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11/14/17 Fantasy Football

YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 8:25 am
Interesting week for waivers, crunch time for the playoff drive is here. I'll start with some trash talk though.

Since this post...

Quote:

YAJ,
Keith : 11/1/2017 2:13 pm : link
you fear me yet or what??

not really, no
YAJ2112 : 11/1/2017 3:11 pm : link
thanks for asking though.

Oh you will,
Keith : 11/1/2017 3:13 pm : link
soon enough. I'm on my way to the top!

until I knock you back down a peg
YAJ2112 : 11/1/2017 3:13 pm : link
in week 10

Is it just me
allstarjim : 11/1/2017 5:05 pm : link
Or is Keith setting himself up for a massive fall.


KMed is 0-2, including this week's 151.96-81.97 drubbing at the hands of yours truly.
Oh Keith. FF is a fickle mistress  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 8:43 am : link
Yesterday I asked for some help in my keeper league for MNF. Down by 10 heading into MNF, with just Devante Parker left, my kicker (Jake Elliott) was on bye, with Cody Parkey out there on the free agency pile. So I asked...should I drop Elliott and pick up Parkey? Even though results were mixed, I went ahead and picked up Parkey and played him.

I was playing the guy sitting in first place who was 6-2. Because I made the move and grabbed Parkey, I won by 0.08 points. Or, another way of stating it, by 8/10ths of 1 yard or by 8/100ths of 1 point (don't ask me how we score fractional points to the 1/100th decimal place.

So now I sit, hoping for no stat corrections. I knocked the leader to 7-3 with the win, he is now in a tie for first at 7-3, I maintained by position tied for 4th best record at 6-4...but more importantly, there are now 5 players 1 game back out of first place, and 7 players within two games of first!

I will have a week 11 lineup question, but wanted to say thanks to you guys for helping me get the win. It was the right call, now I have to hope I can get Elliott or at least Justin Tucker (who was let go because of his bye week) back on my team when waivers clear tomorrow morning.
So I lose Freeman  
pjcas18 : 11/14/2017 9:13 am : link
it seems next week and was already thin at RB.

Would you simply start Mixon @DEN

or pick up one of the following and start them over Mixon (PPR):

Burkhead @OAK
J. Williams vs BAL (Jones and Monty questionable)
Ekeler vs BUF
Clement @DAL
Yeldon @CLE
Cohen vs DET
Booker vs CIN
Ivory @CLE
Charles vs CIN

that's the best of the shitty bunch.

Only one that stands out is Burkhead since I have Brady and they de-activated Gillislee last week, but he's an injury waiting to happen and Belichick messes with his RB rotation purely to fuck with fantasy football owners.

It would be between  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 9:18 am : link
Mixon, Ekeler, Burkhead, J Williams for me. Have to wait on Gordon and Ty's status before I could make a call.
Obviously  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 9:35 am : link
I now have the 2nd best record. But I simply maintained my position of 5th place. Two teams at 7-3 now, and three teams at 6-4. Obviously, the stretch run here is crucial.

So, I have two lineup decisions to make for this week.

I think the first is the more important, which is how to deploy my RBs for week 11. I will most likely use my flex as a RB as well, so I would need 2 of this group (Jordan Howard is my #1 and is obviously in my lineup this week):

Jay Ajayi @ DAL
Jerick McKinnon vs Rams
Alex Collins @ Green Bay
Joe Mixon @ DEN
Derrick Henry @ PIT

And here are my receivers (Robert Woods is still available and I plan on making a claim for him which I think I have a pretty strong chance at being successful on), need 2, or 3 if you like all three of these over a third choice above (standard scoring):

Devante Parker vs TB
D. Baldwin vs ATL (thinking will be matched up w/ Trufant)
Stefon Diggs vs Rams

Perhaps Robert Woods vs Vikings?

RE: Obviously  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 9:37 am : link
In comment 13691687 allstarjim said:
Quote:
I now have the 2nd best record. But I simply maintained my position of 5th place. Two teams at 7-3 now, and three teams at 6-4. Obviously, the stretch run here is crucial.

So, I have two lineup decisions to make for this week.

I think the first is the more important, which is how to deploy my RBs for week 11. I will most likely use my flex as a RB as well, so I would need 2 of this group (Jordan Howard is my #1 and is obviously in my lineup this week):

Jay Ajayi @ DAL
Jerick McKinnon vs Rams
Alex Collins @ Green Bay
Joe Mixon @ DEN
Derrick Henry @ PIT

And here are my receivers (Robert Woods is still available and I plan on making a claim for him which I think I have a pretty strong chance at being successful on), need 2, or 3 if you like all three of these over a third choice above (standard scoring):

Devante Parker vs TB
D. Baldwin vs ATL (thinking will be matched up w/ Trufant)
Stefon Diggs vs Rams

Perhaps Robert Woods vs Vikings?


With Baldwin, he lines up in the slot most of the time. You'd have to go check how often Trufant slides in to the slot, I'd guess they keep him outside and that he isn't a concern for Baldwin.
RE: So I lose Freeman  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 9:38 am : link
In comment 13691662 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
it seems next week and was already thin at RB.

Would you simply start Mixon @DEN

or pick up one of the following and start them over Mixon (PPR):

Burkhead @OAK
J. Williams vs BAL (Jones and Monty questionable)
Ekeler vs BUF
Clement @DAL
Yeldon @CLE
Cohen vs DET
Booker vs CIN
Ivory @CLE
Charles vs CIN

that's the best of the shitty bunch.

Only one that stands out is Burkhead since I have Brady and they de-activated Gillislee last week, but he's an injury waiting to happen and Belichick messes with his RB rotation purely to fuck with fantasy football owners.


Out of that group I think I would go with Mixon. The only one that is really actually tempting is Jamaal Williams if both Jones and Monty are out, but I don't like his matchup with Baltimore. I don't think that's a good matchup for Williams.

The upshot with Mixon is he's far more talented than his production has been, but he gets volume, and can take one the distance, as he has already shown this year.
I really don't like Jamaal Williams  
leatherneck570 : 11/14/2017 9:41 am : link
At all. He hasn't been very good and that offense won't be in a position for him to find the end zone very often. I'd go Mixon.

That's an impressive victory yaj, but I still would have beat you 😎
RE: I really don't like Jamaal Williams  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 9:46 am : link
In comment 13691697 leatherneck570 said:
Quote:
At all. He hasn't been very good and that offense won't be in a position for him to find the end zone very often. I'd go Mixon.

That's an impressive victory yaj, but I still would have beat you 😎


Congrats, that's the 2nd time this season you've outscored me.
Haha  
leatherneck570 : 11/14/2017 9:48 am : link
Considering all the players I've lost I'll take what I can get!
RE: Haha  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 9:53 am : link
In comment 13691712 leatherneck570 said:
Quote:
Considering all the players I've lost I'll take what I can get!


True, but at least you draft Kamara to make up for losing DJ
Ouch  
leatherneck570 : 11/14/2017 9:55 am : link
I let him go early in the season...
RE: Ouch  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 10:00 am : link
In comment 13691722 leatherneck570 said:
Quote:
I let him go early in the season...


Ha, yep thanks! I did worse though, I dropped him in a keeper league early in the season.
Brees  
TyreeHelmet : 11/14/2017 10:02 am : link
Thoughts on brees rest of season? Very close to trading for him. Currently have Big Ben and Rivers and want to upgrade.
RE: Brees  
pjcas18 : 11/14/2017 10:10 am : link
In comment 13691735 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Thoughts on brees rest of season? Very close to trading for him. Currently have Big Ben and Rivers and want to upgrade.


I always like Brees, even outdoors though some don't. decent schedule too, only away games are @LAR and @ATL through week 16.

it seems like every time my team plays against a Brees team, he's doing mediocre through half time and then he puts up 300 yards and 2 TD's. every time.
RE: Brees  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 10:12 am : link
In comment 13691735 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Thoughts on brees rest of season? Very close to trading for him. Currently have Big Ben and Rivers and want to upgrade.


I think there will be some TD correction coming for Brees as teams shift their attention to trying to stop the Saints running game. Upgrade to Ben/Rivers for sure.
I really like Brees for the stretch run and playoffs  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 10:13 am : link
I think his schedule is pretty decent and he is at home in both playoff weeks (wk 15 & 16).

However, New Orleans has emphasized the run recently and Brees' production has been mediocre. I would still roll with him but it bears watching. Last year, there was only 6 games in which Brees didn't attempt at least 40 passes, and only 1 game in which Brees attempted fewer than 30 passes (and he still threw 29 times in that game). Last year, he COMPLETED 30 or more passes 6 times.

This year, through 9 games, he has only attempted 40+ passes in a game twice, and not since week 4, and he has already attempted fewer than 30 passes 4 times, including his last three games. And he hasn't completed more than 30 in a single game in any game this season. So I think there is some cause for concern just because of usage, but he's still a pretty damn good fantasy QB, especially with so many injuries at the QB position, with a pretty favorable schedule the rest of the way.
Who should I be playing this week at QB?  
beatrixkiddo : 11/14/2017 11:23 am : link
Lost Winston, I have Fitzpatrick with Evans coming back against the Dolphins, but Bortles and Flacco are also available. Bortles actually has a pretty promising looking schedule rest of the way and wonder if I should grab him over Fitz. Or even Flacco with Woodhead coming back. Thoughts?
RE: Who should I be playing this week at QB?  
YAJ2112 : 11/14/2017 11:28 am : link
In comment 13691869 beatrixkiddo said:
Quote:
Lost Winston, I have Fitzpatrick with Evans coming back against the Dolphins, but Bortles and Flacco are also available. Bortles actually has a pretty promising looking schedule rest of the way and wonder if I should grab him over Fitz. Or even Flacco with Woodhead coming back. Thoughts?


Hate all those options, would have to say Fitzpatrick for this week though. Dolphins just got carved up by the Panthers, and Evans will likely have a big week coming off his suspension assuming Fitzmagic can get him the ball.
RE: Brees  
UConn4523 : 11/14/2017 11:53 am : link
In comment 13691735 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Thoughts on brees rest of season? Very close to trading for him. Currently have Big Ben and Rivers and want to upgrade.


I have Brees in my main league and am in 3rd place despite his unwillingness to throw in the RZ this year. Ive never owned him in fantasy and it sucks he's choosing this year to not throw in the RZ but I think that course will change. He's a solid weekly start and can blow up on any week against any opponent which is very nice to have come playoff time.
QB question  
pjcas18 : 11/14/2017 11:57 am : link
Ben vs TEN
or
Matt Ryan @SEA

have Ben in now, he looked decent last week, also have Antonio Brown who did not look so good, I expect a bounce back.

Would anyone consider Ryan without Sherman back there but with the return of Earl Thomas?
RE: QB question  
leatherneck570 : 11/14/2017 12:04 pm : link
In comment 13691945 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
Ben vs TEN
or
Matt Ryan @SEA

have Ben in now, he looked decent last week, also have Antonio Brown who did not look so good, I expect a bounce back.

Would anyone consider Ryan without Sherman back there but with the return of Earl Thomas?


I take Big Ben at home vs that defense.
sorry that defense  
leatherneck570 : 11/14/2017 12:07 pm : link
that AJ Greene balled out on and made LaFell look like a stud. I can't wait to see what A Brown and Ju Ju does.
RE: Who should I be playing this week at QB?  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 12:09 pm : link
In comment 13691869 beatrixkiddo said:
Quote:
Lost Winston, I have Fitzpatrick with Evans coming back against the Dolphins, but Bortles and Flacco are also available. Bortles actually has a pretty promising looking schedule rest of the way and wonder if I should grab him over Fitz. Or even Flacco with Woodhead coming back. Thoughts?


Yes. My sleeper is Dede Westbrook. I think he'll really help Bortles because he is a great YAC guy, and I think he'll get some big plays as teams try to stop Fournette.
I do like Bortles over Fitzpatrick.
Ben over Ryan for sure  
UConn4523 : 11/14/2017 12:09 pm : link
more importantly than Thomas coming back is that is a road game for Ryan in what is probably the biggest home-field advantage in the NFL in Seattle. It can always backfire but Ben is the safer play.
RE: RE: QB question  
allstarjim : 11/14/2017 12:11 pm : link
In comment 13691956 leatherneck570 said:
Quote:
In comment 13691945 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


Ben vs TEN
or
Matt Ryan @SEA

have Ben in now, he looked decent last week, also have Antonio Brown who did not look so good, I expect a bounce back.

Would anyone consider Ryan without Sherman back there but with the return of Earl Thomas?



I take Big Ben at home vs that defense.


Agreed, I don't think you should look to try to avoid the Seattle defense right now.
its kinda crazy how that Kelvin Benjamin trade  
UConn4523 : 11/14/2017 12:41 pm : link
is working for Carolina. They are back to running, read optioning, and lots of YAC plays. McCaffrey is now on pace for 90 catches, 1,000 total yards and 8 TDs which is 238 points in a PPR, almost 15 per week. Its also not unreasonable to expect his yards to increase as well.
WOH!  
Keith : 11/14/2017 12:47 pm : link
Hey now. ITs been a rough few weeks with byes, injuries and bad matchups. I'm not worried, I have the best team in this league.
in non ppr Kenyon Drake  
pjcas18 : 11/14/2017 12:56 pm : link
or Doug Martin (they play against each others teams).

Flex:
Brandin Cooks @OAK (sort of disappointing) or Davante Parker vs TB or it could be the other of Drake/Martin.

RE: its kinda crazy how that Kelvin Benjamin trade  
Toth029 : 11/14/2017 1:18 pm : link
In comment 13691998 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
is working for Carolina. They are back to running, read optioning, and lots of YAC plays. McCaffrey is now on pace for 90 catches, 1,000 total yards and 8 TDs which is 238 points in a PPR, almost 15 per week. Its also not unreasonable to expect his yards to increase as well.

Cam was struggling this year even with Kelvin. He's been so hot and cold. KB is a good WR just not a top tier guy who can elevate an offense. I don't think he'll have a ton of success in Buffalo if Tyrod remains either.
Thatís my point  
UConn4523 : 11/14/2017 1:22 pm : link
he looks better without him. Benjamin is big but not dynamic. Speed at WR is better for Cams game.
For some reason  
Mr. Nickels : 11/14/2017 1:45 pm : link
team dropped Harrison Butker. Maybe they are trying to claim Justin Tucker who I dropped?

Should I add Butker? Tucker or keep Succop?
RE: in non ppr Kenyon Drake  
TheEvilLurker : 11/14/2017 1:45 pm : link
In comment 13692018 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
or Doug Martin (they play against each others teams).

Flex:
Brandin Cooks @OAK (sort of disappointing) or Davante Parker vs TB or it could be the other of Drake/Martin.


I have Martin this year. It seems like he's cooled off after doing well a few weeks ago. Not sure on Drake, but I don't see Martin as more than possibly a RB2/3 as the ceiling.
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