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NFT: Thursday Oct 19th Yankees Thread

section125 : 10/19/2017 7:56 am
First a shout out to B in ALB for yeoman's work these past three games coming through when it counted. Also, a reminder of the great work by Denny in Denville in getting us through the ALDS.

Tanaka - wow. Does he need juice to pitch well? Do regular season games bore him? My, my what he has done post season is the guy we remember that 1st year prior to the injury. So the questions is, if he opts out, do the Yankees look to re-sign him? I find it hard to say no. He has the partial tear, but I heard that it is not uncommon among pitchers. He is 28, seems to be a stud. Do they extend him a couple additional years and bump him to $25 mill per or more?

DH - Have to ride Headley for this last game(hopefully) and then use him against the Dodgers? Seems he has figured it out and is hot again.

Batting order - seems that Judge comes up often as leadoff (perception?). Not sure I like him in the 2 hole. But I know Joe wants him to get as many looks as possible - and who could blame him.

Bird - Looks like a #4 hitter to me. Maybe not this year, but Judge, Bird, Sanchez (3-4-5) looks pretty good to me. Can Didi go to the 2 hole? Lack of walks probably eliminates him and he has about a 16% K rate.

Hicks & Castro - somebody has to be cold and these guys look like it. Castro got the big double off Keuchel yesterday, but his wild undisciplined swings don't work post season. Hicks? Yeesh. He looks the most lost. Looks like he is over swinging and trying for the bomb every at bat.

If they make the WS - any chance Joe picks Heller over Betances for the bull pen. Heller really looked good late in the season and has high octane stuff, too. I'm throwing it out there because Betances at this point is eating a spot and Joe just doesn't trust him at all and you cannot blame him.

Anyway, thoughts for the day.
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posted this as my thread right after you... Deleted my thread.  
yankeeslover : 10/19/2017 8:10 am : link
So game 6 tomorrow night. Do you go all in with the bullpen and treat it like a must win, or do we save the bullpen for a game 7?
Also  
yankeeslover : 10/19/2017 8:11 am : link
any idea who Houston pitches game 7 if it goes that far?
Tanaka  
ryanmkeane : 10/19/2017 8:12 am : link
has 65M guaranteed for the next 3 seasons. Would be shocked if he opted out of that.
RE: Tanaka  
superspynyg : 10/19/2017 8:14 am : link
In comment 13655955 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
has 65M guaranteed for the next 3 seasons. Would be shocked if he opted out of that.


He could get 100 mil over 5 years if he opted out. He has pitched great this post season. I suspect he will opt out.

so  
YAJ2112 : 10/19/2017 8:15 am : link
that decision to go with Tanaka in 1/5 looks pretty good now.
Whats nice is  
superspynyg : 10/19/2017 8:18 am : link
I do not think Verlander will repeat his dominate performance that he had in game 2 and should this go to game 7, I have tons of confidence in CC. CC lives for those moments!!
RE: RE: Tanaka  
Heisenberg : 10/19/2017 8:19 am : link
In comment 13655957 superspynyg said:
Quote:
In comment 13655955 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


has 65M guaranteed for the next 3 seasons. Would be shocked if he opted out of that.



He could get 100 mil over 5 years if he opted out. He has pitched great this post season. I suspect he will opt out.


Yeah, it's just like when CC opted out and his annual salary didn't really go up, but the length of the contract sure did. I expect this to be the same for Tanaka. He'll opt out and the Yanks will probably sign him and there may be some years on that contract where his health makes that a sketchy decision, just like it happened with CC.
I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
mfsd : 10/19/2017 8:23 am : link
Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night
you don't tax the the pen Friday night  
micky : 10/19/2017 8:31 am : link
only depending upon the situation. Game 7 is where all hands on deck.
Pen in game 6?  
section125 : 10/19/2017 8:39 am : link
Are the Yanks up a couple runs - yes you go all out to win. Down a run or two, no. Cannot wipe them out if it looks like there is a game 7. The Astros have to win tomorrow, the Yankees don't...
RE: I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
section125 : 10/19/2017 8:43 am : link
In comment 13655963 mfsd said:
Quote:
Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night


Gardy looks like he needs a day or two off. But tired Gardy is better than Ellsbury and his defense is better.

Verlander is mainly a FB pitcher. The Yankees have more trouble with junk ballers. But I feel that the crappy lighting (IMHO) in Minute Maid throws them off. I still believe they get to Verlander. Sanchez and Judge (and Headley) are starting to pick it up.
Win tomorrow  
ThreePoints : 10/19/2017 8:45 am : link
and Gardy gets more than a few days off.
If Tanaka opts out  
arniefez : 10/19/2017 8:48 am : link
I hope the Yankees will let him leave and it's the right call. Just like they let Cano leave after the Arod contract they'll let Tanaka leave after the CC contract. There are plenty of good young arms in the minors and the Yankees have a lot of trade chips. 5 more years for Tanaka is dumb. Don't do it.
Based on how Joe has been using the baby bombers ...  
Beer Man : 10/19/2017 8:52 am : link
and assuming he is still the manager after this year, and assuming everyone stay healthy, I think a likely future lineup for the baby bomber is 2-Judge, 3-Bird, 4-Sanchez
obviously you want to win in Friday, but I like the Yankees chances  
Victor in CT : 10/19/2017 8:55 am : link
in a Game 7, empty the bullpen scenario.

They have to make Verlander work, be patient and get him out of the game early even if they don't score off him, and get into that pen.

I feel pretty good about the Yanks taking the flag.
RE: Based on how Joe has been using the baby bombers ...  
yankeeslover : 10/19/2017 8:56 am : link
In comment 13656001 Beer Man said:
Quote:
and assuming he is still the manager after this year, and assuming everyone stay healthy, I think a likely future lineup for the baby bomber is 2-Judge, 3-Bird, 4-Sanchez


Dont forget Clint Frasier.... funny thing, he is supposed to be the best of them.... man o man, what a good problem to have.
RE: If Tanaka opts out  
section125 : 10/19/2017 8:56 am : link
In comment 13655994 arniefez said:
Quote:
I hope the Yankees will let him leave and it's the right call. Just like they let Cano leave after the Arod contract they'll let Tanaka leave after the CC contract. There are plenty of good young arms in the minors and the Yankees have a lot of trade chips. 5 more years for Tanaka is dumb. Don't do it.


If you mean 5 on top of the remaining 3, I agree. If you mean 2 additional for a 5 year total, I disagree. #1s don't grow on trees and he'd be 33-34 at the end of the deal which is not an unreasonable age.
if it goes 7  
yankeeslover : 10/19/2017 8:57 am : link
who goes for Houston? the guy that started game 3 or the one from game 4?
RE: if it goes 7  
section125 : 10/19/2017 9:00 am : link
In comment 13656011 yankeeslover said:
Quote:
who goes for Houston? the guy that started game 3 or the one from game 4?


They speculate Morton, but I would not be surprised to see Keuchel, if only for a few innings or out of the pen. He is still their horse and still a dominating pitcher.
RE: if it goes 7  
Greg from LI : 10/19/2017 9:01 am : link
In comment 13656011 yankeeslover said:
Quote:
who goes for Houston? the guy that started game 3 or the one from game 4?


McCullers pitched better than Morton did, but throwing him on short rest when he had a back injury earlier this year and hasn't pitched deep into games since July seems awfully risky.
I think they tear up Tanaka's original deal  
jcn56 : 10/19/2017 9:09 am : link
and get him a nice raise. There isn't an abundance of starting pitching on the FA market, and he's a known entity. Besides, I think the NY market is one of only a few that Tanaka would be comfortable remaining in.
RE: RE: if it goes 7  
YAJ2112 : 10/19/2017 9:10 am : link
In comment 13656018 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
In comment 13656011 yankeeslover said:


Quote:


who goes for Houston? the guy that started game 3 or the one from game 4?



McCullers pitched better than Morton did, but throwing him on short rest when he had a back injury earlier this year and hasn't pitched deep into games since July seems awfully risky.


I could see them going McCullers for 4, Keuchel for 2-3, and then their normal BP guys.
premature, but I think this group has a chance to be better for longer  
Victor in CT : 10/19/2017 9:14 am : link
than the late '90s group. Sanchez, Bird, Judge, Didi, , Hicks, Castro all 27 or younger can be together a LONG time. And C. Frazier, Andujar and Torres are pushing their way up. If they can break in Adams and 1 more starter (maybe Green) to join Sevi and Montgomery next year, they can dominate for a long time. And without bringing in mercenaries from FA in 2019. Depending on where Torres plays, could flip Castro and a prospect for a starter.

If Tanaka does opt out (I don't think he will), ageree with section that at 28 it's okay to give him 5 yrs total, but not 5 in addition to the 3 remiang (8 total).
My takes:  
Stu11 : 10/19/2017 9:33 am : link
1. Agree with Sect. 125. If they have a shot to win game 6 its all bullpen hands on deck and you go all out. Anything can and usually does happen in a game 7. Frankly its all bullpen hands on deck for both games if necessary. Only Kahnle pitched game 5 and everyone else will have had at least 2 days off.

2. Tanaka WILL opt out, they always do. You pay him. The contract is ripped up when he opts out, so you give him around 5/100 and call it a day. letting a 28 year old top of the rotation guy go would be silly if you are a contender. Some of you have had him ready for TJ surgery 4 times the past 3 years. If the elbow goes it goes, he rehabs it a year and comes back.
RE: RE: Based on how Joe has been using the baby bombers ...  
Beer Man : 10/19/2017 9:36 am : link
In comment 13656008 yankeeslover said:
Quote:
In comment 13656001 Beer Man said:


Quote:


and assuming he is still the manager after this year, and assuming everyone stay healthy, I think a likely future lineup for the baby bomber is 2-Judge, 3-Bird, 4-Sanchez



Dont forget Clint Frasier.... funny thing, he is supposed to be the best of them.... man o man, what a good problem to have.
Not just Clint, you have Gleyber Torres and Miguel Andujar both knocking on the door (Torres is the orgs. top rated prospect). And you have Estevan Florial rising through the system who is projected to be the future CF. They have more talent, hopefully it develops into something special.
RE: I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
Stu11 : 10/19/2017 9:37 am : link
In comment 13655963 mfsd said:
Quote:
Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night

I think Verlander and Keuchel are different stories. Whereas Keuchel is what he is and you have to adjust to it, I think Verlander is more of a situation where its up to him. If he's insanely hitting his spots strike 1 and 2 like game 2 he'll be really tough. If he's a little off then we can get to him because we fair much better against fastball guys.
RE: RE: if it goes 7  
Gatorade Dunk : 10/19/2017 9:48 am : link
In comment 13656016 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13656011 yankeeslover said:


Quote:


who goes for Houston? the guy that started game 3 or the one from game 4?



They speculate Morton, but I would not be surprised to see Keuchel, if only for a few innings or out of the pen. He is still their horse and still a dominating pitcher.

On two days rest? Maybe out of the pen for an inning, but definitely not to start.
You never know..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/19/2017 9:50 am : link
how a team like the Astros will approach elimination. The Yanks have faced it several times this postseason. The Astros are getting their first taste.

Verlander being a veteran should help, but if we keep it close or have a lead going to the pen - I think we'll win. Need to get Verlander's pitch count up there and battle like they did last night.
I would drop Betances  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:01 am : link
if they're fortunate enough to make the WS. But would do it for an extra hitter. Add Clint Frazier to the roster. They'll need a RH bat off the bench in the NL park. Or a DH to counter the three LHP the Dodgers throw. Holliday looks cooked.

But cross that bridge when the time comes.
RE: RE: I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
section125 : 10/19/2017 10:04 am : link
In comment 13656065 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 13655963 mfsd said:


Quote:


Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night


I think Verlander and Keuchel are different stories. Whereas Keuchel is what he is and you have to adjust to it, I think Verlander is more of a situation where its up to him. If he's insanely hitting his spots strike 1 and 2 like game 2 he'll be really tough. If he's a little off then we can get to him because we fair much better against fastball guys.


Stu, with Verlander, he just goes up like Sevy and says here is the heater, try and hit it. He tosses up some good sliders to seed some indecision. With Keuchel you are as much at the mercy of the umpire as the pitcher. With Verlander, he's not trying to fool every batter each at bat. It is not easy to hit a 96 mph fastball, but it is easier than trying to hit garbage at or below the bottom of the zone when the ump has a 50-50 chance of calling a ball a strike.
As far as running up his pitch count - he just threw 124 pitches and looked great in the 8th and 9th. Verlander is a bull. Can he do 120 pitches back to back? IDK. Can he give you 85-90 - absolutely. Does he start to miss his spots after 60-70, maybe, but I doubt it. But the Yankees lineup is about hitting FBs, Toddfather is more likley to catch a 96 mph FB than 88 mph slider or cutter (as are Casto and Hicks).
I'm certain that Betances has thrown his last pitch as a Yankee  
Greg from LI : 10/19/2017 10:04 am : link
It's sad, but I don't see any way he gets back on a mound this year, and they were likely going to deal him in the offseason anyway even before his implosion.

Not gonna get much in return for him, either, which is unfortunate.
RE: If Tanaka opts out  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:05 am : link
In comment 13655994 arniefez said:
Quote:
I hope the Yankees will let him leave and it's the right call. Just like they let Cano leave after the Arod contract they'll let Tanaka leave after the CC contract. There are plenty of good young arms in the minors and the Yankees have a lot of trade chips. 5 more years for Tanaka is dumb. Don't do it.


ARod, CC, and Cano were all approaching their mid 30s. Tanaka will be 29. There are already 3 years left on his deal anyway, adding 2 more is not going to be crippling. It's certainly not "dumb."
RE: I'm certain that Betances has thrown his last pitch as a Yankee  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:06 am : link
In comment 13656118 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
It's sad, but I don't see any way he gets back on a mound this year, and they were likely going to deal him in the offseason anyway even before his implosion.

Not gonna get much in return for him, either, which is unfortunate.


I was a proponent of dealing him this offseason (I like him a lot, but he's a luxury at this point) but I think you need to attempt to rebuild his value a bit before dealing him. They'd be selling awful low on a 4 time all star.
The only theory I have on Tanaka  
bceagle05 : 10/19/2017 10:11 am : link
is maybe he just decided to throw caution to the wind and really cut it loose with his fastball and splitter in a way he hasn't since the elbow injury. I've always felt the injury was in the back of his mind - how could it not be? - and that he was holding a little bit back for self-preservation. If it's simply a hot streak, it sure as hell is a well-timed hot streak.

I know the additions at the trade deadline improved the team dramatically, but to me it's the reemergence of Tanaka and Chapman that makes us championship caliber.
Verlander..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/19/2017 10:12 am : link
hitting 120 pitches last outing makes his ability to go long doubtful - and by long, I mean 90-100 pitches, especially if he has to work a little.
How is he going to rebuild value as a mop up guy?  
Greg from LI : 10/19/2017 10:13 am : link
Because that is all he will be next season. Green's not going anywhere. Kahnle not going anywhere. Chapman's not going anywhere. I suspect they try to bring Robo back too, and that doesn't even take into consideration young guys like Ben Heller who could seize a role.

And that assumes he can pitch like Dellin Betances again in NY. I'm not sure he can. He needs a fresh start somewhere else.
I believe Robbie has another year on his deal, so he stays.  
bceagle05 : 10/19/2017 10:14 am : link
I bet he finishes his career as a Yankee - he absolutely loves it here and probably never wanted to leave in the first place.
I understand, Greg  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:16 am : link
Maybe a great spring training would be enough to at least get a bit more value out of a trade.

An off-season trade for pennies on the dollar would be unfortunate though. But I agree there just isn't a place for him anymore.
The fortunes..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/19/2017 10:17 am : link
of relief pitchers change so frequently that you never can really write a guy off. Chapman had a slight issue with his delivery and he went on a month-long swoon.

You never know if that's the issue with Betances or not or if Kahnle or Robertson will fall off a cliff.
RE: RE: I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
Jay in Toronto : 10/19/2017 10:22 am : link
In comment 13655987 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13655963 mfsd said:


Quote:


Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night



Gardy looks like he needs a day or two off. But tired Gardy is better than Ellsbury and his defense is better.

Verlander is mainly a FB pitcher. The Yankees have more trouble with junk ballers. But I feel that the crappy lighting (IMHO) in Minute Maid throws them off. I still believe they get to Verlander. Sanchez and Judge (and Headley) are starting to pick it up.


Well hopefully that crappy lighting will make them blind to Sevvy's FBs.
And for a while  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:23 am : link
it looked like Betances was fixed. He even looked pretty good in his first two appearances of the playoffs against Cleveland. I think they can get him right enough to at least showcase him in spring training. But there's no time for that right now. He's surely thrown his last pitch of the season
Anything's possible...  
FatMan in Charlotte : 10/19/2017 10:25 am : link
Headley is 4 for his last 4!!

But I agree that Betances has thrown his last pitch of the season.
Would love to see Clint get on the roster  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:31 am : link
and get any ABs that might go to Holliday in a potential World Series.
no sense trading him in the off-season when he's down. build him  
Victor in CT : 10/19/2017 10:35 am : link
back up in spring training and early in the 2018 season.

Green might very well be moved back to being a starter, sepecially if they keep Robertson. Kahnle, Robertson, Warren, Chapman is a pretty good group. And they have German and Heller in the wings.

Or, depending on recovery, progress of Torres and where you play him, package Castro, Betances and a prospect for a front line starter? Lots of potetnial options when you develop players.
RE: And for a while  
section125 : 10/19/2017 10:35 am : link
In comment 13656142 Kyle in NY said:
Quote:
it looked like Betances was fixed. He even looked pretty good in his first two appearances of the playoffs against Cleveland. I think they can get him right enough to at least showcase him in spring training. But there's no time for that right now. He's surely thrown his last pitch of the season


Isn't Betances in arbitration again this year?

I'm not sure he is done as a Yankee. I think he can be used far less next year and remain effective longer, plus if he regains form his value goes up. As with last season, he loses his mechanics but regains with time off.

DRob is signed through 2019..
oh, don't get me wrong, Betances absolutely could bounce right back  
Greg from LI : 10/19/2017 10:37 am : link
His stuff hasn't diminished at all - his first two appearances against Cleveland showed that, particularly the first one when he struck out the side on ten pitches. I would expect him to become the Dellin of old if he's in, say, Milwaukee instead of the Bronx.

Sometimes I wonder if he feels extra pressure pitching in his hometown.
section  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:40 am : link
Yes, 2nd arbitration year coming up. Should certainly be interesting, if he's still on the roster, considering how it went last season with Levine opening his big mouth
nah, Green's never gonna be a starter  
Greg from LI : 10/19/2017 10:42 am : link
He's a two pitch guy, and his second pitch, his slider, isn't all that good. He thrives in relief because he has a fantastic fastball and he can throw it 80% of the time if he's only going an inning or two.
Agreed there  
Kyle in NY : 10/19/2017 10:44 am : link
We found a gem of a RP in Green, don't mess with that. He's a 1.5 pitch pitcher.
RE: RE: RE: I expect Verlander to be very tough again tomorrow  
Stu11 : 10/19/2017 10:47 am : link
In comment 13656117 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13656065 Stu11 said:


Quote:


In comment 13655963 mfsd said:


Quote:


Gardy hasn’t been hitting too much, and coming off a tough one against Keuchel, but think he has some good old fashioned Gardy ABs to work the count and get on base.

I think the debate about the batting order is for the offseason...now that Judge and Sanchez are hitting, i wouldn’t mix up the lineup at this point in the game. Judge still sees a lot of pitches, and I think he catches a Verlander fastball tomorrow night


I think Verlander and Keuchel are different stories. Whereas Keuchel is what he is and you have to adjust to it, I think Verlander is more of a situation where its up to him. If he's insanely hitting his spots strike 1 and 2 like game 2 he'll be really tough. If he's a little off then we can get to him because we fair much better against fastball guys.



Stu, with Verlander, he just goes up like Sevy and says here is the heater, try and hit it. He tosses up some good sliders to seed some indecision. With Keuchel you are as much at the mercy of the umpire as the pitcher. With Verlander, he's not trying to fool every batter each at bat. It is not easy to hit a 96 mph fastball, but it is easier than trying to hit garbage at or below the bottom of the zone when the ump has a 50-50 chance of calling a ball a strike.
As far as running up his pitch count - he just threw 124 pitches and looked great in the 8th and 9th. Verlander is a bull. Can he do 120 pitches back to back? IDK. Can he give you 85-90 - absolutely. Does he start to miss his spots after 60-70, maybe, but I doubt it. But the Yankees lineup is about hitting FBs, Toddfather is more likley to catch a 96 mph FB than 88 mph slider or cutter (as are Casto and Hicks).

Thats pretty much what I was saying. The thing is in game 2 he was dotting the corners strike 1 and 2. If he does that again he's tough to beat. I think the odds are against him being that good again. Probably more like his usual self- 2 or 3 runs over 7. Any hand wringing over his pitch count is meaningless. He'll have an extra day and the guy is a horse. He's no stranger to 120 pitch outings.
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