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NFT: Yankees Trade Deadline Thread

Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:36 am
I didn't want to try to start Yankee discussions on what has become a Mets thread (nothing wrong with that, but it has) so I figured I'd start another one.

Presumably the Yankees are after starting pitching alone, though a 1B and LHRP are possibilities. The two notable depth guys who were available, Cahill and Garcia, both moved yesterday. Maybe someone else ends up on the market, but for now it seems like Sonny Gray and a chance that one or both of JV and Darvish get moved.

Dodgers reportedly want Darvish or no one. Milwaukee might take a run at Gray, and they certainly have the ammo to get it done. The real issue for the Yanks is whether they view Gray as an ace or as a good pitcher. A controllable ace, even with injury concerns, is worth a hefty prospect return. A good pitcher with injury concerns is not.
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Dave in Hoboken : 7/25/2017 3:00 pm : link
Dan Federico‏ @RealDanFederico 16h16 hours ago
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Source in Trenton: Rangers "head honchos" scouting Thunder tonight. #Yankees "called about Darvish." Texas was taking a hard look at Mateo.
Great news on Fowler:  
Dave in Hoboken : 7/25/2017 3:00 pm : link
Greg Johnson‏ @gregp_j 2h2 hours ago
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Greg Johnson Retweeted Dan Federico
Fowler texted his former AA manager, Bobby Mitchell, last week to let him know doctors expect a full recovery. His age (22) is key with that
Rangers also scouting Charleston today...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:01 pm : link
they were at the matinee along with the Angels.
RE: Forget trading multiple prospects  
TheMick7 : 7/25/2017 3:03 pm : link
In comment 13538614 KingZ said:
Quote:
Are any of these players untouchable in deals for a starting pitcher?

Betances, Castro, Romine, Didi.

I'm not suggesting trading any of them and obviously it would have to be the right deal. I am opposed to trading the likes of Ginger, Torres, Mateo, etc. I'd rather trade the players blocking them for a pitcher pre arb.


I love that so many fans look at Didi as blocking somebody. He'a only 27,has gotten better each year he's been a Yankee. Why would you move a SS who's one of the best in baseball? Maybe we should start looking at Gleyber at 2B/3B rather than at SS as it seems to me that position is already filled!
Didi has been a revelation...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:08 pm : link
Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.
RE: Brian Cashman said rather emphatically that Betances  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:10 pm : link
In comment 13538620 shockeyisthebest8056 said:
Quote:
isn't being traded.


I saw that also. Just talking about the right trade not just getting rid of him.
RE: RE: Forget trading multiple prospects  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:11 pm : link
In comment 13538635 TheMick7 said:
Quote:
In comment 13538614 KingZ said:


Quote:


Are any of these players untouchable in deals for a starting pitcher?

Betances, Castro, Romine, Didi.

I'm not suggesting trading any of them and obviously it would have to be the right deal. I am opposed to trading the likes of Ginger, Torres, Mateo, etc. I'd rather trade the players blocking them for a pitcher pre arb.




I love that so many fans look at Didi as blocking somebody. He'a only 27,has gotten better each year he's been a Yankee. Why would you move a SS who's one of the best in baseball? Maybe we should start looking at Gleyber at 2B/3B rather than at SS as it seems to me that position is already filled!


My question was if these players were untouchable in the right deal instead of trading 4 prospects.
RE: Didi has been a revelation...  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:13 pm : link
In comment 13538641 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.


I'm not talking about dumping anyone. I was asking if they were untouchable in the right deal.
RE: RE: Didi has been a revelation...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:19 pm : link
In comment 13538647 KingZ said:
Quote:
In comment 13538641 Dunedin81 said:


Quote:


Castro is an offseason move if it happens, and probably not this offseason. Betances isn't going anywhere. Romine? I don't think there's a ton of demand for light hitting backup catchers without options.



I'm not talking about dumping anyone. I was asking if they were untouchable in the right deal.


No but that deal doesn't exist. The Yankees aren't trading probably their second best offensive player right now (Didi) and nobody looking to market an ace is trying to get back a flawed 2B with average productivity or an elite reliever. Contenders pursue elite relievers, not rebuilding teams.
I love Yu Darvish... everyone loves Yu Darvish.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 3:21 pm : link
But how much can we realistically give up for a rental? While we'd almost certainly get a high-end compensatory pick if he walked, the idea of giving up a top prospect for 3+ months bothers me. We're not the Cubs (there was no place for a guy like Torres to play, plus they hadn't won in 100 years) and we're not the Indians (who haven't won anything in half a century).

IDK... I guess I would have to see what they gave up. It just makes me uncomfortable.
I would prefer getting Gray  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:22 pm : link
AND Alonso from Oakland. Gray is 3 years younger and we can demo him for 2 years before committing bog $$$ to him. Darvish will likely require a 150+ million dollar contract starting next year when he will be 31.

Alonso is a solid hitting lefty 1B who discovered some power this year which can only get better with Yankees RF wall. Hes also a FA after this year so if we want to continue with the Bird experiment we can without being on the hook past this year.

I also think Ellsbury for Verlander is worth a phone call as we have a SP need and the salaries are similar. Might as well exchange a surplus for a need right? A starting rotation of Severino, Verlander, Tanaka and CC isnt so bad IMHO. Ells for Verlander straight up would be a good get.
RE: I would prefer getting Gray  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 3:27 pm : link
In comment 13538661 chopperhatch said:
Quote:


I also think Ellsbury for Verlander is worth a phone call as we have a SP need and the salaries are similar. Might as well exchange a surplus for a need right? A starting rotation of Severino, Verlander, Tanaka and CC isnt so bad IMHO. Ells for Verlander straight up would be a good get.


Totally agree. I wish Cashman was wired that way. Years of frustration, he probably prefers a 2018 rotation of a FA, Tanaka, Severino, Montgomery and lets say Green.
Not necessarily directed at just chop  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 3:29 pm : link
But why in god's name would Detroit consider Ellsbury for Verlander for even one second?

Of course it would be a good get for the yankees, because it would be one of the worst trades ever made for the Tigers.

It doesn't make any sense.
Again - why would Detroit trade Verlander for Ellsbury?  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 3:31 pm : link
You're going to have to sweeten that deal considerably to get their interest. A straight up swap makes no sense for them.
There's a small financial incentive...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 3:36 pm : link
but only if the '20 option vests. And it only vests if JV is a stud in 2019, in which case he's earning his money. And there's certainly a chance JV becomes a below replacement level pitcher before Ellsbury becomes a below replacement level OF. But generally speaking no, it doesn't make sense.
RE: Again - why would Detroit trade Verlander for Ellsbury?  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:40 pm : link
In comment 13538668 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
You're going to have to sweeten that deal considerably to get their interest. A straight up swap makes no sense for them.



Im aware we would have to throw them SOMETHING, but it would be a straight exchange in salries. Ellsbury makes about 7 million less per year and can be bought out after '20. It would just save them some money for all intents and might net them a prospect depending on what they would ask for. Im not well versed enough in the minors to speculate on what might get it done.

I am also okay with just keeping Ells as a bench player. Not a bad back up OF, pinch hitter or pinch runner to have at our disposal.
RE: There's a small financial incentive...  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 3:42 pm : link
In comment 13538672 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but only if the '20 option vests. And it only vests if JV is a stud in 2019, in which case he's earning his money. And there's certainly a chance JV becomes a below replacement level pitcher before Ellsbury becomes a below replacement level OF. But generally speaking no, it doesn't make sense.


Just saw JV was 34. Yikes. Didnt realize he was THAT old. Im actually good on giving up any prospects gor a guy who will be 38 and earning 22 million.
The Tigers aren't the Padres.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 3:45 pm : link
They're not dumping one of the best players in franchise history just for salary relief. They're FAR more likely to pick up part of Verlander's remaining contract to get 3-4 good prospects than they are to swap Verlander for a less bad contract.
Look at this 2 ways:  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 3:51 pm : link
First, start with a baseline assumption that Verlander is not top 5 in 2019 Cy Young voting. 2020 option does not vest. Detroit saves $7m each in 2018 and 2019, and then pays Ellsbury $21m in 2020 plus $5m on the buyout.

Alternatively, say he is top 5 Cy Young in 2019. They save $7m each in 2017 and 2019, 2020 is a wash, and then they pay $5m to Ellsbury on the buyout. So they saved $9m total while giving the Yanks 2 years of a Cy Young contender.

Weight the odds of those two situations however you think is most likely. If you are Detroit, you should not make that trade unless you're getting back at least one prospect that you absolutely love.
RE: Look at this 2 ways:  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:02 pm : link
In comment 13538690 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
First, start with a baseline assumption that Verlander is not top 5 in 2019 Cy Young voting. 2020 option does not vest. Detroit saves $7m each in 2018 and 2019, and then pays Ellsbury $21m in 2020 plus $5m on the buyout.

Alternatively, say he is top 5 Cy Young in 2019. They save $7m each in 2017 and 2019, 2020 is a wash, and then they pay $5m to Ellsbury on the buyout. So they saved $9m total while giving the Yanks 2 years of a Cy Young contender.

Weight the odds of those two situations however you think is most likely. If you are Detroit, you should not make that trade unless you're getting back at least one prospect that you absolutely love.


Conversely, as Dunedin said, there is probably a far better chance that Verlander at 34 is going to continuously depreciate at a rate much higher as a power pitcher than Ellsbury as an outfielder who is still a very good baserunner and, at times, decent bat that can put the ball over the fence.

Either way, I was mistaken in saying the trade made sense for either team.
Fair enough  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 4:20 pm : link
I'm not trying to be argumentative, was just hoping to nip the Verlander/Ellsbury idea in the bud.

For what it's worth, if you remove Ellsbury from the equation, I think the idea of taking a 2 year gamble on Verlander may be an interesting proposition for the Yankees if they balk at the idea of giving a guy like Darvish longer money.

The compensation to Detroit would have to be low for me to like it.

Verlander has looked good 4 of his last 5 starts



JV makes sense if they're not concerned about money...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 4:31 pm : link
because barring an opt-out you have three returning starters next year. If Tanaka is a part of a successful September/October you have two. But they probably are concerned about money, so it wouldn't.
Verlander  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 4:32 pm : link
Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.
RE: If both Morosi and Feinsand  
Beer Man : 7/25/2017 4:36 pm : link
In comment 13538353 dune69 said:
Quote:
tweeted at the same time, there must be something in the works. I don't want to part with Florial for Sonny Gray. Gray has not been durable and Florial has 5 tool potential and like Judge, needs to cut down on strike outs. The Yanks seem to be in a win now mentality and I don't think we have the horses.

Agree, not to mention they already traded our other big lefty OF prospect Rutherford.
RE: Verlander  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:37 pm : link
In comment 13538741 KingZ said:
Quote:
Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.


That makes absolutely no sense for the T's. None.
RE: RE: Verlander  
KingZ : 7/25/2017 4:39 pm : link
In comment 13538746 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13538741 KingZ said:


Quote:


Yankees will want Detroit to either pay considerable annual salary or take back salary in the form of overpaid players, if not Ellsbury, then somebody else or multiple players. Yankees don't have much left to offer in the way of the later.



That makes absolutely no sense for the T's. None.


I totally agree.
Accord to the NY Post  
Beer Man : 7/25/2017 4:47 pm : link
The A's covet Mateo, Florial, and Acevedo for Gray. The article doesn't say if they want all 3, but IMO if Cash gives that package away for Gray, he should should be sent packing. Gray is not going to push the Yankees over the top, and those three players could be part of something very special if the team would just be a little patient.
I don't like that package...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 4:50 pm : link
but Quintana netted an elite prospect and a prospect who falls into the same weight class as the three they're talking about from us, and Gray has ace potential while Quintana really does not. And it's certainly less than the return for Andrew Miller, an elite reliever but a reliever nonetheless. It's an overpay IMO, but I wouldn't fire the GM for doing it.
RE: Accord to the NY Post  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 4:56 pm : link
In comment 13538754 Beer Man said:
Quote:
The A's covet Mateo, Florial, and Acevedo for Gray. The article doesn't say if they want all 3, but IMO if Cash gives that package away for Gray, he should should be sent packing. Gray is not going to push the Yankees over the top, and those three players could be part of something very special if the team would just be a little patient.


I think that would be a mistake. Florial and Andujar MAYBE. But def not Florial and Mateo. I really like Mateo as our leadoff guy of the future.
Gary Sanchez  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 5:29 pm : link
Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.
RE: Gary Sanchez  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 5:35 pm : link
In comment 13538783 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.


Didnt Girardi say something about Sanchez nursing a groin injury about a month ago? Groins are just as naggy as hammies and worse for catchers. It certainly makes sense if Girardi gives him a day off every few games. Groins need a ton of rest.
I'm not gonna complain about Gary, since  
bceagle05 : 7/25/2017 5:37 pm : link
it's a day game tomorrow. I'm more puzzled by Montgomery earning himself a personal catcher off nothing more than a decent few months.
Gary started 4 straight games.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 5:37 pm : link
They love going with Romine and Monty. No problem there. I think the only complaint could be whether Gary should get the start at DH and let Matt Holliday get an extended rest.

Holliday is 5-55 with 4 double plays, 2 RBIs, 2 XBHs, and 3 BBs.
RE: I'm not gonna complain about Gary, since  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 7/25/2017 5:39 pm : link
In comment 13538789 bceagle05 said:
Quote:
it's a day game tomorrow. I'm more puzzled by Montgomery earning himself a personal catcher off nothing more than a decent few months.


There's just a drastic difference in his numbers with Romine catching him and anyone else. Romine has to start at least once through the rotation so it might as well be with Monty.
RE: RE: Gary Sanchez  
bigbluehoya : 7/25/2017 5:42 pm : link
In comment 13538787 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13538783 bigbluehoya said:


Quote:


Not in the lineup tonight.

Cue the complainers. And then the complainers about the complainers.



Didnt Girardi say something about Sanchez nursing a groin injury about a month ago? Groins are just as naggy as hammies and worse for catchers. It certainly makes sense if Girardi gives him a day off every few games. Groins need a ton of rest.


Yeah, I'm not going to lose my mind about it with how poor some of his ABs have been lately. The mental rest may be as valuable as the physical that the moment.
RE: Gary started 4 straight games.  
chopperhatch : 7/25/2017 5:44 pm : link
In comment 13538790 shockeyisthebest8056 said:
Quote:
They love going with Romine and Monty. No problem there. I think the only complaint could be whether Gary should get the start at DH and let Matt Holliday get an extended rest.

Holliday is 5-55 with 4 double plays, 2 RBIs, 2 XBHs, and 3 BBs.


Good point about DH. But theres an argument to keep sending Holliday out there to make him work out of it. Either way, not much of a big deal giving Gary a day off.
Yankees-A's working toward blockbuster  
EddieNYG : 7/25/2017 7:09 pm : link
Trade centered around Gray, Alonso...
Link - ( New Window )
What's the deal with Alonso?  
adamg : 7/25/2017 7:13 pm : link
Are his numbers this year legit or an outlier?
It would be a shame if they gsve up top prospects for Gray.  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 7:57 pm : link
He's just not that good. If they gave it up for an ace like Sale and I'd have no problem with it. But Gray? Ugh.
RE: I don't like that package...  
Milton : 7/25/2017 7:59 pm : link
In comment 13538758 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
but Quintana netted an elite prospect and a prospect who falls into the same weight class as the three they're talking about from us.
If you go mlb.com, Jimenez is a weight class above the three they're talking about. He is ranked above every Yankees prospect other than Torres (and that includes Frazier). I may be the only one here who feels this way, but if the Yankees give up Florial, Mateo, and Acevedo for Gray and Alonso, I consider that a win-win deal for both teams. If you can make a trade for a frontline starting pitcher who isn't eligible for free agency for another 2 1/2 years without giving up any of your top three prospects (Torres, Frazier, Adams), you should be happy.
RE: What's the deal with Alonso?  
Greg from LI : 7/25/2017 7:59 pm : link
In comment 13538866 adamg said:
Quote:
Are his numbers this year legit or an outlier?


Outlier, and he's been slumping for a month.
RE: It would be a shame if they gsve up top prospects for Gray.  
Milton : 7/25/2017 8:03 pm : link
In comment 13538915 yatqb said:
Quote:
He's just not that good. If they gave it up for an ace like Sale and I'd have no problem with it. But Gray? Ugh.
You're not going to get an ace like Sale for Florial, Mateo, and Acevedo. Hell, Quintana cost the Cubs the seventh ranked prospect in all of baseball (according to mlb.com).
Milton, I just don't think much of Gray.  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 8:15 pm : link
I'd have been willing to put one top prospect (e.g., Rutherford or C. Frazier) in a trade for an ace like Sale, along with very good prospects like Mateo and Sheffield or Adams. But I'm not that interested in giving up 3 very good prospects for Gray.
RE: Milton, I just don't think much of Gray.  
Milton : 7/25/2017 8:21 pm : link
In comment 13538930 yatqb said:
Quote:
I'm not that interested in giving up 3 very good prospects for Gray.
Yeah, it comes down to your opinion of Gray and where do you see him in the Yankees rotation. He's not Sale, but Sale is one of the top five pitchers in all of baseball.
Sonny Gray  
EddieNYG : 7/25/2017 8:53 pm : link
Fits what Cashman is looking for in trades. Young, controllable assets. Gray is 27 and will be under team control until 2020.

Severino and Gray at the top of your rotation if you lose CC, Pineda and Tanaka (if he opts out) is reason enough to make a deal for Gray.

I don't know what the deal will be, but i'm not getting that worked up over the possibility of losing prospects. All of them are not making the team and all of them are not panning out. Gonna have to deal some at some point to improve the overall competitiveness of the big league club.
From a Mets fan...  
brunswick : 7/25/2017 9:23 pm : link
IF you can put the injury history aside Gray is an elite SP who is 27 years old. Alonso appears to have figured it out. If the Yankees get these 2 major pieces they will have significantly upgraded their roster and have to be considered a top 5 choice to win the WS. People are underestimating how good Gray is.
Sale is a good pitcher...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:47 pm : link
But he has a 5+ ERA against NYY, Boston and Baltimore, 8+ at Fenway and 7+ at Camden. Limited reps but still something to consider when deciding if he is an ace or not.
Are you talking about Gray, Duned?  
yatqb : 7/25/2017 9:51 pm : link
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Yes, sorry...  
Dunedin81 : 7/25/2017 9:57 pm : link
My typos are getting more frequent with age.
Gray pitching well in Toronto tonight  
DennyInDenville : 7/25/2017 9:58 pm : link
I'm so mixed on him.. more down then high
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