for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

NFT: Yankees Trade Deadline Thread

Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:36 am
I didn't want to try to start Yankee discussions on what has become a Mets thread (nothing wrong with that, but it has) so I figured I'd start another one.

Presumably the Yankees are after starting pitching alone, though a 1B and LHRP are possibilities. The two notable depth guys who were available, Cahill and Garcia, both moved yesterday. Maybe someone else ends up on the market, but for now it seems like Sonny Gray and a chance that one or both of JV and Darvish get moved.

Dodgers reportedly want Darvish or no one. Milwaukee might take a run at Gray, and they certainly have the ammo to get it done. The real issue for the Yanks is whether they view Gray as an ace or as a good pitcher. A controllable ace, even with injury concerns, is worth a hefty prospect return. A good pitcher with injury concerns is not.
Darvish is the only guy out there  
Keith : 7/25/2017 9:43 am : link
that puts us in the upper echelon of the AL, IMO.
Per Ralph...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:49 am : link
Jim Bowden 🌟 @Jim_BowdenSXM 2m2 minutes ago
More
Jeff Luhnow We are going to be reasonably aggressive if we get close to deal Astros pursuing w/hopes to land STARTER & RELIEVER #Astros
RE: Darvish is the only guy out there  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:49 am : link
In comment 13538115 Keith said:
Quote:
that puts us in the upper echelon of the AL, IMO.


He's not pitching that well this year - good but not great - and I would prefer them to emphasize the next couple years as well as the next couple months.
I saw one report  
kash94 : 7/25/2017 9:54 am : link
that it would be between the Yankees or Dodgers for Gray, but seems like Dodgers dropped out?

Thing is Gray has some cost controlled years coming up so while his value may go down going forward, Oakland doesn't HAVE to move him now and can wait until the offseason or something.
RE: RE: Darvish is the only guy out there  
Keith : 7/25/2017 9:58 am : link
In comment 13538123 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 13538115 Keith said:


Quote:


that puts us in the upper echelon of the AL, IMO.



He's not pitching that well this year - good but not great - and I would prefer them to emphasize the next couple years as well as the next couple months.


I think this is a short term and long term move. If things go well, you'd have to figure that we'd have the inside track to sign him long term, he's only 30 yo. If not, you offer arbitration, no?

He's pitching just as well this year as he always has. He pitches in a big time hitters park and all of his numbers are right in line with his career averages. 3.44 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .216 BAA with over a strikeout an inning. Whats not to like?
RE: RE: RE: Darvish is the only guy out there  
DanMetroMan : 7/25/2017 10:02 am : link
In comment 13538131 Keith said:
Quote:
In comment 13538123 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


In comment 13538115 Keith said:


Quote:


that puts us in the upper echelon of the AL, IMO.



He's not pitching that well this year - good but not great - and I would prefer them to emphasize the next couple years as well as the next couple months.



I think this is a short term and long term move. If things go well, you'd have to figure that we'd have the inside track to sign him long term, he's only 30 yo. If not, you offer arbitration, no?

He's pitching just as well this year as he always has. He pitches in a big time hitters park and all of his numbers are right in line with his career averages. 3.44 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .216 BAA with over a strikeout an inning. Whats not to like?


Darvish can't be offered the QO if he's traded. If you trade for him the options are extension or lose him for nothing.
Gotcha, thanks for the clarification.  
Keith : 7/25/2017 10:06 am : link
A little added risk then.
I wonder if there's a buy-low type they're targeting  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 10:14 am : link
Kind of like Brandon McCarthy a few years ago.
RE: I wonder if there's a buy-low type they're targeting  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 10:37 am : link
In comment 13538142 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
Kind of like Brandon McCarthy a few years ago.


Always possible, but so few teams are really out of it. Teheran maybe?
If  
PaulN : 7/25/2017 10:42 am : link
They would take back Ellsbury and not want any top prospects, just middle type, I would make a run at Verlander.
NYY top 30 from MLB.com...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 10:46 am : link
just released this morning. A lot of interesting talent at the back end of that list.
Link - ( New Window )
I like the idea of a McCarthy type.  
Victor in CT : 7/25/2017 10:46 am : link
Low cost, low risk.

I'd love a McCarthy or an Aaron Small or a Shaun Chacon...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 10:54 am : link
but I can't think of any off the top of my head. Maybe you gamble that one of the Jays' pitchers (Estrada maybe) improves with a change of scenery, but do they deal in-division?

Also Olney wrote a column suggesting that Beane and Cashman don't deal very often, for whatever reason, and that it may prove a stumbling block to a deal.
Jaime Garcia wasn't a costly addition  
Heisenberg : 7/25/2017 11:05 am : link
I suspect someone like that is the most likely guy to get added to the team.
RE: NYY top 30 from MLB.com...  
Milton : 7/25/2017 11:06 am : link
In comment 13538204 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
just released this morning. A lot of interesting talent at the back end of that list. Link - ( New Window )

The MLB top 100 has been re-shuffled. Some of it a little perplexing. Kaprielian hasn't pitched an inning this year and yet has gone from the top 60 to off the list entirely. Do they know something about his TJS rehab that we don't? Meanwhile Fowler tears up his knee and rises on the list. And why the lack of love for Mateo?
MLB top 100 prospects - ( New Window )
TJS will always make a pitcher drop  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 11:10 am : link
Nothing unusual about that. Fowler's knee injury was major, but has a pretty good prognosis for a full recovery if I'm not mistaken.
RE: Jaime Garcia wasn't a costly addition  
Stu11 : 7/25/2017 11:11 am : link
In comment 13538227 Heisenberg said:
Quote:
I suspect someone like that is the most likely guy to get added to the team.

Yep thats become Cashman's deal. I bet he adds a solid experienced major league starter, figuring once we start hitting a little more consistently with that pen all we need is 5 or 6 solid innings. I do see him reaching out for a solid 1b.
There are a limited number of those types of guys...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:13 am : link
because so many teams are in the race. In the AL only the Sox, the Jays, the Tigers and the A's are truly out of it.

The Sox have already made their deals, in all likelihood, and just about everyone left is pitching poorly. Pelfrey has the best starting ERA.

The Jays have Estrada and Liriano, pitching like crap right now.

The A's have an all-kid rotation except for Sonny Gray, and a lot of it is hurt.

The Tigers? JV, kids and the albatross of Jordan Zimmerman. So in the whole of the AL, among obvious sellers, there are a couple maybes.
Fowler raked prior to the injury...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:14 am : link
Kaprielian has missed the better part of two years. I get it. And Mateo has a small window of AA success. It's encouraging, but I don't think he's a glaring omission.
Verlander and Darvish  
commonthe0ry : 7/25/2017 11:20 am : link
are the two I would go after is trying to go all the way this year. I wouldn't trade much for Verlander, but he is a vet with a lot of room for bounce back (35 in Feb) and Darvish shouldn't require (nor should we try to) sell the farm for him because of his pending free agency and injury history
Same thing in the NL...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:28 am : link
Hellickson stands out in the East, but he's not pitching well. Dickey? Do we really want that? Everyone else, by and large, is a kid.

In the central only one obvious seller, the Reds, and they have jack shit. The Cards could sell, but Lynn would command a hefty price for a rental.

In the West you've got SF. Kids, big contracts (Cueto, Samardzija) and shitty performance (Cain).

So there actually aren't all that many Cahills and Garcias out there.

RE: TJS will always make a pitcher drop  
Milton : 7/25/2017 11:31 am : link
In comment 13538235 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
Nothing unusual about that.
Of course, but they knew about the TJS before the ranking that placed him in the top 60.
RE: RE: TJS will always make a pitcher drop  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:37 am : link
In comment 13538266 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 13538235 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


Nothing unusual about that.

Of course, but they knew about the TJS before the ranking that placed him in the top 60.


But they added a bunch from the draft and from performance, so a drop wouldn't be that strange.
RE: Fowler raked prior to the injury...  
Milton : 7/25/2017 11:37 am : link
In comment 13538242 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Kaprielian has missed the better part of two years. I get it. And Mateo has a small window of AA success. It's encouraging, but I don't think he's a glaring omission.
Maybe I'm mistaken about when the previous list of the 100 was published, but I thought this was already the third edition since the season started. Kaprielian had his surgery in April (I think) and so it seems as if he survived the first two editions as part of the top 100, only to be dropped from the list in the third edition. Maybe I'm mixing up the timing on all of it and maybe I'm wrong about this being the third edition and there was only a pre-season edition (published before news of Kaprielian's surgery) and only this most recent edition as a mid-season update.
...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:44 am : link
Jon MorosiVerified account
@jonmorosi
Following
More
Source: In Sonny Gray talks, #Athletics prioritizing young center fielders. They have interest in #Yankees prospect Estevan Florial. @MLB
...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 11:45 am : link
Mark FeinsandVerified account
@Feinsand
Following
More
Mark Feinsand Retweeted Jon Morosi
Florial played in this year's Futures Game. I'm told Yankees are not against including him in a trade package.
If both Morosi and Feinsand  
dune69 : 7/25/2017 12:14 pm : link
tweeted at the same time, there must be something in the works. I don't want to part with Florial for Sonny Gray. Gray has not been durable and Florial has 5 tool potential and like Judge, needs to cut down on strike outs. The Yanks seem to be in a win now mentality and I don't think we have the horses.


RE: If both Morosi and Feinsand  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 12:15 pm : link
In comment 13538353 dune69 said:
Quote:
tweeted at the same time, there must be something in the works. I don't want to part with Florial for Sonny Gray. Gray has not been durable and Florial has 5 tool potential and like Judge, needs to cut down on strike outs. The Yanks seem to be in a win now mentality and I don't think we have the horses.



Feinsand's was a retweet of Morosi, I just didn't add the quoted text
Callis answered your question...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 12:23 pm : link
Jim CallisVerified account @jimcallisMLB 10s10 seconds ago
More
Jim Callis Retweeted Alex Vandengo 🅥
Kaprielian has shown little ability to stay healthy in pro ball & @Yankees have deepest farm system around. Hence the drop. #Top100Prospects
Better not trade  
Phil in LA : 7/25/2017 12:26 pm : link
Florial.
I think Cashman sees the Sox  
Kyle in NY : 7/25/2017 12:28 pm : link
as a very vulnerable division leader, and our team as one that's better than their record, and he's willing to take a shot. It seems pretty clear he won't deal the top prospects that are close. But if he can strike a balance and utilize our prospect depth in a deal, I'm okay with that.
RE: Better not trade  
Kyle in NY : 7/25/2017 12:30 pm : link
In comment 13538380 Phil in LA said:
Quote:
Florial.


What do you think the issues are behind his high strikeout rate? Obviously his tools are off the charts but that concerns me
Pitch recognition and a power stroke...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 12:42 pm : link
doesn't mean that it can't improve with time (especially pitch recognition) but he's likely to have swing and miss in his game.
RE: RE: Better not trade  
superspynyg : 7/25/2017 12:51 pm : link
In comment 13538388 Kyle in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 13538380 Phil in LA said:


Quote:


Florial.



What do you think the issues are behind his high strikeout rate? Obviously his tools are off the charts but that concerns me


He is young and still batting 297. His k rate will drop.
You would hope so...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 1:43 pm : link
but it bears mentioning that it hasn't really improved as the season has gone on. Been right around 33% for the whole of the season and he hasn't jumped levels.
elsewhere in baseball....  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 1:54 pm : link
Dune, how awesome has Chris Taylor's season with the Dodgers been? .318/.387/.538, 12 homers, 12-15 in steals. I never understood why the Mariners didn't give him more of a shot, he did nothing but perform in the minors for them.
Meh...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 1:56 pm : link
they would have fucked that up regardless. They have not done well with position player prospects not named Seager recently.
Good point  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 2:11 pm : link
It was all for the best.

I think Taylor is exactly what the Yankees would like to see Wade become for them, albeit with less power. Can play passable defense at 4 or 5 positions and be a plus bat in the lineup.
Cashman is probly thinking to himself  
DennyInDenville : 7/25/2017 2:17 pm : link
Okay it's Florial vs Fowler

Mateo vs Andujar

Imo 2 of those 4 should be dealt in a deal for a stud pitcher this offseason. I don't want Sonny Gray for any of those 2.

Cashman should use guys like Cave, McKinny to get a Gray and if not trade them to someone else for a starter.

Cashmans thinking who can I and who should I trade to keep spots open for guys like torres on the 40 man and maybe Florial also, not sure if he needs to be added next year or year after.

The real big time trades should all be in the offseason and a year from today. But Cashman definitely needs to trade guys like McKinny, Cave etc and try to get a back end starter. Like an Ivan Nova type from last year.
I  
DanMetroMan : 7/25/2017 2:23 pm : link
wouldn't trade Fowler now. Nobody is going to value him at 100%, it would be selling low. The caveat is if you have legit concerns of him getting back to 100%.
Cave/  
DanMetroMan : 7/25/2017 2:26 pm : link
McKinney types don't sniff a guy like Gray. More like a Chacin type if you are lucky.
The like of Cave and McKinney  
davek3698 : 7/25/2017 2:27 pm : link
Are not getting you Gray.
RE: I  
DennyInDenville : 7/25/2017 2:27 pm : link
In comment 13538561 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
wouldn't trade Fowler now. Nobody is going to value him at 100%, it would be selling low. The caveat is if you have legit concerns of him getting back to 100%.

Yeah that's totally true. I would guess Florial gets moved but imo his upside might be higher then Fowlers and also I don't want Florial moved for Sonny Gray unless Gray ends up being good of course.
RE: Cave/  
DennyInDenville : 7/25/2017 2:28 pm : link
In comment 13538566 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
McKinney types don't sniff a guy like Gray. More like a Chacin type if you are lucky.

Yes I'd totally trade them for a Chacin or anything that can help.
RE: Cave/  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 2:40 pm : link
In comment 13538566 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
McKinney types don't sniff a guy like Gray. More like a Chacin type if you are lucky.


McKinney has limited value. Cave doesn't get you Sonny Gray, but the last blocked Yanks OF prospect is now in the team photo for ROY. Cave is better than national pubs give him credit for being, and may have a bit of trade value. He is probably the hottest hitter in the high minors right now.
RE: RE: Cave/  
DanMetroMan : 7/25/2017 2:44 pm : link
In comment 13538586 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 13538566 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


McKinney types don't sniff a guy like Gray. More like a Chacin type if you are lucky.



McKinney has limited value. Cave doesn't get you Sonny Gray, but the last blocked Yanks OF prospect is now in the team photo for ROY. Cave is better than national pubs give him credit for being, and may have a bit of trade value. He is probably the hottest hitter in the high minors right now.


Dunedin, I wasn't knocking Cave but I can say pretty confidently he's not what Billy Beane is looking for as a best prospect in a deal for Sonny Gray. There is almost NOTHING out there in terms of SP's, Gray isn't great but he's bringing back at least 1-2 "considered top" prospects for sure.
Agreed...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 2:47 pm : link
and as I've said before if he's Cole Hamels you do it, as much as I like Florial and Mateo (the projected two headliners). But I'm not sure he is, because of his 2016, because of his injuries, etc, and you have to hope that the Yankees FO does a good job of figuring that out.
Marco  
DanMetroMan : 7/25/2017 2:51 pm : link
Estrada might make sense for the Yankees in the "cheaper" price range. Still missing bats, .330 BABIP, has struggled recently but success in the past. At the right price might be worth adding in addition to someone else.
Forget trading multiple prospects  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 2:54 pm : link
Are any of these players untouchable in deals for a starting pitcher?

Betances, Castro, Romine, Didi.

I'm not suggesting trading any of them and obviously it would have to be the right deal. I am opposed to trading the likes of Ginger, Torres, Mateo, etc. I'd rather trade the players blocking them for a pitcher pre arb.

Brian Cashman said rather emphatically that Betances  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 2:57 pm : link
isn't being traded.
.  
Dave in Hoboken : 7/25/2017 3:00 pm : link
Dan Federico‏ @RealDanFederico 16h16 hours ago
More
Source in Trenton: Rangers "head honchos" scouting Thunder tonight. #Yankees "called about Darvish." Texas was taking a hard look at Mateo.
Great news on Fowler:  
Dave in Hoboken : 7/25/2017 3:00 pm : link
Greg Johnson‏ @gregp_j 2h2 hours ago
More
Greg Johnson Retweeted Dan Federico
Fowler texted his former AA manager, Bobby Mitchell, last week to let him know doctors expect a full recovery. His age (22) is key with that
Rangers also scouting Charleston today...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:01 pm : link
they were at the matinee along with the Angels.
RE: Forget trading multiple prospects  
TheMick7 : 7/25/2017 3:03 pm : link
In comment 13538614 KingZ said:
Quote:
Are any of these players untouchable in deals for a starting pitcher?

Betances, Castro, Romine, Didi.

I'm not suggesting trading any of them and obviously it would have to be the right deal. I am opposed to trading the likes of Ginger, Torres, Mateo, etc. I'd rather trade the players blocking them for a pitcher pre arb.


I love that so many fans look at Didi as blocking somebody. He'a only 27,has gotten better each year he's been a Yankee. Why would you move a SS who's one of the best in baseball? Maybe we should start looking at Gleyber at 2B/3B rather than at SS as it seems to me that position is already filled!
Didi has been a revelation...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:08 pm : link
Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.
RE: Brian Cashman said rather emphatically that Betances  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:10 pm : link
In comment 13538620 shockeyisthebest8056 said:
Quote:
isn't being traded.


I saw that also. Just talking about the right trade not just getting rid of him.
RE: RE: Forget trading multiple prospects  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:11 pm : link
In comment 13538635 TheMick7 said:
Quote:
In comment 13538614 KingZ said:


Quote:


Are any of these players untouchable in deals for a starting pitcher?

Betances, Castro, Romine, Didi.

I'm not suggesting trading any of them and obviously it would have to be the right deal. I am opposed to trading the likes of Ginger, Torres, Mateo, etc. I'd rather trade the players blocking them for a pitcher pre arb.




I love that so many fans look at Didi as blocking somebody. He'a only 27,has gotten better each year he's been a Yankee. Why would you move a SS who's one of the best in baseball? Maybe we should start looking at Gleyber at 2B/3B rather than at SS as it seems to me that position is already filled!


My question was if these players were untouchable in the right deal instead of trading 4 prospects.
RE: Didi has been a revelation...  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:13 pm : link
In comment 13538641 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.


I'm not talking about dumping anyone. I was asking if they were untouchable in the right deal.
RE: RE: Didi has been a revelation...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:19 pm : link
In comment 13538647 KingZ said:
Quote:
In comment 13538641 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.



I'm not talking about dumping anyone. I was asking if they were untouchable in the right deal.


No but that deal doesn't exist. The Yankees aren't trading probably their second best offensive player right now (Didi) and nobody looking to market an ace is trying to get back a flawed 2B with average productivity or an elite reliever. Contenders pursue elite relievers, not rebuilding teams.
I love Yu Darvish... everyone loves Yu Darvish.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 3:21 pm : link
But how much can we realistically give up for a rental? While we'd almost certainly get a high-end compensatory pick if he walked, the idea of giving up a top prospect for 3+ months bothers me. We're not the Cubs (there was no place for a guy like Torres to play, plus they hadn't won in 100 years) and we're not the Indians (who haven't won anything in half a century).

IDK... I guess I would have to see what they gave up. It just makes me uncomfortable.
I would prefer getting Gray  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:22 pm : link
AND Alonso from Oakland. Gray is 3 years younger and we can demo him for 2 years before committing bog $$$ to him. Darvish will likely require a 150+ million dollar contract starting next year when he will be 31.

Alonso is a solid hitting lefty 1B who discovered some power this year which can only get better with Yankees RF wall. Hes also a FA after this year so if we want to continue with the Bird experiment we can without being on the hook past this year.

I also think Ellsbury for Verlander is worth a phone call as we have a SP need and the salaries are similar. Might as well exchange a surplus for a need right? A starting rotation of Severino, Verlander, Tanaka and CC isnt so bad IMHO. Ells for Verlander straight up would be a good get.
RE: I would prefer getting Gray  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:27 pm : link
In comment 13538661 chopperhatch said:
Quote:


I also think Ellsbury for Verlander is worth a phone call as we have a SP need and the salaries are similar. Might as well exchange a surplus for a need right? A starting rotation of Severino, Verlander, Tanaka and CC isnt so bad IMHO. Ells for Verlander straight up would be a good get.


Totally agree. I wish Cashman was wired that way. Years of frustration, he probably prefers a 2018 rotation of a FA, Tanaka, Severino, Montgomery and lets say Green.
Not necessarily directed at just chop  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 3:29 pm : link
But why in god's name would Detroit consider Ellsbury for Verlander for even one second?

Of course it would be a good get for the yankees, because it would be one of the worst trades ever made for the Tigers.

It doesn't make any sense.
Again - why would Detroit trade Verlander for Ellsbury?  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 3:31 pm : link
You're going to have to sweeten that deal considerably to get their interest. A straight up swap makes no sense for them.
There's a small financial incentive...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:36 pm : link
but only if the '20 option vests. And it only vests if JV is a stud in 2019, in which case he's earning his money. And there's certainly a chance JV becomes a below replacement level pitcher before Ellsbury becomes a below replacement level OF. But generally speaking no, it doesn't make sense.
RE: Again - why would Detroit trade Verlander for Ellsbury?  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:40 pm : link
In comment 13538668 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
You're going to have to sweeten that deal considerably to get their interest. A straight up swap makes no sense for them.



Im aware we would have to throw them SOMETHING, but it would be a straight exchange in salries. Ellsbury makes about 7 million less per year and can be bought out after '20. It would just save them some money for all intents and might net them a prospect depending on what they would ask for. Im not well versed enough in the minors to speculate on what might get it done.

I am also okay with just keeping Ells as a bench player. Not a bad back up OF, pinch hitter or pinch runner to have at our disposal.
RE: There's a small financial incentive...  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:42 pm : link
In comment 13538672 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but only if the '20 option vests. And it only vests if JV is a stud in 2019, in which case he's earning his money. And there's certainly a chance JV becomes a below replacement level pitcher before Ellsbury becomes a below replacement level OF. But generally speaking no, it doesn't make sense.


Just saw JV was 34. Yikes. Didnt realize he was THAT old. Im actually good on giving up any prospects gor a guy who will be 38 and earning 22 million.
The Tigers aren't the Padres.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 3:45 pm : link
They're not dumping one of the best players in franchise history just for salary relief. They're FAR more likely to pick up part of Verlander's remaining contract to get 3-4 good prospects than they are to swap Verlander for a less bad contract.
Look at this 2 ways:  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 3:51 pm : link
First, start with a baseline assumption that Verlander is not top 5 in 2019 Cy Young voting. 2020 option does not vest. Detroit saves $7m each in 2018 and 2019, and then pays Ellsbury $21m in 2020 plus $5m on the buyout.

Alternatively, say he is top 5 Cy Young in 2019. They save $7m each in 2017 and 2019, 2020 is a wash, and then they pay $5m to Ellsbury on the buyout. So they saved $9m total while giving the Yanks 2 years of a Cy Young contender.

Weight the odds of those two situations however you think is most likely. If you are Detroit, you should not make that trade unless you're getting back at least one prospect that you absolutely love.
RE: Look at this 2 ways:  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:02 pm : link
In comment 13538690 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
First, start with a baseline assumption that Verlander is not top 5 in 2019 Cy Young voting. 2020 option does not vest. Detroit saves $7m each in 2018 and 2019, and then pays Ellsbury $21m in 2020 plus $5m on the buyout.

Alternatively, say he is top 5 Cy Young in 2019. They save $7m each in 2017 and 2019, 2020 is a wash, and then they pay $5m to Ellsbury on the buyout. So they saved $9m total while giving the Yanks 2 years of a Cy Young contender.

Weight the odds of those two situations however you think is most likely. If you are Detroit, you should not make that trade unless you're getting back at least one prospect that you absolutely love.


Conversely, as Dunedin said, there is probably a far better chance that Verlander at 34 is going to continuously depreciate at a rate much higher as a power pitcher than Ellsbury as an outfielder who is still a very good baserunner and, at times, decent bat that can put the ball over the fence.

Either way, I was mistaken in saying the trade made sense for either team.
Fair enough  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 4:20 pm : link
I'm not trying to be argumentative, was just hoping to nip the Verlander/Ellsbury idea in the bud.

For what it's worth, if you remove Ellsbury from the equation, I think the idea of taking a 2 year gamble on Verlander may be an interesting proposition for the Yankees if they balk at the idea of giving a guy like Darvish longer money.

The compensation to Detroit would have to be low for me to like it.

Verlander has looked good 4 of his last 5 starts



JV makes sense if they're not concerned about money...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 4:31 pm : link
because barring an opt-out you have three returning starters next year. If Tanaka is a part of a successful September/October you have two. But they probably are concerned about money, so it wouldn't.
Verlander  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 4:32 pm : link
Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.
RE: If both Morosi and Feinsand  
Beer Man : 7/25/2017 4:36 pm : link
In comment 13538353 dune69 said:
Quote:
tweeted at the same time, there must be something in the works. I don't want to part with Florial for Sonny Gray. Gray has not been durable and Florial has 5 tool potential and like Judge, needs to cut down on strike outs. The Yanks seem to be in a win now mentality and I don't think we have the horses.

Agree, not to mention they already traded our other big lefty OF prospect Rutherford.
RE: Verlander  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:37 pm : link
In comment 13538741 KingZ said:
Quote:
Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.


That makes absolutely no sense for the T's. None.
RE: RE: Verlander  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 4:39 pm : link
In comment 13538746 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13538741 KingZ said:


Quote:


Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.



That makes absolutely no sense for the T's. None.


I totally agree.
Accord to the NY Post  
Beer Man : 7/25/2017 4:47 pm : link
The A's covet Mateo, Florial, and Acevedo for Gray. The article doesn't say if they want all 3, but IMO if Cash gives that package away for Gray, he should should be sent packing. Gray is not going to push the Yankees over the top, and those three players could be part of something very special if the team would just be a little patient.
I don't like that package...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 4:50 pm : link
but Quintana netted an elite prospect and a prospect who falls into the same weight class as the three they're talking about from us, and Gray has ace potential while Quintana really does not. And it's certainly less than the return for Andrew Miller, an elite reliever but a reliever nonetheless. It's an overpay IMO, but I wouldn't fire the GM for doing it.
RE: Accord to the NY Post  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:56 pm : link
In comment 13538754 Beer Man said:
Quote:
The A's covet Mateo, Florial, and Acevedo for Gray. The article doesn't say if they want all 3, but IMO if Cash gives that package away for Gray, he should should be sent packing. Gray is not going to push the Yankees over the top, and those three players could be part of something very special if the team would just be a little patient.


I think that would be a mistake. Florial and Andujar MAYBE. But def not Florial and Mateo. I really like Mateo as our leadoff guy of the future.
Gary Sanchez  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 5:29 pm : link
Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.
RE: Gary Sanchez  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 5:35 pm : link
In comment 13538783 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.


Didnt Girardi say something about Sanchez nursing a groin injury about a month ago? Groins are just as naggy as hammies and worse for catchers. It certainly makes sense if Girardi gives him a day off every few games. Groins need a ton of rest.
I'm not gonna complain about Gary, since  
bceagle05 : 7/25/2017 5:37 pm : link
it's a day game tomorrow. I'm more puzzled by Montgomery earning himself a personal catcher off nothing more than a decent few months.
Gary started 4 straight games.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 5:37 pm : link
They love going with Romine and Monty. No problem there. I think the only complaint could be whether Gary should get the start at DH and let Matt Holliday get an extended rest.

Holliday is 5-55 with 4 double plays, 2 RBIs, 2 XBHs, and 3 BBs.
RE: I'm not gonna complain about Gary, since  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 5:39 pm : link
In comment 13538789 bceagle05 said:
Quote:
it's a day game tomorrow. I'm more puzzled by Montgomery earning himself a personal catcher off nothing more than a decent few months.


There's just a drastic difference in his numbers with Romine catching him and anyone else. Romine has to start at least once through the rotation so it might as well be with Monty.
RE: RE: Gary Sanchez  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 5:42 pm : link
In comment 13538787 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13538783 bigbluehoya said:


Quote:


Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.



Didnt Girardi say something about Sanchez nursing a groin injury about a month ago? Groins are just as naggy as hammies and worse for catchers. It certainly makes sense if Girardi gives him a day off every few games. Groins need a ton of rest.


Yeah, I'm not going to lose my mind about it with how poor some of his ABs have been lately. The mental rest may be as valuable as the physical that the moment.
RE: Gary started 4 straight games.  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 5:44 pm : link
In comment 13538790 shockeyisthebest8056 said:
Quote:
They love going with Romine and Monty. No problem there. I think the only complaint could be whether Gary should get the start at DH and let Matt Holliday get an extended rest.

Holliday is 5-55 with 4 double plays, 2 RBIs, 2 XBHs, and 3 BBs.


Good point about DH. But theres an argument to keep sending Holliday out there to make him work out of it. Either way, not much of a big deal giving Gary a day off.
Yankees-A's working toward blockbuster  
EddieNYG : 7/25/2017 7:09 pm : link
Trade centered around Gray, Alonso...
Link - ( New Window )
What's the deal with Alonso?  
adamg : 7/25/2017 7:13 pm : link
Are his numbers this year legit or an outlier?
It would be a shame if they gsve up top prospects for Gray.  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 7:57 pm : link
He's just not that good. If they gave it up for an ace like Sale and I'd have no problem with it. But Gray? Ugh.
RE: I don't like that package...  
Milton : 7/25/2017 7:59 pm : link
In comment 13538758 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but Quintana netted an elite prospect and a prospect who falls into the same weight class as the three they're talking about from us.
If you go mlb.com, Jimenez is a weight class above the three they're talking about. He is ranked above every Yankees prospect other than Torres (and that includes Frazier). I may be the only one here who feels this way, but if the Yankees give up Florial, Mateo, and Acevedo for Gray and Alonso, I consider that a win-win deal for both teams. If you can make a trade for a frontline starting pitcher who isn't eligible for free agency for another 2 1/2 years without giving up any of your top three prospects (Torres, Frazier, Adams), you should be happy.
RE: What's the deal with Alonso?  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 7:59 pm : link
In comment 13538866 adamg said:
Quote:
Are his numbers this year legit or an outlier?


Outlier, and he's been slumping for a month.
RE: It would be a shame if they gsve up top prospects for Gray.  
Milton : 7/25/2017 8:03 pm : link
In comment 13538915 yatqb said:
Quote:
He's just not that good. If they gave it up for an ace like Sale and I'd have no problem with it. But Gray? Ugh.
You're not going to get an ace like Sale for Florial, Mateo, and Acevedo. Hell, Quintana cost the Cubs the seventh ranked prospect in all of baseball (according to mlb.com).
Milton, I just don't think much of Gray.  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 8:15 pm : link
I'd have been willing to put one top prospect (e.g., Rutherford or C. Frazier) in a trade for an ace like Sale, along with very good prospects like Mateo and Sheffield or Adams. But I'm not that interested in giving up 3 very good prospects for Gray.
RE: Milton, I just don't think much of Gray.  
Milton : 7/25/2017 8:21 pm : link
In comment 13538930 yatqb said:
Quote:
I'm not that interested in giving up 3 very good prospects for Gray.
Yeah, it comes down to your opinion of Gray and where do you see him in the Yankees rotation. He's not Sale, but Sale is one of the top five pitchers in all of baseball.
Sonny Gray  
EddieNYG : 7/25/2017 8:53 pm : link
Fits what Cashman is looking for in trades. Young, controllable assets. Gray is 27 and will be under team control until 2020.

Severino and Gray at the top of your rotation if you lose CC, Pineda and Tanaka (if he opts out) is reason enough to make a deal for Gray.

I don't know what the deal will be, but i'm not getting that worked up over the possibility of losing prospects. All of them are not making the team and all of them are not panning out. Gonna have to deal some at some point to improve the overall competitiveness of the big league club.
From a Mets fan...  
brunswick : 7/25/2017 9:23 pm : link
IF you can put the injury history aside Gray is an elite SP who is 27 years old. Alonso appears to have figured it out. If the Yankees get these 2 major pieces they will have significantly upgraded their roster and have to be considered a top 5 choice to win the WS. People are underestimating how good Gray is.
Sale is a good pitcher...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:47 pm : link
But he has a 5+ ERA against NYY, Boston and Baltimore, 8+ at Fenway and 7+ at Camden. Limited reps but still something to consider when deciding if he is an ace or not.
Are you talking about Gray, Duned?  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 9:51 pm : link
.
Yes, sorry...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:57 pm : link
My typos are getting more frequent with age.
Gray pitching well in Toronto tonight  
DennyInDenville : 7/25/2017 9:58 pm : link
I'm so mixed on him.. more down then high
RE: Yes, sorry...  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 10:36 pm : link
In comment 13539022 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
My typos are getting more frequent with age.


Boy, do I know about that! And my Dad just turned 94, and our visit to him (in FL) showed me what I have to look forward to if I reach that age...physical and mental infirmity. Sad and scary.
Speaking of Sale  
mitch300 : 7/25/2017 11:39 pm : link
The Yanks are 2-0 against him this season. Both times no decisions for Sale. Proof that bullpens have a huge impact in today's game.
Nunez to Bosox per Ken Rosenthal  
adamg : 7/26/2017 12:26 am : link
Quote:
Ken Rosenthal‏Verified account @Ken_Rosenthal 2m2 minutes ago
More
Source: Eduardo Nunez to #RedSox.
RE: Nunez to Bosox per Ken Rosenthal  
chopperhatch : 7/26/2017 12:32 am : link
In comment 13539072 adamg said:
Quote:


Quote:


Ken Rosenthal‏Verified account @Ken_Rosenthal 2m2 minutes ago
More
Source: Eduardo Nunez to #RedSox.



Good bat. Does he still suck at fielding?
Yeah, he still sucks.  
Dave in Hoboken : 7/26/2017 12:34 am : link
.
Mediocre bat  
Greg from LI : 7/26/2017 12:44 am : link
96 OPS+, slightly better than Headley.
RE: Mediocre bat  
chopperhatch : 7/26/2017 12:46 am : link
In comment 13539082 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
96 OPS+, slightly better than Headley.


Mediocre bat? Hes batting .307....like .350 the last 40 games. Hes a very nice bat.
RE: RE: Mediocre bat  
DennyInDenville : 7/26/2017 12:47 am : link
In comment 13539084 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13539082 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


96 OPS+, slightly better than Headley.



Mediocre bat? Hes batting .307....like .350 the last 40 games. Hes a very nice bat.

Superb speed also

and he will hit more homers in Fenway
He's a hacker without much power  
Greg from LI : 7/26/2017 1:32 am : link
So he's a glorified singles hitter who doesn't walk much and is one of the absolute worst defensive infielders I've seen in my life. They can have him. I've never missed him for a millisecond.
Nunez deal returns  
adamg : 7/26/2017 1:39 am : link
Quote:
Jon Heyman‏Verified account @JonHeyman 7m7 minutes ago
More
SFGiants get shaun anderson and gregory santos, 2 righties, for nunez. @alexspeier 1st
They're a reasonably patient team...  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 8:49 am : link
they can handle a hacker in their lineup. The issue is more that they don't have a ton of pop. Their top 2 HR guys have 17 apiece, and then they have 3 with 12 and nobody else with more than 6, while playing in a bandbox. Nunez has a little bit of power, but someone like Frazier (even with his BA) would have been a decent get for them. Hell, Devers might have the most pop in that lineup right now.
I agree Dun they just hit their 100th HR last night  
Stu11 : 7/26/2017 9:06 am : link
Frankly they have a lot of holes. More so than us. We are 9 games under .500 the past 5 weeks and wake up today all of 1 game out.
They've got a starter you'd take against almost anyone...  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 9:10 am : link
in a one game series, or in two games of a five game series. They've got a shutdown closer. And they're middle of the pack for runs scored, so they're not a terrible offensive team. They have flaws - pitching depth in the rotation and in the pen, lack of power - but on paper they're still probably a better team than we are. We're set up at least as well going forward, without question, but it's easy to overlook them because of inconsistency.
Nunez  
DanMetroMan : 7/26/2017 9:22 am : link
trade makes sense for both sides, I'm jealous the Mets couldn't get something similar for Cabrera.
Problem is a closer, and even a top 8th inning guy isn't enough  
Stu11 : 7/26/2017 9:22 am : link
you need at least 3 or 4 arms you can count on every night. The whole season isn't a 1 game series. Besides the rest of their rotation is nothing special. Not bad but not special. I disagree. of course I'm biased but going forward this season I'd rather have our roster. As you saw in Boston in a 3 or 4 game series between us the pens decide the games especially as the series goes on and the innings pile up. Sevi can match Sale for 6 or 7 innings.
Sevi is going to start to have SOME innings considerations...  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 9:26 am : link
If you're Boston, you can pencil Sale in for 7-8 IP (he averages just over 7) and then you have to get through 2 innings.

But yes, after Sale there are a lot of unknowns. Price is pitching well but historically has been terrible in the postseason, whether fatigue or nerves or what have you.

And people are crowing about our historically good pen, but if Girardi is still going to trot out Betances and Chapman for 8-9 and one or both is still messed up, we're in deep trouble.
I'll take the Yankees roster over Bostons  
BigBlueShock : 7/26/2017 9:35 am : link
But Sale is going to be a bitch to deal with in the postseason and that is why it is so important for the Yankees to win the division. Make Boston play the wildcard game and use Sale for that game. If they end up facing Boston in the first round, at least they'd only face Sale once in a 5 game series
I think as long as his shoulder holds up Chappy will be fine  
Stu11 : 7/26/2017 9:36 am : link
he has looked a lot more like himself the past week. Either way we have 6 arms to rely on. Adam Warren of all people got the biggest out of the game last night in the 8th. I can't believe how good his numbers are.
RE: I'll take the Yankees roster over Bostons  
Kyle in NY : 7/26/2017 9:38 am : link
In comment 13539158 BigBlueShock said:
Quote:
But Sale is going to be a bitch to deal with in the postseason and that is why it is so important for the Yankees to win the division. Make Boston play the wildcard game and use Sale for that game. If they end up facing Boston in the first round, at least they'd only face Sale once in a 5 game series


AL East and AL Central are pretty much locked in to play one another. Astros will get the wild card winner
RE: RE: I'll take the Yankees roster over Bostons  
BigBlueShock : 7/26/2017 9:40 am : link
In comment 13539166 Kyle in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 13539158 BigBlueShock said:


Quote:


But Sale is going to be a bitch to deal with in the postseason and that is why it is so important for the Yankees to win the division. Make Boston play the wildcard game and use Sale for that game. If they end up facing Boston in the first round, at least they'd only face Sale once in a 5 game series



AL East and AL Central are pretty much locked in to play one another. Astros will get the wild card winner

Yeah, good point
Not  
DanMetroMan : 7/26/2017 9:46 am : link
to miller your thread but am I the last person to realize how awesome Whit Merrifield has been? He's like Zobrist 2.0 wow.
RE: Not  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 9:50 am : link
In comment 13539178 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
to miller your thread but am I the last person to realize how awesome Whit Merrifield has been? He's like Zobrist 2.0 wow.


What about Marwin Gonzalez?
RE: RE: Not  
DanMetroMan : 7/26/2017 9:51 am : link
In comment 13539187 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
In comment 13539178 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


to miller your thread but am I the last person to realize how awesome Whit Merrifield has been? He's like Zobrist 2.0 wow.



What about Marwin Gonzalez?


Coming off 2015 I ranted about wanting the Mets to go after Marwin Gonzalez, then he "stunk" in 2016 making me look bad but yeah wow. Breakout star at 28.
Marwin Gonzalez has been insane  
Stu11 : 7/26/2017 10:08 am : link
man doing it all. plays like 6 positions and hitting for huge power and avg. I saw him and Altuve turn a double play the other day that was insane.
Based on this thread  
Metnut : 7/26/2017 10:52 am : link
I just traded a 2018 draft pick for Marwin Gonzales in fantasy baseball. He's eligible at like all IF positions. Hopefully it works out!
Interesting that Mateo is playing SS today for the 3rd straight day  
TheMick7 : 7/26/2017 11:07 am : link
after being in CF.Obviously showing his versatility to A's,others who might want a SS.
RE: Interesting that Mateo is playing SS today for the 3rd straight day  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 11:08 am : link
In comment 13539285 TheMick7 said:
Quote:
after being in CF.Obviously showing his versatility to A's,others who might want a SS.


I think anything they say, anywhere they put him or don't put him, is going to be tabloid fodder at this point.
And, Mateo hit a grand slam this AM.....  
TheMick7 : 7/26/2017 1:07 pm : link
.
Brett Anderson worth a look?  
LarmerTJR : 7/26/2017 5:32 pm : link
Just DFA'ed.
Anderson has an 8.18 ERA this year...  
Dunedin81 : 7/26/2017 6:24 pm : link
I'd give him a shot at AAA but I wouldn't plan for him.
RE: Brett Anderson worth a look?  
rich in DC : 7/26/2017 6:26 pm : link
In comment 13539729 LarmerTJR said:
Quote:
Just DFA'ed.


No- ALWAYS injured- and a bad back has limited him to just 22 innings this year. Almost no chance that he contributes for anyone anywhere this season.
.  
Dave in Hoboken : 7/26/2017 8:42 pm : link
anthony fenech‏Verified account
@anthonyfenech
Follow
More
Add another entrant into the Justin Wilson sweepstakes: The Yankees.
RE: .  
rich in DC : 7/26/2017 9:06 pm : link
In comment 13539839 Dave in Hoboken said:
Quote:
anthony fenech‏Verified account
@anthonyfenech
Follow
More
Add another entrant into the Justin Wilson sweepstakes: The Yankees.


I think I would rather have Wilson back than a SP. The only question is whether that creates a new problem of actually having TOO many relievers.

Chapman, Betances, Kahnle, Robertson, Warren, Green already in place- Caleb Smith (who really should be given starts instead of Cessa) is around- and so are Gallegos, Holder, Mitchell, Shreve and Heller.

The Tigers might be in the market for OF and relievers- which the Yanks could provide in a trade- could the Tigers be interested in Jake Cave or Heller or Holder or Shreve? Maybe a combination of them and others?
Gray is not elite. He's good, a solid starter. And he's not durable,  
Victor in CT : 7/27/2017 8:16 am : link
he's hurt often. If you can get him without giving up any core prospects fine, but don't cave in and give anything special
Bumping this...  
Dunedin81 : 7/28/2017 9:04 am : link
because the other Gray thread was deleted. Rumors they're insisting on Torres or Frazier. Also rumors the Yankees are chasing Darvish. I hope not, I hope that's just an attempt to get the A's to relent.
no and no. I'd never give up either of those 2 for Gray.  
Victor in CT : 7/28/2017 9:38 am : link
And why give up anything for Darvish when all he'd cost is $$ after the season. And he got lit up the other night. He hasn't been great.
Back to the Corner