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NFT: NHL Expansion thread

Patrick : 6/12/2017 10:30 am
This is the last day a team is able to ask a player with a NMC to waive that clause to allow the team to expose him to the expansion draft.

Teams must protect seven forwards, three defensemen and one goaltender; or eight skaters (forwards/defensemen) and one goaltender.

Any player with a no-movement clause in his contract at the time of the expansion draft must be protected unless he waives it. All first- and second-year professional players, and unsigned draft choices, are exempt from selection by Vegas and do not have to be protected.

Vegas must select one player from each team to fill a roster of at least 14 forwards, nine defensemen and three goalies, with a minimum of 20 players under contract for the 2017-18 season.

Expansion draft rules - ( New Window )
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RE: ...  
Deej : 6/19/2017 2:26 pm : link
In comment 13503975 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
Deej, I'm usually a long-term/asset management guy - but I think the Rangers (and Giants, tbh) are in positions that they have to think about maximizing the window with their star players (Henrik/Eli).


I'll buy into an overcommit on Shatty if I see another big move first. Im not convinced that this roster + Shatty is all that great. It's so hard to tell, but I think we need Shatty AND a superstar forward. Not someone that you get with Stepan+. Someone much better than that. A top 10 center type.

Im not sure what to make of this team. Im not going all in on probably 2 good but not great years of Hank.
RE: I'm not sure when the trades  
pganut : 6/19/2017 2:27 pm : link
In comment 13503963 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
will be announced, that's a question I have too.
I just spoke with a friend in the Canadian hockey media to try and get a better feel for this; he mentioned that none of the trades will be announced until Wednesday. He thinks McPhees plan is to have his list tomorrow, but its not like it has to be set in stone if he somehow gets a better offer.
......  
BrettNYG10 : 6/19/2017 2:30 pm : link
I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.
RE: ......  
pjcas18 : 6/19/2017 2:36 pm : link
In comment 13503989 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.


that top 4 D is better than PIT top 4 D.



RE: The allure of playing in NY is overrated.  
Anakim : 6/19/2017 2:56 pm : link
In comment 13503961 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
How many guys have taken discounts to play here?

I also don't see the Rangers wanting Shattenkirk and only offering a three year deal. If they think Shattenkirk is the guy they need to turn this into a quality D unit, who cares about what he's like in 2022?


Shanahan is the first one that comes to mind
RE: RE: ......  
Deej : 6/19/2017 3:01 pm : link
In comment 13503995 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 13503989 BrettNYG10 said:


Quote:


I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.



that top 4 D is better than PIT top 4 D.




Yeah but Pitt has Crosby, Malkin, and friends. And Murray is obviously fantastic (and could be better than Hank over the next 2-3 seasons).
I should say I really have no idea what Skjei is  
Deej : 6/19/2017 3:04 pm : link
Is he going to be a better player than McDonagh? Seems unimaginable but then I look at his production last year and his toolbox and think it's almost likely. How soon does that happen? And hat is McDonagh -- his play is a little all over the place, in part because Girardi has been such an anchor; but just in part.
RE: RE: RE: ......  
pjcas18 : 6/19/2017 3:06 pm : link
In comment 13504021 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 13503995 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 13503989 BrettNYG10 said:


Quote:


I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.



that top 4 D is better than PIT top 4 D.






Yeah but Pitt has Crosby, Malkin, and friends. And Murray is obviously fantastic (and could be better than Hank over the next 2-3 seasons).


I see, you mean overall better, I was just saying top 4 D.

Penguins are favorites to repeat, I heard their name with Galchenyuk too.

Shattenkirk seems like a unique situation  
Kyle in NY : 6/19/2017 3:08 pm : link
given how clear he's made it that he loves the area and would like to play again near home. If the Rangers can offer 5.5 to 6 million AAV, I think that could be good enough.

Of course, I suppose NJ could really throw a huge offer to him and he'd technically be back in the area. But who wants to play for them?
.  
pjcas18 : 6/19/2017 3:45 pm : link
Quote:
Pierre LeBrun‏Verified account @PierreVLeBrun 2m2 minutes ago

Plan is for VGK to file all its trades with Central Registry to make them official after the draft window closes at 10 am ET Wednesday
RE: RE: RE: RE: ......  
Deej : 6/19/2017 3:53 pm : link
In comment 13504030 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 13504021 Deej said:


Quote:


In comment 13503995 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 13503989 BrettNYG10 said:


Quote:


I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.



that top 4 D is better than PIT top 4 D.






Yeah but Pitt has Crosby, Malkin, and friends. And Murray is obviously fantastic (and could be better than Hank over the next 2-3 seasons).



I see, you mean overall better, I was just saying top 4 D.

Penguins are favorites to repeat, I heard their name with Galchenyuk too.


My point is that 1-19 this roster doesnt strike me as a Shattenkirk away from contention. I could be wrong on that. But my gut tells me we need an elite forward too. I think it is unlikely we trade for that player, but I feel a lot better about giving Shatty 6 or more years if it is the 2nd move with the 1st being to get a star center.

I get the counter -- 4 lines of NYR forwards rolled the NHL until the D just collapsed. 1 of 2 terrible Ds is gone, and Smith and Shatty for a full season is a big +. Im going on gut here. My bias is a belief that in the playoffs when everyone Ds up and hits that the guys getting by on hustle and smarts (e.g. a Stepan type) become less effective and the guys with god given skill like a Brassard stay effective.
My comment was strictly  
pjcas18 : 6/19/2017 4:06 pm : link
related to this comment, I misunderstood this to be related to defense.

So I said the NYR top 4 on D in the scenario provided was better than PIT top 4 D.

Quote:
I disagree a bit, I think a top four of Skjei, McDonagh, Shattenkirk, Smith is good enough to win it all. I wouldn't say a favorite, but a bit behind PIT/WAS.
....  
BrettNYG10 : 6/19/2017 4:13 pm : link
I think the Rangers with that top four is good enough to win it all. That was my point. It's not up there with Nashville or anything.

I don't think the gap between these teams is that large. Ottawa was a goal away from a SCF trip and the Rangers (IMV) could have easily beaten the Senators just with better deployment.
RE: ....  
Deej : 6/19/2017 4:29 pm : link
In comment 13504131 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I think the Rangers with that top four is good enough to win it all. That was my point. It's not up there with Nashville or anything.

I don't think the gap between these teams is that large. Ottawa was a goal away from a SCF trip and the Rangers (IMV) could have easily beaten the Senators just with better deployment.


I concede that there is a lot of merit to this POV. It's just a gut thing. Im also worried that all the blown leads in the playoffs is a demoralizing blow that this group cant overcome. No way to prove it until they lace them up. But that was such a brutal way to go out.
One thing to watch is the sub-limits in the draft  
Deej : 6/19/2017 4:49 pm : link
14f, 9d, 3g, 4 positional wild cards doesnt strike me as that limiting. 20 or more players already under contract I think is the biggie -- a lot of the enticing players are RFAs. I just saw a projection that has Vegas taking and flipping Grabner. No explanation, but I notice that Vegas had 10 RFAs from other teams. Lindberg is an RFA so he would burn one of their "not under contract" picks.

Picks have to be 60-100% of the upper limit of the salary cap, and Vegas cant draft and immediately buyout players. Drafted players cant be bought out by Vegas for until next summer. They can trade for a guy and buy him out, but that wont count towards the 60%.

Im kind of rooting for them to take Fast. I like Fast but I worry we're about to pay him $2+ million to be a 4th liner. After that I'd next rather lose Grabner, if only because I think Raanta can be immediately traded for a late #1 or a #2 plus.
....  
BrettNYG10 : 6/19/2017 4:59 pm : link
Deej, did you think any of the recent NYR teams was good enough to win the Cup? If so, what would differentiate the theoretical team vs. those that you thought could win it all?
RE: ....  
Deej : 6/19/2017 5:15 pm : link
In comment 13504203 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
Deej, did you think any of the recent NYR teams was good enough to win the Cup? If so, what would differentiate the theoretical team vs. those that you thought could win it all?


I thought at the time that the 2013/14 and 2014/15 teams were good enough. I thought Hank was better then. I thought the team defense were better though declining (but I get that what we're talking about is an overhauled defense). In retrospect Im not sure they forwards were good enough, and they've gotten better.

Maybe the changes on defense change everything. The better recent Rangers team had an offensive scheme of breakout passes that made sense. The forwards are more talented now but the goals feel a little flukier.

2014-15 Rangers were #3 in GF, #3 in GA. Last year were #4 and #14 respectively. And our bit of a possession problem (fine because of style I think) because a massive possession problem (not fine because we were constantly buried).
....  
BrettNYG10 : 6/19/2017 5:39 pm : link
I'm counting on Henrik bouncing back a bit with a reformed defense.

AV and luck would be my biggest concerns with that line-up.

Of course, Henrik could just turn into an average goaltender, which would put a hole in those plans.
.  
Anakim : 6/19/2017 5:42 pm : link
Chris Nichols‏ @NicholsOnHockey
Dreger: #Isles are "going to do something big in the next week here. And by big, I mean they're going to add an offensive piece." Top-six F
Interrupting your Rangers-fest, however briefly...  
pganut : 6/19/2017 5:42 pm : link
Quote:
Dreger: #Isles are "going to do something big in the next week here. And by big, I mean they're going to add an offensive piece." Top-six F.
Isles need to do something big  
Deej : 6/19/2017 5:46 pm : link
I really think they need to make a big jump or it is 50-50 JT walks. So even if a trade for a top 6 F isnt justified precisely on the merits, it could be worth it if that is what keeps Tavares from leaving next summer (or at the deadline as a rental).
RE: ....  
Deej : 6/19/2017 5:47 pm : link
In comment 13504224 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I'm counting on Henrik bouncing back a bit with a reformed defense.

AV and luck would be my biggest concerns with that line-up.

Of course, Henrik could just turn into an average goaltender, which would put a hole in those plans.


Bouncing back yes. Being the best goalie again? Unlikely. Which is a difference. The two years I mentioned, I felt like we could legitimately say "well we've got the best goalie so that's a huge edge"
Interrupting a Ranger Fest?  
Carl in CT : 6/19/2017 5:55 pm : link
If it were not fit Ranger Fans an Icelander thread would have 8 posts.
RE: Interrupting a Ranger Fest?  
pganut : 6/19/2017 6:00 pm : link
In comment 13504242 Carl in CT said:
Quote:
If it were not fit Ranger Fans an Icelander thread would have 8 posts.
Don't you have some false windmills to chase? I remember vividly the thread last year that I saved where you accused me of being racist and since you're a black man, I somehow offended you. Sorry, but I don't have time for idiocy. Your opinion means literally nothing. Enjoy your season, but don't include me in your thought process.
RE: RE: Interrupting a Ranger Fest?  
Deej : 6/19/2017 6:03 pm : link
In comment 13504251 pganut said:
Quote:
In comment 13504242 Carl in CT said:


Quote:


If it were not fit Ranger Fans an Icelander thread would have 8 posts.

Don't you have some false windmills to chase? I remember vividly the thread last year that I saved where you accused me of being racist and since you're a black man, I somehow offended you. Sorry, but I don't have time for idiocy. Your opinion means literally nothing. Enjoy your season, but don't include me in your thought process.


It is traditional to tilt at windmills. One need not chase them as they are immobile, being buildings an whatnot.

In any event, you'd rather he go after imagined enemies (as the idiom suggests) rather than our geographic rival's fans? Seems like a weird demand.
Deej, you're a good guy  
pganut : 6/19/2017 6:09 pm : link
But I owe you no explanations. He knows what he did was wrong, and I do not suffer fools, period.

Let's keep it to hockey; no need to burn mental bandwidth on stupidity.
RE: Interrupting your Rangers-fest, however briefly...  
JayBinQueens : 6/19/2017 7:04 pm : link
In comment 13504226 pganut said:
Quote:


Quote:


Dreger: #Isles are "going to do something big in the next week here. And by big, I mean they're going to add an offensive piece." Top-six F.


Am I the only one who really doesn't want Eberle?

If they're going to make a big move I want someone who at least tries to play some D
Isles update  
pganut : 6/19/2017 7:08 pm : link
Staple/TSN reporting the trade between the Isles and VGK is Kulemin. Love the guy, but that'll clear over $4M of cap space, which jives with the need for more financial leverage to land a top-6 forward. There might also be another piece going to LV from the Isles (could be pick, player or prospect) and it's "possible" it's Grabovski. I guess he'd be a cap mule for VGK ($5M cap hit), but if he regains playing clearance, should make Kulie happy to have his buddy there. A potential $9M+ off the books for the Isles is excellent.

Same Newsday article also refers to Tavares being willing to wait on signing an extension (translation: sky isn't falling if the deal isn't done on July 1) and JT feels confident in the direction the team is heading.
RE: RE: Interrupting your Rangers-fest, however briefly...  
Deej : 6/19/2017 7:12 pm : link
In comment 13504305 JayBinQueens said:
Quote:
In comment 13504226 pganut said:


Quote:




Quote:


Dreger: #Isles are "going to do something big in the next week here. And by big, I mean they're going to add an offensive piece." Top-six F.




Am I the only one who really doesn't want Eberle?

If they're going to make a big move I want someone who at least tries to play some D


Eberle has been actively available for what seems like 3-4 years. I'd be wary too.
RE: Isles update  
Deej : 6/19/2017 7:14 pm : link
In comment 13504307 pganut said:
Quote:

Same Newsday article also refers to Tavares being willing to wait on signing an extension (translation: sky isn't falling if the deal isn't done on July 1) and JT feels confident in the direction the team is heading.


Isnt the translation that he isnt willing to commit? Im not looking to be a dick Rangers fan, but that all seems like good guy spin. If he was confident and comfortable he'd resign.
RE: RE: RE: Interrupting your Rangers-fest, however briefly...  
JayBinQueens : 6/19/2017 7:17 pm : link
In comment 13504311 Deej said:
Quote:
In comment 13504305 JayBinQueens said:


Quote:


In comment 13504226 pganut said:


Quote:




Quote:


Dreger: #Isles are "going to do something big in the next week here. And by big, I mean they're going to add an offensive piece." Top-six F.




Am I the only one who really doesn't want Eberle?

If they're going to make a big move I want someone who at least tries to play some D



Eberle has been actively available for what seems like 3-4 years. I'd be wary too.


Yup - his name's always thrown out there. I'm really hoping it's not him.

I'd imagine Vegas would want more for taking Kulemin & Grabovski but that would be huge if true.



I think I'm most curious to see what teams ask Vegas to select certain players from them (like the Rangers saying to Vegas, take DeHaan and we'll trade you X for him)
Deej and Brett colloquy  
ColHowPepper : 6/19/2017 7:18 pm : link
Quote:
My point is that 1-19 this roster doesnt strike me as a Shattenkirk away from contention. I could be wrong on that. But my gut tells me we need an elite forward too. I think it is unlikely we trade for that player, but I feel a lot better about giving Shatty 6 or more years if it is the 2nd move with the 1st being to get a star center.

I get the counter -- 4 lines of NYR forwards rolled the NHL until the D just collapsed. 1 of 2 terrible Ds is gone, and Smith and Shatty for a full season is a big +. Im going on gut here. My bias is a belief that in the playoffs when everyone Ds up and hits that the guys getting by on hustle and smarts (e.g. a Stepan type) become less effective and the guys with god given skill like a Brassard stay effective.


I think Deej's 1st sentence of the first quoted para and 2nd sentence of the second quoted para (except I'm not convinced that Brassard is a good exemplar) are about where I stand.

The inability to put Ottawa away when we had leads in Games 2-3 (?) didn't seem to turn on defensive failings, though we know that is (hopefully was) a team weakness but the inability to finish. How many times have we lamented that the Rangers transform average keepers into All Stars?

Those "4 lines of NYR forwards roll[ing] the NHL" (we're really referring only to October and November, aren't we?) shriveled and died in SCP. Our erstwhile horses Miller, Stepan, Kreider, Hayes (even Zucc) became all but invisible, replaced on an intermittent basis by Lindberg, Fast, Zib, and that wasn't enough, so the point about defense cranking down hard in SCP has merit.

It turned out that the d, with a somewhat resuscitated Girardi, even with the mediocre and fading Stahl, were no more the deciding factor in the ouster than an impotent offense, never mind the near-invisible PP.

Lastly, does leaving Lindberg and Fast exposed tell us anything about Vigneault and Gorton?
RE: RE: RE: RE: Interrupting your Rangers-fest, however briefly...  
Deej : 6/19/2017 7:21 pm : link
In comment 13504316 JayBinQueens said:
Quote:

I'd imagine Vegas would want more for taking Kulemin & Grabovski but that would be huge if true.


Well the get for LVK is that the Isles are shipping the #15 pick too.
ColHow  
bigbluehoya : 6/19/2017 7:27 pm : link
On your last point, I don't think so. I think it just confirms what we all knew, which is that they have a lot of depth and strength at forward.

RE: RE: Isles update  
pganut : 6/19/2017 7:37 pm : link
In comment 13504313 Deej said:
Quote:
Isnt the translation that he isnt willing to commit? Im not looking to be a dick Rangers fan, but that all seems like good guy spin. If he was confident and comfortable he'd resign.
Well, he can't sign until 7/1 at the earliest, so that's why you haven't seen it happen. Most all sources that cover the team regularly feel pretty strongly he's resigning. But as I have said in this thread, no one knows what's happening behind the scenes. I know it's enjoyable for you guys to see if our agony is prolonged, but I'd have to think the chances are small he leaves. And like any modern athlete, he doesn't need to announce his intentions and possibly shortchange himself. I am, and have been, comfortable with the notion he does re-up and stays Captain for his Isles career, and he deserves to get paid as an elite star.

Bu it wouldn't be an Isles adventure without drama...Staple just tweeted that he's revising his article and to discount what was reported earlier. Good times, good times.
I actually dont relish the Isles fans prolonged agony  
Deej : 6/19/2017 7:42 pm : link
I'd like to see him sign with the Rangers. Failing that, Im more worried about him signing with a team that is already competitive in the East w/o him. Doesnt he solve a lot of problems in Montreal?

Also some concern he goes to a team like the Oilers and is unstoppable on their 2nd line. How quickly does Matthews mature into a superstar? Soon enough for him and JT to be a slightly lesser Malkin and Crosby?

Until the Islanders get their shit together, they're not my fear.
Okay (Isles fans)...update isn't bad at all  
pganut : 6/19/2017 7:44 pm : link
He walked back saying it was definitively Kulemin and changed it to:
Quote:
The player designated for selection is still unknown, though it likely would be an Islander with a decent-sized cap hit to help the team clear space. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak ($4.5 million), forward Nikolay Kulemin ($4.187 million) and defenseman Thomas Hickey ($2.2 million) are three of the larger salaries among the teams unprotected players.
You may resume breathing again.
Staple  
KWhite2250 : 6/19/2017 8:04 pm : link
Barely covers the team and he writes a story finally and hes now writing up his 3rd revison. Guy is the worst
Maybe the 3rd time is the charm  
pganut : 6/19/2017 8:19 pm : link
Again, nothing fundamentally radical in the newest update. Confirms that the Isles 1st rounder is going to VGK in addition to a designated player on the unprotected list, and now reports it is a "strong possibility" that Grabovski is being traded as well. So that'll mean Grabbo's $5M plus whatever current roster player's salary coming off the books.
.  
Anakim : 6/19/2017 8:25 pm : link
Newsday Sports‏Verified account @NewsdaySports
Update: #Isles likely trading Mikhail Grabovski to Vegas along with first-round pick in expansion deal, sources say:
Ok  
KWhite2250 : 6/19/2017 8:36 pm : link
So if the Isles have $4 mill right now to spend and then somehow clear $9 to la vegas, they are at $13 million under cap. Im sure you save money if you trade hamonic/strome and something for galchenyuk and probably break even in a trade for Duch. So if thats the case, do they have enough to get involved with Shattenkirk?
Looks like grabbo is going  
Metnut : 6/19/2017 8:45 pm : link
per staple update.
Shattenkirk  
Fish : 6/19/2017 8:49 pm : link
On Isles is a gamechanger. Trade hammer, lose hickey and go 55,2, 6, 50, 44 and shattenkirk. Add Duchene or galenchyuk and cooking with peanut oil.
RE: Shattenkirk  
JayBinQueens : 6/19/2017 8:53 pm : link
In comment 13504387 Fish said:
Quote:
On Isles is a gamechanger. Trade hammer, lose hickey and go 55,2, 6, 50, 44 and shattenkirk. Add Duchene or galenchyuk and cooking with peanut oil.


What would you imagine the trades would be for Duchene or Galchenyuk (trying to imagine what your roster would look like)
RE: Shattenkirk  
Anakim : 6/19/2017 9:04 pm : link
In comment 13504387 Fish said:
Quote:
On Isles is a gamechanger. Trade hammer, lose hickey and go 55,2, 6, 50, 44 and shattenkirk. Add Duchene or galenchyuk and cooking with peanut oil.



Except Shattenkirk wants to go to the Rangers, not the Islanders (and understandably so).


But even if he just wanted to come home, the Devils can outbid the both of us. They can essentially give Shattenkirk a blank check.
If  
Fish : 6/19/2017 9:06 pm : link
Its Duchene I thinks he becomes L2 center, galenchuk or eberle with JT and Anders.

27,91,14
12, 9, 66
29, 13, 72
??, 53, 15


55, 2
44, 22
50, 6


Something like that. But I'm not good at shit like this. Pganut can clean it up for me in editing room.

You would think  
KWhite2250 : 6/19/2017 9:08 pm : link
Hamonic and Strome+ are main pieces in a trade for either of the C's. If kulemin and grabovski are gone then thats 13 mill to start with. If that deal gets Galchenyuk we could save 2-3 mill more or break even with an extension. Question is, what to do with De Haan? Trade him to open up a spot to make a run at Smith or Shattenkirk? Give him a raise and sign an Oshie and not get 1 of the D?

I dont wanna get too excited because I wont believe Garth does anything positive until I see it.
As I said to Fish earlier  
pganut : 6/19/2017 9:26 pm : link
I'm not overwhelmed by Shattenkirk. I think Pulock can produce reasonably well early, and become a Shattenkirk plus (better defender) as he continues his growth. Shattenkirk also vanished on a Presidents Cup team that should have performed better when it counted. I'm not real interested in spending the 6-6.5M/yr (there won't be a hometown discount), so I'm happy to let the Rangers again chase the shiny. Unless it's a short term deal, it will likely be a regrettable contract later.
Some good news for Devils fans  
Jay on the Island : 6/19/2017 10:49 pm : link
Rumor says that Kovalchuk has decided to move back to the U.S. He is hoping for NY but is willing to go elsewhere. The Devils will hopefully get an early 2018 draft pick for him.
This morning  
Fish : 6/20/2017 7:35 am : link
I see Ledecky trying to sell 15% of islanders and no takers so far. What's the point of this coming out or is it fake?
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