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NFT: IRMA updates from our BBI family in Florida?

bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 7:42 am
I know there has been a few threads on this some about the game others on prep for the storm. I was hoping to have one solely for current conditions and how everyone is doing?
My sister and her family are in Jupiter they made the decision to stay even before the shift west however I have not been able to get in touch with her yet today. I was wondering if anyone here is in that area and can shed some light on how things are going in that area?

If possible use this thread to give updates on the area you are in so friends can keep track of each other during this crazy storm. I know a lot of you have been kind of screwed with the predictions of this thing and being able to prep for it.
My prayers are with you, you’re family and you’re properties.
Good luck all
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I'm in broward county  
bigbb : 9/10/2017 7:46 am : link
So far so good....still have power.. there's over 500,000 power outages in the State of Florida so far
Martin County about  
section125 : 9/10/2017 7:53 am : link
25 miles north - just rainy and breezy. Couple good gusts, but not high yet.
Thanks guys  
bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 8:13 am : link
Stay safe apparently what I have read is a lot of Tornado watches and warnings in that area so far? Seeing some of the video out of the Miami area seems like they are getting a lot more wind than expected.
In Fort Myers  
ctc in ftmyers : 9/10/2017 8:15 am : link
Just moved the horses to my next door neighbors into their open pasture. Everything is buttoned up and waiting for it to get here. Looks like ~20 hours @ 6 mph.

Damn thing keeps wobbling. Can't tell if we'll get hit by the eye wall or not.
Just my 2 cents but a few Irma threads already  
BigBlue in Keys : 9/10/2017 8:28 am : link
Maybe we can get 1 pinned for easy to find info for all. Good idea.
My sister is in Sarasota  
djm : 9/10/2017 8:36 am : link
of course she's more worried about losing the Giants game coverage....
I held out as long as I could,  
Ben in Tampa : 9/10/2017 8:46 am : link
But evacuated with my wife yesterday. My house sits in a mandatory evacuation zone in Hillsborough County, Tampa.

Tampa is in for a long night.
RE: In Fort Myers  
section125 : 9/10/2017 8:47 am : link
In comment 13589814 ctc in ftmyers said:
Quote:
Just moved the horses to my next door neighbors into their open pasture. Everything is buttoned up and waiting for it to get here. Looks like ~20 hours @ 6 mph.

Damn thing keeps wobbling. Can't tell if we'll get hit by the eye wall or not.


Starting to pick up speed and should move faster this afternoon. Hopefully it gets going and gets out of there. 8 AM has it a few miles west of 5 AM track. Probably makes surge worse as it stays just off shore until north of Tampa unfortunately it stays in that bath water longer...
It seems they really botched the forcast  
ZogZerg : 9/10/2017 9:02 am : link
A few days ago Miami was getting a direct hit so folks went west. Now those folks are in the line of fire.

Good luck everyone. Stay safe!
My former brother in-law lives in the Tampa area  
bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 9:03 am : link
We still keep in touch he and his new family got out of dodge yesterday. He is a lifelong Floridian and has never evacuated until this one. Apparently Tampa area is in for a very long and difficult time in the coming day. I wish you all the best.
RE: In Fort Myers  
bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 9:10 am : link
In comment 13589814 ctc in ftmyers said:
Quote:
Just moved the horses to my next door neighbors into their open pasture. Everything is buttoned up and waiting for it to get here. Looks like ~20 hours @ 6 mph.

Damn thing keeps wobbling. Can't tell if we'll get hit by the eye wall or not.

Not to make light of what you are dealing with

Do horses float or can swim? I am seriously curious on why you would put them out in the elements of the storm or is this something that is simply common practice?
Stay safe and best wishes to you and yours.
be safe CTC  
idiotsavant : 9/10/2017 9:13 am : link
also. Thinking about The Everglades. What happens if tons of water get pushed up into the wetlands?

That might bring flooding inland?
RE: It seems they really botched the forcast  
section125 : 9/10/2017 9:13 am : link
In comment 13589852 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
A few days ago Miami was getting a direct hit so folks went west. Now those folks are in the line of fire.

Good luck everyone. Stay safe!


Forecast was not botched at all. All of Florida was in the track cone. It could have gone through the Bahamas or miss Florida all together. If you read the notices it says there are errors of up to 200 miles on the 5 day forecast and 150 miles on the 4 day forecast.

Hurricane tracks are not really "accurate" until inside 72 hours and even then can wobble up to the last couple hours. Those of us that live here know this and somebody always gets the crappy end of the stick.
RE: RE: In Fort Myers  
ctc in ftmyers : 9/10/2017 9:19 am : link
In comment 13589843 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13589814 ctc in ftmyers said:


Quote:


Just moved the horses to my next door neighbors into their open pasture. Everything is buttoned up and waiting for it to get here. Looks like ~20 hours @ 6 mph.

Damn thing keeps wobbling. Can't tell if we'll get hit by the eye wall or not.



Starting to pick up speed and should move faster this afternoon. Hopefully it gets going and gets out of there. 8 AM has it a few miles west of 5 AM track. Probably makes surge worse as it stays just off shore until north of Tampa unfortunately it stays in that bath water longer...


Section

I'm about 20 miles inland so right on the cusp of 100+ winds. 100 and lower and it will be beer time. Another 20 mile move to the west and we will will be golden. Surge is not a problem for me.

Actually had a few people who had to evacuate come over here.

Still have direct TV. don't know how. Also power.
So far so good in Port Saint Lucie.  
Miami_JintsFan : 9/10/2017 9:23 am : link
Worst part for us will be 7pm to midnight with 80mph winds. A lot better forecast than 2 days ago when wind was supposed to be 140+. We got lucky so far on the east coast. Still anticipating losing power today.

Thinking about the safety of all those on the west coast.
RE: My former brother in-law lives in the Tampa area  
Bobby Humphrey's Earpad : 9/10/2017 9:24 am : link
In comment 13589854 bigblue1124 said:
Quote:
We still keep in touch he and his new family got out of dodge yesterday. He is a lifelong Floridian and has never evacuated until this one. Apparently Tampa area is in for a very long and difficult time in the coming day. I wish you all the best.


Just texted with someone I know in the Tampa/Sarasota area. They are taking shelter in a warehouse. Does not look good - rain and winds already picking up.
In Boca  
Jim in South Florida : 9/10/2017 9:25 am : link
Periods of high winds (60 mph), some branches down, still have power and cable
FYI for anyone in the Tampa area  
bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 9:38 am : link
Apparently Uber is offering free rides for anyone in the Tampa area who has no transportation to local area shelters.
FWIW.

Was stated on the news this morning.


RE: RE: RE: In Fort Myers  
section125 : 9/10/2017 9:41 am : link
In comment 13589873 ctc in ftmyers said:
Quote:
In comment 13589843 section125 said:


Quote:
Section

I'm about 20 miles inland so right on the cusp of 100+ winds. 100 and lower and it will be beer time. Another 20 mile move to the west and we will will be golden. Surge is not a problem for me.

Actually had a few people who had to evacuate come over here.

Still have direct TV. don't know how. Also power.


Best wishes ctc. Yes that 20 miles makes a huge difference if it just gets you out of the eye wall.

It looks to me that Irma is moving almost directly North or just East of North. Was looking at the Key West radar loop - might be an eye wall wobble or it might be tracking towards Everglades City....
In the same.boat as Jim  
jgambrosio : 9/10/2017 9:43 am : link
Just north in Delray Beach, just some wind gusts and rain through the night. Tornado warnings on and off, expecting the heaviest wind to be over the next 12 hours or so. Cooler is packed with ice and food for when we lose power.
RE: FYI for anyone in the Tampa area  
jgambrosio : 9/10/2017 9:45 am : link
In comment 13589892 bigblue1124 said:
Quote:
Apparently Uber is offering free rides for anyone in the Tampa area who has no transportation to local area shelters.
FWIW.

Was stated on the news this morning.



That could be a disaster in the making... Why put drivers on the road?.
Power starting to flicker.  
ctc in ftmyers : 9/10/2017 9:50 am : link
Another good band comes through and we'll chime in on the other side.

Not starting the generator until Irma Passes
My sister and family live on Sanibel  
Chip : 9/10/2017 9:52 am : link
They evacuated to Fort Myers. With storm surge they will more than likely lose there ground level home. Sanibel is a barrier Island and is expected to get a 10 foot storm surge which will cover the Island.
My grandfather's place is sitting unboarded up right outside  
jcn56 : 9/10/2017 10:12 am : link
of Clearwater. It's an older house (built in the 50's), and they're in a flood zone. I'm pulling for it, but I'm afraid between the wind and the water it's a goner.

My brother luckily escaped from Fort Myers, I'm hoping his place fares better because although he's close to the water he's in a new home, I'm hoping they put enough engineering into it to keep it intact (for the most part).
I'm in Brandon  
Tony in Tampa : 9/10/2017 10:14 am : link
Right outside Tampa. Riding it out in my apartment. We are in a non evac zone and I'm expecting a rough night. Also don't know how rough the days to come with no power will be. What's brutal is the waiting.
In Lakeland  
dune69 : 9/10/2017 10:20 am : link
We'll be on the east side of the eye of Irma. East side brings highest winds and tornadoes. Expecting a rough night but I pray for all to stay safe. Go Big Blue!!
RE: In Lakeland  
gidiefor : Mod : 9/10/2017 10:27 am : link
In comment 13589948 dune69 said:
Quote:
We'll be on the east side of the eye of Irma. East side brings highest winds and tornadoes. Expecting a rough night but I pray for all to stay safe. Go Big Blue!!


I'll be thinking of you guys -- and hope it isn't too bad
Brevard county  
RIZZBIZZ : 9/10/2017 10:29 am : link
Was gonna go to Tampa earlier in the week to my brothers. Now he's here instead! Crazy couple of days. I am heading to stay with my father in a rehab (he has a small stroke ) so he's not alone for the next 24 hours. And they have generator s so no chance of missing the game! Good luck Tampa-- hope to see everyone there in a month.
People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
fredgbrown : 9/10/2017 10:32 am : link
....
link - ( New Window )
RE: People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
ZogZerg : 9/10/2017 10:35 am : link
In comment 13589965 fredgbrown said:
Quote:
.... link - ( New Window )


Got to wonder if that dude is still alive....
RE: People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
section125 : 9/10/2017 10:36 am : link
In comment 13589965 fredgbrown said:
Quote:
.... link - ( New Window )


Potential Darwin Award winner....
RE: People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
jcn56 : 9/10/2017 10:41 am : link
In comment 13589965 fredgbrown said:
Quote:
.... link - ( New Window )


The comments on that link are hysterical.
RE: RE: It seems they really botched the forcast  
ZogZerg : 9/10/2017 10:41 am : link
In comment 13589865 section125 said:
Quote:


[quote]
Hurricane tracks are not really "accurate"...


Obviously not. With all the technology, models, etc. I expected a little more accurate forecast. They had this going east of Miami just a few days ago. It went significantly west. Yeah, they got it going north when it Cuba, so that was good.
RE: RE: In Lakeland  
dune69 : 9/10/2017 10:44 am : link
In comment 13589956 gidiefor said:
Quote:
In comment 13589948 dune69 said:


Quote:


We'll be on the east side of the eye of Irma. East side brings highest winds and tornadoes. Expecting a rough night but I pray for all to stay safe. Go Big Blue!!



I'll be thinking of you guys -- and hope it isn't too bad


Thanks gidie!!
RE: RE: People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
RobCarpenter : 9/10/2017 10:47 am : link
In comment 13589969 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13589965 fredgbrown said:


Quote:


.... link - ( New Window )



Potential Darwin Award winner....


Seriously, someone is going to die on camera during one of these storms.

Lots of rain here in north Port St lucie.  
SuperRonJohnson : 9/10/2017 10:52 am : link
Fort Pierce is flooded. Does not take too much to get it flooded in some areas. But they had already had 12+ inches of rain.
RE: My sister and family live on Sanibel  
ColHowPepper : 9/10/2017 10:59 am : link
In comment 13589905 Chip said:
Quote:
They evacuated to Fort Myers. With storm surge they will more than likely lose there ground level home. Sanibel is a barrier Island and is expected to get a 10 foot storm surge which will cover the Island.
Chip, prayers for them and all in and around Sanibel and Captiva, such a unique and stunning part of our world, but don't know how much will remain intact after this
RE: RE: RE: It seems they really botched the forcast  
section125 : 9/10/2017 11:01 am : link
In comment 13589981 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
In comment 13589865 section125 said:


Quote:




[quote]
Hurricane tracks are not really "accurate"...




Obviously not. With all the technology, models, etc. I expected a little more accurate forecast. They had this going east of Miami just a few days ago. It went significantly west. Yeah, they got it going north when it Cuba, so that was good.


If you follow the forecasts it actually pretty much stayed within the predicted area. Hard to type a reply and not sound like a wise ass (not my intention but sometimes it reads that way I'm certain), but if you were used to weather forecasting and tropical storm forecasting, getting within a 100 mile range 5 days out is next to impossible. There are so many variables that it is just not possible to put the path into a 20 mile wide corridor that far out. Even now Irma is actually tracking straight North and not NNW as predicted 5 hrs ago. The computer models themselves do not match exactly and they (NWS) use an average of the models to make a predicted track. They weight the prediction on ones that seem to be more right than wrong (like the Euro - more right).
So many thing come into making these things move across the oceans - temperature air and water, surface pressures & high altitude pressures, winds high and low, surface/land features and most of the influences are moving themselves and are dependent on adjacent weather factors not even in the area...any of which that change subtly alter the storm which in turn alters the other dynamics.
These guys on TWC are nuts  
trueblueinpw : 9/10/2017 11:03 am : link
Doesn't seem safe where they're reporting from - this one guy is reporting about 10 feet from raging water. Doesn't seem safe.

Best thoughts and prayers for everyone down there in FLA.
RE: People will do anything to get hits on youtube..  
bigblue1124 : 9/10/2017 11:11 am : link
In comment 13589965 fredgbrown said:
Quote:
.... link - ( New Window )


That's just stupid stick the wind gauge out the window.

The worst part of social media people trying to out do others at this time, not the sharpest crayon in the box IMO.
RE: RE: RE: It seems they really botched the forcast  
Jim in Fairfax : 9/10/2017 11:17 am : link
In comment 13589981 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
In comment 13589865 section125 said:


Quote:




[quote]
Hurricane tracks are not really "accurate"...




Obviously not. With all the technology, models, etc. I expected a little more accurate forecast. They had this going east of Miami just a few days ago. It went significantly west. Yeah, they got it going north when it Cuba, so that was good.

You're just way off base. The storm is right in the window of the path projected days ago. From Wednesday:

RE: My sister and family live on Sanibel  
JFIB : 9/10/2017 11:23 am : link
In comment 13589905 Chip said:
Quote:
They evacuated to Fort Myers. With storm surge they will more than likely lose there ground level home. Sanibel is a barrier Island and is expected to get a 10 foot storm surge which will cover the Island.


We live on Pine Island just across the bay from Sanibel and Captiva. We were going to stick it out when it was going up the east coast. We evacuated to the Vero Beach yesterday. Now projections have the eye passing directly over our little island and we expect to be homeless come Monday.
RE: These guys on TWC are nuts  
dpinzow : 9/10/2017 11:26 am : link
In comment 13590016 trueblueinpw said:
Quote:
Doesn't seem safe where they're reporting from - this one guy is reporting about 10 feet from raging water. Doesn't seem safe.

Best thoughts and prayers for everyone down there in FLA.


No doubt they get hazard pay for going out into the middle of a hurricane
Lost power at the hotel for 2 hours.  
BigBlue in Keys : 9/10/2017 11:31 am : link
We're in Miramar, west of Ft Lauderdale. CBS 4 and ABC 10 news are broadcasting here at the Hilton. I was the guy in the Giants hat walking the cocker spaniel behind the cute reporter if any saw. We had no power so I couldn't see it. Solid 40-50 winds. News people said highest gusts were 86. I watched 4 transformers blow earlier. The worst stuff was 3-4 hrs ago.

I think the worst of the eye wall went 20 miles south of my house in Marathon and crushed Big Pine Key where my boss lives. I called and cursed him out Thursday night because he was going to stay with his 25 yr old son. 3 hrs later he called me from the road. I just saw a picture of cars outside our high school almost completely under water. Town must be demolished. Insane to think people stayed and many stayed living on their boats! I'm guessing at least 20 dead from our harbor.
BBinKeys  
trueblueinpw : 9/10/2017 11:56 am : link
Good job showing your Big Blue colors on national TV. Stay safe!
Stay  
AcidTest : 9/10/2017 12:55 pm : link
safe everyone.
I'm in Jersey,  
Fred-in-Florida : 9/10/2017 1:48 pm : link
Blue sky's mid 70's, no humidity don't know what you guys are talking about!

Planned coming up here months ago once the Giants schedule came out. So I'd be back for the game in Tampa. We always come up this time of year. Grandson Birthday and a Giants game!

My brother in law from Miami went to our nieces in Riverview, just south of Tampa, then when the track shifted west they all then went to my house (25 miles west of Orlando). Don't know what is worse the in-laws , 10 of them kids an all, or Irma. I'm not there to control 'em.
Landfall in Marco Island is very possible  
DennyInDenville : 9/10/2017 2:07 pm : link
And imminent..

Maybe 1 hour maybe 2
Carl  
Jay in Toronto : 9/10/2017 2:20 pm : link
stay safe!!
In Plantation  
bluesince56 : 9/10/2017 2:39 pm : link
80 mph winds. Have power. Can't see the game. NBC is all hurricane coverage. How can I stream the game?
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