for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

Third Down Conversions - Flipping a Weakness to a Strength?

Anando : 4/28/2017 11:10 am
We all know that converting on third down has been quite an issue for the Giants over the years.

Whether it's related to a lack of:

~A power back being able to convert on short yardage
~Eli not having enough time to find an open receiver
~Our TEs having big drops
~Lack of a physical, tall receiver to make a catch in tight, over the middle coverage

In 2016, the Giants were ranked 30TH in the league on 3rd Down conversion - 34.44%. In the last three years they've averaged 38%.

Drafting Engram will hopefully take us to the next level.

Engram last year on Third Down was a force with Ole Miss:
Quote:

Situation: 3rd Down, 1-3 To Go
Games: 4
Receptions: 4
Yards: 30
AVG: 7.50
TD: 0
Long: 18

Situation: 3rd Down, 4-6 To Go
Games: 2
Receptions: 2
Yards: 46
AVG: 23
TD: 1
Long: 33

Situation: 3rd Down, 7-9 To Go
Games: 2
Receptions: 3
Yards: 41
AVG: 13.67
TD: 0
Long: 25

Situation: 3rd Down, 10+ To Go
Games: 4
Receptions: 5
Yards: 122
AVG: 24.4
TD: 2
Long: 39


Like many of you have posted in the last day, Engram provides a safety valve for Eli (even if he doesn't have much time) to throw a quick out or a pass across the middle to convert on third down.

His hands are fantastic, and he has the size to either box defenders (CBs) out or out run them (LBs).

Matchup nightmare!

Situational Stats - Engram - ( New Window )
I think the combination of a porous line and an immobile QB...  
Big Blue Blogger : 4/28/2017 11:19 am : link
...who makes a fair number of mistakes under pressure puts a ceiling on their third-down performance. The Giants get very few "cheap" conversions on QB scrambles or busted plays. Marshall, Engram and Vereen will help, of course; but they don't solve everything.
Don't forget how many 3rd and 1 situations where they tried  
SterlingArcher : 4/28/2017 11:20 am : link
to throw a 60 yard pass!
I believe we were last or close to last on  
idiotsavant : 4/28/2017 11:26 am : link
running TDs by total # as well.

lots of draft to come, but it will be a close call now.
RE: Don't forget how many 3rd and 1 situations where they tried  
Anando : 4/28/2017 11:39 am : link
In comment 13448445 SterlingArcher said:
Quote:
to throw a 60 yard pass!


True, and now they have two options (Marshall and Engram) who can do a quick slant or hook to pick up a first down.
This gives us  
Doomster : 4/28/2017 11:40 am : link
a better short third down option...

We can have Engram at TE, and Ellison at FB.....then Eli reads the defense....

He can keep Ellison in the backfield as a lead blocker, or pass protector, or move him up to the other TE position.....the Giants will have multiple options to run the ball or pass it......this is something Eli did not have last season....
RE: I think the combination of a porous line and an immobile QB...  
giants#1 : 4/28/2017 11:50 am : link
In comment 13448442 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
...who makes a fair number of mistakes under pressure puts a ceiling on their third-down performance. The Giants get very few "cheap" conversions on QB scrambles or busted plays. Marshall, Engram and Vereen will help, of course; but they don't solve everything.


I disagree. The biggest issue has been the lack of a running game that could consistently get 3-4 yards on 1st/2nd down. For his career, here are Eli's conversion rates (when passing) on 3rd:

3rd and short: 206/386 (53.4%)
3rd and 4-6 yards: 250/517 (48.3%)
3rd and 7-9 yards: 157/470 (33.4%)
3rd and 10+ yards: 142/598 (23.7%)

If they can run the ball more consistently and/or convert more short passes on 1st/2nd down, their 3rd down efficiency will improve.
I agree with the intent re: 3rds and even RZ  
ChaChing : 4/28/2017 11:54 am : link
But believe we've made lots of moves in the last few years largely for the same reason

The move to BMac's offense was a big one. Not that OL isn't important, but getting the ball out quick & taking more easy short completions helps mitigate blocking issues. Iirc KG's offense was overall middling if that for 3rd's & RZ most yrs b/c of it's deep ball focus

And pickups like Vereen, Shep, now BMarsh all fall in the same line even b4 the EE pick

That said, iirc BMac's O had 1 good year in the RZ...the rest has been shaky overall. As good as our offense was 2 yrs ago it was pretty poor last year. For me it's way too soon to talk "weakness to strength." But yes EE seems a good pick for this purpose...
Last Year  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 4/28/2017 1:02 pm : link
perhaps, we suffered from too much Steve Sullivan. He was a decent QB coach, but he has proven to be a mediocre at best OC.
NFL Coaches  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 4/28/2017 1:04 pm : link
Last year a friend of mine coached in the NFL. He said you would not believe how many NFL asst coaches don't know what they're doing.
look, sooner or later  
idiotsavant : 4/28/2017 1:17 pm : link
if you cannot run it up the gut for 3 or 4 yards, it really diminishes your options.

people start going wide 9 and fucking up your pass protection, even on short D and D.

Thus the obsession with a heavier, better G-C-G trio.

That, and the emphasis on the GCG within Mac / Packers ball.
I mean, its 3rd down and 2 yards to go at the 50  
idiotsavant : 4/28/2017 1:25 pm : link
and you are in 4 wide - shotgun.

ok. fine, if it works it works.

But, this might be why Flowers is scared of his own shadow right now. At some point you have to give the line back its man - card. run quick hits from under center, make the DL earn its keep when they face you, keep them in close to center, old school.
Back to the Corner