


That storm was fun for me. Of course, I was a senior at SUNY at the time.
Getting pounded here in Hunterdon County, NJ  
drkenneth : 3/14/2017 9:18 am : link
Prolly got a foot on the ground, some freezing rain mixing in now.
sleet here now  
nygiants16 : 3/14/2017 9:27 am : link
went from big fluffy snow to sleet quickly
RE: sleet here now  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 3/14/2017 9:38 am : link
In comment 13392446 nygiants16 said:
Quote:
went from big fluffy snow to sleet quickly


Same here - moved to ice real quick
Funny.  
RicFlair : 3/14/2017 9:39 am : link
I just started a new job, i.t. call center. Their policy that they stressed was that a state of emergency is the deciding factor whether they close or not.

So this morning there was a statewide state of emergency but they were still open.

Now there is a county wide state of emergency and a travel ban for non-essential personel and they are still open.

I think at this point they are just trying to save face by staying open.

My direct supervisor gave us the option depending on conditions where we are, so I'm home since I live on a hill, my poor lady though works in a hospital so she was forced to go in and they may call a code green which means she stays overnight.
NYC  
feelflows : 3/14/2017 9:42 am : link
Had thundersnow!! I'm jealous. How cool.
RE: NYC  
Danny Kanell : 3/14/2017 9:50 am : link
In comment 13392462 feelflows said:
Quote:
Had thundersnow!! I'm jealous. How cool.


Link - ( New Window )
HAHAHA  
Don Draper : 3/14/2017 9:59 am : link
That guy in the YouTube video is a trip!
I believe  
well...bye TC : 3/14/2017 10:01 am : link
forecasts as much as I do polls.
.  
RicFlair : 3/14/2017 10:06 am : link
Apparently Gov. Cuomo just called my county the epicenter of the storm and national guard and supplies and shit are coming.
snow and ice in southern Westchester  
spike : 3/14/2017 10:12 am : link
No fluffy stuff anymore
Mostly sleet and snow here East of Reading, PA  
GiantBlue : 3/14/2017 10:28 am : link
Seems more like sleet which should hopefully keep our totals down.

Last night were supposed to get anywhere from 18 to 29 inches.
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