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Roster Building, the CAP, and the draft..

Archer : 4/25/2017 1:26 pm

In looking at the Giants roster you can understand the significance of drafting well.

Drafted players are more likely to become starters than players acquired by other means. And drafted players who become starters are CAP friendly.

The Giants Roster has presently (70) players
Quote:

(19) DP, Drafted Players (including Eli) (27%)
(35) UFA, Unrestricted Free Agents (50%)
(11) UDFA, Undrafted Rookie Free Agents (16%)
(1) T, Trade, (3) PS, Practice Squad and (1) W, Waivers (7%)

The projected starters are;
Quote:

(+/- 11) of the DP are starters (50%)
(+/- 11) of the UFA are starters (50%)

You could include UDFA Andrew Adams as a starter, but for purpose of this exercise I have included Thomson as a starter.

Quote:

The approximate CAP cost for a drafted starter is $ 4,507,371.42

The approximate CAP cost for a free agent starter is $ 6,695,644.18


The Giants CAP spending to fill a starting possition with a free agent costs over $2,100,000 more than if filled by a drafted player.
The above number only looks at a comparison of the direct cost of the starting players.

The cost to fill a starting possition becomes significanly more costly when you factor in the money spent on UFAs who do not start or who are cut.

Then the cost balloons to over $3,000,000 more per starting player.

If half of the Giants starting team is comprised of free agents then the Giants are spending +/- $33,000,000 more than if the possitions were filled by draft picks or undrafted rookie free agents.

No team can fill all of their starting possitions via the draft but teams like New England are at 75%-80%.
The Packers are the paradigm in this area.  
Big Blue Blogger : 4/25/2017 1:48 pm : link
Signing Martellus Bennett and Davon House was something of a novelty for Green Bay. Remarkably, I think they project as the only starters who have played for another NFL club. And House was originally drafted by the Packers. Almost all of the key backups are homegrown too.

Of course, a lot of their fans think the Packers rely too heavily on the draft.
And in this watered down league  
mrvax : 4/25/2017 2:03 pm : link
many teams are playing draftees that are journeymen and really should be upgraded ASAP.

Acquiring better than average talent via the draft is a great way to improve a team, conversely destroy one.

New England's drafts have been not noteworthy for the most part. They must be scheming around the distinct talent their drafted players have to carry such a high %.


RE: And in this watered down league  
Lionhart28 : 4/25/2017 2:25 pm : link
In comment 13441603 mrvax said:
Quote:
many teams are playing draftees that are journeymen and really should be upgraded ASAP.

Acquiring better than average talent via the draft is a great way to improve a team, conversely destroy one.

New England's drafts have been not noteworthy for the most part. They must be scheming around the distinct talent their drafted players have to carry such a high %.

Another factor here is that they often trade down and make a number of picks in rounds 2-5, so even if their hit rate is no better they have a lot more chances

Will the 2017 Pats really feature that much homegrown talent?  
Big Blue Blogger : 4/25/2017 2:57 pm : link
It seems to me that their recent player acquisition methods have been pretty diverse: trades (Cooks, Ealy, Allen, Rowe, Van Noy, etc.); restricted free agency (Hogan, Gillislee); unrestricted free agency (McClellin, Gilmore, Burkhead), and of course guys off the street like Dion Lewis). I'm not sure New England stands out in this regard any more.
couple points  
giants#1 : 4/25/2017 3:08 pm : link
1. Eli should probably be removed from the analysis since the QB position is nearly impossible to fill via FA (at least with a good starter) and because he skews the numbers upwards.

2. The horrid 2012 draft class also has a disproportionate impact on this analysis since they would all be on 2nd contracts. Even if 1-2 of those players were still on the team (and starters) the cost of drafted players would be higher and the cost of FA starters lower (since they'd replace one or more).

#2 gets to the real advantage of drafting. You get good, ascending talent with 4-5 years of cost control. After that initial contract, it typically doesn't matter if the player is "homegrown" or a FA as players rarely take hometown discounts. The best example of this over the past decade is probably Russel Wilson since he plays QB, by far the most expensive position, and wasn't a first round pick. They were getting QB play that typically costs $15-20M per season for <$1M per year and were thus able to use the additional resources elsewhere.

It's also why Beckham is arguably the most valuable WR in the NFL (at least for another year). Elite production + huge cost "savings" relative to the other top WRs (Brown, Julio, etc). Makes it a lot easier for the Giants to spend top $$ elsewhere.
Simply put,  
oldog : 4/25/2017 4:59 pm : link
one of the most important management functions is to draft intelligently, with attention to both player potential and team needs. Pick players in the draft with skills at premium, expensive positions, QB, Corner, DE, or look for generational talents when the window opens up. Then, costs will be lower, and more management discretion available to fill in team needs. Management must coordinate with coaching to allow needs to be matched with available talent. With a 3.5 year average time in the NFL, it is clear that some gaps will be filled with rotating journeymen, or rapidly developing draftees. NE, to this point, does this best. The Giants have improved since their coaching change.
Excellent post - cost-controlled talent in the cap era is essential  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/25/2017 8:29 pm : link
And I agree that you should probably remove Eli from the math, because his inclusion actually makes the numbers contradict your overall point.

Separate question - why all caps for "CAP"? It's not an acronym. It literally is a cap on spending. I've seen other posters capitalize it similarly, so I'm curious if there's a reason behind it.
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